Polycystic ovary syndrome and offspring risk of congenital heart defects: a nationwide cohort study

STUDY QUESTION

Is maternal polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) associated with increased offspring risk of congenital heart defects?

SUMMARY ANSWER

This study does not support a strong association between PCOS and an increased risk of congenital heart defects.

WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY

In addition to affecting reproductive health, PCOS may involve insulin resistance. Maternal pregestational diabetes is associated with an increased risk of congenital heart defects and therefore PCOS may increase the risk of congenital heart defects in the offspring.

STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION

In this nationwide cohort study, we used data from Danish health registers collected from 1995 to 2018. The study included 1 302 648 offspring and their mothers.

PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS

Participants were live singleton offspring born during the study period. Information on maternal PCOS and offspring congenital heart defects was obtained from the National Patient Register. Logistic regression analysis was used to compute prevalence (odds) ratio (PR) of the association between PCOS and offspring congenital heart defects.

MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE

Among 1 302 648 live-born singletons, 11 804 had a mother with PCOS. Of these, 143 offspring had a congenital heart defect (prevalence 121 per 10 000) as compared with 12 832 among mothers without PCOS (prevalence 99 per 10 000). The adjusted PR was 1.22, 95% CI 1.03-1.44 comparing prevalence of congenital heart defects in offspring of women with PCOS with offspring of women without. After adjusting for the potentially mediating effect of pregestational diabetes, the PR was 1.16, 95% CI 0.98-1.37.

LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION

PCOS may be underdetected in the National Patient Register. However, we expect that the mothers that we identified with PCOS truly had PCOS, thus, the estimated associations are not likely to be affected by this misclassification. The study does not provide evidence to rule out a moderate or weak association.

WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS

These findings provide reassurance to clinicians counselling pregnant women with PCOS that the disease does not pose a markedly increased risk of offspring congenital heart defects.

STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S)

The study was funded by the Novo Nordisk Foundation. M.L. reports personal fees from Dansk Lægemiddel Information A/S outside the submitted work. The remaining authors have no conflicts of interest.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

N/A.

Assessing the Microbiota of Black Soldier Fly Larvae (Hermetia illucens) Reared on Organic Waste Streams on Four Different Locations at Laboratory and Large Scale

This study aimed to gain insight into the microbial quality, safety and bacterial community composition of black soldier fly larvae (Hermetia illucens) reared at different facilities on a variety of organic waste streams. For seven rearing cycles, both on laboratory-scale and in large-scale facilities at several locations, the microbiota of the larvae was studied. Also samples of the substrate used and the residue (= leftover substrate after rearing, existing of non-consumed substrate, exuviae and faeces) were investigated. Depending on the sample, it was subjected to plate counting, Illumina Miseq sequencing and/or detection of specific food pathogens. The results revealed that the substrates applied at the various locations differed substantially in microbial numbers as well as in the bacterial community composition. Furthermore, little similarity was observed between the microbiota of the substrate and that of the larvae reared on that substrate. Despite substantial differences between the microbiota of larvae reared at several locations, 48 species-level operational taxonomic units (OTUs) were shared by all larvae, among which most belonged to the phyla Firmicutes and Proteobacteria. Although the substrate is assumed to be an important source of bacteria, our results suggest that a variety of supposedly interacting factors-both abiotic and biotic-are likely to affect the microbiota in the larvae. In some larvae and/or residue samples, potential foodborne pathogens such as Salmonella and Bacillus cereus were detected, emphasising that decontamination technologies are required when the larvae are used in feed, just as for other feed ingredients, or eventually in food.

Plasma Concentrations of Long Chain N-3 Fatty Acids in Early and Mid-Pregnancy and Risk of Early Preterm Birth

Background

Fish oil supplementation has been shown to delay spontaneous delivery, but the levels and clinical significance remain uncertain. We examined the association between plasma fatty acids quantified in pregnancy and subsequent risk of early preterm birth.

Methods

In a case-control design nested in the Danish National Birth Cohort, we identified 376 early preterm cases (<34 gestational weeks, excluding preeclampsia cases) and 348 random controls. Plasma eicosapentaenoic acid plus docosahexaenoic acid (EPA+DHA% of total fatty acids), were measured twice in pregnancy, at gestation weeks 9 and 25 (medians). Odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CI's) for associations between EPA+DHA and early preterm risk were estimated by logistic regression, adjusted for the woman's age, height, pre-pregnancy BMI, parity, smoking, and socioeconomic factors. Hypotheses and analytical plan were defined and archived a priori.

Findings

Analysis using restricted cubic splines of the mean of 1st and 2nd sample measurements showed a strong and significant non-linear association (p < 0.0001) in which the risk of early preterm birth steeply increased when EPA+DHA concentrations were lower than 2% and flattened out at higher levels. Women in the lowest quintile (EPA+DHA < 1.6%) had 10.27 times (95% confidence interval 6.80–15.79, p < 0.0001) increased risk, and women in the second lowest quintile had 2.86 (95% CI 1.79–4.59, p < 0.0001) times increased risk, when compared to women in the three aggregated highest quintiles (EPA+DHA ≥ 1.8%).

Interpretation

Low plasma concentration of EPA and DHA during pregnancy is a strong risk factor for subsequent early preterm birth in Danish women.

Non-specific effects of BCG vaccination on morbidity among children in Greenland: a population-based cohort study

Background

The potential non-specific effects of BCG (Bacillus Calmette-Guérin) vaccination, with reported reduction of infectious disease morbidity among vaccinated children, in addition to the protective effect against tuberculosis (TB), are highly debated. In Greenland, BCG vaccination was introduced in 1955, but temporarily discontinued from 1991 to 1996 due to nationwide policy changes. Using the transient vaccination stop, we aimed to investigate possible non-specific effects of BCG vaccination by measuring nation-wide hospitalization rates due to infectious diseases other than TB among vaccinated and unvaccinated children.

Methods

A retrospective cohort study including all children born in Greenland aged 3 months to 3 years from 1989 to 2004. A personal identification number assigned at birth allowed for follow-up through national registers. Information on hospitalization due to infectious diseases was obtained from the Greenlandic inpatient register using ICD-8 and ICD-10 codes. Participants with notified TB were censored. Incidence rate ratios (IRR) were estimated using Poisson regression.

Results

Overall, 19 363 children, hereof 66% BCG-vaccinated, were followed for 44 065 person-years and had 2069 hospitalizations due to infectious diseases. IRRs of hospitalization in BCG-vaccinated as compared with BCG-unvaccinated children were 1.07 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.96-1.20] for infectious diseases overall, and specifically 1.10 (95% CI 0.98-1.24) for respiratory tract infections. Among BCG-vaccinated children aged 3 to 11 months, the IRR of hospitalization due to infectious diseases was 1.00 (95% CI 0.84-1.19) as compared with BCG-unvaccinated children.

Conclusion

Our results do not support the hypothesis that neonatal BCG vaccination reduces morbidity in children caused by infectious diseases other than TB.

The role of filaggrin mutations during pregnancy and postpartum: atopic dermatitis and genital skin diseases

Mutations in the epidermal filaggrin gene (FLG) are associated with skin barrier dysfunction (dry skin, less acidic skin, and fissured skin), and atopic dermatitis (AD) with a severe and persistent course. Because pregnancy and delivery further impairs normal skin barrier functions (immune suppression, mechanical stress), we studied the possible role of FLG mutations on the risk of AD flares, genital infections, and postpartum problems related to perineal trauma. FLG-genotyping was performed in a population-based sample of 1837 women interviewed in the 12th and 30th weeks of pregnancy and 6 months postpartum as part of the Danish National Birth Cohort study 1996-2002. We found that FLG mutations also influence pregnancy-related skin disease; thus, women with FLG mutations had an increased risk of AD flares during pregnancy (OR 10.5, 95% CI 3.6-30.5) and of enduring postpartum physical problems linked to perineal trauma during delivery (OR 11.1, 95% CI 1.1-107.7).

Abstract P1-07-03: Reproductive factors and subtype specific breast cancer risk

Introduction: Reproductive history and breast cancer risk reportedly differ by the estrogen receptor (ER±) and by the joint expression of ER and the human epidermal growth factor-2 receptor (ER±/HER2±). However, large sample sizes are needed to identify risk factor associations for the relatively less common ER- subtypes.

Material and Methods: We, therefore, linked two large-scale and population-based Danish registries to assess the associations for parity, number of live births, and age at first live birth (AFLB) with receptor-specific breast cancer risk. Relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for associations were estimated with Poisson regression models.

Results: With nearly 31 million women-years of follow-up, there were 45786 Danish women between the ages 20-84 years who developed an invasive breast cancer during the study period 1992-2011. Parity significantly reduced risk for ER+ and ER+/HER2- subtypes (RR for ER+/HER2- = 0.92; 0.87, 0.98) and suggestively increased risk for ER- and ER-/HER2- subtypes (RR for ER-/HER2- = 1.16; 0.99, 1.36). RRs increased with advancing AFLB for ER+ cancers, especially among premenopausal women; and were elevated for ER- cancers among age groups 12-19 years and 30-34 years compared to the reference age group 20-24 years.

Conclusion: Associations of breast cancer risk and reproductive history varied among Danish women by ER± and by ER±/HER2±, consistent with receptor-specific etiological heterogeneity. Risk estimates for ER+ and ER+/HER2- cancers were similar to the well-established associations for breast cancer overall, whereas relative risks for ER- and ER/HER2- cancers tended to be null or the inverse of ER+ associations.

Citation Format: Anderson WF, Pfeiffer RM, Wohlfahrt J, Ejlertsen B, Jensen M-B, Kroman NT. Reproductive factors and subtype specific breast cancer risk. [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the Thirty-Eighth Annual CTRC-AACR San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium: 2015 Dec 8-12; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2016;76(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P1-07-03.

Mitochondrial dysfunction and risk of cancer

Background:

Mitochondrial mutations are commonly reported in tumours, but it is unclear whether impaired mitochondrial function per se is a cause or consequence of cancer. To elucidate this, we examined the risk of cancer in a nationwide cohort of patients with mitochondrial dysfunction.

Methods:

We used nationwide results on genetic testing for mitochondrial disease and the Danish Civil Registration System, to construct a cohort of 311 patients with mitochondrial dysfunction. A total of 177 cohort members were identified from genetic testing and 134 genetically untested cohort members were matrilineal relatives to a cohort member with a genetically confirmed maternally inherited mDNA mutation. Information on cancer was obtained by linkage to the Danish Cancer Register. Standardised incidence ratios (SIRs) were used to assess the relative risk of cancer.

Results:

During 7334 person-years of follow-up, 19 subjects developed a primary cancer. The corresponding SIR for any primary cancer was 1.06 (95% confidence interval 0.68–1.63). Subgroup analyses according to mutational subtype yielded similar results, for example, a SIR of 0.94 (95% CI 0.53 to 1.67) for the m.3243A>G maternally inherited mDNA mutation, cases=13.

Conclusions:

Patients with mitochondrial dysfunction do not appear to be at increased risk of cancer compared with the general population.

Antibiotic use and risk of non-Hodgkin lymphomas

Clinical case reports have suggested that specific bacterial infections are associated with certain non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) subtypes. Epidemiological case-control studies have been conducted using antibiotics as a proxy for bacterial infections, but with inconclusive results. The aim of this study was, in a cohort design, based on the unique nationwide Danish registers, to investigate the association between use of antibiotics and the risk of NHL subtypes. On the basis of the Civil Registration System, we established a cohort of the entire adult (≥ 15 years) Danish population. Information on use of antibiotics came from the Danish Drug Prescription Registry and lymphoma diagnosis from the Danish Cancer Registry. Associations were assessed by adjusted rate ratios (RRs). In total, 13,602 patients were diagnosed with one of the NHL subtypes during 51.6 million person-years of follow-up (1995-2008). We observed positive associations between use of antibiotics and plasma cell myeloma [RR = 1.11, 95% confidence intervals (CIs) = 1.00-1.24], chronic lymphocytic leukemia/small lymphocytic lymphoma (CLL/SLL) (RR = 1.32, 95% CI = 1.20-1.45), mantle cell lymphoma (MCL) (RR = 1.40, 95% CI = 1.04-1.88) and anaplastic large T-cell lymphoma (ALCL) (RR = 1.83, 95% CI = 1.00-3.36). Among these, the increased risk of CLL/SLL, MCL and ALCL, respectively, did not vary by years since use, and only the risk of CLL/SLL risk differed by number of prescriptions. While causality could not be established in our study, an intriguing positive long-term association between antibiotic use and CLL/SLL risk was observed. To what extent these findings indicate a role for bacteria in lymphoma pathogenesis requires further investigation.

N-(3-Cyanophenyl)-2-phenylacetamide, an effective inhibitor of morbillivirus-induced membrane fusion with low cytotoxicity

Based on the structural similarity of viral fusion proteins within the family Paramyxoviridae, we tested recently described and newly synthesized acetanilide derivatives for their capacity to inhibit measles virus (MV)-, canine distemper virus (CDV)- and Nipah virus (NiV)-induced membrane fusion. We found that N-(3-cyanophenyl)-2-phenylacetamide (compound 1) has a high capacity to inhibit MV- and CDV-induced (IC(50) μM), but not NiV-induced, membrane fusion. This compound is of outstanding interest because it can be easily synthesized and its cytotoxicity is low [50 % cytotoxic concentration (CC(50)) ≥ 300 μM], leading to a CC(50)/IC(50) ratio of approximately 100. In addition, primary human peripheral blood lymphocytes and primary dog brain cell cultures (DBC) also tolerate high concentrations of compound 1. Infection of human PBMC with recombinant wild-type MV is inhibited by an IC(50) of approximately 20 μM. The cell-to-cell spread of recombinant wild-type CDV in persistently infected DBC can be nearly completely inhibited by compound 1 at 50 μM, indicating that the virus spread between brain cells is dependent on the activity of the viral fusion protein. Our findings demonstrate that this compound is a most applicable inhibitor of morbillivirus-induced membrane fusion in tissue culture experiments including highly sensitive primary cells.

Intensive Exposure as a Risk Factor for Severe Polio: A Study of Multiple Family Cases

To examine the importance of intensity of exposure for the outcome of the poliomyelitis infection 429 polio cases were identified belonging to families with 2, 3 or 4 polio cases, all hospitalized in Copenhagen from 1919 to 1953. Furthermore, 87 pairs of polio cases living on the same stairway, but not in the same household, were identified. Severity among multiple cases in families analysed according to time of appearance showed a U-shaped curve. Initial cases had a higher risk of developing paralysis [relative risk (RR) = 1.5, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.2-1.91 and of dying (RR = 2.5, 95% CI 0.9-6.9). Decreased severity was observed among subsequent cases appearing within 11 d after the initial case (RR = 1.0); however, severity increased again, with higher mortality for cases likely to have been infected by the initial case (cases appearing more than 11 d later) (RR = 5.7, 95% CI 1.8-17.8). The pattern described among multiple family cases was not found among cases from the same stairway. Since family cases appearing within 11 d were probably infected simultaneously, a short incubation period is associated with severe disease and a prolonged incubation period with milder infections. Furthermore, intensive exposure from being infected in the household increased severity. These observations therefore suggest that intensity of exposure and dose of infection are important factors in the severity of poliomyelitis.

Autoimmune diseases in patients with multiple sclerosis and their first-degree relatives: a nationwide cohort study in Denmark

BACKGROUND

Multiple sclerosis (MS) and other autoimmune diseases might cluster. Our aim was to estimate the relative risk (RR) of other autoimmune diseases among MS patients and their first-degree relatives in a population-based cohort study.

METHODS

Using the Danish Multiple Sclerosis Register, the Danish Hospital Discharge Register, and the Danish Civil Registration System, we estimated RRs for 42 different autoimmune diseases in a population-based cohort of 12 403 MS patients and 20 798 of their first-degree relatives. Ratios of observed to expected numbers of autoimmune diseases, based on national sex-, age-, and period-specific incidence rates, served as measures of the RRs.

RESULTS

Compared with the general population, MS patients were at an increased risk of developing ulcerative colitis (RR = 2.0 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.4-2.8), n = 29) and pemphigoid (RR = 15.4 (CI: 8.7-27.1), n = 12) but at reduced risk of rheumatoid arthritis (RR = 0.5 (CI: 0.4-0.8), n = 28) and temporal arteritis (RR = 0.5 (CI: 0.3-0.97), n = 11). First-degree relatives of MS patients were at increased risks of Crohn's disease (RR = 1.4 (CI: 1.04-1.9), n = 44), ulcerative colitis (RR = 1.3 (CI: 0.99-1.7), n = 51), Addison's disease (RR = 3.4 (CI: 1.3-9.0), n = 4), and polyarteritis nodosa (RR = 3.7 (CI: 1.4-10.0), n = 4).

CONCLUSION

PATIENTS

with MS and their first-degree relatives seem to be at an increased risk of acquiring certain other autoimmune diseases.

Caesarean delivery and risk of atopy and allergic disease: meta-analyses

BACKGROUND

Studies of delivery by caesarean section (c-section) and the offspring's risk of allergic diseases are of current interest due to concerns about the increased use of c-section in many countries. However, previous studies have reported inconsistent findings.

OBJECTIVE

We investigated whether delivery by c-section is associated with an increased risk of atopy and allergic disease by reviewing the literature, performing a meta-analysis, and assessing publication bias.

METHODS

We used a systematic literature search of MEDLINE (1966 to May 2007). Six common allergic outcomes were included: food allergy/food atopy, inhalant atopy, eczema/atopic dermatitis, allergic rhinitis, asthma, and hospitalization for asthma. For each outcome a meta-analysis was performed, where a summary odds ratio (OR) was calculated taking into account heterogeneity between the study-specific relative risks. Publication bias was assessed using the funnel plot method.

RESULTS

We identified 26 studies on delivery by c-section and one or more of the six allergic outcomes. C-section was associated with an increased summary OR of food allergy/food atopy (OR 1.32, 95% CI 1.12-1.55; six studies), allergic rhinitis (OR 1.23, 95% CI 1.12-1.35; seven studies), asthma (OR 1.18, 95% CI 1.05-1.32; 13 studies), and hospitalization for asthma (OR 1.21, 95% CI 1.12-1.31; seven studies), whereas there was no association with inhalant atopy (OR 1.06, 95% CI 0.82-1.38; four studies) and eczema/atopic dermatitis (OR 1.03, 95% CI 0.98-1.09; six studies). Funnel plots indicated that the association with food allergy/food atopy could be difficult to interpret due to publication bias. For each significant association with an allergic outcome, only 1-4% of cases were attributable to c-section.

CONCLUSION

Delivery by c-section is associated with a moderate risk increase for allergic rhinitis, asthma, hospitalization for asthma, and perhaps food allergy/food atopy, but not with inhalant atopy or atopic dermatitis. The increased use of c-section during the last decades is unlikely to have contributed much to the allergy epidemic observed during the same period.

Cytokines, autoantibodies and viral antibodies in premorbid and postdiagnostic sera from patients with rheumatoid arthritis: case-control study nested in a cohort of Norwegian blood donors

OBJECTIVE

To assess the timing of changes in cytokines, cytokine-related markers, autoantibodies and viral antibodies in the pathogenesis of rheumatoid arthritis (RA).

METHODS

Case-control study nested in a prospective cohort of 31 330 blood donors in Oslo, Norway. Forty-nine donors developed RA up to 23 years after their most recent blood donation. Stored sera from these donors (case sera) and a sex- and age-matched sample of 245 healthy donors (control sera), and postdiagnostic sera from 33 of the 49 RA cases, were analysed for a panel of cytokines and cytokine-related markers, autoantibodies and antibodies against Epstein-Barr virus and parvovirus B19.

RESULTS

Cytokines and cytokine-related markers were generally negative in case sera from >5 years before the diagnosis of RA. In the 5-year interval immediately before the diagnosis of RA, more case than control sera were positive (odds ratios >2) for interleukin (IL)-1 alpha, IL-1 beta, IL-1 receptor antagonist, IL-4, IL-10, tumour necrosis factor-alpha and soluble tumour necrosis factor receptor I. In postdiagnostic sera, however, 11 of 16 examined cytokines and cytokine-related markers were statistically significantly elevated compared with control sera. Seropositivity for IgG antibodies against cyclic citrullinated peptides and for IgM and IgA rheumatoid factors were seen in case sera from up to 18 years before the diagnosis of RA. IgG antibodies against Epstein-Barr virus and parvovirus B19 did not differ significantly between case and control sera.

CONCLUSIONS

Cytokines and cytokine-related markers appear to be upregulated rather late in RA pathogenesis. In contrast, IgM rheumatoid factor and IgG anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide autoantibodies may precede the diagnosis of RA by up to two decades.

Growth patterns and the risk of breast cancer in women

Adult height and body mass index (BMI) influence the risk of breast cancer in women. Whether these associations reflect growth patterns of the fetus or growth during childhood and adolescence is unknown. We investigated the association between growth during childhood and the risk of breast cancer in a cohort of 117,415 Danish women. Birth weight, age at menarche, and annual measurements of height and weight were obtained from school health records. We used the data to model individual growth curves. Information on vital status, age at first childbirth, parity, and diagnosis of breast cancer was obtained through linkages to national registries. During 3,333,359 person-years of follow-up, 3340 cases of breast cancer were diagnosed. High birth weight, high stature at 14 years of age, low BMI at 14 years of age, and peak growth at an early age were independent risk factors for breast cancer. Height at 8 years of age and the increase in height during puberty (8-14 years of age) were also associated with breast cancer. The attributable risks of birth weight, height at 14 years of age, BMI at 14 years of age, and age at peak growth were 7%, 15%, 15%, and 9%, respectively. No effect of adjusting for age at menarche, age at first childbirth, and parity was observed. Birth weight and growth during childhood and adolescence influence the risk of breast cancer.

Temporal trend in paediatric infections in Denmark

AIM

To study temporal trends in the incidence of hospitalisations due to infection in children in Denmark.

METHODS

A national register based cohort of 1 892 711 Danish children aged 0-5 years were studied from 1980 to 2001. Child and family characteristics were identified in the Danish Civil Registration System; hospitalisations were identified in the Danish National Patient Registry. Annual incidence rates were estimated using log-linear Poisson regression.

RESULTS

During the studied period, the incidence of hospitalisations from infection increased by 62% in 0-5 year old children. The increase was mainly due to a sevenfold increase in the incidence of infections leading to short term hospitalisation in children aged 0-1 years. Since the increase in incidence was contrasted with a decrease in duration of hospitalisation, no further strain was put on the health services in Denmark.

CONCLUSION

During the last two decades, the incidence of short term hospitalisations due to infections increased markedly among the youngest children. However, the strain on the health services remained constant. The observed increase in the incidence of short term hospitalisations among the youngest children may reflect changes in hospitalisation practices and utilisation, rather than an increase in incidence of infections.

[Sibships characteristics, influenza and risk of schizophrenia. A population-based cohort study]

INTRODUCTION

To address the hypothesis that infections, perhaps prenatal exposure to influenza virus, might increase the risk of schizophrenia we studied the possible association between schizophrenia risk and birth order, sibship size, interval between siblings, and influenza prevalence.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We established a population-based cohort of 1,746,366 persons born to Danish woman who themselves were born since 1935 using data from the Civil Registration System. Schizophrenia in cohort members (n = 2669) and their parents was identified by linkage with the Danish Psychiatric Case Register. Influenza notifications per month in Denmark were obtained from the National Board of Health and Statens Serum Institut.

RESULTS

We found no association between birth order and schizophrenia risk or between schizophrenia risk and influenza prevalence during any month of prenatal life. Coming from a large sibship and having a short interval to the nearest older or younger sibling was associated with an increased risk of schizophrenia.

DISCUSSION

Our findings do not add support to the hypothesis that schizophrenia is associated with prenatal exposure to influenza virus or other common infections, but are compatible with the hypothesis that environmental exposure, perhaps to common infections in childhood, may be a risk factor.

Risk of late-stage breast cancer after a childbirth

A pregnancy may lead to hormone-induced growth of breast tumors. The authors investigated whether women in the first years after childbirth had a higher incidence of breast cancer and, in particular, a higher incidence of late-stage tumors (i.e., a large tumor, nodal involvement, or histologic grading II + III). The study was based on a population-based cohort of 1.5 million Danish women born between 1935 and 1978. Between 1978 and 1994, 10,790 incident cases of breast cancer were identified in a nationwide cancer registry. Overall, uniparous and biparous mothers experienced a transient increased risk that did not appear to be attributable to delayed cancer diagnosis. The risk of being diagnosed with a tumor whose diameter was larger than 5 cm was, on average, 53% higher during the first 10 years after birth compared with later. The risk of tumors of less than 2 cm was not significantly associated with time since the latest birth. In conclusion, after a childbirth, mothers experience a transient increased risk of breast cancer and, in particular, a relatively high risk of late-stage disease. This finding suggests that pregnancy-related factors transiently induce a high growth rate in cells that are already malignant and stimulate new tumor growth.

Cancer risk in a cohort of polio patients

Poliomyelitis has hypothetically been associated with an increased risk of central nervous system (CNS) tumors. The present study was performed to examine not only the risk of CNS tumors but also the overall risk of cancer among a cohort of 5,883 polio patients. Patients diagnosed with acute poliomyelitis in the Danish capital, Copenhagen, between 1919 and 1954 were identified and followed with respect to cancer. Information on vital status and cancer diagnoses was obtained through linkage with the Danish Civil Registration System and the Danish Cancer Registry, respectively. The ratio of observed number of cancers to the number expected from population-based incidence rates, i.e., the standardized incidence ratio (SIR), served as measure of the relative cancer risk. Overall, 717 cases of cancer were observed among 5,883 polio patients during 249,084 person-years of follow-up vs. an expected number of 645 (SIR = 1.11 [95% confidence interval 1.03 to 1.20])). The increased risk was restricted to female polio patients (SIR = 1.18 [1.07 to 1.30]), among whom the risk was particularly high for breast cancer (SIR = 1.35 [1.12 to 1.61]) and for skin cancer (SIR = 1.66 [1.32 to 2.07]). The risk of breast cancer was highest among women with a history of paralytic polio (SIR = 1.62 [1.24 to 2.10]). The observed number of CNS tumors did not exceed the expected (SIR = 1.09 [0.72 to 1.60]). Women diagnosed with poliomyelitis, in particular paralytic polio, may be at increased risk of breast cancer. There was no association between malignancies of the CNS and poliomyelitis.

Risk factors and confounders in the geographical clustering of schizophrenia

In response to previous reports of geographical clustering of individuals with psychosis, a study was carried out in Denmark utilizing the national case register. Two-thousand one-hundred and ninety-nine (2199) individuals with schizophrenia were divided by place of birth into 217 geographical areas and analyzed by age, gender, month of birth, genetic relatedness, and degree of urbanization of birthplace. Heterogeneity was ascertained using log-linear Poisson regression. The greatest amount of heterogeneity was associated with degree of urbanization of place of birth. Heterogeneity was also associated with age-gender interaction and calendar period. When adjusted for these factors, there was no remaining heterogeneity, suggesting that all geographical clustering in our study was explained by the above factors.

Second-trimester maternal serum alpha-fetoprotein and risk of adverse pregnancy outcome(1)

OBJECTIVE

To determine the risk of adverse pregnancy outcome by maternal serum alpha-fetoprotein (MSAFP) level.

METHODS

We followed 77,149 pregnant women and their infants from MSAFP screening in the 15th to 20th week of gestation until 1 year after birth. Information on pregnancy outcome was obtained from national registries. The relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for adverse pregnancy outcome were estimated according to the level of MSAFP, with adjustment for confounders.

RESULTS

A total of 638 pregnancies resulted in spontaneous abortion, 289 in stillbirth, and 437 in infant death. Compared with women with MSAFP levels at 0.75-1.24 multiples of the median (MoM), those with MSAFP levels greater than or equal to 2.5 MoM had an increased risk of spontaneous abortion (RR 12.5; 95% CI 9.7, 16.1), preterm birth (RR 4.8; 95% CI 4.1, 5.5), small for gestational age (RR 2.8; 95% CI 2.4, 3.2), low birth weight (RR 5.8; 95% CI 5.0, 6.6), and infant death (RR 1.9; 95% CI 1.2, 2.8). Women with MSAFP levels below 0.25 MoM had an increased risk of spontaneous abortion (RR 15.1; 95% CI 9.3, 24.8), preterm birth (RR 2.2; 95% CI 1.3, 3.8), and stillbirth (RR 4.0; 95% CI 1.0, 16.0); those with levels less than 0.5 MoM had an increased risk of infant death (RR 1.9; 95% CI 1.2, 3.0). The increased risk of infant death remained after the subtraction of recognized conditions associated with extreme MSAFP values.

CONCLUSION

Pregnant women with extreme MSAFP values in the second trimester have an increased risk of fetal and infant deaths. Obstet Gynecol 2001;97:277-82.

Age at any birth is associated with breast cancer risk

The period before the first birth is traditionally viewed as particularly critical for a woman's breast cancer risk. Nonetheless, the importance of early timing of a woman's first compared with subsequent births is not well understood. In the present study we examine this question using a population-based cohort of 1.5 million Danish women born between 1935 and 1978. Between 1968 and 1994, 13,049 incident cases of breast cancer were identified in the Danish Cancer Registry. According to our results, a woman's breast cancer risk is related to her age at any of her births. The risk increase per 5 year's increase in maternal age at first, second, third, and fourth birth was 9%, 7%, 5%, and 14%, respectively. For fifth and sixth births it was 5%. We observed a risk reduction after any birth occurring before 30 years of age (in uniparous women before 25 years of age). These effects were strongest more than 10 years after birth. Thus, our study shows that early timing of any additional birth induces an additional long-term reduction in maternal risk of breast cancer; that is, early reproductive years, rather than just the nulliparous years, constitute the critical period.

Neonatal level of thyroid-stimulating hormone and acute childhood leukemia

One of the more consistent findings in leukemia research is the association between birth weight and childhood leukemia. Because thyroid hormones are critically involved in growth and differentiation, we speculated that hormone levels could be of significance to the development of leukemia in early life. Specifically, we hypothesized that high levels of thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) would be associated with a low risk of leukemia. Accordingly, high TSH (low free thyroid hormone) early after birth most likely reflects low function of the thyroid accompanied by low rate of cell turnover and so lower risk of faulty cell divisions leading to cancer. In a matched case-control study nested from all singleton children born in Denmark between 1986 and 1998, we compared levels of TSH (as measured in a neonatal screening program for congenital hypothyroidism) in 188 cases of acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) and 28 of acute myeloid leukemia (AML) with levels in 1,450 and 216 matched controls, respectively. Data were analyzed using conditional logistic regression and odds ratios (OR) were adjusted for birth weight. As hypothesized, we found a decreased risk of ALL and AML associated with high TSH (OR(ALL) = 0.7 [0.5-1.0]; OR(AML) = 0.3 [0.1-1.0]). However, both conditions were also associated with low levels of TSH (OR(ALL) = 0.4 [0.2-0.7]; OR(AML) = 0.3 [0.1-1.4]). In conclusion, extreme TSH levels a few days after birth appears to be associated with a decreased risk of acute childhood leukemia.

Maternal age and fetal loss: population based register linkage study

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the association between maternal age and fetal death (spontaneous abortion, ectopic pregnancy, stillbirth), taking into account a woman's reproductive history.

DESIGN

Prospective register linkage study.

SUBJECTS

All women with a reproductive outcome (live birth, stillbirth, spontaneous abortion leading to admission to hospital, induced abortion, ectopic pregnancy, or hydatidiform mole) in Denmark from 1978 to 1992; a total of 634 272 women and 1 221 546 pregnancy outcomes.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Age related risk of fetal loss, ectopic pregnancy, and stillbirth, and age related risk of spontaneous abortion stratified according to parity and previous spontaneous abortions.

RESULTS

Overall, 13.5% of the pregnancies intended to be carried to term ended with fetal loss. At age 42 years, more than half of such pregnancies resulted in fetal loss. The risk of a spontaneous abortion was 8.9% in women aged 20-24 years and 74.7% in those aged 45 years or more. High maternal age was a significant risk factor for spontaneous abortion irrespective of the number of previous miscarriages, parity, or calendar period. The risk of an ectopic pregnancy and stillbirth also increased with increasing maternal age.

CONCLUSIONS

Fetal loss is high in women in their late 30s or older, irrespective of reproductive history. This should be taken into consideration in pregnancy planning and counselling.

alpha-fetoprotein levels in maternal serum during pregnancy and maternal breast cancer incidence

BACKGROUND

A full-term pregnancy is associated with a reduced risk of breast cancer, but the underlying biologic mechanism has not been elucidated. During pregnancy, maternal serum levels of alpha-fetoprotein, an estradiol-binding protein, rise sharply. In culture, alpha-fetoprotein inhibits the growth of estrogen-sensitive cells, including estrogen-sensitive breast cancer cells. Thus, we investigated whether a high level of alpha-fetoprotein in maternal serum during pregnancy is associated with a reduced risk of breast cancer.

METHODS

From a population-based cohort of 42057 pregnant women in Denmark, enrolled in an alpha-fetoprotein-screening program from 1978 through 1996, we obtained a complete reproductive history, vital status, and a possible diagnosis of breast cancer (in 117 women) to the end of follow-up on September 1, 1998.

RESULTS

During pregnancy, women with an alpha-fetoprotein level greater than or equal to the median value had a 41% lower risk of breast cancer than women with an alpha-fetoprotein level below the median value (relative risk [RR] = 0.59; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.41-0. 85). RRs for breast cancer by mother's age at childbirth were as follows: 29 years or younger, RR = 0.21 (95% CI = 0.08-0.56); 30-34 years, RR = 0.61 (95% CI = 0.32-1.14); 35-37 years, RR = 0.96 (95% CI = 0.49-1.89); and 38 years or older, RR = 0.71 (95% CI = 0.29-1. 75) (P for trend =.02). Further analyses suggested that high levels of alpha-fetoprotein were associated with a reduced incidence of aggressive disease. The most striking finding was that women with high levels of serum alpha-fetoprotein, compared with women with low levels of serum alpha-fetoprotein, showed a particularly reduced incidence of large tumors (>2 cm; RR = 0.24 [95% CI = 0.11-0.50]).

CONCLUSION

A high level of alpha-fetoprotein in maternal serum during any pregnancy is associated with a low overall incidence of breast cancer and, in particular, with a low incidence of advanced breast cancer at diagnosis. This association appears particularly strong for a pregnancy occurring at a young age.

Multiple sclerosis and poliomyelitis. A Danish historical cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate whether persons with a history of poliomyelitis are at an increased risk of developing multiple sclerosis (MS).

MATERIAL AND METHODS

All patients diagnosed with acute poliomyelitis in the greater capital area of Copenhagen, Denmark, between 1919 and 1954 were identified and followed with respect to MS. Information on vital status and diagnosis of sclerosis was obtained through linkage with the Danish Civil Registration System and The Danish Multiple Sclerosis Registry, respectively. Follow-up started on the date of the establishment of the Danish Civil Registration System (April 1, 1968) until death, emigration or December 31, 1996, whichever came first. The observed incidence of MS among polio patients was compared with the expected incidence calculated according to national gender, age and period specific rates of MS.

RESULTS

During 149,364 years of follow-up, 19 cases of multiple sclerosis were observed among 5652 polio patients compared with 11.0 expected (SIR = 1.73 (1.04-2.74)). The increased risk of MS was most pronounced in polio patients hospitalized during adolescence. Neither gender nor the acute severity of poliomyelitis modified the risk of MS.

CONCLUSION

Our results are based on small numbers of events, however the findings suggest that the polio patients might be at an increased risk of MS.

[Should all younger patients with breast cancer be offered adjuvant cytotoxic chemotherapy?]

The aim of the study was to investigate whether young age at diagnosis is a negative prognostic factor in primary breast cancer and how stage of disease at diagnosis and treatment may influence such an association. It was conducted as a retrospective cohort study based on a population-based data-base of breast cancer diagnosis with detailed information on tumour characteristics, treatment regimens, and vital status and included 10,356 patients with primary breast cancer less than 50 years of age at diagnosis. The main outcome measures were relative risk of dying within the first ten years after diagnosis according to age at diagnosis, adjusted for effect of known prognostic factors and expected mortality. Overall, young patients with low risk disease who did not receive adjuvant treatment had a significantly increasing risk of dying with decreasing age at diagnosis (adjusted relative risk: 45-49 years: 1 (reference); 40-44 years: 1.12 (0.89-1.40); 35-39 years: 1.40 (1.10-1.78); < 35 years: 2.18 (1.64-2.89). However, a similar trend was not seen in young patients who received adjuvant cytotoxic therapy. We found the same difference as above when comparing women receiving no treatment with those receiving adjuvant cytotoxic therapy within strata of node negative patients and patients with the same tumour size. In conclusion, the negative prognostic effect of young age is almost exclusively seen in women diagnosed with low risk disease not receiving adjuvant cytotoxic therapy, whereas young women who receive adjuvant cytotoxic therapy have the same prognosis as middle-aged women. These results suggest that young women with breast cancer, on the basis of age alone, should be regarded as high risk patients and be given adjuvant cytotoxic therapy.

Gender of offspring and long-term maternal breast cancer risk

Gender of offspring is influenced by maternal hormonal level during pregnancy, which is believed to influence the subsequent maternal breast cancer risk. However, analysing national birth and cancer registrations in a cohort of 998,499 women, we found no association between gender of offspring and subsequent breast cancer risk.