Regional disparities in suicide among patients with cancer: A nationwide population-based study in Japan

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to explore prefecture-level differences in suicide risk among patients with cancer in Japan.

METHODS

Data from the National Cancer Registry, which covers the entire Japanese population, were used. Patients diagnosed with cancer between 2016 and 2017 were included. The standardized mortality ratio (SMR) for suicide within 2 years after cancer diagnosis was quantified compared with the general population for each prefecture. Multivariate Poisson regression analysis was conducted to quantify the adjusted relative risk using Hokkaido as the reference.

RESULTS

The analysis included 2,133,502 patients. The SMRs were high among patients with cancer residing in certain prefectures, such as the Hokuriku region (the middle and western parts of Japan's main island). These areas also exhibited a significant relative risk in the Poisson regression model.

CONCLUSION

The results demonstrated that patients with cancer in certain prefectures in Japan have a high suicide risk.

[Impact of COVID-19 on cancer treatment: Results from 18 hospital-based cancer registries in Tochigi prefecture]

Objectives　To show the impact of COVID-19 on cancer treatment in Tochigi prefecture.Methods　The number of cancer cases registered in Tochigi prefecture before (2019) and after (2020) COVID-19 was compared using cancer registry data from 18 member hospitals of the Tochigi Prefecture Cancer Care Collaboration Council. Data were compared by sex, age, patient's address at the time of diagnosis, month of diagnosis, cancer site, cancer stage, and treatment. Data on screenings for stomach, colorectum, lung, female breast, cervix, and prostate cancers were investigated in detail.Results　The total number of registered cancer cases was 19,748 in 2019 and 18,912 in 2020 (a decrease of 836 cases [-4.2%]). Among the total cases, there were 11,223 and 10,511 males in 2019 and 2020, respectively (a decrease of 712 cases [-6.3%]) and 8,525 and 8,401 females in 2019 and 2020, respectively (a decrease of 124 cases [-1.5%]). The decrease was greater among males than among females. There was no decrease in the number of registered patients aged <40 years between 2019 and 2020. Based on the patients' address at the time of diagnosis, there was no decrease in the number of cases from outside of the Tochigi prefecture. Regarding the month of diagnosis, there was a notable decrease in the number of registered patients in May and August of 2020. Among the decrease of 836 cases detected by screening, 689(82.4%) were cases of stomach, lung, colorectum, female breast, cervix, and prostate cancer. The number of registered cases of malignant lymphoma, leukemia, and cancer of the oral cavity and pharynx, pancreas, bone and soft tissue, corpus uteri, and bladder did not decrease between 2019 and 2020. In terms of stage of cancer, the number of registered cases of carcinoma in situ, localized cancer, and regional lymph node metastases was lower in 2020 than in 2019, but there was no decrease in the number of registered cases of distant metastases or regional extension.Conclusion　The number of cancer cases registered in 2020 was lower than in 2019, and the degree of change varied by age, hospital, site, whether the case was detected by screening, and stage of cancer. In particular, a marked decrease was observed in the number of cases detected by screening. Furthermore, the decrease in the number of cancer cases registered in May and August of 2020 were believed to be due to the peak in the spread of COVID-19 and the associated declaration of a state of emergency.

Bidirectional Causality between Spreading COVID-19 and Individual Mobilisation with Consumption Motives across Prefectural Borders in Japan

A combination of pharmaceutical and non-pharmaceutical interventions as well as social restrictions has been recommended to prevent the spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Therefore, social contact surveys play an essential role as the basis for more effective measures. This study attempts to explore the fundamental basis of the expansion of COVID-19. Temporal bidirectional causalities between the numbers of newly confirmed COVID-19 cases (NCCC) and individual mobilisations with consumption motives across prefecture borders in three metropolitan regions in Japan were analysed using vector autoregression models. Mobilisation with consumption in pubs from Kanto to Tokai contributed to the spread of COVID-19 in both regions. Meanwhile, causal mobilisation with consumption motives in Kansai also contributed to the expansion of COVID-19; however, the pattern was dependent on the industrial characteristics of each prefecture in Kansai. Furthermore, the number of pub visitors in Kanto immediately decreased when NCCC increased in Kanto. In contrast, the causal mobilisations for the expansion of COVID-19 in the Tokai and Kansai regions were unaffected by the increasing NCCC. These findings partially proved the validity of the conventional governmental measures to suppress pub visitors across prefectural borders. Nevertheless, the individual causal mobilisations with consumption motives that contributed to the increasing COVID-19 cases are not identical nationwide, and thus, regional characteristics should be considered when devising preventive strategies.

Effects of Financial Expenditure of Prefectures/Municipalities on Regional Suicide Mortality in Japan

In Japan, suicide mortality has been improving from 2009; however, suicide remains one of the leading causes of death. Although previous studies identified solid relationships between governmental financial support for social welfare systems and suicide mortality, little attention is paid to how specific regional policies, designed according to regional cultural, economic, and social welfare situations, affect suicide mortality. Therefore, the present study analyses the relationships between the regional governmental expenditure of six major divisions and suicide mortality across the 47 prefectures in Japan from 2009 to 2018 using fixed-effect analysis of hierarchal linear regression with robust standard error. The expenditure in “public health”, “police”, “ambulance/fire services”, “welfare” and “education” is associated with reduction in suicide mortality, at least in some statistical indicators, whereas expenditure of “public works” indicated the influence of increasing suicide mortality or had no effect. Welfare expenditure was the most predominantly effective among the six major divisions of regional governmental expenditure. In the welfare subdivisions, expenditure of “child welfare” and “social welfare” was effective in a reduction in suicide mortality, but expenditure of “elderly welfare” surprisingly contributed to increasing suicide mortality. Child welfare expenditure negatively impacted suicide mortality in wide-ranging generations of both males and females; the positive effects of elderly welfare expenditure reached were limited as working-age populations increased, but unexpectedly did not affect the suicide mortality of elderly populations. The relatively increasing expenditure of elderly welfare with the relatively decreasing child welfare are unavoidable due to the Japanese social issues associated with a declining birth rate and ageing population. Furthermore, the budget of that regional government that can modify its expenditure structure by making its own policies is limited since most regional governmental expenditure is composed of essential expenditure for maintaining and operating regional social welfare systems. Although severe social situations in Japan are still unoptimised, the present results suggest that scientific-evidence-based redistributions of welfare expenditure in regional governments can at least partially improve Japanese society and welfare systems.

Impacts of Dual-Income Household Rate on Suicide Mortalities in Japan

To explore impact of enhancing social advancement of females in Japan, this study determined the effects of the dual-income household rate on suicide mortalities disaggregated by attributes of gender, age, and motives between 2009 and 2017 in Japan. This study analysed impact of dual-income household rate, other household-related factors (savings, liabilities and yearly incomes per household, minors and elderly rate per household), and social/employment factors (complete unemployment rate, employment rate, temporary male and female employment rates and certification rate of long-term care insurance) on suicide mortalities disaggregated by attributes of gender, age, and motives using hierarchical linear-regression model. Dual-income household rate was significantly/negatively related to suicide mortality of the working-age female population, but significantly/positively related to that of the elderly female population. Suicide mortalities of the working-age male population and the elderly male population were significantly/positively related to dual-income household rate. Male suicide mortalities caused by family-, health-, economy- and employment-related motives were significantly/positively related to dual-income household rate; however, the dual-income household rate was significantly/positively related to female suicide mortalities caused by family-, health-, economy- and school-related motives, but significantly/negatively related to suicide mortalities caused by romance-related motives. Dual-income households suppress social-isolation and develop economical/psychological independence of females, leading to reduced suicide mortality in working-age females. However, elderly and school-age populations, who are supported by the working-age female, suffer from isolation. Working-age males also suffer from inability to adapt from the traditional concept of work–life and work–family balances to the novel work–family balance concept adapted to dual-income households. These results suggest occurrence of new social/family problems in the 21st century due to vulnerability of traditional Japanese culture and life–working–family balance concepts as well as novel sociofamilial disturbances induced by declining birth rate and ageing population in Japan.

Analysing the Impacts of Financial Support for Regional Suicide Prevention Programmes on Suicide Mortality Caused by Major Suicide Motives in Japan Using Statistical Government Data

To improve and plan regional suicide prevention programmes that utilise more cost-effective governmental financial support compared with previous programmes, the present study determined the effects of the amount of financial support provided for regional suicide prevention programmes, such as the Emergency Fund to Enhance Community-Based Suicide Countermeasures (EFECBSC), on the trends of suicide mortalities caused by six major suicide motives between 2009 and 2018, using forward multiple regression analysis. The ranking order of motives for male suicide was health, economy, family, employment, romance and school (in that order), whereas the ranking order for females was health, family, economy, romance, employment and school. Male suicide mortality caused by economy-related motives was significantly/inversely related to prefectural intervention programmes, whereas mortality caused by health-related motives was also significantly/inversely related to prefectural intervention programmes, but significantly/positively related to prefectural personal consultation support programmes. Contrary to males, female suicide mortality caused by health-related motives was significantly/inversely related to the municipal development programmes of leaders/listeners, whereas mortality caused by family- and school-related motives was significantly/positively related to prefectural and municipal telephone consultation support programmes, respectively. Contrary to our expectations, school-aged female suicide mortality caused by school-related motives was significantly/positively related to prefectural personal consultation support, enlightenment and municipal telephone consultation support programmes. These results indicate that Japanese regional suicide prevention programmes probably affect the suppression of male suicide mortality. However, these programmes are possibly ineffective, or at least partially, have an adverse effect, in regard to the suicide mortalities of female and school-aged populations. Therefore, we should work to improve regional suicide prevention programmes, making them more cost-effective and targeted towards female and school-aged populations in the future.

[An analysis of disparities in the changes of cancer mortality rates among prefectures in Japan using age-period-cohort analysis]

Objectives　In this study, we compared the decrease in cancer mortality rates among prefectures in Japan using age-period-cohort (APC) analysis.Methods　We used the cancer mortality data of each prefecture in Japan, as determined by the Vital Statistics, over 5-year periods from 1995 to 2015. Records of the number of mortalities in each 5-year age group from 40-44 to 85-89 years age was collected. We fitted a Bayesian APC model to the data of each prefecture and estimated the birth cohort effect on cancer mortality rates in the prefectures over 5-year periods ranging from 1916-1920 to 1971-1975. In addition, we calculated the ratio of the mortality rate of each prefecture to that of the entire country for each birth cohort.Results　Our APC analysis revealed that the decrease in the age-adjusted cancer mortality rates was mainly attributable to a reduction in the cohort effect on the rates in men and to reduction in the cohort and period effects on the rates in women. The magnitude of reduction in cohort effect varied by prefecture for men and women. Several prefectures having a government ordinance-designated municipality tended to show a higher reduction than those that do not. Spearman's correlation coefficient between the population size of prefectures and the percentage reduction in cohort effect was 0.370 in men. In addition, the relative ranking of the prefectures based on cancer mortality rates greatly varied by birth cohorts, particularly in men.Conclusion　A disparity exists in the percentage reduction in the cohort effect among prefectures. In each prefecture target cohorts with higher than average cancer mortality rates must be identified to implement specific countermeasures for cancer prevention. In addition, for each prefecture, assessment of lifestyle differences that might be related to cancer mortality among birth cohorts is important for reducing cancer mortality in the more recent birth cohorts.

Can Financial Support Reduce Suicide Mortality Rates?

After the launch of governmental financial support for the development of a regional suicide prevention programme, ‘Emergency Fund to Enhance Community-Based Suicide Countermeasure’ in 2009, suicide mortality rates in Japan have decreased from 25.7 (in 2009) to 16.5 (in 2018) per 100,000 population. Therefore, to explore the effects of governmental financial support on suicide mortality rates in Japan, the present study determined the relationship between the trends of empirical Bayes standardised Mobile Ratio of suicide mortality ratio in all 47 Japanese prefectures (EBSMR-RR) and the execution amounts of 10 sub-divisions of ‘Emergency Fund to Enhance Community-Based Suicide Countermeasure’ using stepwise multiple regression analysis. The female EBSMR-RR was only significantly/inversely related to the municipal ‘development of listeners and leaders’, whereas male EBSMR-RR was significantly/inversely related to prefectural ‘enlightenment’, and ‘intervention models’, but significantly/directly related to prefectural ‘personal consultation support’. The present findings suggest the inverse relationship between financial support and the suicide mortality rates in Japan. Furthermore, the independent factors in the reduction of suicide mortality rates between males and females provide important information for planning a scientifically evidence-based and more cost-effective regional suicide prevention programmes.

[Examination of Regional Differences in Performance of Health Systems by Prefecture Using Cluster Analysis]

OBJECTIVE

The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) pointed out the deterioration of the performance of health systems (performance) in Japan. To correct this, we evaluated the performances in different prefectures.

METHODS

By the OECD method, we set 27 indicators concerning "health status (HS)", " risk factors (RFs)", " access to care (AC)", " quality of care (QC)", and " health care resources (HRs)". Next, the relative value (RV, ±4 standard deviation) from the average value of each indicator in each prefecture was obtained. On the basis of this RV, the prefectures were divided into A, B, and C by cluster analysis. Then, the 27 indicators of the three groups were subjected to multiple comparison tests and the performances were evaluated.

RESULTS

A included Hokkaido, Ishikawa, Kyoto, Shimane, Okayama, Hiroshima, Yamaguchi, Tokushima, Kagawa, Ehime, Kochi, Fukuoka, Saga, Nagasaki, Kumamoto, Oita, Miyazaki, Kagoshima, and Okinawa, B included Aomori, Iwate, Akita, Fukushima, Ibaraki, Tochigi, Saitama, Tokyo, Osaka, and Wakayama, C included Miyagi, Yamagata, Gunma, Chiba, Kanagawa, Niigata, Toyama, Fukui, Yamanashi, Nagano, Gifu, Shizuoka, Aichi, Mie, Shiga, Hyogo, Nara, and Tottori. The multiple comparison test results showed that HS and RFs were not significantly different between A and C. In A, AC and QC were poor, but HRs were excessive, and the local allocation tax was high. RFs, AC, QC, HRs, and the local allocation taxes were not significantly different between B and C, but HS was poor in B.

CONCLUSIONS

The performance of health systems was deteriorating in the 19 prefectures included in A, and correction is necessary in these prefectures.

[Evaluation of the Performance of Health Systems by Prefecture]

OBJECTIVES

To clarify the performance of health systems (performance), the state of prefectures was investigated.

METHODS

Using the method developed by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, we conducted the study using 27 indicators. To evaluate the performance, we examined the signal-to-noise ratio of transcription (η) by integrating indicators using the Mahalanobis-Taguchi method. The η was separated by a median. The ratio of prefectures in East or West Japan and the presence or absence of ordinance-designated cities were studied using the chi-square test. Furthermore, the correlation among the total component η (T-η), each component η, and expenditures, and the correlation between T-η and life expectancy, were studied.

RESULTS

The T-η positively correlated with the risk factors (RF)-η and the resources (R)-η, and negatively correlated with the health status (HS)-η. The number pf prefectures without ordinance-designated cities where the T-η and RF-η exceeded the median was large. The number of prefectures with ordinance-designated cities where the HS-η exceeded the median was also large. In addition, there were many prefectures where the T-η was in the top 25% in West Japan. There were positive correlations between the total expenditures and the T-η, the expenditures and the RF-η, and the expenditures and the R-η. There was a negative correlation between the expenditures and the HS-η, and the T-η and the life expectancy.

CONCLUSIONS

For life expectancy, prefectures with too good performance were recognized. In these prefectures, correction of resources is necessary.