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Orme ME, Bentley R, Marcella S, Peck-Radosavljevic M, Perard R, Wedemeyer H, Yoshiji H, Agarwal K, Dusheiko G. Systematic Review with Meta-Analysis: Efficacy and Safety of Lusutrombopag for Severe Thrombocytopenia in Patients with Chronic Liver Disease Undergoing Invasive Procedures. Adv Ther 2022; 39:4169-4188. [PMID: 35836089 PMCID: PMC9402754 DOI: 10.1007/s12325-022-02235-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/06/2022] [Accepted: 06/17/2022] [Indexed: 11/25/2022]
Abstract
Introduction Lusutrombopag is an oral thrombopoietin receptor agonist (TPO-RA). Clinical trials have shown lusutrombopag’s efficacy in reducing need for preoperative platelet transfusion in patients with chronic liver disease (CLD) and severe thrombocytopenia. This analysis assessed efficacy and safety of lusutrombopag in patients with severe thrombocytopenia and CLD undergoing planned invasive procedures. Methods An electronic database search (through 1 December 2020) identified three randomised, placebo-controlled, double-blind clinical trials comparing lusutrombopag with placebo in patients with CLD and platelet count below 50 × 109/L scheduled to undergo a procedure with a perioperative bleeding risk. A random-effects meta-analysis examined treatment effect, with Cochrane Collaboration’s tool assessing risk of bias. Results The meta-analysis included 343 (lusutrombopag 3 mg, n = 173; placebo, n = 170) patients. More patients met the criteria for treatment response (platelet count at least 50 × 109/L and increase of at least 20 × 109/L from baseline anytime during the study) with lusutrombopag versus placebo (risk ratio [RR] 6.39; 95% confidence interval [CI] 3.69, 11.07; p < 0.0001). The primary efficacy outcome, proportion of patients requiring no platelet transfusion and no rescue therapy for bleeding for at least 7 days post procedure, was achieved by more patients treated with lusutrombopag versus placebo (RR 3.42; 95% CI 1.86, 6.26; p = 0.0001). The risk of any bleeding event was significantly lower with lusutrombopag compared to placebo (RR 0.55; 95% CI 0.32, 0.95; p = 0.03); conversely, thrombosis event rates were similar between lusutrombopag and placebo (RR 0.79; 95% CI 0.19, 3.24; p = 0.74). Conclusion This meta-analysis showed that treatment of severe thrombocytopenia with lusutrombopag in patients with CLD prior to a planned invasive procedure was efficacious and safe in increasing platelet counts, avoiding the need for platelet transfusions, and reducing risk of bleeding, thereby enhancing the certainty of evidence supporting the efficacy and safety of lusutrombopag. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s12325-022-02235-w.
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Affiliation(s)
- Michelle E Orme
- ICERA Consulting Ltd., 17 Redbridge Close, Swindon, Wiltshire, UK.
| | | | | | - Markus Peck-Radosavljevic
- Abteilung Innere Medizin und Gastroenterologie (IMuG), mit Zentrale Aufnahme und Erstversorgung (ZAE), Klinikum Klagenfurt am Wörthersee, Klagenfurt, Austria
| | | | - Heiner Wedemeyer
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hepatology, and Endocrinology, Hannover Medical School, Hannover, Germany
| | - Hitoshi Yoshiji
- Department of Gastroenterology, Nara Medical University, Kashihara, Nara Prefecture, Japan
| | - Kosh Agarwal
- Institute of Liver Studies, King's College Hospital, London, UK
| | - Geoffrey Dusheiko
- University College London Medical School and King's College Hospital, London, UK
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Orme ME, Voreck A, Aksouh R, Schreurs MWJ. Anti-dsDNA Testing Specificity for Systemic Lupus Erythematosus: A Systematic Review. J Appl Lab Med 2022; 7:221-239. [PMID: 34996090 DOI: 10.1093/jalm/jfab146] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/03/2021] [Accepted: 10/25/2021] [Indexed: 11/13/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Autoantibody specificity in autoimmune diseases is variable due to each patient's individual spectrum of autoantibodies and the inherent differences between detection methods and tests. Since false-positive results have downstream consequences, we conducted a comprehensive assessment of anti-double stranded DNA (anti-dsDNA) specificity from published studies of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). METHODS A systematic review (MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, and Database of Abstracts of Reviews of Effects) identified cross-sectional or case-control studies published January 2004 to August 2019, reporting anti-dsDNA test accuracy data in SLE. Study quality was assessed using Quality Assessment Tool for Diagnostic Accuracy Studies, version 2. A meta-analysis was conducted to estimate specificity by test method or named test where feasible. RESULTS Thirty studies were included covering 43 different tests. The Crithidia luciliae indirect immunofluorescence test (CLIFT) and fluorescence enzyme immunoassay methods are likely to be ≥ 90% specific (Euroimmun 97.8% (95% CI 96.2%-98.7%) 4 studies; EliA 94.7% (95% CI 91.7%-96.7%), 6 studies; CLIFT 98.7% (95% CI 96.7%-99.5%), 8 studies/7 tests]. For other test methods, specificity was not fully demonstrated to be ≥ 90% and/or the control group included healthy patients possibly overestimating specificity. More studies are required for NOVA Lite [96.0% (95% CI 87.2%-98.9%), 5 studies], chemiluminescence immunoassays [92.3% (95% CI 83.6%-96.6%), 6 studies/4 tests], multiplex immunoassays [89.3% (95% CI 86.1%-91.8%), 4 studies/2 tests], and Farr fluorescent immunoassays (no estimate, 2 studies). Specificity data reported for Farr radioimmunoassays [93.8% (95% CI 85.4-97.5%), 11 studies, 9 tests] and enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays [93.4% (95% CI 89.9%-95.7%), 15 studies/16 tests] lacked consistency. CONCLUSION Anti-dsDNA testing shows considerable variation in test specificity, with potential impact on the management of SLE patients. This review may help laboratory specialists and clinicians choose and interpret the appropriate anti-dsDNA test for their setting.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Anja Voreck
- Thermo Fisher Scientific, Phadia AB, Uppsala, Sweden
| | - Redha Aksouh
- Thermo Fisher Scientific, Phadia AB, Uppsala, Sweden
| | - Marco W J Schreurs
- Department of Immunology, Laboratory Medical Immunology, Erasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, The Netherlands
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Orme ME, Voreck A, Aksouh R, Ramsey-Goldman R, Schreurs MWJ. Systematic review of anti-dsDNA testing for systemic lupus erythematosus: A meta-analysis of the diagnostic test specificity of an anti-dsDNA fluorescence enzyme immunoassay. Autoimmun Rev 2021; 20:102943. [PMID: 34508916 DOI: 10.1016/j.autrev.2021.102943] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/13/2021] [Accepted: 06/19/2021] [Indexed: 01/14/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS The objective of this meta-analysis was to review the diagnostic performance of anti-dsDNA testing, to determine whether test specificity meets the revised 2019 EULAR/ACR classification criteria for systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). The new criteria state that anti-dsDNA testing should be conducted using "an immunoassay with demonstrated ≥ 90% specificity for SLE against relevant disease controls". MATERIALS AND METHODS A systematic review (MEDLINE, Embase, CENTRAL and DARE) identified cross-sectional or case-control studies published January 2004 to August 2019, reporting anti-dsDNA test accuracy data. Studies included cases of SLE (confirmed using one or more of three validated SLE classification criteria sets) and a disease control group. Data were adjusted to exclude healthy controls. A hierarchical, bivariate mixed-effect meta-analysis of eligible quantitative studies was conducted in STATA MP v16.1 to produce a pooled estimate of sensitivity and specificity. RESULTS The review identified six fluorescence immunoassay (FEIA) dsDNA studies (1977 total patients, of whom 47% had SLE) eligible to be included in quantitative meta-analysis and all reported a point estimate >90% for specificity. The meta-analysis estimated a pooled specificity of 94.7% (95% CI 91.67%-96.67%). CONCLUSION The meta-analysis has demonstrated that the specificity of FEIA dsDNA is ≥90% for SLE, against relevant disease controls, and therefore performs in accordance with the 2019 classification criteria.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Anja Voreck
- Thermo Fisher Scientific, Phadia AB, Uppsala, Sweden
| | - Redha Aksouh
- Thermo Fisher Scientific, Phadia AB, Uppsala, Sweden
| | - Rosalind Ramsey-Goldman
- Department of Medicine/Division of Rheumatology, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL, USA
| | - Marco W J Schreurs
- Department of Immunology, Laboratory Medical Immunology, Erasmus MC, University Medical Centre, Rotterdam, the Netherlands
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Nilsson C, Berthold M, Mascialino B, Orme ME, Sjölander S, Hamilton RG. Accuracy of component-resolved diagnostics in peanut allergy: Systematic literature review and meta-analysis. Pediatr Allergy Immunol 2020; 31:303-314. [PMID: 31872899 DOI: 10.1111/pai.13201] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/24/2019] [Revised: 12/13/2019] [Accepted: 12/13/2019] [Indexed: 01/16/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Peanut allergy diagnosis relies on clinical reactivity to peanut supported by detection of specific IgE (sIgE) antibodies. Extract-based sIgE tests have low specificity, so component-resolved diagnostics may complement whole-extract testing. METHODS We systematically collected peanut allergen component data in seven databases and studied the diagnostic accuracy of peanut storage proteins (Arah1, 2, 3) and cross-reactive peanut proteins (Arah8 PR-10 and Arah9 lipid transfer protein) through meta-analyses. The systematic literature review included studies employing peanut components and oral food challenge (OFC) as reference standard in patients suspected of peanut allergy. Data for component sIgE at pre-defined detection thresholds were extracted and combined in random-effects bivariate meta-analyses. Risk of bias was assessed as recommended by Cochrane, with two additional quality items of importance for this review. RESULTS Nineteen eligible studies presented data suitable for meta-analysis. In cross-sectional pediatric studies, the pooled sensitivity of Arah2-sIgE at 0.35 kUA /L cutoff was 83.3% [95% CI 75.6, 88.9] and specificity in diagnosing objective peanut allergy was 83.6% [95% CI 77.4, 88.4]. Compared with 0.1 and 1.0 kUA /L, this threshold provided the best diagnostic accuracy. At 0.35 kUA /L, Arah1 and Arah3 had comparable specificity (86.0% and 88.0%, respectively) but significantly lower sensitivity compared with Arah2 (37.0% and 39.1%, respectively; P < .05). CONCLUSION sIgE to Arah2 can enhance the certainty of diagnosis and reduce the number of OFC necessary to rule out clinical peanut allergy in unclear cases.
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Affiliation(s)
- Caroline Nilsson
- Dept. Clinical Science and Education, Karolinska Institutet, Sachs' Children and Youth Hospital, Sodersjukhuset, Stockholm, Sweden
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Ashaye AO, Khankhel Z, Xu Y, Fahrbach K, Mokgokong R, Orme ME, Lang K, Cappelleri JC, Mamolo C. A comparative evaluation of gemtuzumab ozogamicin + daunorubicin-cytarabine and other treatments for newly diagnosed acute myeloid leukemia. Future Oncol 2018; 15:663-681. [PMID: 30450960 DOI: 10.2217/fon-2018-0512] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/21/2022] Open
Abstract
AIM To evaluate the comparative efficacy and safety of gemtuzumab ozogamicin + daunorubicin-cytarabine (GO + DA) versus common induction therapies for newly diagnosed acute myeloid leukemia. Materials & methods: A network meta-analysis following a systematic literature review. RESULTS In base-case analyses, GO + DA was associated with significantly greater overall survival and relapse-free survival versus most comparators, and similar rates of complete remission versus all evaluated comparators. Similar findings were seen in the subgroup analyses. Grade 3+ bleeding and hepatic events were higher with GO + DA versus some comparators, consistent with GO's profile. No differences were found for other evaluated outcomes. CONCLUSION GO + DA provides significant overall survival and relapse-free survival benefit versus evaluated induction regimens for newly diagnosed acute myeloid leukemia.
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Orme ME, Nguyen H, Lu JY, Thomas SA. Comparative effectiveness of glycemic control in patients with type 2 diabetes treated with GLP-1 receptor agonists: a network meta-analysis of placebo-controlled and active-comparator trials. Diabetes Metab Syndr Obes 2017; 10:111-122. [PMID: 28435304 PMCID: PMC5386609 DOI: 10.2147/dmso.s116810] [Citation(s) in RCA: 21] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/13/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Clinical studies of patients with type 2 diabetes show that GLP-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs) improve glycemic control and promote weight loss. We conducted a Bayesian network meta-analysis (NMA) of placebo- and active-controlled randomized trials to assess the comparative effectiveness of liraglutide, albiglutide, dulaglutide, and exenatide twice daily and once weekly, with a focus on glycemic control. MATERIALS AND METHODS We searched Medline, Embase, and the Cochrane Library (up to December 2014) for core registration programs for US-approved GLP-1 RAs. Patients reaching an A1C target of <7% were analyzed with a binomial model and change in A1C from baseline with a normal model. A covariate analysis assessed the impact of baseline A1C and treatment background on outcomes. RESULTS The base-case NMA used 23 trials reporting A1C outcomes at ~6 month follow-up. The results, unadjusted and adjusted for baseline A1C, indicated that all GLP-1 RAs resulted in statistically significantly lower A1C at follow-up compared with placebo. The odds of reaching the <7% target were also significantly better compared with placebo. With dulaglutide, exenatide once weekly, and liraglutide, the absolute reduction in A1C at 6 months was 0.9%-1.4%, and was significantly better than exenatide twice daily. Albiglutide was not significantly different from exenatide twice daily. We estimate that ~50% of patients will meet the <7% A1C target within 6 months of commencing GLP-1 RAs. CONCLUSION This was a comprehensive assessment of the comparative effectiveness of GLP-1 RAs and A1C outcome. GLP-1 RAs are a viable addition to oral antidiabetes therapy, and dulaglutide, exenatide once weekly, and liraglutide are the most effective.
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Marmarelis VZ, Shin DC, Orme ME, Zhang R. Model-based physiomarkers of cerebral hemodynamics in patients with mild cognitive impairment. Med Eng Phys 2014; 36:628-37. [PMID: 24698010 DOI: 10.1016/j.medengphy.2014.02.025] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/14/2013] [Revised: 02/17/2014] [Accepted: 02/26/2014] [Indexed: 02/02/2023]
Abstract
In our previous studies, we have introduced model-based "functional biomarkers" or "physiomarkers" of cerebral hemodynamics that hold promise for improved diagnosis of early-stage Alzheimer's disease (AD). The advocated methodology utilizes subject-specific data-based dynamic nonlinear models of cerebral hemodynamics to compute indices (serving as possible diagnostic physiomarkers) that quantify the state of cerebral blood flow autoregulation to pressure-changes (CFAP) and cerebral CO2 vasomotor reactivity (CVMR) in each subject. The model is estimated from beat-to-beat measurements of mean arterial blood pressure, mean cerebral blood flow velocity and end-tidal CO2, which can be made reliably and non-invasively under resting conditions. In a previous study, it was found that a CVMR index quantifying the impairment in CO2 vasomotor reactivity correlates with clinical indications of early AD, offering the prospect of a potentially useful diagnostic tool. In this paper, we explore the use of the same model-based indices for patients with amnestic Mild Cognitive Impairment (MCI), a preclinical stage of AD, relative to a control subjects and clinical cognitive assessments. It was found that the model-based CVMR values were lower for MCI patients relative to the control subjects.
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Affiliation(s)
- V Z Marmarelis
- Department of Biomedical Engineering & Biomedical Simulations Resource, University of Southern California, United States.
| | - D C Shin
- Department of Biomedical Engineering & Biomedical Simulations Resource, University of Southern California, United States
| | - M E Orme
- Sonovation Imaging & Diagnostics Inc., Los Angeles, CA, United States
| | - R Zhang
- Department of Internal Medicine, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, United States
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Marmarelis VZ, Shin DC, Orme ME, Zhang R. Model-based quantification of cerebral hemodynamics as a physiomarker for Alzheimer's disease? Ann Biomed Eng 2013; 41:2296-317. [PMID: 23771298 PMCID: PMC3992829 DOI: 10.1007/s10439-013-0837-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 22] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/13/2013] [Accepted: 05/29/2013] [Indexed: 01/27/2023]
Abstract
Previous studies have found that Alzheimer's disease (AD) impairs cerebral vascular function, even at early stages of the disease. This offers the prospect of a useful diagnostic method for AD, if cerebral vascular dysfunction can be quantified reliably within practical clinical constraints. We present a recently developed methodology that utilizes a data-based dynamic nonlinear closed-loop model of cerebral hemodynamics to compute "physiomarkers" quantifying the state of cerebral flow autoregulation to pressure-changes (CA) and cerebral CO2 vasomotor reactivity (CVMR) in each subject. This model is estimated from beat-to-beat measurements of mean arterial blood pressure, mean cerebral blood flow velocity and end-tidal CO2, which can be made reliably and non-invasively under resting conditions. This model may also take an open-loop form and comparisons are made with the closed-loop counterpart. The proposed model-based physiomarkers take the form of two indices that quantify the gain of the CA and CVMR processes in each subject. It was found in an initial set of clinical data that the CVMR index delineates AD patients from control subjects and, therefore, may prove useful in the improved diagnosis of early-stage AD.
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Affiliation(s)
- V Z Marmarelis
- University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA,
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Mitchell SA, Simon TA, Raza S, Jakouloff D, Orme ME, Lockhart I, Drost P. The Efficacy and Safety of Oral Anticoagulants in Warfarin-Suitable Patients With Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation. Clin Appl Thromb Hemost 2013; 19:619-31. [DOI: 10.1177/1076029613486539] [Citation(s) in RCA: 37] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
Abstract
The novel oral anticoagulants (NOACs) apixaban, dabigatran, and rivaroxaban have been recently indicated for stroke prevention in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) . Due to a lack of direct head-to-head trials comparing the NOACs, the current systematic review and network meta-analysis (NMA) were conducted to assess their relative efficacy and safety. Three phase III randomized controlled trials enrolling 50 578 patients were included. Results of the NMA show a clear trend favoring NOACs over warfarin with regard to the key outcomes of stroke/systemic embolism and all-cause mortality, with apixaban also showing a favorable response for major bleeding and total discontinuations. Although there were few significant differences among the NOACS with regard to efficacy outcomes, apixaban and dabigatran 110 mg were associated with significantly lower hazards of major bleeding compared with dabigatran 150 mg and rivaroxaban. The NOACs offer a therapeutic advance over standard warfarin treatment in stoke prevention in patients with nonvalvular AF.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Teresa A. Simon
- Global Health Economics and Outcomes Research, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Princeton, NJ, USA
| | - Syed Raza
- Analyst Systematic Review, Abacus International, Bicester, UK
| | - David Jakouloff
- Health Outcomes, Bristol-Myers Squibb International, Rueil-Malmaison, France
| | | | - Ian Lockhart
- Evidence Based Medicine Manager, Pfizer, Tadworth, UK
| | - Pieter Drost
- EMEA Health Economics and Outcomes Research, Bristol-Myers Squibb International, Braine-L’Alleud, Belgium
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Marmarelis VZ, Shin DC, Orme ME, Zhang R. Closed-loop dynamic modeling of cerebral hemodynamics. Ann Biomed Eng 2013; 41:1029-48. [PMID: 23292615 DOI: 10.1007/s10439-012-0736-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 25] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/29/2012] [Accepted: 12/26/2012] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
Abstract
The dynamics of cerebral hemodynamics have been studied extensively because of their fundamental physiological and clinical importance. In particular, the dynamic processes of cerebral flow autoregulation (CFA) and CO2 vasomotor reactivity have attracted broad attention because of their involvement in a host of pathologies and clinical conditions (e.g., hypertension, syncope, stroke, traumatic brain injury, vascular dementia, Alzheimer's disease, mild cognitive impairment etc.). This raises the prospect of useful diagnostic methods being developed on the basis of quantitative models of cerebral hemodynamics, if cerebral vascular dysfunction can be quantified reliably from data collected within practical clinical constraints. This paper presents a modeling method that utilizes beat-to-beat measurements of mean arterial blood pressure, cerebral blood flow velocity and end-tidal CO2 (collected non-invasively under resting conditions) to quantify the dynamics of CFA and cerebral vasomotor reactivity (CVMR). The unique and novel aspect of this dynamic model is that it is nonlinear and operates in a closed-loop configuration.
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Affiliation(s)
- V Z Marmarelis
- University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
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Orme ME, Macgilchrist KS, Mitchell S, Spurden D, Bird A. Systematic review and network meta-analysis of combination and monotherapy treatments in disease-modifying antirheumatic drug-experienced patients with rheumatoid arthritis: analysis of American College of Rheumatology criteria scores 20, 50, and 70. Biologics 2012; 6:429-64. [PMID: 23269860 PMCID: PMC3529627 DOI: 10.2147/btt.s36707] [Citation(s) in RCA: 24] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/31/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Biologic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (bDMARDs) extend the treatment choices for rheumatoid arthritis patients with suboptimal response or intolerance to conventional DMARDs. The objective of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to compare the relative efficacy of EU-licensed bDMARD combination therapy or monotherapy for patients intolerant of or contraindicated to continued methotrexate. METHODS Comprehensive, structured literature searches were conducted in Medline, Embase, and the Cochrane Library, as well as hand-searching of conference proceedings and reference lists. Phase II or III randomized controlled trials reporting American College of Rheumatology (ACR) criteria scores of 20, 50, and 70 between 12 and 30 weeks' follow-up and enrolling adult patients meeting ACR classification criteria for rheumatoid arthritis previously treated with and with an inadequate response to conventional DMARDs were eligible. To estimate the relative efficacy of treatments whilst preserving the randomized comparisons within each trial, a Bayesian network meta-analysis was conducted in WinBUGS using fixed and random-effects, logit-link models fitted to the binomial ACR 20/50/70 trial data. RESULTS The systematic review identified 10,625 citations, and after a review of 2450 full-text papers, there were 29 and 14 eligible studies for the combination and monotherapy meta-analyses, respectively. In the combination analysis, all licensed bDMARD combinations had significantly higher odds of ACR 20/50/70 compared to DMARDs alone, except for the rituximab comparison, which did not reach significance for the ACR 70 outcome (based on the 95% credible interval). The etanercept combination was significantly better than the tumor necrosis factor-α inhibitors adalimumab and infliximab in improving ACR 20/50/70 outcomes, with no significant differences between the etanercept combination and certolizumab pegol or tocilizumab. Licensed-dose etanercept, adalimumab, and tocilizumab monotherapy were significantly better than placebo in improving ACR 20/50/70 outcomes. Sensitivity analysis indicated that including studies outside the target population could affect the results. CONCLUSION Licensed bDMARDs are efficacious in patients with an inadequate response to conventional therapy, but tumor necrosis factor-α inhibitor combination therapies are not equally effective.
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Orme ME, Jurewicz WA, Kumar N, McKechnie TL. The cost effectiveness of tacrolimus versus microemulsified cyclosporin: a 10-year model of renal transplantation outcomes. Pharmacoeconomics 2003; 21:1263-1276. [PMID: 14986738 DOI: 10.2165/00019053-200321170-00003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/24/2023]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVE In 1983, the launch of cyclosporin was a significant clinical advance for organ transplant recipients. Subsequent drug research led to further advances with the introduction of cyclosporin microemulsion (cyclosporin ME) and tacrolimus. This paper presents the results from a long-term model comparing the clinical and economic outcomes associated with cyclosporin ME and tacrolimus immunosuppression for the prevention of graft rejection following renal transplantation. STUDY DESIGN A model was developed to project the costs and outcomes over a 10-year period following transplantation. The model was based on the results of a prospective, randomised study of 179 renal transplantation recipients receiving either cyclosporin ME or tacrolimus, which was conducted by the Welsh Transplantation Research Group (median follow-up: 2.7 years). METHODS The short-term costs and outcomes were the averages from the actual head-to-head trial data. From this, the long-term costs and outcomes were extrapolated based on the rate of change in patient and graft survival at 3, 5 and 10 years post transplant, as reported in the 1995 United Kingdom Transplant Support Service Authority Renal Transplant Audit. PERSPECTIVE AND YEAR OF COST DATA: The analysis was conducted from the perspective of a UK transplant unit. Costs were at 1999 prices (pounds sterling 1 = dollars US 1.42 = Euro 1.5) and costs and outcomes were discounted at 6% and 1.5%, respectively. RESULTS The model estimated that 10 years after transplantation, the proportion of patients surviving was 56% of the cyclosporin ME cohort and 64% of the tacrolimus cohort. The cumulative cost of maintenance therapy at 10 years was pounds sterling 23204 per patient maintained on cyclosporin ME versus pounds sterling 23803 per patient on tacrolimus. The cost per survivor at 10 years was pounds sterling 37000 (tacrolimus) versus pounds sterling 41000 (cyclosporin ME) and the cost per patient with a functioning graft was pounds sterling 39000 versus pounds sterling 45000. A Monte Carlo simulation of the model (10000 simulations) gave an average cost at 10 years of pounds sterling 23279 (SD pounds sterling 3457) for cyclosporin ME and pounds sterling 22841 (SD pounds sterling 3590) for tacrolimus. A (second order) probabilistic sensitivity analysis was also performed. The average cost at 10 years from a simulated cohort of 1000 was pounds sterling 23473 (SD pounds sterling 2154) for cyclosporin ME and pounds sterling 24087 (SD pounds sterling 2025) for tacrolimus. CONCLUSION Renal transplant recipients maintained on tacrolimus have better short- and long-term outcomes than patients maintained on cyclosporin ME. The long-term use of tacrolimus is a more cost-effective solution in terms of the number of survivors, patients with a functioning graft and rejection-free patients.
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Abstract
PURPOSE To compare the cost and outcomes of bilateral cataract surgery with the foldable AMOArray multifocal intraocular lens (MIOL) versus the foldable monofocal intraocular lens from the health care payer perspective. METHODS A cost-effectiveness analysis was used to evaluate treatment with the MIOL compared to monofocal lens, using data from clinical trials, literature, expert opinion, and a review of the German health care funding and reimbursement system. RESULTS The average total direct medical cost per patient (per procedure) with the MIOL was DM 1,774 compared to DM 1,716 with the monofocal lens (1DM = US$0.558 in April 1998). The MIOL was more cost-effective than the monofocal lens in terms of cost per patient (spectacle-free). Cost per patient without overall limitation in vision-related function and cost per patient without limited night vision were similar for both patient groups. The incremental cost of the MIOL for a one-point increase was DM 52 in the self-rated score "quality of vision," DM 82 in "satisfaction with day vision," and DM 115 in "satisfaction with night vision." CONCLUSION The small additional cost of the MIOL was outweighed by the increased satisfaction with vision experienced by MIOL patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Michelle E Orme
- Lewin Group, Action International House, Egham, Surrey, United Kingdom
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Abstract
OBJECTIVE To describe the health and economic consequences of smoking model, a user friendly, web based tool, designed to estimate the health and economic outcomes associated with smoking and the benefits of smoking cessation. RESULTS An overview of the development of the model equations and user interface is given, and data from the UK are presented as an example of the model outputs. These results show that a typical smoking cessation strategy costs approximately 1200 pounds sterling per life year saved and 22,000 pounds sterling per death averted. CONCLUSIONS The model successfully captures the complexity required to model smoking behaviour and associated mortality, morbidity, and health care costs. Furthermore, the interface provides the results in a simple and flexible way so as to be useful to a variety of audiences and to simulate a variety of smoking cessation methods.
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Affiliation(s)
- M E Orme
- The Lewin Group, Bracknell, Berkshire, UK.
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15
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Orme ME, Chaplain MA. Two-dimensional models of tumour angiogenesis and anti-angiogenesis strategies. IMA J Math Appl Med Biol 1997; 14:189-205. [PMID: 9306674] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/05/2023]
Abstract
There is a very strong link between the vascularization of a tumour and the spread of the disease, both locally and to distant sites (Gimbrone et al., 1974, J. Natl. Cancer Inst. 52, 413-27; Muthukkaruppan et al., 1982, J. Natl. Cancer Inst. 69, 699-704; Ellis & Fiddler, 1995, Lancet 346, 388-9). A tumour becomes vascularized by a process known as angiogenesis. Tumour angiogenesis is initiated by the release of diffusible substances by the tumour, whereby neighbouring capillary vessels are stimulated to grow and eventually penetrate the tumour. Anti-angiogenesis has been proposed as a potential strategy for the treatment of cancer (Folkman, 1995, Nature Med. 1, 21-31; Harris et al., 1996, Breast Cancer Res. Treat. 38, 97-108). In this paper, a mathematical model of the development of the tumour vasculature is presented. By suitable manipulation of the model parameters, we simulate various anti-angiogenesis strategies and we examine the roles that haptotaxis and chemotaxis may play during the growth of the neovasculature. The model is simulated in two space dimensions (on a square domain) so that it is, in theory, experimentally reproducible and any predictions of the model can therefore be tested.
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Affiliation(s)
- M E Orme
- School of Mathematical Sciences, University of Bath, UK
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16
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Orme ME, Chaplain MA. A mathematical model of the first steps of tumour-related angiogenesis: capillary sprout formation and secondary branching. IMA J Math Appl Med Biol 1996; 13:73-98. [PMID: 8671581] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/01/2023]
Abstract
The growth of a solid tumour is dependent on an adequate supply of nutrients. A tumour can establish a blood supply by inducing neighbouring blood vessels to sprout and grow towards it, a process known as angiogenesis. The tumour cells may secrete a number of diffusible chemicals which stimulate endothelial cell to migrate, to rearrange themselves into capillary tubes or sprouts, and to proliferate. In this paper we focus firstly upon the early stage of angiogenesis wherein the endothelial cells group together in the parent vessel to form the initial capillary-sprout buds. A mathematical model for the formation of the capillary buds is presented which focuses on the potential role that haptotaxis may play. In Section 2 we turn attention to the endothelial cells within the growing and developing capillary sprouts as they migrate towards the tumour cells. Once again the potential role of haptotaxis is focused upon.
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Affiliation(s)
- M E Orme
- School of Mathematical Sciences, University of Bath, UK
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17
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Abstract
A methodology for modeling spike-output neural systems from input-output data is proposed, which makes use of "neuronal modes" (NM) and "multi-input threshold" (MT) operators. The modeling concept of NM's was introduced in a previously published paper in order to provide concise and general mathematical representations of the nonlinear dynamics involved in signal transformation and coding by a class of neural systems. This paper presents and demonstrates (with computer simulations) a method by which the NM's are determined using the 1st- and 2nd-order kernel estimates of the system, obtained from input-output data. The MT operator (i.e., a binary operator with multiple real-valued operands which are the outputs of the NM's) possesses an intrinsic refractory mechanism and generates the sequence of output spikes. The spike-generating characteristics of the MT operator are determined by the "trigger regions" defined on the basis of data. This approach is offered as a reasonable compromise between modeling complexity and prediction accuracy, which may provide a common methodological framework for modeling a certain class of neural systems.
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Affiliation(s)
- V Z Marmarelis
- Department of Biomedical Engineering, USC, Los Angeles 90089
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