Mammography Screening Should Begin at Age 40 Years

The 2023 U.S. Preventive Services Task Force draft recommendation statement on screening for breast cancer recommends lowering the starting age for biennial screening with mammography to age 40 years from 50 years, the age of screening initiation that the Task Force had previously recommended since 2009. A recent Perspective article in the New England Journal of Medicine by Woloshin et al contends that this change will provide no additional benefit and is unjustified. This article reviews the main ideas presented by Woloshin et al and provides substantial evidence not considered by those authors in support of screening mammography in U.S. women starting at age 40 years.

Sotagliflozin vs Dapagliflozin: A Systematic Review Comparing Cardiovascular Mortality

After the debut of the results of the effect of Sotagliflozin on Cardiovascular Events in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes Post Worsening Heart Failure (SOLOIST-WHF) and Sotagliflozin in Patients With Chronic Kidney Disease and Type 2 Diabetes (SCORED) trials at the American Heart Association's 2020 Scientific session, sotagliflozin became the first drug and the third sodium glucose co-transporter-2 (SGLT-2) inhibitor to be approved for heart failure (HF) across the spectrum of ejection fraction (EF). In light of this recent major U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approval of sotagliflozin, we conducted a systematic review to compare the cardiovascular mortality rates between sotagliflozin and dapagliflozin in patients with HF. To find relevant articles, we extensively searched major research literature databases and search engines such as PubMed, MEDLINE, PubMed Central, Google Scholar, Embase, and Cochrane Library. We compared the results of significant trials involving sotagliflozin with the trials studying dapagliflozin to provide comprehensive mortality results of both drugs. The results showed that the timely initiation of sotagliflozin in HF cases significantly reduces cardiovascular mortality, hospitalizations, and urgent HF visits. Comparative trials with dapagliflozin indicate enhanced mortality reduction associated with greater initial symptom burden. The results of these major trials cannot be overlooked due to the large size of the combined trials, the randomized design, and the high standards with which they were conducted. The pathophysiology behind the cardioprotection offered by these agents is complex and multifactorial, but it is believed that due to the diuretic-like function, SGLT-2 inhibitors reduce glycemic-related toxicity, promote ketogenesis, and exert antihypertrophic, antifibrotic, and anti-remodeling properties. The benefits of dapagliflozin on cardiovascular death and worsening HF in patients with mildly reduced or preserved EF appeared especially pronounced in those with a greater degree of symptomatic impairment at baseline. Sotagliflozin led to a rise in the count of days patients were alive and not hospitalized (DAOH), which offers an extra patient-centered measure to assess the impact of the disease burden. The data in our article will help future researchers conduct large-scale trials with sotagliflozin to identify and implement it in the treatment of patients with HF as a mortality-reducing drug and to improve the quality of life for patients with HF.

Systematic Review of Lung Cancer Screening: Advancements and Strategies for Implementation

Lung cancer is the leading cause of cancer-related deaths in Europe, with low survival rates primarily due to late-stage diagnosis. Early detection can significantly improve survival rates, but lung cancer screening is not currently implemented in Italy. Many countries have implemented lung cancer screening programs for high-risk populations, with studies showing a reduction in mortality. This review aimed to identify key areas for establishing a lung cancer screening program in Italy. A literature search was conducted in October 2022, using the PubMed and Scopus databases. Items of interest included updated evidence, approaches used in other countries, enrollment and eligibility criteria, models, cost-effectiveness studies, and smoking cessation programs. A literature search yielded 61 scientific papers, highlighting the effectiveness of low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) screening in reducing mortality among high-risk populations. The National Lung Screening Trial (NLST) in the United States demonstrated a 20% reduction in lung cancer mortality with LDCT, and other trials confirmed its potential to reduce mortality by up to 39% and detect early-stage cancers. However, false-positive results and associated harm were concerns. Economic evaluations generally supported the cost-effectiveness of LDCT screening, especially when combined with smoking cessation interventions for individuals aged 55 to 75 with a significant smoking history. Implementing a screening program in Italy requires the careful consideration of optimal strategies, population selection, result management, and the integration of smoking cessation. Resource limitations and tailored interventions for subpopulations with low-risk perception and non-adherence rates should be addressed with multidisciplinary expertise.

Effectiveness of Colorectal Cancer (CRC) Screening on All-Cause and CRC-Specific Mortality Reduction: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

(1) Background: The aim of this study was to pool and compare all-cause and colorectal cancer (CRC) specific mortality reduction of CRC screening in randomized control trials (RCTs) and simulation models, and to determine factors that influence screening effectiveness. (2) Methods: PubMed, Embase, Web of Science and Cochrane library were searched for eligible studies. Multi-use simulation models or RCTs that compared the mortality of CRC screening with no screening in general population were included. CRC-specific and all-cause mortality rate ratios and 95% confidence intervals were calculated by a bivariate random model. (3) Results: 10 RCTs and 47 model studies were retrieved. The pooled CRC-specific mortality rate ratios in RCTs were 0.88 (0.80, 0.96) and 0.76 (0.68, 0.84) for guaiac-based fecal occult blood tests (gFOBT) and single flexible sigmoidoscopy (FS) screening, respectively. For the model studies, the rate ratios were 0.45 (0.39, 0.51) for biennial fecal immunochemical tests (FIT), 0.31 (0.28, 0.34) for biennial gFOBT, 0.61 (0.53, 0.72) for single FS, 0.27 (0.21, 0.35) for 10-yearly colonoscopy, and 0.35 (0.29, 0.42) for 5-yearly FS. The CRC-specific mortality reduction of gFOBT increased with higher adherence in both studies (RCT: 0.78 (0.68, 0.89) vs. 0.92 (0.87, 0.98), model: 0.30 (0.28, 0.33) vs. 0.92 (0.51, 1.63)). Model studies showed a 0.62-1.1% all-cause mortality reduction with single FS screening. (4) Conclusions: Based on RCTs and model studies, biennial FIT/gFOBT, single and 5-yearly FS, and 10-yearly colonoscopy screening significantly reduces CRC-specific mortality. The model estimates are much higher than in RCTs, because the simulated biennial gFOBT assumes higher adherence. The effectiveness of screening increases at younger screening initiation ages and higher adherences.

[IMPROVING THE QUALITY OF WORK OF MEDICAL WORKERS AND THE LEVEL OF ASSISTANCE TO THE POPULATION AS A NECESSARY CONDITION FOR MINIMIZING DEATHS IN THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC]

The article considers the key factors that negatively affect the quality of work of medical workers and the quality of medical care to the population in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic, which in practice leads to additional deaths from a new coronavirus infection. There are two key reasons that can have a negative impact on the quality of work of medical workers and lead to an increase in the death rate of the population: 1) lack of relevant scientific support; 2) lack of qualified psychological support. The first reason does not allow to increase the professional competence of medical workers, the second reason leads to their professional deformation and emotional burnout. To solve the problem, it is proposed to use modern information and communication technologies: 1) creation of a rapidly updated database and an online system for sharing experience in COVID-19 treatment, centrally accessible to all Russian health workers; 2) creation of a remote psychological support service, also centrally accessible to all Russian health workers.

A Web-Based Tool for Quantification of Potential Gains in Life Expectancy by Preventing Cause-Specific Mortality

Introduction: Local health departments are currently limited in their ability to use life expectancy (LE) as a benchmark for improving community health. In collaboration with the Baltimore City Health Department, our aim was to develop a web-based tool to estimate the potential lives saved and gains in LE in specific neighborhoods following interventions targeting achievable reductions in preventable deaths. Methods: The PROLONGER (ImPROved LONGEvity through Reductions in Cause-Specific Deaths) tool utilizes a novel Lives Saved Simulation model to estimate neighborhood-level potential change in LE after specified reduction in cause-specific mortality. This analysis uses 2012-2016 deaths in Baltimore City residents; a 20% reduction in heart disease mortality is shown as a case study. Results: According to PROLONGER, if heart disease deaths could be reduced by 20% in a given neighborhood in Baltimore City, there could be up to a 2.3-year increase in neighborhood LE. The neighborhoods with highest expected LE increase are not the same as those with highest heart disease mortality burden or lowest overall life expectancies. Discussion: PROLONGER is a practical resource for local health officials in prioritizing scarce resources to improve health outcomes. Focusing programs based on potential LE impact at the neighborhood level could lend new information for targeting of place-based public health interventions.

The impact of an accountable care unit on mortality: an observational study

Background: Despite enthusiasm for inpatient ward redesign, coordinated models require high effort with uncertain return on investment.

Objective: We aimed to reduce mortality and achieve a benchmark of zero preventable deaths by committing to an interprofessional model, including partnered nurse-physician unit leadership, geographic localization, and structured interdisciplinary bedside rounds (SIBR).

Methods: An observational pre-post design with 5-year follow-up studied the transition of a medical unit to an Accountable Care Unit (ACU). This geographic model enables partnered nurse-physician leadership and patient-centered workflows, including daily interdisciplinary bedside rounds. Potentially additive or confounding hospital-wide safety initiatives were tracked. Yearly mortality was compared using multivariable logistic regression and reported as odds ratio (OR). For the pre-specified goal of no preventable deaths, we report unexpected deaths, defined as those occurring without documentation of comfort as the goal of care.

Results: 12,158 inpatients (55.1% female, mean [sd] age 62.2 [19.7]) were observed over 6 years. Reduction in the risk-adjusted mortality was observed following ACU implementation, with Year 2 significantly lower than the pre-implementation year (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 0.58 [0.35–0.94]). Risk-adjusted mortality was similar in Year 3 (aOR = 0.64 [0.39–1.0]) but returned to baseline for Years 4 and 5. Unexpected deaths reached zero in Year 3 and plateaued in Years 4 and 5 at a rate below pre-implementation year (~0.1% vs. 0.38%).

Conclusions: A geographic ACU with nurse-physician partnered leadership and daily structured interdisciplinary bedside rounds can reduce total and unexpected mortality. However, maintenance requires constant effort and, in the real world, multiple confounders complicate study.

All-cause mortality versus cancer-specific mortality as outcome in cancer screening trials: A review and modeling study

BACKGROUND

All-cause mortality has been suggested as an end-point in cancer screening trials in order to avoid biases in attributing the cause of death. The aim of this study was to investigate which sample size and follow-up is needed to find a significant reduction in all-cause mortality.

METHODS

A literature review was conducted to identify previous studies that modeled the effect of screening on all-cause mortality. Microsimulation modeling was used to simulate breast cancer, lung cancer, and colorectal cancer screening trials. Model outputs were: cancer-specific deaths, all-cause deaths, and life-years gained per year of follow-up.

RESULTS

There were large differences between the evaluated cancers. For lung cancer, when 40 000 high-risk people are randomized to each arm, a significant reduction in all-cause mortality could be expected between 11 and 13 years of follow-up. For breast cancer, a significant reduction could be found between 16 and 26 years of follow-up for a sample size of over 300 000 women in each arm. For colorectal cancer, 600 000 persons in each arm were required to be followed for 15-20 years. Our systematic literature review identified seven papers, which showed highly similar results to our estimates.

CONCLUSION

Cancer screening trials are able to demonstrate a significant reduction in all-cause mortality due to screening, but require very large sample sizes. Depending on the cancer, 40 000-600 000 participants per arm are needed to demonstrate a significant reduction. The reduction in all-cause mortality can only be detected between specific years of follow-up, more limited than the timeframe to detect a reduction in cancer-specific mortality.

Do corporate governance mechanisms and internal control systems matter in reducing mortality rates?

Internal controls are critical to guarding an institution against fraud, error, and devastation. They are effective tools for preventing losses and achieving organizational goals. However, internal control mechanisms need to be relevant, because the organization cannot comprehend the effectiveness of the system if they are out-of-touch with the operation. Health care control practices are not exceptionally different from what pertains in other industries. The health care organizations require effective corporate governance mechanisms to uphold their operations and performances. These practices assist health care organizations to exhume cynical practices that generate unproductive results and also factors militating against the hospital's goals or objectives. This study revealed that practices such as enhanced Board diligence, Health Professionals on board, financial prudence, and effective communication have the tendency of reducing mortality, if well executed.

The efficacy of prostate-specific antigen screening: Impact of key components in the ERSPC and PLCO trials

BACKGROUND

The European Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer (ERSPC) demonstrated that prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening significantly reduced prostate cancer mortality (rate ratio, 0.79; 95% confidence interval, 0.69-0.91). The US Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian (PLCO) trial indicated no such reduction but had a wide 95% CI (rate ratio for prostate cancer mortality, 1.09; 95% CI, 0.87-1.36). Standard meta-analyses are unable to account for key differences between the trials that can impact the estimated effects of screening and the trials' point estimates.

METHODS

The authors calibrated 2 microsimulation models to individual-level incidence and mortality data from 238,936 men participating in the ERSPC and PLCO trials. A cure parameter for the underlying efficacy of screening was estimated by the models separately for each trial. The authors changed step-by-step major known differences in trial settings, including enrollment and attendance patterns, screening intervals, PSA thresholds, biopsy receipt, control arm contamination, and primary treatment, to reflect a more ideal protocol situation and differences between the trials.

RESULTS

Using the cure parameter estimated for the ERSPC, the models projected 19% to 21% and 6% to 8%, respectively, prostate cancer mortality reductions in the ERSPC and PLCO settings. Using this cure parameter, the models projected a reduction of 37% to 43% under annual screening with 100% attendance and biopsy compliance and no contamination. The cure parameter estimated for the PLCO trial was 0.

CONCLUSIONS

The observed cancer mortality reduction in screening trials appears to be highly sensitive to trial protocol and practice settings. Accounting for these differences, the efficacy of PSA screening in the PLCO setting is not necessarily inconsistent with ERSPC results. Cancer 2018;124:1197-206. © 2017 American Cancer Society.

Cost-effectiveness of the Norwegian breast cancer screening program

The Norwegian Breast Cancer Screening Programme (NBCSP) has a nation-wide coverage since 2005. All women aged 50-69 years are invited biennially for mammography screening. We evaluated breast cancer mortality reduction and performed a cost-effectiveness analysis, using our microsimulation model, calibrated to most recent data. The microsimulation model allows for the comparison of mortality and costs between a (hypothetical) situation without screening and a situation with screening. Breast cancer incidence in Norway had a steep increase in the early 1990s. We calibrated the model to simulate this increase and included recent costs for screening, diagnosis and treatment of breast cancer and travel and productivity loss. We estimate a 16% breast cancer mortality reduction for a cohort of women, invited to screening, followed over their complete lifetime. Cost-effectiveness is estimated at NOK 112,162 per QALY gained, when taking only direct medical costs into account (the cost of the buses, examinations, and invitations). We used a 3.5% annual discount rate. Cost-effectiveness estimates are substantially below the threshold of NOK 1,926,366 as recommended by the WHO guidelines. For the Norwegian population, which has been gradually exposed to screening, breast cancer mortality reduction for women exposed to screening is increasing and is estimated to rise to ∼30% in 2020 for women aged 55-80 years. The NBCSP is a highly cost-effective measure to reduce breast cancer specific mortality. We estimate a breast cancer specific mortality reduction of 16-30%, at the cost of 112,162 NOK per QALY gained.

Ovarian cancer screening effectiveness: A realization from the UK Collaborative Trial of Ovarian Cancer Screening

Effects on survival in the UK Collaborative Trial of Ovarian Cancer Screening (UKCTOCS) was reported in The Lancet, and demonstrate that reductions in disease-specific mortality in this randomized control trial (RCT) indicate that ovarian cancer screening works. The UKCTOCS was large enough for sufficient accrual and follow-up, using two intervention arms: MMS (a multimodal strategy using the biomarker Ca125 combined with ultrasound as a secondary test) and USS (ultrasound alone) compared against a no-screen control group. MMS and USS performed similarly, showing a statistically significant reduction in mortality that increased with follow-up surveillance (8% reduction in years 0-7 vs 28% in years 7-14). The data led to the estimate that 641 screens are needed to prevent one ovarian cancer death.

To screen or not to screen for breast cancer? How do modelling studies answer the question?

Breast cancer screening is a topic of hot debate, and currently no general consensus has been reached on starting and ending ages and screening intervals, in part because of a lack of precise estimations of the benefit-harm ratio. Simulation models are often applied to account for the expected benefits and harms of regular screening; however, the degree to which the model outcomes are reliable is not clear. In a recent systematic review, we therefore aimed to assess the quality of published simulation models for breast cancer screening of the general population. The models were scored according to a framework for qualitative assessment. We distinguished seven original models that utilized a common model type, modelling approach, and input parameters. The models predicted the benefit of regular screening in terms of mortality reduction; and overall, their estimates compared well to estimates of mortality reduction from randomized controlled trials. However, the models did not report on the expected harms associated with regular screening. We found that current simulation models for population breast cancer screening are prone to many pitfalls; their outcomes bear a high overall risk of bias, mainly because of a lack of systematic evaluation of evidence to calibrate the input parameters and a lack of external validation. Our recommendations concerning future modelling are therefore to use systematically evaluated data for the calibration of input parameters, to perform external validation of model outcomes, and to account for both the expected benefits and the expected harms so as to provide a clear balance and cost-effectiveness estimation and to adequately inform decision-makers.

Mortality reduction from gastric cancer by endoscopic and radiographic screening

To evaluate mortality reduction from gastric cancer by endoscopic screening, we undertook a population‐based cohort study in which both radiographic and endoscopic screenings for gastric cancer have been carried out. The subjects were selected from the participants of gastric cancer screening in two cities in Japan, Tottori and Yonago, from 2007 to 2008. The subjects were defined as participants aged 40–79 years who had no gastric cancer screening in the previous year. Follow‐up of mortality was continued from the date of the first screening to the date of death or up to December 31, 2013. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate the relative risk (RR) of gastric cancer incidence, gastric cancer death, all cancer deaths except gastric cancer death, and all‐causes death except gastric cancer death. The number of subjects selected for endoscopic screening was 9950 and that for radiographic screening was 4324. The subjects screened by endoscopy showed a 67% reduction of gastric cancer compared with the subjects screened by radiography (adjusted RR by sex, age group, and resident city = 0.327; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.118–0.908). The adjusted RR of endoscopic screening was 0.968 (95%CI, 0.675–1.387) for all cancer deaths except gastric cancer death, and 0.929 (95%CI, 0.740–1.168) for all‐causes death except gastric cancer death. This study indicates that endoscopic screening can reduce gastric cancer mortality by 67% compared with radiographic screening. This is consistent with previous studies showing that endoscopic screening reduces gastric cancer mortality.

Effectiveness of fecal immunochemical testing in reducing colorectal cancer mortality from the One Million Taiwanese Screening Program

BACKGROUND

The effectiveness of fecal immunochemical testing (FIT) in reducing colorectal cancer (CRC) mortality has not yet been fully assessed in a large, population-based service screening program.

METHODS

A prospective cohort study of the follow-up of approximately 5 million Taiwanese from 2004 to 2009 was conducted to compare CRC mortality for an exposed (screened) group and an unexposed (unscreened) group in a population-based CRC screening service targeting community residents of Taiwan who were 50 to 69 years old. Given clinical capacity, this nationwide screening program was first rolled out in 2004. In all, 1,160,895 eligible subjects who were 50 to 69 years old (ie, 21.4% of the 5,417,699 subjects of the underlying population) participated in the biennial nationwide screening program by 2009.

RESULTS

The actual effectiveness in reducing CRC mortality attributed to the FIT screening was 62% (relative rate for the screened group vs the unscreened group, 0.38; 95% confidence interval, 0.35-0.42) with a maximum follow-up of 6 years. The 21.4% coverage of the population receiving FIT led to a significant 10% reduction in CRC mortality (relative rate, 0.90; 95% confidence interval, 0.84-0.95) after adjustments for a self-selection bias.

CONCLUSIONS

This large, prospective Taiwanese cohort undergoing population-based FIT screening for CRC had the statistical power to demonstrate a significant CRC mortality reduction, although the follow-up time was short. Although such findings are informative for health decision makers, continued follow-up of this large cohort will be required to estimate the long-term impact of FIT screening if the covered population is expanded. Cancer 2015;121:3221–3229. © 2015 American Cancer Society.

A significant reduction in colorectal cancer mortality resulting from fecal immunochemical testing is demonstrated by a large, population-based, nationwide service screening program with a maximum follow-up of 6 years. Although long-term follow-up of this nationwide service screening program is required, these findings are useful for convincing health decision makers that the continuous promotion of such a nationwide screening program is worthwhile.

A physician led approach to telehealth-enabled care coordination: innovation in reimbursement and delivery system models to support physician engagement

Introduction

The U.S. study, entitled, ‘Integrated Telehealth and Care Management Program for Medicare Beneficiaries with Chronic Disease Linked to Savings’ (Health Affairs, September 2011), explored the economic impact of using content-based remote patient monitoring combined with physician led patient-centred care management for high cost patients with congestive heart failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and/or diabetes mellitus. Researchers conducted an analysis evaluating changes in healthcare spending resulting from physician led patient-centred care management supported by remote patient monitoring (n=1767) and demonstrated spending reductions of 7.7–13.3% (£197.17–£342.52) per intervention patient in acute hospital cost per quarter over the two-year period studied. In addition, significant mortality differences between the treatment and control groups were noted, which suggest that the intervention may have produced noticeable Improvements/changes in health outcomes.

Aim and objectives

the presentation will outline the:

Findings from the analysis of the two-year study that could guide the design of future innovative physician led telehealth-enabled care coordination projects in the UK.

Parallels between the proposed UK local health system model as described by the Health and social care bill and the Medicare system in the US in the context of an innovative community-based physician led telehealth enabled integrated system of care.

Design and deployment of a system of care utilizing content-based telehealth technology to enable physician led integrated care coordination.

Results

In an intent-to-treat population of 1725 patients, a reduction in critical aspects in utilization including hospitalization and A and E resulted in improved quality, satisfaction and cost outcomes for the patients and providers in the local region.

Conclusion

Innovative reimbursement models drove physician led telehealth enabled care coordination that generated reductions in key utilization and cost while optimizing health status. The intervention also generated substantive efficiency improvements that led to substantive cost savings.

Screening for colorectal cancer by immunochemical fecal occult blood testing

Screening for colorectal cancer using the conventional Hemoccult test has been shown to reduce mortality associated with cancer by 33% through a randomized controlled trial. However, the magnitude of effectiveness is small in terms of cost-effectiveness. The recently developed immunochemical fecal occult blood test (IFOBT) provides a potential replacement for the Hemoccult test as a screening test, due to its superior performance characteristics such as higher sensitivity shown in preliminary studies and the fact that it does not require any dietary restriction. The IFOBT method is reviewed, especially in relation to its specificity. In known colorectal cancer subjects, IFOBTs have shown both higher sensitivity and specificity than the Hemoccult test. Similarly, IFOBT has demonstrated a higher sensitivity than Hemoccult for colorectal cancer in an asymptomatic population. A nationwide screening program in Japan has demonstrated the feasibility of this approach for large population screening. However, the positivity rate varied according to the conditions at each screening facility. Therefore, technical factors that influence the positivity rate of IFOBTs in the screening program are discussed. Case-control studies have strongly suggested that screening using IFOBT would reduce mortality from colorectal cancer by 60% or more. Several observational studies have provided support for this estimate. The feasibility and effectiveness of population-based screening by IFOBT are discussed.