Prognostic Value of Multiplexed Assays of Variant Effect and Automated Patch-clamping for KCNH2-LQTS Risk Stratification

Background

Long QT syndrome (LQTS) is a lethal arrhythmia condition, frequently caused by rare loss-of-function variants in the cardiac potassium channel encoded by KCNH2. Variant-based risk stratification is complicated by heterogenous clinical data, incomplete penetrance, and low-throughput functional data.

Objective

To test the utility of variant-specific features, including high-throughput functional data, to predict cardiac events among KCNH2 variant heterozygotes.

Methods

We quantified cell-surface trafficking of 18,323 variants in KCNH2 and recorded potassium current densities for 506 KCNH2 variants. Next, we deeply phenotyped 1150 KCNH2 missense variant patients, including ECG features, cardiac event history (528 total cardiac events), and mortality. We then assessed variant functional, in silico, structural, and LQTS penetrance data to stratify event-free survival for cardiac events in the study cohort.

Results

Variant-specific current density (HR 0.28 [0.13-0.60]) and estimates of LQTS penetrance incorporating MAVE data (HR 3.16 [1.59-6.27]) were independently predictive of severe cardiac events when controlling for patient-specific features. Risk prediction models incorporating these data significantly improved prediction of 20 year cardiac events (AUC 0.79 [0.75-0.82]) over patient-only covariates (QTc and sex) (AUC 0.73 [0.70-0.77]).

Conclusion

We show that high-throughput functional data, and other variant-specific features, meaningfully contribute to both diagnosis and prognosis of a clinically actionable monogenic disease.