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Ioannidis JPA, Trikalinos TA, Law M, Carr A, Carr A, Barr D, Cooper DA, Emery S, Grinspoon S, Ioannidis J, Lewis R, Law M, Lichtenstein K, Murray J, Pizzuti D, Powderly WG, Rozenbaum W, Schambelan M, Puls R, Emery S, Moore A, Miller J, Carr A, Belloso WH, Ivalo SA, Clara LO, Barcan LA, Stern LD, Galich AM, Perman MI, Losso M, Duran A, Toibaro J, Baker D, Vale R, McFarlane R, MacLeod H, Kidd J, Genn B, Carr A, Fielden R, Mallal S, French M, Cain A, Skett J, Maxwell D, Mijch A, Hoy J, Pierce A, McCormick C, De Graaf B, Falutz J, Vatistas J, Dion L, Montaner J, Harris M, Phillips P, Montessori V, Valyi M, Stewart W, Walmsley S, Casciaro L, Lundgren J, Andersen O, Gronholdt A, Beguinot I, Mercié P, Chêne G, Reynes J, Cotte L, Rozenbaum W, Nait-Ighil L, Slama L, Nguyen TH, Rousselle C, Viard JP, Roudière L, Maignan A, Burgard M, Mauss S, Schmutz G, Scholten S, Oka S, Fraser H, Ishihara M, Itoh K, Reiss P, van der Valk M, Leunissen P, Nievaard M, van EckSmit B, Kujik CC, Paton N, Peperstraete B, Karim F, Khim CY, Ong S, Gatell J, Martinez E, Milinkovic A, Churchill D, Timaeus C, Maher T, Perry N, Bray A, Moyle G, Baldwin C, Higgs C, Reynolds B, Carpenter C, Bausserman L, Fiore T, DiSpigno M, Cohen C, Hellinger J, Foy K, Hubka S, Riccio B, El-Sadr W, Raghavan S, Chowdury N, de Vries B, Miller S, Hammer S, Crawford M, Chang S, Dobkin J, Quagliarello B, Gallagher D, Punyanitya M, Kessler H, Tenorio A, Kjos S, Falloon J, Lane HC, Rock D, Ehler L, Lichtenstein K, McClain T, Murphy R, Milne P, Powderly W, Aberg J, Klebert M, Conklin M, Ward D, Green L, Stearn B. HIV Lipodystrophy Case Definition using Artificial Neural Network Modelling. Antivir Ther 2003. [DOI: 10.1177/135965350300800511] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/15/2022]
Abstract
Objective A case definition of HIV lipodystrophy has recently been developed from a combination of clinical, metabolic and imaging/body composition variables using logistic regression methods. We aimed to evaluate whether artificial neural networks could improve the diagnostic accuracy. Methods The database of the case-control Lipodystrophy Case Definition Study was split into 504 subjects (265 with and 239 without lipodystrophy) used for training and 284 independent subjects (152 with and 132 without lipodystrophy) used for validation. Back-propagation neural networks with one or two middle layers were trained and validated. Results were compared against logistic regression models using the same information. Results Neural networks using clinical variables only (41 items) achieved consistently superior performance than logistic regression in terms of specificity, overall accuracy and area under the ROC curve. Their average sensitivity and specificity were 72.4 and 71.2%, as compared with 73.0 and 62.9% for logistic regression, respectively (area under the ROC curve, 0.784 vs 0.748). The discriminating performance of the neural networks was largely unaffected when built excluding 13 parameters that patients may not have readily available. The average sensitivity and specificity of the neural networks remained the same when metabolic variables were also considered (total 60 items) without a clear advantage against logistic regression (overall accuracy 71.8%). The performance of networks considering also body composition variables was similar to that of logistic regression (overall accuracy 78.5% for both). Conclusions Neural networks may offer a means to improve the discriminating performance for HIV lipodystrophy, when only clinical data are available and a rapid approximate diagnostic decision is needed. In this context, information on metabolic parameters is apparently not helpful in improving the diagnosis of HIV lipodystrophy, unless imaging and body composition studies are also obtained.
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Affiliation(s)
- John PA Ioannidis
- Clinical and Molecular Epidemiology Unit, Department of Hygiene and Epidemiology, University of Ioannina School of Medicine, Ioannina, Greece
- Division of Clinical Care Research, Tufts-New England Medical Center, Tufts University School of Medicine, Boston, Mass., USA
| | - Thomas A Trikalinos
- Clinical and Molecular Epidemiology Unit, Department of Hygiene and Epidemiology, University of Ioannina School of Medicine, Ioannina, Greece
- Division of Clinical Care Research, Tufts-New England Medical Center, Tufts University School of Medicine, Boston, Mass., USA
| | - Matthew Law
- National Centre in HIV Epidemiology and Clinical Research, Sydney, Australia
| | - Andrew Carr
- National Centre in HIV Epidemiology and Clinical Research, Sydney, Australia
- HIV, Immunology and Infectious Diseases Clinical Services Unit, St Vincent's Hospital, Australia
| | - A Carr
- (Forum for Collaborative HIV Research, Baltimore, Md., USA; to September, 2001)
| | - D Barr
- (Forum for Collaborative HIV Research, Baltimore, Md., USA; to September, 2001)
| | - DA Cooper
- (National Centre in HIV Epidemiology and Clinical Research, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia)
| | - S Emery
- (Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Mass., USA)
| | - S Grinspoon
- (Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Mass., USA)
| | | | - R Lewis
- (Agouron Pharmaceuticals, San Diego, Calif., USA)
| | - M Law
- (HIV Outpatient Study/Centres for Diseases Control and Prevention, Denver, Col., USA)
| | - K Lichtenstein
- (HIV Outpatient Study/Centres for Diseases Control and Prevention, Denver, Col., USA)
| | - J Murray
- (US Department of Health and Human Services Food and Drug Administration, Washington, DC, USA)
| | - D Pizzuti
- (Bristol-Myers Squibb, Princeton, NJ, USA, representing the European Medicines Evaluation Agency Oversight Committee)
| | - WG Powderly
- (Agence Nationale du Researche sur le SIDA, Hôpital Rothschild, Paris, France)
| | - W Rozenbaum
- (Agence Nationale du Researche sur le SIDA, Hôpital Rothschild, Paris, France)
| | - M Schambelan
- (University of California, San Francisco, Calif., USA; to September 2000)
| | - R Puls
- (National Centre in HIV Epidemiology and Clinical Research, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia)
| | - S Emery
- (National Centre in HIV Epidemiology and Clinical Research, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia)
| | - A Moore
- (National Centre in HIV Epidemiology and Clinical Research, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia)
| | - J Miller
- (National Centre in HIV Epidemiology and Clinical Research, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia)
| | - A Carr
- (National Centre in HIV Epidemiology and Clinical Research, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia)
| | - WH Belloso
- (Hospital Italiano de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires)
| | - SA Ivalo
- (Hospital Italiano de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires)
| | - LO Clara
- (Hospital Italiano de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires)
| | - LA Barcan
- (Hospital Italiano de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires)
| | - LD Stern
- (Hospital Italiano de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires)
| | - AM Galich
- (Hospital Italiano de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires)
| | - MI Perman
- (Hospital Italiano de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires)
| | - M Losso
- (Hospital J M Ramos Mejía, Buenos Aires)
| | - A Duran
- (Hospital J M Ramos Mejía, Buenos Aires)
| | - J Toibaro
- (Hospital J M Ramos Mejía, Buenos Aires)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | - A Carr
- (St Vincent's Hospital, Sydney)
| | | | | | | | - A Cain
- (Royal Perth Hospital, Perth)
| | - J Skett
- (Royal Perth Hospital, Perth)
| | | | - A Mijch
- (Alfred Hospital and Monash University, Melbourne)
| | - J Hoy
- (Alfred Hospital and Monash University, Melbourne)
| | - A Pierce
- (Alfred Hospital and Monash University, Melbourne)
| | - C McCormick
- (Alfred Hospital and Monash University, Melbourne)
| | - B De Graaf
- (Alfred Hospital and Monash University, Melbourne)
| | - J Falutz
- (Montreal General Hospital, Montreal)
| | | | - L Dion
- (Montreal General Hospital, Montreal)
| | | | | | | | | | - M Valyi
- (St Paul's Hospital, Vancouver)
| | | | | | | | - J Lundgren
- (Hvidovre University Hospital, Copenhagen)
| | - O Andersen
- (Hvidovre University Hospital, Copenhagen)
| | | | | | - P Mercié
- (Hôpital Haut-Lévêque, Bordeaux)
| | - G Chêne
- (Hôpital Haut-Lévêque, Bordeaux)
| | - J Reynes
- (Hôpital Gui de Chauliac, Montpellier)
| | - L Cotte
- (Hôpital Gui de Chauliac, Montpellier)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - P Reiss
- (Academic Medical Centre, University of Amsterdam and International AIDS Therapy Evaluation Center, Amsterdam)
| | - M van der Valk
- (Academic Medical Centre, University of Amsterdam and International AIDS Therapy Evaluation Center, Amsterdam)
| | - P Leunissen
- (Academic Medical Centre, University of Amsterdam and International AIDS Therapy Evaluation Center, Amsterdam)
| | - M Nievaard
- (Academic Medical Centre, University of Amsterdam and International AIDS Therapy Evaluation Center, Amsterdam)
| | - B van EckSmit
- (Academic Medical Centre, University of Amsterdam and International AIDS Therapy Evaluation Center, Amsterdam)
| | - C can Kujik
- (Academic Medical Centre, University of Amsterdam and International AIDS Therapy Evaluation Center, Amsterdam)
| | - N Paton
- (Tan Tock Seng Hospital, Singapore)
| | | | - F Karim
- (Tan Tock Seng Hospital, Singapore)
| | - C Y Khim
- (Tan Tock Seng Hospital, Singapore)
| | - S Ong
- (Tan Tock Seng Hospital, Singapore)
| | - J Gatell
- (Hospital Clinic Provincial de Barcelona)
| | - E Martinez
- (Hospital Clinic Provincial de Barcelona)
| | | | | | | | | | | | - A Bray
- (Sussex Hospital, Brighton)
| | - G Moyle
- (Chelsea and Westminster Hospital, London)
| | - C Baldwin
- (Chelsea and Westminster Hospital, London)
| | - C Higgs
- (Chelsea and Westminster Hospital, London)
| | - B Reynolds
- (Chelsea and Westminster Hospital, London)
| | | | | | - T Fiore
- (Miriam Hospital, Providence, RI)
| | | | - C Cohen
- (Community Research Initiative of New England, Brookline, Mass.)
| | - J Hellinger
- (Community Research Initiative of New England, Brookline, Mass.)
| | - K Foy
- (Community Research Initiative of New England, Brookline, Mass.)
| | - S Hubka
- (Community Research Initiative of New England, Brookline, Mass.)
| | - B Riccio
- (Community Research Initiative of New England, Brookline, Mass.)
| | - W El-Sadr
- (Harlem Hospital Center, New York, NY)
| | | | | | | | - S Miller
- (Harlem Hospital Center, New York, NY)
| | - S Hammer
- (Columbia University, New York, NY)
| | | | - S Chang
- (Columbia University, New York, NY)
| | - J Dobkin
- (Columbia University, New York, NY)
| | | | | | | | - H Kessler
- (Rush Presbyterian St Luke's Medical Center, Chicago, Ill.)
| | - A Tenorio
- (Rush Presbyterian St Luke's Medical Center, Chicago, Ill.)
| | - S Kjos
- (Rush Presbyterian St Luke's Medical Center, Chicago, Ill.)
| | - J Falloon
- (National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, Bethesda, Md.)
| | - HC Lane
- (National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, Bethesda, Md.)
| | - D Rock
- (National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, Bethesda, Md.)
| | - L Ehler
- (National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, Bethesda, Md.)
| | | | - T McClain
- (Denver Infectious Disease Consultants, Denver, Col.)
| | - R Murphy
- (Northwestern Memorial Hospital, Chicago, Ill.)
| | - P Milne
- (Northwestern Memorial Hospital, Chicago, Ill.)
| | - W Powderly
- (Washington University School of Medicine, St Louis, Mo.)
| | - J Aberg
- (Washington University School of Medicine, St Louis, Mo.)
| | - M Klebert
- (Washington University School of Medicine, St Louis, Mo.)
| | - M Conklin
- (Washington University School of Medicine, St Louis, Mo.)
| | - D Ward
- (Dupont Circle Physician's Group, Washington, DC)
| | - L Green
- (Dupont Circle Physician's Group, Washington, DC)
| | - B Stearn
- (Dupont Circle Physician's Group, Washington, DC)
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