Prehospital early warning scores for adults with suspected sepsis: the PHEWS observational cohort and decision-analytic modelling study

Background

Guidelines for sepsis recommend treating those at highest risk within 1 hour. The emergency care system can only achieve this if sepsis is recognised and prioritised. Ambulance services can use prehospital early warning scores alongside paramedic diagnostic impression to prioritise patients for treatment or early assessment in the emergency department.

Objectives

To determine the accuracy, impact and cost-effectiveness of using early warning scores alongside paramedic diagnostic impression to identify sepsis requiring urgent treatment.

Design

Retrospective diagnostic cohort study and decision-analytic modelling of operational consequences and cost-effectiveness.

Setting

Two ambulance services and four acute hospitals in England.

Participants

Adults transported to hospital by emergency ambulance, excluding episodes with injury, mental health problems, cardiac arrest, direct transfer to specialist services, or no vital signs recorded.

Interventions

Twenty-one early warning scores used alongside paramedic diagnostic impression, categorised as sepsis, infection, non-specific presentation, or other specific presentation.

Main outcome measures

Proportion of cases prioritised at the four hospitals; diagnostic accuracy for the sepsis-3 definition of sepsis and receiving urgent treatment (primary reference standard); daily number of cases with and without sepsis prioritised at a large and a small hospital; the minimum treatment effect associated with prioritisation at which each strategy would be cost-effective, compared to no prioritisation, assuming willingness to pay £20,000 per quality-adjusted life-year gained.

Results

Data from 95,022 episodes involving 71,204 patients across four hospitals showed that most early warning scores operating at their pre-specified thresholds would prioritise more than 10% of cases when applied to non-specific attendances or all attendances. Data from 12,870 episodes at one hospital identified 348 (2.7%) with the primary reference standard. The National Early Warning Score, version 2 (NEWS2), had the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve when applied only to patients with a paramedic diagnostic impression of sepsis or infection (0.756, 95% confidence interval 0.729 to 0.783) or sepsis alone (0.655, 95% confidence interval 0.63 to 0.68). None of the strategies provided high sensitivity (> 0.8) with acceptable positive predictive value (> 0.15). NEWS2 provided combinations of sensitivity and specificity that were similar or superior to all other early warning scores. Applying NEWS2 to paramedic diagnostic impression of sepsis or infection with thresholds of > 4, > 6 and > 8 respectively provided sensitivities and positive predictive values (95% confidence interval) of 0.522 (0.469 to 0.574) and 0.216 (0.189 to 0.245), 0.447 (0.395 to 0.499) and 0.274 (0.239 to 0.313), and 0.314 (0.268 to 0.365) and 0.333 (confidence interval 0.284 to 0.386). The mortality relative risk reduction from prioritisation at which each strategy would be cost-effective exceeded 0.975 for all strategies analysed.

Limitations

We estimated accuracy using a sample of older patients at one hospital. Reliable evidence was not available to estimate the effectiveness of prioritisation in the decision-analytic modelling.

Conclusions

No strategy is ideal but using NEWS2, in patients with a paramedic diagnostic impression of infection or sepsis could identify one-third to half of sepsis cases without prioritising unmanageable numbers. No other score provided clearly superior accuracy to NEWS2. Research is needed to develop better definition, diagnosis and treatments for sepsis.

Study registration

This study is registered as Research Registry (reference: researchregistry5268).

Funding

This award was funded by the National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment programme (NIHR award ref: 17/136/10) and is published in full in Health Technology Assessment; Vol. 28, No. 16. See the NIHR Funding and Awards website for further award information.

A behaviour change package to prevent hand dermatitis in nurses working in health care: the SCIN cluster RCT

BACKGROUND

Although strategies have been developed to minimise the risk of occupational hand dermatitis in nurses, their clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness remain unclear.

OBJECTIVES

The Skin Care Intervention in Nurses trial tested the hypothesis that a behaviour change package intervention, coupled with provision of hand moisturisers, could reduce the point prevalence of hand dermatitis when compared with standard care among nurses working in the NHS. The secondary aim was to assess the impact of the intervention on participants' beliefs and behaviour regarding hand care, and the cost-effectiveness of the intervention in comparison with normal care.

DESIGN

Cluster randomised controlled trial.

SETTING

Thirty-five NHS hospital trusts/health boards/universities.

PARTICIPANTS

First-year student nurses with a history of atopic tendency, and full-time intensive care unit nurses.

INTERVENTION

Sites were randomly allocated to be 'intervention plus' or 'intervention light'. Participants at 'intervention plus' sites received access to a bespoke online behaviour change package intervention, coupled with personal supplies of moisturising cream (student nurses) and optimal availability of moisturising cream (intensive care unit nurses). Nurses at 'intervention light' sites received usual care, including a dermatitis prevention leaflet.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

The difference between intervention plus and intervention light sites in the change of point prevalence of visible hand dermatitis was measured from images taken at baseline and at follow-up.

RANDOMISATION

Fourteen sites were randomised to the intervention plus arm, and 21 sites were randomised to the intervention light arm.

BLINDING

The participants, trial statistician, methodologist and the dermatologists interpreting the hand photographs were blinded to intervention assignment.

NUMBERS ANALYSED

An intention-to-treat analysis was conducted on data from 845 student nurses and 1111 intensive care unit nurses.

RESULTS

The intention-to-treat analysis showed no evidence that the risk of developing dermatitis was greater in the intervention light group than in the intervention plus group (student nurses: odds ratio 1.25, 95% confidence interval 0.59 to 2.69; intensive care unit nurses: odds ratio 1.41, 95% confidence interval 0.81 to 2.44). Both groups had high levels of baseline beliefs about the benefits of using hand moisturisers before, during and after work. The frequency of use of hand moisturisers before, during and after shifts was significantly higher in the intensive care unit nurses in the intervention plus arm at follow-up than in the comparator group nurses. For student nurses, the intervention plus group mean costs were £2 lower than those for the comparator and 0.00002 more quality-adjusted life-years were gained. For intensive care unit nurses, costs were £4 higher and 0.0016 fewer quality-adjusted life-years were gained.

HARMS

No adverse events were reported.

LIMITATIONS

Only 44.5% of participants in the intervention plus arm accessed the behaviour change package.

CONCLUSION

The intervention did not result in a statistically significant decrease in the prevalence of hand dermatitis in the intervention plus group.

FUTURE WORK

Participants had a high level of baseline beliefs about the importance of using hand moisturisers before, during and after work. Future research should focus on how workplace culture can be changed in order for that knowledge to be actioned.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Current Controlled Trials ISRCTN53303171.

FUNDING

This project was funded by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment programme and will be published in full in Health Technology Assessment; Vol. 23, No. 58. See the NIHR Journals Library website for further project information.

Hypercholesterolemia Interferes with Induction of miR-125b-1-3p in Preconditioned Hearts

Ischemic preconditioning (IPre) reduces ischemia/reperfusion (I/R) injury in the heart. The non-coding microRNA miR-125b-1-3p has been demonstrated to play a role in the mechanism of IPre. Hypercholesterolemia is known to attenuate the cardioprotective effect of preconditioning; nevertheless, the exact underlying mechanisms are not clear. Here we investigated, whether hypercholesterolemia influences the induction of miR-125b-1-3p by IPre. Male Wistar rats were fed with a rodent chow supplemented with 2% cholesterol and 0.25% sodium-cholate hydrate for 8 weeks to induce high blood cholesterol levels. The hearts of normo- and hypercholesterolemic animals were then isolated and perfused according to Langendorff, and were subjected to 35 min global ischemia and 120 min reperfusion with or without IPre (3 × 5 min I/R cycles applied before index ischemia). IPre significantly reduced infarct size in the hearts of normocholesterolemic rats; however, IPre was ineffective in the hearts of hypercholesterolemic animals. Similarly, miR-125b-1-3p was upregulated by IPre in hearts of normocholesterolemic rats, while in the hearts of hypercholesterolemic animals IPre failed to increase miR-125b-1-3p significantly. Phosphorylation of cardiac Akt, ERK, and STAT3 was not significantly different in any of the groups at the end of reperfusion. Based on these results we propose here that hypercholesterolemia attenuates the upregulation of miR-125b-1-3p by IPre, which seems to be associated with the loss of cardioprotection.

Patient Perspectives on DMARD Safety Concerns in Rheumatology Trials: Results from Inflammatory Arthritis Patient Focus Groups and OMERACT Attendees Discussion

OBJECTIVE

The Outcome Measures in Rheumatology (OMERACT) Safety Working Group is identifying core safety domains that matter most to patients with rheumatic disease.

METHODS

International focus groups were held with 39 patients with inflammatory arthritis to identify disease-modifying antirheumatic drug (DMARD) experiences and concerns. Themes were identified by pragmatic thematic coding and discussed in small groups by meeting attendees.

RESULTS

Patients view DMARD side effects as a continuum and consider the cumulative effect on day-to-day function. Disease and drug experiences, personal factors, and life circumstances influence tolerance of side effects and treatment persistence.

CONCLUSION

Patients weigh overall adverse effects and benefits over time in relation to experiences and life circumstances.

Association Between Medications and Herpes Zoster in Japanese Patients with Rheumatoid Arthritis: A 5-year Prospective Cohort Study

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the association between medications and herpes zoster (HZ) in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) given biological disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (bDMARD) or conventional synthetic DMARD in the clinical setting during 5 years using the Registry of Japanese Rheumatoid Arthritis Patients on Biologics for Longterm Safety (REAL) database.

METHODS

We calculated the crude incidence rate (IR) of HZ treated with systemic antiviral medications in 1987 patients from the REAL database. To estimate the association between HZ and medications, a nested case control study was performed with 1:5 case-control pairs matched for age, sex, observation start year, and comorbidity (HZ case group, n = 43; control group, n = 214). We calculated OR and 95% CI of the use of bDMARD, methotrexate (MTX), and corticosteroids for the occurrence of HZ using a conditional logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

The median patient age was 60.0 years, female proportion was 81.5%, and median disease duration was 6.0 years. The crude IR (95% CI) of HZ was 6.66 (4.92-8.83)/1000 person-years. The OR (95% CI) of medication use were 2.28 (1.09-4.76) for tumor necrosis factor inhibitor (TNFi) and 1.13 (1.03-1.23) for oral corticosteroids dosage (per 1 mg prednisolone increment), both of which were significantly elevated. The OR of non-TNFi and MTX usage were not elevated.

CONCLUSION

TNFi use and higher corticosteroids dosage were significantly associated with HZ in Japanese patients with RA in the clinical setting.

The Risk of Deep Venous Thrombosis and Pulmonary Embolism in Primary Sjögren Syndrome: A General Population-based Study

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the future risk and time trends of venous thromboembolism (VTE) in individuals with newly diagnosed primary Sjögren syndrome (pSS) in the general population.

METHODS

Using a population database that includes all residents of British Columbia, Canada, we created a study cohort of all patients with incident SS and up to 10 controls from the general population matched for age, sex, and entry time. We compared incidence rates (IR) of pulmonary embolism (PE), deep vein thrombosis (DVT), and VTE between the 2 groups according to SS disease duration. We calculated HR, adjusting for confounders.

RESULTS

Among 1175 incident pSS cases (mean age 56.7 yrs, 87.6% women), the IR of PE, DVT, and VTE were 3.9, 2.8, and 5.2 per 1000 person-years (PY), respectively; the corresponding rates in the comparison cohort were 0.9, 0.8, and 1.4 per 1000 PY. Compared with non-SS individuals, the multivariable HR for PE, DVT, and VTE among SS cases were 4.07 (95% CI 2.04-8.09), 2.80 (95% CI 1.27-6.17), and 2.92 (95% CI 1.66-5.16), respectively. The HR matched for age, sex, and entry time for VTE, PE, and DVT were highest during the first year after SS diagnosis (8.29, 95% CI 2.57-26.77; 4.72, 95% CI 1.13-19.73; and 7.34, 95% CI 2.80-19.25, respectively).

CONCLUSION

These findings provide population-based evidence that patients with pSS have a substantially increased risk of VTE, especially within the first year after SS diagnosis. Further research into the involvement of monitoring and prevention of VTE in SS may be warranted.

A Meta-Analysis of Trabecular Bone Score in Fracture Risk Prediction and Its Relationship to FRAX

Trabecular bone score (TBS) is a gray-level textural index of bone microarchitecture derived from lumbar spine dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) images. TBS is a bone mineral density (BMD)-independent predictor of fracture risk. The objective of this meta-analysis was to determine whether TBS predicted fracture risk independently of FRAX probability and to examine their combined performance by adjusting the FRAX probability for TBS. We utilized individual-level data from 17,809 men and women in 14 prospective population-based cohorts. Baseline evaluation included TBS and the FRAX risk variables, and outcomes during follow-up (mean 6.7 years) comprised major osteoporotic fractures. The association between TBS, FRAX probabilities, and the risk of fracture was examined using an extension of the Poisson regression model in each cohort and for each sex and expressed as the gradient of risk (GR; hazard ratio per 1 SD change in risk variable in direction of increased risk). FRAX probabilities were adjusted for TBS using an adjustment factor derived from an independent cohort (the Manitoba Bone Density Cohort). Overall, the GR of TBS for major osteoporotic fracture was 1.44 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.35-1.53) when adjusted for age and time since baseline and was similar in men and women (p > 0.10). When additionally adjusted for FRAX 10-year probability of major osteoporotic fracture, TBS remained a significant, independent predictor for fracture (GR = 1.32, 95% CI 1.24-1.41). The adjustment of FRAX probability for TBS resulted in a small increase in the GR (1.76, 95% CI 1.65-1.87 versus 1.70, 95% CI 1.60-1.81). A smaller change in GR for hip fracture was observed (FRAX hip fracture probability GR 2.25 vs. 2.22). TBS is a significant predictor of fracture risk independently of FRAX. The findings support the use of TBS as a potential adjustment for FRAX probability, though the impact of the adjustment remains to be determined in the context of clinical assessment guidelines. © 2015 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.

A comparative study of myocardial molecular phenotypes of two tfr2β null mice: role in ischemia/reperfusion

Transferrin receptor 2 (Tfr2) is an iron-modulator transcribed in two isoforms, Tfr2α and Tfr2β. The latter is expressed in the heart. We obtained two mouse models with silencing of Tfr2β: one with a normal systemic iron amount (SIA), i.e., Tfr2-KI, and the other, i.e., LCKO-KI, with high SIA due to hepatic Tfr2α silencing. We aimed to assess whether Tfr2β might play a role in myocardial injury and whether Tfr2β silencing might modify proteins of iron metabolism, antioxidant, apoptotic, and survival enzyme activities in the heart undergoing ischemia/reperfusion (I/R). Isolated hearts of wild-type (WT) and Tfr2-null mice were studied before or after an I/R protocol, and proteins/RNA analyzed by Western blot and/or quantitative PCR. Tfr2β increased in WT hearts subject to I/R, and both Tfr2β null mice hearts were protected against I/R injury (about 40% smaller infarct-size compared to WT hearts). RISK kinases (ERK1/2-AKT-PKCε) were found up-regulated after I/R in Tfr2-KI, whereas SAFE enzyme (Stat3) and GSK3β resulted phosphorylated during I/R in LCKO-KI hearts. While HO-1 and HIF-2a were high in both Tfr2β-null mice, Catalase, and proapoptotic factors were upregulated only in LCKO-KI. Finally, Tfr2-KI hearts presented an increased Ferritin-H and a decreased Ferroportin1, whereas LCKO-KI hearts displayed an upregulation of Ferritin-L chain and DMT1/Hamp-RNA. In conclusion, Tfr2β isoform is involved in cardiac iron metabolism and its silencing leads to a protected phenotype (antioxidants, RISK, and/or SAFE upregulation) against I/R challenging. Iron-dependent signals involved in cardioprotection seem to be positively affected by Tfr2β downregulation and subsequent Ferritins upregulation.

Breastfeeding and Risk of Rheumatoid Arthritis: A Systematic Review and Metaanalysis

OBJECTIVE

Previous studies have examined the association between breastfeeding and rheumatoid arthritis (RA), but their results were inconsistent. The aim of this study was to perform a metaanalysis to clarify the effect of breastfeeding on RA risk.

METHODS

The PubMed, EMBASE, Chinese National Knowledge Infrastructure, and Wanfang databases were searched for relevant studies published up to September 10, 2014. Data were extracted, and multivariable-adjusted OR with 95% CI were pooled in the random-effects model.

RESULTS

A total of 6 studies were included in the metaanalysis (RA cases: 1672, sample size: 143,670). Overall, an inverse association between breastfeeding and RA was observed (OR 0.675, 95% CI 0.493-0.924, p = 0.014). In the subgroup analysis, decreased RA risk was also found in both breastfeeding 1-12 months (OR 0.783, 95% CI 0.641-0.957, p = 0.015) and breastfeeding > 12 months (OR 0.579, 95% CI 0.462-0.726, p < 0.0005). Sensitivity analysis and cumulative analysis further strengthened the validity of the results. No publication bias was found in this metaanalysis.

CONCLUSION

This metaanalysis suggests that breastfeeding is associated with a lower risk of RA, no matter if breastfeeding time is longer or shorter than 12 months.

Should we abstain from treating women with endometriosis using menopausal hormone therapy, for fear of an increased ovarian cancer risk?

Women suffering from endometriosis often have an early menopause, resulting in severe menopausal symptoms and an increased risk of osteoporosis. They are therefore candidates for menopausal hormone therapy (MHT). Unfortunately, MHT may increase the risk of endometriosis recurrence. Moreover, endometriosis patients are at increased risk of ovarian cancer, which may be further enhanced by MHT use. It is unknown, however, whether MHT more frequently increases type I (low-grade serous tumors), which seem to be increased when endometriosis is present, or type II (the more aggressive high-grade serous) tumors. We propose the following decision-making algorithm for endometriosis patients considering MHT. Those who have been treated with bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy, and in whom there is no residual endometriotic disease, can probably be treated using MHT without risk of endometriosis recurrence or fear of ovarian cancer. For women with significant, residual endometriosis lesions, the benefit may outweigh the risks, when menopause is reached before the age of 45 years or when severe symptoms are present.

How can information on the risk of breast cancer and hormone therapy be better understood?

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate postmenopausal women's knowledge of the risk of breast cancer associated with the use of hormone therapy (HT) and their perception of this risk when presented as a relative risk (RR), absolute risk (AbR) or attributable risk (AR).

METHODS

A cross-sectional study was conducted with 402 postmenopausal women. The participants answered a self-response questionnaire in which data on the risk of breast cancer associated with HT were presented in the form of RR, AbR and AR. The women's concern with respect to this risk and their changes of opinion when the data were presented according to the different risk models were evaluated.

RESULTS

More than 87% of the women mentioned breast cancer as one of the risks associated with the use of HT, with more women being concerned when the risk was presented as an RR. In contrast, most were unconcerned when the risk was presented as an AbR or AR. For the group as a whole, there was a significant change in opinion with respect to the women's concern regarding the risks when they were presented as an AbR or AR (p < 0.001); however, this was not the case for those women who had initially stated that breast cancer was a risk associated with HT.

CONCLUSIONS

Providing information on breast cancer risk using examples that quantify the incidence of the disease provokes less concern in users and candidate users of HT. Changes of opinion occur when explanations regarding the risk are provided as RR, AbR and AR.

Transient carotid ischemia as a remote conditioning stimulus for myocardial protection in anesthetized rabbits: Insights into intracellular signaling. Int J Cardiol. 2015;184:140-151. [PMID: 25703422 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijcard.2015.01.079]

BACKGROUND

We investigated the effectiveness of perconditioning (Perc) applied at different time points along with the role of RISK, SAFE, STAT5 and eNOS pathways.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Anesthetized rabbits were subjected to 30-min ischemia/3-hour reperfusion. Perc, consisted of 4 cycles of 1-min ischemia/reperfusion, was applied in the carotid artery at different time points. Perc was started and ended during ischemia, started during ischemia and ended at the beginning of reperfusion, started at the end of ischemia and ended at reperfusion and started and ended during reperfusion. The PI3K inhibitor wortmannin, or the JAK-2 inhibitor AG490, was also applied and the infarct size was assessed. In another series assigned to the previous groups, the phosphorylation of Akt, PI3K, ERKs1/2, GSK3β, STAT3, and STAT5 was evaluated. All Perc groups had smaller infarction compared to those without Perc, independently of PI3K or JAK-2 inhibition. STAT5 was the only molecule that was phosphorylated in parallel with cardioprotection. Since Src and angiotensin II mediate the STAT5 pathway, we administered the Scr inhibitor PP1 and the angiotensin II receptor antagonist valsartan. PP1 and valsartan prevented STAT5 phosphorylation, but did not abrogate the effect of Perc. Furthermore, the NOS inhibitor L-NAME was administered and abrogated the infarct size limiting effect of Perc. In parallel, the expression of cleaved caspase-3 was elevated only in the control and Perc-A-L-NAME groups.

CONCLUSION

Perc reduces infarction independently of RISK, SAFE and STAT5 pathways. Src kinase and angiotensin II play a predominant role in STAT5 activation. eNOS may protect the myocardium through inhibition of apoptosis.

Polymyositis/dermatomyositis and malignancy risk: a metaanalysis study

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the association between polymyositis (PM)/dermatomyositis (DM) and risks of malignancy.

METHODS

We searched Pubmed for articles dated before August 16, 2013. Studies were included if they met the following criteria: (1) a cohort or observational study; (2) PM or DM as one of the exposures of interest; (3) cancer as an outcome of interest; and (4) the rate ratio (RR) or standardized incidence ratio (SIR) were available with their 95% CI. We used random-effects or fixed-effects models to calculate the pooled RR according to the heterogeneity test.

RESULTS

Twenty publications were included. Compared with the general population, the pooled RR for patients with PM, DM, and PM/DM were 1.62 (95% CI 1.19-2.04), 5.50 (4.31-6.70), and 4.07 (3.02-5.12), respectively. The increased risks were more significant in patients within the first year of myositis diagnosis, male patients, and population-based studies (for DM). A significant association was also found between PM or DM and most site-specific malignancies. However, both PM and DM were not associated with stomach and prostate cancers. Significant heterogeneity was found between studies on association between PM/DM and overall malignancy, but not between PM/DM and the majority of site-specific malignancies, suggesting that that inherent malignancy difference may be a major source of heterogeneity.

CONCLUSION

The present metaanalysis indicates that PM and DM are significantly associated with increased risks of overall malignancy and most site-specific malignancies. The number of studies on association between PM or DM and some malignancies is too small to draw a firm conclusion. Accordingly, more research is needed for these malignancies.

Risks and benefits of hormone therapy: has medical dogma now been overturned?

BACKGROUND

In an integrated overview of the benefits and risks of menopausal hormone therapy (HT), the Women's Health Initiative (WHI) investigators have claimed that their 'findings … do not support use of this therapy for chronic disease prevention'. In an accompanying editorial, it was claimed that 'the WHI overturned medical dogma regarding menopausal [HT]'.

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate those claims.

METHODS

Epidemiological criteria of causation were applied to the evidence.

RESULTS

A 'global index' purporting to summarize the overall benefit versus the risk of HT was not valid, and it was biased. For coronary heart disease, an increased risk in users of estrogen plus progestogen (E + P), previously reported by the WHI, was not confirmed. The WHI study did not establish that E+ P increases the risk of breast cancer; the findings suggest that unopposed estrogen therapy (ET) does not increase the risk, and may even reduce it. The findings for stroke and pulmonary embolism were compatible with an increased risk, and among E+ P users there were credible reductions in the risk of colorectal and endometrial cancer. For E+ P and ET users, there were credible reductions in the risk of hip fracture. Under 'worst case' and 'best case' assumptions, the changes in the incidence of the outcomes attributable to HT were minor.

CONCLUSIONS

Over-interpretation and misrepresentation of the WHI findings have damaged the health and well-being of menopausal women by convincing them and their health professionals that the risks of HT outweigh the benefits.

Cholesteryl ester transfer protein in patients with rheumatoid arthritis

OBJECTIVE

To investigate how cholesteryl ester transfer protein (CETP), one of the enzymes involved in the reverse cholesterol transfer, is expressed in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and its potential relationship with both dyslipidemia and the risk of cardiovascular mortality observed in these patients.

METHODS

Plasma CETP concentrations and CETP activity were measured in 101 patients with RA and 115 sex- and age-matched controls. A multivariable analysis adjusted for standard cardiovascular risk factors, including high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, was performed to evaluate the influence of CETP on dyslipidemia and cardiovascular mortality risk, as assessed by the Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE) risk function.

RESULTS

Patients with RA showed lower CETP activity [beta coefficient = -10.82 (95% CI -19.56 to 2.07) pmol/3 h; p = 0.02] and an inferior CETP mass [β = -0.85 (95% CI -1.64 to 0.05) μg/ml; p = 0.03] versus controls. Divided into those taking and those not taking glucocorticoids, patients taking glucocorticoids revealed lower CETP activity and mass [β = -8.98 (95% CI -14.55 to 3.41) pmol/3 h; p = 0.00, for CETP activity; and β = -0.77 (95% CI -1.46 to 0.08) μg/ml; p = 0.03, for CETP mass]. Patients with RA not taking glucocorticoids showed no differences versus controls in either CETP activity or mass. Both current prednisone intake [β = -16.14 (95% CI -24.87 to 7.41) pmol/3 h; p = 0.00] and average daily prednisone intake during the last 3 months [β = -0.36 (95% CI -0.54 to 0.18) μg/ml; p = 0.01] were strongly and inversely correlated with CETP activity and mass, respectively. CETP activity showed an inverse trend compared to SCORE risk, demonstrating that lower levels were effective predictors of total mortality when a higher SCORE risk was found [β = -4.7 (95% CI -9.3 to 0.02) pmol/3 h; p = 0.04] in patients with RA.

CONCLUSION

CETP is downregulated in patients with RA who are taking glucocorticoids. Low CETP activity is associated with an increased level of cardiovascular risk in patients with RA.