Associations of cumulative depressive symptoms within 1-year of discharge with subsequent mortality among patients hospitalized for acute heart failure: Findings from The China PEACE Prospective Heart Failure Study

BACKGROUND

To examine the associations between cumulative depressive symptoms and subsequent mortality among patients hospitalized for acute hear failure (AHF).

METHODS

By using data from a prospective cohort study of patients with HF, depressive symptoms were measured by using Patient Health Questionnaire-2 (PHQ-2) at admission, 1-and 12-month after discharge. Cumulative depressive symptoms were interpreted by cumulative PHQ-2 score and cumulative times of depressive symptoms. Outcomes included subsequent 3-year all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.

RESULTS

We included 2347 patients with the median follow-up of 4.4 (interquartile range [IQR]: 4.0-5.0) years. Tertile 3 of cumulative PHQ-2 score had the highest risk of all-cause (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.47, 95 % confidence interval [CI]: 1.21-1.78) and cardiovascular mortality (HR: 1.51, 95 % CI: 1.21-1.89) compared with Tertile 1; patients with≥2 times of depressive symptoms had the highest risk of all-cause (HR: 1.62, 95 % CI: 1.31-2.00) and cardiovascular mortality (HR: 1.60, 95 % CI: 1.25-2.05) compared with patients without any depressive symptom. Cumulative PHQ-2 score provided the highest level of incremental prognostic ability in predicting the risk of all-cause (C-statistics: 0.64, 95 % CI: 0.62-0.66) and cardiovascular mortality (C-statistics: 0.65, 95 % CI: 0.62-0.67) on the basis of Get With The Guidelines-Heart Failure score.

CONCLUSION

Cumulative depressive symptoms were associated with the increased risk of subsequent mortality and provided incremental prognostic ability for the outcomes among patients with HF. Repeated depressive symptom measurements could be helpful to monitor long-term depressive symptoms, identify targeted patients and perform psychological interventions and social support to improve clinical outcomes among patients with AHF.

The associations of "weekend warrior" and regularly active physical activity with abdominal and general adiposity in US adults

OBJECTIVE

This study examined the association between physical activity patterns and abdominal and general adiposity.

METHODS

Data were extracted among 20- to 59-year-old participants in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from 2011 to 2018. Abdominal and general adiposity was assessed by dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry (DXA) and anthropometric measures. DXA-measured indicators were further normalized into z scores. Physical activity levels were collected by questionnaire and classified as inactive, "weekend warrior" (WW), and regularly active (RA). Survey linear regression models were used to assess associations between physical activity patterns and adiposity indicators.

RESULTS

Among 9629 participants, 772 (8.2%) reported the WW pattern and 3277 (36.9%) reported the RA pattern. Compared with inactive, both WW and RA had lower DXA-measured abdominal adiposity (WW: β: -0.24, 95% CI: -0.38 to -0.10; RA: -0.18, 95% CI: -0.29 to -0.07), waist circumference (WW: β: -1.94, 95% CI: -3.16 to -0.73; RA: -1.31, 95% CI: -2.32 to -0.29), whole-body fat mass (WW: β: -0.16, 95% CI: -0.25 to -0.08; RA: -0.11, 95% CI: -0.18 to -0.04), and BMI (WW: β: -0.78, 95% CI: -1.27 to -0.28; RA: -0.47, 95% CI: -0.89 to -0.04).

CONCLUSIONS

The WW pattern was associated with similarly lower abdominal and general adiposity to the RA pattern versus the inactive pattern.

Predicting the risk of 1-year mortality among patients hospitalized for acute heart failure in China

BACKGROUND

We aimed to develop and validate a model to predict 1-year mortality risk among patients hospitalized for acute heart failure (AHF), build a risk score and interpret its application in clinical decision making.

METHODS

By using data from China Patient-Centred Evaluative Assessment of Cardiac Events Prospective Heart Failure Study, which prospectively enrolled patients hospitalized for AHF in 52 hospitals across 20 provinces, we used multivariate Cox proportional hazard model to develop and validate a model to predict 1-year mortality.

RESULTS

There were 4,875 patients included in the study, 857 (17.58%) of them died within 1-year following discharge of index hospitalization. A total of 13 predictors were selected to establish the prediction model, including age, medical history of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and hypertension, systolic blood pressure, Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire-12 score, angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitor or angiotensin receptor blocker at discharge, discharge symptom, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, high-sensitivity troponin T, serum creatine, albumin, blood urea nitrogen, and highly sensitive C-reactive protein. The model showed a high performance on discrimination (C-index was 0.759 [95% confidence interval: 0.739, 0.778] in development cohort and 0.761 [95% confidence interval: 0.731, 0.791] in validation cohort), accuracy, calibration, and outperformed than several existed risk scores. A point-based risk score was built to stratify low- (0-12), intermediate- (13-16), and high-risk group (≥17) among patients.

CONCLUSIONS

A prediction model using readily available predictors was developed and internal validated to predict 1-year mortality risk among patients hospitalized for AHF. It may serve as a useful tool for individual risk stratification and informing decision making to improve clinical care.

Association of cumulative health status with subsequent mortality in patients with acute heart failure

OBJECTIVE

We aim to examine the association between long-term cumulative health status and subsequent mortality among patients with acute heart failure (HF).

METHODS

Based on a national prospective cohort study of patients hospitalized for HF, we measured health status by Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire (KCCQ)-12 at 4 time points, i.e. admission, 1-,6- and 12-month after discharge. Cumulative health status was interpreted by cumulative KCCQ-12 score and cumulative times of good health status. Outcomes included subsequent all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were performed to examine the association between cumulative health status and subsequent mortality.

RESULTS

Totally, 2328 patients (36.7% women and median age 66 [IQR: 56-75] years) were included, the median follow-up was 4.34 (IQR: 3.93-4.96) years. Compared with Quartile 4, the lowest Quartile 1 had the highest HR for all-cause mortality (2.96; 95% CI: 2.26-3.87), followed by Quartile 2 (1.79; 95% CI: 1.37-2.34) and Quartile 3 (1.62; 95% CI: 1.23-2.12). Patients with 0-time of good health status had the highest risk of all-cause mortality (HR: 2.41, 95% CI: 1.69-3.46) compared with patients with 4-times of good health status. Similar associations persisted for cardiovascular mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

A greater burden of cumulative health status indicated worse survival among patients hospitalized for HF. Repeated KCCQ measurements could be helpful to monitor long-term health status and identify patients vulnerable to death. Clinical Trial Registration: www.clinicaltrials.gov (NCT02878811).

Effects of cumulative cognitive function within 1-year of discharge on subsequent mortality among patients hospitalized for acute heart failure: A nationwide prospective cohort study

BACKGROUNDS

To examine the association between cumulative cognitive function and subsequent mortality among patients hospitalized for acute heart failure (AHF).

METHODS

Based on a prospective cohort of patients hospitalized for AHF, cognitive function was measured by using Mini-Cog test at admission, 1- and 12-month following discharge. Cumulative cognitive function was interpreted by cumulative Mini-Cog score and cumulative times of cognitive impairment. Outcomes included subsequent all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.

RESULTS

1454 patients hospitalized for AHF with median follow-up of 4.76 (interquartile range [IQR]: 4.18-5.07) years were included. Tertile 1 of cumulative Mini-Cog score had the highest risk of all-cause (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.52, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.14-2.03) and cardiovascular mortality (HR: 1.40, 95% CI: 1.02-1.93) compared with Tertile 3; patients with ≥ 2 times of cognitive impairment had the highest risk of all-cause (HR: 1.34, 95% CI: 1.03-1.73) and cardiovascular mortality (HR: 1.25, 95% CI: 0.93-1.67) compared with patients without any cognitive impairment. Cumulative Mini-Cog score provided the highest incremental prognostic ability in predicting all-cause (C-statistics: 0.64, 95% CI: 0.61-0.66) and cardiovascular mortality (C-statistics: 0.63, 95% CI: 0.60-0.67) risk on the basis of Get With The Guidelines-Heart Failure score.

CONCLUSION

Poor cumulative cognitive function was associated with increased risk of subsequent mortality and provided incremental prognostic ability for the outcomes among patients with AHF. Longitudinal assessment and monitoring of cognitive function among patients with AHF would be of great importance in identifying patients at greater risk of self-care absence for optimizing personal disease management in clinical practice.

Associations of long-term fine particulate matter exposure with all-cause and cause-specific mortality: results from the ChinaHEART project

Background

The chronic effects of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) at high concentrations remains uncertain. We aimed to examine the relationship of long-term PM2.5 exposure with all-cause and the top three causes of death (cardiovascular disease [CVD], cancer, and respiratory disease), and to analyze their concentration-response functions over a wide range of concentrations.

Methods

We enrolled community residents aged 35-75 years from 2014 to 2017 from all 31 provinces of the Chinese Mainland, and followed them up until 2021. We used a long-term estimation dataset for both PM2.5 and O3 concentrations with a high spatiotemporal resolution to assess the individual exposure, and used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate the associations between PM2.5 and mortalities.

Findings

We included 1,910,923 participants, whose mean age was 55.6 ± 9.8 years and 59.4% were female. A 10 μg/m3 increment in PM2.5 exposure was associated with increased risk for all-cause death (hazard ratio 1.02 [95% confidence interval 1.012-1.028]), CVD death (1.024 [1.011-1.037]), cancer death (1.037 [1.023-1.052]), and respiratory disease death (1.083 [1.049-1.117]), respectively. Long-term PM2.5 exposure nonlinearly related with all-cause, CVD, and cancer mortalities, while linearly related with respiratory disease mortality.

Interpretation

The overall effects of long-term PM2.5 exposure on mortality in the high concentration settings are weaker than previous reports from settings of PM2.5 concentrations < 35 μg/m³. The distinct concentration-response relationships of CVD, cancer, and respiratory disease mortalities could facilitate targeted public health efforts to prevent death caused by air pollution.

Funding

The Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences Innovation Fund for Medical Science, the National High Level Hospital Clinical Research Funding, the Ministry of Finance of China and National Health Commission of China, the 111 Project from the Ministry of Education of China.

New York Heart Association Class and Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire in Acute Heart Failure

Importance

Sparse data exist regarding how clinician-assigned New York Heart Association (NYHA) class compares with heart failure (HF)-specific Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire (KCCQ) in acute HF.

Objective

To compare concordance between NYHA class and KCCQ overall summary score (KCCQ-OS) in acute HF and investigate associations of changes in NYHA class and KCCQ-OS with long-term outcomes.

Design, Setting, and Participants

In this cohort study, patients with HF were enrolled from 52 hospitals in China between August 2016 and May 2018. Among patients with NYHA class and KCCQ-OS at admission and 1 month, levels of each scale were categorized into 4 groups from worst to best. Mild and moderate to severe discordance were defined as NYHA class and KCCQ-OS differing by 1 level or 2 or more levels, respectively. Multivariable models evaluated associations between improvements in the 2 measures and outcomes. Analysis was conducted from January to March 2023.

Exposure

Changes in NYHA class and KCCQ-OS from admission to 1 month.

Main Outcomes and Measures

All-cause mortality, cardiovascular death, or first HF rehospitalization.

Results

A total of 2683 patients (1709 [63.7%] male; median [IQR] age, 66 [56-75] years) were included. NYHA class II, III, and IV were presented in 374 patients (13.9%), 1179 patients (44.0%), and 1130 patients (42.1%), respectively, and the median (IQR) KCCQ-OS was 44.4 (28.3-61.9). Concordance, mild discordance, and moderate to severe discordance between admission NYHA class and KCCQ-OS occurred in 954 patients (35.6%), 1203 patients (44.8%), and 526 patients (19.6%), respectively. For KCCQ-OS, kernel density overlaps were 73.6% between NYHA II and III, 63.8% between NYHA II and IV, and 88.3% between NYHA III and IV. Most patients experienced improvements in NYHA and KCCQ-OS from admission to 1 month. After adjustment, there was no significant association between improvements in NYHA class and 4-year all-cause mortality, whereas 5 or more point improvements in KCCQ-OS were independently associated with a lower risk of 4-year mortality (hazard ratio, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.74-0.96; P = .01). NYHA class and KCCQ-OS improvements were both associated with decreased risk of 1-year composite cardiovascular death or HF rehospitalization.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this cohort study of acute HF, discordance between NYHA class and KCCQ was common, and KCCQ was more relevant to subsequent mortality than NYHA class.

Comparison of Survival Outcomes between Adults and Pediatrics with Non-Metastatic Head and Neck Rhabdomyosarcoma: A SEER Database Analysis of 550 Patients

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

Despite the long-term survival rate for children with head and neck rhabdomyosarcoma (HNRMS) has improved to over 70-80% due to advancements in therapeutic approaches, the survival outcomes for adult HNRMS have not been thoroughly investigated. Our study aims to compare and analyze the survival outcomes of adult and pediatric patients with non-metastatic HNRMS, with a focus on the effect of different local treatment methods on disease outcomes.

MATERIALS/METHODS

We conducted a retrospective analysis of data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database covering the period from 2004 to 2018. Our study population consisted of patients with Head and Neck Rhabdomyosarcoma (HNRMS) who had not developed distant metastases and received at least one local treatment, either radiotherapy or surgery. The comparison of overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) was performed between the adult and pediatric patient groups, and between patients who received surgery (with or without radiotherapy) and those who received radiotherapy only (non-surgery).

RESULTS

In the study of 550 patients diagnosed with Head and Neck Rhabdomyosarcoma (HNRMS), data was collected from 181 (32.9%) adult and 369 (67.1%) pediatric patients. The results showed that the adult patient group had a significantly worse outcome compared to the pediatric group in terms of 5-year overall survival (OS) rate (34.9% vs 81.6%, P<0.001) and 5-year cancer specific survival (CSS) rate (59.96% vs 87.48%, P<0.001). Of these patients, 308(56%) underwent radical surgery, with 228 (41.5%) receiving a combination of radiation and surgery and the remaining 242 (44%) receiving radiation therapy alone. No significant differences were found in 5-year OS and CSS rates between the surgery and non-surgery (radiation only) groups in adult patients (34.9% vs 35.0%, P = 0.900; 60.2% vs 59.6%, P = 0.988). However, there were slight differences observed in the pediatric patient group, with the 5-year OS and CSS rates being higher for the surgery group compared to the non-surgery group (86.9% vs 75.9%, P = 0.001 and 90.6% vs 84.2%, P = 0.054, respectively).

CONCLUSION

The results of this cohort study indicate that age plays a crucial role in predicting survival outcomes in patients diagnosed with Head and Neck Rhabdomyosarcoma (HNRMS). The findings highlight the need for age-specific treatment strategies for HNRMS patients. While the data suggests that radiotherapy may be a viable first-line option for non-metastatic adult HNRMS patients, additional research is required to validate these trends.

Prospective Efficacy of Two Cycles Toripalimab Plus Induction Chemotherapy in T4 or N3 Locoregionally Advanced Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: A Retrospective and Mechanistic Study

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

Gemcitabine-cisplatin (GP) as the most commonly used induction chemotherapy is the standard first-line systemic treatment for advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma. However, the toxicity of three cycles induction chemotherapy following on chemoradiotherapy remains a pertinent issue. Additional monoclonal antibody against human programmed death-1 (PD-1) has shown promising efficacy in recurrent or metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

MATERIALS/METHODS

In this study, we compared three cycles of gemcitabine and cisplatin as classical induction chemotherapy with two cycles of induction chemotherapy plus toripalimab, and then both groups treated with the similar concurrent chemoradiotherapy. Patients with locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma staging T4 or N3 were randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to receive gemcitabine (at a dose of 1 g per square meter of body-surface area on days 1 and 8) plus cisplatin (80 mg per square meter on day 1-3), administered every 3 weeks for three cycles, or GP combined with toripalimab (at a dose of 240mg) for two cycles. The primary end point was recurrence-free survival (i.e., freedom from disease recurrence [distant metastasis or locoregional recurrence] or death from any cause) in the intention-to-treat population. Secondary end points included overall survival, treatment adherence, and safety.

RESULTS

A total of 60 patients were included in the trial (30 patients in the toripalimab combined induction chemotherapy group and another 30 in the standard-therapy group). Among 60 patients evaluable for response assessment after induction therapy, all patients had overall response in combined group, including 10 patients (30%) with complete response (CR) in the primary tumor site. 21 patients (70%) were evaluated as partial response (PR) in the standard induction chemotherapy, and another 9 patients were assessed as SDa. At a median follow-up of 27.6 months, the 6-months, 1-, 2-year recurrence-free survival was 100% vs 86.7%, 100% vs 80%, 93% vs 70% in the toripalimab combined induction chemotherapy group and standard-therapy group (stratified hazard ratio for recurrence or death, 0.62; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.38 to 0.87; P = 0.001). Overall survival at 2 years was 93.3% and 100%, respectively (stratified hazard ratio for death, 0.53; 95% CI, 0.29 to 0.79). The incidence of acute adverse events of grade 3 or 4 was 76.8% in the standard-induction chemotherapy group and 56% in the standard-therapy group, with a higher incidence of neutropenia, thrombocytopenia, anemia, nausea, and vomiting in the induction chemotherapy group. The incidence of grade 3 or 4 late toxic effects was 10.2% in the induction chemotherapy group and 10.4% in the combined-therapy group.

CONCLUSION

Two cycles of toripalimab combined with induction chemotherapy of and CCRT shows excellent distant metastatic control with acceptable safety, which is a new promising and effective systemic therapy regimen for high-risk of metastatic NPC patients.

Combining Radiotherapy with Chemotherapy and Immunotherapy as First-Line Treatment for De Novo Metastatic Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: A Dual-Center Retrospective Analysis

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

Local regional radiotherapy combined with systemic chemotherapy significantly improves the prognosis of patients with metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). Immunochemotherapy has become the first-line treatment for initial metastatic NPC. This study evaluated the safety and efficacy of local regional radiotherapy combined with immunochemotherapy as the first-line treatment of metastatic NPC.

MATERIALS/METHODS

Patients with histologically proven de novo metastatic NPC who received immunotherapy and chemotherapy followed by local-regional radiotherapy were included from 2 cancer centers. Toxicity and treatment response were assessed using CTCAE 5.0 and RECIST 1.1, respectively. Overall survival (OS) and progression free survival (PFS) were analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULTS

From 2019 to 2021, a total of 16 patients were retrospectively analyzed. The median age was 44.5-year-old (range 16-76). Patients with ≥3 metastatic lesions accounts for 58.8%. Bone metastasis was the most common metastatic site. The chemotherapy regimens were paclitaxel/gemcitabine and cisplatin. Toripalimab, camrelizumab and sintilimab were used for immunotherapy. All patients completed the local regional radiotherapy with 69.96Gy for primary nasopharyngeal tumor and positive lymph nodes, 60.06Gy for high-risk region and 50ཞ54.45Gy for low-risk region. Seven patients underwent radiotherapy for metastatic lesions. The median follow-up was 20.5 months (range 6-38 months). Two-year OS was 100%. Three patients experienced distant progression. One-year and 2-year PFS rate was 93.8% and 76.7%, respectively. After combination of chemotherapy and immunotherapy, the overall response rate (ORR) was 93.7% with a complete response (CR) of 6.3%. At the end of radiotherapy, the ORR was 100%. Nine patients (56.3%) achieved CR. Radiotherapy related acute severe (grade 3 or higher) toxicity was dermatitis (1/16, 6.3%) and mucositis (2/16, 12.5%). Immunotherapy related hypophysitis and capillary hyperplasia was 6.3% and 6.3%, respectively. No long-term toxicity was observed.

CONCLUSION

Loco-regional radiotherapy provided a promising efficacy with modest toxicity for patients with metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma who received immunochemotherapy.

[Access to breast cancer screening among females in China: a focus report on screening rate and composition]

Objective: To systematically integrate and analyze the breast cancer screening rates among females in China and to estimate the composition of different screening service types. Methods: Based on core literature, relevant official websites, projects/survey reports, and information on breast cancer screening rates of Chinese females were extracted and analyzed, and the screening rates for 40-69 years old and 35-64 years old were standardized and compared using 2010 China's population structure. The literature review method was used to retrieve the journal literature related to the composition of breast cancer screening services types (organized screening, physical examination and opportunistic screening). The number of detected literature and the median sample size of individual screening people of the three screening service types were analyzed, and used them as weights to estimate the composition of screening service types. Results: A total of 6 related national surveys on breast cancer screening rate were identified, including 2 from the National Health Service Surveys (broader definition of "breast screening" in 2013, 2018) and 4 from the chronic disease monitoring system of China CDC (the exact definition of "breast cancer screening" in 2010, 2013 and twice in 2015). The age-standardized analysis indicated that 1-year, 2-year and 3-year breast cancer screening rates in 2015 among females in China aged 40-69 years old were 16.9%, 20.2% and 21.4%, respectively. The ever-breast cancer-screened rates were 21.1% in 2013 and 23.5% in 2015 among females aged 40-69, and the corresponding rates were 23.3% and 25.7%, respectively, among females aged 35-64. When taking the literature published in 2015 for further literature review, 130 articles were included, in which the proportions of numbers of reports on organized screening, physical examination, and opportunistic screening were 71.0%, 23.7%, and 5.3%, respectively. Along with the extracted data on median sample sizes (shown in the main text) by breast cancer screening types, it was estimated that the individual service volume of corresponding screening types accounted for 88.0%, 11.2% and 0.8% among all the screened females in China in 2015. Conclusions: The breast cancer screening rates among females of appropriate age in China in 2015 are higher than those in 2013. The literature review analysis preliminarily suggested that the current breast cancer screening service type in China is mainly organized screening service.

Individual Trajectories of Health Status During the First Year of Discharge From Hospitalization for Heart Failure and Their Associations With Death in the Following Years

Background Improving health status is one of the major goals in the management of heart failure (HF). However, little is known about the long-term individual trajectories of health status in patients with acute HF after discharge. Methods and Results We enrolled 2328 patients hospitalized for HF from 51 hospitals prospectively and measured their health status via the Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire-12 at admission and 1, 6, and 12 months after discharge, respectively. The median age of the patients included was 66 years, and 63.3% were men. Six patterns of Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire-12 trajectories were identified by a latent class trajectory model: persistently good (34.0%), rapidly improving (35.5%), slowly improving (10.4%), moderately regressing (7.4%), severely regressing (7.5%), and persistently poor (5.3%). Advanced age, decompensated chronic HF, HF with mildly reduced ejection fraction, HF with preserved ejection fraction, depression symptoms, cognitive impairment, and each additional HF rehospitalization within 1 year of discharge were associated with unfavorable health status (moderately regressing, severely regressing, and persistently poor) (P<0.05). Compared with the pattern of persistently good, slowly improving (hazard ratio [HR], 1.50 [95% CI, 1.06-2.12]), moderately regressing (HR, 1.92 [1.43-2.58]), severely regressing (HR, 2.26 [1.54-3.31]), and persistently poor (HR, 2.34 [1.55-3.53]) were associated with increased risks of all-cause death. Conclusions One-fifth of 1-year survivors after hospitalization for HF experienced unfavorable health status trajectories and had a substantially increased risk of death during the following years. Our findings help inform the understanding of disease progression from a patient perception perspective and its relationship with long-term survival. Registration URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; unique identifier: NCT02878811.

Age-Related Trends in the Predictive Value of Carotid Intima-Media Thickness for Cardiovascular Death: A Prospective Population-Based Cohort Study

Background The age-related trends in the predictive ability of carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT) for cardiovascular risk remain unclear. We aimed to identify the age-related trends in the predictive value of CIMT for cardiovascular death. Methods and Results In a prospective cohort of adults aged 35 to 75 years without history of cardiovascular disease who were enrolled between 2014 and 2020, we measured CIMT at baseline and collected the vital status and cause of death. We divided the study population into 4 age groups (35-44, 45-54, 55-64, and 65-75 years). Competing risk models were fitted to estimate the associations between CIMT and cardiovascular death. The added values of CIMT in prediction were assessed by the differences of the Harrell's concordance index and the net reclassification improvement index. We included 369 478 adults and followed them for a median of 4.7 years. A total of 4723 (1.28%) cardiovascular deaths occurred. After adjusting for the traditional risk factors, the hazard ratios for CIMT_mean per SD decreased with age, from 1.27 (95% CI, 1.17-1.37) in the 35 to 44 years age group to 1.14 (95% CI, 1.10-1.19) in the 65 to 75 years age group (P for interaction <0.01). Meanwhile, the net reclassification improvement indexes for CIMT_mean were attenuated with age, from 22.60% (95% CI, 15.56%-29.64%) in the 35 to 44 years age group to 7.00% (95% CI, -6.82% to 20.83%) in the 65 to 75 years age group. Similar results were found for maximum CIMT in all age groups. Conclusions CIMT may improve cardiovascular risk prediction in the young and middle-aged populations, rather than those aged ≥55 years.

Long-term cumulative high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T and mortality among patients with acute heart failure

AIMS

This study aimed to evaluate the cumulative high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTNT) from admission to 12 months after discharge and its association with mortality after 12 months among patients with acute heart failure (HF).

METHODS

We used data from the China Patient-Centered Evaluative Assessment of Cardiac Events Prospective Heart Failure Study (China PEACE 5p-HF Study), which enrolled patients hospitalized primarily for HF from 52 hospitals between 2016 and 2018. We included patients who survived within 12 months and had hs-cTNT data at admission (within 48 h of admission) and 1 and 12 months after discharge. To evaluate the long-term cumulative hs-cTNT, we calculated cumulative hs-cTNT levels and cumulative times of high hs-cTNT level. Patients were divided into groups according to the quartiles of cumulative hs-cTNT levels (Quartiles 1-4) and cumulative times of high hs-cTNT levels (0-3 times). Multivariable Cox models were constructed to examine the association of cumulative hs-cTNT with mortality during the follow-up period.

RESULTS

We included 1137 patients with a median age of 64 [interquartile range (IQR), 54-73] years; 406 (35.7%) were female. The median cumulative hs-cTNT level was 150 (IQR, 91-241) ng/L*month. Based on the cumulative times of high hs-cTNT levels, 404 (35.5%) patients were with zero time, 203 (17.9%) with one time, 174 (15.3%) with two times, and 356 (31.3%) with three times. During a median follow-up of 4.76 (IQR, 4.25-5.07) years, 303 (26.6%) all-cause deaths occurred. The increasing cumulative hs-cTNT level and cumulative times of high hs-cTNT level were independently associated with excess all-cause mortality. Compared with Quartile 1 group, Quartile 4 had the highest hazard ratio (HR) of all-cause mortality [4.14; 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.51-6.85], followed by Quartile 3 (HR: 3.35; 95% CI: 2.05-5.48) and Quartile 2 (HR: 2.47; 95% CI: 1.49-4.08) groups. Similarly, taking the patients with zero time of high hs-cTNT level as the reference, the HRs were 1.60 (95% CI: 1.05-2.45), 2.61 (95% CI: 1.76-3.87), and 2.86 (95% CI: 1.98-4.14) in patients who had one, two, and three times of high hs-cTNT level, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated cumulative hs-cTNT from admission to 12 months after discharge was independently associated with mortality after 12 months among patients with acute HF. Repeated measurements of hs-cTNT after discharge may help monitor the cardiac damage and identify patients with high risk of death.

Long-Term Trajectories of High-Sensitivity C-Reactive Protein Level Among Patients with Acute Heart Failure

Background

Inflammation contributes to the progression of heart failure (HF). However, long-term inflammatory trajectories and their associations with outcomes in patients with acute HF remain unclear.

Methods

Data was obtained from the China Patient-Centered Evaluative Assessment of Cardiac Events Prospective Heart Failure Study, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) was used to reflect the inflammatory level. Only patients who survived over 12-month and had hsCRP data at admission, 1-, and 12-month after discharge were included. The latent class trajectory modeling was used to characterize hsCRP trajectories. Multivariable Cox regression models were used to explore the association between hsCRP trajectories and following mortality.

Results

Totally, 1281 patients with a median 4.77 (interquartile range [IQR]: 4.24-5.07) years follow-up were included. The median age was 64 years (IQR: 54-73 years); 453 (35.4%) were female. Four distinct inflammatory trajectories were characterized: persistently low (n = 419, 32.7%), very high-marked decrease (n = 99, 7.7%), persistently high (n = 649, 50.7%), and persistently very high (n = 114, 8.9%). Compared with the persistently low trajectory, the all-cause mortality was increased in a graded pattern in the persistently high (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.59, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.23-2.07) and persistently very high (HR: 2.56, 95% CI: 1.83-3.70) trajectories; nevertheless, the mortality was not significantly increased in very high-marked decrease trajectory (HR: 0.94, 95% CI: 0.57-1.54).

Conclusion

Four distinct inflammatory trajectories were identified among patients with acute HF who survived over 12-month. Patients with persistently high and very high trajectories had significantly higher mortality than those with the persistently low trajectory.

[Comparison of three different measurement methods to determine resting energy expenditure in patients with decompensated hepatitis B cirrhosis]

Objective: To compare the differences to determine resting energy expenditure (REE) measured with indirect calorimetry and REE predicted by formula method and body composition analyzer in patients with decompensated hepatitis B cirrhosis, so as to provide theoretical guidance for the implementation of precision nutrition intervention. Methods: Patients with decompensated hepatitis B cirrhosis who were admitted to Henan Provincial People's Hospital from April 2020 to December 2020 were collected. REE was determined by the body composition analyzer and the H-B formula method. Results: were analyzed and compared to REE measured by the metabolic cart. Results A total of 57 cases with liver cirrhosis were included in this study. Among them, 42 were male, aged (47.93 ± 8.62) years, and 15 were female aged (57.20 ± 11.34) years. REE measured value in males was (1 808.14 ± 201.47) kcal/d, compared with the results calculated by the H-B formula method and the measured result of body composition, and the difference was statistically significant (P = 0.002 and 0.003, respectively). REE measured value in females was (1 496.60 ± 131.28) kcal/d, compared with the results calculated by the H-B formula method and the measured result of body composition, and the difference was statistically significant (P = 0.016 and 0.004, respectively). REE measured with the metabolic cart had correlation with age and area of visceral fat in men (P = 0.021) and women (P = 0.037). Conclusion: Metabolic cart use will be more accurate to obtain resting energy expenditure in patients with decompensated hepatitis B cirrhosis. Body composition analyzer and formula method may underestimate REE predictions. Simultaneously, it is suggested that the effect of age on REE in H-B formula should be fully considered for male patients, while the area of visceral fat may have a certain impact on the interpretation of REE in female patients.

Characterization data of reference materials used for phase II of the priority program DFG SPP 2005 "Opus Fluidum Futurum - Rheology of reactive, multiscale, multiphase construction materials"

A thorough characterization of base materials is the prerequisite for further research. In this paper, the characterization data of the reference materials (CEM I 42.5 R, limestone powder, calcined clay and a mixture of these three components) used in the second funding phase of the priority program 2005 of the German Research Foundation (DFG SPP 2005) are presented under the aspects of chemical and mineralogical composition as well as physical and chemical properties. The data were collected based on tests performed by up to eleven research groups involved in this cooperative program.

Change in Depressive Symptoms During the First Month of Discharge and 1-Year Clinical Outcomes in Patients Hospitalized for Heart Failure

Background The patterns of depressive symptom change during the first month after discharge, as well as their prognostic implications, and predictors of persistent or new-onset depressive symptoms are not well characterized. Methods and Results We included patients hospitalized for heart failure undergoing Patient Health Questionnaire-2 before discharge and at 1 month after discharge in a multicenter prospective cohort. We characterized 4 patterns of change in depressive symptoms-persistent, new-onset, remitted depressive symptoms, and no depressive symptom-and examined the associations between the 4 patterns and 1-year clinical outcomes. We analyzed the factors associated with persistent or new-onset depressive symptoms. A total of 4130 patients were included. Among 1175 (28.5%) symptomatic patients and 2955 (71.5%) symptom-free patients before discharge, 817 (69.5%) had remission, and 366 (12.2%) had new-onset depressive symptoms, respectively. Compared with no depressive symptom, persistent depressive symptoms were associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular death (hazard ratio [HR], 2.10 [95% CI, 1.59-2.79]) and heart failure rehospitalization (HR, 1.56 [95% CI, 1.30-1.87]); new-onset depressive symptoms were associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular death (HR, 1.78 [95%CI, 1.32-2.40]) and heart failure rehospitalization (HR, 1.54 [95% CI, 1.29-1.83]). Remitted depressive symptoms were associated with a slightly increased risk of cardiovascular death but had no significant association with heart failure rehospitalization. Patients who were female or had poor socioeconomic status, stroke history, renal dysfunction, or poor health status had a higher risk of persistent or new-onset depressive symptoms. Conclusions Sex, socioeconomic status, clinical characteristics, and health status help identify patients with high risks of depressive symptoms at 1 month after discharge. Dynamic capture of depressive symptom change during this period informs long-term risk stratifications and targets patients who require psychological interventions and social support to improve clinical outcomes. Registration URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier (NCT02878811).

[Thirty-year changes in disability adjusted life years for colorectal cancer in China: a screening perspective analysis]

Objective: From a screening-focused perspective, to analyze the 30-year changes in disability adjusted life years (DALYs) caused by colorectal cancer (CRC) in China and in some other selected populations, to inform extent of burden of CRC and future related prevention and control in populations in China. Methods: Based on the data of Global Burden of Disease 2019 (GBD 2019), the DALYs, world standardized DALY rate, and the composition of different subgroups in China were collected. Joinpoint regression model was used to analyze the trend during 1990-2019, and comparison was made with the international data and population screening situation. The trend of DALY burden caused by CRC in China was predicted. Results: In 2019, the DALYs due to CRC in China was 6.395 million person-years, accounting for 26.3% of the global burden and 9.5% of all cancers burden in China; the DALYs in men accounted for 65.2%, in those aged ≥65 years old accounted for 44.8%, in the age group recommended by local screening guidelines (40-75 years) accounted for 73.7%. The years lived with disability accounted for 4.8%. Compared with 1990, the CRC-caused DALYs in China increased by 181.5% in 2019. Factors with the largest increase in the attributable percentage were high Body Mass Index (151.1%), diet high in red meat (86.4%) and diet high in processed meat (78.8%), etc. For DALY rate, it was 245.6/100 000 in 1990 and 320.6/100 000 in 2019, an increase of 30.5%. For reference, Australia (began in 2006), the UK (2006), and Japan (1992), where CRC population-wide screening has been conducted, had decreases in DALY rate of 36.0%, 28.6%, and 17.8%, respectively. The predication of DALYs suggested that without continued expansion of population-based screening, the DALYs in China would reach 7.7 million person-year-9.1 million person-year by 2030, an increase of 19.9%-41.8% compared with 2019. Conclusions: The burden of CRC-caused DALYs in China increased over the past 30 years, and would become more serious because of population aging and the concomitant disability problem. The age range recommended by the current local screening guideline could theoretically include 70% of the population from which the DALYs burden originates, however, the real-world population screening coverage is still limited. The observed decline in CRC-related DALY rate in selected countries was substantially due to the implementation of mass screening, indicating the importance of speedily expanding the population coverage of CRC screening in China.

Smoothed Nested Testing on Directed Acyclic Graphs

We consider the problem of multiple hypothesis testing when there is a logical nested structure to the hypotheses. When one hypothesis is nested inside another, the outer hypothesis must be false if the inner hypothesis is false. We model the nested structure as a directed acyclic graph, including chain and tree graphs as special cases. Each node in the graph is a hypothesis and rejecting a node requires also rejecting all of its ancestors. We propose a general framework for adjusting node-level test statistics using the known logical constraints. Within this framework, we study a smoothing procedure that combines each node with all of its descendants to form a more powerful statistic. We prove a broad class of smoothing strategies can be used with existing selection procedures to control the familywise error rate, false discovery exceedance rate, or false discovery rate, so long as the original test statistics are independent under the null. When the null statistics are not independent but are derived from positively-correlated normal observations, we prove control for all three error rates when the smoothing method is arithmetic averaging of the observations. Simulations and an application to a real biology dataset demonstrate that smoothing leads to substantial power gains.

Resveratrol modulates the gut microbiota of cholestasis in pregnant rats

This study aims to investigate the effect of resveratrol on intrahepatic cholestasis of pregnancy (ICP) and its effect on the gut microbiome profiles, thus contributing to the potential therapeutic strategies for ICP. ICP rat models were established by injecting 17α-ethinylestradiol (EE) subcutaneously from the thirteenth day of gestation for four days and then treated with EE (D group, n=5), resveratrol (R group, n=5), or ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA; U group, n=5) from the seventeenth to the twentieth day of gestation. Fecal samples were analyzed with 16S ribosomal RNA (rRNA) sequencing. In results: the gut microbiota of pregnant rats was characterized with reduced alpha diversity (Chao1 index), and significant variation in the microbiota structure (ANOSIM) was also observed after being treated with EE. The richness of four phyla and ten genera was upregulated, and five phyla and ten genera were downregulated by EE treatment. The dysbiosis of Bilophila, Ruminococcus, and Actinobacteria caused by EE treatment was reversed by resveratrol administration. There was a correlation between total bile acid and alanine aminotransferase in ICP rats. The Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) analysis results suggested that the secondary bile acid biosynthesis was decreased, and the alanine, aspartate, and glutamate metabolism was increased after being treated with EE in pregnant rats. In conclusion, EE treatment could lead to gut microbiome dysbiosis and bile acid metabolism dysregulation in pregnant rats. Resveratrol could partially rescue gut microbiota dysbiosis and improve the biochemical characteristics caused by EE treatment.

[Research progress in pathogenesis and control of Enterococcus faecalis with persistent infection in root canals]

Root canal therapy is the common treatment for endodontic infections. Successful root canal therapy depends on favorable root canal preparation, root canal medication and three-dimensional obturation of the root canal system. The key to successful root canal therapy is to prevent re-infection of the highly complex root canal systems by removing infecious biofilms and bacterial toxins in the root canal system. The present paper reviews the pathogenic mechanism of the Enterococcus faecalis in the harsh environment of root canal system, the inflammation and immunity of refractory periapical periodontitis and the progress of infection control methods.

[DALYs for breast cancer in China, 2000-2050: trend analysis and prediction based on GBD 2019]

Objective: Based on the data of Global Burden of Disease 2019 data, to analyze the past, current, and future burden of disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) in China and compare with the international status. Methods: The total number of DALYs, age-standardized DALY rate, and the composition of different subgroups were extracted and described to analyze the time trend in 2000-2019 and the current situation in 2019 for Chinese female breast cancer. The burden of DALYs in 2050 was predicted by Joinpoint using average annual percent change (AAPC). Results: In 2000-2019, the ranking of DALYs caused by female breast cancer in China rose from the fourth to the second in all female cancers. The total DALYs increased by 48.4%, of which the years lived with disability increased from 4.8% to 8.8%. The age-standardized DALY rate only slightly decreased (AAPC=-0.3%; which increased during 2016-2019, AAPC=1.6%). In 2019, the age-standardized DALY rate for breast cancer in China was 278.0/100 000. The DALYs were 2.88 million (accounting for 14.2% of the global burden and 12.1% of all female cancers burden in China), 26.5% of which attributed known risk factors (overweight and obesity were the largest: 0.34 million DALYs, but some common breast cancer risk factors were not available on the platform, such as menstruation and fertility). In 2050, the prediction suggests that the total DALYs caused by female breast cancer in China will reach 3.80 million person-years-5.16 million person-years, increasing 32.1%-79.4% over 2019. From 2000 to 2019, the peak age of DALYs and DALY rate became older, and the DALYs among females aged 65 years and above increased faster than those younger than 65 years (AAPC were 4.8% and 1.3%, respectively). In 2019, females aged 45-74 (the starting age recommended by local guidelines for breast cancer screening) contributed 74.3% of the total DALYs. Conclusions: Over the past 20 years, the age-standardized DALY rate for breast cancer in female populations in China has not changed obviously. Without the continuous expansion of effective intervention and population aging, the burden of DALYs for female breast cancer in China will increase. DALYs for breast cancer attributed leading risk factors were still limited.

[Practice of laparoscopic anatomical adrenalectomy]

On the basis of existing laparoscopic transabdominal adrenalectomy, this article described a safe and reliable surgical method for the treatment of small adrenal lesions-laparoscopic anatomical adrenalectomy (LAA), and retrospectively analyzed the clinical data of 74 patients who had undergone LAA. All patients had no signs of recurrence on imaging. LAA has high safety and feasibility, clear intraoperative anatomical layers, good spatial operability, and low postoperative complications. LAA provides a more reliable option for the treatment of small adrenal diseases.

[Research advances in the relationship of dietary factors and prostate cancer risk]

Prostate cancer is the second most common malignancy in men worldwide. An increasing trend for prostate cancer incidence was observed in China. Enormous studies have been conducted to investigate the association between dietary factors and prostate cancer, however conflicted results were obtained. Red meat, processed meat, and dairy products consumption were reported to be associated with the increased prostate cancer risk, while tomatoes, soybeans and green tea might reduce the risk of prostate cancer occurance. However, no consensus could be reached without strong evidence. Furthermore, further studies are needed to investigate the association between vitamin and mineral supplements and prostate cancer risk. Some studies reported that men with higher dietary inflammatory index scores increased prostate cancer risk. There may be a long susceptible period when dietary factors affect prostate cancer risk, which poses challenges for collecting exposure and the follow-up. Measure bias and detection bias are the main reasons which impair the authenticity of studies on the relationship of dietary factors and prostate cancer risk. Researchers should apply various methods to measure participants' dietary consumption levels and ascertain essential outcomes, such as prostate cancer death. This article reviews updated epidemiological evidences on the association of dietary factors and prostate cancer, aims to benefit future nutritional epidemiology studies focus on the prostate cancer prevention.

[Association between blood pressure control and characteristics of green space among hypertensive patients in Shenzhen]

Objective: To explore the influence of characteristics of green space on blood pressure control. Methods: Hypertensive patients who were managed by community health centers for one year and aged 35 years old and above were selected as the study subjects in Shenzhen. Multi-stage random sampling method was applied to select a representative sample of 1 200 patients. A total of 1 116 valid questionnaires were collected, with a response rate of 93.0%. From November 2019 to January 2020, well-structured questionnaire, physical examination and laboratory biochemical test were applied for information collection among the 1 116 participants. Binary logistic regression model was used to analyze the relationship between characteristics of green space and blood pressure control. Results: The rate of blood pressure control was 67.8%. Results of binary logistic regression analysis showed that after adjusting confounding factors, health supporting elements, such as fitness areas (OR=1.678, 95%CI:1.231-2.288), collective exercise venues(OR=1.373, 95%CI:1.020-1.848), health knowledge promotion areas (OR=1.416, 95%CI: 1.049-1.911) in green space, were significantly correlated with blood pressure control. Green space safetiness (OR=1.010, 95%CI: 1.000-1.019), comfortableness (OR=1.011, 95%CI: 1.001-1.021) and maintenance status (OR=1.011, 95%CI: 1.001-1.021) also played a role. The rate of blood control among patients with exclusive green space was higher than that of patients without exclusive green space (OR=1.333, 95%CI: 1.009-1.762). Conclusion: Health supporting elements, safety, comfort, maintenance of green space and exclusive green space play an important role in blood pressure controlling.

[Quality assessment of global prostate cancer screening guidelines]

Objective: To systematically review the quality of clinical practice guidelines for prostate cancer screening to serve as a reference for developing prostate cancer screening guidelines in China. Methods: We searched PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Wanfang Data, and SinoMed with the term "prostate cancer" "prostate carcinoma" "prostate tumor" "screening" "early detection" "guideline" "recommendation" as keywords. The Appraisal of Guidelines for Research & Evaluation (AGREE) Ⅱ instrument and Reporting Items for Practice Guidelines in Healthcare (RIGHT) were used for critical appraisal. Results: A total of thirteen guidelines were included in this review. Evaluated by the AGREE Ⅱ instrument, ten were considered as A level. Two guidelines scored B level, and one was considered C level. Lowest mean domain scores were for stakeholder involvement (52.1%) and applicability (34.0%). Using the RIGHT checklist, we found that the low reporting quality of the thirteen guidelines could be attributable to incomplete disclosure of evidence (64.6%), funding, declaration and management of interest (44.2%), or other information (46.2%). Conclusions: No guidelines for prostate cancer screening was developed in China. The methodological quality of the guidelines in prostate cancer screening was good, which set a tone for the development of Chinese guidelines. However, all guidelines showed poor reporting quality.

Effects of targeted hydration on risk of major adverse renal and cardiac events: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

Background

Inconsistent results have been published that have evaluated the preventive effect of targeted hydration in major adverse renal and cardiac events among patients exposed to contrast agents.

Methods

Online databases were searched up to October, 2019, for randomized controlled trials (RCTs). The primary outcome was the incidence of contrast-induced acute kidney injury (CI-AKI), and the secondary outcomes were all-cause in-hospital mortality, all-cause long-term mortality, requirement for dialysis, acute pulmonary edema and stroke/transient ischemic attack (TIA).

Results

9 high quality trials were identified including 2424 patients. Overall, compared with general hydration, targeted hydration significantly reduced the incidence of CI-AKI by 58% (RR 0.42; 95% CI: 0.33–0.54, p&lt;0.01), the requirement for dialysis by 68% (RR 0.32, 95% CI: 0.17–0.62, p&lt;0.01) and the all-cause long-term mortality by 55% (RR 0.45; 95% CI: 0.26–0.76, p&lt;0.01). The effect on all-cause in-hospital mortality was not statistically significant. The effect on acute pulmonary edema and stroke/TIA also showed no difference between two groups (RR: 0.54, 95% CI: 0.28–1.03, p=0.18; RR: 0.61, 95% CI: 0.14–2.61, p=0.49, respectively). Trial sequential analysis confirmed that an additional 3900 study participants would need to be recruited to demonstrate a statistically significant improvement for all-cause in-hospital mortality.

Conclusions

Targeted hydration likely reduces the incidence of CI-AKI, dialysis and all-cause long-term mortality in patients exposed to contrast agents. However, further independent high-quality RCTs should elucidate the effectiveness and safety of this prophylactic strategy in interventional cardiology.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

Association of high-sensitivity C-reactive protein and long-term mortality may differ from lipoprotein(a) levels among patients undergoing coronary angiography

Background

The use of high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) as an inflammation biomarker in predicting long-term mortality remains controversial. We aimed to investigate whether the association of hs-CRP with long-term mortality differs from another inflammation biomarker, lipoprotein(a), in patients undergoing coronary angiography (CAG).

Methods

A total of 2422 patients undergoing CAG were included in the final analysis from a prospective, observational study. We divided them into 4 groups according to hs-CRP level (high ≥4.8 mg/l, low &lt;4.8 mg/l) and lipoprotein(a) level (high ≥17 mg/dl, low &lt;17 mg/dl).

Results

The overall incidence of all-cause long-term mortality was 133/2422 (5.5%). In the high lipoprotein(a) group, after adjusting for LDL-cholesterol concentration (LDL-C), age, sex, smoking status, diabetes mellitus and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), a high hs-CRP level was an independent predictor of all-cause long-term mortality (hazard ratio: 2.01; 95% CI: 1.13–3.54; p=0.02). In the low lipoprotein(a) group, a similar result was not found (hazard ratio: 1.42; 95% CI: 0.92–2.01; p=0.24).

Conclusions

Our data suggested that the association of hs-CRP with all-cause long-term mortality may differ from lipoprotein(a) levels among patients undergoing CAG. In addition to hs-CRP, a high lipoprotein(a) level might be a simultaneous intervention target for improving long-term prognosis in the future.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

Global risk factors of contrast-induced acute kidney injury: systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Administration of iodinated contrast is common but may be associated with contrast-induced acute kidney injury (CI-AKI), particularly in at-risk patients. There is no recent systematic review of potentially modifiable risk factors.

Methods

We searched MEDLINE, Embase and the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews (to 30 th June 2019) for observational studies assessing risk factors associated with CI-AKI. Twelve potentially modifiable risk factors were finally included in this thematic review and meta-analysis. Random or fixed meta-analysis was performed to derive the adjusted odds ratio (aOR), and the population attributable risk (PAR) was calculated for each risk factor globally and by region.

Findings

We included 157 studies (2,297,863 participants). The global incidence of CI-AKI was 5.4%. The potentially modifiable risk factors included high contrast volume (PAR 33%), eight cardiovascular risk factors (diuretic use, multivessel coronary artery disease, acute coronary syndrome, hypertension, hypotension, heart failure, reduced left ventricular ejection fraction and intra-aortic balloon pump use) (combined PAR 76.2%) and three noncardiovascular risk factors (renal dysfunction, diabetes mellitus and anaemia) (combined PAR 47.4%) with geographical differences.

Bubble chart of the 12 risk factors

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Public Institution(s). Main funding source(s): National Science Foundation of China

Identifying the value of RVEF for the prediction of major cardiovascular outcomes: a study of 7,131 patients undergoing cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging

Background

Right ventricular (RV) function remains poorly recognized for its value in predicting cardiovascular events at a population level. Cardiovascular Magnetic Resonance (CMR) imaging is the gold standard for RV assessment.

Purpose

To define the independent prognostic value of RVEF for the prediction of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) as primary outcome in patients with known or suspected cardiovascular disease.

Methods

Data was obtained from the Cardiovascular Imaging Registry of Calgary (CIROC). Patients underwent standardized CMR imaging protocols and analysis. Clinical events were identified from administrative data.

Results

7,131 patients were included. 870 primary outcome events occurred over 2.5 years follow-up. RVEF provided equivalent predictive utility versus LVEF (Table 1). There was an increase in events with worsening severity of RVEF (Figure 1), with a significant “threshold-effect” at an RVEF of 40%.

Conclusions

RVEF is a strong and independent predictor of MACE at a population level.

Figure 1

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

A simple nomogram to predict contrast-induced acute kidney injury in patients with congestive heart failure undergoing coronary angiography

Background

Patients with congestive heart failure (CHF) are vulnerable to contrast-induced acute kidney injury (CI-AKI), but few prediction models are currently available.

Objectives

We aimed to establish a simple nomogram for CI-AKI risk assessment for patients with CHF undergoing coronary angiography.

Methods

A total of 1876 consecutive patients with CHF (defined as New York Heart Association functional class II-IV or Killip class II-IV) were enrolled and randomly (2:1) assigned to a development cohort and a validation cohort. The endpoint was CI-AKI defined as serum creatinine elevation of ≥0.3 mg/dL or 50% from baseline within the first 48–72 hours following the procedure. Predictors for the nomogram were selected by multivariable logistic regression with a stepwise approach. The discriminative power was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and was compared with the classic Mehran score in the validation cohort. Calibration was assessed using the Hosmer–Lemeshow test and 1000 bootstrap samples.

Results

The incidence of CI-AKI was 9.06% (n=170) in the total sample, 8.64% (n=109) in the development cohort and 9.92% (n=61) in the validation cohort (p=0.367). The simple nomogram including four predictors (age, intra-aortic balloon pump, acute myocardial infarction and chronic kidney disease) demonstrated a similar predictive power as the Mehran score (area under the curve: 0.80 vs 0.75, p=0.061), as well as a well-fitted calibration curve.

Conclusions

The present simple nomogram including four predictors is a simple and reliable tool to identify CHF patients at risk of CI-AKI, whereas further external validations are needed.

Figure 1

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

Development and validation of a risk model for the prediction of cardiovascular hospital admission using CMR-based phenotype in patients with known or suspected cardiovascular disease

Background

Cardiovascular diseases remain the leading cause of morbidity worldwide and impose the highest economic burden among noncommunicable diseases. Much of these costs are related to hospitalizations for adverse cardiovascular events, which may be reduced by targeted management of high-risk patients. Cardiac markers derived from CMR imaging have been shown to be strong independent predictors of prognosis within specific cohorts. However, its capacity to broadly contribute to risk models aimed at predicting incident cardiac hospitalization has not been demonstrated.

Purpose

Using a large clinical outcomes registry of patients clinically referred for CMR, develop and validate a nomogram for prediction of cardiovascular hospital admission.

Methods

A total of 7127 consecutive patients were prospectively recruited between 02/2015 and 07/2019. All patients completed standardized health questionnaires and CMR imaging protocols. A nomogram was developed for prediction of cardiovascular hospitalization, inclusive of admission for heart failure, MI, cardiac arrest, heart transplant, LVAD implantation, or stroke. The risk model was derived from 80% (n=5702) of the cohort using Cox modelling that included CMR, medication, laboratory, and patient-reported health variables. Model validation was assessed by discrimination and calibration procedures applied to the remaining 20% of patients (n=1425). A minimum follow-up of six months was mandated.

Results

The derivation cohort was comprised of 38% females with a median age of 56 (IQR 44–65) years. During a median follow-up of 934 days, 514 (9.0%) events occurred. The validation cohort was similarly comprised of 37% females with a median age of 57 (IQR 44–66) years. During a median follow-up of 970 days, 142 (10.0%) events occurred. Numerous CMR parameters were significantly different between those experiencing versus not experiencing the primary composite outcome, including: LVEF (44% vs 59%, p&lt;0.0001), RVEF (52% vs 55%, p&lt;0.0001), LV mass (65g/m2 vs 56g/m2, p&lt;0.0001), and LA volume (43mL/m2 vs 34mL/m2, p&lt;0.0001). These and other CMR-derived characteristics were independently predictive of the composite outcome by univariate modelling (Figure 1A). An eight-variable nomogram (Figure 1B) was developed using a stepwise multivariate model that exhibited high discrimination in both the derivation and validation cohorts (C-index 0.81 and 0.83, respectively). Continuous model calibration curves indicated satisfactory external performance. The model was able to discriminate risk of hospitalization at 1-year with a dynamic range of 20–99%.

Conclusion

Using data available at time of CMR imaging, we derived and validated a Cox-based nomogram that offers robust prediction of future cardiovascular admissions. This tool may provide value for the identification of patients who may benefit from targeted surveillance and management strategies, and may offer a foundation for improved patient-specific cost modelling.

Figure 1

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

A comprehensive understanding of ovarian carcinoma survival prognosis by novel biomarkers

OBJECTIVE

Ovarian cancer is one of the most common causes of cancer-related deaths in women. Many studies show that dysregulated gene expression plays a key role in tumorigenesis and development. Therefore, a comprehensive understanding of ovarian serous cystadenocarcinoma survival prognosis is needed.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A large number of high-dimensional RNA-sequencing files and clinical datasets collected from the Genomic Data Commons Data Portal were utilized to identify novel potential biomarkers for determining the prognosis of patients with ovarian serous cystadenocarcinoma (OVSC). We adopted a new strategy to identify these biomarkers by integrating co-expression network analysis and the Kaplan-Meier estimation with a non-parametric bootstrapping procedure.

RESULTS

Functional enrichment analysis of gene modules of interest revealed several dysregulated genes in OVSC, suggesting a close relationship between hormones and angiogenesis. In combination with this comprehensive approach, 14 genes, including ABCA10, DCX, LRRC30, ALX4, DKK4, SGCZ, ANKS4B, FHL5, SPRR2F, CHRNG, GABRR1, STMN2, CRHBP, and GSTM5, were shown to serve as candidate biomarkers for predicting the prognosis of patients with OVSC.

CONCLUSIONS

The current study identified several valuable prognostic biomarkers and several potential therapeutic targets for treating OVSC.

Long noncoding RNA FAM201A involves in radioresistance of non-small-cell lung cancer by enhancing EGFR expression via miR-370

OBJECTIVE

The aberrant expression of long noncoding RNAs (lncRNAs) is involved in the molecular regulation of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). This study aims to investigate the biological interaction of lnc-FAM201A and its downstream factors and their impacts on the radiotherapy response of NSCLC.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Quantitative Polymerase Chain Reaction (qPCR) was used to determine the expression of FAM201A in NSCLC tissues. The Chi-square tests explored the association between FAM201A level and the poor clinicopathological characteristics (including radioresistance) of NSCLC. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were used to evaluate various prognostic factors for overall survival (OS). The effect of FAM201A on OS was tested by the log-rank test. A549/SK-MES-1 cell lines transfected with short hairpin RNA (shRNA) were used to verify the promoting effects of FAM201A on radiotherapy resistance in vitro and in vivo. Cell apoptosis (analyzed by flow cytometry), cell proliferation (determined by Cell Counting Kit-8), and mice xenograft models were performed to confirm the results. The downstream targets of FAM201A were predicted by bioinformatics tools. Additionally, the Dual-luciferase reporter assay, qPCR, and Western blotting were performed to confirm their interaction.

RESULTS

FAM201A was significantly upregulated in tissues obtained from NSCLC patients resistant to radiotherapy. Increased FAM201A expression was strongly associated with radioresistance and inferior survival in NSCLC, as demonstrated by clinical data. The silence of FAM201A could inhibit cell proliferation and further cell apoptosis of NSCLC cells under X-ray irradiation both in vitro and in vivo. Moreover, by competitively targeting miR-370, FAM201A elevated the epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) and the hypoxia-inducible factor 1alpha (HIF-1α) levels. After FAM201A knockdown, EGFR and HIF-1α were repressed with enhanced radiosensitivity.

CONCLUSIONS

The interference of FAM201A impairs its suppression of miR-370, resulting in the upregulation of EGFR and HIF-1α and enhancement of radiosensitivity in NSCLC patients. Collectively, our results indicated that this regulatory axis might serve as a potential therapeutic target to increase the sensitivity of radiotherapy in NSCLC patients.

Nanographene oxides carrying antisense walR RNA regulates the Enterococcus faecalis biofilm formation and its susceptibility to chlorhexidine

Enterococcus faecalis is the dominant pathogen for persistent periapical periodontitis. The chlorhexidine (CHX) is used as conversional irrigation agents during endodontic root canal therapy. It was reported that the antisense walR RNA (ASwalR) suppressed the biofilm organization. The aim of this study was to investigate the antimicrobial effects of novel graphene oxide (GO)-polyethylenimine (PEI)-based antisense walR (ASwalR) on the inhibition of E. faecalis biofilm and its susceptibility to chlorhexidine. The recombinant ASwalR plasmids were modified with a gene encoding enhanced green fluorescent protein (ASwalR-eGFP) as a reporter gene so that the transformation efficiency could be evaluated by the fluorescence intensity. The GO-PEI-based ASwalR vector transformation strategy was developed to be transformed into E. faecalis and to over-produce ASwalR in biofilms. Colony forming units (CFU) and confocal laser scanning microscopy were used to investigate whether the antibacterial properties of antisense walR interference strategy sensitize E. faecalis biofilm to the CHX. The results indicated that overexpression of ASwalR by GO-PEI-based transformation strategy could inhibit biofilm formation, decrease the EPS synthesis and increase the susceptibility of E. faecalis biofilms to CHX. Our reports demonstrated that antisense walR RNA will be a supplementary strategy in treating E. faecalis with irrigation agents.

[Status of chronic filariasis: a cross-sectional study in Jiangxi Province, 2018]

OBJECTIVE

To understand the status of chronic filariasis patients in Jiangxi Province in 2018, so as to provide insights into the follow-up care of the patients.

METHODS

In 2018, a case follow-up study was conducted in all registered patients with chronic filariasis in previously endemic areas of Jiangxi Province, and a clue investigation was done for identifying the missing patients. In addition, the data of caring sites for chronic filarisis patients were collected and analyzed in the province.

RESULTS

A total of 802 chronic filariasis patients were identified in 56 counties (districts) of Jiangxi Province in 2018. The patients had a male/female ratio of 1∶1, and 85.41% had ages of over 70 years. There were 58.60%, 93.89%, 17.21% and 3.62% of chronic filariasis patients with lymphangitis, lymphedema/elephantiasis, chyluria and hydrocele, respectively. A total of 273 caring sites were assigned in 56 counties (districts) of Jiangxi Province, and 306 caring activities were carried out in 2018.

CONCLUSIONS

The number of chronic filariasis patients has significantly decreased in Jiangxi Province; however, the care remains to be intensified for chronic filariasis patients.

Characterization data of reference industrial polycarboxylate superplasticizers used within Priority Program DFG SPP 2005 "Opus Fluidum Futurum - Rheology of reactive, multiscale, multiphase construction materials"

Two industrial polycarboxylate superplasticizer samples have been selected to be used within the Priority Program 2005 of the German Research Foundation (DFG SPP 2005). The PCE polymers were characterized via Size Exclusion Chromatography (SEC) to determine their molar masses (M_w, M_n), the polydispersity index (PDI) and the conversion rate which indicates the incorporation of the macromonomer into the polymer. The anionic charge amount of the PCE samples was assessed via charge titration employing a cationic polymer. Furthermore, the cement dispersing properties of the PCE polymers were captured via 'mini slump' tests so as to assess their ability to fluidize CEM I 42.5 R and CEM III/A 42.5 N samples, respectively. Also, interaction between the PCEs and the surface of the cements was investigated via adsorption and zeta potential measurements of aqueous cement suspensions. The results shall be used for the ongoing research within the Priority Program.

SAT0647-HPR DEVELOP A MACHINE LEARNING MODEL AND ALGORITHM BASED ON SMART SYSTEM OF DISEASE MANAGEMENT (SSDM) BIG DATA FOR RA FLARE PREDICTION

Background:

Flare, relapse from status of treat-to-target (T2T, DAS28<=3.2), is hard predicted. We try to make it predictable by applying machine learning to a database from smart system of disease management (SSDM). SSDM is an interactive mobile disease management APPs.

Objectives:

To develop and validate machine learning algorithms for flare prediction in RA.

Methods:

Patients were trained using SSDM and input their data, including demographic, comorbidities (COMBs), lab test, medications and monthly self-assessments, including DAS28, HAQ, SF-36, Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS). The data was uploaded to cloud and synchronized to the mobile of authorized rheumatologists. The COMBs were by ICD-9, and medications were listed as cDMARDs, Bio (BioDMARDs), NSAIDs, Steroid, FS (food supplements), MC (medicine for COMBs), TCM (Traditional Chinese Medicine), and combinations.

Results:

From Jan of 2015 to Jan of 2020, 8811 RA patients, 85% female and 15% male, used to reach T2T. 4556 were flare-free and 4255 suffering at least one flare. The average 160 attributes were extracted from each flare-free patient at time of reaching T2T, and each flare patients at time of 3 months before the flare. Patients were randomly assigned as model setup (training) group (70%) and validation (testing) group30%.

For training, data were processed using Python with statistical analyses in R. In R, random forests were implemented. Logistic regression via glm in base R. The random forest comprises a set of decision trees. “Splits” in the decision trees reflect binary (i.e., yes/no) respect to attributors. Bootstrapping was used to assess, quantify, and adjust for model optimism. Model performance was evaluated using AUC, precision and recall metrics. Brier scores for accuracy of probabilistic predictions ranged from 0 to 1 (0 is perfect discrimination).

The testing showed model performance for prediction windows are 0.78 for AUC (95% CI), 0.71 for Recall (sensitivity), 0.195 for Brier score, and 0.68 for precision (true positive 893, false positive 417, false negative 367, true negative 966).

Based on weighing in the random forest, the top 10 pro-flare attributes were CRP, swollen joint count (SJC), tender joint count (TJC), HAQ, DAS28, morning stiffness, gout, MCTD, OA, duration; while top 10 anti-flare attributes were cDMARDs+Bio, cDMARDs+steroid+NSAIDs, stable on HAQ, on morning stiffness, on SJC, medicine on COMBs, cDMARDs+TCM, stable on TJC, on ESR, income at 100-200k (Fig.1). The top weighing COMBs for pro-flaring were gout (0.81), MRD (0.75), OA (0.56), AS (0.48). The monotherapies with either Bio or NSAIDs, or steroid, or TCM was pro-flare; while with cDMARDs was anti-flare (-0.21).

Figure 1.

Conclusion:

The attempt to develop a machine learning algorithm for RA flare prediction is successful. The discrimination was acceptable. The attributes of both pro-flare and anti-flare are identified, which may inspire the proactive intervention.

Acknowledgments:

SSDM was developed by Shanghai Gothic Internet Technology Co., Ltd.

Disclosure of Interests:

None declared

Simple practical system for directly measuring magnetocaloric effects under large magnetic fields

Direct measurements of the adiabatic temperature change (ΔT_ad) in Gd and Mn_1.15Fe_0.8P_0.5Si_0.5C_0.05 are made using a homemade adiabatic magnetocalorimeter at 260-360 K and 0-7 T. The system uses a servo motor to drive the samples into and out of the magnetic field under a vacuum environment provided by the Physical Property Measurement System (PPMS). The peak values of ΔT_ad for Gd and Mn_1.15Fe_0.8P_0.5Si_0.5C_0.05 at 7 T are 8.71 K and 6.41 K at ambient temperatures of 303 K and 317 K, respectively. Based on the theory model, it is found that ΔT_ad of Gd depends on the 2/3 exponential function of magnetic field H (ΔT_ad ∝ H^2/3), whereas the Mn_1.15Fe_0.8P_0.5Si_0.5C_0.05 compound follows the power law of ΔT_ad ∝ H^0.66-1.04 due to the first order magnetic transitions. Furthermore, using the constructed experimental instrument, the adiabatic temperature change in different magnetic materials, including materials with first/second order magnetic transition and blocks, flakes, or powders, can be directly measured under large magnetic fields and wide temperature spans.

[A multicenter survey of the accessibility of essential medicines for children in China]

Objective: To investigate the availability, prices and affordability of essential medicines in pediatric population across China, in the hope of improving rational use of medicines. Methods: A multicenter cross-sectional survey of medicine prices, availability and affordability was conducted in 17 provinces, municipalities and autonomous region across east, south-central part, west and north of China. Data on 42 medicines used in pediatric population, both original and generic, were collected in 55 public hospitals from May 26 to June 2, 2017. Availability was expressed as the percentage of hospitals with stock of the target medicine on the day of data collection,and median price ratio (MPR) was the ratio of price upon investigation to international reference. Based on national minimum daily wage, affordability represents the number of working days needed to earn the expense which covers a standard course using the target medicine. Statistical software SPSS 13.0 was applied for descriptive analysis of availability, MPR and affordability. Results: Mean Availability of original and generic medicine was 33% and 32%, with median MPR being 5.43 and 1.55. Among the 19 medicines with price information for both original and generic product, the median MPR was 7.73 and 2.04 respectively. Regarding the five medicines used to treat four common pediatric diseases (pneumonia,peptic ulcer, congenital hypothyroidism, refractory nephrotic syndrome), the affordability was 0.63 (0.16-6.17) d for generic medicine, and 1.03 (0.16-11.53) d for its original counterpart. Conclusions: The availability to both original and generic products of the 42 medicines used in pediatric population was low in China. The prices of generic medicines seem to be lower and affordability higher than those of original medicines. There is an urgent need to improve the availability and affordability of pediatric medicines.

Carbohydrate Metabolism Regulated by Antisense vicR RNA in Cariogenicity

Streptococcus mutans is a major cariogenic pathogen that resides in multispecies oral microbial biofilms. The VicRK 2-component system is crucial for bacterial adaptation, virulence, and biofilm organization and contains a global and vital response regulator, VicR. Notably, we identified an antisense vicR RNA (AS vicR) associated with an adjacent RNase III–encoding ( rnc) gene that was relevant to microRNA-size small RNAs (msRNAs). Here, we report that ASvicR overexpression significantly impeded bacterial growth, biofilm exopolysaccharide synthesis, and cariogenicity in vivo. Transcriptome analysis revealed that the AS vicR RNA mainly regulated carbohydrate metabolism. In particular, overproducing AS vicR demonstrated a reduction in galactose and glucose metabolism by monosaccharide composition analysis. The results of high-performance gel permeation chromatography revealed that the water-insoluble glucans isolated from AS vicR presented much lower molecular weights. Furthermore, direct evidence showed that total RNAs were disrupted by rnc-encoded RNase III. With the coexpression of T4 RNA ligase, putative msRNA1657, which is an rnc-related messenger RNA, was verified to bind to the 5′-UTR regions of the vicR gene. Furthermore, AS vicR regulation revealed a sponge regulatory-mediated network for msRNA associated with adjacent RNase III–encoding genes. There was an increase in AS vicR transcript levels in clinical S. mutans strains from caries-free children, while the expression of AS vicR was decreased in early childhood caries patients; this outcome may be explored as a potential strategy contributing to the management of dental caries. Taken together, our findings suggest an important role of AS vicR-mediated sponge regulation in S. mutans, indicating the characterization of lactose metabolism by a vital response regulator in cariogenicity. These findings have a number of implications and have reshaped our understanding of bacterial gene regulation from its transcriptional conception to the key roles of regulatory RNAs.