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Jackson HR, Zandstra J, Menikou S, Hamilton MS, McArdle AJ, Fischer R, Thorne AM, Huang H, Tanck MW, Jansen MH, De T, Agyeman PKA, Von Both U, Carrol ED, Emonts M, Eleftheriou I, Van der Flier M, Fink C, Gloerich J, De Groot R, Moll HA, Pokorn M, Pollard AJ, Schlapbach LJ, Tsolia MN, Usuf E, Wright VJ, Yeung S, Zavadska D, Zenz W, Coin LJM, Casals-Pascual C, Cunnington AJ, Martinon-Torres F, Herberg JA, de Jonge MI, Levin M, Kuijpers TW, Kaforou M. A multi-platform approach to identify a blood-based host protein signature for distinguishing between bacterial and viral infections in febrile children (PERFORM): a multi-cohort machine learning study. Lancet Digit Health 2023; 5:e774-e785. [PMID: 37890901 DOI: 10.1016/s2589-7500(23)00149-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/28/2022] [Revised: 06/08/2023] [Accepted: 07/26/2023] [Indexed: 10/29/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Differentiating between self-resolving viral infections and bacterial infections in children who are febrile is a common challenge, causing difficulties in identifying which individuals require antibiotics. Studying the host response to infection can provide useful insights and can lead to the identification of biomarkers of infection with diagnostic potential. This study aimed to identify host protein biomarkers for future development into an accurate, rapid point-of-care test that can distinguish between bacterial and viral infections, by recruiting children presenting to health-care settings with fever or a history of fever in the previous 72 h. METHODS In this multi-cohort machine learning study, patient data were taken from EUCLIDS, the Swiss Pediatric Sepsis study, the GENDRES study, and the PERFORM study, which were all based in Europe. We generated three high-dimensional proteomic datasets (SomaScan and two via liquid chromatography tandem mass spectrometry, referred to as MS-A and MS-B) using targeted and untargeted platforms (SomaScan and liquid chromatography mass spectrometry). Protein biomarkers were then shortlisted using differential abundance analysis, feature selection using forward selection-partial least squares (FS-PLS; 100 iterations), along with a literature search. Identified proteins were tested with Luminex and ELISA and iterative FS-PLS was done again (25 iterations) on the Luminex results alone, and the Luminex and ELISA results together. A sparse protein signature for distinguishing between bacterial and viral infections was identified from the selected proteins. The performance of this signature was finally tested using Luminex assays and by calculating disease risk scores. FINDINGS 376 children provided serum or plasma samples for use in the discovery of protein biomarkers. 79 serum samples were collected for the generation of the SomaScan dataset, 147 plasma samples for the MS-A dataset, and 150 plasma samples for the MS-B dataset. Differential abundance analysis, and the first round of feature selection using FS-PLS identified 35 protein biomarker candidates, of which 13 had commercial ELISA or Luminex tests available. 16 proteins with ELISA or Luminex tests available were identified by literature review. Further evaluation via Luminex and ELISA and the second round of feature selection using FS-PLS revealed a six-protein signature: three of the included proteins are elevated in bacterial infections (SELE, NGAL, and IFN-γ), and three are elevated in viral infections (IL18, NCAM1, and LG3BP). Performance testing of the signature using Luminex assays revealed area under the receiver operating characteristic curve values between 89·4% and 93·6%. INTERPRETATION This study has led to the identification of a protein signature that could be ultimately developed into a blood-based point-of-care diagnostic test for rapidly diagnosing bacterial and viral infections in febrile children. Such a test has the potential to greatly improve care of children who are febrile, ensuring that the correct individuals receive antibiotics. FUNDING European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme, the European Union's Seventh Framework Programme (EUCLIDS), Imperial Biomedical Research Centre of the National Institute for Health Research, the Wellcome Trust and Medical Research Foundation, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Consorcio Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Enfermedades Respiratorias, Grupos de Refeencia Competitiva, Swiss State Secretariat for Education, Research and Innovation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Heather R Jackson
- Section of Paediatric Infectious Disease, Faculty of Medicine, and Centre for Paediatrics and Child Health, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Judith Zandstra
- Sanquin Research and Landsteiner Laboratory, Department of Immunopathology, Sanquin Blood Supply, Amsterdam University Medical Center (UMC), Amsterdam, Netherlands; Department of Pediatric Immunology, Rheumatology and Infectious Diseases, Emma Children's Hospital, Amsterdam University Medical Center (UMC), Amsterdam, Netherlands
| | - Stephanie Menikou
- Section of Paediatric Infectious Disease, Faculty of Medicine, and Centre for Paediatrics and Child Health, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Melissa Shea Hamilton
- Section of Paediatric Infectious Disease, Faculty of Medicine, and Centre for Paediatrics and Child Health, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Andrew J McArdle
- Section of Paediatric Infectious Disease, Faculty of Medicine, and Centre for Paediatrics and Child Health, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Roman Fischer
- Discovery Proteomics Facility, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Adam M Thorne
- Department of Surgery, Section of Hepatobiliary Surgery and Liver Transplantation, University of Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, Netherlands
| | - Honglei Huang
- Target Discovery Institute, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Michael W Tanck
- Department of Epidemiology and Data Science, Amsterdam University Medical Center (UMC), Amsterdam, Netherlands
| | - Machiel H Jansen
- Department of Pediatric Immunology, Rheumatology and Infectious Diseases, Emma Children's Hospital, Amsterdam University Medical Center (UMC), Amsterdam, Netherlands
| | - Tisham De
- Section of Paediatric Infectious Disease, Faculty of Medicine, and Centre for Paediatrics and Child Health, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Philipp K A Agyeman
- Department of Pediatrics, Inselspital, Bern University Hospital, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
| | - Ulrich Von Both
- Infectious Diseases, Department of Pediatrics, Dr von Hauner Children's Hospital, University Hospital, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Enitan D Carrol
- Department of Clinical Infection Microbiology and Immunology, University of Liverpool Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Marieke Emonts
- Paediatric Infectious Diseases and Immunology Department, Newcastle upon Tyne Hospitals Foundation Trust, Great North Children's Hospital, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
| | - Irini Eleftheriou
- Second Department of Paediatrics, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens (NKUA), School of Medicine, Panagiotis & Aglaia, Kyriakou Children's Hospital, Athens, Greece
| | - Michiel Van der Flier
- Paediatric Infectious Diseases and Immunology, Wilhelmina Children's Hospital, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, Netherlands; Pediatric Infectious Diseases and Immunology Amalia Children's Hospital, Department of Laboratory Medicine, Radboud Institute of Molecular Life Sciences, Radboud UMC, Nijmegen, Netherlands; Laboratory of Infectious Diseases, Department of Laboratory Medicine, Radboud Institute of Molecular Life Sciences, Radboud UMC, Nijmegen, Netherlands
| | - Colin Fink
- Micropathology, University of Warwick, Warwick, UK
| | - Jolein Gloerich
- Translational Metabolic Laboratory, Department of Laboratory Medicine, Radboud Institute of Molecular Life Sciences, Radboud UMC, Nijmegen, Netherlands
| | - Ronald De Groot
- Translational Metabolic Laboratory, Department of Laboratory Medicine, Radboud Institute of Molecular Life Sciences, Radboud UMC, Nijmegen, Netherlands
| | | | - Marko Pokorn
- Division of Paediatrics, University Medical Centre Ljubljana and Medical Faculty, University of Ljubljana, Ljubljana, Slovenia
| | - Andrew J Pollard
- Oxford Vaccine Group Department of Paediatrics, University of Oxford and the NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UK
| | - Luregn J Schlapbach
- Department of Intensive Care and Neonatology and Children's Research Center, University Children's Hospital Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland; Child Health Research Centre, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, NSW, Australia
| | - Maria N Tsolia
- Second Department of Paediatrics, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens (NKUA), School of Medicine, Panagiotis & Aglaia, Kyriakou Children's Hospital, Athens, Greece
| | - Effua Usuf
- Medical Research Council Unit The Gambia at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Fajara, Gambia
| | - Victoria J Wright
- Section of Paediatric Infectious Disease, Faculty of Medicine, and Centre for Paediatrics and Child Health, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Shunmay Yeung
- Clinical Research Department, Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Disease, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Dace Zavadska
- Children's Clinical University Hospital, Rīga Stradins University, Rïga, Latvia
| | - Werner Zenz
- University Clinic of Paediatrics and Adolescent Medicine, Department of General Paediatrics, Medical University Graz, Graz, Austria
| | - Lachlan J M Coin
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, University of Melbourne at The Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | - Climent Casals-Pascual
- Department of Clinical Microbiology, CDB, Hospital Clínic of Barcelona, University of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Aubrey J Cunnington
- Section of Paediatric Infectious Disease, Faculty of Medicine, and Centre for Paediatrics and Child Health, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Federico Martinon-Torres
- Translational Pediatrics and Infectious Diseases Section, Pediatrics Department, Universidade de Santiago de Compostela (USC), Santiago de Compostela, Spain; Genetics, Vaccines, Infectious Diseases, and Pediatrics research group GENVIP, Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria de Santiago (IDIS), Universidade de Santiago de Compostela (USC), Santiago de Compostela, Spain; Consorcio Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Enfermedades Respiratorias (CIBERES), Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain
| | - Jethro A Herberg
- Section of Paediatric Infectious Disease, Faculty of Medicine, and Centre for Paediatrics and Child Health, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Marien I de Jonge
- Translational Metabolic Laboratory, Department of Laboratory Medicine, Radboud Institute of Molecular Life Sciences, Radboud UMC, Nijmegen, Netherlands; Laboratory of Medical Immunology, Department of Laboratory Medicine, Radboud Institute of Molecular Life Sciences, Radboud UMC, Nijmegen, Netherlands
| | - Michael Levin
- Section of Paediatric Infectious Disease, Faculty of Medicine, and Centre for Paediatrics and Child Health, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Taco W Kuijpers
- Sanquin Research and Landsteiner Laboratory, Department of Immunopathology, Sanquin Blood Supply, Amsterdam University Medical Center (UMC), Amsterdam, Netherlands; Department of Pediatric Immunology, Rheumatology and Infectious Diseases, Emma Children's Hospital, Amsterdam University Medical Center (UMC), Amsterdam, Netherlands
| | - Myrsini Kaforou
- Section of Paediatric Infectious Disease, Faculty of Medicine, and Centre for Paediatrics and Child Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.
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Jackson HR, Miglietta L, Habgood-Coote D, D’Souza G, Shah P, Nichols S, Vito O, Powell O, Davidson MS, Shimizu C, Agyeman PKA, Beudeker CR, Brengel-Pesce K, Carrol ED, Carter MJ, De T, Eleftheriou I, Emonts M, Epalza C, Georgiou P, De Groot R, Fidler K, Fink C, van Keulen D, Kuijpers T, Moll H, Papatheodorou I, Paulus S, Pokorn M, Pollard AJ, Rivero-Calle I, Rojo P, Secka F, Schlapbach LJ, Tremoulet AH, Tsolia M, Usuf E, Van Der Flier M, Von Both U, Vermont C, Yeung S, Zavadska D, Zenz W, Coin LJM, Cunnington A, Burns JC, Wright V, Martinon-Torres F, Herberg JA, Rodriguez-Manzano J, Kaforou M, Levin M. Diagnosis of Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Children by a Whole-Blood Transcriptional Signature. J Pediatric Infect Dis Soc 2023; 12:322-331. [PMID: 37255317 PMCID: PMC10312302 DOI: 10.1093/jpids/piad035] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/09/2022] [Accepted: 05/30/2023] [Indexed: 06/01/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND To identify a diagnostic blood transcriptomic signature that distinguishes multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children (MIS-C) from Kawasaki disease (KD), bacterial infections, and viral infections. METHODS Children presenting with MIS-C to participating hospitals in the United Kingdom and the European Union between April 2020 and April 2021 were prospectively recruited. Whole-blood RNA Sequencing was performed, contrasting the transcriptomes of children with MIS-C (n = 38) to those from children with KD (n = 136), definite bacterial (DB; n = 188) and viral infections (DV; n = 138). Genes significantly differentially expressed (SDE) between MIS-C and comparator groups were identified. Feature selection was used to identify genes that optimally distinguish MIS-C from other diseases, which were subsequently translated into RT-qPCR assays and evaluated in an independent validation set comprising MIS-C (n = 37), KD (n = 19), DB (n = 56), DV (n = 43), and COVID-19 (n = 39). RESULTS In the discovery set, 5696 genes were SDE between MIS-C and combined comparator disease groups. Five genes were identified as potential MIS-C diagnostic biomarkers (HSPBAP1, VPS37C, TGFB1, MX2, and TRBV11-2), achieving an AUC of 96.8% (95% CI: 94.6%-98.9%) in the discovery set, and were translated into RT-qPCR assays. The RT-qPCR 5-gene signature achieved an AUC of 93.2% (95% CI: 88.3%-97.7%) in the independent validation set when distinguishing MIS-C from KD, DB, and DV. CONCLUSIONS MIS-C can be distinguished from KD, DB, and DV groups using a 5-gene blood RNA expression signature. The small number of genes in the signature and good performance in both discovery and validation sets should enable the development of a diagnostic test for MIS-C.
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Affiliation(s)
- Heather R Jackson
- Department of Infectious Disease, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK
- Centre for Paediatrics and Child Health, Imperial College London, London, SW7 2AZ, UK
| | - Luca Miglietta
- Department of Infectious Disease, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK
- Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Dominic Habgood-Coote
- Department of Infectious Disease, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK
- Centre for Paediatrics and Child Health, Imperial College London, London, SW7 2AZ, UK
| | - Giselle D’Souza
- Department of Infectious Disease, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK
- Centre for Paediatrics and Child Health, Imperial College London, London, SW7 2AZ, UK
| | - Priyen Shah
- Department of Infectious Disease, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK
- Centre for Paediatrics and Child Health, Imperial College London, London, SW7 2AZ, UK
| | - Samuel Nichols
- Department of Infectious Disease, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK
- Centre for Paediatrics and Child Health, Imperial College London, London, SW7 2AZ, UK
| | - Ortensia Vito
- Department of Infectious Disease, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK
- Centre for Paediatrics and Child Health, Imperial College London, London, SW7 2AZ, UK
| | - Oliver Powell
- Department of Infectious Disease, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK
- Centre for Paediatrics and Child Health, Imperial College London, London, SW7 2AZ, UK
| | - Maisey Salina Davidson
- Department of Infectious Disease, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK
- Centre for Paediatrics and Child Health, Imperial College London, London, SW7 2AZ, UK
| | - Chisato Shimizu
- Department of Pediatrics, Rady Children’s Hospital and University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA
| | - Philipp K A Agyeman
- Department of Pediatrics, Inselspital, Bern University Hospital, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
| | - Coco R Beudeker
- Department of Paediatric Infectious Diseases and Immunology, Wilhelmina Children’s Hospital, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands
| | - Karen Brengel-Pesce
- Joint Research Unit Hospices Civils de Lyon-bioMérieux, Lyon Sud Hospital, Pierre-Bénite, France
| | - Enitan D Carrol
- Department of Clinical Infection Microbiology and Immunology, University of Liverpool Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, Liverpool, UK
| | - Michael J Carter
- Paediatric Intensive Care, Evelina London Children’s Hospital, Guy’s and St Thomas’ NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
- Department of Women and Children’s Health, School of Life Course Sciences, King’s College London, St Thomas’ Hospital, London, UK
| | - Tisham De
- Department of Infectious Disease, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK
- Centre for Paediatrics and Child Health, Imperial College London, London, SW7 2AZ, UK
| | - Irini Eleftheriou
- Second Department of Paediatrics, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens (NKUA), School of Medicine, P. and A. Kyriakou Children’s Hospital, Athens, Greece
| | - Marieke Emonts
- Translational and Clinical Research Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
- Paediatric Infectious Diseases and Immunology Department, Newcastle upon Tyne Hospitals Foundation Trust, Great North Children’s Hospital, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
- NIHR Newcastle Biomedical Research Centre, Newcastle upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Trust and Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
| | - Cristina Epalza
- Pediatric Infectious Diseases Unit, Pediatric Department, Hospital Doce de Octubre, Madrid, Spain
| | - Pantelis Georgiou
- Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Ronald De Groot
- Department of Pediatrics, Division of Pediatric Infectious Diseases and Immunology and Laboratory of Infectious Diseases, Radboud Institute of Molecular Life Sciences, Radboudumc, Nijmegen, The Netherlands
| | - Katy Fidler
- Academic Department of Paediatrics, Royal Alexandra Children’s Hospital, University Hospitals Sussex, Brighton, UK
| | - Colin Fink
- Micropathology Ltd., University of Warwick, Warwick, UK
| | | | - Taco Kuijpers
- Department of Pediatric Immunology, Rheumatology, and Infectious Diseases, Emma Children’s Hospital, Amsterdam University Medical Centre, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
- Sanquin Research, Department of Blood Cell Research, and Landsteiner Laboratory, Amsterdam University Medical Centre, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Henriette Moll
- Department of Pediatrics, Erasmus MC Sophia Children’s Hospital, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Irene Papatheodorou
- Gene Expression Team, European Molecular Biology Laboratory, EMBL-European Bioinformatics Institute (EMBL-EBI), Hinxton, Cambridge, UK
| | - Stephane Paulus
- Oxford Vaccine Group, Department of Paediatrics, University of Oxford and the NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UK
| | - Marko Pokorn
- Division of Pediatrics, University Medical Centre Ljubljana and Medical Faculty, University of Ljubljana, Ljubljana, Slovenia
| | - Andrew J Pollard
- Oxford Vaccine Group, Department of Paediatrics, University of Oxford and the NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UK
| | - Irene Rivero-Calle
- Pediatrics Department, Translational Pediatrics and Infectious Diseases Section, Santiago de Compostela, Spain
- Genetics–Vaccines–Infectious Diseases and Pediatrics Research Group GENVIP, Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria de Santiago (IDIS), Universidade de Santiago de Compostela (USC), Santiago de Compostela, Spain
- Unidade de Xenética, Departamento de Anatomía Patolóxica e Ciencias Forenses, Instituto de Ciencias Forenses, Facultade de Medicina, Universidade de Santiago de Compostela, Galicia, Spain
- GenPoB Research Group, Instituto de Investigaciones Sanitarias (IDIS), Hospital Clínico Universitario de Santiago (SERGAS), Galicia, Spain
| | - Pablo Rojo
- Pediatric Infectious Diseases Unit, Pediatric Department, Hospital Doce de Octubre, Madrid, Spain
| | - Fatou Secka
- Medical Research Council Unit, The Gambia at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Banjul, Gambia
| | - Luregn J Schlapbach
- Department of Intensive Care and Neonatology, and Children’s Research Center, University Children`s Hospital Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
- Child Health Research Centre, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
| | - Adriana H Tremoulet
- Department of Pediatrics, Rady Children’s Hospital and University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA
| | - Maria Tsolia
- Second Department of Paediatrics, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens (NKUA), School of Medicine, P. and A. Kyriakou Children’s Hospital, Athens, Greece
| | - Effua Usuf
- Medical Research Council Unit, The Gambia at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Banjul, Gambia
| | - Michiel Van Der Flier
- Department of Paediatric Infectious Diseases and Immunology, Wilhelmina Children’s Hospital, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands
| | - Ulrich Von Both
- Division of Pediatric Infectious Diseases, Department of Pediatrics, Dr von Hauner Children’s Hospital, University Hospital, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Clementien Vermont
- Department of Paediatric Infectious Diseases and Immunology, Erasmus MC Sophia Children’s Hospital, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Shunmay Yeung
- Clinical Research Department, Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Disease, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Dace Zavadska
- Department of Pediatrics, Children’s Clinical University Hospital, Rīga, Latvia
| | - Werner Zenz
- Department of General Paediatrics, University Clinic of Paediatrics and Adolescent Medicine, Medical University Graz, Austria
| | - Lachlan J M Coin
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, University of Melbourne at The Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, Melbourne, Australia
| | - Aubrey Cunnington
- Department of Infectious Disease, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK
- Centre for Paediatrics and Child Health, Imperial College London, London, SW7 2AZ, UK
| | - Jane C Burns
- Department of Pediatrics, Rady Children’s Hospital and University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA
| | - Victoria Wright
- Department of Infectious Disease, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK
- Centre for Paediatrics and Child Health, Imperial College London, London, SW7 2AZ, UK
| | - Federico Martinon-Torres
- Pediatrics Department, Translational Pediatrics and Infectious Diseases Section, Santiago de Compostela, Spain
- Genetics–Vaccines–Infectious Diseases and Pediatrics Research Group GENVIP, Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria de Santiago (IDIS), Universidade de Santiago de Compostela (USC), Santiago de Compostela, Spain
- Unidade de Xenética, Departamento de Anatomía Patolóxica e Ciencias Forenses, Instituto de Ciencias Forenses, Facultade de Medicina, Universidade de Santiago de Compostela, Galicia, Spain
- GenPoB Research Group, Instituto de Investigaciones Sanitarias (IDIS), Hospital Clínico Universitario de Santiago (SERGAS), Galicia, Spain
| | - Jethro A Herberg
- Department of Infectious Disease, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK
- Centre for Paediatrics and Child Health, Imperial College London, London, SW7 2AZ, UK
| | | | - Myrsini Kaforou
- Department of Infectious Disease, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK
- Centre for Paediatrics and Child Health, Imperial College London, London, SW7 2AZ, UK
| | - Michael Levin
- Department of Infectious Disease, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK
- Centre for Paediatrics and Child Health, Imperial College London, London, SW7 2AZ, UK
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3
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Hagedoorn NN, Wagenaar JHL, Nieboer D, Bath D, Von Both U, Carrol ED, Eleftheriou I, Emonts M, Van Der Flier M, De Groot R, Herberg J, Kohlmaier B, Levin M, Lim E, Maconochie I, Martinon-Torres F, Nijman R, Pokorn M, Rivero Calle I, Tsolia M, Yeung S, Zavadska D, Zenz W, Vermont CL, Oostenbrink R, Moll HA. Impact of a clinical decision rule on antibiotic prescription for children with suspected lower respiratory tract infections presenting to European emergency departments: a simulation study based on routine data. J Antimicrob Chemother 2021; 76:1349-1357. [PMID: 33564871 DOI: 10.1093/jac/dkab023] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/06/2020] [Accepted: 01/11/2021] [Indexed: 11/15/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Discriminating viral from bacterial lower respiratory tract infections (LRTIs) in children is challenging thus commonly resulting in antibiotic overuse. The Feverkidstool, a validated clinical decision rule including clinical symptoms and C-reactive protein, safely reduced antibiotic use in children at low/intermediate risk for bacterial LRTIs in a multicentre trial at emergency departments (EDs) in the Netherlands. OBJECTIVES Using routine data from an observational study, we simulated the impact of the Feverkidstool on antibiotic prescriptions compared with observed antibiotic prescriptions in children with suspected LRTIs at 12 EDs in eight European countries. METHODS We selected febrile children aged 1 month to 5 years with respiratory symptoms and excluded upper respiratory tract infections. Using the Feverkidstool, we calculated individual risks for bacterial LRTI retrospectively. We simulated antibiotic prescription rates under different scenarios: (1) applying effect estimates on antibiotic prescription from the trial; and (2) varying both usage (50%-100%) and compliance (70%-100%) with the Feverkidstool's advice to withhold antibiotics in children at low/intermediate risk for bacterial LRTI (≤10%). RESULTS Of 4938 children, 4209 (85.2%) were at low/intermediate risk for bacterial LRTI. Applying effect estimates from the trial, the Feverkidstool reduced antibiotic prescription from 33.5% to 24.1% [pooled risk difference: 9.4% (95% CI: 5.7%-13.1%)]. Simulating 50%-100% usage with 90% compliance resulted in risk differences ranging from 8.3% to 15.8%. Our simulations suggest that antibiotic prescriptions would be reduced in EDs with high baseline antibiotic prescription rates or predominantly (>85%) low/intermediate-risk children. CONCLUSIONS Implementation of the Feverkidstool could reduce antibiotic prescriptions in children with suspected LRTIs in European EDs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nienke N Hagedoorn
- Department of General Paediatrics, Erasmus MC-Sophia Children's Hospital, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Josephine H L Wagenaar
- Department of General Paediatrics, Erasmus MC-Sophia Children's Hospital, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Daan Nieboer
- Department of Public Health, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - David Bath
- Faculty of Public Health and Policy, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Ulrich Von Both
- Division of Paediatric Infectious Diseases, Dr. von Hauner Children's Hospital, University Hospital, Ludwig-Maximilians-University, Munich, Germany.,Partner site Munich, German Center for Infection Research (DZIF), Germany
| | - Enitan D Carrol
- Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences Global Health Liverpool, University of Liverpool, UK.,Alder Hey Children's NHS Foundation Trust, Liverpool, UK.,Liverpool Health Partners, Liverpool, UK
| | - Irini Eleftheriou
- Second Department of Paediatrics, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, P. & A. Kyriakou Children's Hospital, Athens, Greece
| | - Marieke Emonts
- Paediatric Immunology, Infectious Diseases & Allergy, Great North Children's Hospital, Newcastle upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.,Translational and Clinical Research Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.,NIHR Newcastle Biomedical Research Centre, Newcastle upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust and Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
| | - Michiel Van Der Flier
- Paediatric Infectious Diseases and Immunology, Amalia Children's Hospital, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.,Section Paediatric Infectious Diseases, Laboratory of Medical Immunology, Radboud Institute for Molecular Life Sciences, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.,Paediatric Infectious Diseases and Immunology, Wilhelmina Children's Hospital, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands
| | - Ronald De Groot
- Paediatric Infectious Diseases and Immunology, Amalia Children's Hospital, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.,Section Paediatric Infectious Diseases, Laboratory of Medical Immunology, Radboud Institute for Molecular Life Sciences, Nijmegen, The Netherlands
| | - Jethro Herberg
- Section of Paediatric Infectious Diseases, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Benno Kohlmaier
- Department of General Paediatrics, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria
| | - Michael Levin
- Section of Paediatric Infectious Diseases, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Emma Lim
- Paediatric Immunology, Infectious Diseases & Allergy, Great North Children's Hospital, Newcastle upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.,Translational and Clinical Research Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.,NIHR Newcastle Biomedical Research Centre, Newcastle upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust and Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
| | - Ian Maconochie
- Paediatric Emergency Medicine, Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, London, UK
| | - Federico Martinon-Torres
- Genetics, Vaccines, Infections and Paediatrics Research Group (GENVIP), Hospital Clínico Universitario de Santiago de Compostela, Santiago de Compostela, Spain
| | - Ruud Nijman
- Section of Paediatric Infectious Diseases, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Marko Pokorn
- Department of Infectious Diseases, University Medical Centre Ljubljana, University of Ljubljana, Ljubljana, Slovenia
| | - Irene Rivero Calle
- Genetics, Vaccines, Infections and Paediatrics Research Group (GENVIP), Hospital Clínico Universitario de Santiago de Compostela, Santiago de Compostela, Spain
| | - Maria Tsolia
- Second Department of Paediatrics, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, P. & A. Kyriakou Children's Hospital, Athens, Greece
| | - Shunmay Yeung
- Faculty of Public Health and Policy, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.,Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Dace Zavadska
- Department of Paediatrics, Children's Clinical University Hospital, Rīgas Stradiņa universitāte, Riga, Latvia
| | - Werner Zenz
- Department of General Paediatrics, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria
| | - Clementien L Vermont
- Department of Paediatric Infectious diseases and Immunology, Erasmus MC-Sophia Children's Hospital, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Rianne Oostenbrink
- Department of General Paediatrics, Erasmus MC-Sophia Children's Hospital, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Henriëtte A Moll
- Department of General Paediatrics, Erasmus MC-Sophia Children's Hospital, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
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