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Gordon SM, Stitt RS, Nee R, Bailey WT, Little DJ, Knight KR, Hughes JB, Edison JD, Olson SW. Risk Factors for Future Scleroderma Renal Crisis at Systemic Sclerosis Diagnosis. J Rheumatol 2018; 46:85-92. [PMID: 30008456 DOI: 10.3899/jrheum.171186] [Citation(s) in RCA: 24] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 04/13/2018] [Indexed: 01/15/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Systemic sclerosis (SSc) is a disease of autoimmunity, fibrosis, and vasculopathy. Scleroderma renal crisis (SRC) is one of the most severe complications. Corticosteroid exposure, presence of anti-RNA polymerase III antibodies (ARA), skin thickness, and significant tendon friction rubs are among the known risk factors at SSc diagnosis for developing future SRC. Identification of additional clinical characteristics and laboratory findings could expand and improve the risk profile for future SRC at SSc diagnosis. METHODS In this retrospective cohort study of the entire military electronic medical record between 2005 and 2016, we compared the demographics, clinical characteristics, and laboratory results at SSc diagnosis for 31 cases who developed SRC after SSc diagnosis to 322 SSc without SRC disease controls. RESULTS After adjustment for potential confounding variables, at SSc diagnosis these conditions were all associated with future SRC: proteinuria (p < 0.001; OR 183, 95% CI 19.1-1750), anemia (p = 0.001; OR 9.9, 95% CI 2.7-36.2), hypertension (p < 0.001; OR 13.1, 95% CI 4.7-36.6), chronic kidney disease (p = 0.008; OR 20.7, 95% CI 2.2-190.7), elevated erythrocyte sedimentation rate (p < 0.001; OR 14.3, 95% CI 4.8-43.0), thrombocytopenia (p = 0.03; OR 7.0, 95% CI 1.2-42.7), hypothyroidism (p = 0.01; OR 2.8, 95% CI 1.2-6.7), Anti-Ro antibody seropositivity (p = 0.003; OR 3.9, 95% CI 1.6-9.8), and ARA (p = 0.02; OR 4.1, 95% CI 1.2-13.8). Three or more of these risk factors present at SSc diagnosis was sensitive (77%) and highly specific (97%) for future SRC. No SSc without SRC disease controls had ≥ 4 risk factors. CONCLUSION In this SSc cohort, we present a panel of risk factors for future SRC. These patients may benefit from close observation of blood pressure, proteinuria, and estimated glomerular filtration rate, for earlier SRC identification and intervention. Future prospective therapeutic studies could focus specifically on this high-risk population.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sarah M Gordon
- From the Nephrology Department, and the Rheumatology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; the Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, Maryland, USA.,S.W. Olson, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; S.M. Gordon, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; R. Nee, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; R.S. Stitt, MD, Rheumatology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; W.T. Bailey, MD, Rheumatology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; D.J. Little, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; K.R. Knight, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; J.B. Hughes, Medical Student, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences; J.D. Edison, MD, Rheumatology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center
| | - Rodger S Stitt
- From the Nephrology Department, and the Rheumatology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; the Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, Maryland, USA.,S.W. Olson, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; S.M. Gordon, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; R. Nee, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; R.S. Stitt, MD, Rheumatology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; W.T. Bailey, MD, Rheumatology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; D.J. Little, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; K.R. Knight, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; J.B. Hughes, Medical Student, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences; J.D. Edison, MD, Rheumatology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center
| | - Robert Nee
- From the Nephrology Department, and the Rheumatology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; the Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, Maryland, USA.,S.W. Olson, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; S.M. Gordon, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; R. Nee, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; R.S. Stitt, MD, Rheumatology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; W.T. Bailey, MD, Rheumatology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; D.J. Little, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; K.R. Knight, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; J.B. Hughes, Medical Student, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences; J.D. Edison, MD, Rheumatology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center
| | - Wayne T Bailey
- From the Nephrology Department, and the Rheumatology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; the Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, Maryland, USA.,S.W. Olson, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; S.M. Gordon, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; R. Nee, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; R.S. Stitt, MD, Rheumatology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; W.T. Bailey, MD, Rheumatology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; D.J. Little, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; K.R. Knight, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; J.B. Hughes, Medical Student, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences; J.D. Edison, MD, Rheumatology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center
| | - Dustin J Little
- From the Nephrology Department, and the Rheumatology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; the Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, Maryland, USA.,S.W. Olson, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; S.M. Gordon, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; R. Nee, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; R.S. Stitt, MD, Rheumatology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; W.T. Bailey, MD, Rheumatology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; D.J. Little, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; K.R. Knight, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; J.B. Hughes, Medical Student, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences; J.D. Edison, MD, Rheumatology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center
| | - Kendral R Knight
- From the Nephrology Department, and the Rheumatology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; the Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, Maryland, USA.,S.W. Olson, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; S.M. Gordon, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; R. Nee, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; R.S. Stitt, MD, Rheumatology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; W.T. Bailey, MD, Rheumatology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; D.J. Little, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; K.R. Knight, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; J.B. Hughes, Medical Student, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences; J.D. Edison, MD, Rheumatology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center
| | - James B Hughes
- From the Nephrology Department, and the Rheumatology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; the Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, Maryland, USA.,S.W. Olson, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; S.M. Gordon, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; R. Nee, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; R.S. Stitt, MD, Rheumatology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; W.T. Bailey, MD, Rheumatology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; D.J. Little, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; K.R. Knight, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; J.B. Hughes, Medical Student, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences; J.D. Edison, MD, Rheumatology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center
| | - Jess D Edison
- From the Nephrology Department, and the Rheumatology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; the Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, Maryland, USA.,S.W. Olson, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; S.M. Gordon, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; R. Nee, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; R.S. Stitt, MD, Rheumatology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; W.T. Bailey, MD, Rheumatology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; D.J. Little, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; K.R. Knight, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; J.B. Hughes, Medical Student, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences; J.D. Edison, MD, Rheumatology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center
| | - Stephen W Olson
- From the Nephrology Department, and the Rheumatology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; the Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, Maryland, USA. .,S.W. Olson, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; S.M. Gordon, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; R. Nee, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; R.S. Stitt, MD, Rheumatology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; W.T. Bailey, MD, Rheumatology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; D.J. Little, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; K.R. Knight, MD, Nephrology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center; J.B. Hughes, Medical Student, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences; J.D. Edison, MD, Rheumatology Department, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center.
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