Estimating migration timing and abundance in partial migratory systems by integrating continuous antenna detections with physical captures

Many populations migrate between two different habitats (e.g. wintering/foraging to breeding area, mainstem-tributary, river-lake, river-ocean, river-side channel) as part of their life history. Detection technologies, such as passive integrated transponder (PIT) antennas or sonic receivers, can be placed at boundaries between habitats (e.g. near the confluence of rivers) to detect migratory movements of marked animals. Often, these detection systems have high detection probabilities and detect many individuals but are limited in their ability to make inferences about abundance because only marked individuals can be detected. Here, we introduce a mark-recapture modelling approach that uses detections from a double-array PIT antenna system to imply movement directionality from arrays and estimate migration timing. Additionally, when combined with physical captures, the model can be used to estimate abundances for both migratory and non-migratory groups and help quantify partial migration. We first test our approach using simulation, and results indicate our approach displayed negligible bias for total abundance (less than ±1%) and slight biases for state-specific abundance estimates (±1%-6%). We fit our model to array detections and physical captures of three native fishes (humpback chub [Gila cypha], flannelmouth sucker [Catostomus latipinnis] and bluehead sucker [Catostomus discobolus]) in the Little Colorado River (LCR) in Grand Canyon, AZ, a system that exhibits partial migration (i.e. includes residents and migrants). Abundance estimates from our model confirm that, for all three species, migratory individuals are much more numerous than residents. There was little difference in movement timing between 2021 (a year without preceding winter/spring floods) and 2022 (a year with a small flood occurring in early April). In both years, flannelmouth sucker arrived in mid-March whereas humpback chub and bluehead sucker arrivals occurred early- to mid-April. With humpback chub and flannelmouth sucker, movement timing was influenced by body size so that large individuals were more likely to arrive early compared to smaller individuals. With more years of data, this model framework could be used to evaluate ecological questions pertaining to flow cues and movement timing or intensity, relative trends in migrants versus residents and ecological drivers of skipped spawning.

Levels of complement factor H-related 4 protein do not influence susceptibility to age-related macular degeneration or its course of progression

Dysregulation of the alternative pathway (AP) of the complement system is a significant contributor to age-related macular degeneration (AMD), a primary cause of irreversible vision loss worldwide. Here, we assess the contribution of the liver-produced complement factor H-related 4 protein (FHR-4) to AMD initiation and course of progression. We show that FHR-4 variation in plasma and at the primary location of AMD-associated pathology, the retinal pigment epithelium/Bruch's membrane/choroid interface, is entirely explained by three independent quantitative trait loci (QTL). Using two distinct cohorts composed of a combined 14,965 controls and 20,741 cases, we ascertain that independent QTLs for FHR-4 are distinct from variants causally associated with AMD, and that FHR-4 variation is not independently associated with disease. Additionally, FHR-4 does not appear to influence AMD progression course among patients with disease driven predominantly by AP dysregulation. Modulation of FHR-4 is therefore unlikely to be an effective therapeutic strategy for AMD.

Constructing Nucleic Acid Delivering Lipoproteoplexes from Coiled-Coil Supercharged Protein and Cationic Liposomes

The safe and efficient delivery of nucleic acids is crucial for both clinical applications of gene therapy and pre-clinical laboratory research. Such delivery strategies rely on vectors to condense nucleic acid payloads and escort them into the cell without being degraded in the extracellular environment; however, the construction and utilization of these vectors can be difficult and time-consuming. Here, we detail the steps involved in the rapid, laboratory-scale production and assessment of a versatile, nucleic acid delivery vehicle, known as the lipoproteoplex. In this chapter, we outline: (1) the recombinant synthesis and subsequent purification of the supercharged coiled-coil protein component known as N8; (2) the synthesis of cationic liposomes from dioleoyl-3-trimethylammonium propane (DOTAP) and sodium cholate; (3) and finally a protocol for the delivery of a model siRNA cargo into a cultured cell line.

Targeted density electrode placement achieves high concordance with traditional high-density EEG for electrical source imaging in epilepsy

OBJECTIVE

High-density (HD) electroencephalography (EEG) is increasingly used in presurgical epilepsy evaluation, but it is demanding in time and resources. To overcome these issues, we compared EEG source imaging (ESI) solutions with a targeted density and HD-EEG montage.

METHODS

HD-EEGs from patients undergoing presurgical evaluation were analyzed. A low-density recording was created by selecting the 25 electrodes of a standard montage from the 83 electrodes of the HD-EEG and adding 8-11 electrodes around the electrode with the highest amplitude interictal epileptiform discharges. The ESI solution from this "targeted" montage was compared to that from the HD-EEG using the distance between peak vertices, sublobar concordance and a qualitative similarity measure.

RESULTS

Fifty-eight foci of forty-three patients were included. The median distance between the peak vertices of the two montages was 13.2 mm, irrespective of focus' location. Tangential generators (n = 5/58) showed a higher distance than radial generators (p = 0.04). We found sublobar concordance in 54/58 of the foci (93%). Map similarity, assessed by an epileptologist, had a median score of 4/5.

CONCLUSIONS

ESI solutions obtained from a targeted density montage show high concordance with those calculated from HD-EEG.

SIGNIFICANCE

Requiring significantly fewer electrodes, targeted density EEG allows obtaining similar ESI solutions as traditional HD-EEG montage.

Adherence to and persistence with adjuvant hormone therapy, healthcare utilization, and healthcare costs among older women with breast cancer: A population-based longitudinal cohort study

INTRODUCTION

To assess associations between adherence to and persistence with adjuvant hormone therapy, healthcare utilization, and healthcare costs among older women with breast cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study was a population-based longitudinal cohort study using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) registry linked with Medicare claims. This study included older women diagnosed with stage I-III hormone receptor-positive breast cancer from 2009 through 2017. Participants were considered adherent with a proportion of days covered (PDC) of 0.80 or more and persistent if they had no hormone therapy discontinuation, i.e., a break of at least 180 continuous days. Length of persistence was calculated as time from therapy initiation to discontinuation. All participants were followed for up to five years after hormone therapy initiation. Generalized linear mixed models with repeated measures or hurdle generalized linear mixed models in the event of excess zeroes were used to assess associations between adherence to and persistence with annual healthcare utilization and costs.

RESULTS

This study included 25,796 women. Being adherent was associated with lower annual healthcare utilization, i.e., hospitalizations, hospital days, emergency room visits, and hospital outpatient visits. Persistence was associated with fewer annual hospitalizations, hospital days, emergency room visits, and hospital outpatient visits. Adherent participants had lower annual inpatient costs, outpatient costs, medical costs, and total healthcare costs despite higher prescription drug costs. Both being persistent and longer persistence were associated with lower inpatient costs, outpatient costs, medical costs, and total healthcare costs despite higher prescription drug costs.

DISCUSSION

This study underscores the economic benefits associated with adherence to and persistence with adjuvant hormone therapy based on comprehensive measures for healthcare utilization and costs. To our best knowledge, this was the first study that reported total healthcare cost savings associated with adherence to and persistence with adjuvant hormone therapy.

Prognostic value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer receiving prostate-specific membrane antigen targeted radionuclide therapy

BACKGROUND

Neutrophil count:lymphocyte count ratio (NLR) may be a prognostic factor for men with advanced prostate cancer. We hypothesized that it is associated with prostate-specific antigen (PSA) response and survival in men treated with prostate-specific membrane antigen (PSMA)-targeted radionuclide therapy (TRT).

METHODS

Data of 180 men with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) who were treated in sequential prospective radionuclide clinical trials from 2002 to 2021 (utilizing 177Lu-J591, 90Y-J591, 177Lu-PSMA-617, or 225Ac-J591) were retrospectively analyzed. We used a logistic regression to determine the association between NLR and ≥50% PSA decline (PSA50) and a Cox proportional hazards model to investigate the association between NLR and overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

A total of 94 subjects (52.2%) received 177Lu-J591, 51 (28.3%) 177Lu-PSMA-617, 28 (15.6%) 225Ac-J591, and 7 (3.9%) 90Y-J591. The median NLR of 3.75 was used as cut-off (low vs. high NLR; n = 90, respectively). On univariate analysis, NLR was not associated with PSA50 (HR 1.08; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.99-1.17, p = 0.067). However, it was associated with worse OS (hazard ratio [HR] 1.06, 95% CI 1.02-1.09, p = 0.002), also after controlling for circulating tumor cell count and cancer and leukemia group B risk group (HR 1.05; 95% CI 1.003-1.11, p = 0.036). Men with high NLR were at a higher hazard of death from all causes (HR 1.43, 95% CI 1.05-1.94, p = 0.024).

CONCLUSIONS

NLR provides prognostic information in the setting of patients with mCRPC receiving treatment with PSMA-TRT.

Antibody-drug conjugates for urothelial carcinoma

The standard of care for advanced urothelial carcinoma includes platinum chemotherapy and immunotherapy. Antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs), originally developed for hematologic malignancies, involve potent cytotoxic agents linked to antibodies that recognize tumor-specific antigens; this rational drug design allows for more on-target efficacy, while mitigating systemic toxicity. Herein, we review the emerging landscape of ADCs in urothelial carcinoma. The anti-Nectin-4 ADC enfortumab vedotin has demonstrated efficacy in prospective studies in patients with advanced urothelial carcinoma in several settings either alone or in combination with pembrolizumab. The anti-Trop-2 ADC sacituzumab govitecan has also shown efficacy in single-armed studies. Both conjugates have full or accelerated approval from the Food and Drug Administration. Common adverse events include rash and neuropathy for enfortumab vedotin and myelosuppression and diarrhea for sacituzumab govitecan. Several anti-human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 ADCs are in clinical trials, and in localized bladder cancer, the anti-epithelial cell adhesion molecule ADC oportuzumab monatox is being studied in patients refractory to intravesical bacillus calmette-guerin therapy. Antibody-drug conjugates for urothelial carcinoma are approved and emerging as therapies for patients with advanced urothelial carcinoma, filling a prior void for treatment of progressive disease. Ongoing studies are also evaluating these agents in the neoadjuvant and adjuvant settings.

Social determinants of health and disparate disability accumulation in a cohort of Black, Hispanic, and White patients with multiple sclerosis

BACKGROUND

Black and Hispanic patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) have been shown to accumulate greater multiple sclerosis-associated disability (MSAD) than White patients. Disparities in social determinants of health (SDOH) among these groups have also been reported.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the extent to which associations of race and ethnicity with MSAD may be attributable to differences in SDOH.

METHODS

Retrospective chart analysis of patients at an academic MS center grouped by self-identified Black (n = 95), Hispanic (n = 93), and White (n = 98) race/ethnicity. Individual patient addresses were geocoded and matched with neighborhood-level area deprivation index (ADI) and social vulnerability index (SVI).

RESULTS

Average Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores at last-recorded evaluations of White patients (1.7 ± 2.0) were significantly lower than Black (2.8 ± 2.4, p = 0.001) and Hispanic (2.6 ± 2.6, p = 0.020) patients. Neither Black race nor Hispanic ethnicity was significantly associated with EDSS in multivariable linear regression models that included individual-level SDOH indicators and either ADI or SVI.

CONCLUSION

Black race and Hispanic ethnicity are not significantly associated with EDSS in models that include individual and neighborhood-level SDOH indicators. Further research should elucidate mechanisms by which structural inequities affect MS disease course.

Urinary incontinence prevalence and factors associated with patients talking with doctors about urine control

Objectives

Patient perceptions of their doctors may influence talking to them about urinary incontinence (UI). We estimated prevalence of UI among Medicare beneficiaries and assessed association between beneficiaries' demographic and clinical characteristics and whether they spoke to their doctor about UI and association between beneficiaries' perceptions of their doctor and whether they spoke to their doctor about UI.

Methods

This study was approved by the Purdue University Institutional Review Board (IRB) and determined exempt, category 4 (protocol number 1907022503, approval on August 5th, 2019). Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey (MCBS) 2016 data were analyzed. Beneficiaries who indicated that they lost urine control 2-3 times a month or above were classified as experiencing UI. An 11-item patient perception of their physician scale was created based on MCBS items. Perceptions were categorized as favorable or unfavorable. SAS version 9.4 for Unix was used for all analyses. PROC LOGISTIC was used to assess multi-variable association between beneficiaries' perceptions of their doctors and talking to their doctor about UI.

Results

Among 7466 persons meeting inclusion criteria, 1856 (24.9%) had UI. The perception of doctor scale scores ranged from 15 to 44, with mean score = 36.57 (standard deviation = 5.29). The scale Cronbach alpha reliability was 0.93. Using sensitivity and receiver operating characteristic analysis, a cutoff of 30 or higher was identified as a favorable perception. Beneficiaries with favorable perceptions of their doctor were more likely to speak to their doctor about experiencing UI than beneficiaries with unfavorable perceptions (odds ratio = 1.55, 95% confidence interval = 1.03 to 2.35, P-value = 0.038).

Conclusion

Overall, the more favorable the perception of their physicians, the more likely beneficiaries were to speak to them about their UI.

Survival benefits associated with being adherent and having longer persistence to adjuvant hormone therapy across up to five years among U.S. Medicare population with breast cancer

PURPOSE

To assess associations between adherence to and persistence with adjuvant hormone therapy and mortality among older women with breast cancer.

METHODS

The surveillance, epidemiology, and end results data linked with U.S. Medicare claims was used. This study included older women diagnosed with stage I-III hormone receptor-positive breast cancer from 2009 through 2017. Adherence was defined as having proportion of days covered (PDC) ≥ 0.80. Persistence was defined as having no discontinuation, i.e., no break of ≥ 180 continuous days. Length of persistence was calculated as time from therapy initiation to discontinuation. Cox models with time-dependent covariates were used to assess associations between adherence and persistence with mortality.

RESULTS

This study included 25,796 women. Adherence rates were 78.1 percent, 75.2 percent, 72.4 percent, 70.0 percent, and 61.5 percent from year 1 to year 5 after hormone therapy initiation. Persistence rates were 87.5 percent, 81.7 percent, 77.1 percent, 72.9 percent, and 68.9 percent through cumulative intervals of 1 year up to 5 years. Adherence was associated with all-cause mortality but not associated with breast cancer-specific mortality. Persistent women had lower risk of all-cause mortality and breast cancer-specific mortality. Each additional year of persistence had additional contributions to survival benefits (11% decreased risk of all-cause mortality and 37% decreased risk of breast cancer-specific mortality).

CONCLUSION

This study confirms the detrimental effect of nonadherence to adjuvant hormone therapy across up to 5 years on all-cause survival in older U.S. women. It also reveals the survival benefits associated with having longer persistence across up to 5 years.

Measurement of the ν_{e}-Nucleus Charged-Current Double-Differential Cross Section at ⟨E_{ν}⟩=2.4 GeV Using NOvA

The inclusive electron neutrino charged-current cross section is measured in the NOvA near detector using 8.02×10^{20} protons-on-target in the NuMI beam. The sample of GeV electron neutrino interactions is the largest analyzed to date and is limited by ≃17% systematic rather than the ≃7.4% statistical uncertainties. The double-differential cross section in final-state electron energy and angle is presented for the first time, together with the single-differential dependence on Q^{2} (squared four-momentum transfer) and energy, in the range 1  GeV≤E_{ν}<6  GeV. Detailed comparisons are made to the predictions of the GENIE, GiBUU, NEUT, and NuWro neutrino event generators. The data do not strongly favor a model over the others consistently across all three cross sections measured, though some models have especially good or poor agreement in the single differential cross section vs Q^{2}.

Decreased fetal movements-the utility of ultrasound to identify infants at risk and prevent stillbirth is poor

BACKGROUND

Despite a paucity of evidence, it is widely accepted that a perceived reduction in fetal movements is associated with an increased risk of stillbirth and poor obstetrical outcome. Consequently, many international guidelines recommend urgent ultrasound assessment of fetal well-being in women presenting with decreased fetal movements.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to compare rates of abnormal ultrasound findings reflective of fetal compromise between women presenting with decreased fetal movements and gestation-matched controls in the third trimester.

STUDY DESIGN

This was a retrospective cohort study performed at the Mater Mothers' Hospital in Brisbane between 2017 and 2020. We undertook propensity score matching analysis comparing abnormal ultrasound parameters in women with singleton, nonanomalous pregnancies presenting with decreased fetal movements after 28 weeks' gestation. The primary outcome was a composite of any abnormal scan parameter: umbilical artery pulsatility index >95th centile, middle cerebral artery pulsatility index <5th centile, cerebroplacental ratio <10th centile, estimated fetal weight <10th centile for gestation, middle cerebral artery peak systolic velocity >1.5 multiples of the median, or deepest vertical pocket of amniotic fluid <2 or >8 cm.

RESULTS

After propensity score matching, the study cohort comprised 1466 cases and 2207 controls. The rate of the primary composite outcome was not significantly different between the 2 cohorts (20.2% vs 21.3%; P=.42). There were 30 new cases of small-for-gestational-age detected in the decreased fetal movements cohort, giving a number needed to scan of 48 in the decreased fetal movements group to detect 1 case of small-for-gestational-age. However, the frequency of the composite outcome was higher (13.0% vs 5.4%) at the final scan before birth in women with multiple decreased fetal movement presentations. Despite this, there was no significant difference in clinical outcomes between the 2 cohorts.

CONCLUSION

Ultrasound abnormalities are not increased in women with decreased fetal movements compared with controls.

Evaluation of a fast-and-frugal clinical decision algorithm ('pathways') on clinical outcomes in hospitalised patients with COVID-19 treated with anticoagulants

RATIONALE, AIMS AND OBJECTIVES

Critics have charged that evidence-based medicine (EBM) overemphasises algorithmic rules over unstructured clinical experience and intuition, but the role of structured decision support systems in improving health outcomes remains uncertain. We aim to assess if delivery of anticoagulant prophylaxis in hospitalised patients with COVID-19 according to an algorithm based on evidence-based clinical practice guideline (CPG) improved clinical outcomes compared with administration of anticoagulant treatment given at individual practitioners' discretion.

METHODS

An observational design consisting of the analysis of all acutely ill, consecutive patients (n = 1783) with confirmed COVID-19 diagnosis admitted between 10 March 2020 to 11 January 2022 to an US academic center. American Society of Haematology CPG for anticoagulant prophylaxis in hospitalised patients with COVID-19 was converted into a clinical pathway and translated into fast-and-frugal decision (FFT) tree ('algorithm'). We compared delivery of anticoagulant prophylaxis in hospitalised patients with COVID-19 according to the FFT algorithm with administration of anticoagulant treatment given at individual practitioners' discretion.

RESULTS

In an adjusted analysis, using combination of Lasso (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator) and propensity score based weighting [augmented inverse-probability weighting] statistical techniques controlling for cluster data, the algorithm did not reduce death, venous thromboembolism, or major bleeding, but helped avoid longer hospital stay [number of patients needed to be treated (NNT) = 40 (95% CI: 23-143), indicating that for every 40 patients (23-143) managed on FFT algorithm, one avoided staying in hospital longer than 10 days] and averted admission to intensive-care unit (ICU) [NNT = 19 (95% CI: 13-40)]. All model's selected covariates were well balanced. The results remained robust to sensitivity analyses used to test the stability of the findings.

CONCLUSIONS

When delivered using a structured FFT algorithm, CPG shortened the hospital stay and help avoided admission to ICU, but it did not affect other relevant outcomes.

Contactless monitoring of respiratory rate (RR) and heart rate (HR) in non-acuity settings: a clinical validity study

OBJECTIVE

Patient monitoring in general wards primarily involves intermittent observation of temperature, heart rate (HR), respiratory rate (RR) and blood pressure performed by the nursing staff. Several hours can lapse between such measurements, and the patient may go unobserved. Despite the growing widespread use of sensors to monitor vital signs and physical activities of healthy individuals, most acutely ill hospitalised patients remain unmonitored, leaving them at an increased risk. We investigated whether a contactless monitoring system could measure vital parameters, such as HR and RR, in a real-world hospital setting.

DESIGN

A cross-sectional prospective study.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

We examined the suitability of employing a non-contact monitoring system in a low-acuity setup at a tertiary care hospital in India. Measurements were performed on 158 subjects, with data acquired through contactless monitoring from the general ward and dialysis unit.

OUTCOME MEASURES

Vital parameters (RR and HR) were measured using a video camera in a non-acuity setting.

RESULTS

Three distinct combinations of contactless monitoring afforded excellent accuracy. Contactless RR monitoring was linearly correlated with Alice NightOne and manual counts, presenting coefficients of determination of 0.88 and 0.90, respectively. Contactless HR monitoring presented a coefficient of determination of 0.91. The mean absolute errors were 0.84 and 2.15 beats per minute for RR and HR, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with existing Food and Drug Administration-approved monitors, the findings of the present study revealed that contactless monitoring of RR and HR accurately represented study populations in non-acuity settings. Contactless video monitoring is an unobtrusive and dependable method for monitoring and recording RR and HR. Further research is needed to validate its dependability and utility in other settings, including acute care.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

CTRI/2018/11/016246.

993. “I feel like they’re actually listening to me”: A Pilot Study of Hospital Discharge-Decision Making for Patients with Injection Drug Use-Associated Infections

Background

Conversation guides have the potential to transform care for patients hospitalized with injection drug use (IDU)-associated infections. This study’s objectives were to 1) pilot a structured conversation guide for hospital discharge decision making in patients with IDU-associated infections 2) investigate the guide’s feasibility and acceptability and 3) examine patient and provider experiences, patient outcomes, and lessons learned.

Methods

We developed a conversation guide and conducted semi-structured interviews with physicians and patients at a tertiary care center in Maine. We interviewed physicians after each piloted the guide with two patients. We interviewed patients less than one week after the conversation and again after 4-6 weeks. Two analysts indexed transcriptions and used the framework method to identify and organize relevant information. We conducted retrospective chart review to corroborate and contextualize qualitative data.

Results

Eight patients and four infectious disease physicians piloted the conversation guide. All patients (N=8) completed antimicrobial treatment and 88% were discharged on medication for opioid use disorder (Table 1). All providers and most patients stated that the conversation guide was important for incorporating patient preferences and antimicrobial treatment options. Patients appreciated more autonomy and their voices being included in their care. Providers felt the guide facilitated their understanding of patient values. Values and preferences between patients and providers were aligned. Participants identified the length of the guide, discussion of pain management, and addressing post-discharge needs such as housing as areas for improvement (Table 2).

Conclusion

The use of a conversation guide to inform hospital discharge decision making for patients with IDU-associated infections incorporates patient preferences and values into treatment decisions. While we identified areas for improvement, overall patients and providers believed that this novel conversation guide helped to improve patient care and autonomy.

Disclosures

Kinna Thakarar, DO, MPH, Maine Medical Center: Board Member|NIH: Grant/Research Support|University of New England: Board Member Monica K. Sikka, MD, F2G: Site research investigator Ellen Eaton, MD, MSPH, Gilead: Grant/Research Support.

Spatial transcriptomics landscape of lesions from non-communicable inflammatory skin diseases

Abundant heterogeneous immune cells infiltrate lesions in chronic inflammatory diseases and characterization of these cells is needed to distinguish disease-promoting from bystander immune cells. Here, we investigate the landscape of non-communicable inflammatory skin diseases (ncISD) by spatial transcriptomics resulting in a large repository of 62,000 spatially defined human cutaneous transcriptomes from 31 patients. Despite the expected immune cell infiltration, we observe rather low numbers of pathogenic disease promoting cytokine transcripts (IFNG, IL13 and IL17A), i.e. >125 times less compared to the mean expression of all other genes over lesional skin sections. Nevertheless, cytokine expression is limited to lesional skin and presented in a disease-specific pattern. Leveraging a density-based spatial clustering method, we identify specific responder gene signatures in direct proximity of cytokines, and confirm that detected cytokine transcripts initiate amplification cascades of up to thousands of specific responder transcripts forming localized epidermal clusters. Thus, within the abundant and heterogeneous infiltrates of ncISD, only a low number of cytokine transcripts and their translated proteins promote disease by initiating an inflammatory amplification cascade in their local microenvironment.

Making Artificial Intelligence Lemonade Out of Data Lemons: Adaptation of a Public Apical Echo Database for Creation of a Subxiphoid Visual Estimation Automatic Ejection Fraction Machine Learning Algorithm

OBJECTIVES

A paucity of point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) databases limits machine learning (ML). Assess feasibility of training ML algorithms to visually estimate left ventricular ejection fraction (EF) from a subxiphoid (SX) window using only apical 4-chamber (A4C) images.

METHODS

Researchers used a long-short-term-memory algorithm for image analysis. Using the Stanford EchoNet-Dynamic database of 10,036 A4C videos with calculated exact EF, researchers tested 3 ML training permeations. First, training on unaltered Stanford A4C videos, then unaltered and 90° clockwise (CW) rotated videos and finally unaltered, 90° rotated and horizontally flipped videos. As a real-world test, we obtained 615 SX videos from Harbor-UCLA (HUCLA) with EF calculations in 5% ranges. Researchers performed 1000 randomizations of EF point estimation within HUCLA EF ranges to compensate for ML and HUCLA EF mismatch, obtaining a mean value for absolute error (MAE) comparison and performed Bland-Altman analyses.

RESULTS

The ML algorithm EF mean MAE was estimated at 23.0, with a range of 22.8-23.3 using unaltered A4C video, mean MAE was 16.7, with a range of 16.5-16.9 using unaltered and 90° CW rotated video, mean MAE was 16.6, with a range of 16.3-16.8 using unaltered, 90° CW rotated and horizontally flipped video training. Bland-Altman showed weakest agreement at 40-45% EF.

CONCLUSIONS

Researchers successfully adapted unrelated ultrasound window data to train a POCUS ML algorithm with fair MAE using data manipulation to simulate a different ultrasound examination. This may be important for future POCUS algorithm design to help overcome a paucity of POCUS databases.

Children with psoriasis and COVID-19: factors associated with an unfavourable COVID-19 course, and the impact of infection on disease progression (Chi-PsoCov registry)

BACKGROUND

The COVID-19 pandemic has raised questions regarding the management of chronic skin diseases, especially in patients on systemic treatments. Data concerning the use of biologics in adults with psoriasis are reassuring, but data specific to children are missing. Moreover, COVID-19 could impact the course of psoriasis in children.

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was therefore to assess the impact of COVID-19 on the psoriasis of children, and the severity of the infection in relation to systemic treatments.

METHODS

We set up an international registry of paediatric psoriasis patients. Children were included if they were under 18 years of age, had a history of psoriasis, or developed it within 1 month of COVID-19 and had COVID-19 with or without symptoms.

RESULTS

One hundred and twenty episodes of COVID-19 in 117 children (mean age: 12.4 years) were reported. The main clinical form of psoriasis was plaque type (69.4%). Most children were without systemic treatment (54.2%); 33 (28.3%) were on biologic therapies, and 24 (20%) on non-biologic systemic drugs. COVID-19 was confirmed in 106 children (88.3%) and 3 children had two COVID-19 infections each. COVID-19 was symptomatic for 75 children (62.5%) with a mean duration of 6.5 days, significantly longer for children on non-biologic systemic treatments (P = 0.02) and without systemic treatment (P = 0.006) when compared with children on biologics. The six children who required hospitalization were more frequently under non-biologic systemic treatment when compared with the other children (P = 0.01), and particularly under methotrexate (P = 0.03). After COVID-19, the psoriasis worsened in 17 cases (15.2%). Nine children (8%) developed a psoriasis in the month following COVID-19, mainly a guttate form (P = 0.01).

DISCUSSION

Biologics appear to be safe with no increased risk of severe form of COVID-19 in children with psoriasis. COVID-19 was responsible for the development of psoriasis or the worsening of a known psoriasis for some children.

Evaluation of prognostic risk models for postoperative pulmonary complications in adult patients undergoing major abdominal surgery: a systematic review and international external validation cohort study

BACKGROUND

Stratifying risk of postoperative pulmonary complications after major abdominal surgery allows clinicians to modify risk through targeted interventions and enhanced monitoring. In this study, we aimed to identify and validate prognostic models against a new consensus definition of postoperative pulmonary complications.

METHODS

We did a systematic review and international external validation cohort study. The systematic review was done in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. We searched MEDLINE and Embase on March 1, 2020, for articles published in English that reported on risk prediction models for postoperative pulmonary complications following abdominal surgery. External validation of existing models was done within a prospective international cohort study of adult patients (≥18 years) undergoing major abdominal surgery. Data were collected between Jan 1, 2019, and April 30, 2019, in the UK, Ireland, and Australia. Discriminative ability and prognostic accuracy summary statistics were compared between models for the 30-day postoperative pulmonary complication rate as defined by the Standardised Endpoints in Perioperative Medicine Core Outcome Measures in Perioperative and Anaesthetic Care (StEP-COMPAC). Model performance was compared using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROCC).

FINDINGS

In total, we identified 2903 records from our literature search; of which, 2514 (86·6%) unique records were screened, 121 (4·8%) of 2514 full texts were assessed for eligibility, and 29 unique prognostic models were identified. Nine (31·0%) of 29 models had score development reported only, 19 (65·5%) had undergone internal validation, and only four (13·8%) had been externally validated. Data to validate six eligible models were collected in the international external validation cohort study. Data from 11 591 patients were available, with an overall postoperative pulmonary complication rate of 7·8% (n=903). None of the six models showed good discrimination (defined as AUROCC ≥0·70) for identifying postoperative pulmonary complications, with the Assess Respiratory Risk in Surgical Patients in Catalonia score showing the best discrimination (AUROCC 0·700 [95% CI 0·683-0·717]).

INTERPRETATION

In the pre-COVID-19 pandemic data, variability in the risk of pulmonary complications (StEP-COMPAC definition) following major abdominal surgery was poorly described by existing prognostication tools. To improve surgical safety during the COVID-19 pandemic recovery and beyond, novel risk stratification tools are required.

FUNDING

British Journal of Surgery Society.

In-plane and out-of-plane deformations of gilt utero-sacral ligaments

The uterosacral ligaments (USLs) are supportive structures of the uterus and apical vagina. The mechanical function of these ligaments within the pelvic floor is crucial not only in normal physiological conditions but also in reconstructive surgeries for pelvic organ prolapse. Discrepancies in their anatomical and histological description exist in the literature, but such discrepancies are likely due to large variations of these structures. This makes mechanical testing very challenging, requiring the development of advanced methods for characterizing their mechanical properties. This study proposes the use of planar biaxial testing, digital image correlation (DIC), and optical coherence tomography (OCT) to quantify the deformations of the USLs, both in-plane and out-of-plane. Using the gilts as an animal model, the USLs were found to deform significantly less in their main direction (MD) of in vivo loading than in the direction perpendicular to it (PD) at increasing equibiaxial stresses. Under constant equibiaxial loading, the USLs deform over time equally, at comparable rates in both the MD and PD. The thickness of the USLs decreases as the equibiaxial loading increases but, under constant equibiaxial loading, the thickness increases in some specimens and decreases in others. These findings could contribute to the design of new mesh materials that augment the support function of USLs as well as noninvasive diagnostic tools for evaluating the integrity of the USLs.

Mutant D620N and VPS35 induces motor dysfunction and impairs DAT-mediated dopamine recycling pathway

The D620N mutation in vacuolar protein sorting protein 35 (VPS35) gene has been identified to be linked to late onset familial Parkinson disease (PD). However, the pathophysiological roles of VPS35-D620N in PD remain unclear. Here, we generated the transgenic C. elegans overexpressing either human wild type or PD-linked mutant VPS35-D620N in neurons. C. elegans expressing VPS35-D620N, compared with non-transgenic controls, showed movement disorders and dopaminergic neuron loss. VPS35-D620N worms displayed more swimming induced paralysis but showed no defects in BSR assays, thus indicating the disruption of dopamine (DA) recycling back inside neurons. Moreover, VPS35 formed a protein interaction complex with DA transporter (DAT), RAB5, RAB11, and FAM21. In contrast, the VPS35-D620N mutant destabilized these interactions, thus disrupting DAT transport from early endosomes to recycling endosomes, and decreasing DAT at the cell suffice. These effects together increased DA in synaptic clefts, and led to dopaminergic neuron degeneration and motor dysfunction. Treatment with reserpine significantly decreased the swimming induced paralysis in VPS35-D620N worms, as compared with vehicle treated VPS35-D620N worms. Our studies not only provide novel insight into the mechanisms of VPS35-D620N-induced dopaminergic neuron degeneration and motor dysfunction via disruption of DAT function and the DA signaling pathway, but also indicate a potential strategy to treat VPS35-D620N related PD and other disorders.

Tanaka score predicts surgical intensive care admission following abdominal wall reconstruction

PURPOSE

With the advancement of abdominal wall reconstruction, more complex hernia patients are undergoing repairs that may require a postoperative surgical intensive care unit (SICU) admission. The volume ratio (VR) of the hernia sac to the abdominal cavity is an easily applied method to quantify disease severity and the ensuing physiologic insult. This study aimed to predict postoperative SICU admission using VR and other preoperative variables.

METHODS

A single-center retrospective review was conducted for patients undergoing large abdominal hernias (width ≥ 18 cm) repaired from September 2014 to October 2019. Patient demographics, comorbidities, abdominal surgical history, and VR were analyzed through univariate and multivariable methods to identify predictors of SICU admission within the first two postoperative days. A predictive model was generated and validated.

RESULTS

Of 434 patients meeting inclusion criteria, 127(29%) required a SICU admission within the first two postoperative days. VR was significantly higher in SICU patients (Median 30.6% [IQR 14.4-59.0] vs. 10.6% [IQR 4.35-23.6], P < 0.001). Male sex, history of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, prior component separation, recurrent incisional hernia, hernia grade 3, and VR showed higher odds of SICU admission. When validated on a testing dataset, these variables showed strong SICU admission predictions, with an area under the curve, sensitivity, and specificity of 0.82, 81.7% and 68.5%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The volume ratio in combination with preoperatively available variables can reliably predict postoperative SICU admission following abdominal wall reconstruction. Anticipating such events preoperatively allows for bed space allocation as well as optimizing postoperative care.

Inequitable use of health services for Indigenous mothers who experience stillbirth in Australia

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to identify differences in health service expenditure on Indigenous and non-Indigenous women who experience a stillbirth, women's out-of-pocket costs, and health service use.

METHODS

The project used a whole-of-population linked data set called "Maternity1000," which includes all women who gave birth in Queensland, Australia, between July 1, 2012, and June 30, 2018 (n = 396 158). Multivariable analysis was undertaken to assess differences in mean health service expenditure; and number of health care services accessed between Indigenous and non-Indigenous women who had a stillbirth from birth to twelve months postpartum. Costs are presented in 2019/20 Australian dollars.

RESULTS

There was a total of 1864 babies stillborn to women in Queensland between July 1, 2012, and June 30, 2018, with 135 being born to Indigenous women and 1729 born to non-Indigenous women. There was significantly lower total expenditure per woman for Indigenous women compared with non-Indigenous women ($16 083 and $18 811, respectively). This was consistent across public hospital inpatient ($12 564 compared with $14 075), outpatient ($1127 compared with $1470), community-based services ($198 compared with $313), pharmaceuticals ($8 compared with $22), private hospital ($434 compared with $1265), and for individual out-of-pocket fees ($21 compared with $86). Mean expenditure on emergency department services per woman was higher for Indigenous women compared with non-Indigenous women ($947 compared with $643). Indigenous women who experienced a stillbirth accessed fewer general practitioners, allied health, specialist, obstetrics, and outpatient services, and fewer pathology and diagnostic test than their non-Indigenous counterparts.

CONCLUSIONS

Inequities in access to health services exist between Indigenous and non-Indigenous women who experience a stillbirth.

Patient-reported outcome (PRO) results from the AGITG DOCTOR trial: a randomised phase 2 trial of tailored neoadjuvant therapy for resectable oesophageal adenocarcinoma

Background

AGITG DOCTOR was a randomised phase 2 trial of pre-operative cisplatin, 5 fluorouracil (CF) followed by docetaxel (D) with or without radiotherapy (RT) based on poor early response to CF, detected via PET, for resectable oesophageal adenocarcinoma. This study describes PROs over 2 years.

Methods

Participants (N = 116) completed the EORTC QLQ-C30 and oesophageal module (QLQ-OES18) before chemotherapy (baseline), before surgery, six and 12 weeks post-surgery and three-monthly until 2 years. We plotted PROs over time and calculated the percentage of participants per treatment group whose post-surgery score was within 10 points (threshold for clinically relevant change) of their baseline score, for each PRO scale. We examined the relationship between Grade 3+ adverse events (AEs) and PROs. This analysis included four groups: CF responders, non-responders randomised to DCF, non-responders randomised to DCF + RT, and “others” who were not randomised.

Results

Global QOL was clinically similar between groups from 6 weeks post-surgery. All groups had poorer functional and higher symptom scores during active treatment and shortly after surgery, particularly the DCF and DCF + RT groups. DCF + RT reported a clinically significant difference (−13points) in mean overall health/QOL between baseline and pre-surgery. Similar proportions of patients across groups scored +/− 10 points of baseline scores within 2 years for most PRO domains. Instance of grade 3+ AEs were not related to PROs at baseline or 2 years.

Conclusions

By 2 years, similar proportions of patients scored within 10 points of baseline for most PRO domains, with the exception of pain and insomnia for the DCF + RT group. Non-responders randomised to DCF or DCF + RT experienced additional short-term burden compared to CF responders, reflecting the longer duration of neoadjuvant treatment and additional toxicity. This should be weighed against clinical benefits reported in AGITG DOCTOR. This data will inform communication of the trajectory of treatment options for early CF non-responders.

Trial registration

Australia New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry (ANZCTR), ACTRN12609000665235. Registered 31 July 2009.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12885-022-09270-4.

Competition between Coulomb and van der Waals Interactions in Xe-Cs^{+} Aggregates on Cu(111) Surfaces

Microscopic insight into interactions is a key for understanding the properties of heterogenous interfaces. We analyze local attraction in noncovalently bonded Xe-Cs^{+} aggregates and monolayers on Cu(111) as well as repulsion upon electron transfer. Using two-photon photoemission spectroscopy, scanning tunneling microscopy, and coupled cluster calculations combined with an image-charge model, we explain the intricate impact Xe has on Cs^{+}/Cu(111). We find that attraction between Cs^{+} and Xe counterbalances the screened Coulomb repulsion between Cs^{+} ions on Cu(111). Furthermore, we observe that the Cs 6s electron is repelled from Cu(111) due to xenon's electron density. Together, this yields a dual, i.e., attractive or repulsive, response of Xe depending on the positive or negative charge of the respective counterparticle, which emphasizes the importance of the Coulomb interaction in these systems.