Model-based evaluation of policy impacts and the continued COVID-19 risk at long term care facilities

The COVID-19 pandemic severely impacted long-term care facilities resulting in the death of approximately 8% of residents nationwide as of March 2021. As COVID-19 case rates declined and state and county restrictions were lifted in spring 2021, facility managers, local and state health agencies were challenged with defining their own policies moving forward to appropriately mitigate disease transmission. The continued emergence of variants of concern and variable vaccine uptake across facilities highlighted the need for a readily available tool that can be employed at the facility-level to determine best practices for mitigation and ensure resident and staff safety. To assist leadership in determining the impact of various infection surveillance and response strategies, we developed an agent-based model and an online dashboard interface that simulates COVID-19 infection within congregate care settings under various mitigation measures. This dashboard quantifies the continued risk for COVID-19 infections within a facility given a designated testing schedule and vaccine requirements. Key findings were that choice of COVID-19 diagnostic (ex. nasal swab qRT-PCR vs rapid antigen) and testing cadence has less impact on attack rate and staff workdays missed than does vaccination rates among staff and residents. Specifically, low vaccine uptake among staff at long-term care facilities puts staff and residents at risk of ongoing COVID-19 outbreaks. Here we present our model and dashboard as an exemplar of a tool for state public health officials and facility directors to gain insights from an infectious disease model that can directly inform policy decisions in the midst of a pandemic.

Immune recovery folliculitis: Case reports in HIV naïve and experienced patients

Immune recovery folliculitis (IRF) is defined as the development of an inflammatory disorder of the facial pilo-sebaceous unit due to the immune reconstitution inflammatory syndrome (IRIS). Skin lesions can be related to an immune response against skin saprophyte bacteria (e.g. Demodex folliculorum, Cutibacterium acnes). The rapid reconstitution of T lymphocyte, with a CD8+ predominance, is considered a key pathogenic factor for this phenomenon. IRF is clinically similar to acne vulgaris and can be challenging to treat. Patients with facial pustules can experience social discomfort. Here we report two cases of IRF diagnosed at the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) clinic of the National Institute of Infectious Diseases L. Spallanzani, in Rome, Italy. The first case occurred in an antiretroviral therapy (ART)-experienced patient, after a treatment simplification; the second one was registered in an ART-naïve patient, diagnosed with acute HIV infection shortly, after ART initiation. To date, an IRF secondary to an ART switch, has not been described yet. IRF should be ruled out and considered in differential diagnosis from antiretroviral drug-related skin effects.

Incidence, characteristics, and outcome of COVID-19 in patients on liver transplant program: a retrospective study in the north of Iran

The risk of severe coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) disease seems to be higher in individuals with solid organ transplantation. Therefore, the purpose of the present research is to investigate the incidence of COVID-19 and laboratory data and epidemiologic factors in liver transplant recipients and the patients on the waiting list for liver transplantation. In this study, we evaluated the records of patients on the waiting list for liver transplantation and of recipients of a liver transplant. Demographic data, underlying disease, history of drug use and participants' outcomes were collected. The diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 infection for all patients was confirmed using a nasopharyngeal swab specimen with real-time RT-PCR. During the study period, 172 patients were enrolled, among whom 85 patients (49.4%) were on the waiting list for liver transplantation, and 87 patients (50.6%) were recipients of a liver transplant. Out of them, 10 (5.8%) had a positive result for SARS-CoV-2. Of these patients, 7.05% (6/85) and 4.6% (4/87) of patients on the waiting list and recipients of liver transplants were positive for SARS-CoV-2, respectively. Patients on the waiting list with COVID-19 infection had a higher median of albumin, ALT, AST, TBIL, DBIL, HDL and LDL value. In summary, the incidence of COVID-19 in liver transplant patients was slightly higher. The existence of underlying liver diseases should be well known as one of the poor predictive factors for worse outcomes in patients with COVID-19. So, comparative studies are recommended to identify risk factors for COVID-19 in patients with liver injury.

Excess pregnancy weight gain in latinas: Impact on infant's adiposity and growth hormones at birth

•

Immigrant Latinas with overweight and obesity have excessive gestational gain.

•

Excessive gestational weight gain is associated with high birthweight percentiles.

•

Higher IGF-1 and lower PYY in cord blood in context of excessive gestational gain.

•

Gestational weight counseling in pregnancy may help prevent childhood obesity.

Excess maternal weight gain during pregnancy has been associated with childhood overweight and obesity both in mothers with and without obesity. Latinx children are at higher risk for earlier obesity compared with other population groups. A cohort of 82 self-identified pregnant Latina women were recruited at the prenatal clinics of Zuckerberg San Francisco General Hospital (ZSFG) prior to delivery during the second and third trimesters of pregnancy in 2011 and 2012. Maternal pre-pregnancy weight and weight prior to delivery were collected by self-report to calculate maternal pre-pregnancy body mass index (BMI) and weight gain in pregnancy. At delivery, anthropometric measurements of infants were obtained and cord blood and maternal finger stick blood samples were collected for hormonal assays. Fifty-three point seven percent of women had excessive weight gain in pregnancy. A high percentage of the cohort was overweight and obese prior to pregnancy (67.1%) with mean pre-pregnancy BMI 27.4 ± 4.5 kg/m² and greater pre-pregnancy weight was independently associated with weight gain during pregnancy (OR 1.05, 95%CI 1.002–1.09). Mean infant birthweight was 3377.2 ± 481.5 g and excessive weight gain in pregnancy was independently associated with birthweight percentile (OR 13.46, 95%CI 2.43–34.50). Excessive gestational gain was positively associated with cord blood insulin-like growth factor-1 (IGF-1) and negatively with Peptide YY (PYY) levels. Latina women with pre-pregnancy overweight and obesity have a high rate of excessive gestational gain in pregnancy and could benefit from early counseling about appropriate gain in pregnancy. Excessive gestational weight impacts the intrauterine environment in high-risk infants impacting fetal growth and development.

Evidence-based chlorination targets for household water safety in humanitarian settings: Recommendations from a multi-site study in refugee camps in South Sudan, Jordan, and Rwanda

The current Sphere guideline for water chlorination in humanitarian emergencies fails to reliably ensure household water safety in refugee camps. We investigated post-distribution chlorine decay and household water safety in refugee camps in South Sudan, Jordan, and Rwanda between 2013-2015 with the goal of demonstrating an approach for generating site-specific and evidence-based chlorination targets that better ensure household water safety than the status quo Sphere guideline. In each of four field studies we conducted, we observed how water quality changed between distribution and point of consumption. We implemented a nonlinear optimization approach for the novel technical challenge of modelling post-distribution chlorine decay in order to generate estimates on what free residual chlorine (FRC) levels must be at water distribution points, in order to provide adequate FRC protection up to the point of consumption in households many hours later at each site. The site-specific FRC targets developed through this modelling approach improved the proportion of households having sufficient chlorine residual (i.e., ≥0.2 mg/L FRC) at the point of consumption in three out of four field studies (South Sudan 2013, Jordan 2014, and Rwanda 2015). These sites tended to be hotter (i.e., average mid-afternoon air temperatures >30°C) and/or had poorer water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) conditions, contributing to considerable chlorine decay between distribution and consumption. Our modelling approach did not work as well where chlorine decay was small in absolute terms (Jordan 2015). In such settings, which were cooler (20 to 30°C) and had better WASH conditions, we found that the upper range of the current Sphere chlorination guideline (i.e., 0.5 mg/L FRC) provided sufficient residual chlorine for ensuring household water safety up to 24 hours post-distribution. Site-specific and evidence-based chlorination targets generated from post-distribution chlorine decay modelling could help improve household water safety and public health outcomes in refugee camp settings where the current Sphere chlorination guideline does not provide adequate residual protection. Water quality monitoring in refugee/IDP camps should shift focus from distribution points to household points of consumption in order to monitor if the intended public health goal of safe water at the point of consumption is being achieved.

A case of Cryptococcus gattii infection in South Carolina: A possible challenge to known endemicity

In the United States, C. gattii is considered to be endemic to the Pacific Northwest and although uncommon, additional cases have been documented in other regions including the Southeastern United States. While it has been hypothesized in the past that C. gattii may be endemic to the Southeastern United States, there remains a paucity of evidence. Here, we present a patient with no history of HIV/AIDS and no organ transplant and document the course of his disease and presentation. There were no adverse long-term neurological outcomes in this patient and the combination of steroid use, antifungal agents, and cerebrospinal fluid drainage resulted in his discharge from the hospital after 12 days. This patient’s subacute presentation with vague neurological symptoms highlights the importance of understanding the treatment of rare causes of meningitis.

Disruption of CCR5 signaling to treat COVID-19-associated cytokine storm: Case series of four critically ill patients treated with leronlimab

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is associated with considerable morbidity and mortality. The number of confirmed cases of infection with SARS-CoV-2, the virus causing COVID-19 continues to escalate with over 70 million confirmed cases and over 1.6 million confirmed deaths. Severe-to-critical COVID-19 is associated with a dysregulated host immune response to the virus, which is thought to lead to pathogenic immune dysregulation and end-organ damage. Presently few effective treatment options are available to treat COVID-19. Leronlimab is a humanized IgG4, kappa monoclonal antibody that blocks C–C chemokine receptor type 5 (CCR5). It has been shown that in patients with severe COVID-19 treatment with leronlimab reduces elevated plasma IL-6 and chemokine ligand 5 (CCL5), and normalized CD4/CD8 ratios. We administered leronlimab to 4 critically ill COVID-19 patients in intensive care. All 4 of these patients improved clinically as measured by vasopressor support, and discontinuation of hemodialysis and mechanical ventilation. Following administration of leronlimab there was a statistically significant decrease in IL-6 observed in patient A (p=0.034) from day 0–7 and patient D (p=0.027) from day 0–14. This corresponds to restoration of the immune function as measured by CD4+/CD8+ T cell ratio. Although two of the patients went on to survive the other two subsequently died of surgical complications after an initial recovery from SARS-CoV-2 infection.

•

Leronlimab is a monoclonal antibody in clinical trials to treat the cytokine storm.

•

Critically ill patients received leronlimab through compassionate use and had remarkable recoveries measured objectively.

•

The CCR5 receptor is important in recruiting inflammatory cells mainly T cells and macrophages.

•

Leronlimab disrupted this signal and may have been responsible for restoration of the immune system, improved survival and decrease in IL-6.

The Impact of State Level Public Policy, Prescriber Education, and Patient Factors on Opioid Prescribing in Elective Orthopedic Surgery: Findings From a Tertiary, Academic Setting

Background

The United States is in the midst of an opioid misuse epidemic. There have been recent changes to North Carolina’s public policy leading to institutional education attempting to reduce high-risk opioid prescribing. This study investigated whether state-level and institutional efforts were associated with provider-level changes in opioid prescriptions after common orthopedic surgeries.

Patients and Methods

Six-week post-operative opioid prescribing in patients 18 years or older undergoing high-volume elective surgeries were reviewed retrospectively. Three patient cohorts from equivalent calendar year periods were included in this analysis; preceding policy implementation (January 1, 2017, to March 31, 2017), immediately after policy implementation (January 1, 2018, to March 31, 2018), and 1 year after policy implementation (January 1, 2019, to March 31, 2019). Multivariable models were constructed to evaluate the effects of public policy and institutional education on postoperative opioid prescribing.

Results

The mean (standard deviation) amount of oxycodone 5-mg equivalents prescribed at discharge decreased from 75.6 (53.2) in 2017 to 55.7 (36.2) in 2018 and then 45.6 (32.6) in 2019 (P < .05). Similarly, 6-week postoperative cumulative oxycodone 5-mg equivalents prescribed also significantly decreased from 123.3 (145.8) in 2017 to 84.1 (90.3) in 2018 and to 80.2 (150.1) in 2019. Other outcomes including prescription duration and rates of outlier prescribing showed similar trends.

Conclusion

In a North Carolina tertiary academic hospital, opioid prescribing decreased after public policy implementation and an institutional response of education for prescribers within a national context of changing practices in opioid prescribing. State-level public policy and prescriber education could be important avenues for decreasing postoperative opioid prescription in orthopedic settings.

Vitamin D in the Middle East and North Africa

PURPOSE

The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region registers some of the lowest serum 25‑hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] concentrations, worldwide. We describe the prevalence and the risk factors for hypovitaminosis D, completed and ongoing clinical trials, and available guidelines for vitamin D supplementation in this region.

METHODS

This review is an update of previous reviews published by our group in 2013 for observational studies, and in 2015 for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) from the region. We conducted a comprehensive search in Medline, PubMed, and Embase, and the Cochrane Library, using MeSH terms and keywords relevant to vitamin D, vitamin D deficiency, and the MENA region, for the period 2012-2017 for observational studies, and 2015-2017 for RCTs. We included large cross-sectional studies with at least 100 subjects/study, and RCTs with at least 50 participants per arm.

RESULTS

We identified 41 observational studies. The prevalence of hypovitaminosis D, defined as a 25‑hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] level below the desirable level of 20 ng/ml, ranged between 12-96% in children and adolescents, and 54-90% in pregnant women. In adults, it ranged between 44 and 96%, and the mean 25(OH)D varied between 11 and 20 ng/ml. In general, significant predictors of low 25(OH)D levels were female gender, increasing age and body mass index, veiling, winter season, use of sun screens, lower socioeconomic status, and higher latitude.We retrieved 14 RCTs comparing supplementation to control or placebo, published during the period 2015-2017: 2 in children, 8 in adults, and 4 in pregnant women. In children and adolescents, a vitamin D dose of 1000-2000 IU/d was needed to maintain serum 25(OH)D level at target. In adults and pregnant women, the increment in 25(OH)D level was inversely proportional to the dose, ranging between 0.9 and 3 ng/ml per 100 IU/d for doses ≤2000 IU/d, and between 0.1 and 0.6 ng/ml per 100 IU/d for doses ≥3000 IU/d. While the effect of vitamin D supplementation on glycemic indices is still controversial in adults, vitamin D supplementation may be protective against gestational diabetes mellitus in pregnant women. In the only identified study in the elderly, there was no significant difference between 600 IU/day and 3750 IU/day doses on bone mineral density. We did not identify any fracture studies.The available vitamin D guidelines in the region are based on expert opinion, with recommended doses between 400 and 2000 IU/d, depending on the age category, and country.

CONCLUSION

Hypovitaminosis D is prevalent in the MENA region, and doses of 1000-2000 IU/d may be necessary to reach a desirable 25(OH)D level of 20 ng/ml. Studies assessing the effect of such doses of vitamin D on major outcomes, and confirming their long term safety, are needed.