Prognostic value of National Early Warning Score and Modified Early Warning Score on intensive care unit readmission and mortality: A prospective observational study

Background

Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS) and National Early Warning Score (NEWS) are widely used in predicting the mortality and intensive care unit (ICU) admission of critically ill patients. This study was conducted to evaluate and compare the prognostic value of NEWS and MEWS for predicting ICU readmission, mortality, and related outcomes in critically ill patients at the time of ICU discharge.

Methods

This multicenter, prospective, observational study was conducted over a year, from April 2019 to March 2020, in the general ICUs of two university-affiliated hospitals in Northwest Iran. MEWS and NEWS were compared based on the patients’ outcomes (including mortality, ICU readmission, time to readmission, discharge type, mechanical ventilation (MV), MV duration, and multiple organ failure after readmission) using the univariable and multivariable binary logistic regression. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to determine the outcome predictability of MEWS and NEWS.

Results

A total of 410 ICU patients were enrolled in this study. According to multivariable logistic regression analysis, both MEWS and NEWS were predictors of ICU readmission, time to readmission, MV status after readmission, MV duration, and multiple organ failure after readmission. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) for predicting mortality was 0.91 (95% CI = 0.88–0.94, P < 0.0001) for the NEWS and 0.88 (95% CI = 0.84–0.91, P < 0.0001) for the MEWS. There was no significant difference between the AUC of the NEWS and the MEWS for predicting mortality (P = 0.082). However, for ICU readmission (0.84 vs. 0.71), time to readmission (0.82 vs. 0.67), MV after readmission (0.83 vs. 0.72), MV duration (0.81 vs. 0.67), and multiple organ failure (0.833 vs. 0.710), the AUCs of MEWS were significantly greater (P < 0.001).

Conclusion

National Early Warning Score and MEWS values of >4 demonstrated high sensitivity and specificity in identifying the risk of mortality for the patients’ discharge from ICU. However, we found that the MEWS showed superiority over the NEWS score in predicting other outcomes. Eventually, MEWS could be considered an efficient prediction score for morbidity and mortality of critically ill patients.

Diaphragm ultrasound to predict weaning outcome: systematic review and meta-analysis

Proper timing for discontinuation of mechanical ventilation is of great importance, especially in patients with previous weaning failures. Different indices obtained by ultra-sonographic evaluation of the diaphragm muscle have improved determination of weaning success. The aim of the present systematic review was to evaluate and compare the accuracy of the diagnostic indices obtained by ultrasonographic examination, including diaphragm thickening fraction (DTF), diaphragmatic excursion (DE) and the rapid shallow breathing index (RSBI). A systematic literature search (Web of Science, MEDLINE, Embase and Google Scholar) was performed to identify original articles assessing diaphragm muscle features including excursion and thickening fraction. A total of 2738 citations were retrieved initially; available data of 19 cohort studies (1114 patients overall) were included in the meta-analysis, subdivided into groups based on the ultrasonographic examination type. Our results showed the superiority of the diagnostic accuracy of the DTF in comparison to the DE and the RSBI. Data on the combination of the different indices are limited. Diaphragmatic ultrasound is a cheap and feasible tool for diaphragm function evaluation. Moreover, DTF in the assessment of weaning outcome provides more promising outcomes, which should be evaluated more meti-culously in future randomised trials.

Reduction and exhausted features of T lymphocytes under serological changes, and prognostic factors in COVID-19 progression

Aims

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a novel viral infection threatening worldwide health as currently there exists no effective treatment strategy and vaccination programs are not publicly available yet. T lymphocytes play an important role in antiviral defenses. However, T cell frequency and functionality may be affected during the disease.

Material and methods

Total blood samples were collected from patients with mild and severe COVID-19, and the total lymphocyte number, as well as CD4+ and CD8 + T cells were assessed using flowcytometry. Besides, the expression of exhausted T cell markers was evaluated. The levels of proinflammatory cytokines were also investigated in the serum of all patients using enzyme-linked immunesorbent assay (ELISA). Finally, the obtained results were analyzed along with laboratory serological reports.

Results

COVID-19 patients showed lymphopenia and reduced CD4+ and CD8 + T cells, as well as high percentage of PD-1 expression by T cells, especially in severe cases. Serum secretion of TNF-α, IL-1β, and IL-2 receptor (IL-2R) were remarkably increased in patients with severe symptoms, as compared with healthy controls. Moreover, high levels of triglyceride (TG) and low density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), were correlated with the severity of the disease.

Conclusion

Reduced number and function of T cells were observed in COVID-19 patients, especially in severe patients. Meanwhile, the secretion of proinflammatory cytokines was increased as the disease developed. High level of serum IL-2R was also considered as a sign of lymphopenia. Additionally, hypercholesterolemia and hyperlipidemia could be important prognostic factors in determining the severity of the infection.

Thrombocytopenia in the intensive care unit

Thrombocytopenia is a frequent finding in intensive care unit especially among adults and medical ICU patients. Thrombocytopenia is defined as a platelet count less than 100×10⁹/l in ICU setting. Platelets are made in the bone marrow from megakaryocytes. Although not fully understood, proplatelets transform into platelets in the lung. The body tries to maintain platelet count relatively constant throughout life. Pathophysiology of thrombocytopenia can be defined by hemodilution, elevated levels of platelet consumption, compromise of platelet production, increased platelet sequestration and increased platelet destruction. Unlike in other situations, absolute platelet count alone does not provide sufficient data in characterizing thrombocytopenia in ICU patients. In such cases, the time course of changes in platelet count is also pivotal. The dynamics of platelet count decrease vary considerably between different ICU patient populations including trauma, major surgery and minor surgery/medical conditions. There are strong evidences available that delay in platelet count restoration in ICU patients is an indicator of a bad outcome.

The Effect of Intravenous Selenium on Oxidative Stress in Critically Ill Patients with Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome

OBJECTIVE

To modulate the inflammatory response in respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) with selenium.

BACKGROUND

Selenium replenishes the glutathione peroxidase proteins that are the first line of defense for an oxidative injury to the lungs.

METHODS

Forty patients with ARDS were randomized into two groups: the SEL⁺ group being administered sodium selenite and the SEL^- group receiving normal saline for 10 days. Blood samples were taken on Day-0, DAY-7, and Day-14 for assessment of IL-1 beta, IL-6, C-reactive protein, GPx-3, and selenium. Ferric reducing antioxidant power (FRAP) was measured in the bronchial wash fluids. Pearson correlation and repeated measure analysis were performed to examine the effects of selenium on the inflammatory markers.

RESULTS

Sodium selenite replenished selenium levels in the SEL⁺ group. Selenium concentrations were linearly correlated to serum concentrations of GPx3 (R value: 0.631; P < 0.001), and FRAP (R value: -0.785; P < 0.001). Serum concentrations of both IL 1-beta (R value: -0.624; P < 0.001) and IL-6 (R value: -0.642; P < 0.001) were inversely correlated to the serum concentrations of selenium. There was a meaningful difference between two groups in airway resistance and pulmonary compliance changes (P values 0.008 and 0.028, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Selenium restored the antioxidant capacity of the lungs, moderated the inflammatory responses, and meaningfully improved the respiratory mechanics. Despite these changes, it had no effect on the overall survival, the duration of mechanical ventilation, and ICU stay. Selenium can be used safely; however, more trials are essential to examine its clinical effectiveness.

Pressure Ulcer and Nutrition

Pressure ulcers can diminish global life quality, contribute to rapid mortality in some patients and pose a significant cost to health-care organizations. Accordingly, their prevention and management are highly important. Nutritional deprivation and insufficient dietary intake are the key risk factors for the development of pressure ulcers and impaired wound healing. Unplanned weight loss is a major risk factor for malnutrition and pressure ulcer development. Suboptimal nutrition interferes with the function of the immune system, collagen synthesis, and tensile strength. No laboratory test can exactly define an individual's nutritional status. Although serum albumin, prealbumin, transferrin, and retinol-binding protein as well as anthropometric measures such as height, weight, and body mass index and the other laboratory values may be suitable to establish the overall prognosis, still they might not well represent the nutritional status. Although the ideal nutrient intake to encourage wound healing is unknown, increased needs for energy, protein, zinc, and Vitamins A, C, and E and also amino acids such as arginine and glutamine have been documented. Hydration plays a vital role in the preservation and repair of skin integrity. Dehydration disturbs cell metabolism and wound healing. Adequate fluid intake is necessary to support the blood flow to wounded tissues and to prevent additional breakdown of the skin. The main aim of the present article is to review the current evidence related to hydration and nutrition for bedsore prevention and management in adults.

Infrarenal aortic diameter, aortoiliac bifurcation level and lumbar disc degenerative changes: a cross-sectional MR study

PURPOSE

To examine a possible correlation of infrarenal aortic diameter and aortoiliac bifurcation level with lumbar disc degenerative changes.

METHODS

This was a cross-sectional, single-center retrospective study on lumbar magnetic resonance images of patients with low back pain (n = 496). Lumbar disc degenerative changes were reported on the basis of the Pfirrmann grading system and accordingly, patients were grouped as with grade I-II findings (n = 192), with grade III findings (n = 64) and with grade IV-V findings (n = 240). The groups were matched for sex, body mass index and the history of diabetes mellitus, hypertension, hyperlipidemia and smoking. Infrarenal aortic diameter and aortoiliac bifurcation level were compared between the three groups.

RESULTS

Pairwise comparisons between the three groups of patients with Pfirrmann grades of I-II, III and IV-V revealed significant differences (p < 0.05) in terms of the median infrarenal aortic diameter (17 mm [interquartile range 4], 18 mm [4] and 19 mm [4], respectively) and the median aortoiliac bifurcation level (3 [2], 4 [2] and 5 [3], respectively; the higher the value, the more the caudal displacement). These associations were independent of conventional risk factors of atherosclerosis (including age) and from each other.

CONCLUSIONS

This study showed a significant, direct correlation of the infrarenal aortic diameter and the level of aortoiliac bifurcation with lumbar intervertebral degenerative changes according to the Pfirrmann grading system. The associations were independent of well-known risk factors of atherosclerosis and from each other.

Postoperative Management of Shivering: A Comparison of Pethidine vs. Ketamine

Background:

One of the unpleasant side effects of general anesthesia is shivering in the process of recovery. It is an involuntary oscillatory mechanical movement that can be classified as clonic movements. These movements can affect one or several groups of skeletal muscles beginning from 5 to 30 minutes after the discontinuation of anesthesia.

Objectives:

We aimed to study ketamine’s effect on shivering after operation compared to pethidine as a way for treatment of postoperative shivering.

Patients and Methods:

In this study, 60 patients who underwent ENT surgery with general anesthesia and had shivering during recovery were randomly divided into two groups of 30 patients each receiving ketamine (0.2 mg/kg IV) and pethidine (0.5 mg/kg).

Results:

There was no statistically significant difference between the shivering intensity in both groups. Only regarding the shivering in the first minute after entering the recovery room, there was an obvious difference between ketamine and pethidine groups which was again not statistically significant (P = 0.07).

Conclusions:

The results of this study showed that ketamine and pethidine are both equally effective in the reduction of postoperative shivering.