Serum Tsukushi Level Is Associated With the Severity of Liver Fibrosis Independent of Type 2 Diabetes

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Tsukushi (TSK) is a recently identified hepatokine, and we aimed to investigate the association between systemic TSK and the severity of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in subjects with and without type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM).

METHODS

Three hundred ninety-three DM and 289 without DM individuals were recruited for transient elastography assessment to determine liver steatosis and fibrosis. Serum TSK was measured by ELISA. The presence of NAFLD was defined as controlled attenuation parameter ≥ 248 dB/m.

RESULTS

NAFLD was present in 276 (70.2%) and 129 (44.6%) subjects with and without DM respectively, and they had higher serum TSK levels than those without NAFLD [DM group: 91.0 ng/mL (61.7-133.8) vs 82.5 (60.9-118.5), P < .01 respectively; without DM group: 97.1 ng/mL (69.3-148.6) vs 80.8 (53.4-111.6) respectively, P < .01]. Univariate analysis showed that serum TSK significantly correlated with the degree of steatosis and fibrosis both in subjects with and without DM. On multivariable regression analysis, only liver stiffness and estimated glomerular filtration rate were significant determinants of TSK level, and the relationship was independent of diabetes and serum adiponectin. Out of 405 subjects with NAFLD, 49 had either advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis. The area under receiver operating characteristic curve of serum TSK to indicate advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis was 0.70 (95% CI .62-.77), which was significantly better than that of fibrosis-4 index, 0.64 (95% CI .55-.72), P < .05.

CONCLUSION

Serum TSK levels were increased in subjects with NAFLD and reflected the severity of liver fibrosis.

Ten metabolites-based algorithm predicts the future development of type 2 diabetes in Chinese

INTRODUCTION

Type 2 diabetes (T2D) is a heterogeneous metabolic disease with large variations in the relative contributions of insulin resistance and β-cell dysfunction across different glucose tolerance subgroups and ethnicities. A more precise yet feasible approach to categorize risk preceding T2D onset is urgently needed. This study aimed to identify potential metabolic biomarkers that could contribute to the development of T2D and investigate whether their impact on T2D is mediated through insulin resistance and β-cell dysfunction.

METHODS

A non-targeted metabolomic analysis was performed in plasma samples of 196 incident T2D cases and 196 age- and sex-matched non-T2D controls recruited from a long-term prospective Chinese community-based cohort with a follow-up period of ∼ 16 years.

RESULTS

Metabolic profiles revealed profound perturbation of metabolomes before T2D onset. Overall metabolic shifts were strongly associated with insulin resistance rather than β-cell dysfunction. In addition, 188 out of the 578 annotated metabolites were associated with insulin resistance. Bi-directional mediation analysis revealed putative causal relationships among the metabolites, insulin resistance and T2D risk. We built a machine-learning based prediction model, integrating the conventional clinical risk factors (age, BMI, TyG index and 2hG) and 10 metabolites (acetyl-tryptophan, kynurenine, γ-glutamyl-phenylalanine, DG(18:2/22:6), DG(38:7), LPI(18:2), LPC(P-16:0), LPC(P-18:1), LPC(P-20:0) and LPE(P-20:0)) (AUROC = 0.894, 5.6% improvement comparing to the conventional clinical risk model), that successfully predicts the development of T2D.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings support the notion that the metabolic changes resulting from insulin resistance, rather than β-cell dysfunction, are the primary drivers of T2D in Chinese adults. Metabolomes as a valuable phenotype hold potential clinical utility in the prediction of T2D.

Prospective associations of circulating thrombospondin-2 level with heart failure hospitalization, left ventricular remodeling and diastolic function in type 2 diabetes

Background

Circulating thrombospondin-2 (TSP2) levels were associated with the development of heart failure (HF) in recent studies. However, these studies included only a minority of patients with type 2 diabetes, which is associated with an increased HF risk. As hyperglycemia induces TSP2 expression and its tissue expression increases in type 2 diabetes, we investigated the prospective association of circulating TSP2 with incident HF hospitalization (HHF), and its associations with longitudinal changes of echocardiographic parameters in type 2 diabetes.

Methods

Baseline serum TSP2 levels were measured in 4949 patients with type 2 diabetes to determine its association with incident HHF using multivariable Cox regression analysis. In the echocardiographic study, baseline serum TSP2 levels were measured in another 146 patients with type 2 diabetes but without cardiovascular diseases who underwent detailed transthoracic echocardiography at baseline and after 1 year.

Results

Over a median follow-up of 7.8 years, 330 of 4949 patients (6.7%) developed incident HHF. Baseline serum TSP2 levels were independently associated with the development of HHF (HR 1.31, 95%CI 1.06–1.62, p = 0.014) after adjustments for baseline conventional cardiovascular risk factors, atrial fibrillation, estimated glomerular filtration rate, albuminuria and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein level, use of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, angiotensin receptor blockers, loop-diuretics, aspirin, insulin, metformin and sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 inhibitors. Moreover, baseline serum TSP2 levels were independently associated with increase in average E/e’ and left atrial volume index (p = 0.04 and < 0.01, respectively).

Conclusion

Serum TSP2 levels were independently associated with both incident HHF and deterioration in diastolic function in type 2 diabetes.

Trial registration

Not Applicable

Supplementary information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12933-022-01646-x.

Specific triacylglycerol, diacylglycerol, and lyso-phosphatidylcholine species for the prediction of type 2 diabetes: a ~ 16-year prospective study in Chinese

Background

Bioactive lipids play an important role in insulin secretion and sensitivity, contributing to the pathophysiology of type 2 diabetes (T2D). This study aimed to identify novel lipid species associated with incident T2D in a nested case–control study within a long-term prospective Chinese community-based cohort with a median follow-up of ~ 16 years.

Methods

Plasma samples from 196 incident T2D cases and 196 age- and sex-matched non-T2D controls recruited from the Hong Kong Cardiovascular Risk Factor Prevalence Study (CRISPS) were first analyzed using untargeted lipidomics. Potential predictive lipid species selected by the Boruta analysis were then verified by targeted lipidomics. The associations between these lipid species and incident T2D were assessed. Effects of novel lipid species on insulin secretion in mouse islets were investigated.

Results

Boruta analysis identified 16 potential lipid species. After adjustment for body mass index (BMI), triacylglycerol/high-density lipoprotein (TG/HDL) ratio and the presence of prediabetes, triacylglycerol (TG) 12:0_18:2_22:6, TG 16:0_11:1_18:2, TG 49:0, TG 51:1 and diacylglycerol (DG) 18:2_22:6 were independently associated with increased T2D risk, whereas lyso-phosphatidylcholine (LPC) O-16:0, LPC P-16:0, LPC O-18:0 and LPC 18:1 were independently associated with decreased T2D risk. Addition of the identified lipid species to the clinical prediction model, comprised of BMI, TG/HDL ratio and the presence of prediabetes, achieved a 3.8% improvement in the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC) (p = 0.0026). Further functional study revealed that, LPC O-16:0 and LPC O-18:0 significantly potentiated glucose induced insulin secretion (GSIS) in a dose-dependent manner, whereas neither DG 18:2_22:6 nor TG 12:0_18:2_22:6 had any effect on GSIS.

Conclusions

Addition of the lipid species substantially improved the prediction of T2D beyond the model based on clinical risk factors. Decreased levels of LPC O-16:0 and LPC O-18:0 may contribute to the development of T2D via reduced insulin secretion.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12933-022-01677-4.

Risk stratification and prognosis in pulmonary arterial hypertension: the Singapore experience

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: None.

Aims & Background: Guidelines recommend the risk stratification of patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) at baseline and on follow-up, so as to guide the management and titration of therapy in these patients.  This approach has been validated in various pulmonary hypertension registries in the West.  We aim to study the value of risk stratification on the prognosis of PAH patients in Asia.

Methods

A retrospective review of all PAH patients from 2002 to 2018 from a single tertiary cardiac centre was performed. Inclusion criteria was the availability of both initial visit and follow-up data. Patients were classified into low-, medium-, and high-risk groups in both initial and follow-up visits based on the variables in the 2015 ESC/ERS PH risk stratification table  according to the "score and average" method used by SPAHR and COMPERA registries (total score divided by number of variables assessed and rounded to nearest integer). An average score of 1, 2 and 3 was defined as low, medium and high risk respectively. The primary outcomes was all-cause mortality.

Results

 A total of 102 patients (mean age 57 ± 18 years old, 82 females) were included. Survival was significantly affected by PAH subtype and risk profile. On multivariate analysis, baseline risk did not impact on mortality. Follow-up risk stage impacted on prognosis, with significantly poorer prognosis noted in both intermediate- (adj HR 3.12, 95% CI 1.03 – 9.48, p = 0.045) and high-risk (adj HR = 7.84, 95% CI 2.22 – 27.64, p = 0.001) groups. Patients who improved their risk groups to low risk on follow-up had  similar survival to stable low-risk patients, but those patients whose risk group worsened on follow-up had significantly worse prognosis (adj HR = 5.44, 95% CI 1.26 – 13.75, p = 0.02).

Conclusion

Risk stratification is useful in prognosticating Asian PAH patients. There is potential survival benefit in optimising treatment to achieve a low-risk profile.

Different glycaemia-related risk factors for incident Alzheimer's disease in men and women with type 2 diabetes-A sex-specific analysis of the Hong Kong diabetes database

AIMS

Sexual dimorphism has been reported in the epidemiology, neurobiologic susceptibility and clinical presentation of Alzheimer's disease (AD). As poor glycaemic control is associated with increased risks of AD, we aimed to investigate whether glycaemia-related risk factors also differ between men and women, using a retrospective, sex-specific analysis of a large Chinese cohort with diabetes.

MATERIALS & METHODS

A total of 85,514 Chinese individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D; 46,783 women and 38,731 men), aged ≥60 years, were identified from electronic health records and observed for incident AD. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was used to evaluate the associations with incident AD of several glycaemia-related risk factors, including severe hypoglycaemia, mean HbA1c and indices of HbA1c variability, in men and women separately.

RESULTS

Over a median follow-up of 6 years, women had a higher incidence of AD than men (2.3% vs. 1.2%, p < 0.001). Both men and women shared the same independent non-glycaemic clinical predictors, which included older age, lower body mass index and longer duration of diabetes. However, for glycaemia-related risk factors, we observed that severe hypoglycaemia and indices of HbA1c variability were independent predictors of incident AD in women but not in men, and the associations were irrespective of their baseline glycaemic control and duration of diabetes.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings highlighted that glycaemia-related risk factors for incident AD differ between men and women with T2D. Strategies to maintain glycaemic stability and avoid severe hypoglycaemia might be especially important to preserve healthy cognition in older women with diabetes.

Thyroid Immune-Related Adverse Events Among Cancer Patients Treated With Combination of Anti-PD1 and Anti-CTLA4 Immune-Checkpoint Inhibitors: Clinical Course and Outcomes

Introduction: Thyroid immune-related adverse events (irAEs) have been reported to have prognostic significance among cancer patients treated with anti-PD1 and anti-PDL1 monotherapies. There are scanty data in the literature thus far about the clinical course and prognostic significance of thyroid irAEs in the routine clinical use of combination anti-PD1/anti-CTLA4 treatment in advanced cancer patients. We evaluated the clinical course and predictors of thyroid irAEs, in relation to outcomes of advanced cancer patients treated with combination anti-PD1/anti-CTLA4. Method: We conducted a territory-wide study and identified advanced cancer patients who received ≥1 cycle of combination anti-PD1/anti-CTLA4 between 2015 and 2019 in Hong Kong. Patients were excluded if (i) they had a history of thyroid disorder or thyroid cancer, (ii) immune checkpoint inhibitor-related endocrinopathies occurred before the commencement of combination anti-PD1/anti-CTLA4, (iii) they were on concurrent tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI), (iv) baseline thyroid function tests (TFTs) were absent or abnormal, and (v) the duration of follow-up was &lt;30 days. TFTs were monitored every three weeks. Thyroid irAE was defined by ≥2 abnormal TFTs after initiation of combination anti-PD1/anti-CTLA4 in the absence of other causes. The initial presentation was classified into hypothyroidism (overt if TSH &gt;4.8 mIU/L and fT4 &lt;12 pmol/L; subclinical if TSH &gt;4.8 mIU/L and fT4 12-23 pmol/L) and thyrotoxicosis (overt if TSH &lt;0.35 mIU/L and fT4 &gt;23 pmol/L; subclinical if TSH &lt;0.35 mIU/L and fT4 12-23 pmol/L). Results: One hundred and three patients were included (median age: 59 years; 71.8% men). Around half of patients had hepatocellular carcinoma. About 45% had prior anti-PD1 exposure. Upon median follow-up of 6.8 months, 17 patients (16.5%) developed thyroid irAEs, where 6 initially presented with thyrotoxicosis (overt, n=4; subclinical, n=2), and 11 with hypothyroidism (overt, n=2; subclinical, n=9). Eventually, 10 patients (58.8%) required continuous thyroxine replacement. Systemic steroid was not required in all cases. Prior anti-PD1 exposure (OR 3.67, 95% CI 1.19-11.4, p=0.024) independently predicted thyroid irAEs. Multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed that occurrence of thyroid irAEs was associated with better overall survival (adjusted hazard ratio 0.39, 95% CI 0.19-0.79, p=0.009), independent of prior exposure to anti-PD1 (p=0.386) and prior TKI exposure (p=0.155). Conclusion: Thyroid irAEs are common in routine clinical practice among advanced cancer patients treated with combination anti-PD1/anti-CTLA4, and might have potential prognostic significance. Regular TFT monitoring is advised for timely treatment of thyroid irAEs to prevent potential morbidities.

Identification of ANXA2 as a Potential Susceptibility Gene for Diabetic Retinopathy in a Genome-Wide Association Analysis in Chinese Patients With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus

Background: Diabetic retinopathy (DR) is the most frequent microvascular complication of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Variation in allele frequencies between different ethnic groups may influence the detectability of the risk variants in different populations. It is therefore important to conduct ethnic-specific association analysis to discover novel loci. The major objective of this study was to conduct a 2-stage genome-wide association study (GWAS) to identify novel susceptibility single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) for sight-threatening DR in Chinese patients with T2DM.

Methods and Materials: The discovery stage consisted of 681 STDR cases and 758 non-STDR controls of Southern Chinese ancestry. The Illumina Infinium Asian Screening Array (ASA) was used for genotyping of the subjects. Imputation was performed using the TOPMed Imputation Server. SNPs with minor allele frequency (MAF) <0.01 and INFO score <0.3 were excluded. Single variant association analysis was performed in SNPTEST using the multiple logistic regression model with adjustment for age, gender, duration of diabetes, hypertension, hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), and the first five principal components. The replication cohort was comprised of an independent sample set of 278 STDR cases and 834 non-STDR controls. Meta-analysis of the association results of the discovery and replication stages was conducted using the “GWAMA” software. The inverse variance fixed-effect method was used to meta-analyze the summary statistics of the two stages.

Results: In the discovery stage, the strongest association was detected at an intronic variant of ANXA2 (P=1.87x10^-7; OR[95%CI]:1.59[1.31–1.96]). Ninety-three SNPs showing suggestive associations (P<5x10^-5) with STDR in the discovery stage were selected for replication. In the meta-analysis of the two stages, the ANXA2 SNP again showed the strongest association with STDR (P=2.18x10^-6; OR[95%CI]: 1.45[1.24–1.70]). ANXA2 encodes the annexin A2 which has been shown to play an important role in promoting angiogenesis. An intronic SNP of DOC2B, a tumor suppressor gene that exhibits functions in cell proliferation and migration, also demonstrated a marginal association with STDR (P=5.17x10^-6; OR[95%CI]: 1.41[1.22–1.63]). Two intergenic variants located at the RPL31P11-FCRLA (P=7.25x10^-6; OR[95%CI]: 1.54[1.27–1.85]) and COL6A1-COL6A2 (P=9.60x10^-6; OR[95%CI]: 0.73[0.63–0.84]) loci also showed suggestive associations with STDR.

Conclusion: Several novel STDR-associated genetic variants were identified in this genome-wide association study. Our findings have shed new lights on the genetic basis of STDR in Chinese patients with T2DM. Further validation in independent cohorts to validate our findings are warranted.

Acknowledgements: This study was supported by the Research Grant Council – General Research Fund of Hong Kong (Ref no.: 17118119).

Insights From Prospective Follow-up of Thyroid Function and Autoimmunity Among Covid-19 Survivors

Objective: Occurrence of Graves’ disease and Hashimoto’s thyroiditis after coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) raised the concern about severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) triggering thyroid autoimmunity. Uncertainties remain regarding incident thyroid dysfunction and autoimmunity among COVID-19 survivors. We carried out a prospective study to characterize the evolution of thyroid function and autoimmunity among COVID-19 survivors. Method: Consecutive adult patients, without known thyroid disorders, admitted to Queen Mary Hospital for confirmed COVID-19 from 21 July to 21 September 2020 were included. Serum levels of thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH), free thyroxine (fT4), free triiodothyronine (fT3) and anti-thyroid antibodies were measured on admission and at 3 months. Positive anti-thyroid peroxidase (anti-TPO) and anti-thyroglobulin (anti-Tg) was defined by >100 units. Results: Among 200 COVID-19 survivors, 122 had reassessment thyroid function tests (TFTs) (median age: 57.5 years; 49.2% men). Baseline characteristics of patients who did and did not have reassessment were comparable. Among the 20 patients with baseline abnormal TFTs on admission, mostly low fT3, 15 recovered. Of the 102 patients with normal TFTs on admission, two (2.0%) had new onset abnormal TFTs, which may represent TFTs in different phases of thyroiditis (one had mildly elevated TSH 5.8 mIU/L, with normal fT4 [16 pmol/L] and fT3 [4.3 pmol/L], the other had mildly raised fT4 25 pmol/L with normal TSH [1.1 mIU/L] and fT3 [4.7 pmol/L]). Among 104 patients with anti-thyroid antibody titers reassessed, we observed increases in anti-TPO (baseline: 28.3 units [IQR 14.0-67.4] vs reassessment: 35.0 units [IQR: 18.8-99.0]; p<0.001) and anti-Tg titers (baseline: 6.6 units [IQR 4.9-15.6] vs reassessment: 8.7 units [IQR: 6.6-15.4]; p<0.001), but no change in anti-TSHR titer (baseline: 1.0 IU/L [IQR: 0.8-1.2] vs reassessment: 1.0 IU/L [IQR: 0.8-1.3]; p=0.486). Of the 82 patients with negative anti-TPO at baseline, 16 had significant interval increase in anti-TPO titer by >12 units (2×6 [precision of the anti-TPO assay in normal range being 6 units per SD]), of these, four became anti-TPO positive. Factors associated a significant increase in anti-TPO titer included worse baseline clinical severity (p=0.018), elevated C-reactive protein during hospitalization (p=0.033), and higher baseline anti-TPO titer (p=0.005). Conclusion: Majority of thyroid dysfunction on admission recovered during convalescence. Abnormal TFTs suggestive of thyroiditis could occur during convalescence, though uncommon. Importantly, we provided the novel observation of an increase in anti-thyroid antibody titers post-COVID-19, suggesting the potential of SARS-CoV-2 in triggering thyroid autoimmunity, which warrants further follow-up for incident thyroid dysfunction among COVID-19 survivors.

Potential role of fibroblast growth factor 21 in the deterioration of bone quality in impaired glucose tolerance

PURPOSE

Findings on trabecular bone score (TBS), an index of bone quality, have been reported in prediabetes defined by impaired fasting glucose or HbA1c. Here, we assessed the bone mineral density (BMD) and TBS in prediabetes individuals with impaired glucose tolerance (IGT), and investigated the association of these bone parameters with serum levels of fibroblast growth factor 21 (FGF21), a hormone implicated in bone metabolism and with higher levels in IGT.

METHODS

Chinese postmenopausal women aged 55-80 years, without diabetes, were recruited from the Hong Kong Cardiovascular Risk Factor Prevalence Study in 2016-2018. Normal glucose tolerance (NGT) was defined by fasting glucose < 5.6 mmol/L and 2-h plasma glucose (2hG) < 7.8 mmol/L, and IGT by 2hG 7.8-11 mmol/L. Serum levels of FGF21 and other bone metabolism regulators were measured. Insulin sensitivity was assessed by the Matsuda index. Independent determinants of TBS were evaluated using multivariable stepwise linear regression.

RESULTS

173 individuals with NGT and 73 with IGT were included. TBS was lower in those with IGT compared to those with NGT, while BMD was comparable. Individuals with IGT had significantly higher serum FGF21 levels, which in turn showed an independent inverse relationship with TBS, attenuated after inclusion of the Matsuda index. Serum FGF21 levels, however, did not correlate with BMD.

CONCLUSION

Among Chinese postmenopausal women, bone quality was worse in IGT, despite comparable bone density. FGF21 levels showed a significant independent inverse relationship with TBS, partly attributed to insulin resistance. Whether FGF21 contributes to the impaired bone quality in IGT remains speculative.

Possible Modifying Effect of Hemoglobin A1c on Genetic Susceptibility to Severe Diabetic Retinopathy in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes

Purpose

Glycemic control has been recognized as an important modifiable risk factor for diabetic retinopathy (DR). Whether hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), as an indicator of glycemic control, could modify the genetic susceptibility to severe DR remains to be investigated. This study aimed to investigate whether HbA1c could modulate the genetic susceptibility to severe DR in Chinese patients with type 2 diabetes.

Methods

A total of 3,093 Chinese individuals with type 2 diabetes were included in the cross-sectional case-control study: 1,051 with sight-threatening DR (STDR) and 2,042 without STDR. Sixty-nine top-ranked single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) identified from previous genome-wide association studies were examined for their associations with STDR and proliferative DR as a subgroup analysis. SNPs showing suggestive associations with DR were examined in the stratified analysis by dichotomized HbA1c (<7% vs. ≥7%). An interaction analysis was performed by including an interaction term of SNP × HbA1c in the regression model.

Results

Four SNPs showed suggestive associations with STDR. In the stratified analysis, patients with adequate glycemic control (HbA1c <7%) had a 42% lower risk of STDR for carrying each additional protective C allele of COL5A1 rs59126004 (P = 1.76 × 10⁻⁴; odds ratio, 0.58; 95% confidence interval, 0.44–0.77). rs59126004 demonstrated a significant interaction with dichotomized HbA1c on the risk of STDR (P_interaction = 1.733 × 10⁻³). In the subgroup analysis for proliferative DR, the protective effect of rs59126004 was even more pronouncedly demonstrated (P = 8.35 × 10⁻⁵; odds ratio, 0.37; 95% confidence interval, 0.22–0.60) and it showed similar interactions with dichotomized HbA1c (P_interaction = 1.729 × 10⁻³).

Conclusions

Our data provided evidence for possible interactions between HbA1c and COL5A1 rs59126004 on the risk of severe DR. These findings may provide new insight into the pathophysiologic mechanism of DR.

HbA1c variability, in addition to mean HbA1c, predicts incident hip fractures in Chinese people with type 2 diabetes

Type 2 diabetes is associated with an increased risk of hip fractures. We hypothesize that long-term glycemic variability predicts incident hip fractures. We demonstrated that HbA1c variability predicted incident hip fractures independent of mean HbA1c, suggesting the potential benefits of minimizing glycemic variability in addition to optimizing mean glycemia for bone health.

INTRODUCTION

Type 2 diabetes is associated with an increased risk of hip fractures, and a linear relationship between HbA1c levels and hip fracture incidence has been observed. We hypothesize that HbA1c variability also predicts incident hip fractures in type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

Chinese individuals with type 2 diabetes aged ≥ 60 years were identified from electronic health records in Hong Kong between 2008 and 2012 and observed for incident hip fractures. Hip fracture was defined by the International Classification of Diseases (Ninth Revision) code 820. HbA1c variability was determined using standard deviation, adjusted standard deviation, and coefficient of variation of HbA1c measurements in the 5 years preceding the entry date. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was used to evaluate associations between HbA1c variability and incident hip fractures.

RESULTS

A total of 83,282 participants were included. Their mean age was 71.3 ± 7.5 years, duration of diabetes 11.7 ± 7.7 years, baseline HbA1c 56.6 ± 13.5 mmol/mol (7.33 ± 1.23%), and median follow-up 6.8 years. All indices of HbA1c variability were significant independent predictors of incident hip fractures, with an adjusted hazard ratio of up to 1.29 (all p < 0.001), and remained to be independent predictors across groups of different intensity of glycemic control. Mean HbA1c ≥ 64 mmol/mol (8.0%) was associated with a 25% increase in incident hip fractures compared with mean HbA1c < 53 mmol/mol (7.0%).

CONCLUSION

HbA1c variability is an independent positive predictor of hip fracture in type 2 diabetes, across the spectrum of varying degree of glycemic control, while a high HbA1c is also not advisable from the perspective of bone health.

SUN-372 Deterioration of Bone Microarchitecture in Prediabetes Is Partly Mediated Through Fibroblast Growth Factor 21

Introduction: Prediabetes has been reported to be associated with a worse trabecular bone score (TBS). Fibroblast growth factor 21 (FGF21) levels are raised in prediabetes and other insulin-resistant states, and FGF21 has been reported to be implicated in bone metabolism. We compared the bone mineral density (BMD) and TBS between prediabetes and normoglycemia, and studied the correlation of FGF21 with BMD and TBS. Method: Chinese postmenopausal women aged between 55 and 80 and without type 2 diabetes were recruited from the Hong Kong Cardiovascular Risk Factor Prevalence Study between November 2016 and October 2018. Participants were excluded if they were already on anti-osteoporosis therapy, had secondary causes of osteoporosis, had body mass index (BMI) <15 or >37 kg/m² (when TBS measurement may not be accurate), or had an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <30mL/min. They were divided into prediabetes (defined by fasting glucose ≥5.6mmol/L or HbA1c ≥5.7%) and normoglycemia. BMD and TBS were measured by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry. Serum FGF21 levels were measured with an in-house ELISA kit. Results: 258 participants were included (130 prediabetes and 128 normoglycemia), with a mean age of 61.5±5.1years and mean BMI of 24.2±3.7kg/m². BMD over lumbar spine, femoral neck and total hip were all comparable between prediabetes and normoglycaemia, while TBS was lower in prediabetes (1.27±0.07 vs 1.30±0.07, p=0.007), which remained significant after adjustment for age and BMI. Serum FGF21 levels did not correlate with BMD but inversely correlated with TBS. On multiple linear regression models, serum FGF21 levels showed an independent inverse correlation with TBS (standardized beta -0.13, p=0.031), which remained significant with the inclusion of homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) in the model. Conclusion: Among Chinese postmenopausal women, bone quality was worse in prediabetes despite comparable bone density. Serum FGF21 levels showed a significant independent correlation with TBS, suggesting the potential impact of FGF21 on the deterioration of the bone microarchitecture in prediabetes.

Higher Circulating Adiponectin Concentrations Predict Incident Cancer in Type 2 Diabetes - The Adiponectin Paradox

INTRODUCTION

Despite the beneficial cardiometabolic effects of adiponectin demonstrated in preclinical studies, paradoxically higher circulating adiponectin concentrations have been found in epidemiological studies to be associated with incident cardiovascular events, renal outcomes, and mortality in patients with diabetes. On the other hand, diabetes is also associated with an increased risk of cancer. Here, we investigated prospectively the association between circulating adiponectin concentrations and incident cancer using a cohort of exclusively individuals with type 2 diabetes.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Baseline serum adiponectin concentrations were measured in 5658 participants recruited from the Hong Kong West Diabetes Registry. The associations of circulating adiponectin concentrations with incident cancer and cancer-related deaths were evaluated using multivariable Cox regression analysis, with hazard ratio (HR) for adiponectin referring to the respective risk per doubling of serum adiponectin concentration.

RESULTS

Over a median-follow up of 6.5 years, 7.53% and 3% of participants developed cancer and had cancer-related deaths, respectively. Serum adiponectin concentrations were significantly higher in those who had incident cancer (9.8 μg/mL vs 9.1 μg/mL, P < 0.001) and cancer-related deaths (11.5 μg/mL vs 9.3 μg/mL, P < 0.001) compared with those without. Moreover, in multivariable analyses, serum adiponectin concentration was independently associated with both incident cancer (hazard ratio, 1.19; 95% confidence interval, 1.05-1.35; P = 0.006) and cancer-related deaths (hazard ratio, 1.23; 95% confidence interval, 1.03-1.47; P = 0.024).

CONCLUSIONS

Higher serum adiponectin concentration was independently associated with incident cancer and cancer-related deaths in type 2 diabetes, indicating that adiponectin paradox can be observed in another major diabetic complication in addition to cardiovascular and kidney diseases.

A clinical prediction score using age at diagnosis and saline infusion test parameters can predict aldosterone-producing adenoma from idiopathic adrenal hyperplasia

PURPOSE

Accurate subtyping of the primary aldosteronism into aldosterone-producing adenoma (APA) and idiopathic adrenal hyperplasia (IAH) is important to direct for specific treatment modalities. The objective of the study was to compare the clinical and biochemical parameters of APA and IAH patients to derive a Clinical Prediction Score reliably predicting APA from IAH.

METHODS

This was a retrospective multi-centre study recruiting 38 APA patients and 42 IAH patients from four major hospitals in Hong Kong using database from Surgical Outcomes Monitoring and Improvement Programme and Clinical Data Analysis and Reporting System. Their clinical and biochemical parameters were evaluated.

RESULTS

Patients in APA group were younger than IAH group (mean age 48.6 ± 9.2 vs. 57.1 ± 7.3 years old, p < 0.001), had more suppressed renin before saline infusion in saline infusion test (SIT) (median 0.19 [IQR 0.15-0.37] vs. 0.39 [IQR 0.19-0.69] ng/mL/h, p = 0.01), and higher aldosterone level after saline infusion in SIT (median 674 [IQR 498-1000] vs. 327 [IQR 242-483] pmol/L, p < 0.001). A clinical prediction score using three parameters was devised, comprising age at diagnosis < 50 years, PRA before saline infusion in SIT ≤ 0.26 ng/mL/h, and aldosterone level after saline infusion in SIT ≥ 424 pmol/L. A score of 2 would predict APA with a sensitivity of 84.2% and specificity of 88.1%, and a score of 3 would predict APA with a sensitivity of 31.6% and specificity of 100%.

CONCLUSIONS

Clinical Prediction Score based on the combination of age at diagnosis, PRA, and aldosterone level in the saline infusion tests could reliably predict APA from IAH.

Genetic Regulation of Pigment Epithelium-Derived Factor (PEDF): An Exome-Chip Association Analysis in Chinese Subjects With Type 2 Diabetes

Elevated circulating levels of pigment epithelium-derived factor (PEDF) have been reported in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and its associated microvascular complications. This study aimed to 1) identify the genetic determinants influencing circulating PEDF levels in a clinical setting of T2D, 2) examine the relationship between circulating PEDF and diabetes complications, and 3) explore the causal relationship between PEDF and diabetes complications. An exome-chip association study on circulating PEDF levels was conducted in 5,385 Chinese subjects with T2D. A meta-analysis of the association results of the discovery stage (n = 2,936) and replication stage (n = 2,449) was performed. The strongest association was detected at SERPINF1 (p.Met72Thr; P_combined = 2.06 × 10^-57; β [SE] -0.33 [0.02]). Two missense variants of SMYD4 (p.Arg131Ile; P_combined = 7.56 × 10^-25; β [SE] 0.21 [0.02]) and SERPINF2 (p.Arg33Trp; P_combined = 8.22 × 10^-10; β [SE] -0.15 [0.02]) showed novel associations at genome-wide significance. Elevated circulating PEDF levels were associated with increased risks of diabetic nephropathy and sight-threatening diabetic retinopathy. Mendelian randomization analysis showed suggestive evidence of a protective role of PEDF on sight-threatening diabetic retinopathy (P = 0.085). Our study provided new insights into the genetic regulation of PEDF and further support for its potential application as a biomarker for diabetic nephropathy and sight-threatening diabetic retinopathy. Further studies to explore the causal relationship of PEDF with diabetes complications are warranted.

Prospective associations of circulating adipocyte fatty acid-binding protein levels with risks of renal outcomes and mortality in type 2 diabetes

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

Elevated circulating adipocyte fatty acid-binding protein (AFABP) levels have been found to correlate with diabetic nephropathy staging in cross-sectional studies. However, it remains unclear whether these higher serum levels reflect a role of AFABP in the development of diabetic kidney disease (DKD), or simply result from its impaired renal clearance in DKD. Here we investigated prospectively the prognostic importance of serum AFABP level in the development of adverse renal outcomes in a large clinic-based cohort of participants with type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

Baseline serum AFABP levels were measured in 5454 Chinese participants from the Hong Kong West Diabetes Registry. The association between circulating AFABP levels and incident adverse renal outcomes-defined as a composite endpoint of a sustained 40% decline in eGFR, end-stage renal disease requiring renal replacement therapy or kidney transplantation, or renal deaths-was evaluated using multivariable Cox regression analysis.

RESULTS

Over a median follow-up of 5 years, 754 of the 5454 participants developed incident adverse renal outcomes. Elevated circulating AFABP levels were independently associated with incident adverse renal outcomes (HR 1.43, 95% CI 1.31, 1.57, p < 0.001) after adjustments for conventional risk factors for DKD progression. Importantly, the prognostic role of serum AFABP was independent of the baseline albuminuria status or eGFR levels of the study participants.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Circulating AFABP levels were predictive of incident adverse renal outcomes, even in participants with relatively well-preserved kidney function at baseline, suggesting its potential to be a useful marker for early risk stratification in DKD.

Dietary Intake of Anti-Oxidant Vitamins A, C, and E Is Inversely Associated with Adverse Cardiovascular Outcomes in Chinese-A 22-Years Population-Based Prospective Study

Background: Conflicting and population-dependent findings have been reported from epidemiological studies on the associations of dietary intake of anti-oxidant vitamins with cardiovascular events. We investigated the prospective relationship between dietary intake of anti-oxidant vitamins and incident adverse cardiovascular outcomes amongst Hong Kong Chinese. Methods: In this prospective population-based study, baseline dietary intake of anti-oxidant vitamins (A, C, and E) were assessed using a food frequency questionnaire in 875 Chinese participants from the Hong Kong Cardiovascular Risk Factor Prevalence Study (CRISPS) in 1995–1996. The adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of incident adverse cardiovascular outcomes, defined as the first recorded diagnosis of cardiovascular deaths, non-fatal myocardial infarction or non-fatal stroke, and coronary or other arterial revascularizations, was calculated per unit intake of each vitamin using multivariable Cox regression. Results: Over a median follow-up of 22 years, 85 participants (9.7%) developed adverse cardiovascular outcomes. Dietary intakes of vitamin A, C, and E were independently and inversely associated with incident adverse cardiovascular outcomes (HR 0.68, 95%CI 0.53–0.88, p = 0.003 for vitamin A; HR 0.66, 95%CI 0.52–0.85, p = 0.001 for vitamin C; and HR 0.57, 95%CI 0.38–0.86, p = 0.017 for vitamin E) after adjustments for conventional cardiovascular risk factors at baseline. Conclusions: Dietary intakes of anti-oxidant vitamins A, C, and E reduced the risk of adverse cardiovascular outcomes in Hong Kong Chinese.

Circulating Adipocyte Fatty Acid–Binding Protein Concentrations Predict Multiple Mortality Outcomes among Men and Women with Diabetes

INTRODUCTION

Raised circulating adipocyte fatty acid–binding protein (AFABP) concentrations are associated with various adverse health conditions. However, their relationship with mortality remains to be defined, especially in view of the sexual dimorphism of circulating AFABP concentrations. Here we investigated prospectively whether serum AFABP concentrations predict multiple mortality outcomes in men and women alike, using a large clinic-based cohort of individuals with type 2 diabetes, a condition with raised AFABP concentrations.

METHODS

Baseline serum AFABP concentrations were measured in 5305 research participants with a monoclonal antibody-based sandwich immunoassay. The role of circulating AFABP concentrations in predicting mortality outcomes was evaluated by multivariable Cox regression analysis.

RESULTS

Among the 5305 participants (59% men) in this study, over a median follow-up of 5 years, there were 512 deaths (19.3 deaths per 1000 person-years). Circulating AFABP concentrations, with higher levels in women at baseline, predicted all-cause mortality (P &lt; 0.001), cardiovascular mortality (P = 0.037), and infection-related deaths (P &lt; 0.002) among all participants. In sex-specific analyses, circulating AFABP concentration was an independent predictor of all-cause mortality in both men and women and a predictor of cancer-related deaths and infection-related deaths in men only. Furthermore, the addition of serum AFABP concentrations improved the time-dependent c statistics in predicting all-cause mortality in participants with type 2 diabetes (P = 0.008).

CONCLUSIONS

Circulating AFABP concentration was an independent predictor of various mortality outcomes in type 2 diabetes over and above known risk factors of reduced survival in men and women. The role of AFABP as a prognostic biomarker and therapeutic target warrants further investigation.

Rhinovirus respiratory tract infection in hospitalized adult patients is associated with TH2 response irrespective of asthma

OBJECTIVES

We assessed the immunological response of hospitalized adult patients with rhinovirus infection, including critically-ill patients.

METHODS

The differential white blood cell (WBC) count and the levels of 29 plasma cytokines/chemokines were compared between 50 adult hospitalized patients with rhinovirus infection and 100 age-matched controls with influenza virus infection.

RESULTS

The demographics and comorbidities were similar between rhinovirus and influenza patients, but severe disease was more common for the rhinovirus cohort. Rhinovirus patients had significantly higher WBC counts than influenza patients, especially for eosinophil (P = 3.1 × 10^-8). The level of the T_H2 cytokine IL-5 was significantly higher among rhinovirus patients, while the levels of 9 other cytokines/chemokines were significantly lower among rhinovirus patients. The levels of CXCL-10 (IP-10), CCL-2 (MCP-1), IFN-α2, IFN-γ, IL-10, and IL-15 remained significantly lower among rhinovirus patients after correction for multiple comparisons. Notably, CXCL-10 had the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) in differentiating rhinovirus from influenza patients (AUC, 0.918). In the patient subgroup without asthma, the difference in the WBC count and cytokine/chemokine levels between rhinovirus and influenza patients remained statistically significant.

CONCLUSIONS

Rhinovirus infection was characterized by a prominent T_H2 response, even in patients without asthma. CXCL-10 (IP-10) is a potential biomarker in differentiating rhinovirus from influenza infection.

An Exome-Chip Association Analysis in Chinese Subjects Reveals a Functional Missense Variant of GCKR That Regulates FGF21 Levels

Fibroblast growth factor 21 (FGF21) is increasingly recognized as an important metabolic regulator of glucose homeostasis. Here, we conducted an exome-chip association analysis by genotyping 5,169 Chinese individuals from a community-based cohort and two clinic-based cohorts. A custom Asian exome-chip was used to detect genetic determinants influencing circulating FGF21 levels. Single-variant association analysis interrogating 70,444 single nucleotide polymorphisms identified a novel locus, GCKR, significantly associated with circulating FGF21 levels at genome-wide significance. In the combined analysis, the common missense variant of GCKR, rs1260326 (p.Pro446Leu), showed an association with FGF21 levels after adjustment for age and sex (P = 1.61 × 10^-12; β [SE] = 0.14 [0.02]), which remained significant on further adjustment for BMI (P = 3.01 × 10^-14; β [SE] = 0.15 [0.02]). GCKR Leu446 may influence FGF21 expression via its ability to increase glucokinase (GCK) activity. This can lead to enhanced FGF21 expression via elevated fatty acid synthesis, consequent to the inhibition of carnitine/palmitoyl-transferase by malonyl-CoA, and via increased glucose-6-phosphate-mediated activation of the carbohydrate response element binding protein, known to regulate FGF21 gene expression. Our findings shed new light on the genetic regulation of FGF21 levels. Further investigations to dissect the relationship between GCKR and FGF21, with respect to the risk of metabolic diseases, are warranted.

Which creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate equation best predicts all-cause mortality in Chinese subjects with type 2 diabetes?

AIM

In Chinese, ethnicity-based and/or diabetes specific modifications of the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) and the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equations have been developed for determining estimated glomerular filtrate rate (eGFR). This study aimed to compare the performance of five different creatinine-based eGFR equations in predicting all-cause mortality among Chinese subjects with type 2 diabetes (T2DM).

METHODS

A total of 6739 Chinese subjects with T2DM were included. Their eGFR was calculated using the MDRD, CKD-EPI, their respective modified equations for Chinese, and the diabetes specific CKD-EPI Chinese T2DM equations. Multiple Cox regression analysis was used to evaluate the associations of eGFR with all-cause mortality. C-statistics, net reclassification index (NRI) and integrated discrimination index (IDI) were applied to assess the discrimination and reclassification of each eGFR equation in predicting mortality outcome.

RESULTS

Over a follow-up of 5.7years, the incidence of all-cause mortality was 12.9% (N=867). The CKD-EPI equation discriminated all-cause mortality better than the MDRD equation (C-statistics: 0.714 vs. 0.689, p<0.0001), and Chinese modification of their respective equations did not improve discrimination. Among the five eGFR equations evaluated, the CKD-EPI Chinese T2DM equation provided the best discrimination in predicting all-cause mortality among Chinese subjects with T2DM, and was the only equation providing a significantly positive NRI and IDI relative to the CKD-EPI equation.

CONCLUSIONS

Among Chinese subjects with T2DM, our findings suggested that the CKD-EPI Chinese T2DM equation best predicted all-cause mortality, and relative to the CKD-EPI equation, conferred improved discrimination and reclassification.

Serum fibroblast growth factor 21 is a superior biomarker to other adipokines in predicting incident diabetes

OBJECTIVE

Fibroblast growth factor 21 (FGF21) improves glucose and lipid metabolism, but high circulating levels are found in type 2 diabetes, suggesting FGF21 resistance. Serum FGF21 predicts incident diabetes, but its performance compared to established and emerging predictors is not known. We aimed to study the performance of FGF21 in diabetes prediction, relative to other adipokines and established risk factors including 2-h plasma glucose (2hG) during the oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT).

DESIGN/PARTICIPANTS/MEASUREMENTS

We studied 1380 nondiabetic subjects from the Hong Kong Cardiovascular Risk Factor Prevalence Study using the second visit (2000-2004) as baseline when serum levels of FGF21 and other adipokines were measured. Glycaemic status was assessed by OGTT. Incident diabetes was defined as fasting glucose level (FG) ≥ 7 mmol/l or 2hG ≥ 11·1 mmol/l or use of antidiabetic agents, at subsequent visits.

RESULTS

A total of 123 participants developed diabetes over 9·0 years (median). On multivariable logistic regression analysis, FGF21 (P = 0·003), adipocyte fatty acid-binding protein (P = 0·003) and adiponectin (P = 0·035) were independent predictors of incident diabetes. FGF21 had the best change in log likelihood when added to a diabetes prediction model (DP) based on age, family history, smoking, hypertension, BMI, dyslipidaemia and FG. It also improved the area under ROC curve (AUROC) of diabetes prediction (DP) from 0·797 to 0·819 (P = 0·0072), rendering its performance comparable to the 'DP + 2hG' model (AUROC=0·838, P = 0·19).

CONCLUSIONS

As a biomarker for diabetes prediction, serum FGF21 appeared to be superior to other adipokines and, on its own, could be considered as an alternative to the OGTT.

Exome-chip association analysis reveals an Asian-specific missense variant in PAX4 associated with type 2 diabetes in Chinese individuals

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

Genome-wide association studies (GWASs) have identified many common type 2 diabetes-associated variants, mostly at the intronic or intergenic regions. Recent advancements of exome-array genotyping platforms have opened up a novel means for detecting the associations of low-frequency or rare coding variants with type 2 diabetes. We conducted an exomechip association analysis to identify additional type 2 diabetes susceptibility variants in the Chinese population.

METHODS

An exome-chip association study was conducted by genotyping 5640 Chinese individuals from Hong Kong, using a custom designed exome array, the Asian Exomechip. Single variant association analysis was conducted on 77,468 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). Fifteen SNPs were subsequently genotyped for replication analysis in an independent Chinese cohort comprising 12,362 individuals from Guangzhou. A combined analysis involving 7189 cases and 10,813 controls was performed.

RESULTS

In the discovery stage, an Asian-specific coding variant rs2233580 (p.Arg192His) in PAX4, and two variants at the known loci, CDKN2B-AS1 and KCNQ1, were significantly associated with type 2 diabetes with exome-wide significance (p _discovery < 6.45 × 10^-7). The risk allele (T) of PAX4 rs2233580 was associated with a younger age at diabetes diagnosis. This variant was replicated in an independent cohort and demonstrated a stronger association that reached genome-wide significance (p _{meta-analysis} [p _meta] = 3.74 × 10^-15) in the combined analysis.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

We identified the association of a PAX4 Asian-specific missense variant rs2233580 with type 2 diabetes in an exome-chip association analysis, supporting the involvement of PAX4 in the pathogenesis of type 2 diabetes. Our findings suggest PAX4 is a possible effector gene of the 7q32 locus, previously identified from GWAS in Asians.

Exome-wide association analysis reveals novel coding sequence variants associated with lipid traits in Chinese

Blood lipids are important risk factors for coronary artery disease (CAD). Here we perform an exome-wide association study by genotyping 12,685 Chinese, using a custom Illumina HumanExome BeadChip, to identify additional loci influencing lipid levels. Single-variant association analysis on 65,671 single nucleotide polymorphisms reveals 19 loci associated with lipids at exome-wide significance (P<2.69 × 10⁻⁷), including three Asian-specific coding variants in known genes (CETP p.Asp459Gly, PCSK9 p.Arg93Cys and LDLR p.Arg257Trp). Furthermore, missense variants at two novel loci—PNPLA3 p.Ile148Met and PKD1L3 p.Thr429Ser—also influence levels of triglycerides and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, respectively. Another novel gene, TEAD2, is found to be associated with high-density lipoprotein cholesterol through gene-based association analysis. Most of these newly identified coding variants show suggestive association (P<0.05) with CAD. These findings demonstrate that exome-wide genotyping on samples of non-European ancestry can identify additional population-specific possible causal variants, shedding light on novel lipid biology and CAD.

An important risk factor for coronary artery disease is the level of blood lipids. Here the authors conduct an exome-wide association study in Chinese cohorts and identify three novel loci associated with lipid levels as well as three Asian-specific variants in known loci.

Genetics of Apparently Sporadic Pheochromocytoma and Paraganglioma in a Chinese Population

Identification of germline mutation in patients with apparently sporadic pheochromocytomas and paragangliomas is crucial. Clinical indicators, which include young age, bilateral or multifocal, extra-adrenal, malignant, or recurrent tumors, predict the likelihood of harboring germline mutation in Caucasian subjects. However, data on the prevalence of germline mutation, as well as the applicability of these clinical indicators in Chinese, are lacking. We conducted a cross-sectional study at a single endocrine tertiary referral center in Hong Kong. Subjects with pheochromocytomas and paragangliomas were evaluated for the presence of germline mutations involving 10 susceptibility genes, which included NF1, RET, VHL, SDHA, SDHB, SDHC, SDHD, TMEM 127, MAX, and FH genes. Clinical indicators were assessed for their association with the presence of germline mutations. Germline mutations, 2 being novel, were found in 24.4% of the 41 Chinese subjects recruited and 11.4% among those with apparently sporadic presentation. The increasing number of the afore-mentioned clinical indicators significantly correlated with the likelihood of harboring germline mutation in one of the 10 susceptibility genes. (r=0.757, p=0.026). The presence of 2 or more clinical indicators should prompt genetic testing for germline mutations in Chinese subjects. In conclusion, our study confirmed that a significant proportion of Chinese subjects with apparently sporadic pheochromocytoma and paraganglioma harbored germline mutations and these clinical indicators identified from Caucasians series were also applicable in Chinese subjects. This information will be of clinical relevance in the design of appropriate genetic screening strategies in Chinese populations.

Cardiometabolic risk profile of participants with prediabetes diagnosed by HbA1c criteria in an urban Hong Kong Chinese population over 40 years of age

AIMS

To investigate the usefulness of the additional measurement of HbA1c , compared with performing only the oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT), in identifying participants at increased cardiometabolic risk, in an urban Chinese population.

METHODS

All participants from the fourth visit of the population-based Hong Kong Cardiovascular Risk Factors Prevalence Study, without known diabetes, were included. All had their glycaemic status assessed by OGTT and HbA1c , according to American Diabetic Association 2010 criteria.

RESULTS

Based on OGTT criteria alone, 3.5% of the study cohort (N = 1300) had diabetes and 19.2% had prediabetes. Based on HbA1c criteria only, 6.2% had diabetes and 61.2% had prediabetes. The measurement of HbA1c , in addition to the OGTT, increased the proportion of participants with diabetes to 7.8% and with prediabetes to 65.3%. Subjects with prediabetes having raised HbA1c but normal glycaemia (N = 600) had waist circumference, systolic blood pressure, fasting glucose, insulin resistance index (HOMA-IR), Gutt Index and Framingham 10-year cardiovascular risk scores intermediate between those with both normal HbA1c and glycaemia (N = 350), and those with impaired fasting glucose and/or impaired glucose tolerance (N = 249; all P < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

The measurement of HbA1c in our population, in addition to the OGTT, results in the detection of a large number of participants with prediabetes having raised HbA1c but normal glycaemia who have a cardiometabolic risk profile intermediate between impaired fasting glucose and/or impaired glucose tolerance and normal participants, and would benefit from early lifestyle intervention.

Circulating fibroblast growth factor 21 levels predict progressive kidney disease in subjects with type 2 diabetes and normoalbuminuria

BACKGROUND

Elevated fibroblast growth factor 21 (FGF21) levels have been suggested, from cross-sectional studies, as an indicator of subclinical diabetic nephropathy. We investigated whether serum FGF21 was predictive of the development of diabetic nephropathy.

METHOD

Baseline serum FGF21 levels were measured in 1136 Chinese type 2 diabetic subjects recruited from the Hong Kong West Diabetes Registry. The role of serum FGF21 in predicting decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) over a median follow-up of 4 years was analyzed using Cox regression analysis.

RESULTS

At baseline, serum FGF21 levels increased progressively with eGFR category (P for trend <.001). Among 1071 subjects with baseline eGFR ≥ 30 mL/min/1.73 m(2), serum FGF21 levels were significantly higher in those with eGFR decline during follow-up (n = 171) than those without decline (n = 900) (P < .001). In multivariable Cox regression analysis, baseline serum FGF21 was independently associated with eGFR decline (hazard ratio, 1.21; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-1.43; P = .036), even after adjustment for baseline eGFR. In a subgroup of 559 subjects with baseline eGFR ≥ 60 mL/min/1.73 m(2) and normoalbuminuria, serum FGF21 level remained an independent predictor of eGFR decline (hazard ratio, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.06-1.76; P = .016). Integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) suggested that the inclusion of baseline serum FGF21 significantly improved the prediction of eGFR decline (IDI, 1%; 95% CI, 0.1-3.0; P = .013) in this subgroup, but not in the initial cohort involving all subjects.

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated serum FGF21 levels may be a useful biomarker for predicting kidney disease progression, especially in the early stages of diabetic nephropathy.

Elevated circulating pigment epithelium-derived factor predicts the progression of diabetic nephropathy in patients with type 2 diabetes

CONTEXT

Pigment epithelium-derived factor (PEDF), a circulating glycoprotein with antiangiogenic, antioxidative, and anti-inflammatory properties, protects against diabetic nephropathy (DN) in animal models.

OBJECTIVE

We investigated whether circulating PEDF predicted the progression of DN in a 4-year prospective study.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

Baseline plasma PEDF levels were measured in type 2 diabetic subjects recruited from the Hong Kong West Diabetes Registry. The role of PEDF in predicting chronic kidney disease (CKD) and albuminuria progression was analyzed using Cox regression analysis.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

We evaluated CKD progression, defined as deterioration in CKD staging and a 25% or greater drop in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) according to International Society of Nephrology statements.

RESULTS

At baseline, plasma PEDF levels increased progressively with CKD staging (P for trend <.001; n = 1136). Among 1071 subjects with baseline CKD stage ≤ 3, plasma PEDF levels were significantly higher in those with CKD progression (n = 171) during follow-up than those without (P < .001). Baseline PEDF was independently associated with CKD progression (hazard ratio = 2.76; 95% confidence interval = 1.39-5.47; P = .004), adjusted for age, sex, waist circumference, diabetes duration, hemoglobin A1c, systolic blood pressure, use of antihypertensive drugs, C-reactive protein, and eGFR. Elevated baseline PEDF was also associated with the development of microalbuminuria/albuminuria in a subgroup with normoalbuminuria and eGFR >60 mL/min/1.73 m(2) (n = 462) at baseline (hazard ratio = 2.75; 95% confidence interval = 1.01-7.49; P < .05), even after adjustment for potential confounders.

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated PEDF levels may represent a compensatory change in type 2 diabetic patients with renal disease and appear to be a useful marker for evaluating the progression of DN.

Hypoadiponectinemia as an independent predictor for the progression of carotid atherosclerosis: a 5-year prospective study

BACKGROUND

Hypoadiponectinemia predicts the development of diabetes and hypertension, both being potent atherosclerotic risk factors. Whether adiponectin predicts the progression of early atherosclerosis remains unclear. In this 5-year prospective study, we examined the relationship between serum adiponectin and carotid intima media thickness (CIMT), a marker of subclinical atherosclerosis.

METHODS

A total of 265 subjects from the population-based Hong Kong Cardiovascular Risk Factor Prevalence Study, with no known cardiovascular disease, underwent CIMT measurement at baseline and at 5 years.

RESULTS

In all, 129 men and 136 women, aged 54.6±12.3 years, were studied. Median CIMT at baseline was 0.63 mm (interquartile range 0.52-0.73 mm) and increased to 0.67 mm (0.56-0.78 mm) after 5 years (P<0.001). CIMT increment correlated with baseline adiponectin, age, and smoking (all P<0.05) and baseline CIMT (P<0.001), but not with sex, fasting glucose, lipid profiles, hypertension, or diabetes. In multiple linear regression analysis, baseline serum adiponectin level was an independent predictor of CIMT increment β (standardized beta)=-0.17, P=0.015], after adjusting for age, smoking, baseline CIMT, hypertension, body mass index, fasting glucose, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and triglycerides.

CONCLUSION

Hypoadiponectinemia predicted CIMT progression, independent of known predictive factors such as age, smoking, hyperlipidemia, and hypertension.

Adiponectin gene variants and the risk of coronary heart disease: a 16-year longitudinal study

OBJECTIVE

Circulating adiponectin levels have been shown to be associated with a risk of coronary heart disease (CHD). However, its primary role in protecting against the development of CHD remains controversial due to conflicting observations in prospective studies. To gain further insight into the primary role of adiponectin, our major objective was to investigate the relationship between single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) of the adiponectin gene (ADIPOQ) and incident CHD in a population-based cohort with no CHD at baseline.

DESIGN AND METHODS

We conducted a 16-year longitudinal study in 2196 subjects from the Hong Kong Cardiovascular Risk Factor Prevalence Study (CRISPS). During 33 862 person-years of follow-up, 184 subjects developed CHD (cumulative incidence rate=5.4 per 1000 person-years). Nine ADIPOQ SNPs with potential functional relevance or shown to be associated with adiponectin levels and/or CHD were genotyped.

RESULTS

Among the nine ADIPOQ SNPs, +276G>T (rs1501299) was independently associated with incident CHD in men but not in women, even after adjustments for traditional cardiovascular risk factors (Padjusted=5.5×10(-3) to 0.023; hazard ratio=1.39-1.54). Furthermore, there was a significant association of the T allele of +276G>T with a lower adiponectin level (P=0.027; β (95% CI)=-0.05 (-0.10, -0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrated that +276G>T may be an independent predictor of CHD development. Our findings suggest that low adiponectin levels, as may be influenced by +276G>T, confer a higher risk of CHD, in keeping with a role of hypoadiponectinaemia in the development of CHD in the general population.

Serum fibroblast growth factor-21 levels are associated with carotid atherosclerosis independent of established cardiovascular risk factors

OBJECTIVE

Serum levels of fibroblast growth factor-21 (FGF21), a metabolic hormone, have been shown to be elevated in subjects with adverse lipid profiles, obesity, metabolic syndrome, impaired glucose tolerance, type 2 diabetes mellitus, and hypertension. Recently, elevated serum FGF21 levels have also been reported in subjects with coronary heart disease or carotid artery plaques. However, whether serum FGF21 is independently associated with atherosclerotic diseases remains unclear. In this study, we examined the relationship between serum FGF21 levels and carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) in a large cohort of Southern Chinese subjects.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

The cohort consisted of 670 subjects who underwent carotid IMT measurement. Serum FGF21 levels were measured with an ELISA kit. Serum FGF21 levels positively correlated with carotid IMT in women (r=0.32; P<0.001), but not in men (r=0.06; P=0.305). On multiple linear regression analysis, elevated serum FGF21 level in women was an independent risk factor for increased carotid IMT (P=0.039), together with age (P<0.001) and hypertension (P=0.011), in a model comprising also waist circumference, smoking history, serum creatinine, high sensitive C-reactive protein, dysglycemia, and dyslipidemia (adjusted R(2)=35.8%; P<0.001). Elevated serum FGF21 levels were also a significant independent risk factor of carotid IMT on multiple stepwise regression analysis (P=0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

The present study is the first demonstration that elevated serum FGF21 levels are associated with carotid atherosclerosis in humans, independent of established risk factors including adverse lipid profiles and C-reactive protein. The role of FGF21 as a biomarker or therapeutic target of atherosclerotic diseases warrants further investigation.

The KCNJ11 E23K polymorphism and progression of glycaemia in Southern Chinese: a long-term prospective study

Context

The KCNJ11 E23K variant is associated with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in cross-sectional studies, but conflicting findings have been reported from prospective studies.

Objective

This study aimed to evaluate whether the E23K variant could predict glycaemic progression in a Southern Chinese population.

Methods/Principal Findings

We performed a long-term prospective study on 1912 subjects from the Hong Kong Cardiovascular Risk Factors Prevalence Study (CRISPS). The KCNJ11 E23K variant was associated with the progression to prediabetes after a median interval of 12 years on multinomial logistic regression analysis, even after adjustment for traditional risk factors (OR 1.29, P_{age, sex, BMI and fasting plasma glucose [FPG] adjusted}  = 0.02). Based on Cox proportional hazard regression analysis, the E23K variant also predicted incident prediabetes (HR 1.18, P_{age, sex, BMI and FPG adjusted}  = 0.021). However, E23K was not associated with the progression to T2DM in either multinomial or Cox regression analysis, and the association of E23K with glycaemic progression to either prediabetes or T2DM was significant only in unadjusted Cox regression analysis (P = 0.039). In a meta-analysis of eight prospective studies including our own, involving 15680 subjects, the E23K variant was associated with incident T2DM (fixed effect: OR 1.10, P = 4×10⁻³; random effect: OR 1.11, P = 0.035).

Conclusions

Our study has provided supporting evidence for the role of the E23K variant in glycaemic progression in Chinese, with its effect being more evident in the early stage of T2DM, as the subjects progressed from normal glucose tolerance to prediabetes.

Obesity susceptibility genetic variants identified from recent genome-wide association studies: implications in a chinese population

CONTEXT

Recent large-scale genome-wide association studies identified novel genetic variants associated with obesity and body mass index (BMI) in addition to the well-described FTO and MC4R genetic variants.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to examine 13 previously reported obesity and/or BMI-associated loci for associations with obesity in Chinese.

DESIGN AND STUDY PARTICIPANTS

This was a cross-sectional case-control study in 470 obese cases (BMI > or =27.5 kg/m(2)) and 700 normal-weight controls (18.5 < or = BMI < or = 23.0 kg/m(2)).

RESULTS

A significant association with obesity could be replicated (one tailed P < 0.05) in seven of the 13 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in the case-control study. These included GNPDA2 rs10938397 (P = 7.3 x 10(-4)); FTO rs8050136 (P = 8 x 10(-4)); MC4R rs17782313 (P = 1.2 x 10(-3)); KCTD15 rs29941 (P = 8 x 10(-3)); SFRS10-ETV5-DGKG rs7647305 (P = 0.023); SEC16B-RASAL2 rs10913469 (P = 0.041); and NEGR1 rs3101336 (P = 0.046). Combined genetic risk scores were calculated, and we observed ORs ranging from 1.17 to 1.23 for each unit increase in the genetic risk scores. Associations with obesity-related quantitative traits were analyzed separately for cases and controls. KCTD15 SNP rs29941 (P = 1 x 10(-3)) was significantly associated with fasting glucose in the control group, whereas only the FTO SNP rs8050136 was associated with BMI (P = 3.5 x 10(-3)) in the obese group. However, in an extension study of 1938 subjects from the population-based Hong Kong Cardiovascular Risk Factors Prevalence Study, rs8050136, rs10938397, and rs17782313 showed significant associations with BMI.

CONCLUSION

We have succeeded in replicating, in a Chinese population, the associations with obesity in seven SNPs reported in recent genome-wide association studies. Further functional and fine-mapping studies to elucidate the roles of these putative obesity-related genes and genetic variants are warranted.

Circulating levels of adipocyte and epidermal fatty acid-binding proteins in relation to nephropathy staging and macrovascular complications in type 2 diabetic patients

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the relationships of serum adipocyte fatty acid-binding protein (A-FABP) and epidermal fatty acid-binding protein (E-FABP) with renal dysfunction and macrovascular complications in type 2 diabetic patients.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

The associations of serum A-FABP and E-FABP with markers of renal function, nephropathy staging, and macrovascular complications were examined in 237 type 2 diabetic patients.

RESULTS

Serum A-FABP and E-FABP correlated significantly with serum creatinine, mean albumin excretion rate, and glomerular filtration rate (all P < 0.001) and were independently associated with diabetic nephropathy staging (P = 0.001 and P < 0.05, respectively). Circulating levels of both types of FABP were increased (P < 0.01) in subjects with macrovascular complications. Serum A-FABP was independently associated with macrovascular complications (odds ratio 2.92 [95% CI 1.42-6.01]; P = 0.004).

CONCLUSIONS

Serum A-FABP and E-FABP might be novel serum biomarkers for evaluating the progression of nephropathy and its cardiovascular risk in type 2 diabetic patients.

Epidermal fatty-acid-binding protein: a new circulating biomarker associated with cardio-metabolic risk factors and carotid atherosclerosis

AIMS

Epidermal fatty-acid-binding protein (E-FABP) is highly homologous to adipocyte FABP (A-FABP), which mediates obesity-related metabolic syndrome (MetS), diabetes and atherosclerosis in animals. Combined deficiency of E-FABP and A-FABP protects against the MetS and atherosclerosis in mice. This study investigated the association of serum E-FABP with cardio-metabolic risk factors and carotid atherosclerosis in humans.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The presence of E-FABP in human plasma was detected by tandem mass spectrometry. Serum E-FABP levels, determined by an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay in 479 Chinese subjects (age: 55.4 ± 13.5 years; M/F: 232/247), correlated positively (P < 0.05 to <0.001, age-adjusted) with parameters of adiposity, adverse lipid profiles, serum insulin, A-FABP, and C-reactive protein levels and were higher in subjects with the MetS (P < 0.001 vs. no MetS). The association of E-FABP with the MetS was independent of A-FABP. Furthermore, serum E-FABP correlated with carotid intima-media thickness (IMT; P < 0.001) and was independently associated with carotid IMT in men (adjusted P = 0.03).

CONCLUSION

E-FABP is a new circulating biomarker associated with increased cardio-metabolic risk. It may contribute to the development of the MetS and carotid atherosclerosis in humans, independent of the effect of A-FABP.

Serum adipocyte fatty acid binding protein as a new biomarker predicting the development of type 2 diabetes: a 10-year prospective study in a Chinese cohort

OBJECTIVE

Adipocyte fatty acid-binding protein (A-FABP) is abundantly expressed in adipocytes and plays a role in glucose homeostasis in experimental animals. We have previously shown that circulating A-FABP levels are associated with the metabolic syndrome, which confers an increased risk of type 2 diabetes. Here we investigated whether serum A-FABP levels could predict the development of diabetes in a 10-year prospective study.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Baseline serum A-FABP levels were measured with an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay in 544 nondiabetic subjects, recruited from the Hong Kong Cardiovascular Risk Factor Prevalence Study cohort, who were followed prospectively to assess the development of type 2 diabetes. The role of A-FABP in predicting the development of type 2 diabetes over 10 years was investigated using Cox regression analysis.

RESULTS

At baseline, serum sex-adjusted A-FABP levels were higher in subjects with impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) or impaired fasting glucose (IFG) (P < 0.00001 versus normal glucose tolerance) and correlated positively with adverse cardiometabolic risk factors. Over 10 years, 96 subjects had developed type 2 diabetes. High baseline A-FABP was predictive of type 2 diabetes, independent of obesity, insulin resistance, or glycemic indexes (relative risk [RR] 2.25 [95% CI 1.40-3.65]; P = 0.001; above versus below sex-specific median). High A-FABP levels remained an independent predictor of type 2 diabetes in the high-risk IGT/IFG subgroup (adjusted RR 1.87 [1.12-3.15]; P = 0.018).

CONCLUSIONS

Serum A-FABP was associated with glucose dysregulation and predicted the development of type 2 diabetes in a Chinese cohort.

Circulating adipocyte-fatty acid binding protein levels predict the development of the metabolic syndrome: a 5-year prospective study

BACKGROUND

Adipocyte-fatty acid binding protein (A-FABP), a major cytoplasmic protein in adipocytes, plays a central role in the development of diabetes and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in experimental animals. We have previously shown that A-FABP is present in the bloodstream and that its circulating levels correlate with metabolic risk factors in a cross-sectional study. In the present study, we further evaluated the prospective association of A-FABP with the metabolic syndrome (MetS) as defined by the updated National Cholesterol Education Program criteria.

METHODS AND RESULTS

In the present study, 495 nondiabetic adults from the population-based Hong Kong Cardiovascular Risk Factor Prevalence Study were prospectively followed up for 5 years. The relationship of serum A-FABP with the MetS and its components was investigated. At baseline, high A-FABP levels were associated with the MetS (odds ratio, 4.0; 95% CI, 1.5 to 10.4; highest versus lowest sex-specific tertile, adjusted for age, body mass index, the homeostasis model assessment index for insulin resistance, C-reactive protein, and adiponectin, P=0.005). On long-term follow-up, subjects with higher baseline A-FABP levels had progressively worse cardiometabolic risk profile and increasing risk of the MetS. Among 376 subjects without the MetS at baseline, 50 had developed it at 5 years. Apart from the homeostasis model assessment index for insulin resistance (P=0.001), baseline A-FABP was the only independent predictor of the development of the MetS during the 5-year follow-up (odds ratio, 4.7; 95% CI, 1.8 to 11.9; highest versus lowest sex-specific tertile, P=0.001, adjusted for the homeostasis model assessment index for insulin resistance and body mass index). A-FABP was predictive of the MetS even after adjustment for each of its individual components.

CONCLUSIONS

Circulating A-FABP predicts the development of the MetS independently of adiposity and insulin resistance.

Serum adipocyte fatty acid-binding protein levels were independently associated with carotid atherosclerosis

OBJECTIVE

Adipocyte fatty acid-binding protein (A-FABP) has been shown to be an important player in atherosclerosis in animal models. However, the clinical relevance of these findings is still unknown. This study aims to examine the relationship between serum A-FABP level and carotid intima-media thickness (IMT), an indicator of atherosclerosis in humans.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The study cohort included 479 Chinese subjects who underwent carotid IMT measurement. Serum A-FABP levels were determined by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays. Serum A-FABP levels positively correlated with carotid IMT in both men (r=0.211, P=0.001) and women (r=0.435, P<0.001). In women, but not in men, the presence of plaques was associated with significantly higher serum A-FABP levels (P<0.001 versus women without plaques). Stepwise multiple regression analysis showed that serum A-FABP level was independently associated with carotid IMT in women (P=0.034), together with age and hypertension (both P<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

A-FABP is an independent determinant of carotid atherosclerosis in Chinese women, but not in men. This gender difference may be attributed to the lower serum A-FABP levels in men, and the effect of other risk factors, such as smoking, among our male participants. Our results have provided clinical evidence supporting the role of A-FABP in the development of atherosclerosis.

Hypoadiponectinemia as a predictor for the development of hypertension: a 5-year prospective study

Low circulating levels of adiponectin, an adipokine with insulin-sensitizing, antiatherogenic, and anti-inflammatory properties, are found in hypertensive patients. Adiponectin replenishment ameliorated hypertension in adiponectin-deficient mice or obese, hypertensive mice with hypoadiponectinemia, suggesting an etiologic role of adiponectin in hypertension. We aimed to determine, in this 5-year prospective study, whether hypoadiponectinemia could predict the development of hypertension in a nondiabetic Chinese cohort. A total of 577 subjects (249 men and 328 women) were recruited from the population-based Hong Kong Cardiovascular Risk Factor Prevalence Study and prospectively followed up for 5 years. The relationship of serum adiponectin with the development of hypertension (sitting blood pressure >or=140/90 mm Hg) was investigated in a nested case-control study consisting of 70 subjects who had developed hypertension on follow-up and 140 age- and sex-matched control subjects who were normotensive both at baseline and at year 5. At baseline, serum adiponectin level in the lowest sex-specific tertile was more likely to be associated with hypertension (P=0.003 versus the highest tertile, after adjusting for age, body mass index, fasting insulin, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein). At year 5, baseline serum adiponectin was a significant independent predictor of incident hypertension in the nested case-control study (P=0.015; age adjusted), together with mean arterial pressure (P<0.001), high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (P=0.018), and body mass index (P=0.004). Normotensive subjects with baseline serum adiponectin levels in the lowest sex-specific tertile had an increased risk of becoming hypertensive (adjusted odds ratio: 2.76; 95% CIs: 1.06 to 7.16; P=0.037 versus highest tertile). Our data suggest that hypoadiponectinaemia may be involved in the pathogenesis of hypertension in humans.

Resistin gene polymorphisms and progression of glycaemia in southern Chinese: a 5-year prospective study

OBJECTIVE

Human resistin gene (RETN) polymorphisms have been found to be associated with type 2 diabetes (T2DM), insulin resistance and/or obesity. We evaluated, in a 5-year prospective study, whether RETN polymorphisms could predict the progression of glycaemia in southern Chinese.

DESIGN AND PATIENTS

We conducted a systematic search for variants in RETN in 70 southern Chinese subjects. This was followed by the genotyping in 624 unrelated nondiabetic subjects of two polymorphisms, -420C-->G and +62G-->A, previously reported in cross-sectional studies to be associated with T2DM in Asians, to examine their relationship with the progression of glycaemia in this cohort.

RESULTS

We identified 15 polymorphisms, including 2 novel but rare polymorphisms (-319G-->A and +63G-->C). Compared to subjects with the CC genotype, -420GG subjects had higher 2-h glucose (7.7 +/- 1.8 vs. 7.2 +/- 2.0 mmol/l, P = 0.011) and insulin (101.6 +/- 69.5 vs. 79.8 +/- 59.5 mU/l, P = 0.021) during an oral glucose tolerance test. Carriers of the +62A allele had higher body mass indices (25.3 +/- 4.0 vs. 24.5 +/- 3.6 kg/m(2) in GG, P = 0.02). The presence of the allele -420G (OR 2.15, 95% CI 1.28-3.60, P = 0.004) or +62A (OR1.86, 95% CI 1.08-3.21, P = 0.025) predicted the progression of glycaemia at Year 5, after adjustment for sex, age or body mass index. The haplotype G-A also conferred a higher risk of progression in glycaemia (P = 0.002).

CONCLUSION

Our study would support the role of the resistin gene in obesity, insulin resistance and progression of glycaemia in southern Chinese.

Polymorphisms of the gene encoding adiponectin and glycaemic outcome of Chinese subjects with impaired glucose tolerance: a 5-year follow-up study

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

Polymorphisms of the gene encoding adiponectin (ADIPOQ) have previously been associated with type 2 diabetes in Europid and Japanese subjects, but not in Pima Indians. The aim of this study was to determine the contribution made by ADIPOQ gene variants to glycaemic status in southern Chinese individuals.

SUBJECTS AND METHODS

Sixty unrelated subjects were screened for single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in the ADIPOQ gene by direct sequencing. The association of tagging SNPs with the outcome of glycaemic status in 262 subjects with impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) was examined in a 5-year prospective study.

RESULTS

We identified 15 polymorphisms in the ADIPOQ gene, ten of them constituting the tagging SNPs. At 5 years, 39.7% of the subjects with IGT had regressed to NGT, 41.2% had persistent IGT or impaired fasting glucose and 19.1% had developed diabetes. Only the T45G polymorphism was associated with persistent hyperglycaemia at 5 years (p=0.001). Haplotypes formed by the addition of other SNPs, as haplotype blocks or pairs, did not confer greater association than T45G alone. On logistic regression analysis, T45G independently predicted persistent hyperglycaemia at 5 years (OR=2.25, 95% CI 1.29-3.95, G carriers vs TT; p=0.005). It also predicted persistent hyperglycaemia in a nested case-control study involving 158 sex- and age-matched controls with persistent NGT (p=0.012, adjusted for BMI), and that of diabetes or glycaemia progression (p<0.05) in a meta-analysis that also included two published studies in Europid subjects.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Our findings support a significant role of this common ADIPOQ gene polymorphism in predicting glycaemic status in southern Chinese people.