Early kinetics of C reactive protein for cancer-agnostic prediction of therapy response and mortality in patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors: a multicenter cohort study

BACKGROUND

C reactive protein (CRP) kinetics have recently been suggested as predictive biomarkers for the efficacy of immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) therapy in selected cancer types. The aim of this study was to characterize early CRP kinetics as a tumor-agnostic biomarker for ICI treatment outcomes.

METHODS

In this multicenter retrospective cohort study, two independent cohorts of patients with various cancer types undergoing palliative ICI treatment at Austrian academic centers served as the discovery (n=562) and validation cohort (n=474). Four different patterns of CRP kinetics in the first 3 months of ICI therapy were defined (CRP-flare responders, CRP-responders, CRP non-responders, patients with all-normal CRP). Objective response rate (ORR), progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were defined as coprimary endpoints. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression, landmark analysis and Cox regression including CRP kinetics as time-dependent variable were performed.

RESULTS

The ORR in patients with all-normal CRP, CRP responders, CRP flare-responders and CRP non-responders was 41%, 38%, 31% and 12%, respectively. The median OS and PFS estimates were 24.5 months (95% CI 18.5 to not reached) and 8.2 months (95% CI 5.9 to 12.0) in patients with all-normal CRP, 16.1 months (95% CI 12.6 to 19-8) and 6.1 months (95% CI 4.9 to 7.2) in CRP-responders, 14.0 months (95% CI 8.5 to 19.4) and 5.7 months (95% CI 4.1 to 8.5) in CRP flare-responders and 8.1 months (95% CI 5.8 to 9.9) and 2.3 months (95% CI 2.2 to 2.8) in CRP non-responders (log-rank p for PFS and OS<0.001). These findings prevailed in multivariable analysis and could be fully confirmed in our validation cohort. Pooled subgroup analysis suggested a consistent predictive significance of early CRP kinetics for treatment efficacy and outcome independent of cancer type.

CONCLUSION

Early CRP kinetics represent a tumor-agnostic predictor for treatment response, progression risk and mortality in patients with cancer undergoing ICI therapy.

Bevacizumab mitigates codon-specific effects of trifluridine/tipiracil on efficacy outcome parameters in metastatic colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Molecular informed therapy changed treatment patterns of metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). Recently KRAS G12, the most prevalent RAS mutation in mCRC, was investigated to be a negative predictive marker for the efficacy of trifluridine/tipiracil (FTD/TPI). Whether this proposed selectivity remains when FTD/TPI is combined with bevacizumab remains elusive. We aimed to describe the efficacy of FTD/TPI + bevacizumab depending on the RAS mutational status in a real-world population.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients from five different cancer centers in Austria who received FTD/TPI + bevacizumab in any treatment line having available information on their molecular profile were eligible. Data were retrospectively collected by chart review. Survival data were compared using log-rank test. Multivariate Cox regression models included several established covariates.

RESULTS

One hundred and twenty-three patients with mCRC were included in this study. Median overall survival (OS) was highly similar in the RAS wild type (WT) [9.63 months (95% confidence interval [CI] 8.055-13.775 months)] and the RAS mutant cohorts [8.78 months (95% CI 8.055-11.014 months)], which was confirmed in a multivariable model adjusting for potential confounders; hazard ratio (HR): 1.05 (95% CI 0.618-1.785; P = 0.857). In addition, no effect of KRAS G12 status on patient outcome was observed. In detail, OS was 8.88 months (95% CI 7.332-12.921 months) in patients with KRAS G12 mutation, compared to 9.47 months (95% CI 8.088-11.375 months) in patients with RAS WT/no-KRAS G12 disease [HR: 0.822 (95% CI 0.527-1.282; P = 0.387)].

CONCLUSION

This real-world study indicates that the efficacy of FTD/TPI + bevacizumab is independent of RAS mutational status and that bevacizumab may therefore mitigate the potentially limited efficacy of FTD/TPI monotherapy in the KRAS G12-mutated population.

The AST/ALT Ratio Is an Independent Prognostic Marker for Disease-free Survival in Stage II and III Colorectal Carcinoma

BACKGROUND/AIM

The Aspartate aminotransaminase/Alanine aminotransaminase ratio (AST/ALT ratio) has been identified as a prognostic marker for several malignancies. In this study, we evaluated the prognostic value of the AST/ALT ratio in a large cohort of non-metastatic colorectal cancer patients (CRC).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 536 patients with stage II and III CRC, as well as available AST/ALT ratio were included in this single-center retrospective analysis. Laboratory data were measured within two weeks before histological tumor diagnosis. Co-Primary endpoints for this analysis were disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

In univariate cox regression DFS was significantly shorter in patients with an elevated AST/ALT ratio (HR=1.568, 95%CI=1.10-2.23, p=0.012). In multivariable analysis, the prognostic association between an elevated AST/ALT ratio and a poor survival prevailed statistically significant (HR=1.53, 95%C=1.05-2.22, p=0.026). No statistically significant association between the AST/ALT ratio and OS was observed (HR=1.4, 95% CI=0.89-2.22, p=0.14).

CONCLUSION

In this study, the serum AST/ALT ratio emerged as a valid prognostic marker for DFS in non-metastatic colorectal cancer patients at stage II and III.

External validation of the prognostic relevance of the advanced lung cancer inflammation index (ALI) in pancreatic cancer patients

BACKGROUND

The advanced lung cancer inflammation index (ALI) was first introduced for prognosis prediction in lung cancer patients and since then evaluated in several other malignancies. However, in pancreatic cancer (PC) the ALI and its prognostic utility were only investigated in a comparably small and specific cohort of locally advanced PC patients treated with chemoradiotherapy.

METHODS

In our single-center cohort study, we included 429 patients with histologically verified PC who were treated between 2003 and 2015 at our academic institution. The ALI was defined as body mass index (BMI; kg/m2 ) × serum albumin levels (g/dL)/neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and we defined the optimal cutoff for biomarker dichotomization by ROC-analysis. Kaplan-Meier method as well as uni- and multivariate Cox regression Hazard proportional models were implemented to assess the prognostic potential of ALI in PC patients. We considered cancer-specific survival (CSS) as the primary endpoint of the study.

RESULTS

The ALI showed a significant negative correlation with CA19-9 levels and C-reactive protein levels whereas we found an association with localized tumor stage and better performance status (P < .05 for all mentioned variables). As opposed to patients with a high ALI, decreased ALI was significantly associated with shorter CSS (HR = 0.606, 95% CI: 0.471-0.779, P = .001). Multivariate analysis demonstrated tumor grade, tumor stage, chemotherapy, C-reactive protein levels, and CA19-9 levels to independently predict for CSS (all P < .05). In contrast the ALI failed to independently predict for CSS in the performed multivariate models (HR = 0.878, 95% CI: 0.643-1.198, P = .411).

CONCLUSION

In this large cohort of PC patients, the ALI did not complement existing clinicopathological factors for outcome determination.

Decreased Activity of Circulating Butyrylcholinesterase in Blood Is an Independent Prognostic Marker in Pancreatic Cancer Patients

Introduction: The activity of butyrylcholinesterase (BChE) in blood reflects liver function and has recently been associated with systemic inflammatory response and tumor cachexia. As these conditions have been previously linked with pancreatic cancer (PC), the purpose of the present study was to evaluate the prognostic impact of plasma BChE in PC. Methods: Data from 574 consecutive PC patients, treated between 2004 and 2018 at a single academic center, was evaluated. The primary endpoint was cancer-specific survival (CSS), analyzed by Kaplan–Meier curve, and both univariate and multivariate Cox proportional models. Results: BChE activity negatively correlated with other liver parameters (bilirubin, gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), and C-reactive protein (CRP)), and positively correlated with albumin levels, respectively (p < 0.01). In univariate analysis, a low plasma BChE activity was a factor of poor CSS (hazard ratio: 1.4, 95% confidence interval: 1.129–1.754, p = 0.002). In multivariate analysis, tumor stage, tumor grade, administration of chemotherapy, bilirubin levels and a low BChE activity (hazard ratio: 1.42, 95% confidence interval: 1.10–1.82; p = 0.006) were identified as independent prognostic factors. Conclusion: Decreased activity of BChE in blood plasma predicts shorter survival time in PC patients. Therefore, BChE might be helpful in additional stratification of patients into different prognostic risk groups.

The AST/ALT (De Ritis) ratio predicts clinical outcome in patients with pancreatic cancer treated with first-line nab-paclitaxel and gemcitabine: post hoc analysis of an Austrian multicenter, noninterventional study

Background:

The pretreatment De Ritis ratio [aspartate transaminase (AST)/alanine transaminase (ALT)] has been shown to be an adverse prognostic marker in various cancer entities. However, its relevance to advanced pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) has not yet been studied. In the present study we investigated the AST/ALT ratio as a possible predictor of treatment response and disease outcome in patients with advanced PDAC treated with first-line gemcitabine/nab-paclitaxel.

Methods:

A post hoc analysis of a prospective, multicenter, noninterventional study was performed. A total of 202 patients with advanced PDAC treated with first-line gemcitabine/nab-paclitaxel for whom the AST/ALT ratio was measured were included in this analysis.

Results:

Median and 1-year progression-free survival estimates were 4.8 months and 5.1%, respectively in patients with an AST/ALT ratio above the 75th percentile of its distribution, and 6.0 months and 18.7%, respectively in patients with an AST/ALT ratio less than or equal to this cutoff, respectively (log-rank p = 0.004). In univariable Cox regression, a doubling of the AST/ALT ratio was associated with a 1.4-fold higher relative risk of progression or death [hazard ratio = 1.38, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.06–1.80, p = 0.017]. The prognostic association was also found in multivariable analysis adjusting for Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status and lung metastases (hazard ratio per AST/ALT ratio doubling = 1.32, 95% CI: 1.00–1.75, p = 0.047). In treatment response analysis, a doubling of the AST/ALT ratio was associated with a 0.5-fold lower odds of objective response (odds ratio = 0.54, 95% CI: 0.31–0.94, p = 0.020).

Conclusions:

The pretreatment serum AST/ALT ratio predicts poor disease outcome and response rate in patients with advanced PDAC treated with gemcitabine/nab-paclitaxel and might represent a novel and inexpensive marker for individual risk assessment in the treatment of pancreatic cancer.

Inflammatory biomarkers in metastatic colorectal cancer: prognostic and predictive role beyond the first line setting

Introduction

Inflammatory biomarkers are useful prognostic tools in cancer patients. However, the prognostic and predictive value of inflammatory biomarkers beyond the 1^st-line setting in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) is unclear.

Results

In multivariate analysis 1 standard deviation increase in neutrophil-lymphocyte-ratio (NLR) was associated with an 8.5% absolute lower objective-response-rate (ORR) in 1^st-line (p<0.0001), 3% lower ORR in 2^nd-line (p< 0.0001), and 3% lower ORR in 3^rd-line (p=0.24), respectively. Regarding progression free survival (PFS), an increase in the NLR was significantly associated with rising hazard-ratios (HR) over all treatment lines (HR=1.30, p= 0.021 1^st-line); (HR=1.37, p<0.0001 2^nd-line); (HR=1.44, p=0.042 3^rd-line). The platelet-lymphocyte-ratio (PLR) was associated with 6-month PFS over all three treatment lines. Higher C-reactive-protein (CRP) predicted for worse PFS in the first two chemotherapy lines and in best supportive care (BSC). (HR=1.49 (p<0.0001 1^st-line); HR=1.25 (p=0.007 2^nd-line); HR=1.09 (95%CI 0.81–1.48, p=0.552 3^rd-line and HR=1.43 (p= 0.002 in BSC)).

Methods

Two-hundred-fifty-eight patients with mCRC undergoing palliative chemo(immuno-)therapy were retrospectively included. Primary endpoints were 6-month PFS and ORR during 1st-line, 2nd-line, and 3rd-line treatment, and 6-month overall survival during BSC.

Conclusion

This study shows that inflammatory biomarkers are useful predictors of disease outcome and treatment response over several treatment lines in mCRC patients.

Patterns of venous thromboembolism risk in patients with localized colorectal cancer undergoing adjuvant chemotherapy or active surveillance: an observational cohort study

BACKGROUND

Venous thromoboembolism (VTE) is a frequent and burdensome complication of metastatic colorectal cancer (CRC). However, the epidemiology of VTE in patients with localized CRC after surgery in curative intent is incompletely understood. In this single-center observational cohort study, we investigate patterns of VTE risk in localized CRC, and define its relationship with baseline risk factors, adjuvant chemotherapy and CRC recurrence.

METHODS

Five-hundred-sixteen patients with stage II/III CRC were included retrospectively at the time of surgery, and followed until the occurrence of VTE, CRC recurrence, or death (median age = 65.1 years, stage II and III: n = 151 (29.5%), n = 361 (70.5%); adjCTX: n = 339 (65.7%)).

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 2.7 years, 15 VTEs (2.7%) and 116 recurrences (22.5%) occurred, and 46 patients (8.9%) died. Six-month, 1-year, and 5-year VTE risks were 1.6%, 2.0% and 3.2%, respectively. In competing risk time-to-VTE regression, adjCTX was not associated with an increased risk of VTE (Subdistribution hazard ratio = 0.98, 95% CI:0.33-2.88, p = 0.97). The occurrence of disease recurrence strongly increased the risk of VTE (Multi-state model: Transition hazard ratio (THR) = 13.03, 95% CI:4.39-38.74, p < 0.0001)). Conversely, the onset of VTE did not predict for recurrence (THR = 1.95, 95% CI: 0.62-6.16, p = 0.25).

CONCLUSION

VTE risk is very low in localized CRC and does not appear to be increased by adjuvant chemotherapy. Thus, primary thromboprophylaxis is unlikely to result in clinical benefit in this population. The strongest determinant of VTE risk appears to be disease recurrence.