Long-term reliability of the phospholamban (PLN) p.(Arg14del) risk model in predicting major ventricular arrhythmia: a landmark study

AIMS

Recently, a genetic variant-specific prediction model for phospholamban (PLN) p.(Arg14del)-positive individuals was developed to predict individual major ventricular arrhythmia (VA) risk to support decision-making for primary prevention implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) implantation. This model predicts major VA risk from baseline data, but iterative evaluation of major VA risk may be warranted considering that the risk factors for major VA are progressive. Our aim is to evaluate the diagnostic performance of the PLN p.(Arg14del) risk model at 3-year follow-up.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We performed a landmark analysis 3 years after presentation and selected only patients with no prior major VA. Data were collected of 268 PLN p.(Arg14del)-positive subjects, aged 43.5 ± 16.3 years, 38.9% male. After the 3 years landmark, subjects had a mean follow-up of 4.0 years (± 3.5 years) and 28 (10%) subjects experienced major VA with an annual event rate of 2.6% [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.6-3.6], defined as sustained VA, appropriate ICD intervention, or (aborted) sudden cardiac death. The PLN p.(Arg14del) risk score yielded good discrimination in the 3 years landmark cohort with a C-statistic of 0.83 (95% CI 0.79-0.87) and calibration slope of 0.97.

CONCLUSION

The PLN p.(Arg14del) risk model has sustained good model performance up to 3 years follow-up in PLN p.(Arg14del)-positive subjects with no history of major VA. It may therefore be used to support decision-making for primary prevention ICD implantation not merely at presentation but also up to at least 3 years of follow-up.

Implantable cardioverter defibrillator use in arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy in North America and Europe

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Implantable cardioverter-defibrillators (ICDs) are critical for preventing sudden cardiac death (SCD) in arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC). This study aims to identify cross-continental differences in utilization of primary prevention ICDs and survival free from sustained ventricular arrhythmia (VA) in ARVC.

METHODS

This was a retrospective analysis of ARVC patients without prior VA enrolled in clinical registries from 11 countries throughout Europe and North America. Patients were classified according to whether they received treatment in North America or Europe and were further stratified by baseline predicted VA risk into low- (<10%/5 years), intermediate- (10%-25%/5 years), and high-risk (>25%/5 years) groups. Differences in ICD implantation and survival free from sustained VA events (including appropriate ICD therapy) were assessed.

RESULTS

One thousand ninety-eight patients were followed for a median of 5.1 years; 554 (50.5%) received a primary prevention ICD, and 286 (26.0%) experienced a first VA event. After adjusting for baseline risk factors, North Americans were more than three times as likely to receive ICDs {hazard ratio (HR) 3.1 [95% confidence interval (CI) 2.5, 3.8]} but had only mildly increased risk for incident sustained VA [HR 1.4 (95% CI 1.1, 1.8)]. North Americans without ICDs were at higher risk for incident sustained VA [HR 2.1 (95% CI 1.3, 3.4)] than Europeans.

CONCLUSIONS

North American ARVC patients were substantially more likely than Europeans to receive primary prevention ICDs across all arrhythmic risk strata. A lower rate of ICD implantation in Europe was not associated with a higher rate of VA events in those without ICDs.

A Systematic Analysis of the Clinical Outcome Associated with Multiple Reclassified Desmosomal Gene Variants in Arrhythmogenic Right Ventricular Cardiomyopathy Patients

The presence of multiple pathogenic variants in desmosomal genes (DSC2, DSG2, DSP, JUP, and PKP2) in patients with arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) has been linked to a severe phenotype. However, the pathogenicity of variants is reclassified frequently, which may result in a changed clinical risk prediction. Here, we present the collection, reclassification, and clinical outcome correlation for the largest series of ARVC patients carrying multiple desmosomal pathogenic variants to date (n = 331). After reclassification, only 29% of patients remained carriers of two (likely) pathogenic variants. They reached the composite endpoint (ventricular arrhythmias, heart failure, and death) significantly earlier than patients with one or no remaining reclassified variant (hazard ratios of 1.9 and 1.8, respectively). Periodic reclassification of variants contributes to more accurate risk stratification and subsequent clinical management strategy. Graphical Abstract.

The added value of abnormal regional myocardial function for risk prediction in arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy

AIMS

A risk calculator for individualized prediction of first-time sustained ventricular arrhythmia (VA) in arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) patients has recently been developed and validated (www.ARVCrisk.com). This study aimed to investigate whether regional functional abnormalities, measured by echocardiographic deformation imaging, can provide additional prognostic value.

METHODS AND RESULTS

From two referral centres, 150 consecutive patients with a definite ARVC diagnosis, no prior sustained VA, and an echocardiogram suitable for deformation analysis were included (aged 41 ± 17 years, 50% female). During a median follow-up of 6.3 (interquartile range 3.1-9.8) years, 37 (25%) experienced a first-time sustained VA. All tested left and right ventricular (LV and RV) deformation parameters were univariate predictors for first-time VA. While LV function did not add predictive value in multivariate analysis, two RV deformation parameters did; RV free wall longitudinal strain and regional RV deformation patterns remained independent predictors after adjusting for the calculator-predicted risk [hazard ratio 1.07 (95% CI 1.02-1.11); P = 0.004 and 4.45 (95% CI 1.07-18.57); P = 0.040, respectively] and improved its discriminative value (from C-statistic 0.78 to 0.82 in both; Akaike information criterion change > 2). Importantly, all patients who experienced VA within 5 years from the echocardiographic assessment had abnormal regional RV deformation patterns at baseline.

CONCLUSIONS

This study showed that regional functional abnormalities measured by echocardiographic deformation imaging can further refine personalized arrhythmic risk prediction when added to the ARVC risk calculator. The excellent negative predictive value of normal RV deformation could support clinicians considering the timing of implantable cardioverter defibrillator implantation in patients with intermediate arrhythmic risk.

The arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy phenotype associated with PKP2 c.1211dup variant

BACKGROUND

The arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy (ACM) phenotype, with life-threatening ventricular arrhythmias and heart failure, varies according to genetic aetiology. We aimed to characterise the phenotype associated with the variant c.1211dup (p.Val406Serfs*4) in the plakophilin‑2 gene (PKP2) and compare it with previously reported Dutch PKP2 founder variants.

METHODS

Clinical data were collected retrospectively from medical records of 106 PKP2 c.1211dup heterozygous carriers. Using data from the Netherlands ACM Registry, c.1211dup was compared with 3 other truncating PKP2 variants (c.235C > T (p.Arg79*), c.397C > T (p.Gln133*) and c.2489+1G > A (p.?)).

RESULTS

Of the 106 carriers, 47 (44%) were diagnosed with ACM, at a mean age of 41 years. By the end of follow-up, 29 (27%) had experienced sustained ventricular arrhythmias and 12 (11%) had developed heart failure, with male carriers showing significantly higher risks than females on these endpoints (p < 0.05). Based on available cardiac magnetic resonance imaging and echocardiographic data, 46% of the carriers showed either right ventricular dilatation and/or dysfunction, whereas a substantial minority (37%) had some form of left ventricular involvement. Both geographical distribution of carriers and haplotype analysis suggested PKP2 c.1211dup to be a founder variant originating from the South-Western coast of the Netherlands. Finally, a Cox proportional hazards model suggested significant differences in ventricular arrhythmia-free survival between 4 PKP2 founder variants, including c.1211dup.

CONCLUSIONS

The PKP2 c.1211dup variant is a Dutch founder variant associated with a typical right-dominant ACM phenotype, but also left ventricular involvement, and a possibly more severe phenotype than other Dutch PKP2 founder variants.

Exercise does not influence development of phenotype in PLN p.(Arg14del) cardiomyopathy

BACKGROUND

Endurance and frequent exercise are associated with earlier onset of arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) and ventricular arrhythmias (VA) in desmosomal gene variant carriers. Individuals with the pathogenic c.40_42del; p.(Arg14del) variant in the PLN gene are frequently diagnosed with ARVC or dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM). The aim of this study was to evaluate the effect of exercise in PLN p.(Arg14del) carriers.

METHODS

In total, 207 adult PLN p.(Arg14del) carriers (39.1% male; mean age 53 ± 15 years) were interviewed on their regular physical activity since the age of 10 years. The association of exercise with diagnosis of ARVC, DCM, sustained VA and hospitalisation for heart failure (HF) was studied.

RESULTS

Individuals participated in regular physical activities with a median of 1661 metabolic equivalent of task (MET) hours per year (31.9 MET-hours per week) until clinical presentation. The 50% most and least active individuals had a similar frequency of sustained VA (18.3% vs 18.4%; p = 0.974) and hospitalisation for HF (9.6% vs 8.7%; p = 0.827). There was no relationship between exercise and survival free from (incident) sustained VA (p = 0.65), hospitalisation for HF (p = 0.81), diagnosis of ARVC (p = 0.67) or DCM (p = 0.39) during follow-up. In multivariate analyses, exercise was not associated with sustained VA or HF hospitalisation during follow-up in this relatively not-active cohort.

CONCLUSION

There was no association between the amount of exercise and the susceptibility to develop ARVC, DCM, VA or HF in PLN p.(Arg14del) carriers. This suggested unaffected PLN p.(Arg14del) carriers can safely perform mild-moderate exercise, in contrast to desmosomal variant carriers and ARVC patients.

Individualized Family Screening for Arrhythmogenic Right Ventricular Cardiomyopathy

BACKGROUND

Clinical guidelines recommend regular screening for arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) to monitor at-risk relatives, resulting in a significant burden on clinical resources. Prioritizing relatives on their probability of developing definite ARVC may provide more efficient patient care.

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to determine the predictors and probability of ARVC development over time among at-risk relatives.

METHODS

A total of 136 relatives (46% men, median age 25.5 years [IQR: 15.8-44.4 years]) from the Netherlands Arrhythmogenic Cardiomyopathy Registry without definite ARVC by 2010 task force criteria were included. Phenotype was ascertained using electrocardiography, Holter monitoring, and cardiac imaging. Subjects were divided into groups with "possible ARVC" (only genetic or familial predisposition) and "borderline ARVC" (1 minor task force criterion plus genetic or familial predisposition). Cox regression was performed to determine predictors and multistate modeling to assess the probability of ARVC development. Results were replicated in an unrelated Italian cohort (57% men, median age 37.0 years [IQR: 25.4-50.4 years]).

RESULTS

At baseline, 93 subjects (68%) had possible ARVC, and 43 (32%) had borderline ARVC. Follow-up was available for 123 relatives (90%). After 8.1 years (IQR: 4.2-11.4 years), 41 (33%) had developed definite ARVC. Independent of baseline phenotype, symptomatic subjects (P = 0.014) and those 20 to 30 years of age (P = 0.002) had a higher hazard of developing definite ARVC. Furthermore, patients with borderline ARVC had a higher probability of developing definite ARVC compared with those with possible ARVC (1-year probability 13% vs 0.6%, 3-year probability 35% vs 5%; P < 0.01). External replication showed comparable results (P > 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Symptomatic relatives, those 20 to 30 years of age, and those with borderline ARVC have a higher probability of developing definite ARVC. These patients may benefit from more frequent follow-up, while others may be monitored less often.

Variant Location Is a Novel Risk Factor for Individuals With Arrhythmogenic Cardiomyopathy Due to a Desmoplakin (DSP) Truncating Variant

BACKGROUND

Truncating variants in desmoplakin (DSPtv) are an important cause of arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy; however the genetic architecture and genotype-specific risk factors are incompletely understood. We evaluated phenotype, risk factors for ventricular arrhythmias, and underlying genetics of DSPtv cardiomyopathy.

METHODS

Individuals with DSPtv and any cardiac phenotype, and their gene-positive family members were included from multiple international centers. Clinical data and family history information were collected. Event-free survival from ventricular arrhythmia was assessed. Variant location was compared between cases and controls, and literature review of reported DSPtv performed.

RESULTS

There were 98 probands and 72 family members (mean age at diagnosis 43±8 years, 59% women) with a DSPtv, of which 146 were considered clinically affected. Ventricular arrhythmia (sudden cardiac arrest, sustained ventricular tachycardia, appropriate implantable cardioverter defibrillator therapy) occurred in 56 (33%) individuals. DSPtv location and proband status were independent risk factors for ventricular arrhythmia. Further, gene region was important with variants in cases (cohort n=98; Clinvar n=167) more likely to occur in the regions resulting in nonsense mediated decay of both major DSP isoforms, compared with n=124 genome aggregation database control variants (148 [83.6%] versus 29 [16.4%]; P<0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

In the largest series of individuals with DSPtv, we demonstrate that variant location is a novel risk factor for ventricular arrhythmia, can inform variant interpretation, and provide critical insights to allow for precision-based clinical management.

Electrocardiographic findings in patients with arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy and right bundle branch block ventricular tachycardia

AIMS

Little is known about patients with right bundle branch block (RBBB)-ventricular tachycardia (VT) and arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy (ACM). Our aims were: (i) to describe electrocardiogram (ECG) characteristics of sinus rhythm (SR) and VT; (ii) to correlate SR with RBBB-VT ECGs; and (iii) to compare VT ECGs with electro-anatomic mapping (EAM) data.

METHODS AND RESULTS

From the European Survey on ACM, 70 patients with spontaneous RBBB-VT were included. Putative left ventricular (LV) sites of origin (SOOs) were estimated with a VT-axis-derived methodology and confirmed by EAM data when available.  Overall, 49 (70%) patients met definite Task Force Criteria. Low QRS voltage predominated in lateral leads (n = 37, 55%), but QRS fragmentation was more frequent in inferior leads (n = 15, 23%). T-wave inversion (TWI) was equally frequent in inferior (n = 28, 42%) and lateral (n = 27, 40%) leads. TWI in inferior leads was associated with reduced LV ejection fraction (LVEF; 46 ± 10 vs. 53 ± 8, P = 0.02). Regarding SOOs, the inferior wall harboured 31 (46%) SOOs, followed by the lateral wall (n = 17, 25%), the anterior wall (n = 15, 22%), and the septum (n = 4, 6%). EAM data were available for 16 patients and showed good concordance with the putative SOOs. In all patients with superior-axis RBBB-VT who underwent endo-epicardial VT activation mapping, VT originated from the LV.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with ACM and RBBB-VT, RBBB-VTs originated mainly from the inferior and lateral LV walls. SR depolarization and repolarization abnormalities were frequent and associated with underlying variants.

Programmed Ventricular Stimulation as an Additional Primary Prevention Risk Stratification Tool in Arrhythmogenic Right Ventricular Cardiomyopathy: A Multinational Study

BACKGROUND

A novel risk calculator based on clinical characteristics and noninvasive tests that predicts the onset of clinical sustained ventricular arrhythmias (VA) in patients with arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) has been proposed and validated by recent studies. It remains unknown whether programmed ventricular stimulation (PVS) provides additional prognostic value.

METHODS

All patients with a definite ARVC diagnosis, no history of sustained VAs at diagnosis, and PVS performed at baseline were extracted from 6 international ARVC registries. The calculator-predicted risk for sustained VA (sustained or implantable cardioverter defibrillator treated ventricular tachycardia [VT] or fibrillation, [aborted] sudden cardiac arrest) was assessed in all patients. Independent and combined performance of the risk calculator and PVS on sustained VA were assessed during a 5-year follow-up period.

RESULTS

Two hundred eighty-eight patients (41.0±14.5 years, 55.9% male, right ventricular ejection fraction 42.5±11.1%) were enrolled. At PVS, 137 (47.6%) patients had inducible ventricular tachycardia. During a median of 5.31 [2.89-10.17] years of follow-up, 83 (60.6%) patients with a positive PVS and 37 (24.5%) with a negative PVS experienced sustained VA (P<0.001). Inducible ventricular tachycardia predicted clinical sustained VA during the 5-year follow-up and remained an independent predictor after accounting for the calculator-predicted risk (HR, 2.52 [1.58-4.02]; P<0.001). Compared with ARVC risk calculator predictions in isolation (C-statistic 0.72), addition of PVS inducibility showed improved prediction of VA events (C-statistic 0.75; log-likelihood ratio for nested models, P<0.001). PVS inducibility had a 76% [67-84] sensitivity and 68% [61-74] specificity, corresponding to log-likelihood ratios of 2.3 and 0.36 for inducible (likelihood ratio+) and noninducible (likelihood ratio-) patients, respectively. In patients with a ARVC risk calculator-predicted risk of clinical VA events <25% during 5 years (ie, low/intermediate subgroup), PVS had a 92.6% negative predictive value.

CONCLUSIONS

PVS significantly improved risk stratification above and beyond the calculator-predicted risk of VA in a primary prevention cohort of patients with ARVC, mainly for patients considered to be at low and intermediate risk by the clinical risk calculator.

Longitudinal validation of the phospholamban (PLN) p.Arg14del risk model

Background/Introduction

Recently, a variant-specific prediction model for PLN p.Arg14del variant carriers was developed to predict individual malignant ventricular arrhythmia (VA) risk to inform decision-making for primary prevention implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) implantation. This model predicts malignant VA risk from data at diagnosis, but iterative evaluation of malignant VA risk may be warranted considering that the risk factors for malignant VA are progressive.

Purpose

To evaluate the diagnostic performance of the PLN p.Arg14del risk model.

Methods/Results

Date were collected of 278 PLN p.Arg14del variant carriers at 3 year follow-up. This was considered the new baseline for the survival analysis. Patients with history of malignant VA at both baseline and during the first 3 years after baseline were excluded. At 3 year patients were aged 40.1±18.0 year and 40.7% was male. Median left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) was 53% and percentage with microvoltages was 10.3. During a median follow-up of 4 years (Interquartile range 1.8–6.5) 31 (11%) carriers experienced malignant VA, defined as sustained VA, appropriate ICD intervention, or (aborted) sudden cardiac death. Reevaluation of the predictors with the 3 year follow-up data revealed hazard rates that were similar to those in the original PLN p.Arg14del risk model; LVEF per 1% decrease (hazard ratio (HR) 1.10 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.06–1.12]; p&lt;0.001), premature ventricular contraction count/24h (HR 1.51 [95% CI, 1.15–1.98]; p=0.003) and the presence of low-voltage electrocardiogram (HR 12.24 [95% CI, 5.21–28.8); p&lt;0.001). Negative T waves did not remain significant as a predictor. The 5-year malignant VA risk was calculated for each variant carrier, after multiple imputation for dealing with incomplete cases, by applying the PLN p.Arg14del risk model to the 3 year follow-up data. Afterwards the cohort was divided into tertiles of predicted risk. This clearly demonstrated the lowest risk tertile having a low malignant VA rate and the highest risk tertile having a high malignant VA rate, which resulted in an optimism-corrected C-statistic of 0.85 (95% CI 0.78–0.92).

Conclusion

The PLN p.Arg14del risk model is valid at 3 year follow-up in PLN p.Arg14del variant carriers with no history of malignant VA and can therefore be used to inform decision-making for primary prevention ICD implantation not merely at diagnosis, but also during follow-up and can be seen as a type of validation in a cohort where no other large cohort is present to perform external validation.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Private grant(s) and/or Sponsorship. Main funding source(s): 1. PSIDER: From pluripotent stem cells to prime editing gene therapy for inheritedcardiomyopathies. ZOn-MW.2. PREDICT2: Predicting sudden cardiac arrest. The Dutch Heart Foundation.

Different underlying aetiologies in patients presenting with ventricular tachycardia fulfilling task force criteria for ARVC: initial suspicion based on the 12-lead electrocardiogram

Background

The Task Force Criteria (TFC) for ARVC are highly sensitive, but lack specificity. Patients with atypical RV-involvement (aRVi) may have different underlying aetiologies and prognosis, requiring specific therapeutic interventions.

Purpose

We aimed to evaluate the role of the baseline ECG for initial suspicion of aRVi.

Methods

From the Netherlands Heart Institute Arrhythmogenic Cardiomyopathy (NHI-ACM) registry, patients were selected who 1) fulfilled TFC for definite ARVC, 2) presented with sustained VT, 3) underwent genetic testing. The first available ECG after VT was evaluated for AV-conduction and the presence and surface area (SA) of an R'-wave in V1-V3. ECGs with AV-conduction disturbances or an R'-wave with SA ≥1.65 mm2 were classified as suspicious for `atypical RV-involvement' (aRVi-ECG).

Patients with ARVC-related pathogenic/likely pathogenic variant (P/LP+) were classified as “typical ARVC”. Data of patients without an ARVC-related pathogenic/likely pathogenic variant (P/LP−) were reviewed by an expert panel and classified as either “typical ARVC” or “suggestive for another aetiology” based on consensus.

Results

In total 124 P/LP+ patients and 35 P/LP− patients were included. Nineteen patients had an aRVi-ECG, which appeared significantly more predominant in the P/LP− group (11 (9%) P/LP+ vs. 8 (22%) P/LP−, p=0.019). Of the P/LP− patients, seventeen (49%) were classified as “suggestive for another aetiology” (e.g. myocarditis, ischemia, sarcoid), including all 8 patients with an aRVI-ECG.

Among P/LP+ patients with an aRVi-ECG, 46% carried the Arg14del phospolamban variant and 64% died, versus 15% and 18% of P/LP+ patients without aRVi-ECG, respectively (Table 1).

Conclusion

For patients presenting with sustained VT and fulfilling the TFC for ARVC diagnosis, a baseline ECG suggestive for atypical RV-involvement should raise suspicion for a different underlying aetiology in patients without an ARVC-related P/LP variant. In P/LP+ patients, an aRVi-ECG may identify those with poor outcome.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Arrhythmic risk prediction in arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy: external validation of the arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy risk calculator

AIMS

Arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) causes ventricular arrhythmias (VAs) and sudden cardiac death (SCD). In 2019, a risk prediction model that estimates the 5-year risk of incident VAs in ARVC was developed (ARVCrisk.com). This study aimed to externally validate this prediction model in a large international multicentre cohort and to compare its performance with the risk factor approach recommended for implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) use by published guidelines and expert consensus.

METHODS AND RESULTS

In a retrospective cohort of 429 individuals from 29 centres in North America and Europe, 103 (24%) experienced sustained VA during a median follow-up of 5.02 (2.05-7.90) years following diagnosis of ARVC. External validation yielded good discrimination [C-index of 0.70 (95% confidence interval-CI 0.65-0.75)] and calibration slope of 1.01 (95% CI 0.99-1.03). Compared with the three published consensus-based decision algorithms for ICD use in ARVC (Heart Rhythm Society consensus on arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy, International Task Force consensus statement on the treatment of ARVC, and American Heart Association guidelines for VA and SCD), the risk calculator performed better with a superior net clinical benefit below risk threshold of 35%.

CONCLUSION

Using a large independent cohort of patients, this study shows that the ARVC risk model provides good prognostic information and outperforms other published decision algorithms for ICD use. These findings support the use of the model to facilitate shared decision making regarding ICD implantation in the primary prevention of SCD in ARVC.

Arrhythmogenic Right Ventricular Cardiomyopathy Prevalence and Arrhythmic Outcomes in At-Risk Family Members: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background:

Arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) is a complex cardiomyopathy with autosomal dominant inheritance and age-related incomplete penetrance, characterized by a high risk of sudden cardiac death. Recent professional consensus guidelines recommend clinical cardiac lifelong serial screening for at-risk family members refined only by age, but family genotype might influence necessary screening. Although numerous studies report prevalence of disease and arrhythmia in family members and explore predictors of penetrance and arrhythmic risk, a systematic review consolidating this evidence is lacking.

Methods:

We searched Medline (PubMed), Embase, The Cochrane Library, and Web of Science for studies that reported prevalence of (1) diagnosis of ARVC per 2010 Task Force Criteria and/or (2) sustained ventricular arrhythmias (VA) in at least 10 family members of definite patients with ARVC.

Results:

We identified 41 studies, including 36 that reported diagnosis by Task Force Criteria and 22 VA. Meta-analysis of 1359 family members, from 13 unique cohorts showed an average prevalence estimate of 25% for diagnosis as per Task Force Criteria (95% CI, 0.15–0.35, I 2 = 96.44%). Overall prevalence of VA among gene-positive family members was 18% (95% CI, 0.13–0.23, I 2 =33.25%) in 7 independent studies (n=597). Family genotype was a significant risk factor for diagnosis of both ARVC (odds ratio, 6.91 [95% CI, 1.27–37.70]; P =0.0005) and VA (odds ratio, 13.62 [95% CI, 0.91–204.13]; P =0.06). Male gender was not associated with disease prevalence (odds ratio, 1.18 [95% CI, 0.72–1.95]; P =0.42) or VA (odds ratio, 0.81 [95% CI, 0.51–1.29]; P =0.91).

Conclusions:

The prevalence of ARVC and VA in at-risk family members differs significantly based on family genotype. Although recent recommendations provide a guideline based only on age, we propose screening every 1 to 2 years for gene-positive family members and every 3 to 5 years for first-degree relatives of gene-elusive cases, as long as they are asymptomatic and not athletes.

A new prediction model for ventricular arrhythmias in arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy

AIMS

Arrhythmogenic right ventricular dysplasia/cardiomyopathy (ARVC) is characterized by ventricular arrhythmias (VAs) and sudden cardiac death (SCD). We aimed to develop a model for individualized prediction of incident VA/SCD in ARVC patients.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Five hundred and twenty-eight patients with a definite diagnosis and no history of sustained VAs/SCD at baseline, aged 38.2 ± 15.5 years, 44.7% male, were enrolled from five registries in North America and Europe. Over 4.83 (interquartile range 2.44-9.33) years of follow-up, 146 (27.7%) experienced sustained VA, defined as SCD, aborted SCD, sustained ventricular tachycardia, or appropriate implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) therapy. A prediction model estimating annual VA risk was developed using Cox regression with internal validation. Eight potential predictors were pre-specified: age, sex, cardiac syncope in the prior 6 months, non-sustained ventricular tachycardia, number of premature ventricular complexes in 24 h, number of leads with T-wave inversion, and right and left ventricular ejection fractions (LVEFs). All except LVEF were retained in the final model. The model accurately distinguished patients with and without events, with an optimism-corrected C-index of 0.77 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.73-0.81] and minimal over-optimism [calibration slope of 0.93 (95% CI 0.92-0.95)]. By decision curve analysis, the clinical benefit of the model was superior to a current consensus-based ICD placement algorithm with a 20.3% reduction of ICD placements with the same proportion of protected patients (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Using the largest cohort of patients with ARVC and no prior VA, a prediction model using readily available clinical parameters was devised to estimate VA risk and guide decisions regarding primary prevention ICDs (www.arvcrisk.com).

Comparing clinical performance of current implantable cardioverter-defibrillator implantation recommendations in arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy

AIMS

Arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) patients have an increased risk of ventricular arrhythmias (VA). Four implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) recommendation algorithms are available The International Task Force Consensus ('ITFC'), an ITFC modification by Orgeron et al. ('mITFC'), the AHA/HRS/ACC guideline for VA management ('AHA'), and the HRS expert consensus statement ('HRS'). This study aims to validate and compare the performance of these algorithms in ARVC.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We classified 617 definite ARVC patients (38.5 ± 15.1 years, 52.4% male, 39.2% prior sustained VA) according to four algorithms. Clinical performance was evaluated by sensitivity, specificity, ROC-analysis, and decision curve analysis for any sustained VA and for fast VA (>250 b.p.m.). During 6.4 [2.8-11.5] years follow-up, 282 (45.7%) patients experienced any sustained VA, and 63 (10.2%) fast VA. For any sustained VA, ITFC and mITFC provide higher sensitivity than AHA and HRS (94.0-97.8% vs. 76.7-83.5%), but lower specificity (15.9-32.0% vs. 42.7%-60.1%). Similarly, for fast VA, ITFC and mITFC provide higher sensitivity than AHA and HRS (95.2-97.1% vs. 76.7-78.4%) but lower specificity (42.7-43.1 vs. 76.7-78.4%). Decision curve analysis showed ITFC and mITFC to be superior for a 5-year sustained VA risk ICD indication threshold between 5-25% or 2-9% for fast VA.

CONCLUSION

The ITFC and mITFC provide the highest protection rates, whereas AHA and HRS decrease unnecessary ICD placements. ITFC or mITFC should be used if we consider the 5-year threshold for ICD indication to lie within 5-25% for sustained VA or 2-9% for fast VA. These data will inform decision-making for ICD placement in ARVC.

Integrating Exercise Into Personalized Ventricular Arrhythmia Risk Prediction in Arrhythmogenic Right Ventricular Cardiomyopathy

BACKGROUND

Exercise is associated with sustained ventricular arrhythmias (VA) in Arrhythmogenic Right Ventricular Cardiomyopathy (ARVC) but is not included in the ARVC risk calculator (arvcrisk.com). The objective of this study is to quantify the influence of exercise at diagnosis on incident VA risk and evaluate whether the risk calculator needs adjustment for exercise.

METHODS

We interviewed ARVC patients without sustained VA at diagnosis about their exercise history. The relationship between exercise dose 3 years preceding diagnosis (average METh/wk) and incident VA during follow-up was analyzed with time-to-event analysis. The incremental prognostic value of exercise to the risk calculator was evaluated by Cox models.

RESULTS

We included 176 patients (male, 43.2%; age, 37.6±16.1 years) from 3 ARVC centers, of whom 53 (30.1%) developed sustained VA during 5.4 (2.7-9.7) years of follow-up. Exercise at diagnosis showed a dose-dependent nonlinear relationship with VA, with no significant risk increase <15 to 30 METh/wk. Athlete status, using 3 definitions from literature (>18, >24, and >36 METh/wk), was significantly associated with VA (hazard ratios, 2.53-2.91) but was also correlated with risk factors currently in the risk calculator model. Thus, adding athlete status to the model did not change the C index of 0.77 (0.71-0.84) and showed no significant improvement (Akaike information criterion change, <2).

CONCLUSIONS

Exercise at diagnosis was dose dependently associated with risk of sustained VA in ARVC patients but only above 15 to 30 METh/wk. Exercise does not appear to have incremental prognostic value over the risk calculator. The ARVC risk calculator can be used accurately in athletic patients without modification.

Sex-specific aspects of phospholamban cardiomyopathy: The importance and prognostic value of low-voltage electrocardiograms

BACKGROUND

A pathogenic variant in the gene encoding phospholamban (PLN), a protein that regulates calcium homeostasis of cardiomyocytes, causes PLN cardiomyopathy. It is characterized by a high arrhythmic burden and can progress to severe cardiomyopathy. Risk assessment guides implantable cardioverter-defibrillator therapy and benefits from personalization. Whether sex-specific differences in PLN cardiomyopathy exist is unknown.

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to improve the accuracy of PLN cardiomyopathy diagnosis and risk assessment by investigating sex-specific aspects.

METHODS

We analyzed a multicenter cohort of 933 patients (412 male, 521 female) with the PLN p.(Arg14del) pathogenic variant following up on a recently developed PLN risk model. Sex-specific differences in the incidence of risk model components were investigated: low-voltage electrocardiogram (ECG), premature ventricular contractions, negative T waves, and left ventricular ejection fraction.

RESULTS

Sustained ventricular arrhythmias (VAs) occurred in 77 males (18.7%) and 61 females (11.7%) (P = .004). Of the 933 cohort members, 287 (31%) had ≥1 low-voltage ECG during follow-up (180 females [63%], 107 males [37%]; P = .006). Female sex, age, age at clinical presentation, and proband status predicted low-voltage ECG during follow-up (area under the curve: 0.78). Sustained VA-free survival was lowest in males with low-voltage ECG (P <.001).

CONCLUSION

Low-voltage ECGs predict sustained VA and are a component of the PLN risk model. Low-voltage ECGs are more common in females, yet prognostic value is greater in males. Future studies should determine the impact of this difference on the risk prediction of PLN cardiomyopathy and possibly other cardiomyopathies.

The prevalence of left and right bundle branch block morphology ventricular tachycardia amongst patients with arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy and sustained ventricular tachycardia: insights from the European Survey on Arrhythmogenic Cardiomyopathy

AIMS

In arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy (ACM), sustained ventricular tachycardia (VT) typically displays a left bundle branch block (LBBB) morphology while a right bundle branch block (RBBB) morphology is rare. The present study assesses the VT morphology in ACM patients with sustained VT and their clinical and genetic characteristics.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Twenty-six centres from 11 European countries provided information on 954 ACM patients who had ≥1 episode of sustained VT spontaneously documented during patients' clinical course. Arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy was defined according to the 2010 Task Force Criteria, and VT morphology according to the QRS pattern in V1. Overall, 882 (92.5%) patients displayed LBBB-VT alone and 72 (7.5%) RBBB-VT [alone in 42 (4.4%) or in combination with LBBB-VT in 30 (3.1%)]. Male sex prevalence was 79.3%, 88.1%, and 56.7% in the LBBB-VT, RBBB-VT, and LBBB + RBBB-VT groups, respectively (P = 0.007). First RBBB-VT occurred 5 years after the first LBBB-VT (46.5 ± 14.4 vs 41.1 ± 15.8 years, P = 0.011). An implanted cardioverter-defibrillator was more frequently implanted in the RBBB-VT (92.9%) and the LBBB + RBBB-VT groups (90%) than in the LBBB-VT group (68.1%) (P < 0.001). Mutations in PKP2 predominated in the LBBB-VT (65.2%) and the LBBB + RBBB-VT (41.7%) groups while DSP mutations predominated in the RBBB-VT group (45.5%). By multivariable analysis, female sex was associated with LBBB + RBBB-VT (P = 0.011) while DSP mutations were associated with RBBB-VT (P < 0.001). After a median follow-up of 103 (51-185) months, death occurred in 106 (11.1%) patients with no intergroup difference (P = 0.176).

CONCLUSION

RBBB-VT accounts for a significant proportion of sustained VTs in ACM. Sex and type of pathogenic mutations were associated with VT type, female sex with LBBB + RBBB-VT, and DSP mutation with RBBB-VT.

Prediction of ventricular arrhythmia in phospholamban p.Arg14del mutation carriers-reaching the frontiers of individual risk prediction

Aims

This study aims to improve risk stratification for primary prevention implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) implantation by developing a new mutation-specific prediction model for malignant ventricular arrhythmia (VA) in phospholamban (PLN) p.Arg14del mutation carriers. The proposed model is compared to an existing PLN risk model.

Methods and results

Data were collected from PLN p.Arg14del mutation carriers with no history of malignant VA at baseline, identified between 2009 and 2020. Malignant VA was defined as sustained VA, appropriate ICD intervention, or (aborted) sudden cardiac death. A prediction model was developed using Cox regression. The study cohort consisted of 679 PLN p.Arg14del mutation carriers, with a minority of index patients (17%) and male sex (43%), and a median age of 42 years [interquartile range (IQR) 27–55]. During a median follow-up of 4.3 years (IQR 1.7–7.4), 72 (10.6%) carriers experienced malignant VA. Significant predictors were left ventricular ejection fraction, premature ventricular contraction count/24 h, amount of negative T waves, and presence of low-voltage electrocardiogram. The multivariable model had an excellent discriminative ability {C-statistic 0.83 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.78–0.88]}. Applying the existing PLN risk model to the complete cohort yielded a C-statistic of 0.68 (95% CI 0.61–0.75).

Conclusion

This new mutation-specific prediction model for individual VA risk in PLN p.Arg14del mutation carriers is superior to the existing PLN risk model, suggesting that risk prediction using mutation-specific phenotypic features can improve accuracy compared to a more generic approach.

Diagnosing arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy by 2010 Task Force Criteria: clinical performance and simplified practical implementation

Aims

Arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) is diagnosed by a complex set of clinical tests as per 2010 Task Force Criteria (TFC). Avoiding misdiagnosis is crucial to prevent sudden cardiac death as well as unnecessary implantable cardioverter-defibrillator implantations. This study aims to validate the overall performance of the TFC in a real-world cohort of patients referred for ARVC evaluation.

Methods and results

We included patients consecutively referred to our centres for ARVC evaluation. Patients were diagnosed by consensus of three independent clinical experts. Using this as a reference standard, diagnostic performance was measured for each individual criterion as well as the overall TFC classification. Of 407 evaluated patients (age 38 ± 17 years, 51% male), the expert panel diagnosed 66 (16%) with ARVC. The clinically observed TFC was false negative in 7/66 (11%) patients and false positive in 10/69 (14%) patients. Idiopathic outflow tract ventricular tachycardia was the most common alternative diagnosis. While the TFC performed well overall (sensitivity and specificity 92%), signal-averaged electrocardiogram (SAECG, P = 0.43), and several family history criteria (P ≥ 0.17) failed to discriminate. Eliminating these criteria reduced false positives without increasing false negatives (net reclassification improvement 4.3%, P = 0.019). Furthermore, all ARVC patients met at least one electrocardiogram (ECG) or arrhythmia criterion (sensitivity 100%).

Conclusion

The TFC perform well but are complex and can lead to misdiagnosis. Simplification by eliminating SAECG and several family history criteria improves diagnostic accuracy. Arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy can be ruled out using ECG and arrhythmia criteria alone, hence these tests may serve as a first-line screening strategy among at-risk individuals.

Arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy: a focused update on diagnosis and risk stratification

Arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) is an inherited cardiomyopathy characterised by fibrofatty replacement of predominantly the right ventricle and high risk of ventricular arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death (SCD). Early diagnosis and accurate risk assessment are challenging yet essential for SCD prevention. This manuscript summarises the current state of the art on ARVC diagnosis and risk stratification. Improving the 2010 diagnostic criteria is an ongoing discussion. Several studies suggest that early diagnosis may be facilitated by including deformation imaging ('strain') for objective assessment of wall motion abnormalities, which was shown to have high sensitivity for preclinical disease. Adding fibrofatty replacement detected by late gadolinium enhancement or T1 mapping in cardiac MRI as criterion for diagnosis is increasingly suggested but requires more supporting evidence from consecutive patient cohorts. In addition to the traditional right-dominant ARVC, standard criteria for arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy (ACM) and arrhythmogenic left ventricular cardiomyopathy (ALVC) are on the horizon. After diagnosis confirmation, the primary management goal is SCD prevention, for which an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator is the only proven therapy. Prior studies determined that younger age, male sex, previous (non-) sustained ventricular tachycardia, syncope, extent of T-wave inversion, frequent premature ectopic beats and lower biventricular ejection fraction are risk factors for subsequent events. Previous implantable cardioverter-defibrillator indication guidelines were however limited to three expert-opinion flow charts stratifying patients in risk groups. Now, two multivariable risk prediction models (arvcrisk.com) combine the abovementioned risk factors to estimate individual risks. Of note, both the flow charts and prediction models require clinical validation studies to determine which should be recommended.

Risk stratification and subclinical phenotyping of dilated and/or arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy mutation-positive relatives: CVON eDETECT consortium

In relatives of index patients with dilated cardiomyopathy and arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy, early detection of disease onset is essential to prevent sudden cardiac death and facilitate early treatment of heart failure. However, the optimal screening interval and combination of diagnostic techniques are unknown. The clinical course of disease in index patients and their relatives is variable due to incomplete and age-dependent penetrance. Several biomarkers, electrocardiographic and imaging (echocardiographic deformation imaging and cardiac magnetic resonance imaging) techniques are promising non-invasive methods for detection of subclinical cardiomyopathy. However, these techniques need optimisation and integration into clinical practice. Furthermore, determining the optimal interval and intensity of cascade screening may require a personalised approach. To address this, the CVON-eDETECT (early detection of disease in cardiomyopathy mutation carriers) consortium aims to integrate electronic health record data from long-term follow-up, diagnostic data sets, tissue and plasma samples in a multidisciplinary biobank environment to provide personalised risk stratification for heart failure and sudden cardiac death. Adequate risk stratification may lead to personalised screening, treatment and optimal timing of implantable cardioverter defibrillator implantation. In this article, we describe non-invasive diagnostic techniques used for detection of subclinical disease in relatives of index patients with dilated cardiomyopathy and arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy.

Sudden Cardiac Death Prediction in Arrhythmogenic Right Ventricular Cardiomyopathy: A Multinational Collaboration

Supplemental Digital Content is available in the text.

Arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) is associated with ventricular arrhythmias (VA) and sudden cardiac death (SCD). A model was recently developed to predict incident sustained VA in patients with ARVC. However, since this outcome may overestimate the risk for SCD, we aimed to specifically predict life-threatening VA (LTVA) as a closer surrogate for SCD.

Development of an algorithm for automatic classification of right ventricle deformation patterns in arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy

BACKGROUND

Different disease stages of arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) can be identified by right ventricle (RV) longitudinal deformation (strain) patterns. This requires assessment of the onset of shortening, (systolic) peak strain, and postsystolic index, which is time-consuming and prone to inter- and intra-observer variability. The aim of this study was to design and validate an algorithm to automatically classify RV deformation patterns.

METHODS

We developed an algorithm based on specific local characteristics from the strain curves to detect the parameters required for classification. Determination of the onset of shortening by the algorithm was compared to manual determination by an experienced operator in a dataset containing 186 RV strain curves from 26 subjects carrying a pathogenic plakophilin-2 (PKP2) mutation and 36 healthy subjects. Classification agreement between operator and algorithm was solely based on differences in onset shortening, as the remaining parameters required for classification of RV deformation patterns could be directly obtained from the strain curves.

RESULTS

The median difference between the onset of shortening determined by the experienced operator and by the automatic detector was 5.3 ms [inter-quartile range (IQR) 2.7-8.6 ms]. 96% of the differences were within 1 time frame. Both methods correlated significantly with ρ = 0.97 (P < .001). For 26 PKP2 mutation carriers, there was 100% agreement in classification between the algorithm and experienced operator.

CONCLUSION

The determination of the onset of shortening by the experienced operator was comparable to the algorithm. Our computer algorithm seems a promising method for the automatic classification of RV deformation patterns. The algorithm is publicly available at the MathWorks File Exchange.

Predicting sustained ventricular arrhythmias in dilated cardiomyopathy: a meta-analysis and systematic review

Aims

Patients with non‐ischaemic dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) are at increased risk of sudden cardiac death. Identification of patients that may benefit from implantable cardioverter‐defibrillator implantation remains challenging. In this study, we aimed to determine predictors of sustained ventricular arrhythmias in patients with DCM.

Methods and results

We searched MEDLINE/Embase for studies describing predictors of sustained ventricular arrhythmias in patients with DCM. Quality and bias were assessed using the Quality in Prognostic Studies tool, articles with high risk of bias in ≥2 areas were excluded. Unadjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of uniformly defined predictors were pooled, while all other predictors were evaluated in a systematic review. We included 55 studies (11 451 patients and 3.7 ± 2.3 years follow‐up). Crude annual event rate was 4.5%. Younger age [HR 0.82; 95% CI (0.74–1.00)], hypertension [HR 1.95; 95% CI (1.26–3.00)], prior sustained ventricular arrhythmia [HR 4.15; 95% CI (1.32–13.02)], left ventricular ejection fraction on ultrasound [HR 1.45; 95% CI (1.19–1.78)], left ventricular dilatation (HR 1.10), and presence of late gadolinium enhancement [HR 5.55; 95% CI (4.02–7.67)] were associated with arrhythmic outcome in pooled analyses. Prior non‐sustained ventricular arrhythmia and several genotypes [mutations in Phospholamban (PLN), Lamin A/C (LMNA), and Filamin‐C (FLNC)] were associated with arrhythmic outcome in non‐pooled analyses. Quality of evidence was moderate, and heterogeneity among studies was moderate to high.

Conclusions

In patients with DCM, the annual event rate of sustained ventricular arrhythmias is approximately 4.5%. This risk is considerably higher in younger patients with hypertension, prior (non‐)sustained ventricular arrhythmia, decreased left ventricular ejection fraction, left ventricular dilatation, late gadolinium enhancement, and genetic mutations (PLN, LMNA, and FLNC). These results may help determine appropriate candidates for implantable cardioverter‐defibrillator implantation.

Cardiovascular adverse events in patients with non-Hodgkin lymphoma treated with first-line cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, and prednisone (CHOP) or CHOP with rituximab (R-CHOP): a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Patients treated for non-Hodgkin lymphoma are at risk of cardiovascular adverse events, with the risk of heart failure being particularly high. A regimen of cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, and prednisone, with (R-CHOP) or without (CHOP) rituximab is the standard first-line treatment for aggressive non-Hodgkin lymphoma, and doxorubicin and cyclophosphamide are both associated with left ventricular dysfunction. The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to evaluate the cardiovascular toxicity of this regimen.

METHODS

We systematically searched PubMed, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library from database inception to June 3, 2019, for clinical trials and observational studies in adult patients with non-Hodgkin lymphoma (diffuse large B-cell lymphoma, follicular lymphoma, mantle cell lymphoma, peripheral T-cell lymphoma, and non-Hodgkin lymphoma not otherwise specified) that received first-line treatment with R-CHOP or CHOP. Studies reporting on cardiovascular adverse events and treatment-related cardiovascular mortality were included. Abstracts and articles not written in English were excluded. The main outcomes were the proportion of patients with grade 3-4 cardiovascular adverse events and heart failure. Meta-analyses of one-sample proportions were done in all patients receiving CHOP or R-CHOP. Subgroup analyses on summary estimates were done to determine the effect of number of CHOP or R-CHOP cycles, cycle interval, age, and sex.

FINDINGS

Of 2314 identified entries, 137 studies (21 211 patients) published between April, 1984, and June, 2019 were eligible (9541 patients treated with CHOP, 11 293 patients treated with R-CHOP, 377 both regimens used in the study; median follow-up 39·0 months [IQR 25·5-52·8]). From the included studies, 85 subgroups were treated with CHOP, 76 with R-CHOP, and in four studies both CHOP and R-CHOP were used without a subdivision in separate groups. The pooled proportion for grade 3-4 cardiovascular adverse events, based on 77 studies (n=14 351 patients), was 2·35% (95% CI 1·81-2·93; heterogeneity test Q=326·21; τ²=0·0042; I²=71·40%; p<0·0001). For heart failure, the pooled proportion, based on 38 studies (n=5936 patients), was 4·62% (2·25-7·65; heterogeneity test Q=527·33; τ²=0·0384; I²=95·05%; p<0·0001), with a significant increase in reported heart failure from 1·64% (95% CI 0·82-2·65) to 11·72% (3·00-24·53) when cardiac function was evaluated post-chemotherapy (p=0·017). 53 (39%) of 137 studies were rated as having high risk of bias for incomplete outcome data and 54 (39%) for selective reporting.

INTERPRETATION

The considerable increase of reported heart failures with cardiac monitoring, indicates that this complication often remains undiagnosed in patients with non-Hodgkin lymphoma who received first-line R-CHOP or CHOP. Our findings are of importance to raise awareness of this complication among clinicians treating patients with non-Hodgkin lymphoma and stresses the need for cardiac monitoring during and after chemotherapy. Prompt initiation of treatment for heart failure in the presymptomatic phase can mitigate the progression to more advanced heart failure stages.

FUNDING

None.

Quantitative Approach to Fragmented QRS in Arrhythmogenic Cardiomyopathy: From Disease towards Asymptomatic Carriers of Pathogenic Variants

Fragmented QRS complexes (fQRS) are common in patients with arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy (ACM). A new method of fQRS quantification may aid early disease detection in pathogenic variant carriers and assessment of prognosis in patients with early stage ACM. Patients with definite ACM (n = 221, 66%), carriers of a pathogenic ACM-associated variant without a definite ACM diagnosis (n = 57, 17%) and control subjects (n = 58, 17%) were included. Quantitative fQRS (Q-fQRS) was defined as the total amount of deflections in the QRS complex in all 12 electrocardiography (ECG) leads. Q-fQRS was scored by a single observer and reproducibility was determined by three independent observers. Q-fQRS count was feasible with acceptable intra- and inter-observer agreement. Q-fQRS count is significantly higher in patients with definite ACM (54 ± 15) and pathogenic variant carriers (55 ± 10) compared to controls (35 ± 5) (p < 0.001). In patients with ACM, Q-fQRS was not associated with sustained ventricular arrhythmia (p = 0.701) at baseline or during follow-up (p = 0.335). Both definite ACM patients and pathogenic variant carriers not fulfilling ACM diagnosis have a higher Q-fQRS than controls. This may indicate that increased Q-fQRS is an early sign of disease penetrance. In concealed and early stages of ACM the role of Q-fQRS for risk stratification is limited.

P365 Echocardiographic deformation imaging improves detection of arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy; a head-to-head comparison of deformation imaging and conventional assessment

Conclusion

All definite ARVC patients were detected when deformation imaging patterns were used to evaluate wall motion abnormalities. This increased sensitivity was accompanied by a slight decrease in specificity. Deformation imaging on its own was not able to reliably distinguish ARVC from other RV related disease. Since no ARVC diagnoses were missed, echocardiographic deformation imaging could be of great value to exclude ARVC in patients referred for ARVC evaluation.

Abstract P365 Figure. Deformation patterns and % TFC per group

P5023A mutation specific prediction model for ventricular arrhythmias in the phospholamban (PLN) p.Arg14del cardiomyopathy

Background/Introduction

The founder mutation p.Arg14del in the gene encoding phospholamban (PLN) is a known cause of arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy (ACM) with distinct clinical features, such as microvoltages on the ECG and right or left ventricular dysfunction or both. At present, risk stratification for ICD implantation in carriers of this mutation is based on left ventricular ejection fraction and previous ventricular arrhythmia's, which are not specific risk factors for the PLN p.Arg14del cardiomyopathy.

Purpose

Our goal is to develop a mutation specific prediction model for incident malignant ventricular arrhythmia to guide ICD implantation.

Methods

Data were collected from p.Arg14del carriers with no history of malignant VA at baseline, identified between September 2009 and June 2018 in three Dutch university hospitals. Genetic analysis of PLN was performed in a clinical setting in index patients with clinical signs of DCM/ACM, or in family members of p.Arg14del carriers. We collected clinical data from the first cardiac evaluation and follow-ups. Malignant VAs were defined as sustained VA, appropriate ICD intervention or (aborted) sudden cardiac death. A prediction model was developed using Cox Proportional Hazard regression. Candidate baseline predictors were pre specified based on literature and clinical expertise. Age, sex, proband status, sudden cardiac death (SCD) in 1st degree relative, repolarization abnormalities, microvoltages, premature ventricular complexes (PVC) burden on 24hrs Holter monitoring, LVEF and non-sustained ventricular arrhythmias (NSVT) were considered. The multivariable model was fitted using stepwise backward selection based on Akaike's Information Criterion.

Results

We included 440 p.Arg14del carriers with a mean age of 41±18 years and 41% males. During a median follow-up of 4.7 years (IQR 1.7–7.3), 44 incident malignant VA occurred, 20 sustained VAs and 24 appropriate ICD therapies. The multivariable HR's of selected predictors were: 2.2 for minor and 4.5 for major repolarization abnormalities vs no abnormalities (p value respectively 0.06 and 0.01), 2.2 for LVEF <45% (p value 0,1) and 7.7 for >500PVC/24hrs (p value 0.003). Carriers with and without events could be accurately distinguished with this model, with an optimism corrected C-statistic of 0.81. The model calibrated well, with agreement of observed and predicted 5 year malignant VA risk. Risk groups were split into quintiles of predicted risk, figure 1 shows the Kaplan Meier curve of incident malignant VA per risk group. The 5 year risk of incident malignant VA in the lowest 3 quintiles was 0%, 9% in the 4th quintile and 25.2% in the highest quintile.

Conclusion

We created a PLN p.Arg14del mutation specific prediction model to estimate risk of incident malignant VA. With this model a clear distinction between high risk and low risk patients can be made and can be used to guide ICD implantation for primary prevention.

Risk stratification for ventricular arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death in arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy: an update

Introduction: Arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) is a genetically determined disease associated with a significant risk of ventricular arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death (SCD). Implantable cardioverter-defibrillators (ICDs) are the only effective preventive measure. Over the past 30 years, much effort has been invested in determining predictors of adverse arrhythmic events in these patients. Areas covered: This review summarizes available evidence on risk stratification for ARVC, with an emphasis on recent research findings. While efforts are ongoing to define risk predictors, several recent publications have synthetized and built on this knowledge base. A recently published meta-analysis has clarified the strongest predictors of ventricular arrhythmias in ARVC, which vary depending on the population included. Three management guidelines/expert consensus documents have integrated the previously described risk predictors into proposed ICD recommendations. Furthermore, a risk prediction model has allowed the integration of multiple risk factors to provide individualized risk prediction and to inform shared-decision making regarding ICD implantation. Expert opinion: Over the past few years, knowledge of risk prediction in ARVC has been consolidated and refined. Further improvements may be made by the considering additional predictors such as exercise and by targeting more specific surrogate outcomes for SCD.

Non-invasive measurement of volume-time curves in patients with mitral regurgitation and in healthy volunteers, using a new operator-independent screening tool

Left ventricular volume-time curves (VTCs) provide hemodynamic data, and may help clinical decision making. The generation of VTCs using echocardiography, however, is time-consuming and prone to inter-operator variability. In this study, we used a new non-invasive, operator-independent technique, the hemodynamic cardiac profiler (HCP), to generate VTCs. The HCP, which uses a low-intensity, patient-safe, high-frequency applied AC current, and 12 standard ECG electrodes attached on the thorax in a pre-defined pattern, was applied to five young healthy volunteers, five older healthy volunteers, and five patients with severe mitral regurgitation. From the VTCs generated by the HCP, the presence or absence of an isovolumetric contraction phase (ICP) was assessed, as well as the left ventricular ejection time (LVET), time of the pre-ejection period (tPEP), and ratio of the volumes of the early (E) and late (A) diastolic filling (E _V/A _V ratio), and compared to 2D transthoracic echocardiography (2D TTE) at rest. The reproducibility by two different operators showed good results (RMS  =  5.2%). For intra-patient measurement RMS was 2.8%. Both LVET and the E _V/A _V ratio showed a strong significant correlation between HCP and 2D TTE derived parameters (p  <  0.05). For tPEP, the correlation was still weak (p  =  0.32). In all five patients with mitral regurgitation, the ICP was absent in the VTC from the HCP, whereas it was present in the 10 healthy volunteers, which is in accordance with pathophysiology. We conclude that the HCP seems to be a method for reproducible VTC generation, and may become a useful early screening tool for cardiac dysfunction in the future.