Mortality risk prediction for primary appendiceal cancer

BACKGROUND

Accurately predicting survival in patients with cancer is crucial for both clinical decision-making and patient counseling. The primary aim of this study was to generate the first machine-learning algorithm to predict the risk of mortality following the diagnosis of an appendiceal neoplasm.

METHODS

Patients with primary appendiceal cancer in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database from 2000 to 2019 were included. Patient demographics, tumor characteristics, and survival data were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Extreme gradient boost, random forest, neural network, and logistic regression machine learning models were employed to predict 1-, 5-, and 10-year mortality. After algorithm validation, the best-performance model was used to develop a patient-specific web-based risk prediction model.

RESULTS

A total of 16,579 patients were included in the study, with 13,262 in the training group (80%) and 3,317 in the validation group (20%). Extreme gradient boost exhibited the highest prediction accuracy for 1-, 5-, and 10-year mortality, with the 10-year model exhibiting the maximum area under the curve (0.909 [±0.006]) after 10-fold cross-validation. Variables that significantly influenced the predictive ability of the model were disease grade, malignant carcinoid histology, incidence of positive regional lymph nodes, number of nodes harvested, and presence of distant disease.

CONCLUSION

Here, we report the development and validation of a novel prognostic prediction model for patients with appendiceal neoplasms of numerous histologic subtypes that incorporate a vast array of patient, surgical, and pathologic variables. By using machine learning, we achieved an excellent predictive accuracy that was superior to that of previous nomograms.

Neighborhood-Level Socioeconomic Disadvantage Predicts Outcomes in Cytoreductive Surgery and Hyperthermic Intraperitoneal Chemotherapy for Peritoneal Malignancy

BACKGROUND

Cytoreductive surgery and hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (CRS/HIPEC) improves survival in select patients with peritoneal metastases (PM), but the impact of social determinants of health on CRS/HIPEC outcomes remains unclear.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A retrospective review was conducted of a multi-institutional database of patients with PM who underwent CRS/HIPEC in the USA between 2000 and 2017. The area deprivation index (ADI) was linked to the patient's residential address. Patients were categorized as living in low (1-49) or high (50-100) ADI residences, with increasing scores indicating higher socioeconomic disadvantage. The primary outcome was overall survival (OS). Secondary outcomes included perioperative complications, hospital/intensive care unit (ICU) length of stay (LOS), and disease-free survival (DFS).

RESULTS

Among 1675 patients 1061 (63.3%) resided in low ADI areas and 614 (36.7%) high ADI areas. Appendiceal tumors (n = 1102, 65.8%) and colon cancer (n = 322, 19.2%) were the most common histologies. On multivariate analysis, high ADI was not associated with increased perioperative complications, hospital/ICU LOS, or DFS. High ADI was associated with worse OS (median not reached versus 49 months; 5 year OS 61.0% versus 28.2%, P < 0.0001). On multivariate Cox-regression analysis, high ADI (HR, 2.26; 95% CI 1.13-4.50; P < 0.001), cancer recurrence (HR, 2.26; 95% CI 1.61-3.20; P < 0.0001), increases in peritoneal carcinomatosis index (HR, 1.03; 95% CI 1.01-1.05; P < 0.001), and incomplete cytoreduction (HR, 4.48; 95% CI 3.01-6.53; P < 0.0001) were associated with worse OS.

CONCLUSIONS

Even after controlling for cancer-specific variables, adverse outcomes persisted in association with neighborhood-level socioeconomic disadvantage. The individual and structural-level factors leading to these cancer disparities warrant further investigation to improve outcomes for all patients with peritoneal malignancies.

The epidemiology of firework-related injuries in the US, 2012-2022

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to examine the epidemiology of firework-related injuries within a national population between 2012 and 2022, including the severity of injury by year, patient demographics, body region injured, firework type, and diagnosis category of injury.

METHODS

Data were collected from the Consumer Product Safety Commission's National Electronic Injury Surveillance System, which is a representative nationwide database that collects data on consumer product-related injuries occurring in the US. Injury rates were calculated based on patient age, sex, body region injured, firework type, and diagnosis category.

RESULTS

A total of 3219 injuries, representing an estimated 122,912 firework-related injuries, were treated in emergency departments within the US from 2012 to 2022. The overall incidence rate of firework-related injuries in the study rose by over 17% from 2012 [2.61 cases per 100,000 people (95% CI 2.03-3.20)] to 2022 and [3.05 cases per 100,000 people (95% CI 2.29-3.80)]. The rate of injuries was highest in adolescents and young adults (age 20-24; 7.13 cases per 100,000 people). Men experienced firework injuries at more than double the rate of women (4.90 versus 2.25 cases per 100,000 people). The upper extremities (41.62%), head/neck (36.40%), and lower extremities (13.78%) were the most commonly injured regions. Over 20% of cases in patients older than 20 were significant injuries requiring hospitalization. Aerial devices (32.11%) and illegal fireworks (21.05%) caused the highest rates of significant injury of any firework type.

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of firework-related injuries has risen over the past decade. Injuries remain the most common among adolescents and young adults. In addition, significant injuries requiring hospitalization occur most often during aerial and illegal firework use. Further targeted sale restrictions, distribution, and manufacturing regulations for high-risk fireworks are required to reduce the incidence of significant injury.

Influence of operative timing on perioperative outcomes of patients with the seatbelt sign

Background

The seatbelt sign (SBS) is a pattern of bruising/contusions on the chest and abdominal wall following motor vehicle collisions. The aim of this analysis is to investigate the influence of time to surgery following identification of the SBS on perioperative outcomes.

Methods

A retrospective review of the Trauma Quality Improvement Program database from 2017 to 2019 was performed. Patients included in this retrospective analysis were involved in motor vehicle collisions, experienced blunt abdominal trauma, presented with skin abrasions/contusions in the SBS distribution, were hemodynamically stable, and underwent laparotomy. Demographics, vital signs, injury severity score, Glasgow coma scale, preoperative CT scans (P-CT), and time from presentation to surgery were recorded. Time from presentation to surgery was subdivided by data quartiles as immediate (<1.3 h), early (1.3-4 h), and delayed (>4 h). The influence of operative timing on postoperative mortality, hospital length of stay (LOS), intensive care unit (ICU) LOS, and ventilator days was assessed in multivariate analyses.

Results

A total of 1523 patients were included; 280 underwent immediate, 610 early, and 633 delayed surgery. Patients undergoing surgery in the early and delayed groups who received P-CT scans had shorter mean times to operation (4.52 h vs 5.24 h, p < 0.01). In multivariate analysis, patients who underwent delayed surgery stayed in the hospital 2.5 days longer (p < 0.001), spent 2.8 additional days in the ICU (p < 0.001), and spent 3.75 additional days on a ventilator (p < 0.001) than patients who received early surgery. Within the early and delayed surgical groups, P-CT was associated with lower mortality (OR 0.46 95 % CI 0.24-0.88, p < 0.01) in multivariate analysis.

Conclusions

Early surgical intervention was associated with improved patient outcomes by reducing hospital and ICU LOS and ventilator days. Conducting P-CT reduced the time to surgery and mortality. Utilization of P-CT for screening hemodynamically stable patients with the SBS upon admission may expedite identification of the potential need for surgical management of abdominal injury.

'From Gut to Heart': A rare case of Salmonella Typhimurium Bacteremia and native valve endocarditis

Background

Salmonella species are very rarely associated with infective endocarditis, accounting for less than 0.01-2.9 % of total bacterial endocarditis cases. Since 1976, there have less than 90 reported cases of non-Typhoidal Salmonella bacteremia and endocarditis.

Case presentation

We present the case of a 57-year-old homeless man with a past medical history significant only for polysubstance abuse. He presented to the emergency department with a 3-day history of severe, non-bloody diarrhea, nausea, chills, and oliguria. Due to the patient's history of substance use, screening laboratory tests were conducted and were positive for rapid plasma reagin, treponemal antibodies, and hepatitis C. For the profuse diarrhea and severe volume loss, C. difficile, stool white blood cells and stool ova and parasites were ordered but were ultimately negative. Both sets of blood cultures were found to be positive for Salmonella Typhimurium bacteremia. Further workup with transthoracic and transesophageal echocardiogram displayed small mobile masses attached to the aortic surface of the right and non-coronary cusps, confirming endocarditis on the aortic valve. Treatment included penicillin-G once a week for 3 weeks for latent syphilis and ceftriaxone and levofloxacin for bacteremia and endocarditis.

Conclusions

Patients with Salmonella typically present early with gastrointestinal symptoms, but clinicians should consider cardiovascular imaging if blood cultures are found to be positive in order to potentially identify and promptly treat highly fatal Salmonella endocarditis.

A small erythropoietin derived non-hematopoietic peptide reduces cardiac inflammation, attenuates age associated declines in heart function and prolongs healthspan

Background

Aging is associated with increased levels of reactive oxygen species and inflammation that disrupt proteostasis and mitochondrial function and leads to organism-wide frailty later in life. ARA290 (cibinetide), an 11-aa non-hematopoietic peptide sequence within the cardioprotective domain of erythropoietin, mediates tissue protection by reducing inflammation and fibrosis. Age-associated cardiac inflammation is linked to structural and functional changes in the heart, including mitochondrial dysfunction, impaired proteostasis, hypertrophic cardiac remodeling, and contractile dysfunction. Can ARA290 ameliorate these age-associated cardiac changes and the severity of frailty in advanced age?

Methods

We conducted an integrated longitudinal (n = 48) and cross-sectional (n = 144) 15 months randomized controlled trial in which 18-month-old Fischer 344 x Brown Norway rats were randomly assigned to either receive chronic ARA290 treatment or saline. Serial echocardiography, tail blood pressure and body weight were evaluated repeatedly at 4-month intervals. A frailty index was calculated at the final timepoint (33 months of age). Tissues were harvested at 4-month intervals to define inflammatory markers and left ventricular tissue remodeling. Mitochondrial and myocardial cell health was assessed in isolated left ventricular myocytes. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were established. Mixed ANOVA tests and linear mixed regression analysis were employed to determine the effects of age, treatment, and age-treatment interactions.

Results

Chronic ARA290 treatment mitigated age-related increases in the cardiac non-myocyte to myocyte ratio, infiltrating leukocytes and monocytes, pro-inflammatory cytokines, total NF-κB, and p-NF-κB. Additionally, ARA290 treatment enhanced cardiomyocyte autophagy flux and reduced cellular accumulation of lipofuscin. The cardiomyocyte mitochondrial permeability transition pore response to oxidant stress was desensitized following chronic ARA290 treatment. Concurrently, ARA290 significantly blunted the age-associated elevation in blood pressure and preserved the LV ejection fraction. Finally, ARA290 preserved body weight and significantly reduced other markers of organism-wide frailty at the end of life.

Conclusion

Administration of ARA290 reduces cell and tissue inflammation, mitigates structural and functional changes within the cardiovascular system leading to amelioration of frailty and preserved healthspan.

Racial and ethnic variation in emergent surgical care and outcomes during the COVID-19 pandemic: post hoc analysis of an EAST MCT

Objectives

The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted concerns regarding the equity of medical care. We evaluated associations between race/ethnicity, timing of hospital presentation and outcomes of acute appendicitis (AP) and acute cholecystitis (AC) during the initial pandemic peak.

Methods

Analysis was performed on a prospective, observational, multicenter study of adults with AP or AC. Patients were categorized as pre-pandemic (pre-CoV: October 2019–January 2020) or during the first pandemic peak (CoV: April 2020 through 4 months following the end of local pandemic restrictions). Patient demographics, American Association for the Surgery of Trauma (AAST) imaging/pathology grade, duration of symptoms before triage, time from triage to intervention and hospital length of stay were collected.

Results

A total of 2165 patients (1496 pre-CoV, 669 CoV) were included from 19 centers. Asian and Hispanic patients with AC had a longer duration of symptoms prior to presentation during CoV than pre-CoV (100.6 hours vs 37.5 hours, p<0.01 and 85.7 hours vs 52.5 hours, p<0.05, respectively) and presented later during CoV than Black or White patients (34.3 and 37.9 hours, p<0.01). During CoV, Asian patients presented with higher AAST pathology grade for AP compared with pre-CoV (1.90 vs 1.26, p<0.01). Asian and Hispanic patients presented with higher AAST pathology grade for AC during CoV versus pre-CoV (2.57 vs 1.45, p<0.01, and 1.57 vs 1.20, p<0.05, respectively). Patients with AC and an AAST pathology grade of ≥3 were at higher odds of postoperative complications (OR 4.4, 95% CI 1.0 to 18.4) and AP (OR 2.8, 95% CI 1.3 to 6.0). Asian and Hispanic patients with AC had a higher risk of postoperative complications compared to White patients (Asian: OR 3.9, 95% CI 1.2 to 12.7; Hispanic: OR 3.3, 95% CI 1.2 to 8.9).

Conclusion

Asian and Hispanic patients had a longer duration of symptoms before hospital presentation during the initial COVID-19 peak, had higher odds of postoperative complications and more advanced pathologic disease.

Level of evidence

III, Prognostic/epidemiological.

Panniculus morbidus resection complicated by multiple gastrointestinal hernias: A case report

Introduction

Case presentation

Clinical discussion

Conclusion

•

Panniculus morbidus incidence is increasing with the rise of morbid obesity.

•

Gastrointestinal hernia repair is a challenging for patients with panniculus morbidus.

•

Concomitant hernia repair and panniculectomy can be performed safely and effectively, enhancing weight loss and quality of life.