Parental education and occupation in relation to childhood type 1 diabetes: nationwide cohort study

BackgroundSocioeconomic status in the risk of developing type 1 diabetes seems inconsistent. We investigated whether risk of childhood-onset type 1 diabetes differed by parental education or occupation in a nationwide cohort.

METHODS

This cohort study included all children born in Norway from 1974 to 2013. In individually linked data from nationwide population registries following children born in Norway up to 15 years of age, we identified 4647 with newly diagnosed type 1 diabetes during 15 381 923 person-years of follow-up.

RESULTS

Children of mothers with a master's degree had lower risk of type 1 diabetes than children of mothers with completed upper secondary education only (adjusted incidence rate ratio, aIRR=0.82 95% CI: 0.70 to 0.95). There was no difference between upper secondary and lower secondary maternal education (aIRR=0.98, 95% CI: 0.89 to 1.08). Paternal education was not significantly associated with type 1 diabetes, lower secondary compared with upper secondary aIRR 0.96 (0.88-1.05) and master compared with upper secondary aIRR 0.93 (0.83-1.05). While maternal elementary occupation was associated with a lower risk of type 1 diabetes, specific maternal or paternal occupations were not.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggested inverse U-shaped associations between maternal socioeconomic status and risk of type 1 diabetes. Non-linear associations may be part of the reason why previous literature has been inconsistent.

Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists and risk of major adverse liver outcomes in patients with chronic liver disease and type 2 diabetes

OBJECTIVE

Phase II trials suggest glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor (GLP1) agonists resolve metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis but do not affect fibrosis regression. We aimed to determine the long-term causal effect of GLP1 agonists on the risk of major adverse liver outcomes (MALO) in patients with any chronic liver disease and type 2 diabetes.

DESIGN

We used observational data from Swedish healthcare registers 2010-2020 to emulate a target trial of GLP1 agonists in eligible patients with chronic liver disease and type 2 diabetes. We used an inverse-probability weighted marginal structural model to compare parametric estimates of 10-year MALO risk (decompensated cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, liver transplantation or MALO-related death) in initiators of GLP1 agonists with non-initiators. We randomly sampled 5% of the non-initiators to increase computational efficiency.

RESULTS

GLP1 agonist initiators had a 10-year risk of MALO at 13.3% (42/1026) vs 14.6% in non-initiators (1079/15 633) in intention-to-treat analysis (risk ratio (RR)=0.91, 95% CI=0.50 to 1.32). The corresponding 10-year per-protocol risk estimates were 7.4% (22/1026) and 14.4% (1079/15 633), respectively (RR=0.51, 95% CI=0.14 to 0.88). The per-protocol risk estimates at 6 years were 5.4% (21/1026) vs 9.0% (933/15 633) (RR=0.60, 95% CI=0.29 to 0.90) and at 8 years 7.2% (22/1026) vs 11.7% (1036/15 633) (RR=0.61, 95% CI=0.21 to 1.01).

CONCLUSION

In patients with chronic liver disease and type 2 diabetes who adhered to therapy over time, GLP1 agonists may result in lower risk of MALO. This suggests that GLP1 agonists are promising agents to reduce risk of chronic liver disease progression in patients with concurrent type 2 diabetes, although this needs to be corroborated in randomised trials.

Optimal glycaemic control and the reduced risk of colorectal adenoma and cancer in patients with diabetes: a population-based cohort study

OBJECTIVE

Whether varying degrees of glycaemic control impact colonic neoplasm risk in patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) remains uncertain.

DESIGN

Patients with newly diagnosed DM were retrieved from 2005 to 2013. Optimal glycaemic control at baseline was defined as mean haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c)<7%. Outcomes of interest included colorectal cancer (CRC) and colonic adenoma development. We used propensity score (PS) matching with competing risk models to estimate subdistribution HRs (SHRs). We further analysed the combined effect of baseline and postbaseline glycaemic control based on time-weighted mean HbA1c during follow-up.

RESULTS

Of 88 468 PS-matched patients with DM (mean (SD) age: 61.5 (±11.7) years; male: 47 127 (53.3%)), 1229 (1.4%) patients developed CRC during a median follow-up of 7.2 (IQR: 5.5-9.4) years. Optimal glycaemic control was associated with lower CRC risk (SHR 0.72; 95% CI 0.65 to 0.81). The beneficial effect was limited to left-sided colon (SHR 0.71; 95% CI 0.59 to 0.85) and rectum (SHR 0.71; 95% CI 0.57 to 0.89), but not right-sided colon (SHR 0.86; 95% CI 0.67 to 1.10). Setting suboptimal glycaemic control at baseline/postbaseline as a reference, a decreased CRC risk was found in optimal control at postbaseline (SHR 0.79), baseline (SHR 0.71) and both time periods (SHR 0.61). Similar associations were demonstrated using glycaemic control as a time-varying covariate (HR 0.75). A stepwise greater risk of CRC was found (Ptrend<0.001) with increasing HbA1c (SHRs 1.34, 1.30, 1.44, 1.58 for HbA1c 7.0% to <7.5%, 7.5% to <8.0%, 8.0% to <8.5% and ≥8.5%, respectively). Optimal glycaemic control was associated with a lower risk of any, non-advanced and advanced colonic adenoma (SHRs 0.73-0.87).

CONCLUSION

Glycaemic control in patients with DM was independently associated with the risk of colonic adenoma and CRC development with a biological gradient.

Modifying effect of urban parks on socioeconomic inequalities in diabetes prevalence: a cross-sectional population study of Madrid City, Spain

BACKGROUND

Evidence has shown contradicting results on how the density of urban green spaces may reduce socioeconomic inequalities in type 2 diabetes (equigenic hypothesis). The aim of this study is to test whether socioeconomic inequalities in diabetes prevalence are modified by park density.

METHODS

We designed a population-wide cross-sectional study of all adults registered in the primary healthcare centres in the city of Madrid, Spain (n=1 305 050). We obtained georeferenced individual-level data from the Primary Care Electronic Health Records, and census-tract level data on socioeconomic status (SES) and park density. We modelled diabetes prevalence using robust Poisson regression models adjusted by age, country of origin, population density and including an interaction term with park density, stratified by gender. We used this model to estimate the Relative Index of Inequality (RII) at different park density levels.

FINDINGS

We found an overall RII of 2.90 (95% CI 2.78 to 3.02) and 4.50 (95% CI 4.28 to 4.74) in men and women, respectively, meaning that the prevalence of diabetes was three to four and a half times higher in low SES compared with high SES areas. These inequalities were wider in areas with higher park density for both men and women, with a significant interaction only for women (p=0.008).

INTERPRETATION

We found an inverse association between SES and diabetes prevalence in both men and women, with wider inequalities in areas with more parks. Future works should study the mechanisms of these findings, to facilitate the understanding of contextual factors that may mitigate diabetes inequalities.

Beyond antithrombotics: recent advances in pharmacological risk factor management for secondary stroke prevention

Patients with ischaemic stroke represent a diverse group with several cardiovascular risk factors and comorbidities, which classify them as patients at very high risk of stroke recurrence, cardiovascular adverse events or death. In addition to antithrombotic therapy, which is important for secondary stroke prevention in most patients with stroke, cardiovascular risk factor assessment and treatment also contribute significantly to the reduction of mortality and morbidity. Dyslipidaemia, diabetes mellitus and hypertension represent common and important modifiable cardiovascular risk factors among patients with stroke, while early recognition and treatment may have a significant impact on patients' future risk of major cardiovascular events. In recent years, there have been numerous advancements in pharmacological agents aimed at secondary cardiovascular prevention. These innovations, combined with enhanced awareness and interventions targeting adherence and persistence to treatment, as well as lifestyle modifications, have the potential to substantially alleviate the burden of cardiovascular disease, particularly in patients who have experienced ischaemic strokes. This review summarises the evidence on the contemporary advances on pharmacological treatment and future perspectives of secondary stroke prevention beyond antithrombotic treatment.

Type 2 diabetes, glycaemic traits and upper gastrointestinal cancer risk: a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Type 2 diabetes (T2D) has been linked with site-specific upper gastrointestinal (UGI) cancers during the past decades, but associations are still inconclusive. This study aimed to determine the association between T2D, glycaemic traits (random blood glucose and HbA1c) and UGI cancer (oesophageal and gastric cancer).

METHODS

In the present study, based on the large-scale prospective cohort of UK Biobank, we included 452 631 eligible participants. T2D was defined according to baseline self-report data, clinical data and biochemistry data. Random blood glucose and HbA1c were measured at baseline. Polygenic risk score was used to classify individuals into different UGI cancer genetic risks. Multivariable Cox regression models were used to estimate HRs and 95% CIs.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 10.26 years (IQR: 9.47-10.97), 1392 incident UGI cancer cases were identified. T2D was significantly associated with a 44% increment in UGI cancer risk (95% CI 1.22 to 1.70, p<0.001). Moreover, per SD increase in random blood glucose and HbA1c was associated with 7% (95% CI 1.03 to 1.12, p<0.001) and 6% (95% CI 1.04 to 1.09, p<0.001) increased hazards of developing UGI cancer, respectively. Patients with T2D at high genetic risk had a 2.33-fold hazard of UGI cancer (95% CI 1.66 to 3.28, p<0.001), compared with non-T2D individuals at low genetic risk.

CONCLUSION

Our results indicate that T2D and elevated levels of glycaemic traits may be risk factors for incident UGI cancer. Individuals with a high genetic risk and T2D have a significantly increased risk of developing UGI cancer.

Clinical outcomes and adverse events of bariatric surgery in adults with severe obesity in Scotland: the SCOTS observational cohort study

Background

Bariatric surgery is a common procedure worldwide for the treatment of severe obesity and associated comorbid conditions but there is a lack of evidence as to medium-term safety and effectiveness outcomes in a United Kingdom setting.

Objective

To establish the clinical outcomes and adverse events of different bariatric surgical procedures, their impact on quality of life and the effect on comorbidities.

Design

Prospective observational cohort study.

Setting

National Health Service secondary care and private practice in Scotland, United Kingdom.

Participants

Adults (age >16 years) undergoing their first bariatric surgery procedure.

Main outcome measures

Change in weight, hospital length of stay, readmission and reoperation rate, mortality, diabetes outcomes (HbA1c, medications), quality of life, anxiety, depression.

Data sources

Patient-reported outcome measures, hospital records, national electronic health records (Scottish Morbidity Record 01, Scottish Care Information Diabetes, National Records Scotland, Prescription Information System).

Results

Between December 2013 and February 2017, 548 eligible patients were approached and 445 participants were enrolled in the study. Of those, 335 had bariatric surgery and 1 withdrew from the study. Mean age was 46.0 (9.2) years, 74.7% were female and the median body mass index was 46.4 (42.4; 52.0) kg/m2. Weight was available for 128 participants at 3 years: mean change was -19.0% (±14.1) from the operation and -24.2% (±12.8) from the start of the preoperative weight-management programme. One hundred and thirty-nine (41.4%) participants were readmitted to hospital in the same or subsequent 35 months post surgery, 18 (5.4% of the operated cohort) had a reoperation or procedure considered to be related to bariatric surgery gastrointestinal complications or revisions. Fewer than five participants (<2%) died during follow-up. HbA1c was available for 93/182 and diabetes medications for 139/182 participants who had type 2 diabetes prior to surgery; HbA1c mean change was -5.72 (±16.71) (p = 0.001) mmol/mol and 65.5% required no diabetes medications (p < 0.001) at 3 years post surgery. Physical quality of life, available for 101/335 participants, improved in the 3 years post surgery, mean change in Rand 12-item Short Form Survey physical component score 8.32 (±8.95) (p < 0.001); however, there was no change in the prevalence of anxiety or depression.

Limitations

Due to low numbers of bariatric surgery procedures in Scotland, recruitment was stopped before achieving the intended 2000 participants and follow-up was reduced from 10 years to 3 years.

Conclusions

Bariatric surgery is a safe and effective treatment for obesity. Patients in Scotland, UK, appear to be older and have higher body mass than international comparators, which may be due to the small number of procedures performed.

Future work

Intervention studies are required to identify the optimal pre- and post surgery pathway to maximise safety and cost-effectiveness.

Study registration

This study is registered as ISRCTN47072588.

Funding details

This award was funded by the National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment programme (NIHR award ref: 10/42/02) and is published in full in Health Technology Assessment; Vol. 28, No. 7. See the NIHR Funding and Awards website for further award information.

Estimated glucose disposal rate and risk of arterial stiffness and long-term all-acuse mortality: a 10-year prospective study

BACKGROUND

To assess the applicability of the association between estimated glucose disposal rate (eGDR) and all-cause mortality in the elderly population, and the mediating role of brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV).

METHODS

This was a follow-up cohort study based on the cross-sectional survey of community-dwelling elderly. All participants in the study were included between September 2009 and June 2010, and the follow-up time was December 2020. Participants included 1862 Chinese community-dwelling elderly aged 60 years and above. Insulin resistance assessed by eGDR and arterial stiffness assessed by baPWV were the primary exposures of interest. Mortality, which was followed up until December 2020, was the primary outcome. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate the association of eGDR with mortality. The mediating effect of baPWV in this association was assessed by mediation analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 1826 participants with a mean age of 71.03 years old were included in the study. During the median follow-up of 10.75 years, 334 participants died. The adjusted HR comparing the highest versus the lowest eGDR quartile was 0.22 (95% CI 0.09 to 0.54; p<0.001) in the Cox proportional hazards model. The results of mediation analysis showed that baPWV had a significant mediation impact on the link between eGDR and all-cause mortality both as continuous or categorical variables.

CONCLUSION

eGDR is an independent predictor of all-cause mortality in the elderly population. baPWV partially mediated the association of eGDR and long-term all-cause mortality as a mediator factor.

Cross-sectional study of the associations between circulating vitamin D concentrations and insulin resistance in children aged 9-10 years of South Asian, black African Caribbean and white European origins

BACKGROUND

Lower circulating vitamin D 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) concentrations are associated with higher type 2 diabetes risk in adults, although causality remains uncertain. However, associations between 25(OH)D and type 2 diabetes risk markers in children have been little studied, particularly in ethnic minority populations. We examined whether 25(OH)D concentrations were associated with insulin resistance in children and whether lower 25(OH)D concentrations in South Asians and black African Caribbeans could contribute to their higher insulin resistance.

METHODS

Cross-sectional study of 4650 UK primary school children aged 9-10 years of predominantly South Asian, black African Caribbean and white European ethnicity. Children had fasting blood measurements of circulating 25(OH)D metabolite concentrations, insulin and glucose.

RESULTS

Lower 25(OH)D concentrations were observed in girls, South Asians and black African Caribbeans. In analyses adjusted for age, sex, month, ethnic group and school, circulating 25(OH)D was inversely associated with fasting insulin (-0.38%, 95% CI -0.49% to -0.27%), homoeostasis model assessment (HOMA) insulin resistance (-0.39%, 95% CI -0.50% to -0.28%) and fasting glucose (-0.03%, 95% CI -0.05% to -0.02%) per nmol/L increase in 25(OH)D; associations did not differ between ethnic groups. Ethnic differences in fasting insulin and HOMA insulin resistance (higher among South Asian and black African Caribbeans) were reduced by >40% after adjustment for circulating 25(OH)D concentrations.

CONCLUSION

Circulating vitamin D was inversely associated with insulin resistance in all ethnic groups; higher insulin resistance in South Asian and black African children were partly explained by their lower vitamin D levels. Whether vitamin D supplementation can reduce emerging type 2 diabetes risk needs further evaluation.

Clinical care pathway to detect advanced liver disease in patients with type 2 diabetes through automated fibrosis score calculation and electronic reminder messages: a randomised controlled trial

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to test the hypothesis that automated fibrosis score calculation and electronic reminder messages could increase the detection of advanced liver disease in patients with type 2 diabetes.

DESIGN

In this pragmatic randomised controlled trial at five general medical or diabetes clinics in Hong Kong and Malaysia, we randomly assigned patients in a 1:1 ratio to the intervention group with Fibrosis-4 index and aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index automatically calculated based on routine blood tests, followed by electronic reminder messages to alert clinicians of abnormal results, or the control group with usual care. The primary outcome was the proportion of patients with increased fibrosis scores who received appropriate care (referred for hepatology care or specific fibrosis assessment) within 1 year.

RESULTS

Between May 2020 and Oct 2021, 1379 patients were screened, of whom 533 and 528 were assigned to the intervention and control groups, respectively. A total of 55 out of 165 (33.3%) patients with increased fibrosis scores in the intervention group received appropriate care, compared with 4 of 131 (3.1%) patients in the control group (difference 30.2% (95% CI 22.4% to 38%); p<0.001). Overall, 11 out of 533 (2.1%) patients in the intervention group and 1 out of 528 (0.2%) patients in the control group were confirmed to have advanced liver disease (difference 1.9% (95% CI 0.61% to 3.5%); p=0.006).

CONCLUSION

Automated fibrosis score calculation and electronic reminders can increase referral of patients with type 2 diabetes and abnormal fibrosis scores at non-hepatology settings.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT04241575.

Global prevalence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in type 2 diabetes mellitus: an updated systematic review and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the leading cause of chronic liver disease, with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) as a major predictor. Insulin resistance and chronic inflammation are key pathways in the pathogenesis of T2DM leading to NAFLD and vice versa, with the synergistic effect of NAFLD and T2DM increasing morbidity and mortality risks. This meta-analysis aims to quantify the prevalence of NAFLD and the prevalence of clinically significant and advanced fibrosis in people with T2DM.

METHODS

MEDLINE and Embase databases were searched from inception until 13 February 2023. The primary outcomes were the prevalence of NAFLD, non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) and fibrosis in people with T2DM. A generalised linear mixed model with Clopper-Pearson intervals was used for the analysis of proportions with sensitivity analysis conducted to explore heterogeneity between studies.

RESULTS

156 studies met the inclusion criteria, and a pooled analysis of 1 832 125 patients determined that the prevalence rates of NAFLD and NASH in T2DM were 65.04% (95% CI 61.79% to 68.15%, I2=99.90%) and 31.55% (95% CI 17.12% to 50.70%, I2=97.70%), respectively. 35.54% (95% CI 19.56% to 55.56%, I2=100.00%) of individuals with T2DM with NAFLD had clinically significant fibrosis (F2-F4), while 14.95% (95% CI 11.03% to 19.95%, I2=99.00%) had advanced fibrosis (F3-F4).

CONCLUSION

This study determined a high prevalence of NAFLD, NASH and fibrosis in people with T2DM. Increased efforts are required to prevent T2DM to combat the rising burden of NAFLD.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42022360251.

Timing of energy intake and the therapeutic potential of intermittent fasting and time-restricted eating in NAFLD

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) represents a major public health concern and is associated with a substantial global burden of liver-related and cardiovascular-related morbidity and mortality. High total energy intake coupled with unhealthy consumption of ultra-processed foods and saturated fats have long been regarded as major dietary drivers of NAFLD. However, there is an accumulating body of evidence demonstrating that the timing of energy intake across a the day is also an important determinant of individual risk for NAFLD and associated metabolic conditions. This review summarises the available observational and epidemiological data describing associations between eating patterns and metabolic disease, including the negative effects of irregular meal patterns, skipping breakfast and night-time eating on liver health. We suggest that that these harmful behaviours deserve greater consideration in the risk stratification and management of patients with NAFLD particularly in a 24-hour society with continuous availability of food and with up to 20% of the population now engaged in shiftwork with mistimed eating patterns. We also draw on studies reporting the liver-specific impact of Ramadan, which represents a unique real-world opportunity to explore the physiological impact of fasting. By highlighting data from preclinical and pilot human studies, we present a further biological rationale for manipulating timing of energy intake to improve metabolic health and discuss how this may be mediated through restoration of natural circadian rhythms. Lastly, we comprehensively review the landscape of human trials of intermittent fasting and time-restricted eating in metabolic disease and offer a look to the future about how these dietary strategies may benefit patients with NAFLD and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis.

Sex differences in the association between diabetes and depressive symptoms: findings from Mexican National Health and Nutrition Survey 2018-2019

AIMS

We set out to investigate the potential sex differences in the association between diabetes and depressive symptoms by conducting an interaction analysis, and to investigate whether sex mediates the effect of diabetes on depressive symptoms.

METHODS

We conducted analyses on cross-sectional data of adults aged 20 years or older in the Mexican National Health and Nutrition Survey 2018-2019 (ENSANUT 2018-2019). Diabetes was defined by self-reported medical diagnosis, and depressive symptoms were measured using the seven-item Centre for Epidemiologic Studies Depression scale. First, an unadjusted interaction analysis was conducted. Second, the inverse probability of treatment weighting was applied to account for imbalances and biases. Third, the four-way decomposition method was used to estimate the potential mediating effect of sex.

RESULTS

In the study population (N=43 074), the prevalence of diabetes was 9.3% for men and 11.7% for women. Depressive symptoms were more prevalent in women (19.0%) than in men (9.5%). Women with diabetes had the greatest odds of having depressive symptoms, compared with men without diabetes (ORwomen-diabetes3.49 (95% CI: 3.16 to 3.86)). The interaction analysis indicated that diabetes and sex interact on both, multiplicative and additive scales (ratio of ORs (95% CI) 1.22 (1.02 to 1.45), and relative excess risk due to interaction (95% CI) 0.99 (0.63 to 1.36)). The four-way decomposition analysis showed that the interaction effect between diabetes and sex is larger than the mediation effect.

CONCLUSIONS

We found a positive interaction between diabetes and sex in the odds of having depressive symptoms. Mental health and diabetes care services planning would benefit from adopting a sex-informed approach.

Impact of primary care usual provider type and provider interdependence on outcomes for patients with diabetes: a cohort study

BACKGROUND

Interprofessional primary care (PC) teams are key to the provision of high-quality care. PC providers often 'share' patients (eg, a patient may see multiple providers in the same clinic), resulting in between-visit interdependence between providers. However, concern remains that PC provider interdependence will reduce quality of care, causing some organisations to hesitate in creating multiple provider teams. If PC provider teams are formalised, the PC usual provider of care (UPC) type (physician, nurse practitioner (NP) or physician assistant/associate (PA)) should be determined for patients with varying levels of medical complexity.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the impact of PC provider interdependence, UPC type and patient complexity on diabetes-specific outcomes for adult patients with diabetes.

DESIGN

Cohort study using electronic health record data from 26 PC practices in central North Carolina, USA.

PARTICIPANTS

Adult patients with diabetes (N=10 498) who received PC in 2016 and 2017.

OUTCOME

Testing for diabetes control, testing for lipid levels, mean glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) values and mean low-density lipoprotein (LDL) values in 2017.

RESULTS

Receipt of guideline recommended testing was high (72% for HbA1c and 66% for LDL testing), HbA1c values were 7.5% and LDL values were 88.5 mg/dL. When controlling for a range of patient and panel level variables, increases in PC provider interdependence were not significantly associated with diabetes-specific outcomes. Similarly, there were no significant differences in the diabetes outcomes for patients with NP/PA UPCs when compared with physicians. The number and type of a patient's chronic conditions did impact the receipt of testing, but not average values for HbA1c and LDL.

CONCLUSIONS

A range of UPC types on PC multiple provider teams can deliver guideline-recommended diabetes care. However, the number and type of a patient's chronic conditions alone impacted the receipt of testing, but not average values for HbA1c and LDL.

Improving the efficiency of virtual insulin teaching for patients admitted to hospital through the COVID-19 pandemic: a quality improvement initiative

BACKGROUND

Throughout the COVID-19 pandemic, many areas of medicine transitioned to virtual care. For patients with diabetes admitted to hospital, this included diabetes education and insulin teaching. Shifting to a virtual model of insulin teaching created new challenges for inpatient certified diabetes educators (CDE).

OBJECTIVE

We advanced a quality improvement project to improve the efficiency of safe and effective virtual insulin teaching throughout the COVID-19 pandemic. Our primary aim was to reduce the mean time between CDE referral to successful inpatient insulin teach by 0.5 days.

DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS

We conducted this initiative at two large academic hospitals between April 2020 and September 2021. We included all admitted patients with diabetes who were referred to our CDE for inpatient insulin teaching and education.

INTERVENTION

Alongside a multidisciplinary team of project stakeholders, we created and studied a CDE-led, virtual (video conference or telephone) insulin teaching programme. As tests of change, we added a streamlined method to deliver insulin pens to the ward for patient teaching, created a new electronic order set and included patient-care facilitators in the scheduling process.

MAIN OUTCOME AND MEASURES

Our main outcome measure was the mean time between CDE referral and successful insulin teach-back. Our process measure was the percentage of successful insulin pen deliveries to the ward for teaching. As balance measures, we captured the percentage of patients with a successful insulin teach, the time between insulin teach and hospital discharge, and readmissions to hospital for diabetes-related complications.

RESULTS

Our tests of change improved the efficiency of safe and effective virtual insulin teaching by 0.27 days. The virtual model appeared less efficient than usual in-person care.

CONCLUSIONS

In our centre, virtual insulin teaching supported patients admitted to hospital through the pandemic. Improving the administrative efficiency of virtual models and leveraging key stakeholders remain important for long-term sustainability.

Improving type 2 diabetes mellitus management in Ministry of Defense Hospitals in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia 2018-2021

Diabetes mellitus is a metabolic disease characterised by elevated levels of blood glucose and is a leading cause of disability and mortality. Uncontrolled type 2 diabetes leads to complications such as retinopathy, nephropathy and neuropathy. Improved treatment of hyperglycaemia is likely to delay the onset and progression of microvascular and neuropathic complications.This article describes the efforts of 18 governmental hospitals in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia that enrolled in a collaborative improvement project to improve the poor glycaemic control (HbA1c >9% to be less than 15%) of patients with diabetes by the end of 2021 among all the chronic illness clinics in the enrolled military hospitals. Enrolled hospitals were required to implement an evidence-based change package that included the implementation of diabetes clinical practice guidelines with standardised assessment and care planning tools. Furthermore, care delivery was standardised using a standard clinic scope of service that focused on multidisciplinary care teams. Finally, hospitals were required to implement diabetes registries that were used by case managers for poorly controlled patients.The project timetable was from October 2018 to December 2021. Diabetes poor control (HbA1c >9%) showed improved mean difference of 12.7% (34.9% baseline, 22.2% after) with a p value of 0.01. Diabetes optimal testing significantly improved from 41% at the start of the project in the fourth quarter of 2018, reaching 78% by the end of the fourth quarter of 2021. Variation between hospitals showed a significant reduction in the first quarter of 2021.The collaborative multilevel approach of standardising the care based on the best available evidence through policies, guidelines and protocols, patient-focused care and integrated care plan by a multidisciplinary team was associated with noticeable improvement in all key performance indicators of the project.

Hip Fracture Risk Assessment in Elderly and Diabetic Patients: Combining Autonomous Finite Element Analysis and Machine Learning

Autonomous finite element analyses (AFE) based on CT scans predict the biomechanical response of femurs during stance and sidewise fall positions. We combine AFE with patient data via a machine learning (ML) algorithm to predict the risk of hip fracture. An opportunistic retrospective clinical study of CT scans is presented, aimed at developing a ML algorithm with AFE for hip fracture risk assessment in type 2 diabetic mellitus (T2DM) and non-T2DM patients. Abdominal/pelvis CT scans of patients who experienced a hip fracture within 2 years after an index CT scan were retrieved from a tertiary medical center database. A control group of patients without a known hip fracture for at least 5 years after an index CT scan was retrieved. Scans belonging to patients with/without T2DM were identified from coded diagnoses. All femurs underwent an AFE under three physiological loads. AFE results, patient's age, weight, and height were input to the ML algorithm (support vector machine [SVM]), trained by 80% of the known fracture outcomes, with cross-validation, and verified by the other 20%. In total, 45% of available abdominal/pelvic CT scans were appropriate for AFE (at least 1/4 of the proximal femur was visible in the scan). The AFE success rate in automatically analyzing CT scans was 91%: 836 femurs we successfully analyzed, and the results were processed by the SVM algorithm. A total of 282 T2DM femurs (118 intact and 164 fractured) and 554 non-T2DM (314 intact and 240 fractured) were identified. Among T2DM patients, the outcome was: Sensitivity 92%, Specificity 88% (cross-validation area under the curve [AUC] 0.92) and for the non-T2DM patients: Sensitivity 83%, Specificity 84% (cross-validation AUC 0.84). Combining AFE data with a ML algorithm provides an unprecedented prediction accuracy for the risk of hip fracture in T2DM and non-T2DM populations. The fully autonomous algorithm can be applied as an opportunistic process for hip fracture risk assessment. © 2023 The Authors. Journal of Bone and Mineral Research published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Society for Bone and Mineral Research (ASBMR).

Perioperative variable rate intravenous insulin infusion: a quality improvement project on a vascular surgery ward

AIMS

Variable rate intravenous insulin infusion (VRIII) is used perioperatively to maintain normoglycaemia in patients with diabetes who are undergoing surgery. The aims of this project were as follows: (1) to audit the extent to which perioperative prescribing of VRIII for diabetic vascular surgery inpatients at our hospital meets established standards and (2) to use the results of the audit to guide improvement in the quality and safety of prescribing practices and reduce VRIII overuse.

METHODS

Vascular surgery inpatients who had perioperative VRIII were included in the audit. Baseline data were collected consecutively from September to November 2021. There were three main interventions: a VRIII Prescribing Checklist, education of junior doctors and ward staff, and electronic prescribing system updates. Postintervention and reaudit data were collected consecutively from March to June 2022.

RESULTS

The number of VRIII prescriptions totalled 27 in preintervention, 18 in postintervention and 26 in reaudit periods. Prescribers used the 'refer to paper chart' safety check more frequently postintervention (67%) and on reaudit (77%) compared with preintervention (33%) (p=0.046). Rescue medication was prescribed in 50% of postintervention and 65% of reaudit cases compared with 0% preintervention (p<0.001). Intermediate/long-acting insulin was appropriately amended more often in the postintervention versus preintervention period (75% vs 45%, p=0.041). Overall, VRIII was appropriate for the situation in 85% of cases.

CONCLUSIONS

The quality of perioperative VRIII prescribing practices improved following the proposed interventions, with prescribers more frequently using recommended safety measures such as 'refer to paper chart' and rescue medication. There was a marked sustained improvement in prescriber-initiated adjustment of oral diabetes medications and insulins. VRIII is occasionally administered unnecessarily in a subset of patients with type 2 diabetes and may be an area for further study.

Social deprivation does not impact on acute pancreatitis severity and mortality: a single-centre study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The incidence of acute pancreatitis (AP) is increasing in the UK. Patients with severe AP require a significant amount of resources to support them during their admission. The ability to predict which patients will develop multiorgan dysfunction remains poor leading to a delay in the identification of these patients and a window of opportunity for early intervention is missed. Social deprivation has been linked with increased mortality across surgical specialties. Its role in predicting mortality in patients with AP remains unclear but would allow high-risk patients to be identified early and to focus resources on high-risk populations.

METHODS

A prospectively collected single-centre database was analysed. English Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD) was calculated based on postcode. Patients were grouped according to their English IMD quintile. Outcomes measured included all-cause mortality, Intestive care unit (ITU) admission, overall length of stay (LOS) and local pancreatitis-specific complications.

RESULTS

398 patients with AP between 2018 and 2021 were identified. There were significantly more patients with AP in Q1 (IMD 1-2) compared with Q5 (IMD 9-10) (156 vs 38, p<0.001). Patients who were resident in the most deprived areas were significantly younger (52.4 in Q1 vs 65.2 in Q5, p<0.001), and more often smokers (39.1% in Q1 vs 23.7% in Q5, p=0.044) with IHD (95.0% vs 92.1% in Q5, p<0.001). In multivariate modelling, there was no significance difference in pancreatitis-related complications, number of ITU visits, number of organs supported and overall, LOS by IMD quintile.

CONCLUSIONS

Although there was a significantly higher number of patients admitted to our unit with AP from the most socially deprived quintiles, there was no correlation between social economic deprivation and mortality following AP.

New case of syncytial giant-cell variant of hepatocellular carcinoma in a pediatric patient with HNF1B deficiency: does it fit with the syndrome?

BACKGROUND

Hepatocyte nuclear factor 1B (HNF1B) is a member of the homeodomain-containing family of transcription factors located on 17q12. HNF1B deficiency is associated with a clinical syndrome (kidney and urogenital malformations, maturity-onset diabetes of the young, exocrine pancreatic insufficiency) and to an underdiagnosed liver involvement. Differently from HNF1A, the correlation between hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and germline HNF1B deficiency has been poorly evaluated.

CASE REPORT

Here, we report a novel case of a syndromic HNF1B-deficient paediatric patient that developed HCC with unique histopathological features characterised by neoplastic syncytial giant cells, which was observed only in one additional case of paediatric cholestatic liver disease of unknown origin.

CONCLUSIONS

Our case highlights the influence of HNF1B deficiency in liver disease progression and its putative association with a rare yet specific HCC histotype. We hypothesised that HCC could be secondary to the repressive effect of HNF1B variant on the HNF1A transcriptional activity.

Prediction models of diabetes complications: a scoping review

BACKGROUND

Diabetes often places a large burden on people with diabetes (hereafter 'patients') and the society, that is, in part attributable to its complications. However, evidence from models predicting diabetes complications in patients remains unclear. With the collaboration of patient partners, we aimed to describe existing prediction models of physical and mental health complications of diabetes.

METHODS

Building on existing frameworks, we systematically searched for studies in Ovid-Medline and Embase. We included studies describing prognostic prediction models that used data from patients with pre-diabetes or any type of diabetes, published between 2000 and 2020. Independent reviewers screened articles, extracted data and narratively synthesised findings using established reporting standards.

RESULTS

Overall, 78 studies reported 260 risk prediction models of cardiovascular complications (n=42 studies), mortality (n=16), kidney complications (n=14), eye complications (n=10), hypoglycaemia (n=8), nerve complications (n=3), cancer (n=2), fracture (n=2) and dementia (n=1). Prevalent complications deemed important by patients such as amputation and mental health were poorly or not at all represented. Studies primarily analysed data from older people with type 2 diabetes (n=54), with little focus on pre-diabetes (n=0), type 1 diabetes (n=8), younger (n=1) and racialised people (n=10). Per complication, predictors vary substantially between models. Studies with details of calibration and discrimination mostly exhibited good model performance.

CONCLUSION

This rigorous knowledge synthesis provides evidence of gaps in the landscape of diabetes complication prediction models. Future studies should address unmet needs for analyses of complications n> and among patient groups currently under-represented in the literature and should consistently report relevant statistics. SCOPING REVIEW REGISTRATION: https://osf.io/fjubt/.

Managing inoperable pancreatic cancer: the role of the pancreaticobiliary physician

Despite our understanding of pancreatic cancer (PC), the majority of patients with this disease are incurable. Both the incidence and mortality rates for PC have increased over the last decade. At diagnosis, the majority of patients have locally advanced PC, less than 20% of patients are eligible for potentially curative resection and approximately one-third have metastatic disease. The combination of frequent advanced presentation, low resection rates and poor responses to chemotherapy make PC one of the most lethal tumours. The treatment goals are to maintain local control, manage tumour-related morbidities and improve quality of life. Patients with inoperable PC are likely to experience significant symptoms associated with their tumour, including pancreatic insufficiency, nutritional deficiencies, pain, biliary obstruction, gastric outlet obstruction and diabetes. As a result, guidance on the management of patients with inoperable PC is critical. PC is commonly referred centrally to specialist centres particularly for surgery; however, the majority do not undergo surgical intervention and thus the importance of pancreaticobiliary physicians and endoscopists. This review will focus on the non-operative management of patients with unresectable pancreatic adenocarcinoma and review some of the issues that centralisation has contributed to.

Treatment gaps, 1-year readmission and mortality following myocardial infarction by diabetes status, sex and socioeconomic disadvantage

AIMS

We evaluated variation in treatment for, and outcomes following, myocardial infarction (MI) by diabetes status, sex and socioeconomic disadvantage.

METHODS

We included all people aged ≥30 years who were discharged alive from hospital following MI between 1 July 2012 and 30 June 2017 in Victoria, Australia (n=43 272). We assessed receipt of inpatient procedures and discharge dispensing of cardioprotective medications for each admission, as well as 1-year all-cause, cardiovascular, and MI readmission rates and 1-year all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

Risk of all-cause (HR: 1.22 (1.19-1.26)), cardiovascular (1.29 (1.25-1.34)), MI (1.52 (1.43-1.62)) and heart failure readmission (1.62 (1.50-1.75)) and mortality (1.18 (1.11-1.26)) were higher in people with diabetes. Males and people in more disadvantaged areas were at increased risk of readmission and mortality following MI. People with diabetes (vs without) were more likely to receive coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) but less likely to receive percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) during, or within 30 days of, their index admission. Females were less likely to receive either (eg, 87% of males with a STEMI received PCI or CABG vs 70% of females), and people in more disadvantaged areas were less likely to receive PCI. People with diabetes, males and people in more disadvantaged areas were more likely to be dispensed cardioprotective medications at or within 90 days of discharge.

CONCLUSIONS

Following an MI, people with diabetes and males had poorer outcomes but received more intensive cardiovascular treatments. However, socioeconomic disadvantage was associated with both less intensive inpatient treatment and poorer outcomes.

Circulating Sclerostin Levels Are Positively Related to Coronary Artery Disease Severity and Related Risk Factors

Romosozumab is a newly available treatment for osteoporosis acting by sclerostin inhibition. Its cardiovascular safety has been questioned after finding excess cardiovascular disease (CVD)-related events in a pivotal phase 3 trial. Previous studies of relationships between circulating sclerostin levels and CVD and associated risk factors have yielded conflicting findings, likely reflecting small numbers and selected patient groups. We aimed to characterize relationships between sclerostin and CVD and related risk factors in more detail by examining these in two large cohorts, Ludwigshafen Risk and Cardiovascular Health study (LURIC; 34% female, mean age 63.0 years) and Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children study (ALSPAC) mothers (mean age 48.1 years). Together these provided 5069 participants with complete data. Relationships between sclerostin and CVD risk factors were meta-analyzed, adjusted for age, sex (LURIC), body mass index, smoking, social deprivation, and ethnicity (ALSPAC). Higher sclerostin levels were associated with higher risk of diabetes mellitus (DM) (odds ratio [OR] = 1.25; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.12, 1.37), risk of elevated fasting glucose (OR 1.15; CI 1.04, 1.26), and triglyceride levels (β 0.03; CI 0.00, 0.06). Conversely, higher sclerostin was associated with lower estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) (β -0.20; CI -0.38, -0.02), HDL cholesterol (β -0.05; CI -0.10, -0.01), and apolipoprotein A-I (β -0.05; CI -0.08, -0.02) (difference in mean SD per SD increase in sclerostin, with 95% CI). In LURIC, higher sclerostin was associated with an increased risk of death from cardiac disease during follow-up (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.13; 1.03, 1.23) and with severity of coronary artery disease on angiogram as reflected by Friesinger score (0.05; 0.01, 0.09). Associations with cardiac mortality and coronary artery severity were partially attenuated after adjustment for risk factors potentially related to sclerostin, namely LDL and HDL cholesterol, log triglycerides, DM, hypertension, eGFR, and apolipoprotein A-I. Contrary to trial evidence suggesting sclerostin inhibition leads to an increased risk of CVD, sclerostin levels appear to be positively associated with coronary artery disease severity and mortality, partly explained by a relationship between higher sclerostin levels and major CVD risk factors. © 2021 The Authors. Journal of Bone and Mineral Research published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Society for Bone and Mineral Research (ASBMR).

Gestational diabetes in Germany: Development of screening participation and prevalence

Gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) is an important risk factor for pregnancy complications. Since 2012, the Federal Joint Committee's maternity directive recommends a two-step screening for GDM with a pre-test and subsequent diagnostic test if the pre-test is positive. This study analyses the implementation and development over time of GDM screening participation and prevalence in Germany. The data basis is the external inpatient obstetrics quality assurance documentation, which covers all births in hospital. Women with diabetes before pregnancy were excluded. The study defined women as GDM cases if the condition was documented in maternity records or if the ICD-10 diagnosis O24.4 was coded for inpatients at discharge and figures were determined for the years 2013 to 2018. As the documentation of screening tests has only been included in the data set since 2016, screening participation for the years 2016 to 2018 were estimated and evaluated based on the pre-test and/or diagnostic tests documented in maternity records. In 2018, the majority of all women who gave birth in hospitals had had a pre-test conducted (65.0%) or a pre-test and diagnostic test (18.2%) in line with the two-step procedure. A further 6.7% received a diagnostic test alone. GDM screening participation increased over time from 83.4% in 2016 to 89.9% in 2018. The prevalence of a documented GDM increased from 4.6% to 6.8% between 2013 and 2018. In 2018, this equates to 51,318 women with GDM. Reliably assessing the extent and causes of this development will require continuous analyses of screening implementation, documentation and changes in maternal risk factors.

Diabetes mellitus and comorbidities - A cross-sectional study with control group based on nationwide ambulatory claims data

As a condition, diabetes mellitus is associated with risk factors and diseases such as obesity. At the same time, cardiovascular diseases are a frequent consequence of diabetes. There have yet to be any findings on the Germany-wide prevalence of diabetes and diabetes comorbidities based on statutory health insurance data. This study estimates the documented prevalence of diabetes in 2019 on the basis of all ambulatory physicians' claims data of German statutory health insurance. In addition, the prevalence of obesity, high blood pressure, coronary heart disease, heart failure, stroke and depression is calculated for diabetes and non-diabetes patients, and the prevalence ratio (PR) is determined as a quotient. The approach used was a case-control design, which assigns a control person without diabetes to each diabetes patient who is similar in terms of age, region and sex. In diabetes patients, a PR greater than 1 was observed for all examined diseases across all age groups, thus demonstrating a higher prevalence compared to persons without diabetes. The highest PR across all age groups for women (3.8) and men (3.7) was found for obesity. In a comparison over time, documented prevalence figures of diabetes in Germany stagnate. With the exception of depression, the documented prevalences of comorbidities correspond well with the prevalences found in population-wide examination surveys.

Momentum and Longevity for Tribally Driven Health Equity Science: Evidence from the Gathering for Health Project

American Indian health disparities have reached crisis levels, and there is a need to develop culturally congruent interventions through meaningful tribal involvement and ethical community-oriented approaches. Hence, it is imperative that researchers and university administrators better understand how research translation occurs for tribally driven health-equity research projects. Utilizing thematic analysis methods, the authors examined documents from a 12-year community-based participatory research partnership to elucidate factors that ignite momentum and support partnership longevity. The overarching finding was that trust and respect provide a foundation for momentum and longevity and are closely intertwined with other themes identified in analyses. Seven themes were extrapolated and classified into two domains: (1) investments, which are catalyzing factors that advance research, and (2) intermediate processes, which link investments to success. Investment themes include Indigenous scholar involvement, time and effort, establishing rapport, and clear and appropriate communication. Intermediate process themes include generative colearning, active participation, and recognition and celebration. Community-based participatory research principles were reflected in these findings. This study also upholds prior published work on Indigenous research methodologies, promotes the lived experiences of Indigenous people, and contributes to Indigenous theory building and science.

Risk of Diabetes Mellitus in Patients with Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis

OBJECTIVE

To examine the risk of type 1 diabetes (T1D) associated with juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA).

METHODS

Using the IBM MarketScan database, we compared JIA patients with asthma patients and healthy individuals for the risk of incident T1D.

RESULTS

We included patients with 15,210 JIA, 76,050 patients with asthma, and 76,050 healthy individuals matched 1:5 on age, sex, and index date. After adjustment for confounders, the multivariable HR of T1D associated with JIA was 1.48 (95% CI 0.86-2.56) versus asthma and 1.81 (95% CI 1.03-3.17) versus healthy individuals.

CONCLUSION

JIA appears to be associated with an increased risk of T1D compared to patients with asthma and healthy children.

Glycemic Control and Insulin Treatment Alter Fracture Risk in Older Men With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus

Diabetes mellitus among older men has been associated with increased bone mineral density but paradoxically increased fracture risk. Given the interactions among medication treatment, glycemic control, and diabetes-associated comorbidities, the relative effects of each factor remains unclear. This retrospective study includes 652,901 male veterans aged ≥65 years with diabetes and baseline hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) value. All subjects received primary care in the Veterans Health Administration (VHA) from 2000 to 2010. Administrative data included ICD9 diagnoses and pharmacy records and was linked to Medicare fee-for-service data. Hazard ratios (HR) for any clinical fracture and hip fracture were calculated using competing risk hazards models, adjusted for fracture risk factors including age, race/ethnicity, body mass index (BMI), alcohol and tobacco use, rheumatoid arthritis, corticosteroid use, as well as diabetes-related comorbidities including cardiovascular disease, chronic kidney disease, and peripheral neuropathy. HbA1c <6.5% was associated with a higher risk of any clinical fracture (HR = 1.08, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.06-1.11) compared with the reference HbA1c of 7.5% to 8.5%. Fracture risk was not increased among those with A1c ≥8.5%, nor among those with A1c 6.5% to 7.5%. Use of insulin was independently associated with greater risk of fracture (HR = 1.10, 95% CI 1.07-1.12). There was a significant interaction between insulin use and HbA1c level, (p < 0.001), such that those using insulin with HbA1c <6.5% had HR = 1.23 and those with HbA1c 6.5% to 7.5% had HR = 1.15. Metformin use was associated with decreased fracture risk (HR = 0.88, 95% CI 0.87-0.90). We conclude that among older men with diabetes, those with HbA1c lower than 6.5% are at increased risk for any clinical and hip fracture. Insulin use is associated with higher fracture risk, especially among those with tight glycemic control. Our findings demonstrate the importance of the treatment regimen and avoiding hypoglycemia for fracture prevention in older men with diabetes. © 2019 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.

Altered Tissue Composition, Microarchitecture, and Mechanical Performance in Cancellous Bone From Men With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus

People with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) have normal-to-high BMDs, but, counterintuitively, have greater fracture risks than people without T2DM, even after accounting for potential confounders like BMI and falls. Therefore, T2DM may alter aspects of bone quality, including material properties or microarchitecture, that increase fragility independently of bone mass. Our objective was to elucidate the factors that influence fragility in T2DM by comparing the material properties, microarchitecture, and mechanical performance of cancellous bone in a clinical population of men with and without T2DM. Cancellous specimens from the femoral neck were collected during total hip arthroplasty (T2DM: n = 31, age = 65 ± 8 years, HbA1c = 7.1 ± 0.9%; non-DM: n = 34, age = 62 ± 9 years, HbA1c = 5.5 ± 0.4%). The T2DM specimens had greater concentrations of the advanced glycation endproduct pentosidine (+ 36%, P < 0.05) and sugars bound to the collagen matrix (+ 42%, P < 0.05) than the non-DM specimens. The T2DM specimens trended toward a greater bone volume fraction (BV/TV) (+ 24%, NS, P = 0.13) and had greater mineral content (+ 7%, P < 0.05) than the non-DM specimens. Regression modeling of the mechanical outcomes revealed competing effects of T2DM on bone mechanical behavior. The trend of higher BV/TV values and the greater mineral content observed in the T2DM specimens increased strength, whereas the greater values of pentosidine in the T2DM group decreased postyield strain and toughness. The long-term medical management and presence of osteoarthritis in these patients may influence these outcomes. Nevertheless, our data indicate a beneficial effect of T2DM on cancellous microarchitecture, but a deleterious effect of T2DM on the collagen matrix. These data suggest that high concentrations of advanced glycation endproducts can increase fragility by reducing the ability of bone to absorb energy before failure, especially for the subset of T2DM patients with low BV/TV. © 2019 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.

Secondary data in diabetes surveillance - co-operation projects and definition of references on the documented prevalence of diabetes

In addition to the Robert Koch Institute's health surveys, analyses of secondary data are essential to successfully developing a regular and comprehensive description of the progression of diabetes as part of the Robert Koch Institute's diabetes surveillance. Mainly, this is due to the large sample size and the fact that secondary data are routinely collected, which allows for highly stratified analyses in short time intervals. The fragmented availability of data means that various sources of secondary data are required in order to provide data for the indicators in the four fields of action for diabetes surveillance. Thus, a milestone in the project was to check the suitability of different data sources for their usability and to carry out analyses. Against this backdrop, co-operation projects were specifically funded in the context of diabetes surveillance. This article presents the results that were achieved in co-operation projects between 2016 and 2018 that focused on a range of topics: from evaluating the usability of secondary data to statistically modelling the development of epidemiological indices. Moreover, based on the data of the around 70 million people covered by statutory health insurance, an initial estimate was calculated for the documented prevalence of type 2 diabetes for the years 2010 and 2011. To comparably integrate these prevalences over the years in diabetes surveillance, a reference definition was established with external expertise.

An international comparison of noncommunicable disease reporting: the case of diabetes mellitus

Against the background of the growing burden associated with diabetes mellitus, the German Federal Ministry of Health commissioned the Robert Koch Institute to develop a national diabetes surveillance. The periodic publication of up-to-date data needed by diverse target audiences (dissemination) to develop subsequent public health measures is a crucial aspect of disease surveillance. The study produced an overview of diabetes surveillance in various countries with the intention of developing a dissemination strategy. This involved a two-stage process beginning with an online survey of public health experts from 46 countries. Structured Internet research was then carried out for countries that did not provide a response (19 out of 46). The majority of countries (38 out of 46; 83%) include diabetes in their health reporting; three quarters (29 out of 38; 77%) of these countries rely on an indicator-based reporting system. The study found that the most common formats used to publish information about diabetes and other noncommunicable diseases were topic-specific reports (24 out of 36; 67%) and national health reports (23 out of 36; 64%), followed by online formats such as websites or databases (20 out of 36; 57%). Moreover, health reporting primarily targets politicians (19 out of 20; 95%) as well as the media and the press (16 out of 20; 80%). The study found that both printed and online publications form part of a comprehensive dissemination strategy, however address different audiences.

Social inequality and diabetes mellitus - developments over time among the adult population in Germany

The connection between social disadvantage and the presence of known diabetes and specific risk factors is well documented. This article summarises the results from the Robert Koch Institute examination surveys that were conducted between 1997 and 1999 as well as 2008 and 2011 to address social inequality – operationalised by level of education – with regard to prevalences of known and unknown diabetes, risk of diabetes and care of diabetes as well as their development over time. Both survey periods showed that the low education group has higher prevalences of known and unkown diabetes as well as a higher risk of developing diabetes within the next five years compared to the medium and high education group. Over time, prevalence tended to increase for known diabetes and to decrease for unknown diabetes for all education groups. For the 5-year diabetes risk, only the high education group showed a clear decrease over time. The chosen indicators of diabetes care indicated no clear differences between education groups and an improvement of diabetes care over time. For some indicators of care (foot examination, statins), improvements were only seen in the low education group. In conclusion, social inequalities in the prevalence of known and unknown diabetes as well as in diabetes risk remain in Germany; for the indicators of care, however, no clear education gradient is evident. Over time, inequality regarding the prevalence of diabetes has not increased further. However, with regard to diabetes risk, inequality has become slightly more evident. For individual care indicators, improvements are limited to specific education groups.

Chronic Kidney Disease Worsens Health Outcomes in Diabetic Patients After Hip Fracture Surgery: An Asian Nationwide Population-Based Cohort Study

There is an increased tendency for hip fractures in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Although surgery is the mainstay of treatment for hip fractures, there is scant information on outcomes after hip fracture surgery in diabetic patients at different stages of CKD. In this population-based cohort study, we compared the surgical outcome, readmission, and mortality rates after osteosynthesis of hip fractures in diabetic patients with different stages of renal function. Diabetic patients who received primary osteosynthesis for hip fracture between January 1997 and December 2013 were enrolled. The primary outcomes were surgical outcomes, including infection and revision surgery. The secondary outcomes were all-cause readmission and mortality. This study included 44,065 patients; 11,954 had CKD (diabetic CKD group), 1662 patients were receiving dialysis (diabetic dialysis group), and 30,449 patients had no CKD (diabetic non-CKD group). We found that the diabetic dialysis group had a significantly higher risk of infection and revision surgery compared with diabetic non-CKD patients (HR = 1.52, 95% CI, 1.24 to 1.87; HR = 1.62, 95% CI, 1.33 to 1.97, respectively, both P < 0.001) and diabetic CKD patients (HR = 1.62, 95% CI, 1.32 to 1.99; HR = 1.48, 95% CI, 1.22 to 1.80, respectively, both P < 0.001). Diabetic CKD patients had a comparable risk of surgical complications including infection and revision as diabetic non-CKD patients. For readmission and mortality, the diabetic dialysis group had the highest risk among the three groups at all time-points (3 months after surgery, 1 year, and the last follow-up, all P < 0.001). Compared with the diabetic non-CKD group, the diabetic CKD group had an elevated risk of readmission and mortality at all time-points (all P < 0.001). In conclusion, CKD was associated with worse outcomes after hip fracture fixation surgery. Although at significantly higher risk of readmission and mortality, CKD patients still had a comparable risk of infection and revision to non-CKD patients. © 2019 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.

High BMI in late adolescence predicts future severe liver disease and hepatocellular carcinoma: a national, population-based cohort study in 1.2 million men

OBJECTIVE

A high body mass index (BMI) is associated with an increased risk for severe liver disease. It is unclear if this risk differs across BMI categories, and if the association is partially attributed to development of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).

DESIGN

We used register data from more than 1.2 million Swedish men enlisted for conscription between 1969 and 1996. Data regarding new events of severe liver disease and T2DM during follow-up were obtained by record-linkage of population-based registers. We used Cox regression to estimate adjusted HRs for future inpatient care and mortality in severe liver disease and incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) across BMI categories, using BMI of 18.5-22.5 kg/m² as reference.

RESULTS

During a follow-up of more than 34 million person-years, 5281 cases of severe liver disease including 251 cases of HCC were identified. An association with severe liver disease was found for overweight (HR 1.49, 95% CI 1.35 to 1.64) and for obese men (HR 2.17, 95% CI 1.82 to 2.59). Development of T2DM further increased the risk for severe liver disease across all BMI categories, for instance, men with obesity and T2DM had a higher risk of severe liver disease (HR 3.28, 95% CI 2.27 to 4.74) than men with obesity free of T2DM (HR 1.72, 95% CI 1.72 to 2.54).

CONCLUSIONS

A high BMI in late adolescent men was associated with an increased risk of future severe liver disease, including HCC. Development of T2DM during follow-up was associated with a further increased risk of severe liver disease, independent of baseline BMI.

First results from the study 'Disease knowledge and information needs - Diabetes mellitus (2017)'

Very little research has been undertaken into what people in Germany know about diabetes, the information they may require about the condition, where they look for such information and how they rate the information currently available. In 2017, the Robert Koch Institute (RKI) carried out a nationwide telephone survey aimed at answering these questions. The study entitled 'Disease knowledge and information needs - Diabetes mellitus (2017)' focused on people aged at least 18 years. A total of 2,327 people without diabetes and 1,479 people with diagnosed diabetes were interviewed for the study. First results show that 56.7% of people without diabetes and 92.8% of those with diabetes rate their knowledge about the condition as 'very good' or 'good'. People without diabetes were found to have the strongest need for information in terms of 'lifestyle changes, health promotion and disease prevention', whereas respondents with diabetes stressed the strongest need for information about 'treatment and therapy'. Almost a third of respondents without diabetes have actively sought information about diabetes at least once, mostly via print media. Patients with diabetes stated that their general practitioner was their most frequent source of information about the condition. In both groups, about half of respondents reported that they found it difficult to judge the trustworthiness of the information published in the media about diabetes. The results of the study form part of the German National Diabetes Surveillance, which is coordinated by the RKI. The data are also intended to be used by the Federal Centre for Health Education to develop a strategy to improve the information provided about diabetes.

Selecting and defining indicators for diabetes surveillance in Germany

Mainly because of the large number of people affected and associated significant health policy implications, the Robert Koch Institute (RKI) is developing a public health surveillance system using diabetes as an example. In a first step to ensure long-term and comparable data collection and establish efficient surveillance structures, the RKI has defined a set of relevant indicators for diabetes surveillance. An extensive review of the available literature followed by a structured process of consensus provided the basis for a harmonised set of 30 core and 10 supplementary indicators. They correspond to the following four fields of activity: (1) reducing diabetes risk, (2) improving diabetes early detection and treatment, (3) reducing diabetes complications, (4) reducing the disease burden and overall costs of the disease. In future, in addition to the primary data provided by RKI health monitoring diabetes surveillance needs to also consider the results from secondary data sources. Currently, barriers to accessing this data remain, which will have to be overcome, and gaps in the data closed. The RKI intentends to continuously update this set of indicators and at some point apply it also to further chronic diseases with high public health relevance.

Prevalence, incidence and mortality of diabetes mellitus in adults in Germany - A review in the framework of the Diabetes Surveillance

Continuous monitoring of the key epidemiological indicators of diabetes is necessary for evaluating the magnitude of diabetes as a public health problem, but is currently not being undertaken in Germany. A comprehensive literature review covering the last decades was conducted to give an overview of population-based studies reporting on diabetes prevalence, diabetes incidence, and diabetes-related mortality among adults in Germany. This review differentiates between known and unknown diabetes, but not between individual types of diabetes. Numerous studies have identified a considerable increase in the prevalence of known diabetes among the adult population over time. Until the 1960s, the prevalence of known diabetes remained below 1%. However, current nationwide estimates for Germany are much higher and range between 7.2% (population aged 18 to 79 years) based on health examination surveys of the Robert Koch Institute (RKI), 8.9% (population aged 18 years and over) based on RKI telephone health interview surveys and 9.9% (among all age groups) based on statutory health insurance data. Few available estimates point to an increase in the incidence of known diabetes since the 1960s. For example, a comparison of data from the diabetes register of the former German Democratic Republic (GDR) in 1960 with current follow-up data from RKI survey participants shows that incidence rates increased from 1.2 (all age groups) to 6.9 (population aged 18 to 79 years) per 1,000 person-years. Data on diabetes-related mortality are also scarce, but indicate that excess mortality persists among people with known diabetes compared to those in the same age group without the condition, despite the finding of decreasing mortality rates among people with known diabetes. For example, the mortality rate based on early data from the GDR diabetes register was 1.9-fold higher among people with known diabetes than among the general population; current mortality follow-up data of RKI survey participants show a 1.7-fold higher mortality rate among people with known diabetes compared to those without the condition. Given the limited data that are currently available and the considerable variation of diagnostic criteria, it is not possible to estimate time trends in the prevalence, incidence or mortality of unknown diabetes. An extension of available health monitoring approaches and an improved use of existing data sources for secondary analysis are needed for a reliable evaluation of dynamics in diabetes epidemiology in Germany. To achieve these goals, a national diabetes surveillance system is currently being established under the auspices of the RKI.

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and its relationship with cardiovascular disease and other extrahepatic diseases

Key physiological functions of the liver, including glucose and lipid metabolism, become disturbed in the setting of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and may be associated with a systemic inflammatory 'milieu' initiated in part by liver-secreted cytokines and molecules. Consequently, the pathophysiological effects of NAFLD extend beyond the liver with a large body of clinical evidence demonstrating NAFLD to be independently associated with both prevalent and incident cardiovascular disease (CVD), chronic kidney disease (CKD) and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). The magnitude of risk of developing these extrahepatic diseases parallels the underlying severity of NAFLD, such that patients with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) appear to be at greater risk of incident CVD, CKD and T2DM than those with simple steatosis. Other modifiers of risk may include genetic variants (eg, patatin-like phospholipase domain-containing 3 and trans-membrane 6 superfamily member 2 polymorphisms), visceral adipose tissue accumulation, dietary intake and the gut microbiome. Emerging data also suggest that NAFLD may be a risk factor for colonic neoplasia and reduced bone mineral density, especially among men. Importantly, improvement/resolution of NAFLD is associated with a reduced incidence of T2DM and improved kidney function, adding weight to causality and suggesting liver focused treatments may reduce risk of extrahepatic complications. Awareness of these associations is important for the clinicians such that CVD risk factor management, screening for T2DM and CKD are part of the routine management of patients with NAFLD.