Responses of butterflies to twentieth century climate warming: implications for future ranges

We analyse distribution records for 51 British butterfly species to investigate altitudinal and latitudinal responses to twentieth century climate warming. Species with northern and/or montane distributions have disappeared from low elevation sites and colonized sites at higher elevations during the twentieth century, consistent with a climate explanation. We found no evidence for a systematic shift northwards across all species, even though 11 out of 46 southerly distributed species have expanded in the northern part of their distributions. For a subset of 35 species, we model the role of climate in limiting current European distributions and predict potential future distributions for the period 2070-2099. Most northerly distributed species will have little opportunity to expand northwards and will disappear from areas in the south, resulting in reduced range sizes. Southerly distributed species will have the potential to shift northwards, resulting in similar or increased range sizes. However, 30 out of 35 study species have failed to track recent climate changes because of lack of suitable habitat, so we revised our estimates accordingly for these species and predicted 65% and 24% declines in range sizes for northern and southern species, respectively. These revised estimates are likely to be more realistic predictions of future butterfly range sizes.

Rapid responses of British butterflies to opposing forces of climate and habitat change

Habitat degradation and climate change are thought to be altering the distributions and abundances of animals and plants throughout the world, but their combined impacts have not been assessed for any species assemblage. Here we evaluated changes in the distribution sizes and abundances of 46 species of butterflies that approach their northern climatic range margins in Britain-where changes in climate and habitat are opposing forces. These insects might be expected to have responded positively to climate warming over the past 30 years, yet three-quarters of them declined: negative responses to habitat loss have outweighed positive responses to climate warming. Half of the species that were mobile and habitat generalists increased their distribution sites over this period (consistent with a climate explanation), whereas the other generalists and 89% of the habitat specialists declined in distribution size (consistent with habitat limitation). Changes in population abundances closely matched changes in distributions. The dual forces of habitat modification and climate change are likely to cause specialists to decline, leaving biological communities with reduced numbers of species and dominated by mobile and widespread habitat generalists.

Standardisation of temperature observed by automatic weather stations

Daily mean, maximum and minimum surface air temperature data were gathered from a network of automatic weather stations (AWS) within the Moor House National Nature Reserve in northern England. Five AWS were installed next to the official Environmental Change Network weather station at Moor House. Data were compared graphically and correction constants were calculated to adjust data from each AWS to the standard of the official station by optimising the concordance correlation coefficient. Each corrected station was re-located next to one of five in-situ stations in and around the reserve, allowing correction of all temperature sensors to a common standard. The mean error associated with measured daily mean, maximum and minimum temperature for each sensor does not exceed +/- 0.2 K. The procedure quantifies a source of systematic measurement error, improving the identification of spatial temperature differences between stations.

A novel region of deletion on chromosome 6q23.3 spanning less than 500 Kb in high grade invasive epithelial ovarian cancer

Detailed deletion mapping of chromosome 6q sequences in invasive ovarian tumors have implicated several broad regions involving 6q14-16, 6q21-23, 6q25-26, and the telomeric portion in band 6q27 as regions of frequent loss in this malignancy. In order to define regions of loss involved in the development of ovarian cancer, we used 23 polymorphic markers on 6q to examine allelic loss in 25 high-grade, late stage ovarian tumors. Four non-overlapping deletion regions were observed: (1) at 6q21-22.3 (D6S301-D6S292); (2) within a 1 cM region at 23.2-23.3 between markers D6S978-D6S1637 (at D6S311); (3) at 6q26 (between markers D6S411-D6S1277) and (4) at 6q27 with the markers D6S297 and D6S193. The highest region of loss was observed with marker D6S311 (lost in 17 of 19 informative cases, 89%) in 6q23.3, followed by D6S977 and D6S1637 (71 and 55%, respectively). The average fractional allele loss in the high-grade tumors was around 35%. Previous reports have shown 6q27 as the region of most frequent loss in invasive ovarian cancer. However, our results indicate a novel region in 6q23.3 (spanning less than 500 Kb distance between the markers) with the highest loss, implicating this region of chromosome 6q to harbor a putative tumor suppressor gene involved in the development of invasive epithelial ovarian cancer.

Factors influencing recruitment and retention: why RNs work in rural and remote area hospitals

This study aimed to construct a demographic profile of registered nurses employed in three rural and three remote area hospitals in NSW. The study also identified factors that contributed to the nurses seeking their present positions, intending to remain in them or leave. Interviews were conducted with 52 registered nurses and all 158 nurses employed in the hospitals were subsequently surveyed using a questionnaire developed on the basis of the interviews. The major positive professional factors that nurses associated with their employment were: employers' recognition of the importance of continuing professional education, good relations with peers and job satisfaction. A liking for country life and a preference for raising their children in country towns were the RNs' main personal reasons for seeking and remaining in their employment. The major negative professional factors of employment were: poor attitudes of doctors and administrators, employers' lack of understanding of professional needs, inadequate backup, staff shortages and inadequate access to professional education. Concerns about their children's education and the cost of educating children away from home were the most commonly cited personal reasons for leaving, or intending to leave, employment.

Neurotensin is an autocrine trophic factor stimulated by androgen withdrawal in human prostate cancer

After therapeutic hormone deprivation, prostate cancer cells often develop androgen-insensitive growth through mechanisms thus far undefined. Neuropeptides have been previously implicated as growth factors in some prostate cancers. Here, we demonstrate that androgen-sensitive LNCaP human prostate cancer cells produce and secrete neurotensin following androgen withdrawal. We show that while LNCaP cells express the neurotensin receptor, only androgen-deprived cells exhibit a growth response to exogenous neurotensin. We further demonstrate that androgen-stimulated cells may be refractory to exogenous neurotensin due to androgen induction of a metalloprotease active toward neurotensin. Thus, prostate cancer cells deprived of androgen develop an alternative autocrine growth mechanism involving neurotensin.

Rapid Changes in the Range Limits of Scots Pine 4000 Years Ago

Paleoecological data provide estimates of response rates to past climate changes. Fossil Pinus sylvestris stumps in far northern Scotland demonstrate former presence of pine trees where conventional pollen evidence of pine forests is lacking. Radiocarbon, dendrochronological, and fine temporal-resolution palynological data show that pine forests were present for about four centuries some 4000 years ago; the forests expanded and then retreated rapidly some 70 to 80 kilometers. Despite the rapidity of this response to climate change, it occurred at rates slower by an order of magnitude than those necessary to maintain equilibrium with forecast climate changes attributed to the greenhouse effect.

Performance appraisal--in the search for the Holy Grail

Despite the enormous body of literature concerning Performance Appraisal, when all is said and done, more seems to have been said than done--at least done effectively. This article analyses the conceptual and methodological basis of performance appraisal, to disclose the complexity of this common management evaluation instrument. There is a concentration on methodology. This has been a purposeful approach since organisations have been, and are most concerned with the search for a sound methodology, akin to a search for the Holy Grail. Several common measurement tools are examined and it is finally concluded that there is no one best way to measure performance. A scheme that is methodologically sound and conceptually pure does not exist.

July Temperatures in Europe from Pollen Data, 6000 Years Before Present

Mean July temperatures across Europe 6000 years before present were reconstructed from palynological data by the transfer function method. Reconstructed summer temperatures were warmer than those at present over most of Europe with the greatest heating, more than 2 degrees C, in the midcontinent and the far north. This pattern is explained by high summer insolation and a weak zonal insolation gradient 6000 years before present and the effective heating of the landmass relative to ocean and coastal areas. A strong land-sea pressure gradient may in turn have increased westerly air flow into southern Europe, which is consistent with cooler reconstructed summer temperatures in the Mediterranean region, and reduced the environmental lapse rate in the central European mountains.

A pilot study of women's attitudes towards breast-conserving surgery with primary radiation therapy for breast cancer

Breast-conserving surgery ("lumpectomy") with primary radiation therapy is gaining acceptance as an alternative to mastectomy for breast cancer. Currently, little is known about the specific immediate and long-range biopsychosocial effects of breast-conserving therapy as compared to more traditional mastectomy procedures. Physicians' speculations about the women who chose breast-conserving treatment as opposed to mastectomy seem to have been influenced by the scientific debate concerning the efficacy of this procedure. This study is a preliminary investigation of the attitudes and experiences of women receiving breast-saving therapy for carcinoma of the breast.