Long-term reliability of the phospholamban (PLN) p.(Arg14del) risk model in predicting major ventricular arrhythmia: a landmark study

AIMS

Recently, a genetic variant-specific prediction model for phospholamban (PLN) p.(Arg14del)-positive individuals was developed to predict individual major ventricular arrhythmia (VA) risk to support decision-making for primary prevention implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) implantation. This model predicts major VA risk from baseline data, but iterative evaluation of major VA risk may be warranted considering that the risk factors for major VA are progressive. Our aim is to evaluate the diagnostic performance of the PLN p.(Arg14del) risk model at 3-year follow-up.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We performed a landmark analysis 3 years after presentation and selected only patients with no prior major VA. Data were collected of 268 PLN p.(Arg14del)-positive subjects, aged 43.5 ± 16.3 years, 38.9% male. After the 3 years landmark, subjects had a mean follow-up of 4.0 years (± 3.5 years) and 28 (10%) subjects experienced major VA with an annual event rate of 2.6% [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.6-3.6], defined as sustained VA, appropriate ICD intervention, or (aborted) sudden cardiac death. The PLN p.(Arg14del) risk score yielded good discrimination in the 3 years landmark cohort with a C-statistic of 0.83 (95% CI 0.79-0.87) and calibration slope of 0.97.

CONCLUSION

The PLN p.(Arg14del) risk model has sustained good model performance up to 3 years follow-up in PLN p.(Arg14del)-positive subjects with no history of major VA. It may therefore be used to support decision-making for primary prevention ICD implantation not merely at presentation but also up to at least 3 years of follow-up.

ECG-only explainable deep learning algorithm predicts the risk for malignant ventricular arrhythmia in phospholamban cardiomyopathy

BACKGROUND

Phospholamban (PLN) p.(Arg14del) variant carriers are at risk for development of malignant ventricular arrhythmia (MVA). Accurate risk stratification allows timely implantation of intracardiac defibrillators and is currently performed with a multimodality prediction model.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to investigate whether an explainable deep learning-based approach allows risk prediction with only electrocardiogram (ECG) data.

METHODS

A total of 679 PLN p.(Arg14del) carriers without MVA at baseline were identified. A deep learning-based variational auto-encoder, trained on 1.1 million ECGs, was used to convert the 12-lead baseline ECG into its FactorECG, a compressed version of the ECG that summarizes it into 32 explainable factors. Prediction models were developed by Cox regression.

RESULTS

The deep learning-based ECG-only approach was able to predict MVA with a C statistic of 0.79 (95% CI, 0.76-0.83), comparable to the current prediction model (C statistic, 0.83 [95% CI, 0.79-0.88]; P = .054) and outperforming a model based on conventional ECG parameters (low-voltage ECG and negative T waves; C statistic, 0.65 [95% CI, 0.58-0.73]; P < .001). Clinical simulations showed that a 2-step approach, with ECG-only screening followed by a full workup, resulted in 60% less additional diagnostics while outperforming the multimodal prediction model in all patients. A visualization tool was created to provide interactive visualizations (https://pln.ecgx.ai).

CONCLUSION

Our deep learning-based algorithm based on ECG data only accurately predicts the occurrence of MVA in PLN p.(Arg14del) carriers, enabling more efficient stratification of patients who need additional diagnostic testing and follow-up.

Penetrance and Prognosis of MYH7 Variant-Associated Cardiomyopathies: Results From a Dutch Multicenter Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

MYH7 variants cause hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM), noncompaction cardiomyopathy (NCCM), and dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM). Screening of relatives of patients with genetic cardiomyopathy is recommended from 10 to 12 years of age onward, irrespective of the affected gene.

OBJECTIVES

This study sought to study the penetrance and prognosis of MYH7 variant-associated cardiomyopathies.

METHODS

In this multicenter cohort study, penetrance and major cardiomyopathy-related events (MCEs) were assessed in carriers of (likely) pathogenic MYH7 variants by using Kaplan-Meier curves and log-rank tests. Prognostic factors were evaluated using Cox regression with time-dependent coefficients.

RESULTS

In total, 581 subjects (30.1% index patients, 48.4% male, median age 37.0 years [IQR: 19.5-50.2 years]) were included. HCM was diagnosed in 226 subjects, NCCM in 70, and DCM in 55. Early penetrance and MCEs (age <12 years) were common among NCCM-associated variant carriers (21.2% and 12.0%, respectively) and DCM-associated variant carriers (15.3% and 10.0%, respectively), compared with HCM-associated variant carriers (2.9% and 2.1%, respectively). Penetrance was significantly increased in carriers of converter region variants (adjusted HR: 1.87; 95% CI: 1.15-3.04; P = 0.012) and at age ≤1 year in NCCM-associated or DCM-associated variant carriers (adjusted HR: 21.17; 95% CI: 4.81-93.20; P < 0.001) and subjects with a family history of early MCEs (adjusted HR: 2.45; 95% CI: 1.09-5.50; P = 0.030). The risk of MCE was increased in subjects with a family history of early MCEs (adjusted HR: 1.82; 95% CI: 1.15-2.87; P = 0.010) and at age ≤5 years in NCCM-associated or DCM-associated variant carriers (adjusted HR: 38.82; 95% CI: 5.16-291.88; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

MYH7 variants can cause cardiomyopathies and MCEs at a young age. Screening at younger ages may be warranted, particularly in carriers of NCCM- or DCM-associated variants and/or with a family history of MCEs at <12 years.

Phenotypic and Genetic Factors Associated with Absence of Cardiomyopathy Symptoms in PLN:c.40_42delAGA Carriers

The c.40_42delAGA variant in the phospholamban gene (PLN) has been associated with dilated and arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy, with up to 70% of carriers experiencing a major cardiac event by age 70. However, there are carriers who remain asymptomatic at older ages. To understand the mechanisms behind this incomplete penetrance, we evaluated potential phenotypic and genetic modifiers in 74 PLN:c.40_42delAGA carriers identified in 36,339 participants of the Lifelines population cohort. Asymptomatic carriers (N = 48) showed shorter QRS duration (- 5.73 ms, q value = 0.001) compared to asymptomatic non-carriers, an effect we could replicate in two different independent cohorts. Furthermore, symptomatic carriers showed a higher correlation (rPearson = 0.17) between polygenic predisposition to higher QRS (PGSQRS) and QRS (p value = 1.98 × 10-8), suggesting that the effect of the genetic variation on cardiac rhythm might be increased in symptomatic carriers. Our results allow for improved clinical interpretation for asymptomatic carriers, while our approach could guide future studies on genetic diseases with incomplete penetrance.

Deep neural network-based clustering of deformation curves reveals novel disease features in PLN pathogenic variant carriers

Echocardiographic deformation curves provide detailed information on myocardial function. Deep neural networks (DNNs) may enable automated detection of disease features in deformation curves, and improve the clinical assessment of these curves. We aimed to investigate whether an explainable DNN-based pipeline can be used to detect and visualize disease features in echocardiographic deformation curves of phospholamban (PLN) p.Arg14del variant carriers. A DNN was trained to discriminate PLN variant carriers (n = 278) from control subjects (n = 621) using raw deformation curves obtained by 2D-speckle tracking in the longitudinal axis. A visualization technique was used to identify the parts of these curves that were used by the DNN for classification. The PLN variant carriers were clustered according to the output of the visualization technique. The DNN showed excellent discriminatory performance (C-statistic 0.93 [95% CI 0.87-0.97]). We identified four clusters with PLN-associated disease features in the deformation curves. Two clusters showed previously described features: apical post-systolic shortening and reduced systolic strain. The two other clusters revealed novel features, both reflecting delayed relaxation. Additionally, a fifth cluster was identified containing variant carriers without disease features in the deformation curves, who were classified as controls by the DNN. This latter cluster had a very benign disease course regarding development of ventricular arrhythmias. Applying an explainable DNN-based pipeline to myocardial deformation curves enables automated detection and visualization of disease features. In PLN variant carriers, we discovered novel disease features which may improve individual risk stratification. Applying this approach to other diseases will further expand our knowledge on disease-specific deformation patterns. Overview of the deep neural network-based pipeline for feature detection in myocardial deformation curves. Firstly, phospholamban (PLN) p.Arg14del variant carriers and controls were selected and a deep neural network (DNN) was trained to detect the PLN variant carriers. Subsequently, a clustering-based approach was performed on the attention maps of the DNN, which revealed 4 distinct phenotypes of PLN variant carriers with different prognoses. Moreover, a cluster without features and a benign prognosis was detected.

Exploring the Correlation Between Fibrosis Biomarkers and Clinical Disease Severity in PLN p.Arg14del Patients

Background: Pathogenic variants in phospholamban (PLN, like p. Arg14del), are found in patients diagnosed with arrhythmogenic (ACM) and dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM). Fibrosis formation in the heart is one of the hallmarks in PLN p.Arg14del carriers. During collagen synthesis and breakdown, propeptides are released into the circulation, such as procollagen type I carboxy-terminal propeptide (PICP) and C-terminal telopeptide collagen type I (ICTP).

Aim: To investigate if PICP/ICTP levels in blood are correlative biomarkers for clinical disease severity and outcome in PLN p.Arg14del variant carriers.

Methods: Serum and EDTA blood samples were collected from 72 PLN p.Arg14del carriers (age 50.5 years, 63% female) diagnosed with ACM (n = 12), DCM (n = 14), and preclinical variant carriers (n = 46). PICP levels were measured with an enzyme-linked immune sorbent assay and ICTP with a radio immuno-assay. Increased PICP/ICTP ratios suggest a higher collagen deposition. Clinical data including electrocardiographic, and imaging results were adjudicated from medical records.

Results: No correlation between PICP/ICTP ratios and late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) was found. Moderate correlations were found between the PICP/ICTP ratio and end-diastolic/systolic volume (both rs = 0.40, n = 23, p = 0.06). PICP/ICTP ratio was significantly higher in patients with T wave inversion (TWI), especially in leads V4–V6, II, III, and aVF (p &lt; 0.022) and in patients with premature ventricular contractions (PVCs) during an exercise tolerance test (p = 0.007).

Conclusion: High PICP/ICTP ratios correlated with clinical parameters, such as TWI and PVCs. Given the limited size and heterogeneity of the patient group, additional studies are required to substantiate the incremental prognostic value of these fibrosis biomarkers in PLN p.Arg14del patients.

Sex-specific aspects of phospholamban cardiomyopathy: The importance and prognostic value of low-voltage electrocardiograms

BACKGROUND

A pathogenic variant in the gene encoding phospholamban (PLN), a protein that regulates calcium homeostasis of cardiomyocytes, causes PLN cardiomyopathy. It is characterized by a high arrhythmic burden and can progress to severe cardiomyopathy. Risk assessment guides implantable cardioverter-defibrillator therapy and benefits from personalization. Whether sex-specific differences in PLN cardiomyopathy exist is unknown.

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to improve the accuracy of PLN cardiomyopathy diagnosis and risk assessment by investigating sex-specific aspects.

METHODS

We analyzed a multicenter cohort of 933 patients (412 male, 521 female) with the PLN p.(Arg14del) pathogenic variant following up on a recently developed PLN risk model. Sex-specific differences in the incidence of risk model components were investigated: low-voltage electrocardiogram (ECG), premature ventricular contractions, negative T waves, and left ventricular ejection fraction.

RESULTS

Sustained ventricular arrhythmias (VAs) occurred in 77 males (18.7%) and 61 females (11.7%) (P = .004). Of the 933 cohort members, 287 (31%) had ≥1 low-voltage ECG during follow-up (180 females [63%], 107 males [37%]; P = .006). Female sex, age, age at clinical presentation, and proband status predicted low-voltage ECG during follow-up (area under the curve: 0.78). Sustained VA-free survival was lowest in males with low-voltage ECG (P <.001).

CONCLUSION

Low-voltage ECGs predict sustained VA and are a component of the PLN risk model. Low-voltage ECGs are more common in females, yet prognostic value is greater in males. Future studies should determine the impact of this difference on the risk prediction of PLN cardiomyopathy and possibly other cardiomyopathies.

Optimal echocardiographic assessment of myocardial dysfunction for arrhythmic risk stratification in phospholamban mutation carriers

Aims 

Phospholamban (PLN) p.Arg14del mutation carriers are at risk of developing malignant ventricular arrhythmias (VAs) and/or heart failure. Currently, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) plays an important role in risk assessment for VA in these individuals. We aimed to study the incremental prognostic value of left ventricular mechanical dispersion (LVMD) by echocardiographic deformation imaging for prediction of sustained VA in PLN p.Arg14del mutation carriers.

Methods and results

We included 243 PLN p.Arg14del mutation carriers, which were classified into three groups according to the ‘45/45’ rule: (i) normal left ventricular (LV) function, defined as preserved LVEF ≥45% with normal LVMD ≤45 ms (n = 139), (ii) mechanical LV dysfunction, defined as preserved LVEF ≥45% with abnormal LVMD >45 ms (n = 63), and (iii) overt LV dysfunction, defined as reduced LVEF <45% (n = 41). During a median follow-up of 3.3 (interquartile range 1.8–6.0) years, sustained VA occurred in 35 individuals. The negative predictive value of having normal LV function at baseline was 99% [95% confidence interval (CI): 92–100%] for developing sustained VA. The positive predictive value of mechanical LV dysfunction was 20% (95% CI: 15–27%). Mechanical LV dysfunction was an independent predictor of sustained VA in multivariable analysis [hazard ratio adjusted for VA history: 20.48 (95% CI: 2.57–162.84)].

Conclusion 

LVMD has incremental prognostic value on top of LVEF in PLN p.Arg14del mutation carriers, particularly in those with preserved LVEF. The ‘45/45’ rule is a practical approach to echocardiographic risk stratification in this challenging group of patients. This approach may also have added value in other diseases where LVEF deterioration is a relative late marker of myocardial dysfunction.

Prediction of ventricular arrhythmia in phospholamban p.Arg14del mutation carriers-reaching the frontiers of individual risk prediction

Aims

This study aims to improve risk stratification for primary prevention implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) implantation by developing a new mutation-specific prediction model for malignant ventricular arrhythmia (VA) in phospholamban (PLN) p.Arg14del mutation carriers. The proposed model is compared to an existing PLN risk model.

Methods and results

Data were collected from PLN p.Arg14del mutation carriers with no history of malignant VA at baseline, identified between 2009 and 2020. Malignant VA was defined as sustained VA, appropriate ICD intervention, or (aborted) sudden cardiac death. A prediction model was developed using Cox regression. The study cohort consisted of 679 PLN p.Arg14del mutation carriers, with a minority of index patients (17%) and male sex (43%), and a median age of 42 years [interquartile range (IQR) 27–55]. During a median follow-up of 4.3 years (IQR 1.7–7.4), 72 (10.6%) carriers experienced malignant VA. Significant predictors were left ventricular ejection fraction, premature ventricular contraction count/24 h, amount of negative T waves, and presence of low-voltage electrocardiogram. The multivariable model had an excellent discriminative ability {C-statistic 0.83 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.78–0.88]}. Applying the existing PLN risk model to the complete cohort yielded a C-statistic of 0.68 (95% CI 0.61–0.75).

Conclusion

This new mutation-specific prediction model for individual VA risk in PLN p.Arg14del mutation carriers is superior to the existing PLN risk model, suggesting that risk prediction using mutation-specific phenotypic features can improve accuracy compared to a more generic approach.

The effect of itazigrel and aspirin on the mucosa of the esophagus, stomach, and duodenum of normal subjects

The effects of aspirin, itazigrel (U-53,059; a new antiplatelet drug), and placebo on the mucosa of the esophagus, stomach, and duodenum were evaluated in this double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled study. Six normal male subjects were included in each of five treatment groups: aspirin (325 mg each morning for five doses), aspirin (325 mg tid for 12 doses), itazigrel (25 mg each morning for five doses), itazigrel (50 mg tid for 12 doses), and placebo. Aspirin and itazigrel, at all doses investigated, significantly inhibited ex vivo, ionophore (A23187)-stimulated thromboxane B2 synthesis. Collagen-induced platelet aggregation was significantly inhibited on day 3 (P = .021) and day 5 (P = .002) in both aspirin and itazigrel groups as compared with placebo. Upper gastrointestinal endoscopy was performed before the first dose of drug (day 1) and two hours after the last dose (day 5) for each subject. A rating scale was used to score the amount of mucosal damage. The baseline (day 1) endoscopic scores revealed no significant differences between groups. On day 5, neither placebo nor itazigrel treatment groups showed any significant change compared with baseline. On day 5, both aspirin groups had significantly (P less than .001) more mucosal damage than the placebo group and either itazigrel group. It is concluded that in this relatively acute study, at doses that produce comparable inhibition of platelet aggregation and platelet cyclo-oxygenase, itazigrel was superior to aspirin in terms of toxicity to the upper gastrointestinal tract.