Second-trimester maternal serum alpha-fetoprotein and risk of adverse pregnancy outcome(1)

OBJECTIVE

To determine the risk of adverse pregnancy outcome by maternal serum alpha-fetoprotein (MSAFP) level.

METHODS

We followed 77,149 pregnant women and their infants from MSAFP screening in the 15th to 20th week of gestation until 1 year after birth. Information on pregnancy outcome was obtained from national registries. The relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for adverse pregnancy outcome were estimated according to the level of MSAFP, with adjustment for confounders.

RESULTS

A total of 638 pregnancies resulted in spontaneous abortion, 289 in stillbirth, and 437 in infant death. Compared with women with MSAFP levels at 0.75-1.24 multiples of the median (MoM), those with MSAFP levels greater than or equal to 2.5 MoM had an increased risk of spontaneous abortion (RR 12.5; 95% CI 9.7, 16.1), preterm birth (RR 4.8; 95% CI 4.1, 5.5), small for gestational age (RR 2.8; 95% CI 2.4, 3.2), low birth weight (RR 5.8; 95% CI 5.0, 6.6), and infant death (RR 1.9; 95% CI 1.2, 2.8). Women with MSAFP levels below 0.25 MoM had an increased risk of spontaneous abortion (RR 15.1; 95% CI 9.3, 24.8), preterm birth (RR 2.2; 95% CI 1.3, 3.8), and stillbirth (RR 4.0; 95% CI 1.0, 16.0); those with levels less than 0.5 MoM had an increased risk of infant death (RR 1.9; 95% CI 1.2, 3.0). The increased risk of infant death remained after the subtraction of recognized conditions associated with extreme MSAFP values.

CONCLUSION

Pregnant women with extreme MSAFP values in the second trimester have an increased risk of fetal and infant deaths. Obstet Gynecol 2001;97:277-82.

Maternal age and fetal loss: population based register linkage study

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the association between maternal age and fetal death (spontaneous abortion, ectopic pregnancy, stillbirth), taking into account a woman's reproductive history.

DESIGN

Prospective register linkage study.

SUBJECTS

All women with a reproductive outcome (live birth, stillbirth, spontaneous abortion leading to admission to hospital, induced abortion, ectopic pregnancy, or hydatidiform mole) in Denmark from 1978 to 1992; a total of 634 272 women and 1 221 546 pregnancy outcomes.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Age related risk of fetal loss, ectopic pregnancy, and stillbirth, and age related risk of spontaneous abortion stratified according to parity and previous spontaneous abortions.

RESULTS

Overall, 13.5% of the pregnancies intended to be carried to term ended with fetal loss. At age 42 years, more than half of such pregnancies resulted in fetal loss. The risk of a spontaneous abortion was 8.9% in women aged 20-24 years and 74.7% in those aged 45 years or more. High maternal age was a significant risk factor for spontaneous abortion irrespective of the number of previous miscarriages, parity, or calendar period. The risk of an ectopic pregnancy and stillbirth also increased with increasing maternal age.

CONCLUSIONS

Fetal loss is high in women in their late 30s or older, irrespective of reproductive history. This should be taken into consideration in pregnancy planning and counselling.