Association of hepatitis delta virus with liver morbidity and mortality: A systematic literature review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Studies have suggested that patients with chronic hepatitis B, either co- or superinfected, have more aggressive liver disease progression than those with the HDV. This systematic literature review and meta-analysis examined whether HDV RNA status is associated with increased risk of advanced liver disease events in patients who are HBsAg and HDV antibody positive.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

A total of 12 publications were included. Relative rates of progression to advanced liver disease event for HDV RNA+/detectable versus HDV RNA-/undetectable were extracted for analysis. Reported OR and HRs with 95% CI were pooled using the Hartung-Knapp-Sidik-Jonkman method for random-effects models. The presence of HDV RNA+ was associated with an increased risk of any advanced liver disease event [random effect (95% CI): risk ratio: 1.48 (0.93, 2.33); HR: 2.62 (1.55, 4.44)]. When compared to the patients with HDV RNA- status, HDV RNA+ was associated with a significantly higher risk of progressing to compensated cirrhosis [risk ratio: 1.74 (1.24, 2.45)] decompensated cirrhosis [HR: 3.82 (1.60, 9.10)], HCC [HR: 2.97 (1.87, 4.70)], liver transplantation [HR: 7.07 (1.61, 30.99)], and liver-related mortality [HR: 3.78 (2.18, 6.56)].

CONCLUSIONS

The patients with HDV RNA+ status have a significantly greater risk of liver disease progression than the patients who are HDV RNA-. These findings highlight the need for improved HDV screening and linkage to treatment to reduce the risk of liver-related morbidity and mortality.

Cost-effectiveness of switching from tenofovir disoproxil fumarate to tenofovir alafenamide versus entecavir for chronic hepatitis B patients in Greece

Aim: This study assessed the clinical impact and cost-effectiveness of switching from tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) to either tenofovir alafenamide (TAF) or entecavir (ETV) in a Greek chronic hepatitis B (CHB) population. Patients & methods: A Markov model from the perspective of a third-party payer in Greece quantified the health and economic benefits of switching from TDF to either TAF or ETV over a lifetime horizon. Results: Over a lifetime, patients who switch from TDF to TAF versus patients who switch from TDF to ETV had an overall lower incidence of compensated cirrhosis (0.4% lower), decompensated cirrhosis (0.04% lower) and hepatocellular carcinoma (0.25% lower). Chronic kidney disease and end-stage renal disease were also lower in patients who switch to TAF; major osteoporotic fractures were similar for both groups. While total costs were higher for switching from TDF to TAF versus TDF to ETV due to the higher cost of TAF, switching from TDF to TAF versus ETV was cost effective with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of €17,113 per quality-adjusted life year. Conclusion: Switching from TDF to TAF in patients living with CHB is a cost effective strategy to reduce adverse liver disease outcomes, while improving bone- and renal-related safety outcomes.

Understanding the Natural History of Chronic Hepatitis D: Proposal of a Model for Cost-Effectiveness Studies

BACKGROUND

As new therapeutic options become available, better understanding the potential impact of emerging therapies on clinical outcomes of hepatits D virus (HDV) is critical.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to develop a natural history model for patients with hepatitis D virus.

METHODS

We developed a model (decision tree followed by a Markov cohort model) in adults with chronic HDV infection to assess the natural history and impact of novel treatments on disease progression versus best supportive care (BSC). The model time horizon was over a lifetime (up to 100 years of age); state transitions and health states were defined by responder status. Patients in fibrosis stages 0 through 4 received treatment; decompensated patients were not treated. Response was defined as the combined response endpoint of achievement of HDV-RNA undetectability/≥2-log10 decline and alanine aminotransferase normalization; response rates of 50% and 75% were explored. Health events associated with advanced liver disease were modeled as the number of events per 10,000 patients. Scenario analyses of early treatment, alternate treatment response, and no fibrosis regression for treatment responders were also explored.

RESULTS

The model was able to reflect disease progression similarly to published natural history studies for patients with HBV/HDV infection. In a hypothetical cohort of patients reflecting a population enrolled in a recent clinical trial, fewer advanced liver disease events were observed with a novel HDV treatment versus BSC. Fewer liver-related deaths were observed under 50% and 75% response (900 and 1,358 fewer deaths, respectively, per 10,000 patients). Scenario analyses showed consistently fewer advanced liver disease events with HDV treatment compared with BSC, with greater reductions observed with earlier treatment.

CONCLUSION

This HDV disease progression model replicated findings from natural history studies. Furthermore, it found that a hypothetical HDV treatment results in better clinical outcomes for patients versus BSC, with greater benefit observed when starting treatment early. This validated natural history model for HBV/HDV infection can serve as a foundation for future clinical and economic analyses of novel HDV treatments that can support healthcare stakeholders in the management of patients with chronic HDV.

A Comparison of Arterial Input Function Interpolation Methods for Patlak Plot Analysis of 68Ga-PSMA-11 PET Prostate Cancer Studies

Positron emission tomography (PET) imaging enables quantitative assessment of tissue physiology. Dynamic pharmacokinetic analysis of PET images requires accurate estimation of the radiotracer plasma input function to derive meaningful parameter estimates, and small discrepancies in parameter estimation can mimic subtle physiologic tissue variation. This study evaluates the impact of input function interpolation method on the accuracy of Patlak kinetic parameter estimation through simulations modeling the pharmacokinetic properties of [68Ga]-PSMA-11. This study evaluated both trained and untrained methods. Although the mean kinetic parameter accuracy was similar across all interpolation models, the trained node weighting interpolation model estimated accurate kinetic parameters with reduced overall variability relative to standard linear interpolation. Trained node weighting interpolation reduced kinetic parameter estimation variance by a magnitude approximating the underlying physiologic differences between normal and diseased prostatic tissue. Overall, this analysis suggests that trained node weighting improves the reliability of Patlak kinetic parameter estimation for [68Ga]-PSMA-11 PET.

Comparison of tracer kinetic models for 68Ga-PSMA-11 PET in intermediate-risk primary prostate cancer patients

BACKGROUND

68Ga-PSMA-11 positron emission tomography enables the detection of primary, recurrent, and metastatic prostate cancer. Regional radiopharmaceutical uptake is generally evaluated in static images and quantified as standard uptake values (SUVs) for clinical decision-making. However, analysis of dynamic images characterizing both tracer uptake and pharmacokinetics may offer added insights into the underlying tissue pathophysiology. This study was undertaken to evaluate the suitability of various kinetic models for 68Ga-PSMA-11 PET analysis. Twenty-three lesions in 18 patients were included in a retrospective kinetic evaluation of 55-min dynamic 68Ga-PSMA-11 pre-prostatectomy PET scans from patients with biopsy-demonstrated intermediate- to high-risk prostate cancer. Three kinetic models-a reversible one-tissue compartment model, an irreversible two-tissue compartment model, and a reversible two-tissue compartment model, were evaluated for their goodness of fit to lesion and normal reference prostate time-activity curves. Kinetic parameters obtained through graphical analysis and tracer kinetic modeling techniques were compared for reference prostate tissue and lesion regions of interest.

RESULTS

Supported by goodness of fit and information loss criteria, the irreversible two-tissue compartment model optimally fit the time-activity curves. Lesions exhibited significant differences in kinetic rate constants (K1, k2, k3, Ki) and semiquantitative measures (SUV and %ID/kg) when compared with reference prostatic tissue. The two-tissue irreversible tracer kinetic model was consistently appropriate across prostatic zones.

CONCLUSIONS

An irreversible tracer kinetic model is appropriate for dynamic analysis of 68Ga-PSMA-11 PET images. Kinetic parameters estimated by Patlak graphical analysis or full compartmental analysis can distinguish tumor from normal prostate tissue.

An updated cost-effectiveness analysis of axicabtagene ciloleucel in second-line large B-cell lymphoma patients in the United States

AIMS

This economic evaluation of axicabtagene ciloleucel (axi-cel) versus previous standard of care (SOC; salvage chemotherapy followed by high-dose therapy with autologous stem cell rescue) in the second line (2L) large B-cell lymphoma population is an update of previous economic models that contained immature survival data.

METHODS

This analysis is based on primary overall survival (OS) ZUMA-7 clinical trial data (median follow-up of 47.2 months), from a United States (US) payer perspective, with a model time horizon of 50 years. Mixture cure models were used to extrapolate updated survival data; subsequent treatment data and costs were updated. Patients who remained in the event-free survival state by 5 years were assumed to have achieved long-term remission and not require subsequent treatment.

RESULTS

Substantial survival and quality of life benefits were observed despite 57% of patients in the SOC arm receiving subsequent cellular therapy: median model-projected (ZUMA-7 trial Kaplan-Meier estimated) OS was 78 months (median not reached) for axi-cel versus 25 months (31 months) for SOC, resulting in incremental quality-adjusted life year (QALY) difference of 1.63 in favor of axi-cel. Incrementally higher subsequent treatment costs were observed in the SOC arm due to substantial crossover to cellular therapies, thus, when considering the generally accepted willingness to pay threshold of $150,000 per QALY in the US, axi-cel was cost-effective with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $98,040 per QALY.

CONCLUSIONS

Results remained consistent across a wide range of sensitivity and scenario analysis, including a crossover adjusted analysis, suggesting that the mature OS data has significantly reduced the uncertainty of axi-cel's cost-effectiveness in the 2L setting in the US. Deferring treatment with CAR T therapies after attempting a path to transplant may result in excess mortality, lower quality of life and would be an inefficient use of resources relative to 2L axi-cel.

Comparison of Tracer Kinetic Models for 68Ga-PSMA-11 PET in Intermediate Risk Primary Prostate Cancer Patients

BACKGROUND

68Ga-PSMA-11 positron emission tomography enables the detection of primary, recurrent, and metastatic prostate cancer. Regional radiopharmaceutical uptake is generally evaluated in static images and quantified as standard uptake values (SUV) for clinical decision-making. However, analysis of dynamic images characterizing both tracer uptake and pharmacokinetics may offer added insights into the underlying tissue pathophysiology. This study was undertaken to evaluate the suitability of various kinetic models for 68Ga-PSMA-11 PET analysis. Twenty-three lesions in 18 patients were included in a retrospective kinetic evaluation of 55-minute dynamic 68Ga-PSMA-11 pre-prostatectomy PET scans from patients with biopsy-demonstrated intermediate to high-risk prostate cancer. A reversible one-tissue compartment model, irreversible two-tissue compartment model, and a reversible two-tissue compartment model were evaluated for their goodness-of-fit to lesion and normal reference prostate time-activity curves. Kinetic parameters obtained through graphical analysis and tracer kinetic modeling techniques were compared for reference prostate tissue and lesion regions of interest.

RESULTS

Supported by goodness-of-fit and information loss criteria, the irreversible two-tissue compartment model was selected as optimally fitting the time-activity curves. Lesions exhibited significant differences in kinetic rate constants (K1, k2, k3, Ki) and semiquantitative measures (SUV) when compared with reference prostatic tissue. The two-tissue irreversible tracer kinetic model was consistently appropriate across prostatic zones.

CONCLUSIONS

An irreversible tracer kinetic model is appropriate for dynamic analysis of 68Ga-PSMA-11 PET images. Kinetic parameters estimated by Patlak graphical analysis or full compartmental analysis can distinguish tumor from normal prostate tissue.

Timeline to dysphagia resolution after endoscopic intervention of an interarytenoid defect based on Video Fluoroscopic Swallow Study dysphagia severity

INTRODUCTION

We previously reported that endoscopic repair of a Type 1 Laryngeal Cleft (LC1) or Deep Interarytenoid Groove (DIG) improves swallowing function postoperatively. However, caregivers often ask about the timeline to resolution of the need for thickening. This study re-examines this cohort to answer this important caregiver-centered question.

METHODS

We reassessed a 3-year retrospective, single-center dataset of children with dysphagia found to have a LC-1 or DIG on endoscopic exam. The primary outcome was rate of complete resolution of dysphagia at 2, 6, and 12 months after endoscopic intervention. A sub-group analysis was made based on severity of dysphagia prior to intervention and by type of endoscopic repair.

RESULTS

Thirty-nine patients with mean age 1.35 years that had a LC-1 or DIG met criteria for inclusion. Rate of complete dysphagia resolution increased over time. Those with mild dysphagia (flow-reducing nipple and/or IDDSI consistency 1 or 2) had brisker resolution than those with moderate dysphagia (IDDSI consistency 3 or 4) at 2 months (67% vs 5%, p < 0.01) and at 6 months (80% vs 18%, p < 0.01) after endoscopic repair. There was no difference in dysphagia resolution between patients grouped by type of endoscopic repair.

CONCLUSION

Addressing an interarytenoid defect in patients will not result in immediate, complete dysphagia resolution in most patients. However, patients that only require a flow-reducing nipple and/or thickening to an IDDSI consistency 1 or 2 have brisker resolution of the need for thickening than those that require an IDSSI consistency 3 or 4 prior to intervention. These results inform pre-operative discussions of the timeline to resolution based upon severity of dysphagia and help manage caregiver expectations.

Hybrid 18F-Fluoroethyltyrosine PET and MRI with Perfusion to Distinguish Disease Progression from Treatment-Related Change in Malignant Brain Tumors: The Quest to Beat the Toughest Cases

Conventional MRI has important limitations when assessing for progression of disease (POD) versus treatment-related changes (TRC) in patients with malignant brain tumors. We describe the observed impact and pitfalls of implementing 18F-fluoroethyltyrosine (18F-FET) perfusion PET/MRI into routine clinical practice. Methods: Through expanded-access investigational new drug use of 18F-FET, hybrid 18F-FET perfusion PET/MRI was performed during clinical management of 80 patients with World Health Organization central nervous system grade 3 or 4 gliomas or brain metastases of 6 tissue origins for which the prior brain MRI results were ambiguous. The diagnostic performance with 18F-FET PET/MRI was dually evaluated within routine clinical service and for retrospective parametric evaluation. Various 18F-FET perfusion PET/MRI parameters were assessed, and patients were monitored for at least 6 mo to confirm the diagnosis using pathology, imaging, and clinical progress. Results: Hybrid 18F-FET perfusion PET/MRI had high overall accuracy (86%), sensitivity (86%), and specificity (87%) for difficult diagnostic cases for which conventional MRI accuracy was poor (66%). 18F-FET tumor-to-brain ratio static metrics were highly reliable for distinguishing POD from TRC (area under the curve, 0.90). Dynamic tumor-to-brain intercept was more accurate (85%) than SUV slope (73%) or time to peak (73%). Concordant PET/MRI findings were 89% accurate. When PET and MRI conflicted, 18F-FET PET was correct in 12 of 15 cases (80%), whereas MRI was correct in 3 of 15 cases (20%). Clinical management changed after 88% (36/41) of POD diagnoses, whereas management was maintained after 87% (34/39) of TRC diagnoses. Conclusion: Hybrid 18F-FET PET/MRI positively impacted the routine clinical care of challenging malignant brain tumor cases at a U.S. institution. The results add to a growing body of literature that 18F-FET PET complements MRI, even rescuing MRI when it fails.

The cost-effectiveness of non-invasive stool-based colorectal cancer screening offerings from age 45 for a commercial and medicare population

AIM

The United States Preventive Services Taskforce (USPSTF) recently recommended lowering the age for average-risk colorectal cancer (CRC) screening from 50 to 45 years. While initiating screening at age 45 versus 50 provides a greater opportunity for CRC early detection and prevention, the full profile of benefits, risks, and cost-effectiveness of expanding the screen-eligible population requires further evaluation.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The costs and clinical outcomes for screening at age 45 for triennial multi-target stool DNA [mt-sDNA], and other non-invasive stool-based modalities (annual fecal immunochemical test [FIT] and annual fecal-occult blood test [FOBT]), were estimated using the validated CRC-AIM microsimulation model over a lifetime horizon. Test sensitivity and specificity inputs were based on 2021 USPSTF modeling analyses; adherence rates were based on published real-world data and the costs of the screening test, follow-up colonoscopies, complications, and CRC care were included. Outcomes are reported from the perspective of a United States payer as clinical, life-years gained (LYG), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER); stool-based and follow-up colonoscopy adherence ranges were explored in one-way, probabilistic and threshold analyses.

RESULTS

When compared to initiation of CRC screening at age 45 versus 50, all modalities reduced both the incidence of and mortality from CRC and increased LYG. Initiating CRC screening at age 45 was cost-effective with an ICER of $59,816 and $35,857 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) for mt-sDNA versus FIT and FOBT, respectively. In the threshold analyses, at equivalent rates to stool-based screening, mt-sDNA was always cost-effective at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000 per QALY versus FIT and FOBT.

CONCLUSIONS

Initiating average-risk CRC screening at age 45 instead of age 50 increases the estimated clinical benefit by reducing disease burden while remaining cost-effective. Among stool-based screening modalities, mt-sDNA provides the most clinical benefit in a Commercial and Medicare population.

Estimating recurrences prevented and costs avoided with atezolizumab in early non‐small cell lung cancer in the United States

BACKGROUND

Recurrence of early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (eNSCLC) is associated with significant mortality and costs. Atezolizumab (ATZ) was recently approved as adjuvant treatment following resection and platinum-based chemotherapy for adults with stage II-IIIA NSCLC with PD-L1 expression ≥1% after demonstrating significant improvement in disease-free survival (DFS) relative to best supportive care (BSC) in the IMpower010 trial (NCT02486718). This study evaluated the population-level impact of ATZ as adjuvant treatment for eNSCLC in the United States by estimating the number and costs of recurrences avoided.

METHODS

A Monte Carlo simulation model estimated the cumulative number of recurrences and deaths prevented, along with direct, indirect, and terminal care costs, by treating eNSCLC patients with ATZ compared to BSC. The model included eligible patients treated in any given year and followed over a 5-year period. Recurrence and mortality rates and costs were based on the IMpower010 data and supplemented by estimates from published literature.

RESULTS

An estimated 4400 eNSCLC patients in the United States were eligible for adjuvant ATZ in any given year, of whom 2387 would experience recurrence within 5 years with BSC. Following the introduction of ATZ, 1030 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1023, 1036) recurrences and 369 (95% CI: 362, 376) deaths would be avoided with estimated reductions in cumulative recurrence-related direct, indirect, and terminal care costs of $785 million, $15 million, and $32 million, respectively, over a 5-year time horizon.

CONCLUSIONS

Adjuvant ATZ is estimated to prevent a significant number of recurrences and reduce the economic burden of eNSCLC.

Cost-Effectiveness of KTE-X19 for Adults with Relapsed/Refractory B-Cell Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia in the United States

Introduction

Despite currently available treatments for adults with relapsed/refractory acute lymphoblastic leukemia (R/R ALL), survival outcomes remain poor, highlighting the need for new therapeutic strategies. This study estimates the cost-effectiveness of KTE-X19 to treat adults with R/R ALL from a US payer perspective.

Methods

The model had two components: a decision-tree, where pre-infusion costs for patients who ultimately did not receive KTE-X19 are accounted for, followed by a partitioned survival analysis, where all KTE-X19 infused patients would enter the three-state (pre-progression, progressed disease, death) model. Comparators included current standard of care treatments, i.e., blinatumomab (BLIN), inotuzumab ozogamicin (INO), and salvage chemotherapy (CHEMO). Both standard parametric and mixture cure models were used to model survival. Efficacy, safety, healthcare resource utilization, and health state utility inputs were derived from the ZUMA-3 trial (NCT02614066) and literature. Cost inputs were derived from literature or publicly available sources. Outcomes and costs were discounted 3% annually. Results of KTE-X19 versus comparators are reported as total and incremental life-years (LYs), quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), costs, and resulting incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses (PSA) and key scenario analyses were also performed.

Results

In the base case, incremental QALYs for KTE-X19 were 2.44, 3.26, and 4.61 versus BLIN, INO, and CHEMO, respectively. Incremental costs were $50,913, $251,532, and $432,027, respectively, resulting in ICERs of $20,843/QALY (versus BLIN), $77,271/QALY (versus INO), and $93,768/QALY (versus CHEMO). Deterministic sensitivity analysis results were most sensitive to subsequent allogeneic stem cell transplant rates and post-progression utilities. PSA found that KTE-X19 is 78.4%, 74.0%, and 75.4% likely to be cost-effective versus BLIN, INO, and CHEMO, respectively. Across most scenarios, at a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of $150,000/QALY, KTE-X19 was cost-effective versus all treatments.

Conclusions

Compared to current options for adults with R/R ALL, KTE-X19 is cost-effective, driven primarily by improved survival.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s12325-022-02201-6.

Several treatments for adults with relapsed/refractory B-cell precursor acute lymphoblastic leukemia (R/R B-ALL) have been approved in the past decade in the US, including blinatumomab (BLIN) and inotuzumab ozogamicin (INO). However, despite the high costs associated with these treatments, survival for patients remains poor. KTE-X19, an autologous anti-CD19 chimeric antigen receptor T-cell (CAR-T) therapy, approved by the Food and Drug Administration in October 2021, has potential to improve survival, but its economic value has not yet been determined. This model comprehensively evaluated the long-term clinical and economic value of KTE-X19 versus current treatments, including BLIN, INO, and salvage chemotherapy (CHEMO). Inputs were derived from key clinical trials, the literature, and other publicly available sources. The model used the perspective of a US third party payer over a patient lifetime. Compared to BLIN, INO and CHEMO, KTE-X19 resulted in improved quality of life as measured with incremental quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) of 2.44 (vs BLIN), 3.26 (vs INO), and 4.61 (vs CHEMO). Treatment with KTE-X19 had incremental costs of $50,913 (vs BLIN), $251,532 (vs INO), and $432,027 (vs CHEMO). KTE-X19 was found to provide good value for money based on incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of $20,843/QALY (vs BLIN), $77,271/QALY (vs INO), and $93,768/QALY (vs CHEMO). These values are well below the commonly accepted thresholds to determine economic value. Results were also found to be robust across sensitivity and scenario analyses.

In Vivo Quantitative Whole-Body Perfusion Imaging Using Radiolabeled Copper(II) Bis(Thiosemicarbazone) Complexes and Positron Emission Tomography (PET)

Traditional quantitative perfusion imaging methods require complex data acquisition and analysis strategies; typically require ancillary arterial blood sampling for measurement of input functions; are limited to single organ or tissue regions in an imaging session; and because of their complexity, are not well suited for routine clinical implementation in a standardized fashion that can be readily repeated across diverse clinical sites. The whole-body perfusion method described in this chapter has the advantages of on-demand radiotracer production; simple tissue pharmacokinetics enabling standardized estimation of perfusion; short-lived radionuclides, facilitating repeat or combination imaging procedures; and scalability to support widespread clinical implementation. This method leverages the unique physiological characteristics of radiolabeled copper(II) bis(thiosemicarbazone) complexes and the detection sensitivity of positron emission tomography (PET) to produce quantitatively accurate whole-body perfusion images. This chapter describes the synthesis of ethylglyoxal bis(thosemicarbazonato)copper(II) labeled with copper-62 ([⁶²Cu]Cu-ETS), its unique physiological characteristics, a simple tracer kinetic model for estimation of perfusion using image-derived input functions, and validation of the method against a reference standard perfusion tracer. A detailed description of the methods is provided to facilitate implementation of the perfusion imaging method in PET imaging facilities.

Cost-Effectiveness of Outreach Strategies for Stool-Based Colorectal Cancer Screening in a Medicaid Population

Outreach, including patient navigation, has been shown to increase the uptake of colorectal cancer (CRC) screening in underserved populations. This analysis evaluates the cost-effectiveness of triennial multi-target stool DNA (mt-sDNA) versus outreach, with or without a mailed annual fecal immunochemical test (FIT), in a Medicaid population. A microsimulation model estimated the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio using quality-adjusted life years (QALY), direct costs, and clinical outcomes in a cohort of Medicaid beneficiaries aged 50–64 years, over a lifetime time horizon. The base case model explored scenarios of either 100% adherence or real-world reported adherence (51.3% for mt-sDNA, 21.1% for outreach with FIT and 12.3% for outreach without FIT) with or without real-world adherence for follow-up colonoscopy (66.7% for all). Costs and outcomes were discounted at 3.0%. At 100% adherence to both screening tests and follow-up colonoscopy, mt-sDNA costed more and was less effective compared with outreach with or without FIT. When real-world adherence rates were considered for screening strategies (with 100% adherence for follow-up colonoscopy), mt-sDNA resulted in the greatest reduction in incidence and mortality from CRC (41.5% and 45.8%, respectively) compared with outreach with or without FIT; mt-sDNA also was cost-effective versus outreach with and without FIT ($32,150/QALY and $22,707/QALY, respectively). mt-sDNA remained cost-effective versus FIT, with or without outreach, under real-world adherence rates for follow-up colonoscopy. Outreach or navigation interventions, with associated real-world adherence rates to screening tests, should be considered when evaluating the cost-effectiveness of CRC screening strategies in underserved populations.

Array programming with NumPy

Array programming provides a powerful, compact and expressive syntax for accessing, manipulating and operating on data in vectors, matrices and higher-dimensional arrays. NumPy is the primary array programming library for the Python language. It has an essential role in research analysis pipelines in fields as diverse as physics, chemistry, astronomy, geoscience, biology, psychology, materials science, engineering, finance and economics. For example, in astronomy, NumPy was an important part of the software stack used in the discovery of gravitational waves¹ and in the first imaging of a black hole². Here we review how a few fundamental array concepts lead to a simple and powerful programming paradigm for organizing, exploring and analysing scientific data. NumPy is the foundation upon which the scientific Python ecosystem is constructed. It is so pervasive that several projects, targeting audiences with specialized needs, have developed their own NumPy-like interfaces and array objects. Owing to its central position in the ecosystem, NumPy increasingly acts as an interoperability layer between such array computation libraries and, together with its application programming interface (API), provides a flexible framework to support the next decade of scientific and industrial analysis.

NumPy is the primary array programming library for Python; here its fundamental concepts are reviewed and its evolution into a flexible interoperability layer between increasingly specialized computational libraries is discussed.

Chronic Exposure to Methamphetamine Disrupts Reinforcement-Based Decision Making in Rats

The persistent use of psychostimulant drugs, despite the detrimental outcomes associated with continued drug use, may be because of disruptions in reinforcement-learning processes that enable behavior to remain flexible and goal directed in dynamic environments. To identify the reinforcement-learning processes that are affected by chronic exposure to the psychostimulant methamphetamine (MA), the current study sought to use computational and biochemical analyses to characterize decision-making processes, assessed by probabilistic reversal learning, in rats before and after they were exposed to an escalating dose regimen of MA (or saline control). The ability of rats to use flexible and adaptive decision-making strategies following changes in stimulus-reward contingencies was significantly impaired following exposure to MA. Computational analyses of parameters that track choice and outcome behavior indicated that exposure to MA significantly impaired the ability of rats to use negative outcomes effectively. These MA-induced changes in decision making were similar to those observed in rats following administration of a dopamine D2/3 receptor antagonist. These data use computational models to provide insight into drug-induced maladaptive decision making that may ultimately identify novel targets for the treatment of psychostimulant addiction. We suggest that the disruption in utilization of negative outcomes to adaptively guide dynamic decision making is a new behavioral mechanism by which MA rigidly biases choice behavior.

Effect of Temperature on the Size Distribution, Shell Properties, and Stability of Definity®

Physical characterization of an ultrasound contrast agent (UCA) aids in its safe and effective use in diagnostic and therapeutic applications. The goal of this study was to investigate the impact of temperature on the size distribution, shell properties, and stability of Definity^®, a U.S. Food and Drug Administration-approved UCA used for left ventricular opacification. A Coulter counter was modified to enable particle size measurements at physiologic temperatures. The broadband acoustic attenuation spectrum and size distribution of Definity^® were measured at room temperature (25 °C) and physiologic temperature (37 °C) and were used to estimate the viscoelastic shell properties of the agent at both temperatures. Attenuation and size distribution was measured over time to assess the effect of temperature on the temporal stability of Definity^®. The attenuation coefficient of Definity^® at 37 °C was as much as 5 dB higher than the attenuation coefficient measured at 25 °C. However, the size distributions of Definity^® at 25 °C and 37 °C were similar. The estimated shell stiffness and viscosity decreased from 1.76 ± 0.18 N/m and 0.21 × 10^-6 ± 0.07 × 10^-6 kg/s at 25 °C to 1.01 ± 0.07 N/m and 0.04 × 10^-6 ± 0.04 × 10^-6 kg/s at 37 °C, respectively. Size-dependent differences in dissolution rates were observed within the UCA population at both 25 °C and 37 °C. Additionally, cooling the diluted UCA suspension from 37 °C to 25 °C accelerated the dissolution rate. These results indicate that although temperature affects the shell properties of Definity^® and can influence the stability of Definity^®, the size distribution of this agent is not affected by a temperature increase from 25 °C to 37 °C.

Temporal parameters of post-stress prophylactic glucose treatment in rats

Acute trauma can lead to life-long changes in susceptibility to psychiatric disease, such as post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD). Rats given free access to a concentrated glucose solution for 24 h beginning immediately after trauma failed to show stress-related pathology in the learned helplessness model of PTSD and comorbid major depression. We assessed effective dosing and temporal constraints of the glucose intervention in three experiments. We exposed 120 male Sprague-Dawley rats to 100, 1 mA, 3-15 s, inescapable and unpredictable electric tail shocks (over a 110-min period) or simple restraint in the learned helplessness procedure. Rats in each stress condition had access to a 40% glucose solution or water. We measured fluid consumption under 18-h free access conditions, or limited access (1, 3, 6, 18 h) beginning immediately after trauma, or 3-h access with delayed availability of the glucose solution (0, 1, 3, 6 h). We hypothesized that longer and earlier access following acute stress would improve shuttle-escape performance. Rats exposed to traumatic shock and given 18-h access to glucose failed to show exaggerated fearfulness and showed normal reactivity to foot shock during testing as compared to their water-treated counterparts. At least 3 h of immediate post-stress access to glucose were necessary to see these improvements in test performance. Moreover, delaying access to glucose for more than 3 h post-trauma yielded no beneficial effects. These data clearly identify limits on the post-stress glucose intervention. In conclusion, glucose should be administered almost immediately and at the highest dose after trauma.

Programmable Wrinkling of Self-Assembled Nanoparticle Films on Shape Memory Polymers

Hierarchically structured materials, inspired by sophisticated structures found in nature, are finding increasing applications in a variety of fields. Here, we describe the fabrication of wrinkled gold nanoparticle films, which leverage the structural tunability of gold nanoparticles to program the wavelength and amplitude of gold wrinkles. We have carefully examined the structural evolution and tuning of these wrinkled surfaces through varying nanoparticle parameters (diameter, number of layers, density) and substrate parameters (number of axes constrained during wrinkling) through scanning electron microscopy and cross-sectional transmission electron microscopy. It is found that nanoparticle layers of sufficient density are required to obtain periodical wrinkled structures. It was also found that tuning the nanoparticle diameter and number of layers can be used to program the wrinkle wavelength and amplitude by changing the film thickness and mechanical properties. This dual degree of tunability, not previously seen with continuous films, allows us to develop one of the smallest wrinkles developed to date with tunability in the sub-100 nm regime. The effect of the induced structural tunability on the enhancement of the intensity of the 4-mercaptopyridine Raman spectra is also studied through the application of these devices as substrates for surface-enhanced Raman spectroscopy (SERS), where wrinkling proves to be an effective method for enhancing the SERS signal in cases where there is an inherently low density of gold nanoparticles.

Role of miRNAs and alternative mRNA 3'-end cleavage and polyadenylation of their mRNA targets in cardiomyocyte hypertrophy

miRNAs play critical roles in heart disease. In addition to differential miRNA expression, miRNA-mediated control is also affected by variable miRNA processing or alternative 3'-end cleavage and polyadenylation (APA) of their mRNA targets. To what extent these phenomena play a role in the heart remains unclear. We sought to explore miRNA processing and mRNA APA in cardiomyocytes, and whether these change during cardiac hypertrophy. Thoracic aortic constriction (TAC) was performed to induce hypertrophy in C57BL/6J mice. RNA extracted from cardiomyocytes of sham-treated, pre-hypertrophic (2 days post-TAC), and hypertrophic (7 days post-TAC) mice was subjected to small RNA- and poly(A)-test sequencing (PAT-Seq). Differential expression analysis matched expectations; nevertheless we identified ~400 mRNAs and hundreds of noncoding RNA loci as altered with hypertrophy for the first time. Although multiple processing variants were observed for many miRNAs, there was little change in their relative proportions during hypertrophy. PAT-Seq mapped ~48,000 mRNA 3'-ends, identifying novel 3' untranslated regions (3'UTRs) for over 7000 genes. Importantly, hypertrophy was associated with marked changes in APA with a net shift from distal to more proximal mRNA 3'-ends, which is predicted to decrease overall miRNA repression strength. We independently validated several examples of 3'UTR proportion change and showed that alternative 3'UTRs associate with differences in mRNA translation. Our work suggests that APA contributes to altered gene expression with the development of cardiomyocyte hypertrophy and provides a rich resource for a systems-level understanding of miRNA-mediated regulation in physiological and pathological states of the heart.

Comparison of averaging and regression techniques for estimating Event Related Potentials

The traditional method of estimating an Event Related Potential (ERP) is to take the average of signal epochs time locked to a set of similar experimental events. This averaging method is useful as long as the experimental procedure can sufficiently isolate the brain or non-brain process of interest. However, if responses from multiple cognitive processes, time locked to multiple classes of closely spaced events, overlap in time with varying inter-event intervals, averaging will most likely fail to identify the individual response time courses. For this situation, we study estimation of responses to all recorded events in an experiment by a single model using standard linear regression (the rERP technique). Applied to data collected during a Rapid Serial Visual Presentation (RSVP) task, our analysis shows: (1) The rERP technique accounts for more variance in the data than averaging when individual event responses are highly overlapping; (2) the variance accounted for by the estimates is concentrated into a fewer ICA components than raw EEG channel signals.

Ledipasvir/sofosbuvir regimens for chronic hepatitis C infection: Insights from a work productivity economic model from the United States

Patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) exhibit reduced work productivity owing to their disease. Historically, most regimens indicated for CHC genotype 1 (GT1) patients were administered with pegylated interferon (Peg-IFN) and/or ribavirin (RBV), which further compromised work productivity during treatment. The aim of this study was to model the impact of LDV/SOF (ledipasvir/sofosbuvir), the first Peg-IFN- and RBV-free regimen for CHC GT1 patients, on work productivity from an economic perspective, compared to receiving no treatment. The WPAI-SHP (Work Productivity and Activity Index-Specific Health Problem) questionnaire was administered to patients across the ION clinical trials (N = 1,923 U.S. patients). Before initiation of treatment, patients with CHC GT1 in the ION trials exhibited absenteeism and presenteeism impairments of 2.57% and 7.58%, respectively. Patients with cirrhosis exhibited greater work productivity impairment than patients without cirrhosis. In total, 93.21% of U.S. patients in the ION trials achieved SVR; these patients exhibited absenteeism and presenteeism impairments of 2.62% (P = 0.76, when compared to baseline) and 3.53% (P < 0.0001), respectively. Monetizing these data to the entire U.S. population, our model projects an annual societal cost of $7.1 billion owing to productivity loss in untreated GT1 CHC patients. Our model projects that, when compared to no treatment, treating all CHC GT1 patients with a regimen with very high viral eradication rates (LDV/SOF) would translate to annual productivity loss savings of $2.7 billion over a 1-year time horizon.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with untreated HCV impose a substantial societal burden owing to reduced work productivity. As a result of improvements in work productivity, treatment of CHC GT1 patients with LDV/SOF-based regimens is likely to result in significant cost savings from a societal perspective, relative to no treatment.

NVP-QBE170: an inhaled blocker of the epithelial sodium channel with a reduced potential to induce hyperkalaemia

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Inhaled amiloride, a blocker of the epithelial sodium channel (ENaC), enhances mucociliary clearance (MCC) in cystic fibrosis (CF) patients. However, the dose of amiloride is limited by the mechanism-based side effect of hyperkalaemia resulting from renal ENaC blockade. Inhaled ENaC blockers with a reduced potential to induce hyperkalaemia provide a therapeutic strategy to improve mucosal hydration and MCC in the lungs of CF patients. The present study describes the preclinical profile of a novel ENaC blocker, NVP-QBE170, designed for inhaled delivery, with a reduced potential to induce hyperkalaemia.

EXPERIMENTAL APPROACH

The in vitro potency and duration of action of NVP-QBE170 were compared with amiloride and a newer ENaC blocker, P552-02, in primary human bronchial epithelial cells (HBECs) by short-circuit current. In vivo efficacy and safety were assessed in guinea pig (tracheal potential difference/hyperkalaemia), rat (hyperkalaemia) and sheep (MCC).

KEY RESULTS

In vitro, NVP-QBE170 potently inhibited ENaC function in HBEC and showed a longer duration of action to comparator molecules. In vivo, intratracheal (i.t.) instillation of NVP-QBE170 attenuated ENaC activity in the guinea pig airways with greater potency and duration of action than that of amiloride without inducing hyperkalaemia in either guinea pig or rat. Dry powder inhalation of NVP-QBE170 by conscious sheep increased MCC and was better than inhaled hypertonic saline in terms of efficacy and duration of action.

CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS

NVP-QBE170 highlights the potential for inhaled ENaC blockers to exhibit efficacy in the airways with a reduced risk of hyperkalaemia, relative to existing compounds.

Regression-based estimation of ERP waveforms: II. Nonlinear effects, overlap correction, and practical considerations

A companion paper introduced the rERP framework, which recasts traditional event-related potential (ERP) averaging as a special case of a more flexible regression-based approach to estimating ERP waveforms. Here, we build on this foundation, showing how rERP analysis can also handle the estimation of nonlinear effects (a generalization of both the well-known approach of dichotomizing continuous covariates, and also of the ERP image technique), and can disentangle overlapping ERPs to temporally adjacent stimuli. We then consider how the use of rERPs impacts on other parts of the EEG analysis pipeline, including baselining, filtering, significance testing, and artifact rejection, and provide practical recommendations. Free software implementing these techniques is available.

Regression-based estimation of ERP waveforms: I. The rERP framework

ERP averaging is an extraordinarily successful method, but can only be applied to a limited range of experimental designs. We introduce the regression-based rERP framework, which extends ERP averaging to handle arbitrary combinations of categorical and continuous covariates, partial confounding, nonlinear effects, and overlapping responses to distinct events, all within a single unified system. rERPs enable a richer variety of paradigms (including high-N naturalistic designs) while preserving the advantages of traditional ERPs. This article provides an accessible introduction to what rERPs are, why they are useful, how they are computed, and when we should expect them to be effective, particularly in cases of partial confounding. A companion article discusses how nonlinear effects and overlap correction can be handled within this framework, as well as practical considerations around baselining, filtering, statistical testing, and artifact rejection. Free software implementing these techniques is available.

The effect of word predictability on reading time is logarithmic

It is well known that real-time human language processing is highly incremental and context-driven, and that the strength of a comprehender's expectation for each word encountered is a key determinant of the difficulty of integrating that word into the preceding context. In reading, this differential difficulty is largely manifested in the amount of time taken to read each word. While numerous studies over the past thirty years have shown expectation-based effects on reading times driven by lexical, syntactic, semantic, pragmatic, and other information sources, there has been little progress in establishing the quantitative relationship between expectation (or prediction) and reading times. Here, by combining a state-of-the-art computational language model, two large behavioral data-sets, and non-parametric statistical techniques, we establish for the first time the quantitative form of this relationship, finding that it is logarithmic over six orders of magnitude in estimated predictability. This result is problematic for a number of established models of eye movement control in reading, but lends partial support to an optimal perceptual discrimination account of word recognition. We also present a novel model in which language processing is highly incremental well below the level of the individual word, and show that it predicts both the shape and time-course of this effect. At a more general level, this result provides challenges for both anticipatory processing and semantic integration accounts of lexical predictability effects. And finally, this result provides evidence that comprehenders are highly sensitive to relative differences in predictability - even for differences between highly unpredictable words - and thus helps bring theoretical unity to our understanding of the role of prediction at multiple levels of linguistic structure in real-time language comprehension.

The impact of the two-week wait referral pathway on rectal cancer survival

AIM

The aim of this study was to compare the outcome of patients with rectal cancer referred through the two-week wait (TWW) system with those identified by routine referral pathways (non-TWW).

METHOD

A prospective study was carried out of 125 consecutive patients diagnosed with rectal cancer between January 2000 and December 2005 (6 years) in one district general hospital. Data were recorded prospectively in a local clinicopathological registry. The patients were divided into two groups: group 1 (TWW) and group 2 (routine referral pathway).

RESULTS

Fifty-two (41%) of the 125 patients were diagnosed through the TWW (group 1). There was no significant difference in patient demographics, including baseline tumour characteristics, between the two groups. There was no difference in preoperative or postoperative T stage between the two groups (P = 0.63). There was no significant difference in circumferential margin positivity (five of 52 in group 1 vs four of 73 in group 2; P = 0.52) or local recurrence rates (P = 0.37). The 5-year all-cause mortality was 49% for group 1 and 52% for group 2 (P = 0.3). The overall disease-free survival was similar in the two groups (1521 days for group 1 vs 1591 days for group 1, P = 0.29).

CONCLUSION

Referral under the TWW strategy does not translate into improved survival in rectal cancer.

Angiotensin1-9 antagonises pro-hypertrophic signalling in cardiomyocytes via the angiotensin type 2 receptor

The renin–angiotensin system (RAS) regulates blood pressure mainly via the actions of angiotensin (Ang)II, generated via angiotensin converting enzyme (ACE). The ACE homologue ACE2 metabolises AngII to Ang1-7, decreasing AngII and increasing Ang1-7, which counteracts AngII activity via the Mas receptor. However, ACE2 also converts AngI to Ang1-9, a poorly characterised peptide which can be further converted to Ang1-7 via ACE. Ang1-9 stimulates bradykinin release in endothelium and has antihypertrophic actions in the heart, attributed to its being a competitive inhibitor of ACE, leading to decreased AngII, rather than increased Ang1-7. To date no direct receptor-mediated effects of Ang1-9 have been described. To further understand the role of Ang1-9 in RAS function we assessed its action in cardiomyocyte hypertrophy in rat neonatal H9c2 and primary adult rabbit left ventricular cardiomyocytes, compared to Ang1-7. Cardiomyocyte hypertrophy was stimulated with AngII or vasopressin, significantly increasing cell size by approximately 1.2-fold (P < 0.05) as well as stimulating expression of the hypertrophy gene markers atrial natriuretic peptide, brain natriuretic peptide, β-myosin heavy chain and myosin light chain (2- to 5-fold, P < 0.05). Both Ang1-9 and Ang1-7 were able to block hypertrophy induced by either agonist (control, 186.4 μm; AngII, 232.8 μm; AngII+Ang1-7, 198.3 μm; AngII+Ang1-9, 195.9 μm; P < 0.05). The effects of Ang1-9 were not inhibited by captopril, supporting previous evidence that Ang1-9 acts independently of Ang1-7. Next, we investigated receptor signalling via angiotensin type 1 and type 2 receptors (AT1R, AT2R) and Mas. The AT1R antagonist losartan blocked AngII-induced, but not vasopressin-induced, hypertrophy. Losartan did not block the antihypertrophic effects of Ang1-9, or Ang1-7 on vasopressin-stimulated cardiomyocytes. The Mas antagonist A779 efficiently blocked the antihypertrophic effects of Ang1-7, without affecting Ang1-9. Furthermore, Ang1-7 activity was also inhibited in the presence of the bradykinin type 2 receptor antagonist HOE140, without affecting Ang1-9. Moreover, we observed that the AT2R antagonist PD123,319 abolished the antihypertrophic effects of Ang1-9, without affecting Ang1-7, suggesting Ang1-9 signals via the AT2R. Radioligand binding assays demonstrated that Ang1-9 was able to bind the AT2R (pKi = 6.28 ± 0.1). In summary, we ascribe a direct biological role for Ang1-9 acting via the AT2R. This has implications for RAS function and identifying new therapeutic targets in cardiovascular disease.

Reversible Inactivation of Rat Premotor Cortex Impairs Temporal Preparation, but not Inhibitory Control, During Simple Reaction-Time Performance

Previous studies by our lab and others have established a role for medial areas of the prefrontal cortex (mPFC) in the top-down control of action during simple reaction-time (RT) tasks. However, the neural circuits that allow mPFC to influence activity in the motor system have remained unclear. In the present study, we used a combination of tract-tracing and reversible inactivation methods to examine the role of a motor-related area in the rat frontal cortex, called the rostral forelimb area (RFA), in the top-down control of action. Neural tracing studies involved used electrical microstimulation to identify RFA and injections of biotinylated dextran amines (BDA) to map out connections of RFA with other parts of the frontal cortex. Connections were found between RFA and mPFC, the agranular insular cortex, and the primary motor cortex. Reversible inactivations using muscimol infusions into RFA increased response times and eliminated delay-dependent speeding, but did not increase premature responding. These results are markedly different from what is obtained when muscimol is infused into mPFC, which leads to excessive premature responding and a reduction of RTs to stimuli at short delays (Narayanan et al., 2006). We also tested animals during the RT task after inactivating the agranular insular cortex, which contains neurons that projects to and receives from RFA and mPFC, and found no effects on RT performance. Together, these studies suggest that RFA is a premotor region in the rat frontal cortex that competes with mPFC to control action selection. We suggest that RFA controls the threshold that is used to initiate responding and generates prepotent excitation over responding that is crucial for temporal preparation.

Past performance is indicative of future returns

Neuronal activity observed in response to trial outcome is hypothesized to drive learning and performance adjustment. The study by Histed et al. in this issue of Neuron observes persistent outcome-related neuronal activity lasting until the subsequent trial in both prefrontal cortex and the caudate nucleus which is correlated with behavioral adjustment.

The guinea-pig tracheal potential difference as an in vivo model for the study of epithelial sodium channel function in the airways

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The epithelial sodium channel (ENaC) is a key regulator of airway mucosal hydration and mucus clearance. Negative regulation of airway ENaC function is predicted to be of clinical benefit in the cystic fibrosis lung. The aim of this study was to develop a small animal model to enable the direct assessment of airway ENaC function in vivo.

EXPERIMENTAL APPROACH

Tracheal potential difference (TPD) was utilized as a measure of airway epithelial ion transport in the guinea-pig. ENaC activity in the trachea was established with a dose-response assessment to a panel of well-characterized direct and indirect pharmacological modulators of ENaC function, delivered by intra-tracheal (i.t.) instillation.

KEY RESULTS

The TPD in anaesthetized guinea-pigs was attenuated by the direct ENaC blockers: amiloride, benzamil and CF552 with ED(50) values of 16, 14 and 0.2 microg kg(-1) (i.t.), respectively. 5-(N-Ethyl-N-isopropyl) amiloride, a structurally related compound but devoid of activity on ENaC, was without effect on the TPD. Intra-tracheal dosing of the Kunitz-type serine protease inhibitors aprotinin and placental bikunin, which have previously been demonstrated to inhibit proteolytic activation of ENaC, likewise potently attenuated TPD in guinea-pigs, whereas alpha(1)-antitrypsin and soya bean trypsin inhibitor were without effect.

CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS

The pharmacological sensitivity of the TPD to amiloride analogues and also to serine protease inhibitors are both consistent with that of ENaC activity in the guinea-pig trachea. The guinea-pig TPD therefore represents a suitable in vivo model of human airway epithelial ion transport.

Prognostic significance of magnetic resonance imaging-detected extramural vascular invasion in rectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Extramural vascular invasion (EMVI) is a poor prognostic feature in colorectal cancer. The accuracy of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in detecting EMVI and predicting relapse-free survival (RFS) was compared retrospectively with the histological reference standard.

METHODS

Preoperative magnetic resonance images from patients diagnosed with rectal and sigmoid cancer were reviewed and an MRI-EMVI score (range 0 to 4) was assigned. Comparison was made with histology and clinical outcome.

RESULTS

Some 142 patients with a median follow-up of 3.3 (range 0.9-5.7) years were reviewed. Histological EMVI was reported in a quarter of patients. The sensitivity and specificity of MRI detection of EMVI in 94 patients undergoing primary surgery were 62 and 88 per cent respectively. On univariable analysis, RFS at 3 years was 35 per cent for patients with an MRI-EMVI score of 3-4, compared with 74 per cent for those with a score of 0-2 (P < 0.001), similar to values in patients with positive and negative histological EMVI status respectively (34 versus 73.7 per cent; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

High MRI-EMVI scores may help in predicting disease relapse.

Preoperative computed tomography staging of nonmetastatic colon cancer predicts outcome: implications for clinical trials

Colon cancer patients routinely undergo preoperative computed tomography (CT) scanning, but local staging is thought to be inaccurate. We aimed to determine if clinical outcome could be predicted from radiological features of the primary tumour. Consecutive patients at one hospital undergoing primary resection for colon cancer during 2000-2004 were included. Patients with visible metastases were excluded. Preoperative CT scans were reviewed independently by two radiologists blinded to histological stage and outcome. Images of the primary tumour were evaluated according to conventional TNM criteria and patients were stratified into 'good' or 'poor' prognosis groups. Comparison was made between prognostic group and actual clinical outcome. Hundred and twenty-six preoperative CT scans were reviewed. T-stage and nodal status was correctly predicted in only 60 and 62%, respectively. However, inter-observer agreement for prognostic group was 79% (kappa=0.59) and 3-year relapse-free survival was 71 and 43% for the CT-predicted 'good' and 'poor' groups, respectively (P<0.0066). This compared favourably with 75 vs 43% for histology-predicted prognostic groups. Computed tomography is a robust method for stratifying patients preoperatively, with similar accuracy to histopathology for predicting outcome. Recognition of poor prognosis tumours preoperatively may permit investigation into the future use of neo-adjuvant therapy in colon cancer.

Adaptive Aerosol Delivery (AAD) technology

Jet nebulisers have, since the 1920s, been used for delivery of inhaled drugs for the treatment of asthma, chronic-obstructive pulmonary disease and pulmonary infections. During the last two decades, recognition of the shortcomings of conventional nebulisers has led to the development of new "intelligent" nebulisers such as the Adaptive Aerosol Delivery (AAD), Profile Therapeutics, a Respironics company) systems. Diseases of the airways have traditionally been logical candidates for treatment with inhaled drugs. The introduction of the "intelligent" nebulisers has, however, broadened the possibilities for inhaled treatment to include drugs targeted for systemic diseases. These nebulisers offer the possibility to deliver more precise doses of drug, maximise lung deposition, enhance adherence to treatment and compliance with the device through feedback to the patient, and last but not least, offer the possibility to reduce nebulisation times.

Hijacking epidermal growth factor receptors by angiotensin II: new possibilities for understanding and treating cardiac hypertrophy

Activation of the type 1 angiotensin II receptor (AT(1)R) is associated with the aetiology of left ventricular hypertrophy, although the exact intracellular signalling mechanism(s) remain unclear. Transactivation of the epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) has emerged as a central mechanism by which the G protein-coupled AT(1)R, which lacks intrinsic tyrosine kinase activity, can stimulate the mitogen-activated protein kinase signalling pathways thought to mediate cardiac hypertrophy. Current studies support a model whereby AT(1)R-dependent transactivation of EGFRs on cardiomyocytes involves stimulation of membrane-bound metalloproteases, which in turn cleave EGFR ligands such as heparin-binding EGF from a plasma membrane-associated precursor. Numerous aspects of the 'triple membrane-passing signalling' paradigm of AT(1)R-induced EGFR transactivation remain to be characterised, including the identity of the specific metalloproteases involved, the intracellular mechanism for their activation and the exact EGFR subtypes required. Here we examine how 'hijacking' of the EGFR might explain the ability of the AT(1)R to elicit the temporally and qualitatively diverse responses characteristic of the hypertrophic phenotype, and discuss the ramifications of delineating these pathways for the development of new therapeutic strategies to combat cardiac hypertrophy.

What?s new in the renin-angiotensin system?

The type 1 angiotensin receptor (AT(1)) activates an array of intracellular signalling pathways that control cell and tissue responses to the peptide hormone angiotensin II (AngII). The capacity of AT(1) receptors to initiate and maintain such signals has typically been explained on the basis of conventional heterotrimeric guanine nucleotide binding protein (G protein) activation, specifically G(q/11). Accumulating evidence from studies utilising a variety of AT(1) receptor mutants and AngII analogues indicates that some important downstream effects of AT(1) receptors are independent of classical G protein coupling. Importantly, AT(1) receptor-mediated endocytosis, tyrosine phosphorylation signalling and mitogen-activated protein kinase activation as well as transactivation of the epidermal growth factor receptor can occur in G(q/11)-uncoupled receptor mutants. These observations point to a functional partitioning of AT(1) receptor signals that permits separation of short-term AngII actions (e.g., vasoconstriction) from more extended events, such as pathological cell growth in heart and blood vessels, and may open up new avenues for selective antagonism.

Evaluation of the Digene Hybrid Capture II Assay with the Rapid Capture System for detection of Chlamydia trachomatis and Neisseria gonorrhoeae

Screening for chlamydial and gonococcal infection has been strongly recommended for all sexually active women under the age of 26. Advances in the ability to detect infection by nucleic acid detection techniques have improved access to screening methods in routine clinical practices. To meet the increasing demand for testing, a high-throughput system is desirable. We evaluated the performance of the Hybrid Capture 2 CT/GC (HC2) assay with the Digene Rapid Capture System (HC2-RCS). The results of HC2-RCS for endocervical samples from 330 women were compared to those of culture and the COBAS Amplicor PCR. For detection of chlamydial infection, HC2-RCS had a sensitivity and a specificity similar to those of PCR (P > 0.5) and an improved sensitivity compared to that of culture (P = 0.007). For identification of gonococcal infections, all assays performed similarly (P > 0.5). The performance of HC2-RCS was also compared to that of the manual HC2 format (HC2-M) with these samples and with 911 endocervical samples collected previously. The performance of HC2-RCS was equivalent to that of HC2-M; the overall concordance rates for the detection of chlamydia and gonorrhea were 99.7% (kappa = 0.97) and 99.8% (kappa = 0.97), respectively. When the HC2 assay was performed with a semiautomated system application designed for high throughput, it demonstrated high sensitivity and a high specificity for detection of both Chlamydia trachomatis and Neisseria gonorrhoeae.

Direct optical quantification of backflow in a 90 degrees twisted nematic cell

Optical guided mode observations of the transient director profile (optical tensor distribution) during the relaxation of a 90 degrees twisted nematic cell directly reveals backflow. In the first 6 ms of the relaxation process, after a voltage across the cell is removed, the midplane tilt of the director increases, reaching a maximum value of 101 degrees at 1.4 ms. This increase in midplane tilt is attributed to coupling between fluid flow (backflow) and director reorientation. A 270 degrees twisted state of the opposite handedness to the 90 degrees twisted state found at equilibrium is shown to exist during the backflow period. Good fits of theoretical models with experimentally determined time dependent director profiles yield the viscosity coefficients.

Nerve conduction studies for carpal tunnel syndrome: essential prelude to surgery or unnecessary luxury?

Although carpal tunnel syndrome is a relatively trivial condition, controversy surrounds the use of nerve conduction studies, and whether they are essential to make the diagnosis, or as a prelude to surgery. This is partly due to the lack of a generally agreed definition of the condition, and failure to recognize that the patient's first priority is rapid relief of symptoms. If nerve conduction studies do not contribute to achieving that aim it would be better not to do them. Supporters of routine preoperative nerve conduction studies ignore their shortcomings, which include lack of standardization, absence of population-based reference intervals, and lack of sensitivity and specificity. Only a controlled trial, in which patients are randomized to receive treatment either with or without nerve conduction studies, will determine whether they improve the outcome in patients with a firm clinical diagnosis of carpal tunnel syndrome.

A new statistical method for haplotype reconstruction from population data

Current routine genotyping methods typically do not provide haplotype information, which is essential for many analyses of fine-scale molecular-genetics data. Haplotypes can be obtained, at considerable cost, experimentally or (partially) through genotyping of additional family members. Alternatively, a statistical method can be used to infer phase and to reconstruct haplotypes. We present a new statistical method, applicable to genotype data at linked loci from a population sample, that improves substantially on current algorithms; often, error rates are reduced by > 50%, relative to its nearest competitor. Furthermore, our algorithm performs well in absolute terms, suggesting that reconstructing haplotypes experimentally or by genotyping additional family members may be an inefficient use of resources.

Time trends in autism and in MMR immunization coverage in California

CONTEXT

Considerable concern has been generated in the lay and medical communities by a theory that increased measles-mumps-rubella (MMR) immunization among young children may be the cause of an apparent marked increase in autism occurrence.

OBJECTIVE

To determine if a correlation exists in secular trends of MMR immunization coverage among young children and autism occurrence.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

Retrospective analyses of MMR immunization coverage rates among children born in 1980-1994 who were enrolled in California kindergartens (survey samples of 600-1900 children each year) and whose school immunization records were reviewed to retrospectively determine the age at which they first received MMR immunization; and of autism caseloads among children born in these years who were diagnosed with autism and were enrolled in the California Department of Developmental Services regional service center system.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Measles-mumps-rubella immunization coverage rates as of ages 17 months and 24 months and numbers of Department of Developmental Services system enrollees diagnosed with autism, grouped by year of birth.

RESULTS

Essentially no correlation was observed between the secular trend of early childhood MMR immunization rates in California and the secular trend in numbers of children with autism enrolled in California's regional service center system. For the 1980-1994 birth cohorts, a marked, sustained increase in autism case numbers was noted, from 44 cases per 100 000 live births in the 1980 cohort to 208 cases per 100 000 live births in the 1994 cohort (a 373% relative increase), but changes in early childhood MMR immunization coverage over the same time period were much smaller and of shorter duration. Immunization coverage by the age of 24 months increased from 72% to 82%, a relative increase of only 14%, over the same time period.

CONCLUSIONS

These data do not suggest an association between MMR immunization among young children and an increase in autism occurrence.

Molecular basis by which garlic suppresses atherosclerosis

The aim of this study was to determine the mechanism by which the aged garlic extract "Kyolic" has a protective effect against atherosclerosis. Plasma cholesterol of rabbits fed a 1% cholesterol-enriched diet for 6 wk was not reduced by supplementation with 800 microL Kyolic/(kg body. d). In spite of this, Kyolic reduced by 64% (P < 0.05) the surface area of the thoracic aorta covered by fatty streaks and significantly reduced aortic arch cholesterol. Kyolic also significantly inhibited by approximately 50% the development of thickened, lipid-filled lesions in preformed neointimas produced by Fogarty 2F balloon catheter injury of the right carotid artery in cholesterol-fed rabbits. In vitro studies found that Kyolic completely prevented vascular smooth muscle phenotypic change from the contractile, high volume fraction of filament (V(v)myo) state, and inhibited proliferation of smooth muscle cells in the synthetic state with a 50% effective dose (ED(50)) of 0.2%. Kyolic also slightly inhibited the accumulation of lipid in cultured macrophages but not smooth muscle, and had no effect on the expression of adhesion molecules on the surface of the endothelium or the adherence of leukocytes. It is concluded that Kyolic exerts antiatherogenic effects through inhibition of smooth muscle phenotypic change and proliferation, and by another (unclarified) effect on lipid accumulation in the artery wall.

The IBIS project: data collection in London. Improved Monitoring for Brain Dysfunction during Intensive Care and Surgery

The primary aim of the Improved Monitoring for Brain Dysfunction during Intensive Care and Surgery (IBIS) project was to create a unique and comprehensively annotated data library (DL) of multiple physiological, including neurophysiological, signals. Data collection was undertaken in Kuopio, Finland and London, UK, and comparable protocols were used at all the sites. In London, 43 patients were recruited at the Royal Brompton Hospital, followed by nine at St. Bartholomew's Hospital, all of whom underwent cardiac or combined cardiac and carotid artery surgery. Thirty-seven patients underwent a single operation, while 15 underwent two procedures. The protocols and equipment used, problems specific to the electrically hostile environment and preliminary results are described, including those of clinical interest. The DL is being used for the development of clinically applicable neurophysiological monitoring tools.

Surface electrode somatosensory-evoked potentials in spinal surgery: implications for indications and practice

STUDY DESIGN

A retrospective study of 442 major spinal operations with spinal cord monitoring performed in a University Hospital between 1982 and 1992 was performed.

OBJECTIVES

To assess the reliability of the authors' method for monitoring by somatosensory-evoked potential recording, to determine criteria for intraoperative corrective action, and to redefine the need for the wake-up test.

SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA

The routine use of somatosensory-evoked potential monitoring in spinal surgery remains controversial. In Nottingham, the authors have used a method of recording from either scalp or high cervical electrodes.

METHODS

The recordings and outcomes of all monitored spinal operations between the years 1982 and 1992 were reviewed.

RESULTS

In 442 procedures, 23 technical failures (no reliable monitoring) occurred. Most technical failures were in patients with severe preoperative neurology, identifiable by somatosensory-evoked potential recording before operation. In the remaining 419 procedures, a significant intraoperative change in response occurred in 70 procedures (16.7%). Using the definitions of the American EEG Society, the authors identified 10 true-positives and 60 false-positives. There were no false-negatives. A wake-up test was performed if an amplitude drop greater than 50% from baseline value persisted after attempts to correct any possible identifiable intraoperative cause. This occurred in only 21 patients (5%). In the true-positive group, somatosensory-evoked potential recordings remained persistently abnormal despite an apparently normal subsequent wake-up test. The sensitivity of the method according to current definitions was 100% and the specificity 85.33%.

CONCLUSIONS

Modified guidelines are needed for routine intraoperative use of somatosensory-evoked potential monitoring in spinal surgery. Such guidelines should avoid the term "false-positive" as currently defined and concentrate on the causative analysis of abnormal responses that warn of critical spinal cord dysfunction before that becomes irreversible and allow for appropriate action. Information from this monitoring method alerted the surgeon to the possible need for corrective action in an additional 9.78% of the reported patients, who traditionally would have been regarded as false-positives. A wake-up test still is indicated in patients with persistent suppression of their somatosensory-evoked potential despite correction of any identifiable cause and in cases of technical failure. The current method proved flexible, versatile, and reliable for future use.