Timing and Predictors of Loss of Infectivity Among Healthcare Workers With Mild Primary and Recurrent COVID-19: A Prospective Observational Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

There is a need to understand the duration of infectivity of primary and recurrent coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and identify predictors of loss of infectivity.

METHODS

Prospective observational cohort study with serial viral culture, rapid antigen detection test (RADT) and reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) on nasopharyngeal specimens of healthcare workers with COVID-19. The primary outcome was viral culture positivity as indicative of infectivity. Predictors of loss of infectivity were determined using multivariate regression model. The performance of the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) criteria (fever resolution, symptom improvement, and negative RADT) to predict loss of infectivity was also investigated.

RESULTS

In total, 121 participants (91 female [79.3%]; average age, 40 years) were enrolled. Most (n = 107, 88.4%) had received ≥3 severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) vaccine doses, and 20 (16.5%) had COVID-19 previously. Viral culture positivity decreased from 71.9% (87/121) on day 5 of infection to 18.2% (22/121) on day 10. Participants with recurrent COVID-19 had a lower likelihood of infectivity than those with primary COVID-19 at each follow-up (day 5 odds ratio [OR], 0.14; P < .001]; day 7 OR, 0.04; P = .003]) and were all non-infective by day 10 (P = .02). Independent predictors of infectivity included prior COVID-19 (adjusted OR [aOR] on day 5, 0.005; P = .003), an RT-PCR cycle threshold [Ct] value <23 (aOR on day 5, 22.75; P < .001) but not symptom improvement or RADT result.The CDC criteria would identify 36% (24/67) of all non-infectious individuals on day 7. However, 17% (5/29) of those meeting all the criteria had a positive viral culture.

CONCLUSIONS

Infectivity of recurrent COVID-19 is shorter than primary infections. Loss of infectivity algorithms could be optimized.

In vitro fitness of SARS-CoV-2 variants as assessed by competition experiments followed by ddRT-PCR and whole genome sequencing

OBJECTIVE

To develop a new method for reliable and rapid determination of the fitness of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern.

METHODS

Competition experiments between two SARS-CoV-2 variants were performed in cells of the upper (nasal human airway epithelium) and lower (Calu-3 cells) respiratory tracts followed by quantification of variant ratios by droplet digital reverse transcription (ddRT)-PCR.

RESULTS

In competition experiments, the delta variant outcompeted the alpha variant in both cells of the upper and lower respiratory tracts. A 50/50% mixture of delta and omicron variants indicated a predominance of omicron in the upper respiratory tract whereas delta predominated in the lower respiratory tract. There was no evidence of recombination events between variants in competition as assessed by whole gene sequencing.

CONCLUSION

Differential replication kinetics were shown between variants of concern which may explain, at least partly, the emergence and disease severity associated with new SARS-CoV-2 variants.