Characteristics of bisphosphonate and non-bisphosphonate related atypical femoral fracture in a South East Asian population - Secondary analysis

INTRODUCTION

Studies have found that not all atypical femoral fractures (AFF) are associated with bisphosphonate (BP) use. There are limited data on AFF in non-BP patients. In this study, we characterise factors associated with BP and non-BP related AFF and its mortality in a single centre in Singapore.

METHODS

We conducted a cohort study of subjects above 50 years old admitted to Changi General Hospital (CGH), Singapore with fragility subtrochanteric and femoral fractures from 2009 to 2015. Using the ASBMR 2014 criteria fractures are classified into atypical and typical femoral fractures. CGH uses a nationalised electronic health record that allows review of information on patient's demographics, clinical history and previous investigations. Mortality was assessed as of 31st December 2019.

RESULTS

Between 2009 and 2015, there were 3097 hip fractures, of which 393 were subtrochanteric and femoral fractures and 69 were classified as AFF by ASBMR 2014 criteria. 35 of AFF occurred in BP exposed and 34 occurred in non-BP exposed patients. There were no significant demographic differences in patients with BP and non-BP related AFF. There were also similar incidences of type 2 diabetes, rheumatoid arthritis and glucocorticoid use. Notably, there were a higher percentage of previous fragility fractures (35.3 % vs 9.4 %) in BP related AFF. Time to healing of fracture was slightly longer in BP related AFF at median (3 months vs 2 month, p = 0.02), however there were no differences in incidence of delayed healing. Mortality between BP and non-BP related AFF were similar.

CONCLUSION

In a South East Asian population in Singapore, 47.8 % of AFF were found to be non-BP related. We found no major demographic and clinical differences between BP and non-BP related AFF. Mortality between BP and non-BP related AFF was similar. Further studies are needed to better understand the optimal treatment of osteoporosis in AFF prone patients in the Asian population.

A review of the use of controlled multiple imputation in randomised controlled trials with missing outcome data

Background

Missing data are common in randomised controlled trials (RCTs) and can bias results if not handled appropriately. A statistically valid analysis under the primary missing-data assumptions should be conducted, followed by sensitivity analysis under alternative justified assumptions to assess the robustness of results. Controlled Multiple Imputation (MI) procedures, including delta-based and reference-based approaches, have been developed for analysis under missing-not-at-random assumptions. However, it is unclear how often these methods are used, how they are reported, and what their impact is on trial results. This review evaluates the current use and reporting of MI and controlled MI in RCTs.

Methods

A targeted review of phase II-IV RCTs (non-cluster randomised) published in two leading general medical journals (The Lancet and New England Journal of Medicine) between January 2014 and December 2019 using MI. Data was extracted on imputation methods, analysis status, and reporting of results. Results of primary and sensitivity analyses for trials using controlled MI analyses were compared.

Results

A total of 118 RCTs (9% of published RCTs) used some form of MI. MI under missing-at-random was used in 110 trials; this was for primary analysis in 43/118 (36%), and in sensitivity analysis for 70/118 (59%) (3 used in both). Sixteen studies performed controlled MI (1.3% of published RCTs), either with a delta-based (n = 9) or reference-based approach (n = 7). Controlled MI was mostly used in sensitivity analysis (n = 14/16). Two trials used controlled MI for primary analysis, including one reporting no sensitivity analysis whilst the other reported similar results without imputation. Of the 14 trials using controlled MI in sensitivity analysis, 12 yielded comparable results to the primary analysis whereas 2 demonstrated contradicting results. Only 5/110 (5%) trials using missing-at-random MI and 5/16 (31%) trials using controlled MI reported complete details on MI methods.

Conclusions

Controlled MI enabled the impact of accessible contextually relevant missing data assumptions to be examined on trial results. The use of controlled MI is increasing but is still infrequent and poorly reported where used. There is a need for improved reporting on the implementation of MI analyses and choice of controlled MI parameters.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12874-021-01261-6.

Clinical utility of tumour marker velocity of cancer antigen 15-3 (CA 15-3) and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) in breast cancer surveillance

BACKGROUND

Serum tumour markers, cancer antigen 15-3 (CA 15-3) and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) are not routinely recommended for detecting breast cancer recurrence and monitoring treatment. In this study, we aim to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of absolute CA 15-3 and CEA levels and report on the clinical utility of tumour marker velocity in breast cancer surveillance.

METHODS

67 consecutive patients over a 15-year period (1998-2012) with available serial serum CA 15-3 and CEA measurements at recurrence were matched to a control group of patients. Tumour marker velocity was derived from the average change in consecutive tumour marker values over time, expressed in unit/year. Logistic regression analysis was performed to investigate the association between tumour characteristics, tumour marker velocity and disease recurrence.

RESULTS

Using the Youden index values, the optimal cut-off values for absolute CA 15-3 and CEA corresponded to the normal assay reference range while tumour marker velocity values were derived to be 2.5U/mL/year and 1.2ng/mL/year respectively. CA 15-3 velocity > 2.5U/mL/year had the highest AUROC value of 0.85 than CEA velocity alone. When either tumour marker velocity exceeded threshold values, the sensitivity, specificity, negative predictive value and positive predictive value were 94.0%, 73.1%, 92.5%, and 77.8% respectively. In the multivariate logistic regression analysis, having both CA 15-3 and CEA velocity exceeding the cut-off values was shown to be a significant predictor for disease recurrence (p = 0.01).

CONCLUSION

These findings highlighted the clinical utility of serial tumour markers measurements and its velocity in breast cancer surveillance.

Comparative efficacy of inhaled medications (ICS/LABA, LAMA, LAMA/LABA and SAMA) for COPD: a systematic review and network meta-analysis

PURPOSE

To assess the comparative efficacy of short-acting muscarinic antagonists (SAMAs), long-acting muscarinic antagonists (LAMAs), LAMA in combination with long-acting beta-agonists (LABAs; LAMA/LABAs) and inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) in combination with LABA (ICS/LABAs) for the maintenance treatment of COPD.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We systematically reviewed 74 randomized controlled trials (74,832 participants) published up to 15 November 2017, which compared any of the interventions (SAMA [ipratropium], LAMA [aclidinium, glycopyrronium, tiotropium, umeclidinium], LAMA/LABA [aclidinium/formoterol, indacaterol/glycopyrronium, tiotropium/olodaterol, umeclidinium/vilanterol] and ICS/LABA [fluticasone/vilanterol, budesonide/formoterol, salmeterol/fluticasone]) with each other or with placebo. A random-effects network meta-analysis combining direct and indirect evidence was conducted to examine the change from baseline in trough FEV1, transition dyspnea index, St George's Respiratory Questionnaire and frequency of adverse events at weeks 12 and 24.

RESULTS

Inconsistency models were not statistically significant for all outcomes. LAMAs, LAMA/LABAs and ICS/LABAs led to a significantly greater improvement in trough FEV1 compared with placebo and SAMA monotherapy at weeks 12 and 24. All LAMA/LABAs, except aclidinium/formoterol, were statistically significantly better than LAMA monotherapy and ICS/LABAs in improving trough FEV1. Among the LAMAs, umeclidinium showed statistically significant improvement in trough FEV1 at week 12 compared to tiotropium and glycopyrronium, but the results were not clinically significant. LAMA/LABAs had the highest probabilities of being ranked the best agents in FEV1 improvement. Similar trends were observed for the transition dyspnea index and St George's Respiratory Questionnaire outcomes. There were no significant differences in the incidences of adverse events among all treatment options.

CONCLUSION

LAMA/LABA showed the greatest improvement in trough FEV1 at weeks 12 and 24 compared with the other inhaled drug classes, while SAMA showed the least improvement. There were no significant differences among the LAMAs and LAMA/LABAs within their respective classes.

Cost effectiveness analysis of afatinib versus pemetrexed-cisplatin for first-line treatment of locally advanced or metastatic EGFR mutation positive non-small-cell lung cancer from the Singapore healthcare payer's perspective

Background

Non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) accounts for 85% of all lung cancers and is associated with a poor prognosis. Afatinib is an irreversible ErbB family blocker recommended in clinical guidelines as a first-line treatment for NSCLC which harbours an epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutation. The objective of this study was to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of afatinib versus pemetrexed-cisplatin for first-line treatment of locally advanced or metastatic EGFR mutation positive NSCLC in Singapore.

Methods

A partitioned survival model with three health states (progression-free, progressive disease and death) was developed from a healthcare payer perspective. Survival curves from the LUX-Lung 3 trial (afatinib versus pemetrexed-cisplatin chemotherapy) were extrapolated beyond the trial period to estimate the underlying progression-free survival and overall survival parametric distributions. Rates of adverse reactions were also estimated from LUX-Lung 3 while health utilities from overseas were derived from the literature in the absence of local estimates. Direct costs were sourced from public healthcare institutions in Singapore. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were calculated over a 5 year time horizon. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses and additional scenario analyses were conducted to explore the impact of uncertainties and assumptions on the cost-effectiveness results.

Results

In the base-case analysis, the ICER for afatinib versus pemetrexed-cisplatin was SG$137,648 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained and SG$109,172 per life-year gained. One-way sensitivity analysis showed the ICER was most sensitive to variations in the utility values, the cost of afatinib and time horizon. Scenario analyses showed that even reducing the cost of afatinib by 50% led to a high ICER which was unlikely to represent a cost-effective use of healthcare resources.

Conclusions

Compared with pemetrexed-cisplatin, afatinib is not cost-effective as a first-line treatment for advanced EGFR mutation-positive NSCLC in Singapore. The findings from our study will be useful to inform local healthcare decision-making and resource allocations for NSCLC treatments, together with other considerations such as clinical effectiveness, safety and affordability of TKIs.

SCORPION, a molecular database of scorpion toxins

Increasing interest in the studies of toxins and the requirements for better structural and functional annotations have created a need for improved data management in the field of toxins. The molecular database, SCORPION, contains more than 200 entries of fully referenced scorpion toxin data including primary sequences, three-dimensional structures, structural and functional annotations of scorpion toxins along with relevant literature references. SCORPION has a set of search tools that allow users to extract data and perform specific queries. These entries have been compiled from public databases and literature, cleaned of errors and enriched with additional structural and functional information. The grouping of scorpion toxins provides a basis for extending and clarifying the existing structural and functional classifications. The bioinformatics modules in SCORPION facilitate analyses aimed at classification of scorpion toxins and identification of sequence patterns associated with specific structural or functional properties of scorpion toxins. The SCORPION database is accessible via the Internet at sdmc.krdl.org.sg:8080/scorpion.

Deep neck infections in children

From December 1989 through 1998, a total of 68 children with deep neck infection were enrolled into this study. The mean age was 5.9 years (range, 1 month-15.8 years). Infections in the retropharyngeal space (36.7%) were most common, followed by parapharyngeal space (30.8%), peritonsillar space (20.6%), and submandibular space (11.9%). Fever, neck pain, and swelling were the most frequent symptoms. The most common pathogens were viridans streptococci (41%, 16/39) and Staphylococcus aureus (26%, 10/39). Other isolates included Prevotella spp., Veillonella spp., Klebsiella pneumoniae, Escherichia coli, Morganella spp., and Enterobacter spp. Mixed infection was found in 46% (18/39) of patients. The mean duration of hospitalization was 12.4 days (range, 2-45 days). Complete resolution was achieved in 61 (89.7%) children. Complications occurred in 7 patients, including recurrence, mediastinal spread, bacteremia, and suppurative thyroiditis; the patient with mediastinal spread plus bacteremia died. Five patients had congenital cyst and 4 of them had complications or recurrence/relapse. In conclusion, infections in the retropharyngeal space and polymicrobial infections were most common in deep neck infection of Taiwan children.

Esophageal foreign body presenting with stridor: report of one case

We report a case of a 12-month-old infant who developed acute respiratory distress with stridor from an impacted proximal esophageal foreign body. She was treated inappropriately as upper respiratory infections prior to the validation of the presenting complaint. Difficulties in diagnosis of esophageal foreign bodies arise, when the patient presents with atypical symptoms. Clinical suspicion remains the most important aid to diagnosis and endoscopic examination is essential for the diagnosis and successful management of foreign bodies in the esophagus.

Psychiatric and behavioural manifestations of normal-pressure hydrocephalus

Seven patients with psychiatric and behavioural manifestations of normal-pressure hydrocephalus are described. There is little disagreement about the classical triad of symptoms. However, it requires a high index of suspicion when a patient presents with non-specific psychiatric and behavioural symptoms. Clinicians must be alert to the possibility when positive findings point to the diagnosis of normal-pressure hydrocephalus, namely gait disturbance, incontinence, soft neurological signs, history of hypertension and no previous psychiatric history.