A comparison of four self-controlled study designs in an analysis of COVID-19 vaccines and myocarditis using five European databases

INTRODUCTION

The aim of this study was to assess the possible extent of bias due to violation of a core assumption (event-dependent exposures) when using self-controlled designs to analyse the association between COVID-19 vaccines and myocarditis.

METHODS

We used data from five European databases (Spain: BIFAP, FISABIO VID, and SIDIAP; Italy: ARS-Tuscany; England: CPRD Aurum) converted to the ConcePTION Common Data Model. Individuals who experienced both myocarditis and were vaccinated against COVID-19 between 1 September 2020 and the end of data availability in each country were included. We compared a self-controlled risk interval study (SCRI) using a pre-vaccination control window, an SCRI using a post-vaccination control window, a standard SCCS and an extension of the SCCS designed to handle violations of the assumption of event-dependent exposures.

RESULTS

We included 1,757 cases of myocarditis. For analyses of the first dose of the Pfizer vaccine, to which all databases contributed information, we found results consistent with a null effect in both of the SCRI and extended SCCS, but some indication of a harmful effect in a standard SCCS. For the second dose, we found evidence of a harmful association for all study designs, with relatively similar effect sizes (SCRI pre = 1.99, 1.40 - 2.82; SCRI post 2.13, 95 %CI - 1.43, 3.18; standard SCCS 1.79, 95 %CI 1.31 - 2.44, extended SCCS 1.52, 95 %CI = 1.08 - 2.15). Adjustment for calendar time did not change these conclusions. Findings using all designs were also consistent with a harmful effect following a second dose of the Moderna vaccine.

CONCLUSIONS

In the context of the known association between COVID-19 vaccines and myocarditis, we have demonstrated that two forms of SCRI and two forms of SCCS led to largely comparable results, possibly because of limited violation of the assumption of event-dependent exposures.

Intestinal Ultrasound Early on in Treatment Follow-up Predicts Endoscopic Response to Anti-TNFα Treatment in Crohn's Disease

BACKGROUND

To assess treatment response, objective measures are superior to clinical improvement in Crohn's disease [CD]. Intestinal ultrasound [IUS] is an attractive, non-invasive alternative to endoscopy, demonstrating early transmural changes after treatment initiation. Therefore, we investigated IUS and contrast-enhanced ultrasound [CEUS] to predict [early] endoscopic treatment response.

METHODS

Consecutive patients with endoscopically active CD, starting anti-TNFα therapy, were included. Clinical, biochemical, IUS, and CEUS parameters at baseline [T0], after 4-8 weeks [T1] and 12-34 weeks [T2] were collected. The most severely inflamed segment at endoscopy (highest segmental Simplified Endoscopic Score for Crohn's Disease [SES-CD]) and IUS (highest segmental bowel wall thickness [BWT]) was identified. At T2, endoscopic response [decrease in SES-CD ≥ 50%] and remission [SES-CD = 0] were scored.

RESULTS

A total of 40 patients were included: 14 reached endoscopic remission and 17 endoscopic response. At T1 (3.1 mm [1.9-4.2] vs 5.3 mm [3.8-6.9], p = 0.005) and T2 (2.0 mm [1.8-3.1] vs 5.1 [3.0-6.3] mm, p = 0.002) BWT was lower in patients with endoscopic remission. At T1 and T2, 18% (area under the receiver operating curve [AUROC]: 0.77; odds ratio [OR]: 10.80, p = 0.012) and 29% [AUROC: 0.833; OR: 37.50, p = 0.006] BWT decrease predicted endoscopic response, respectively. To determine endoscopic remission, BWT 3.2 mm was most accurate [AUROC: 0.94; OR: 39.42, p < 0.0001] at T2. In addition, absence of colour Doppler signal [OR: 13.76, p = 0.03] and the CEUS parameter wash-out rate [OR: 0.76, p = 0.019] improved the prediction model.

CONCLUSIONS

Reduction in BWT, already after 4-8 weeks of follow-up, predicted endoscopic response and remission. CEUS parameters were of limited value. Furthermore, we have provided accurate cut-offs for BWT reflecting endoscopic response and remission at different time points.

DOP11 Early intestinal ultrasound predicts endoscopic response to anti-inflammatory treatment and shows drug-specific response to biologicals and tofacitinib in Ulcerative Colitis

Background

Objective evaluation of treatment response is the gold standard in ulcerative colitis (UC). In this setting, intestinal ultrasound (IUS) is a non-invasive alternative to endoscopy. Recent studies showed change in IUS parameters after treatment initiation but studies with an endoscopic reference standard are scarce. The aim of this study was to evaluate early change of IUS parameters and determine cut-off values for endoscopic endpoints in UC patients starting anti-inflammatory treatment.

Methods

In this longitudinal prospective study consecutive patients with moderate-severe UC (baseline endoscopic Mayo score (EMS)≥2) starting an anti-inflammatory treatment were included. Clinical scores, biochemical parameters and IUS parameters were collected at baseline, after 2 (T1), 6 (T2) and 8–26 weeks (T3) around time of the second sigmoidoscopy/colonoscopy. IUS parameters were measured as previously established¹. Endoscopic remission (ER) and mucosal healing (MH) were evaluated in the sigmoid and defined as EMS=0 and EMS≤1, respectively. The ultrasonographist and endoscopist were blinded for the outcomes of endoscopy and IUS, respectively.

Results

51 consecutive patients were included (Table 1) of whom 31 underwent a second endoscopy (MH: n=15 (45%), ER: n=9 (27%)). Two additional patients underwent colectomy and were considered non-responders. 18 patients did not undergo second endoscopy due to the COVID-19 pandemic (n=2), refusal (n=5), loss to follow-up (n=1) or treatment escalation because of clinical deterioration confirmed by IUS and biomarkers before second endoscopy was performed (n=10). Bowel wall thickness (BWT) was significantly lower from T2 onwards in patients reaching MH (p=0.026) and ER (p=0.002) at T3 (Fig 1). A significant decrease in BWT was already visible at T1 in patients receiving infliximab (p=0.001) or tofacitinib (p=0.007), but not in patients treated with vedolizumab (p=0.11) (Fig 2). Most accurate BWT cut-off values at T3 to determine MH and ER were 3.52 mm (AUROC: 0.95, 95% CI: 0.86–1.00, p<0.0001, sens: 91%, spec: 91%) and 2.98 mm (AUROC: 0.94, 95% CI: 0.85–1.00, p=0.001, sens: 87%, spec: 100%), respectively. Other IUS parameters at T3 did not improve association with MH or ER. IUS parameters at T2 that predict MH and ER are demonstrated in Table 2.

Table 1

Fig 1

Fig 2

Table 2

Conclusion

BWT and Colour Doppler Signal 6 weeks after start of treatment are associated with and could predict MH and ER. In addition, treatment response patterns at IUS are drug-specific. Furthermore, we have provided accurate BWT cut-off values for endoscopic outcomes. In a point-of-care setting, (early) treatment evaluation with IUS could guide treatment decision in UC in order to optimize treatment response.

Reference

1. Bots et al, JCC, 2021

Point-of-care Intestinal Ultrasound in IBD Patients: Disease Management and Diagnostic Yield in a Real-world Cohort and Proposal of a Point-of-care Algorithm

INTRODUCTION

Intestinal ultrasound [IUS] is useful for assessment of inflammation, complications, and treatment follow-up in inflammatory bowel disease [IBD] patients. We aimed to study outcomes and impact on disease management for point-of-care [POC] IUS in IBD patients.

METHODS

Two patient cohorts undergoing POC IUS [January 2016-July 2018 and October 2019-December 2019] were included retrospectively. Disease management after IUS was analysed and IUS outcomes were compared with symptoms, biomarkers, and additional imaging within 8 weeks from IUS. To study differences in use of IUS over time, cohorts were compared.

RESULTS

In total, 345 examinations (280 in Crohn's disease [CD]/65 in ulcerative colitis [UC]) were performed. Present inflammation on IUS was comparable between symptomatic and asymptomatic CD [67.6% vs 60.5%; p = 0.291]. In 60%, IUS had impact on disease management with change in medication in 47.8%. Additional endoscopy/magnetic resonance imaging [MRI] was planned after 32.8% examinations, showing good correlation with IUS in 86.3% [ρ = 0.70, p <0.0001] and 80.0% [ρ = 0.75, p <0.0001] of cases, respectively. Faecal calprotectin was higher in active versus inactive disease on IUS [664 µg/g vs 79 µg/g; p <0.001]. Over the years, IUS was performed more frequently to monitor treatment response and the use of MRI was reduced within the cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

POC IUS affects clinical decision making and could detect preclinical relapse in CD patients, with potential to reduce additional endoscopy or MRI. In addition, the paradigm expands towards monitoring treatment and close follow-up for IUS. Based on our results, we propose a POC IUS algorithm for follow-up of IBD patients.

Optimal doses of heart failure medication in women and men: perspective from daily clinical care

Background

Heart failure (HF) guidelines recommend equal target doses for women and men. Recently, these recommendations have been challenged as research suggested that women with HF with reduced Ejection Fraction (HFrEF) may reach optimal treatment effect at half of the guideline-recommended dose while men may require the full dose. However, it is unclear how often women and men reach guideline-recommended target doses in daily practice.

Purpose

To evaluate whether women and men with HF reach guideline-recommended target doses for Angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEI)/angiotensin II receptor blocker (ARB), β-blockers (BB) and mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists (MRA) in daily practice.

Methods

We extracted data from 13 outpatient cardiology clinics for all individuals diagnosed with HF within 14 days leading up to their visit who were prescribed at least one guideline-recommended HF medication. HF was defined based on a combination of the cardiologist's diagnosis and left ventricular systolic or diastolic dysfunction determined during echocardiography.

Guideline-recommended medication groups and target doses were taken from the 2016 ESC HF guidelines or from literature for medications not mentioned in the guidelines. To enable comparison between medications and medication groups, daily dose was converted to percentage of target dose. Mean change in percentage of target dose over consecutive medication prescriptions was modelled for men and women using natural cubic splines.

Results

We included 1254 patients with HF (48% women). Women were on average older at diagnosis (71 vs 67 years) and more often had hypertension (54.9 vs 44.3%), but less often had diabetes mellitus (13.5 vs 19.4%), a history of coronary heart disease (7.8 vs 19.6%,) or past cardiovascular interventions (8.7 vs 23.0%) than men. In total, 1069 patients were prescribed an ACEI/ARB (46% women), 920 a BB (48% women) and 243 an MRA (43% women). Women were more often prescribed only one medication than men (39.6 vs 33.2%, p=0.014). Approximately 14% of first prescriptions for all medications were at 100% of target dose or higher for both women and men, with the majority of prescriptions being either at 1–49% of target dose (47.2 vs 45.5%, respectively) or 50–99% of target dose (39.1 vs 40.8%, respectively). The natural cubic splines showed that this distribution did not change over consecutive drug prescriptions in either women or men. Only MRA prescriptions for men showed an upward trend and reached 100% of target dose.

Conclusion

In daily practice, both women and men were unlikely to reach guideline-recommended target doses for both ACEI/ARBs and BBs. For MRAs, women were less likely to reach target dose than men. Optimal dosing in HF is difficult for both sexes, but in light of recent evidence, the challenge in daily practice seems to lie more in undertreatment of men than overtreatment of women.

Figure 1 (women in red, men in blue)

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Public Institution(s). Main funding source(s): ZonMw

Ultrasound for Assessing Disease Activity in IBD Patients: A Systematic Review of Activity Scores

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Ultrasound [US] indices for assessing disease activity in IBD patients have never been critically reviewed. We aimed to systematically review the quality and reliability of available ultrasound [US] indices compared with reference standards for grading disease activity in IBD patients.

METHODS

Pubmed, Embase and Medline were searched for relevant literature published within the period 1990 to June 2017. Relevant publications were identified through full text review after initial screening by two investigators. Data on methodology and index characteristics were collected. Study quality was assessed using a modified version of the Quadas-2 tool for risk of bias assessment.

RESULTS

Of 20 studies with an US index, 11 studies met the inclusion criteria. Out of these 11 studies, 7 and 4 studied Crohn's disease [CD] and ulcerative colitis [UC0 activity indices, respectively. Parameters that were used in these indices included bowel wall thickness [BWT], Doppler signal [DS], wall layer stratification [WLS], compressibility, peristalsis, haustrations, fatty wrapping, contrast enhancement [CE], and strain pattern. Study quality was graded high in 5 studies, moderate in 3 studies and low in 3 studies. Ileocolonoscopy was used as the reference standard in 9 studies. In 1 study a combined index of ileocolonoscopy and barium contrast radiography and in 1 study histology was used as the reference standard. Only 5 studies used an established endoscopic index for comparison with US.

CONCLUSIONS

Several US indices for assessing disease activity in IBD are available; however, the methodology for development was suboptimal in most studies. For the development of future indices, stringent methodological design is required.