Impact of analysis technique on our understanding of the natural history of labour: a simulation study

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the discrepancy between historical and more recent descriptions of the first stage of labour by testing whether the statistical techniques used recently (repeated-measures polynomial and interval-censored regression) were appropriate for detection of periods of rapid acceleration of cervical dilatation as might occur at the time of transition from a latent to an active phase of labour.

DESIGN AND SETTING

A simulation study using regression techniques.

SAMPLE

We created a simulated data set for 500 000 labours with clearly defined latent and active phases using the parameters described by Friedman. Additionally, we created a data set comprising 500 000 labours with a progressively increasing rate of cervical dilatation.

METHODS

Repeated-measures polynomial regression was used to create summary labour curves based on simulated cervical examinations. Interval-censored regression was used to create centimetre-by-centimetre estimates of rates of cervical dilatation and their 95th centiles.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Labour summary curves and rates of cervical dilatation.

RESULTS

Repeated-measures polynomial regression did not detect the rapid acceleration in cervical dilatation (i.e. acceleration phase) and overestimated lengths of labour, especially at smaller cervical dilatations. There was a two-fold overestimation in the mean rate of cervical dilatation from 4 to 6 cm. Interval-censored regression overestimated median transit times, at 4- to 5-cm cervical dilatation or when cervical examinations occurred less frequently than 0.5- to 1.5-hourly.

CONCLUSION

Repeated-measures polynomial regression and interval-censored regression should not be routinely used to define labour progress because they do not accurately reflect the underlying data.

TWEETABLE ABSTRACT

Repeated-measures polynomial and interval-censored regression techniques are not appropriate to model first stage of labour.

PL3.6 Targeting GSK-3 activity promotes mitotic catastrophe via centrosome destabilisation and enhances the effect of radiotherapy in glioma models

BACKGROUND

Targeting kinases as regulators of cellular processes that drive cancer progression is a promising approach to improve patient outcome in GBM management. The glycogen synthase kinase 3 (GSK-3) plays a role in cancer progression and is known for its pro-proliferative activity in gliomas. The anti-proliferative and cytotoxic effects of the GSK-3 inhibitor AZD2858 were assessed in relevant in vitro and in vivo glioma models to confirm GSK-3 as a suitable target for improved single agent or combination treatments.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

The immortalised cell line U251 and the patient derived cell lines GBM1 and GBM4 were used in in vitro studies including MTT, clonogenic survival, live cell imaging, immunofluorescence microscopy and flow cytometry to assess the cytotoxic and anti-proliferative effects of AZD2858. Observed anti-proliferative effects were investigated by microarray technology for the identification of target genes with known roles in cell proliferation. Clinical relevance of targeting GSK-3 with the inhibitor either for single agent or combination treatment strategies was determined by subcutaneous and orthotopic in vivo modelling. Whole mount mass spectroscopy was used to confirm drug penetration in orthotopic tumour models.

RESULTS

AZD2858 was cytotoxic at low micromolar concentrations and at sub-micromolar concentrations (0.01 - 1.0 μM) induced mitotic defects in all cell lines examined. Prolonged mitosis, centrosome disruption/duplication and cytokinetic failure leading to cell death featured prominently among the cell lines concomitant with an observed S-phase arrest. No cytotoxic or anti-proliferative effect was observed in normal human astrocytes. Analysis of the RNA microarray screen of AZD2858 treated glioma cells revealed the dysregulation of mitosis-associated genes including ASPM and PRC1, encoding proteins with known roles in cytokinesis. The anti-proliferative and cytotoxic effect of AZD2858 was also confirmed in both subcutaneous and orthotopic in vivo models. In addition, combination treatment with AZD2858 enhanced clinically relevant radiation doses leading to reduced tumour volume and improved survival in orthotopic in vivo models.

CONCLUSION

GSK-3 inhibition with the small molecule inhibitor AZD2858 led to cell death in glioma stem cells preventing normal centrosome function and promoting mitotic failure. Normal human astrocytes were not affected by treatment with the inhibitor at submicromolar concentrations. Drug penetration was observed alongside an enhanced effect of clinical radiotherapy doses in vivo. The reported aberrant centrosomal duplication may be a direct consequence of failed cytokinesis suggesting a role of GSK-3 in regulation of mitosis in glioma. GSK-3 is a promising target for combination treatment with radiation in GBM management and plays a role in mitosis-associated events in glioma biology.

Benefits of a brief psychological intervention targeting fear of cancer recurrence in people at high risk of developing another melanoma: 12-month follow-up results of a randomized controlled trial

BACKGROUND

People with melanoma want and need effective interventions for living with fear of cancer recurrence (FCR).

OBJECTIVES

This study reports the 12-month outcomes of a brief, psychological intervention designed to reduce FCR in people at high risk of developing another primary melanoma compared with usual care.

METHODS

In this two-arm randomized controlled trial, adults previously diagnosed with stage 0, I or II melanoma were randomly allocated to the intervention (n = 80) or control (usual care) arm (n = 84). The trial was registered with the Australian and New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry on 19 March 2013 (registration: ACTRN12613000304730). The intervention comprised a 76-page psychoeducational resource and three individually tailored, telephone-based sessions with a psychologist, scheduled at specific time points around participants' dermatological appointments. The primary outcome was the level of self-reported fear of new or recurrent melanoma assessed at 12 months postintervention using the severity subscale of the Fear of Cancer Recurrence Inventory.

RESULTS

Compared with the control arm, the intervention group reported significantly lower FCR at 12 months postintervention; the between-group mean difference was -1·41 for FCR severity [95% confidence interval (CI) -2·6 to -0·2; P = 0·02] and -1·32 for FCR triggers (95% CI -2·6 to -0·02; P = 0·04). The odds ratio for FCR severity scores ≥13 (54% intervention, 63% control) was 0·59 (95% CI 0·30-1·14, P = 0·12). There were no differences between groups in secondary outcomes, such as anxiety, depression or health-related quality of life.

CONCLUSIONS

The previously reported 6-month benefits of this brief, patient-centred psychological intervention in reducing FCR were found to continue 12 months postintervention, with no known adverse effects, supporting implementation as part of routine melanoma care.

The influence of zero-hours contracts on care worker well-being

Background

Care workers have an important social role which is set to expand with the increasing age of the UK population. However, the majority of care workers are employed on zero-hours contracts.

Aims

Firstly, to investigate the relationship between working conditions and employee outcomes such as engagement and general mental well-being in a sample of UK care workers and management. Secondly, to assess whether the use of zero-hours contracts affects employee well-being.

Methods

A cross-sectional survey of domiciliary care and care home employees, undertaken using the Management Standards Indicator Tool (MSIT), Utrecht Work Engagement Scale (UWES) and General Health Questionnaire (GHQ). T-tests and multivariate linear regression evaluated the differences in scoring between those with differing contractual conditions and job roles, and associations of MSIT scores with UWES and GHQ factors.

Results

Employee understanding of their role and job control were found to be priority areas for improvement in the sample. Similarly, care workers reported greater occupational demands and lower levels of control than management. However, while zero-hours contracts did not significantly influence employee well-being, these employees had greater levels of engagement in their jobs. Despite this, a greater proportion of individuals with zero-hours contracts had scores above accepted mental health cut-offs.

Conclusions

Individual understanding of their role as care workers appears to play an important part in determining engagement and general mental well-being. However, more research is needed on the influence of zero-hours contracts on well-being, particularly in groups with increased likelihood of developing mental health disorders.

A review of international clinical practice guidelines for the use of oxygen in the delivery room resuscitation of preterm infants

AIM

To collate and assess international clinical practice guidelines (CPG) to determine current recommendations guiding oxygen management for respiratory stabilisation of preterm infants at delivery.

METHODS

A search of public databases using the terms 'clinical practice guidelines', 'preterm', 'oxygen' and 'resuscitation' was made and complemented by direct query to consensus groups, resuscitation expert committees and clinicians. Data were extracted to include the three criteria for assessment: country of origin, gestation and initial FiO₂ and target SpO₂ for the first 10 minutes of life.

RESULTS

A total of 45 CPGs were identified: 36 provided gestation specific recommendations (<28 to <37 weeks) while eight distinguished only between 'preterm' and 'term'. The most frequently recommended initial FiO₂ were between 0.21 and 0.3 (n = 17). Most countries suggested altering FiO₂ to meet SpO₂ targets recommended by expert committees, However, specific five-minute SpO₂ targets differed by up to 20% (70-90%) between guidelines. Five countries did not specify SpO₂ targets.

CONCLUSION

CPG recommendations for delivery room oxygen management of preterm infants vary greatly, particularly in regard to gestational ages, initial FiO₂ and SpO₂ targets and most acknowledge the lack of evidence behind these recommendations. Sufficiently large and well-designed randomised studies are needed to inform on this important practice.

Hopanoids play a role in stress tolerance and nutrient storage in the cyanobacterium Nostoc punctiforme

Hopanes are abundant in ancient sedimentary rocks at discrete intervals in Earth history, yet interpreting their significance in the geologic record is complicated by our incomplete knowledge of what their progenitors, hopanoids, do in modern cells. To date, few studies have addressed the breadth of diversity of physiological functions of these lipids and whether those functions are conserved across the hopanoid-producing bacterial phyla. Here, we generated mutants in the filamentous cyanobacterium, Nostoc punctiforme, that are unable to make all hopanoids (shc) or 2-methylhopanoids (hpnP). While the absence of hopanoids impedes growth of vegetative cells at high temperature, the shc mutant grows faster at low temperature. This finding is consistent with hopanoids acting as membrane rigidifiers, a function shared by other hopanoid-producing phyla. Apart from impacting fitness under temperature stress, hopanoids are dispensable for vegetative cells under other stress conditions. However, hopanoids are required for stress tolerance in akinetes, a resting survival cell type. While 2-methylated hopanoids do not appear to contribute to any stress phenotype, total hopanoids and to a lesser extent 2-methylhopanoids were found to promote the formation of cyanophycin granules in akinetes. Finally, although hopanoids support symbiotic interactions between Alphaproteobacteria and plants, they do not appear to facilitate symbiosis between N. punctiforme and the hornwort Anthoceros punctatus. Collectively, these findings support interpreting hopanes as general environmental stress biomarkers. If hopanoid-mediated enhancement of nitrogen-rich storage products turns out to be a conserved phenomenon in other organisms, a better understanding of this relationship may help us parse the enrichment of 2-methylhopanes in the rock record during episodes of disrupted nutrient cycling.

Protocol for a within-trial economic evaluation of a psychoeducational intervention tailored to people at high risk of developing a second or subsequent melanoma

INTRODUCTION

Psychological support programmes are not currently funded for people with a history of melanoma. A major barrier to the implementation of effective psychological interventions in routine clinical care is a lack of cost-effectiveness data. This paper describes the planned economic evaluation alongside a randomised controlled trial of a psychoeducational intervention for people with a history of melanoma who are at high risk of developing new primary disease.

METHOD AND ANALYSIS

The economic evaluation is a within-trial analysis to evaluate the incremental costs and health outcomes of a psychoeducational intervention compared to usual care from the perspective of the Australian healthcare system. Cost-effectiveness and cost-utility analyses will be conducted, providing estimates of the cost to reduce fear of melanoma recurrence and the cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained. Fear of melanoma recurrence will be measured using the Fear of Cancer Recurrence Inventory and preference-based quality of life measured using the Assessment of Quality of Life-8 Dimensions (AQoL-8D) instrument. The AQoL-8D will provide utilities for estimation of QALYs in the cost-utility analysis. Unit costs of health services and medicines will be taken from the Medicare Benefits Schedule and the Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme national databases. Health outcomes, and health service and medication use will be collected at baseline, 6 and 12 months follow-up. The within-trial analysis will be conducted at 12 months, consistent with the end point of the trial.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

Approval to conduct the study was granted by the Sydney Local Health District (RPAH zone) Ethics Review Committee (X13-0065 and HREC/13/RPAH/86), the Department of Health and Ageing Human Research Ethics Committee (21/2013), the University of Sydney Human Research Ethics Committee (2013/595), and the Australian Institute of Health and Welfare Ethics Committee (EO 2013/4/58).

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

ACTRN12613000304730; Pre-results.

Doctors' recognition and management of melanoma patients' risk: An Australian population-based study

BACKGROUND

Guidelines recommend that health professionals identify and manage individuals at high risk of developing melanoma, but there is limited population-based evidence demonstrating real-world practices.

OBJECTIVE

A population-based, observational study was conducted in the state of New South Wales, Australia to determine doctors' knowledge of melanoma patients' risk and to identify factors associated with better identification and clinical management.

METHODS

Data were analysed for 1889 patients with invasive, localised melanoma in the Melanoma Patterns of Care study. This study collected data on all melanoma diagnoses notified to the state's cancer registry during a 12-month period from 2006 to 2007, as well as questionnaire data from the doctors involved in their care.

RESULTS

Three-quarters (74%) of patients had doctors who were aware of their risk factor status with respect to personal and family history of melanoma and the presence of many moles. Doctors working in general practice, skin cancer clinics and dermatology settings had better knowledge of patients' risk factors than plastic surgeons. Doctors were 15% more likely to know the family history of younger melanoma patients (<40years) than of those ≥80 years (95% confidence interval 4-26%). Early detection-related follow-up advice was more likely to be given to younger patients, by doctors aware of their patients' risk status, by doctors practising in plastic surgery, dermatology and skin cancer clinic settings, and by female doctors.

CONCLUSION

Both patient-related and doctor-related factors were associated with doctors' recognition and management of melanoma patients' risk and could be the focus of strategies for improving care.

On the optimal control of stationary diffusion processes with inaccessible boundaries and no discounting

Because there are no boundary conditions, extra properties are required in order to identify the correct potential cost function. A solution of the Dynamic Programming equation for one-dimensional processes leads to an optimal solution within a wide class of alternatives (Theorem 1), and is completely optimal if certain conditions are satisfied (Theorem 2). Necessary conditions are also given. Several examples are solved, and some extension to the multidimensional case is shown.

On the optimal control of a deterministic epidemic

A control scheme for the immunisation of susceptibles in the Kermack-McKendrick epidemic model for a closed population is proposed. The bounded control appears linearly in both dynamics and integral cost functionals and any optimal policies are of the “bang-bang” type. The approach uses Dynamic Programming and Pontryagin's Maximum Principle and allows one, for certain values of the cost and removal rates, to apply necessary and sufficient conditions for optimality and show that a one-switch candidate is the optimal control. In the remaining cases we are still able to show that an optimal control, if it exists, has at most one switch.

Cost to government and society of chronic kidney disease stage 1-5: a national cohort study

BACKGROUND

Costs associated with chronic kidney disease (CKD) are not well documented. Understanding such costs is important to inform economic evaluations of prevention strategies and treatment options.

AIM

To estimate the costs associated with CKD in Australia.

METHODS

We used data from the 2004/2005 AusDiab study, a national longitudinal population-based study of non-institutionalised Australian adults aged ≥25 years. We included 6138 participants with CKD, diabetes and healthcare cost data. The annual age and sex-adjusted costs per person were estimated using a generalised linear model. Costs were inflated from 2005 to 2012 Australian dollars using best practice methods.

RESULTS

Among 6138 study participants, there was a significant difference in the per-person annual direct healthcare costs by CKD status, increasing from $1829 (95% confidence interval (CI): $1740-1943) for those without CKD to $14 545 (95% CI: $5680-44 842) for those with stage 4 or 5 CKD (P < 0.01). Similarly, there was a significant difference in the per-person annual direct non-healthcare costs by CKD status from $524 (95% CI: $413-641) for those without CKD to $2349 (95% CI: $386-5156) for those with stage 4 or 5 CKD (P < 0.01). Diabetes is a common cause of CKD and is associated with increased health costs. Costs per person were higher for those with diabetes than those without diabetes in all CKD groups; however, this was significant only for those without CKD and those with early stage (stage 1 or 2) CKD.

CONCLUSION

Individuals with CKD incur 85% higher healthcare costs and 50% higher government subsidies than individuals without CKD, and costs increase by CKD stage. Primary and secondary prevention strategies may reduce costs and warrant further consideration.

Clinical practice guidelines for identification, screening and follow-up of individuals at high risk of primary cutaneous melanoma: a systematic review

Understanding how individuals at high-risk of primary cutaneous melanoma are best identified, screened and followed up will help optimize melanoma prevention strategies and clinical management. We conducted a systematic review of international clinical practice guidelines and documented the quality of supporting evidence for recommendations for clinical management of individuals at high risk of melanoma. Guidelines published between January 2000 and July 2014 were identified from a systematic search of Medline, Embase and four guideline databases; 34 guidelines from 20 countries were included. High-risk characteristics that were consistently reported included many melanocytic naevi, dysplastic naevi, family history, large congenital naevi, and Fitzpatrick Type I and II skin types. Most guidelines identify risk factors and recommend that individuals at high risk of cutaneous melanoma be monitored, but only half of the guidelines provide recommendations for screening based on level of risk. There is disagreement in screening and follow-up recommendations for those with an increased risk of future melanoma. High-level evidence supports long-term screening of individuals at high risk and monitoring using dermoscopy. Evidence is low for defining screening intervals and duration of follow-up, and for skin self-examination, although education about skin self-examination is widely encouraged. Clinical practice guidelines would benefit from a dedicated section for identification, screening and follow-up of individuals at high risk of melanoma. Guidelines could be improved with clear definitions of multiple naevi, family history and frequency of follow-up. Research examining the benefits and costs of alternative management strategies for groups at high risk will enhance the quality of recommendations.

Examining the family-centred approach to genetic testing and counselling among UK Pakistanis: a community perspective

WHO advice suggests a family-centred approach for managing the elevated risk of recessively inherited disorders in consanguineous communities, whilst emerging policy recommends community engagement as an integral component of genetic service development. This paper explores the feasibility of the family-centred approach in the UK Pakistani origin community. The study took place within a context of debate in the media, professional and lay circles about cousin marriage causing disability in children. Using qualitative methods, a total of six single-sex focus group discussions (n = 50) were conducted in three UK cities with a high settlement of people of Pakistani origin. Tape-recorded transcripts were analysed using framework analysis. Kinship networks within Pakistani origin communities are being sustained and marriage between close blood relatives continues to take place alongside other marriage options. Study participants were critical of what was perceived as a prevalent notion that cousin marriage causes disability in children. They were willing to discuss cousin marriage and disability, share genetic information and engage with genetic issues. A desire for accurate information and a public informed about genetic issues was articulated whilst ineffective communication of genetic risk information undermined professionals in their support role. This study suggests a community that is embracing change, one in which kinship networks are still active and genetic information exchange is taking place. At the community level, these are conditions supportive of the family-centred approach to genetic testing and counselling.

Radiation protection in fixed PET/CT facilities--design and operation

We describe the design of a fixed positron emission tomography (PET)/CT facility and the use of a simulated instantaneous dose-rate plot to visually highlight areas of potentially high radiation exposure. We also illustrate the practical implementation of basic radiation protection principles based on the use of distance and shielding and the minimisation of time spent in hot areas. Staff whole body doses for 4 years are presented with results of an optimisation study analysing the dose arising from the different phases within each study using direct reading dosemeters. The total whole body dose for all staff for each patient fell from 9.5 μSv in the first full year of operation to 4.8 µSv in 2008. The maximum dose to an individual member of staff per patient decreased over the same period from 3.2 to 0.9 µSv. The optimisation study showed that the highest dose was recorded during the injection phase.

Impact of a clonal outbreak of extended-spectrum β-lactamase-producing Klebsiella pneumoniae in the development and evolution of bloodstream infections by K. pneumoniae and Escherichia coli: an 11 year experience in Oxfordshire, UK

OBJECTIVES

The objectives of this study were: (i) to describe an outbreak of multidrug-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae in our population; (ii) to identify the potential source of this outbreak by examining antibiotic resistance trends in urocultures; (iii) to evaluate the contribution of this outbreak to resistance patterns over time in the two commonest Gram-negative blood culture isolates, namely K. pneumoniae and Escherichia coli; and (iv) to assess risk factors for multidrug resistance and the impact of this resistance on mortality and length of stay.

METHODS

We searched Microbiology and Patient Administration Service databases retrospectively and describe resistance trends in E. coli and K. pneumoniae bloodstream infections (BSIs) in Oxfordshire, UK, over an 11 year period.

RESULTS

An outbreak of a multidrug-resistant, CTX-M-15 extended-spectrum β-lactamase (ESBL)-producing K. pneumoniae clone was identified and shown by multilocus sequence typing to belong to a novel sequence type designated ST490. This was associated with a sporadic change in resistance rates in K. pneumoniae BSIs with rates of multidrug resistance (defined as resistance to three or more antibiotic classes) reaching 40%. A case-control study showed prior antibiotic exposure as a risk factor for infection with this organism. During the same time period, rates of ESBL-producing Klebsiella spp. isolated from urocultures increased from 0.5% to almost 6%. By contrast, the rate of multidrug resistance in E. coli rose more steadily from 0% in 2000 to 10% in 2010.

CONCLUSIONS

Changes in resistance rates may be associated with outbreaks of resistant clones in K. pneumoniae. Changing resistance patterns may affect important health economic issues such as length of stay.

The views of patients and carers in treatment decision making for chronic kidney disease: systematic review and thematic synthesis of qualitative studies

OBJECTIVE

To synthesise the views of patients and carers in decision making regarding treatment for chronic kidney disease, and to determine which factors influence those decisions.

DESIGN

Systematic review of qualitative studies of decision making and choice for dialysis, transplantation, or palliative care, and thematic synthesis of qualitative studies.

DATA SOURCES

Medline, PsycINFO, CINAHL, Embase, social work abstracts, and digital theses (database inception to week 3 October 2008) to identify literature using qualitative methods (focus groups, interviews, or case studies). Review methods Thematic synthesis involved line by line coding of the findings of the primary studies and development of descriptive and analytical themes.

RESULTS

18 studies that reported the experiences of 375 patients and 87 carers were included. 14 studies focused on preferences for dialysis modality, three on transplantation, and one on palliative management. Four major themes were identified as being central to treatment choices: confronting mortality (choosing life or death, being a burden, living in limbo), lack of choice (medical decision, lack of information, constraints on resources), gaining knowledge of options (peer influence, timing of information), and weighing alternatives (maintaining lifestyle, family influences, maintaining the status quo).

CONCLUSIONS

The experiences of other patients greatly influenced the decision making of patients and carers. The problematic timing of information about treatment options and synchronous creation of vascular access seemed to predetermine haemodialysis and inhibit choice of other treatments, including palliative care. A preference to maintain the status quo may explain why patients often remain on their initial therapy.

Glioblastoma in a boy with fragile X: an unusual case of neuroprotection

Glioblastomas in children usually occur in the brainstem and are often untreatable and associated with an extremely poor prognosis. Such tumours may however occur in supratentorial locations more typically associated with adult gliomas, where the outcome is more variable, but still poor. This report describes the case of a boy with fragile X who also developed an inoperable midbrain glioblastoma, but who has survived 8 years after diagnosis.