Reduction of stillbirths in England from 2008 to 2017 according to uptake of the Growth Assessment Protocol: 10-year population-based cohort study

OBJECTIVE

Antenatal detection of small-for-gestational age (SGA) can reduce significantly the risk of stillbirth. The Growth Assessment Protocol (GAP) was developed to address the problem that most SGA fetuses are missed antenatally. We set out to analyze the effect that the GAP program has had on stillbirth rates in England.

METHODS

We analyzed data from 2008 (the year before roll-out of the GAP program) to 2017 (latest available Office for National Statistics (ONS) unit-based data). The program consists of five elements: training, evidence-based guidelines for risk assessment and surveillance of fetal growth, customized charts, recording of process and outcome indicators, and audit of missed SGA cases. All maternity units in England were categorized into one of three groups according to their GAP status in 2017: (1) not in the GAP program; (2) GAP implemented partially (incomplete adoption of protocol, no monitoring and audit); and (3) GAP implemented completely. A subset of the complete-implementation group comprised the 20 units with the highest SGA detection rates. Unit-level live-birth and stillbirth data were obtained from the ONS for each of these groups.

RESULTS

Stillbirth rates declined across all groups from 2008 to 2017, and significantly more in units in which GAP was implemented completely than in the non-GAP units (P < 0.05). The steepest decline in stillbirth rate was observed in the 20 units with the highest SGA detection rates, which had a 24% lower stillbirth rate compared with the units not using GAP (P < 0.01) in 2017. This difference remained significant after mixed-effects logistic regression analysis of potential confounding, including social deprivation (odds ratio, 0.76 (95% CI, 0.64-0.90)). Assessment of the nine Bradford Hill causality criteria and associated characteristics suggested that the association between implementation of the GAP program and reduction in stillbirth rate was causal.

CONCLUSIONS

There has been an overall reduction in stillbirth rates in England that is likely to be a result of increased awareness of the importance of antenatal detection of SGA as a key risk factor for stillbirth. The decline in stillbirth rates was significantly greater in maternity units that had fully implemented the GAP program, and was most pronounced in the units with the highest antenatal SGA detection rates. © 2020 The Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Intussusception incidence among infants in the UK and Republic of Ireland: a pre-rotavirus vaccine prospective surveillance study

•

The pre-rotavirus vaccine incidence of intussusception among UK and Irish infants was 24.8 and 24.2/100,000 live births.

•

The highest incidence (50.3/100,000 live births) occurred in the fifth month of life (for England).

•

A seasonal trend in intussusception was observed with the incidence significantly increased during winter and spring.

•

Baseline rates will inform rotavirus vaccine-safety policy by enabling comparison with post-introduction incidence.

Introduction

Intussusception, an abdominal emergency in young children, has been linked to a previous vaccine used to prevent rotavirus gastroenteritis. Although this vaccine was withdrawn, recent studies have suggested a potential, very small increased risk of intussusception following the administration of newly developed rotavirus vaccines. We aimed to determine the baseline incidence of intussusception among infants in the UK and Republic of Ireland – prior to the imminent introduction of the rotavirus vaccine into the UK schedule this year.

Methods

Prospective, active surveillance via the established British Paediatric Surveillance Unit (BPSU) was carried out from March 2008 to March 2009. Clinicians across 101 National Health Service (and equivalent) hospitals, including 27 paediatric surgical centres, reported cases admitted for intussusception in the UK and Republic of Ireland. The standard Brighton Collaboration case definition was used with only definite cases included for incidence estimation.

Results

The study response rate was 94.5% (379 questionnaires received out of 401 case notifications). A total of 250 definite cases of intussusception were identified. The annual incidence among infants in the UK and Republic of Ireland was 24.8 (95% CI: 21.7–28.2) and 24.2 (95% CI: 15.0–37.0) per 100,000 live births. In the UK, the highest incidence occurred in Northern Ireland (40.6, 95% CI: 21.0–70.8), followed by Scotland (28.7, 95% CI: 17.5–44.3), England (24.2, 95% CI: 20.9–27.9), then Wales (16.9, 95% CI: 6.8–34.8). In England, regional incidence was highest in London and lowest in the West Midlands. By age, the highest incidence (50.3/100,000 live births, 95% CI: 33.4–72.7) occurred in the fifth month of life (for England). A seasonal trend in the presentation of intussusception was observed with the incidence significantly (p = 0.001) increased during winter and spring.

Conclusion

The baseline rates obtained in this study will inform rotavirus vaccine-safety policy by enabling comparison with post-introduction incidence.