Predictors of mortality among inpatients with COVID-19 infection in a tertiary referral center in the Philippines

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Mortality data were comparable to those of early reports relating to the wild-type SARS-CoV-2.

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Clinical and laboratory monitoring is critical during the 2nd to 3rd week of illness.

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Common and inexpensive laboratory tests may aid in the monitoring of patients.

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Clinical pathways can be adapted to local data, especially in resource-poor settings.

Objectives

The aim of this study was to determine the predictors of mortality and describe laboratory trends among adults with confirmed COVID-19.

Methods

The medical records of adult patients admitted to a referral hospital with COVID-19 were retrospectively reviewed. Demographic and clinical characteristics, and laboratory parameters, were compared between survivors and non-survivors. Predictors of mortality were determined by multivariate analysis. Mean laboratory values were plotted across illness duration.

Results

Of 1215 patients, 203 (16.7%) had mild, 488 (40.2%) moderate, 183 (15.1%) severe, and 341 (28.1%) critical COVID-19 on admission. In-hospital mortality was 18.2% (0% mild, 6.1% moderate, 15.8% severe, 47.5% critical). Predictors of mortality were age ≥ 60 years, COPD, qSOFA score ≥ 2, WBC > 10 × 10⁹/L, absolute lymphocyte count < 1000, neutrophil ≥ 70%, PaO₂/FiO₂ ratio ≤ 200, eGFR < 90 mL/min/1.73 m², LDH > 600 U/L, and CRP > 12 mg/L. Non-survivors exhibited an increase in LDH and decreases in PaO₂/FiO₂ ratio and eGFR during the 2nd–3rd week of illness.

Conclusion

The overall mortality rate was high. Predictors of mortality were similar to those of other reports globally. Marked inflammation and worsening pulmonary and renal function were evident among non-survivors by the 2nd–3rd week of illness.

Clinical characteristics of patients with asymptomatic and symptomatic COVID-19 admitted to a tertiary referral centre in the Philippines

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Asymptomatic infection is common.

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Bimodal age distribution of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) was observed at the University of the Philippines–Philippine General Hospital.

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Universal testing impacts infection control measures in resource-limited settings.

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Further blood testing is likely to be unnecessary for mild and asymptomatic cases of COVID-19.

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Symptom-based isolation protocol reduces length of hospitalization.

Objectives

To describe the clinical profile and outcomes of hospitalized patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) across the spectrum of disease severity.

Methods

This retrospective study included adult patients with confirmed COVID-19 infection admitted to a referral hospital. Descriptive statistics, tests for trend, Kaplan–Meier curve and log-rank test were used to compare characteristics and outcomes across disease severity categories.

Results

Of 1500 patients with COVID-19, 14.8% were asymptomatic, 13.5% had mild disease, 36.6% had moderate disease, 12.3% had severe disease and 22.7% had critical disease. Asymptomatic patients were admitted for a concurrent condition or for isolation. Patients aged >60 years, male gender and with co-morbidities had more severe disease. Fever, cough, shortness of breath, malaise, gastrointestinal symptoms and decreased sensorium were more common in patients with severe disease. Bilateral pulmonary infiltrates were common (51.1%), with sicker patients having more abnormal findings. The overall mortality rate was 15.1%. Adopting a symptom-based strategy reduced the length of hospitalization from a median of 13 [interquartile range (IQR) 7–21] days to 9 (IQR 5–14) days.

Conclusion

The clinical profile and outcomes for this cohort of patients with COVID-19 was consistent with published reports. Asymptomatic infection was common, and universal testing may be a valuable strategy in the correct context, given the implications for infection control. A symptom-based strategy was found to reduce the length of hospitalization considerably.