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Rane RP, de Man EF, Kim J, Görgen K, Tschorn M, Rapp MA, Banaschewski T, Bokde ALW, Desrivieres S, Flor H, Grigis A, Garavan H, Gowland PA, Brühl R, Martinot JL, Martinot MLP, Artiges E, Nees F, Papadopoulos Orfanos D, Lemaitre H, Paus T, Poustka L, Fröhner J, Robinson L, Smolka MN, Winterer J, Whelan R, Schumann G, Walter H, Heinz A, Ritter K. Structural differences in adolescent brains can predict alcohol misuse. eLife 2022; 11:e77545. [PMID: 35616520 PMCID: PMC9255959 DOI: 10.7554/elife.77545] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/02/2022] [Accepted: 05/25/2022] [Indexed: 12/02/2022] Open
Abstract
Alcohol misuse during adolescence (AAM) has been associated with disruptive development of adolescent brains. In this longitudinal machine learning (ML) study, we could predict AAM significantly from brain structure (T1-weighted imaging and DTI) with accuracies of 73 -78% in the IMAGEN dataset (n∼1182). Our results not only show that structural differences in brain can predict AAM, but also suggests that such differences might precede AAM behavior in the data. We predicted 10 phenotypes of AAM at age 22 using brain MRI features at ages 14, 19, and 22. Binge drinking was found to be the most predictable phenotype. The most informative brain features were located in the ventricular CSF, and in white matter tracts of the corpus callosum, internal capsule, and brain stem. In the cortex, they were spread across the occipital, frontal, and temporal lobes and in the cingulate cortex. We also experimented with four different ML models and several confound control techniques. Support Vector Machine (SVM) with rbf kernel and Gradient Boosting consistently performed better than the linear models, linear SVM and Logistic Regression. Our study also demonstrates how the choice of the predicted phenotype, ML model, and confound correction technique are all crucial decisions in an explorative ML study analyzing psychiatric disorders with small effect sizes such as AAM.
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Affiliation(s)
- Roshan Prakash Rane
- Charité – Universitätsmedizin Berlin (corporate member of Freie Universiät at Berlin, Humboldt-Universiät at zu Berlin, and Berlin Institute of Health), Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Bernstein Center for Computational NeuroscienceBerlinGermany
| | - Evert Ferdinand de Man
- Faculty IV – Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, Technische Universität BerlinBerlinGermany
| | - JiHoon Kim
- Department of Education and Psychology, Freie Universität BerlinBerlinGermany
| | - Kai Görgen
- Charité – Universitätsmedizin Berlin (corporate member of Freie Universiät at Berlin, Humboldt-Universiät at zu Berlin, and Berlin Institute of Health), Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Bernstein Center for Computational NeuroscienceBerlinGermany
- Science of Intelligence, Research Cluster of ExcellenceBerlinGermany
| | - Mira Tschorn
- Social and Preventive Medicine, Department of Sports and Health Sciences, Intra-faculty unit “Cognitive Sciences”, Faculty of Human Science, and Faculty of Health Sciences Brandenburg, Research Area Services Research and e-Health, University of PotsdamPotsdamGermany
| | - Michael A Rapp
- Social and Preventive Medicine, Department of Sports and Health Sciences, Intra-faculty unit “Cognitive Sciences”, Faculty of Human Science, and Faculty of Health Sciences Brandenburg, Research Area Services Research and e-Health, University of PotsdamPotsdamGermany
| | - Tobias Banaschewski
- Department of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Central Institute of Mental Health, Medical Faculty Mannheim, Heidelberg UniversityMannheimGermany
| | - Arun LW Bokde
- Discipline of Psychiatry, School of Medicine and Trinity College Institute of Neuroscience, Trinity College DublinDublinIreland
| | - Sylvane Desrivieres
- Centre for Population Neuroscience and Precision Medicine (PONS), Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology Neuroscience SGDP Centre, King’s College LondonLondonUnited Kingdom
| | - Herta Flor
- Institute of Cognitive and Clinical Neuroscience, Central Institute of Mental Health, Medical Faculty Mannheim, Heidelberg UniversityHeidelbergGermany
- Department of Psychology, School of Social Sciences, University of MannheimMannheimGermany
| | | | - Hugh Garavan
- Departments of Psychiatry and Psychology, University of VermontBurlingtonUnited States
| | - Penny A Gowland
- Sir Peter Mansfield Imaging Centre School of Physics and Astronomy, University of NottinghamNottinghamUnited Kingdom
| | | | - Jean-Luc Martinot
- Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale, INSERM U A10 ”Trajectoires développementales en psychiatrie” Universite Paris-Saclay, Ecole Normale Supérieure Paris-Saclay, CNRS, Centre BorelliGif-sur-YvetteFrance
| | - Marie-Laure Paillere Martinot
- Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale, INSERM U A10 ”Trajectoires développementales en psychiatrie” Universite Paris-Saclay, Ecole Normale Supérieure Paris-Saclay, CNRS, Centre BorelliGif-sur-YvetteFrance
- AP-HP Sorbonne Université, Department of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry, Pitié-Salpêtrière HospitalParisFrance
| | - Eric Artiges
- Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale, INSERM U A10 ”Trajectoires développementales en psychiatrie” Universite Paris-Saclay, Ecole Normale Supérieure Paris-Saclay, CNRS, Centre BorelliGif-sur-YvetteFrance
- Psychiatry Department, EPS Barthélémy DurandEtampesFrance
| | - Frauke Nees
- Department of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Central Institute of Mental Health, Medical Faculty Mannheim, Heidelberg UniversityMannheimGermany
- Institute of Cognitive and Clinical Neuroscience, Central Institute of Mental Health, Medical Faculty Mannheim, Heidelberg UniversityHeidelbergGermany
- PONS Research Group, Dept of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Campus Charite Mitte, Humboldt UniversityBerlinGermany
| | | | - Herve Lemaitre
- NeuroSpin, CEA, Université Paris-SaclayParisFrance
- Institut des Maladies Neurodégénératives, UMR 5293, CNRS, CEA, University of BordeauxBordeauxFrance
| | - Tomas Paus
- Department of Psychiatry, Faculty of Medicine and Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Sainte-Justine, University of MontrealMontrealCanada
- Departments of Psychiatry and Psychology, University of TorontoTorontoCanada
| | - Luise Poustka
- Department of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, University Medical Centre GöttingenGöttingenGermany
| | - Juliane Fröhner
- Department of Psychiatry and Neuroimaging Center, Technische Universität DresdenDresdenGermany
| | - Lauren Robinson
- Department of Psychological Medicine, Section for Eating Disorders, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King’s College LondonLondonUnited Kingdom
| | - Michael N Smolka
- Department of Psychiatry and Neuroimaging Center, Technische Universität DresdenDresdenGermany
| | - Jeanne Winterer
- Charité – Universitätsmedizin Berlin (corporate member of Freie Universiät at Berlin, Humboldt-Universiät at zu Berlin, and Berlin Institute of Health), Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Bernstein Center for Computational NeuroscienceBerlinGermany
- Department of Education and Psychology, Freie Universität BerlinBerlinGermany
| | - Robert Whelan
- School of Psychology and Global Brain Health Institute, Trinity College DublinDublinIreland
| | - Gunter Schumann
- PONS Research Group, Dept of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Campus Charite Mitte, Humboldt UniversityBerlinGermany
| | - Henrik Walter
- Charité – Universitätsmedizin Berlin (corporate member of Freie Universiät at Berlin, Humboldt-Universiät at zu Berlin, and Berlin Institute of Health), Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Bernstein Center for Computational NeuroscienceBerlinGermany
| | - Andreas Heinz
- Charité – Universitätsmedizin Berlin (corporate member of Freie Universiät at Berlin, Humboldt-Universiät at zu Berlin, and Berlin Institute of Health), Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Bernstein Center for Computational NeuroscienceBerlinGermany
| | - Kerstin Ritter
- Charité – Universitätsmedizin Berlin (corporate member of Freie Universiät at Berlin, Humboldt-Universiät at zu Berlin, and Berlin Institute of Health), Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Bernstein Center for Computational NeuroscienceBerlinGermany
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