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Zhan Q, Solo-Gabriele HM, Sharkey ME, Amirali A, Beaver CC, Boone MM, Comerford S, Cooper D, Cortizas EM, Cosculluela GA, Currall BB, Grills GS, Kobetz E, Kumar N, Laine J, Lamar WE, Lyu J, Mason CE, Reding BD, Roca MA, Schürer SC, Shukla BS, Solle NS, Suarez MM, Stevenson M, Tallon JJ, Thomas C, Vidović D, Williams SL, Yin X, Zarnegarnia Y, Babler KM. Correlative analysis of wastewater trends with clinical cases and hospitalizations through five dominant variant waves of COVID-19. ACS ES T Water 2023; 3:2849-2862. [PMID: 38487696 PMCID: PMC10936583 DOI: 10.1021/acsestwater.3c00032] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 03/17/2024]
Abstract
Wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE) has been utilized to track community infections of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) by detecting RNA of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2), within samples collected from wastewater. The correlations between community infections and wastewater measurements of the RNA can potentially change as SARS-CoV-2 evolves into new variations by mutating. This study analyzed SARS-CoV-2 RNA, and indicators of human waste in wastewater from two sewersheds of different scales (University of Miami (UM) campus and Miami-Dade County Central District wastewater treatment plant (CDWWTP)) during five internally defined COVID-19 variant dominant periods (Initial, Pre-Delta, Delta, Omicron and Post-Omicron wave). SARS-CoV-2 RNA quantities were compared against COVID-19 clinical cases and hospitalizations to evaluate correlations with wastewater SARS-CoV-2 RNA. Although correlations between documented clinical cases and hospitalizations were high, prevalence for a given wastewater SARS-CoV-2 level varied depending upon the variant analyzed. The correlative relationship was significantly steeper (more cases per level found in wastewater) for the Omicron-dominated period. For hospitalization, the relationships were steepest for the Initial wave, followed by the Delta wave with flatter slopes during all other waves. Overall results were interpreted in the context of SARS-CoV-2 virulence and vaccination rates among the community.
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Affiliation(s)
- Qingyu Zhan
- Department of Chemical, Environmental, and Materials Engineering, University of Miami, Coral Gables, FL 33146 USA
| | - Helena Maria Solo-Gabriele
- Department of Chemical, Environmental, and Materials Engineering, University of Miami, Coral Gables, FL 33146 USA
| | - Mark E. Sharkey
- Department of Medicine, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, 33136 FL USA
| | - Ayaaz Amirali
- Department of Chemical, Environmental, and Materials Engineering, University of Miami, Coral Gables, FL 33146 USA
| | - Cynthia C. Beaver
- Sylvester Comprehensive Cancer Center, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL 33136 USA
| | - Melinda M. Boone
- Sylvester Comprehensive Cancer Center, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL 33136 USA
| | - Samuel Comerford
- Department of Medicine, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, 33136 FL USA
| | | | - Elena M. Cortizas
- Sylvester Comprehensive Cancer Center, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL 33136 USA
| | - Gabriella A. Cosculluela
- Department of Chemical, Environmental, and Materials Engineering, University of Miami, Coral Gables, FL 33146 USA
| | - Benjamin B. Currall
- Sylvester Comprehensive Cancer Center, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL 33136 USA
| | - George S. Grills
- Sylvester Comprehensive Cancer Center, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL 33136 USA
| | - Erin Kobetz
- Department of Medicine, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, 33136 FL USA
- Sylvester Comprehensive Cancer Center, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL 33136 USA
| | - Naresh Kumar
- Department of Public Health Sciences, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL 33136 USA
| | - Jennifer Laine
- Environmental Health and Safety, University of Miami, Miami, FL 33136 USA
| | - Walter E. Lamar
- Division of Occupational Health, Safety & Compliance, University of Miami Health System, Miami, FL 33136 USA
| | - Jiangnan Lyu
- Department of Public Health Sciences, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL 33136 USA
| | - Christopher E. Mason
- Department of Physiology and Biophysics, Weill Cornell Medical College, New York City, NY 10021 USA
- The HRH Prince Alwaleed Bin Talal Bin Abdulaziz Alsaud Institute for Computational Biomedicine, Weill Cornell Medicine, New York, NY 10021, USA
- The WorldQuant Initiative for Quantitative Prediction, Weill Cornell Medicine, New York, NY 10021, USA
| | - Brian D. Reding
- Environmental Health and Safety, University of Miami, Miami, FL 33136 USA
| | - Matthew A. Roca
- Department of Chemical, Environmental, and Materials Engineering, University of Miami, Coral Gables, FL 33146 USA
| | - Stephan C. Schürer
- Sylvester Comprehensive Cancer Center, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL 33136 USA
- Department of Molecular & Cellular Pharmacology, University of Miami Miller School of Medicines, Miami, FL 33136 USA
- Institute for Data Science & Computing, University of Miami, Coral Gables, FL 33146 USA
| | - Bhavarth S. Shukla
- Department of Medicine, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, 33136 FL USA
| | - Natasha Schaefer Solle
- Department of Medicine, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, 33136 FL USA
- Sylvester Comprehensive Cancer Center, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL 33136 USA
| | - Maritza M. Suarez
- Department of Medicine, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, 33136 FL USA
| | - Mario Stevenson
- Department of Chemical, Environmental, and Materials Engineering, University of Miami, Coral Gables, FL 33146 USA
| | - John J. Tallon
- Facilities and Operations, University of Miami, Coral Gables, FL 33146 USA
| | - Collette Thomas
- Department of Chemical, Environmental, and Materials Engineering, University of Miami, Coral Gables, FL 33146 USA
| | - Dušica Vidović
- Department of Molecular & Cellular Pharmacology, University of Miami Miller School of Medicines, Miami, FL 33136 USA
| | - Sion L. Williams
- Sylvester Comprehensive Cancer Center, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL 33136 USA
| | - Xue Yin
- Department of Chemical, Environmental, and Materials Engineering, University of Miami, Coral Gables, FL 33146 USA
| | - Yalda Zarnegarnia
- Department of Public Health Sciences, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL 33136 USA
| | - Kristina Marie Babler
- Department of Chemical, Environmental, and Materials Engineering, University of Miami, Coral Gables, FL 33146 USA
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