Missing Data Imputation in Two Phase III Trials Treating HIV1 Infection

In most longitudinal clinical trials, some patients drop out before the end of the planned follow-up, and, in order to allow an all-patient intent-to-treat analysis to be performed, it is common practice to use some method of imputation to estimate values for missing data. However, different imputation methods may provide different results, and it is essential to investigate the sensitivity of the analysis using different imputation rules. In our analysis of two trials of the new HIV1 fusion inhibitor enfuvirtide, we compared some standard methods of imputing and analyzing HIV1-RNA data with two novel alternatives, to check the robustness of the primary endpoint results. The standard methods were: (1) last-observation-carried-forward, (2) baseline carried forward, and (3) multiple imputation. These were compared with a nearest-neighbour hot-deck method, specifically proposed for imputation of missing HIV1-RNA data, and with a heuristic approach: censored regression analysis of the last-observation-carried-forward. To supplement this analysis of real clinical trial data, we investigated the performance of the same imputation methods on simulated datasets designed to cover a broader range of missing data patterns.

Multiple polyexponentials and quasipolynomials as empirical nonlinear regression models: a case study with HIV viral load data

Measurements of HIV1-RNA plasma concentrations are an important method of assessing patient response to anti-HIV1 treatment, and in most clinical trials of such treatments HIV1-RNA levels are assessed at regular intervals of time. HIV1-RNA levels in successfully treated patients tend to follow a standard pattern of biphasic decline-a rapid early decline in viral load, followed by a period of slower decline or a steady level. Fitting nonlinear regression models to these patterns of declining HIV1-RNA levels can be of value in comparing different treatment regimes and in predicting treatment outcome. Simple exponential-decline models can give an adequate fit to the typical pattern of HIV1-RNA decline, but we have explored the extent to which curve-fitting can be improved by using two novel nonlinear model forms. Specifically, we describe the fitting of multiple polyexponential and quasipolynomial forms to longitudinal HIV1-RNA plasma data collected in two recent trials of the novel anti-HIV1 treatment Fuzeon. We comment on the practicalities of fitting these nonlinear models, and compare the fit using various criteria.

Characterization of envelope glycoprotein gp41 genotype and phenotypic susceptibility to enfuvirtide at baseline and on treatment in the phase III clinical trials TORO-1 and TORO-2

Enfuvirtide (T-20) is the first entry inhibitor approved for treatment of HIV infection and acts by inhibiting conformational changes in the viral envelope protein gp41 that are necessary for fusion of the virus and host cell membranes. Here we present genotypic and phenotypic data on viral envelopes obtained at baseline (n = 627) and after 48 weeks of enfuvirtide treatment (n = 302) from patients in the TORO (T-20 versus Optimized Regimen Only)-1 and -2 phase III pivotal studies. The amino acid sequence at residues 36-45 of gp41 was highly conserved at baseline except for polymorphism of approximately 16% at position 42. Substitutions within gp41 residues 36-45 on treatment were observed in virus from 92.7% of patients who met protocol defined virological failure criteria and occurred in nearly all cases (98.8%) when decreases in susceptibility to enfuvirtide from baseline of greater than 4-fold were observed. Consistent with previous observations, a wide range of baseline susceptibilities (spanning 3 logs) was observed; however, lower in vitro baseline susceptibility was not significantly associated with a decreased virological response in vivo. Virological response was also independent of baseline coreceptor tropism and viral subtype.

Impact of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 gp41 amino acid substitutions selected during enfuvirtide treatment on gp41 binding and antiviral potency of enfuvirtide in vitro

Enfuvirtide (ENF), a novel human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) fusion inhibitor, has potent antiviral activity against HIV-1 both in vitro and in vivo. Resistance to ENF observed after in vitro passaging was associated with changes in a three-amino-acid (aa) motif, GIV, at positions 36 to 38 of gp41. Patients with ongoing viral replication while receiving ENF during clinical trials acquired substitutions within gp41 aa 36 to 45 in the first heptad repeat (HR-1) of gp41 in both population-based plasma virus sequences and proviral DNA sequences from isolates showing reduced susceptibilities to ENF. To investigate their impact on ENF susceptibility, substitutions were introduced into a modified pNL4-3 strain by site-directed mutagenesis, and the susceptibilities of mutant viruses and patient-derived isolates to ENF were tested. In general, susceptibility decreases for single substitutions were lower than those for double substitutions, and the levels of ENF resistance seen for clinical isolates were higher than those observed for the site-directed mutant viruses. The mechanism of ENF resistance was explored for a subset of the substitutions by expressing them in the context of a maltose binding protein chimera containing a portion of the gp41 ectodomain and measuring their binding affinity to fluorescein-labeled ENF. Changes in binding affinity for the mutant gp41 fusion proteins correlated with the ENF susceptibilities of viruses containing the same substitutions. The combined results support the key role of gp41 aa 36 to 45 in the development of resistance to ENF and illustrate that additional envelope regions contribute to the ENF susceptibility of fusion inhibitor-naïve viruses and resistance to ENF.

Lenercept (p55 tumor necrosis factor receptor fusion protein) in severe sepsis and early septic shock: a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, multicenter phase III trial with 1,342 patients

OBJECTIVE

Phase III study to confirm a trend observed in a previous phase II study showing that a single dose of lenercept, human recombinant p55 tumor necrosis factor receptor-immunoglobulin G1 (TNFR55-IgG1) fusion protein, decreased mortality in patients with severe sepsis or early septic shock.

DESIGN

Multicenter, double-blind, phase III, placebo-controlled, randomized study.

SETTING

A total of 108 community and university-affiliated hospitals in the United States (60), Canada (6) and Europe (42).

PATIENTS

A total of 1,342 patients were recruited who fulfilled the entry criteria within the 12-hr period preceding the study drug administration.

INTERVENTION

After randomization, an intravenous dose of 0.125 mg/kg lenercept or placebo was given. The patient was monitored for up to 28 days, during which standard diagnostic, supportive, and therapeutic care was provided.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

The primary outcome measure was 28-day all-cause mortality. Baseline characteristics were as follows: a total of 1,342 patients were randomized; 662 received lenercept and 680 received placebo. The mean age was 60.5 yrs (range, 17-96 yrs); 39% were female; 65% had medical admissions, 8% had scheduled surgical admissions, and 27% had unscheduled surgical admissions; 73% had severe sepsis without shock, and 27% had severe sepsis with early septic shock. Lenercept and placebo groups were similar at baseline with respect to demographic characteristics, simplified acute physiology score II-predicted mortality, profiles of clinical site of infection and microbiological documentation, number of dysfunctioning organs, and interleukin-6 (IL-6) plasma concentration. Lenercept pharmacokinetics were similar in severe sepsis and early septic shock patients. Tumor necrosis factor was bound in a stable manner to lenercept as reflected by the accumulation of total serum tumor necrosis factor alpha concentrations. There were 369 deaths, 177 on lenercept (27% mortality) and 192 on placebo (28% mortality). A one-sided Cochran-Armitage test, stratified by geographic region and baseline, predicted 28-day all-cause mortality (simplified acute physiology score II), gave a p value of .141 (one-sided). Lenercept treatment had no effect on incidence or resolution of organ dysfunctions. There was no evidence that lenercept was detrimental in the overall population.

CONCLUSION

Lenercept had no significant effect on mortality in the study population.

The SPICE study: 48-week activity of combinations of saquinavir soft gelatin and nelfinavir with and without nucleoside analogues. Study of Protease Inhibitor Combinations in Europe

OBJECTIVES

To compare the efficacy and safety of saquinavir soft gelatin capsules (SQV-SGC) and nelfinavir (NFV), with or without two concomitant nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NRTIs), in an exploratory objective to identify populations most likely to benefit from quadruple therapy.

DESIGN

Phase II/III, open-label, randomized, parallel-arm, multicenter trial.

PARTICIPANTS

Enrollment included 157 protease inhibitor-naive adults (> or = 13 years) with HIV-1 RNA > or = 10,000 copies/ml; 132 participants completed 48 weeks of therapy.

INTERVENTIONS

SQV-SGC 1200 mg, NFV 750 mg, SQV-SGC 800 mg plus NFV 750 mg, all with two NRTIs, and SQV-SGC 800 mg plus NFV 750 mg alone, all three times daily for 48 weeks.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Proportion of participants with HIV-1 RNA <50 copies/ ml (16 and 48 weeks); time to virologic relapse (48 weeks).

RESULTS

Proportions of patients with HIV RNA <50 copies/ml were not statistically significantly different between arms at 16 or 48 weeks, although trends favored the quadruple-therapy arm. In patients experiencing virologic relapse, time to relapse was statistically significantly longer in the quadruple-therapy arm than in the other three arms (p = .007). Quadruple therapy provided benefit in NRTI-experienced patients and those with viral loads above the median value at baseline. Adverse events were mainly mild gastrointestinal disorders in all treatment arms.

CONCLUSIONS

Quadruple therapy, including SQV-SGC and NFV, gave a more durable response than triple therapy with either single protease inhibitor. Quadruple therapy might particularly benefit NRTI-experienced patients and those with high baseline viral loads.

Ritonavir and saquinavir combination therapy for the treatment of HIV infection

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the safety and antiretroviral activity of ritonavir (Norvir) and saquinavir (Invirase) combination therapy in patients with HIV infection.

DESIGN

A multicenter, randomized, open-label clinical trial.

SETTING

Seven HIV research units in the USA and Canada.

PATIENTS

A group of 141 adults with HIV infection, CD4 T lymphocyte counts of 100-500 x 10(6) cells/l, whether treated previously or not with reverse transcriptase inhibitor therapy, but without previous HIV protease inhibitor drug therapy.

INTERVENTIONS

After discontinuation of prior therapy for 2 weeks, group I patients were randomized to receive either combination (A) ritonavir 400 mg and saquinavir 400 mg twice daily or (B) ritonavir 600 mg and saquinavir 400 mg twice daily. After an initial safety assessment of group I patients, group II patients were randomized to receive either (C) ritonavir 400 mg and saquinavir 400 mg three times daily or (D) ritonavir 600 mg and saquinavir 600 mg twice daily. Investigators were allowed to add up to two reverse transcriptase inhibitors (including at least one with which the patient had not been previously treated) to a patient's regimen after week 12 for failure to achieve or maintain an HIV RNA level < or = 200 copies/ml documented on two consecutive occasions.

MEASUREMENTS

Plasma HIV RNA levels and CD4+ T-lymphocyte counts were measured at baseline, every 2 weeks for 2 months, and monthly thereafter. Safety was assessed through the reporting of adverse events, physical examinations, and the monitoring of routine laboratory tests.

RESULTS

The 48 weeks of study treatment was completed by 75% (106/141) of the patients. Over 80% of the patients on treatment at week 48 had an HIV RNA level < or = 200 copies/ml. In addition, intent-to-treat and on-treatment analyses revealed comparable results. Suppression of plasma HIV RNA levels was similar for all treatment arms (mean areas under the curve minus baseline through 48 weeks were-1.9, -2.0, -1.6, -1.8 log10 copies/ml in ritonavir-saquinavir 400-400 mg twice daily, 600-400 mg twice daily, 400-400 mg three times daily, and 600-600 mg twice daily, respectively). Median CD4 T-lymphocyte count rose by 128 x 10(6) cells/l from baseline, with an interquartile range (IQR) of 82-221 x 10(6) cells/l. The most common adverse events were diarrhea, circumoral paresthesia, asthenia, and nausea. Reversible elevation of serum transaminases (> 5 x upper limit of normal) occurred in 10% (14/141) of the patients enrolled in this study and was associated with baseline abnormalities in liver function tests, baseline hepatitis B surface antigen positivity, or hepatitis C antibody positivity (relative risk, 5.0; 95% confidence interval 1.5-16.9). Most moderate or severe elevations in liver function tests occurred in patients treated with ritonavir-saquinavir 600-600 mg twice daily.

CONCLUSIONS

Ritonavir 400 mg combined with saquinavir 400 mg twice daily with the selective addition of reverse transcriptase inhibitors was the best-tolerated regimen of four dose-ranging regimens and was equally as active as the higher dose combinations in HIV-positive patients without previous protease inhibitor treatment.

Evaluation of pharmacokinetics, safety, tolerance, and activity of combination of zalcitabine and zidovudine in stable, zidovudine-treated pediatric patients with human immunodeficiency virus infection. AIDS Clinical Trials Group Protocol 190 Team

A double-blind phase II trial compared zalcitabine (0.03 mg/kg/day) in combination with zidovudine (720 mg/m2/day) and zidovudine monotherapy in 250 clinically stable, previously zidovudine-treated, human immunodeficiency virus-infected children. The combination was well-tolerated except for an increased incidence of neutropenia (14%) compared with that in children receiving monotherapy (5%). No differences were noted for time to first AIDS-defining illness or death, neuropsychologic status, or weight Z scores. In patients in the combination arm, the CD4 cell count decline was slower (13% per year) than in patients receiving monotherapy (25% per year) (P = .03), and quantitative peripheral blood mononuclear cell virus load remained lower at all time points (P = .08). Deaths were fewer in patients receiving combination therapy (4) compared with those in patients receiving monotherapy (10) (P = .083). Thus, administration of zidovudine with zalcitabine to children with prior zidovudine treatment did not result in a significant increase in toxicity compared with that resulting from zidovudine monotherapy and demonstrated improvement in immunologic and virologic surrogate markers.

Sensitive and specific detection of toxoplasma DNA in an experimental murine model: use of Toxoplasma gondii-specific cDNA and the polymerase chain reaction

Toxoplasma gondii, an apicomplexan parasite of mammals and birds, is well recognized as a cause of encephalitis in AIDS patients and as a cause of congenital infections. The polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and toxoplasma cDNA clones were used to diagnose T. gondii infection in an acute murine model of toxoplasmosis. Diagnosis of tissue infection by Southern blot hybridization with cDNA clones of T. gondii was possible within 5 days of infection. This technique could detect as few as 10,000 organisms. Specific T. gondii gene amplification by PCR using the primers 5'CACACGGTTGTATGTCGGTTTCGCT3' and 5'TCAAGGAGCTCAATGTTACAGCCT3' followed by oligonucleotide hybridization using 5'GCGGTCATTCTCACACCGACGGAGAACCACTTCACTCTCA3' allowed detection of T. gondii in the tissue of mice by day 2 after infection and in the blood of mice by day 5 after infection with RH strain T. gondii. This technique could detect as few as 10 organisms. Thus, these techniques may be useful in the diagnosis of toxoplasmosis.

Salmonella locus affecting phosphoenolpyruvate synthase activity identified by a deletion analysis

Strain leu-4017, derived from Salmonella typhimurium LT2, cannot utilize acetate, pyruvate, or citric acid cycle intermediates as sole sources of carbon. The mutation in this strain extends from the A cistron of the leucine operon to some point between leu and azi, presumably deleting one or more loci involved in the utilization of these compounds. One of these loci is required for phosphoenolpyruvate synthase activity.