Prospective observational study investigating the predictive validity of the STarT Back tool and the clinical effectiveness of stratified care in an emergency department setting

PURPOSE

To determine the predictive validity of the STarT Back tool (SBT) undertaken at baseline and 6 weeks to classify Emergency Department (ED) patients with LBP into groups at low, medium or high risk of persistent disability at 3 months. A secondary aim was to evaluate the clinical effectiveness of pragmatic risk-matched treatment in an ED cohort at 3 months.

METHODS

A prospective observational multi-centre study took place in the physiotherapy services linked to the ED in four teaching hospitals in Dublin, Ireland. Patients were stratified into low, medium and high-risk groups at their baseline assessment. Participants received stratified care, where the content of their treatment was matched to their risk profile. Outcomes completed at baseline and 3 months included pain and disability. Linear regression analyses assessed if baseline or 6-week SBT score were predictive of disability at 3 months. Changes in the primary outcome of disability were dichotomised into those who achieved/ did not achieve a 30% improvement in their RMDQ at 6 weeks and 3 months.

RESULTS

The study enrolled 118 patients with a primary complaint of LBP ± leg pain with 67 (56.7%) completing their 6-week and 3-month follow-up. Baseline RMDQ and being in medium or high risk SBT group at 6 weeks were predictive of persistent disability at 3 months. A total of 54 (80.6%) participants reported a > 30% improvement at 3 months.

CONCLUSION

Disability at baseline and SBT administered at 6 weeks more accurately predicted disability at 3 months than SBT at baseline in an ED population.

184 THE EFFECTS OF MEDICINE OPTIMISATION BY A CONSULTANT PHARMACIST IN A 'HOSPITAL AT HOME' SETTING

Background

Hospital at Home is a rapidly growing initiative whereby patients are offered hospital equivalent interventions at their home. Given that patient numbers under the care of this team are often smaller than those on inpatient hospital wards, there is often more time to develop a personalised approach to medicine optimisation.

Methods

All 42 patients under the care of the local 'Hospital at Home' team had their medication reviewed by the team's Consultant Pharmacist for Older People. Using the STOP START tool with information from patients and carers each patient's medication was optimised.

Results

This data was analysed by a research pharmacist and anticholinergic burden, Eadon score, pill burden, adverse drug events and average direct drug cost savings were identified. All residents had their medication optimised. 5.25 clinical interventions per resident 81% were Eadon Grade 4. Medication appropriateness improved with downwards trend, pre and post intervention. The mean anticholinergic burden reduced to less than 3. (pre 3.63 vs post 2.63). An overall reduction in pill burden; for every 1 drug started 3 drugs were stopped (mean number of drugs 16 vs 13, pre and post intervention respectively). 50% of residents had an adverse drug event (causing harm) identified. Average direct drug costs savings of £385.28 per patient per annum.

Conclusion

This research shows the importance of the role of the 'Consultant Pharmacist for OIder People' in medicine optimisation in the 'Hospital at Home' team. It also highlights the benefit of the 'Hospital at Home' service to facilitate the often time-consuming task of effective medicine optimisation.

Polygenic risk score associates with atherosclerosis severity at autopsy

Background

Polygenic risk scores (PRS) for coronary artery disease (CAD) are emerging as a potential method to improve cardiovascular risk prediction. Questions remain about their applicability to diverse populations as well as their correlation with coronary histopathology.

Purpose

To assess whether high genetic risk associates with histopathologic coronary plaque morphology.

Methods

We assessed 122 known CAD risk loci in 954 Black and White subjects within our sudden death registry to generate a PRS. The cohort was divided into quintiles according to z-score-standardized PRS, both in a race-stratified fashion and in the pooled sample. Detailed histopathologic examination of the coronary arteries was performed in all subjects.

Results

Subjects in the highest PRS quintile exhibited more severe atherosclerosis compared to subjects in the lowest quintile, with greater mean cross-sectional luminal narrowing (71.5% (95% CI, 66.6%-76.5%) vs. 56.6% (95% CI, 51.1%-62.1%); adjusted p<0.001; Figure 1) and a higher frequency of calcification (adjusted OR 2.19; 95% CI 1.31–3.68; p=0.003) after adjustment for the first 10 principal components, age, sex, and race. Higher z-score-standardized PRS was predictive for the finding of severe atherosclerosis (i.e., ≥75% cross-sectional luminal narrowing) even after additional controlling for traditional CAD risk factors including hypertension, smoking, diabetes mellitus, and hyperlipidemia (adjusted OR 1.39; 95% CI 1.19–1.63; p<0.001; Figure 2). Among Black subjects, higher PRS was associated with higher odds of plaque rupture (adjusted OR 1.31; 95% CI 1.03–1.66; p=0.03) and predicted CAD-associated cause of death among subjects younger than 50 years old (adjusted OR 1.26; 95% CI 1.01–1.58; p=0.04).

Conclusions

This is the first autopsy study investigating associations between PRS and atherosclerotic plaque morphology at a histopathologic level. Our pathological analysis suggests PRS correlates with plaque burden and coronary artery calcification and may be useful as a method for CAD risk stratification, especially in younger subjects.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Foundation. Main funding source(s): R01 HL141425 Leducq Foundation Grant

Search for Subsolar-Mass Binaries in the First Half of Advanced LIGO's and Advanced Virgo's Third Observing Run

We report on a search for compact binary coalescences where at least one binary component has a mass between 0.2  M_{⊙} and 1.0  M_{⊙} in Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo data collected between 1 April 2019 1500 UTC and 1 October 2019 1500 UTC. We extend our previous analyses in two main ways: we include data from the Virgo detector and we allow for more unequal mass systems, with mass ratio q≥0.1. We do not report any gravitational-wave candidates. The most significant trigger has a false alarm rate of 0.14  yr^{-1}. This implies an upper limit on the merger rate of subsolar binaries in the range [220-24200]  Gpc^{-3} yr^{-1}, depending on the chirp mass of the binary. We use this upper limit to derive astrophysical constraints on two phenomenological models that could produce subsolar-mass compact objects. One is an isotropic distribution of equal-mass primordial black holes. Using this model, we find that the fraction of dark matter in primordial black holes in the mass range 0.2  M_{⊙}<m_{PBH}<1.0  M_{⊙} is f_{PBH}≡Ω_{PBH}/Ω_{DM}≲6%. This improves existing constraints on primordial black hole abundance by a factor of ∼3. The other is a dissipative dark matter model, in which fermionic dark matter can collapse and form black holes. The upper limit on the fraction of dark matter black holes depends on the minimum mass of the black holes that can be formed: the most constraining result is obtained at M_{min}=1  M_{⊙}, where f_{DBH}≡Ω_{DBH}/Ω_{DM}≲0.003%. These are the first constraints placed on dissipative dark models by subsolar-mass analyses.

Migraine-Associated Common Genetic Variants Confer Greater Risk of Posterior vs. Anterior Circulation Ischemic Stroke☆

OBJECTIVE

To examine potential genetic relationships between migraine and the two distinct phenotypes posterior circulation ischemic stroke (PCiS) and anterior circulation ischemic stroke (ACiS), we generated migraine polygenic risk scores (PRSs) and compared these between PCiS and ACiS, and separately vs. non-stroke control subjects.

METHODS

Acute ischemic stroke cases were classified as PCiS or ACiS based on lesion location on diffusion-weighted MRI. Exclusion criteria were lesions in both vascular territories or uncertain territory; supratentorial PCiS with ipsilateral fetal posterior cerebral artery; and cases with atrial fibrillation. We generated migraine PRS for three migraine phenotypes (any migraine; migraine without aura; migraine with aura) using publicly available GWAS data and compared mean PRSs separately for PCiS and ACiS vs. non-stroke control subjects, and between each stroke phenotype.

RESULTS

Our primary analyses included 464 PCiS and 1079 ACiS patients with genetic European ancestry. Compared to non-stroke control subjects (n=15396), PRSs of any migraine were associated with increased risk of PCiS (p=0.01-0.03) and decreased risk of ACiS (p=0.010-0.039). Migraine without aura PRSs were significantly associated with PCiS (p=0.008-0.028), but not with ACiS. When comparing PCiS vs. ACiS directly, migraine PRSs were higher in PCiS vs. ACiS for any migraine (p=0.001-0.010) and migraine without aura (p=0.032-0.048). Migraine with aura PRS did not show a differential association in our analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest a stronger genetic overlap between unspecified migraine and migraine without aura with PCiS compared to ACiS. Possible shared mechanisms include dysregulation of cerebral vessel endothelial function.

P06 The use of procalcitonin testing to improve antibiotic stewardship in all cause respiratory admissions: a retrospective analysis

Background

Improving antibiotic stewardship whilst simultaneously optimizing patient safety is a perpetually vexing clinical conundrum, which has been compounded by the current COVID-19 pandemic. Procalcitonin (PCT) measurement has previously demonstrated utility in this regard, when combined with routine clinical investigation, in certain patient populations.

Objectives

To assess whether the inclusion of PCT measurement as part of routine clinical care, instituted during a quality improvement project (QIP), increases the appropriateness of antibiotic administration.

Methods

A retrospective analysis was performed on 6 month interim data obtained from May to October 2021 during a QIP, which assessed the effect of PCT measurement on antimicrobial stewardship. All patients included had a primary diagnosis of respiratory illness and were analysed both together and as COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 subgroups to assess how often antibiotics were commenced on admission, duration of treatment and appropriateness of use. Finally, as sending microbiological samples made up part of the protocol, sample sending frequency was also studied.

Results

Thirty patients were included in both the COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 baseline subgroups who did not have PCT testing performed. Fifty-two patients were included in the PCT subgroup (27 COVID-19 positive and 25 COVID-19 negative). Following introduction of PCT testing, commencement of antibiotics on admission was reduced overall and in the COVID-19 positive subgroup (P = 0.0426 and P = 0.0446, respectively) with a significant decrease in inappropriate antibiotic prescribing in these two groups (P = 0.011 and P = 0.0157, respectively) and a trend towards reduced prescribing of AWaRe watch group antibiotics such as ceftriaxone. However, once prescribed, there was no difference in duration of antibiotic treatment or the frequency of microbiological sampling.

Conclusions

The data from this interim data analysis demonstrate that PCT measurement, when combined with routine clinical investigations in the acute respiratory setting, can be used to reduce inappropriate antibiotic prescribing. This was significantly reduced overall and in the COVID-19 positive subgroup but lost statistical significance in the COVID-19 negative subgroup, where it could be hypothesized that heterogeneity and inclusion of respiratory diseases where PCT has previously encountered difficulty in determining the presence of acute bacterial infection may be the cause. The significant effect demonstrated in the COVID-19 positive subgroup suggests particular utility in this patient population.

Point Absorber Limits to Future Gravitational-Wave Detectors

High-quality optical resonant cavities require low optical loss, typically on the scale of parts per million. However, unintended micron-scale contaminants on the resonator mirrors that absorb the light circulating in the cavity can deform the surface thermoelastically and thus increase losses by scattering light out of the resonant mode. The point absorber effect is a limiting factor in some high-power cavity experiments, for example, the Advanced LIGO gravitational-wave detector. In this Letter, we present a general approach to the point absorber effect from first principles and simulate its contribution to the increased scattering. The achievable circulating power in current and future gravitational-wave detectors is calculated statistically given different point absorber configurations. Our formulation is further confirmed experimentally in comparison with the scattered power in the arm cavity of Advanced LIGO measured by in situ photodiodes. The understanding presented here provides an important tool in the global effort to design future gravitational-wave detectors that support high optical power and thus reduce quantum noise.

Vaccine-induced thrombosis and thrombocytopenia (VITT) in Ireland: A review of cases and current practices

Since the beginning of the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus-2 (SARS CoV-2) virus pandemic, several highly effective and safe vaccines have been produced at remarkable speed. Following global implementation of vaccination programmes, cases of thrombosis with thrombocytopenia following administration of adenoviral vector-based vaccines started being reported. In this review we discuss the known pathogenesis and epidemiology of so-called vaccine induced thrombocytopenia and thrombosis (VITT). We consider the available guidelines, diagnostic laboratory tests and management options for these patients. Finally, we discuss important unanswered questions and areas for future research in this novel pathoclinical entity.

129 MAKING THE CASE FOR ENHANCED INTEGRATION BETWEEN MEMORY ASSESSMENT AND SUPPORT AND COMMUNITY PALLIATIVE CARE SERVICES IN ADVANCED DEMENTIA

Background

In Ireland there are an estimated 64,000 people living with dementia. There is a growing body of evidence that a palliative approach, including access to specialist palliative care in the later stages of dementia is essential for wellbeing and the promotion of holistic, person-centred care. Yet many people living with advanced dementia have limited access to specialist palliative care services and such services often feel ill equipped to meet the unique, complex needs of this cohort.

Methods

This is a case study report of the joint working interface between Memory Assessment and Support (MASS) and Specialist Community Palliative Care (SPPCT). M was a 85 year old lady, with advanced dementia and history of lung cancer. CT Brain showed a large left parietal lobe tumour, probable metastatic lesion. Family agreed that further investigations were inappropriate and care objective was to manage her needs in her home in accordance with her previously known wishes.

Results

A joint initial visit with SCPCT and MASS was carried out which included medication review, symptom management and assessment of additional service need. Regular visits from SCPCT with support from primary care services and MASS ensured that appropriate services were in situ, symptoms were regularly assessed and treatment plan adjusted as needed. M was supported to die at home in the care of her family, as per her wishes.

Conclusion

This case illustrates the value of the partnership between MASS and SCPCT. Services that are responsive to client needs can ensure that appropriate care is given in the right place at the right time in accordance with their will and preference. This is in line with Slainte Care principles and provides an alternative pathway for end of live care for people with advanced dementia away from acute care settings.

123 Supporting A Learning System in Paediatric Emergency Pathways; Using Organisational Comparisons, Serious Incidents and Near Miss Events To Improve The Diagnosis And Treatment Of Testicular Torsion

Introduction

Scrotal pain is a common presentation to the emergency department requiring prompt investigation and management to identify testicular torsion. Using national data we aim to identify key suboptimal areas in the acute diagnosis and management of testicular torsion with a view to improving outcomes.

Method

A freedom of information request was made to all Trusts in England that manage testicular torsion. Serious Incidents (SI's) were analysed to see if those with Paediatric Emergency Departments fared better than those without. In addition, a qualitative thematic analysis of the NHS England Strategic Executive Information System database from 2007-2019 was undertaken, identifying common themes associated with orchidectomies and ‘near miss’ events in children.

Results

304 serious incidents were returned with 62 Orchidectomies and 242 Near Miss Events. Misdiagnosis of symptomatic testicle was not significant when comparing ED to specialists (OR = 1.46, p = 0.3842). Atypical presentation resulting in orchidectomy was significant when comparing ED to specialists (OR = 6, p = 0.0355). Near miss events are due to a variety of factors. There was no statistical significance in incidents when comparing ED's caring for all ages with Paediatric EDs U = 807.5, z = -1.124, p = 0.261.

Conclusions

There's a need for education in ED about atypical presentation of testicular torsion and examination of scrotum in cases of lower abdominal pain. It's also vital that specialist teams are cognisant of the standard operating procedures relevant to scrotal pain. Finally, there should be a drive for annual audit in Urology and ED units with regards to testicular torsion as SI's may be under-reported.

Approaching the motional ground state of a 10-kg object

The motion of a mechanical object, even a human-sized object, should be governed by the rules of quantum mechanics. Coaxing them into a quantum state is, however, difficult because the thermal environment masks any quantum signature of the object's motion. The thermal environment also masks the effects of proposed modifications of quantum mechanics at large mass scales. We prepared the center-of-mass motion of a 10-kilogram mechanical oscillator in a state with an average phonon occupation of 10.8. The reduction in temperature, from room temperature to 77 nanokelvin, is commensurate with an 11 orders-of-magnitude suppression of quantum back-action by feedback and a 13 orders-of-magnitude increase in the mass of an object prepared close to its motional ground state. Our approach will enable the possibility of probing gravity on massive quantum systems.

Constraints on Cosmic Strings Using Data from the Third Advanced LIGO-Virgo Observing Run

We search for gravitational-wave signals produced by cosmic strings in the Advanced LIGO and Virgo full O3 dataset. Search results are presented for gravitational waves produced by cosmic string loop features such as cusps, kinks, and, for the first time, kink-kink collisions. A template-based search for short-duration transient signals does not yield a detection. We also use the stochastic gravitational-wave background energy density upper limits derived from the O3 data to constrain the cosmic string tension Gμ as a function of the number of kinks, or the number of cusps, for two cosmic string loop distribution models. Additionally, we develop and test a third model that interpolates between these two models. Our results improve upon the previous LIGO-Virgo constraints on Gμ by 1 to 2 orders of magnitude depending on the model that is tested. In particular, for the one-loop distribution model, we set the most competitive constraints to date: Gμ≲4×10^{-15}. In the case of cosmic strings formed at the end of inflation in the context of grand unified theories, these results challenge simple inflationary models.

Constraints on Cosmic Strings Using Data from the Third Advanced LIGO-Virgo Observing Run

We search for gravitational-wave signals produced by cosmic strings in the Advanced LIGO and Virgo full O3 dataset. Search results are presented for gravitational waves produced by cosmic string loop features such as cusps, kinks, and, for the first time, kink-kink collisions. A template-based search for short-duration transient signals does not yield a detection. We also use the stochastic gravitational-wave background energy density upper limits derived from the O3 data to constrain the cosmic string tension Gμ as a function of the number of kinks, or the number of cusps, for two cosmic string loop distribution models. Additionally, we develop and test a third model that interpolates between these two models. Our results improve upon the previous LIGO-Virgo constraints on Gμ by 1 to 2 orders of magnitude depending on the model that is tested. In particular, for the one-loop distribution model, we set the most competitive constraints to date: Gμ≲4×10^{-15}. In the case of cosmic strings formed at the end of inflation in the context of grand unified theories, these results challenge simple inflationary models.

484 CHANGING PRACTICES OF DECISION MAKING REGARDING DO-NOT-ATTEMPT-CARDIOPULMONARY-RESUSCITATION ORDERS AMID THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC

Introduction

The COVID-19 pandemic has brought the decision-making process regarding cardiopulmonary resuscitation into focus. This study aims to analyse Do-Not-Attempt CPR (DNACPR) documentation in older hospitalised patients before and during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Methods

This was a retrospective repeated cross-sectional study. Data including co-morbidities and resuscitation status was collected on 300 patients with COVID-19 hospitalised from March 1st to May 31 s t 2020. DNACPR documentation rates in patients aged ≥65 years with a diagnosis of COVID-19 were compared to those without COVID-19 admitted during the same period. Pre-COVID-19 pandemic DNACPR documentation rates were also examined. Factors associated with DNACPR order instatement during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic were identified.

Results

Of 300 COVID-19-positive patients, 28% had a DNACPR order documented during their admission. 50% of DNAR orders were recorded within 24 hours of a positive swab result for SARS-CoV-2. Of 131 patients aged 65 years or over within the cohort admitted with COVID-19, 60.3% had a DNACPR order compared to 25.4% of 130 patients ≥65 without COVID-19 (p &lt; 0.0001). During a comparable time period pre-pandemic, 15.4% of 130 older patients had a DNACPR order in place (p &lt; 0.0001). Independent associations with DNACPR order documentation included increasing age (Odds Ratio [O.R.] 1.12; 95% CI 1.05-1.21); nursing home resident status (O.R. 3.57; 95% CI 1.02-12.50); frailty (O.R. 3.34; 95% CI 1.16-9.61) and chronic renal impairment (O.R. 5.49; 1.34-22.47). The case-fatality-rate of older patients with COVID-19 was 29.8% versus 5.4% without COVID-19. Of older COVID-19-positive patients, 39.2% were referred to palliative care services and 70.2% survived.

Conclusion

The COVID-19 pandemic has prompted more widespread and earlier decision-making regarding resuscitation status. Although case-fatality-rates were higher for older hospitalised patients with COVID-19, many older patients survived the illness. Advance care planning should be prioritised in all patients and should remain clinical practice despite the pandemic.

89 Improving Pain Assessment and Management for Patients with Cognitive Impairment on the Care of the Older Person (COOP) Wards

Introduction

Patients with cognitive impairment are at risk of underassessment and inadequate management of pain. Self-reporting is unlikely to be a reliable indicator of pain and numerical scales have reduced validity, hence an alternative assessment tool must be used. The Abbey Pain Scale is widely regarded to be user friendly. Regular analgesia should be used for these patients where possible instead of “as required” (PRN). Using QIP methodology, we aimed to improve the use of the Abbey Pain Scale for assessment of patients with cognitive impairment and better analgesia prescribing.

Methods

Audit of patient records on COOP wards (computer and physical notes, n = 48 first cycle, n = 32 second cycle) before and after staff training, assessing patients with cognitive impairment for: use of Abbey Pain Scale; use of regular paracetamol; pain assessments documented by different healthcare professionals.

Results

In the first cycle, 16 patients had cognitive impairment: only 1 of these patients (6%) was assessed using the Abbey Pain Scale. Group teaching for the multidisciplinary team on pain assessments was undertaken with practice development nurses. In the re-audit, 13 patients had cognitive impairment and 6 of these (46%) were assessed using the Abbey Pain Scale, showing a clear improvement following staff training. The second cycle showed a 50% increase in the prescription of regular paracetamol for patients with cognitive impairment. There was also a 2.5-fold improvement in therapy staff documenting pain assessments between the two audits.

Conclusions

Staff training in the use of the Abbey Pain Scale led to an almost 8-fold increase in its use for patients with cognitive impairment. Training on the use of the Abbey Pain Scale should be regularly provided to nurses, physiotherapists and doctors on the care of the older person wards.

GW190521: A Binary Black Hole Merger with a Total Mass of 150 M_{⊙}

On May 21, 2019 at 03:02:29 UTC Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo observed a short duration gravitational-wave signal, GW190521, with a three-detector network signal-to-noise ratio of 14.7, and an estimated false-alarm rate of 1 in 4900 yr using a search sensitive to generic transients. If GW190521 is from a quasicircular binary inspiral, then the detected signal is consistent with the merger of two black holes with masses of 85_{-14}^{+21}  M_{⊙} and 66_{-18}^{+17}  M_{⊙} (90% credible intervals). We infer that the primary black hole mass lies within the gap produced by (pulsational) pair-instability supernova processes, with only a 0.32% probability of being below 65  M_{⊙}. We calculate the mass of the remnant to be 142_{-16}^{+28}  M_{⊙}, which can be considered an intermediate mass black hole (IMBH). The luminosity distance of the source is 5.3_{-2.6}^{+2.4}  Gpc, corresponding to a redshift of 0.82_{-0.34}^{+0.28}. The inferred rate of mergers similar to GW190521 is 0.13_{-0.11}^{+0.30}  Gpc^{-3} yr^{-1}.

A275 REVISITING THE DIAGNOSTIC YIELD OF ERCP BRUSH CYTOLOGY FOR INDETERMINATE BILIARY STRICTURES

Background

Endoscopic Retrograde Cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) brush cytology is the most frequently used tool for sampling indeterminate biliary strictures. Previous studies have demonstrated that the diagnostic yield of brush cytology for malignant biliary strictures is 60%. With improved diagnostic tools, sampling techniques and specimen processing, the yield of ERCP brush cytology may be higher.

Aims

To assess the diagnostic yield of ERCP brush cytology in patients with indeterminate biliary strictures and to determine factors associated with positive diagnosis.

Methods

This is a retrospective study of all patients who underwent ERCP with brush cytology at University Health Network (UHN) from October 2016 to September 2019. The cytological samples were taken as follows: the cytology brush is introduced into the stricture ten times under direct fluoroscopy guidance. The brush was cut and placed into a methanol based buffered solution (CytoLyt®). Residual sample was then flushed out of the catheter with the solution and into the sample container. Patient demographic, clinical, procedural and pathological data was collected by chart review. All patients were followed for a minimum of three months after their index ERCP. Post-ERCP sampling via repeat ERCP brushings, endoscopic ultrasound fine needle biopsy, percutaneous biopsy or surgical resection was recorded.

Results

A total of 97 patients underwent ERCP with brush cytology during the study period (43 females, median age 69 years). Fifty-nine patients (84%) were diagnosed with malignancy via ERCP brush cytology. Using follow up sampling, surgical resection and clinical follow up as the gold standard, the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value and accuracy were 84%, 100%, 100%, and 71% respectively. Patient demographics, degree of cholestasis or stricture location had no significant impact on these outcomes.

Conclusions

This study shows a high diagnostic yield for ERCP with brush cytology for patients with indeterminate biliary strictures. Large prospective studies using updated tools, techniques and specimen handling processes are needed to confirm our observations.

Funding Agencies

None

Prospects for observing and localizing gravitational-wave transients with Advanced LIGO, Advanced Virgo and KAGRA

We present our current best estimate of the plausible observing scenarios for the Advanced LIGO, Advanced Virgo and KAGRA gravitational-wave detectors over the next several years, with the intention of providing information to facilitate planning for multi-messenger astronomy with gravitational waves. We estimate the sensitivity of the network to transient gravitational-wave signals for the third (O3), fourth (O4) and fifth observing (O5) runs, including the planned upgrades of the Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo detectors. We study the capability of the network to determine the sky location of the source for gravitational-wave signals from the inspiral of binary systems of compact objects, that is binary neutron star, neutron star-black hole, and binary black hole systems. The ability to localize the sources is given as a sky-area probability, luminosity distance, and comoving volume. The median sky localization area (90% credible region) is expected to be a few hundreds of square degrees for all types of binary systems during O3 with the Advanced LIGO and Virgo (HLV) network. The median sky localization area will improve to a few tens of square degrees during O4 with the Advanced LIGO, Virgo, and KAGRA (HLVK) network. During O3, the median localization volume (90% credible region) is expected to be on the order of 10 5 , 10 6 , 10 7 Mpc 3 for binary neutron star, neutron star-black hole, and binary black hole systems, respectively. The localization volume in O4 is expected to be about a factor two smaller than in O3. We predict a detection count of 1 - 1 + 12 ( 10 - 10 + 52 ) for binary neutron star mergers, of 0 - 0 + 19 ( 1 - 1 + 91 ) for neutron star-black hole mergers, and 17 - 11 + 22 ( 79 - 44 + 89 ) for binary black hole mergers in a one-calendar-year observing run of the HLV network during O3 (HLVK network during O4). We evaluate sensitivity and localization expectations for unmodeled signal searches, including the search for intermediate mass black hole binary mergers.

Quantum-Enhanced Advanced LIGO Detectors in the Era of Gravitational-Wave Astronomy

The Laser Interferometer Gravitational Wave Observatory (LIGO) has been directly detecting gravitational waves from compact binary mergers since 2015. We report on the first use of squeezed vacuum states in the direct measurement of gravitational waves with the Advanced LIGO H1 and L1 detectors. This achievement is the culmination of decades of research to implement squeezed states in gravitational-wave detectors. During the ongoing O3 observation run, squeezed states are improving the sensitivity of the LIGO interferometers to signals above 50 Hz by up to 3 dB, thereby increasing the expected detection rate by 40% (H1) and 50% (L1).

Search for Subsolar Mass Ultracompact Binaries in Advanced LIGO's Second Observing Run

We present a search for subsolar mass ultracompact objects in data obtained during Advanced LIGO's second observing run. In contrast to a previous search of Advanced LIGO data from the first observing run, this search includes the effects of component spin on the gravitational waveform. We identify no viable gravitational-wave candidates consistent with subsolar mass ultracompact binaries with at least one component between 0.2  M_{⊙}-1.0  M_{⊙}. We use the null result to constrain the binary merger rate of (0.2  M_{⊙}, 0.2  M_{⊙}) binaries to be less than 3.7×10^{5}  Gpc^{-3} yr^{-1} and the binary merger rate of (1.0  M_{⊙}, 1.0  M_{⊙}) binaries to be less than 5.2×10^{3}  Gpc^{-3} yr^{-1}. Subsolar mass ultracompact objects are not expected to form via known stellar evolution channels, though it has been suggested that primordial density fluctuations or particle dark matter with cooling mechanisms and/or nuclear interactions could form black holes with subsolar masses. Assuming a particular primordial black hole (PBH) formation model, we constrain a population of merging 0.2  M_{⊙} black holes to account for less than 16% of the dark matter density and a population of merging 1.0  M_{⊙} black holes to account for less than 2% of the dark matter density. We discuss how constraints on the merger rate and dark matter fraction may be extended to arbitrary black hole population models that predict subsolar mass binaries.

Tests of General Relativity with GW170817

The recent discovery by Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo of a gravitational wave signal from a binary neutron star inspiral has enabled tests of general relativity (GR) with this new type of source. This source, for the first time, permits tests of strong-field dynamics of compact binaries in the presence of matter. In this Letter, we place constraints on the dipole radiation and possible deviations from GR in the post-Newtonian coefficients that govern the inspiral regime. Bounds on modified dispersion of gravitational waves are obtained; in combination with information from the observed electromagnetic counterpart we can also constrain effects due to large extra dimensions. Finally, the polarization content of the gravitational wave signal is studied. The results of all tests performed here show good agreement with GR.

Analgesia, anaesthesia and obstetric outcome in women with inherited bleeding disorders

OBJECTIVE

Vertebral canal haematoma (VCH) complicates 1 in 168,000 obstetric epidurals (Ruppen et al., 2006). This risk is increased in women with inherited bleeding disorders (IBD). The impact of a contraindication to regional anaesthesia on pain management and obstetric outcome in these women is unknown. The purpose of this study was to determine anaesthetic use and obstetric outcomes in a cohort of women with IBD.

STUDY DESIGN

97 women with IBD that delivered 130 babies at the CWIUH from Jan 2011 to Dec 2016 were identified from a maternal medicine database. Multidisciplinary planning of peripartum care was communicated to labour ward staff using a simple checklist. The primary bleeding disorders were: Von Willebrands disease (VWD) Type 1 27 (27.8%); VWD Type 2A 3 (3.8%); Low VWF 3 (3.8%); Bleeding disorder of unknown aetiology (BDUA) 19 (19.6%); deficiency of Factors VII, VIII, IX, X, and XI 13 (13.4%); Carriers of Factor VIII, IX, X, XIII deficiency 17 (17.5%); 5 had combined deficiencies (5.2%) and there was one platelet function defect. 9 had a family history of a bleeding disorder (9.3%). Haemostatic support, analgesia, mode of delivery and maternal and fetal outcomes were compared between pregnancies where regional anaesthesia was permitted and those that were not using the Chi-squared test.

RESULTS

When pregnancies where regional anaesthesia was not recommended (49) were compared with pregnancies where regional anaesthesia was considered safe (81), the women were more likely to see an anaesthetist before labour 46 (94%) vs 46 (61%): p < 0.001; to require prophylactic haemostatic support for delivery 30 (61%) vs 1 (1%): p < 0.001; to use a remifentanil infusion 15 (31%) vs 0: p < 0.001, and have general anaesthesia for Caesarean Section (CS) 10 (20%) vs 1(1%): p < 0.001. Vaginal birth 35 (71%) vs 53(65%): p = 0.4 and CS rates 14 (29%) vs 26 (32%) p = 0.28 were similar. Postpartum haemorrhage (PPH) was more common 11 (24%) vs 9(12%) vs p = 0.07 but not statistically so. There were no cases of neonatal bleeding or VCH.

CONCLUSION

Contraindication to neuraxial blockade in labouring women with IBD does not influence mode of delivery. This information is reassuring to these women who may be anxious about delivery without regional anaesthesia.

Development and Validation of an Analytical Method to Quantitate Tris(chloroisopropyl)phosphate in Rat and Mouse Plasma using Gas Chromatography with Flame Photometric Detection

Tris(chloropropyl)phosphate (TCPP) is an organophosphorus flame retardant (OPFR) and plasticizer increasingly used in consumer products and as a replacement for brominated flame retardants. Commercially available TCPP is a mixture of four structural isomers the most abundant of which is tris(1-chloro-2-propyl)phosphate (TCPP-1). Although there is a widespread use of TCPP and potential for human exposure, there is limited data on the safety or toxicity of TCPP. The National Toxicology Program is conducting long-term studies to examine the toxicity of the TCPP in rats after lifetime exposure, including perinatal oral exposure. Quantitative estimates of internal dose are essential to interpret toxicological findings in rodents. To aid in this, a method was fully validated to quantitate the most abundant isomer, TCPP-1, in female Harlan Sprague Dawley (HSD) rat and B6C3F1 mouse plasma with partial validation in male rat plasma, and male and female mouse plasma. The method used protein precipitation using trichloroacetic acid followed by the extraction with toluene, and analysis by gas chromatography with flame photometric detection. The performance of the method was evaluated over 5-70 ng TCPP-1/mL plasma. The method was linear (r ≥ 0.99), accurate (inter-day relative error: ≤ ± -7.2) and precise (inter-batch relative standard deviation: ≤27.5%). The validated method has lower limits of quantitation and detection of ~5 and 0.9 ng/mL, respectively, in female HSD rat plasma and can be used on samples as small as 50 μL demonstrating the applicability to plasma samples from toxicology studies.

Constraining the p-Mode-g-Mode Tidal Instability with GW170817

We analyze the impact of a proposed tidal instability coupling p modes and g modes within neutron stars on GW170817. This nonresonant instability transfers energy from the orbit of the binary to internal modes of the stars, accelerating the gravitational-wave driven inspiral. We model the impact of this instability on the phasing of the gravitational wave signal using three parameters per star: an overall amplitude, a saturation frequency, and a spectral index. Incorporating these additional parameters, we compute the Bayes factor (lnB_{!pg}^{pg}) comparing our p-g model to a standard one. We find that the observed signal is consistent with waveform models that neglect p-g effects, with lnB_{!pg}^{pg}=0.03_{-0.58}^{+0.70} (maximum a posteriori and 90% credible region). By injecting simulated signals that do not include p-g effects and recovering them with the p-g model, we show that there is a ≃50% probability of obtaining similar lnB_{!pg}^{pg} even when p-g effects are absent. We find that the p-g amplitude for 1.4  M_{⊙} neutron stars is constrained to less than a few tenths of the theoretical maximum, with maxima a posteriori near one-tenth this maximum and p-g saturation frequency ∼70  Hz. This suggests that there are less than a few hundred excited modes, assuming they all saturate by wave breaking. For comparison, theoretical upper bounds suggest ≲10^{3} modes saturate by wave breaking. Thus, the measured constraints only rule out extreme values of the p-g parameters. They also imply that the instability dissipates ≲10^{51}  erg over the entire inspiral, i.e., less than a few percent of the energy radiated as gravitational waves.

Search for Subsolar-Mass Ultracompact Binaries in Advanced LIGO's First Observing Run

We present the first Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo search for ultracompact binary systems with component masses between 0.2  M_{⊙}-1.0  M_{⊙} using data taken between September 12, 2015 and January 19, 2016. We find no viable gravitational wave candidates. Our null result constrains the coalescence rate of monochromatic (delta function) distributions of nonspinning (0.2  M_{⊙}, 0.2  M_{⊙}) ultracompact binaries to be less than 1.0×10^{6}  Gpc^{-3}  yr^{-1} and the coalescence rate of a similar distribution of (1.0  M_{⊙}, 1.0  M_{⊙}) ultracompact binaries to be less than 1.9×10^{4}  Gpc^{-3}  yr^{-1} (at 90% confidence). Neither black holes nor neutron stars are expected to form below ∼1  M_{⊙} through conventional stellar evolution, though it has been proposed that similarly low mass black holes could be formed primordially through density fluctuations in the early Universe and contribute to the dark matter density. The interpretation of our constraints in the primordial black hole dark matter paradigm is highly model dependent; however, under a particular primordial black hole binary formation scenario we constrain monochromatic primordial black hole populations of 0.2  M_{⊙} to be less than 33% of the total dark matter density and monochromatic populations of 1.0  M_{⊙} to be less than 5% of the dark matter density. The latter strengthens the presently placed bounds from microlensing surveys of massive compact halo objects (MACHOs) provided by the MACHO and EROS Collaborations.

GW170817: Measurements of Neutron Star Radii and Equation of State

On 17 August 2017, the LIGO and Virgo observatories made the first direct detection of gravitational waves from the coalescence of a neutron star binary system. The detection of this gravitational-wave signal, GW170817, offers a novel opportunity to directly probe the properties of matter at the extreme conditions found in the interior of these stars. The initial, minimal-assumption analysis of the LIGO and Virgo data placed constraints on the tidal effects of the coalescing bodies, which were then translated to constraints on neutron star radii. Here, we expand upon previous analyses by working under the hypothesis that both bodies were neutron stars that are described by the same equation of state and have spins within the range observed in Galactic binary neutron stars. Our analysis employs two methods: the use of equation-of-state-insensitive relations between various macroscopic properties of the neutron stars and the use of an efficient parametrization of the defining function p(ρ) of the equation of state itself. From the LIGO and Virgo data alone and the first method, we measure the two neutron star radii as R_{1}=10.8_{-1.7}^{+2.0}  km for the heavier star and R_{2}=10.7_{-1.5}^{+2.1}  km for the lighter star at the 90% credible level. If we additionally require that the equation of state supports neutron stars with masses larger than 1.97  M_{⊙} as required from electromagnetic observations and employ the equation-of-state parametrization, we further constrain R_{1}=11.9_{-1.4}^{+1.4}  km and R_{2}=11.9_{-1.4}^{+1.4}  km at the 90% credible level. Finally, we obtain constraints on p(ρ) at supranuclear densities, with pressure at twice nuclear saturation density measured at 3.5_{-1.7}^{+2.7}×10^{34}  dyn cm^{-2} at the 90% level.

Mothers' perspectives of the experience and impact of caring for their child with a life-limiting neurodevelopmental disability

BACKGROUND

This study explored mothers' perspectives of the experiences and impact on themselves and their family when their child has a life-limiting neurodevelopmental disability.

METHODS

Twelve mothers were interviewed and topics included mothers' experiences of caring, the impact on themselves and their family of care provision, and the management of day-to-day life. Data were analysed using thematic analysis.

RESULTS

Four themes were identified. "Starting Out" relates to mothers' experiences of the birth of their child and the aftermath. "Keeping the Show on the Road" describes the strategies families employ to manage life day to day and the resources they use. "Shouldering the Burden" describes the range of physical, psychological, and social consequences of the situation for mothers and the family. "The Bigger Picture" relates to the world outside the family and how this is navigated.

CONCLUSIONS

Findings suggest mothers' overall experiences are characterized by a constant struggle, with evidence of negative impacts on family life, though there is also evidence of resilience and coping. Implications regarding the provision of services are discussed.

Search for Tensor, Vector, and Scalar Polarizations in the Stochastic Gravitational-Wave Background

The detection of gravitational waves with Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo has enabled novel tests of general relativity, including direct study of the polarization of gravitational waves. While general relativity allows for only two tensor gravitational-wave polarizations, general metric theories can additionally predict two vector and two scalar polarizations. The polarization of gravitational waves is encoded in the spectral shape of the stochastic gravitational-wave background, formed by the superposition of cosmological and individually unresolved astrophysical sources. Using data recorded by Advanced LIGO during its first observing run, we search for a stochastic background of generically polarized gravitational waves. We find no evidence for a background of any polarization, and place the first direct bounds on the contributions of vector and scalar polarizations to the stochastic background. Under log-uniform priors for the energy in each polarization, we limit the energy densities of tensor, vector, and scalar modes at 95% credibility to Ω_{0}^{T}<5.58×10^{-8}, Ω_{0}^{V}<6.35×10^{-8}, and Ω_{0}^{S}<1.08×10^{-7} at a reference frequency f_{0}=25  Hz.

Acquired Factor Xiii Deficiency: An Uncommon But Easily Missed Cause Of Severe Bleeding

Factor XIII (FXIII) is a plasma clotting protein involved in clot stabilization. Severe FXIII deficiency may present with severe, even fatal bleeding. Critically however, routine coagulation assays may be normal and only specific FXIII assays will detect the abnormality. Herein we discuss a case report of a patient with acquired FXIII deficiency in order to highlight the clinical challenges associated with establishing the diagnosis and discuss the treatment approach. A 70-year-old man presented with a gluteal haematoma despite no preceding personal history of bleeding. Extensive initial haemostatic investigations were normal until a specific FXIII assay showed a marked reduction in FXIII levels. With directed treatment, bleeding episodes ceased and remission was achieved. Clinical awareness of FXIII deficiency is important, so appropriate testing can be implemented in patients with unexplained bleeding diatheses, particularly those in whom bleeding responds poorly to standard replacement therapy.

GW170817: Implications for the Stochastic Gravitational-Wave Background from Compact Binary Coalescences

The LIGO Scientific and Virgo Collaborations have announced the event GW170817, the first detection of gravitational waves from the coalescence of two neutron stars. The merger rate of binary neutron stars estimated from this event suggests that distant, unresolvable binary neutron stars create a significant astrophysical stochastic gravitational-wave background. The binary neutron star component will add to the contribution from binary black holes, increasing the amplitude of the total astrophysical background relative to previous expectations. In the Advanced LIGO-Virgo frequency band most sensitive to stochastic backgrounds (near 25 Hz), we predict a total astrophysical background with amplitude Ω_{GW}(f=25  Hz)=1.8_{-1.3}^{+2.7}×10^{-9} with 90% confidence, compared with Ω_{GW}(f=25  Hz)=1.1_{-0.7}^{+1.2}×10^{-9} from binary black holes alone. Assuming the most probable rate for compact binary mergers, we find that the total background may be detectable with a signal-to-noise-ratio of 3 after 40 months of total observation time, based on the expected timeline for Advanced LIGO and Virgo to reach their design sensitivity.

First Search for Nontensorial Gravitational Waves from Known Pulsars

We present results from the first directed search for nontensorial gravitational waves. While general relativity allows for tensorial (plus and cross) modes only, a generic metric theory may, in principle, predict waves with up to six different polarizations. This analysis is sensitive to continuous signals of scalar, vector, or tensor polarizations, and does not rely on any specific theory of gravity. After searching data from the first observation run of the advanced LIGO detectors for signals at twice the rotational frequency of 200 known pulsars, we find no evidence of gravitational waves of any polarization. We report the first upper limits for scalar and vector strains, finding values comparable in magnitude to previously published limits for tensor strain. Our results may be translated into constraints on specific alternative theories of gravity.

Prospects for observing and localizing gravitational-wave transients with Advanced LIGO, Advanced Virgo and KAGRA

We present possible observing scenarios for the Advanced LIGO, Advanced Virgo and KAGRA gravitational-wave detectors over the next decade, with the intention of providing information to the astronomy community to facilitate planning for multi-messenger astronomy with gravitational waves. We estimate the sensitivity of the network to transient gravitational-wave signals, and study the capability of the network to determine the sky location of the source. We report our findings for gravitational-wave transients, with particular focus on gravitational-wave signals from the inspiral of binary neutron star systems, which are the most promising targets for multi-messenger astronomy. The ability to localize the sources of the detected signals depends on the geographical distribution of the detectors and their relative sensitivity, and [Formula: see text] credible regions can be as large as thousands of square degrees when only two sensitive detectors are operational. Determining the sky position of a significant fraction of detected signals to areas of 5-[Formula: see text] requires at least three detectors of sensitivity within a factor of [Formula: see text] of each other and with a broad frequency bandwidth. When all detectors, including KAGRA and the third LIGO detector in India, reach design sensitivity, a significant fraction of gravitational-wave signals will be localized to a few square degrees by gravitational-wave observations alone.

Effects of transients in LIGO suspensions on searches for gravitational waves

This paper presents an analysis of the transient behavior of the Advanced LIGO (Laser Interferometer Gravitational-wave Observatory) suspensions used to seismically isolate the optics. We have characterized the transients in the longitudinal motion of the quadruple suspensions during Advanced LIGO's first observing run. Propagation of transients between stages is consistent with modeled transfer functions, such that transient motion originating at the top of the suspension chain is significantly reduced in amplitude at the test mass. We find that there are transients seen by the longitudinal motion monitors of quadruple suspensions, but they are not significantly correlated with transient motion above the noise floor in the gravitational wave strain data, and therefore do not present a dominant source of background noise in the searches for transient gravitational wave signals. Using the suspension transfer functions, we compared the transients in a week of gravitational wave strain data with transients from a quadruple suspension. Of the strain transients between 10 and 60 Hz, 84% are loud enough that they would have appeared above the sensor noise in the top stage quadruple suspension monitors if they had originated at that stage at the same frequencies. We find no significant temporal correlation with the suspension transients in that stage, so we can rule out suspension motion originating at the top stage as the cause of those transients. However, only 3.2% of the gravitational wave strain transients are loud enough that they would have been seen by the second stage suspension sensors, and none of them are above the sensor noise levels of the penultimate stage. Therefore, we cannot eliminate the possibility of transient noise in the detectors originating in the intermediate stages of the suspension below the sensing noise.

GW170817: Observation of Gravitational Waves from a Binary Neutron Star Inspiral

On August 17, 2017 at 12∶41:04 UTC the Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo gravitational-wave detectors made their first observation of a binary neutron star inspiral. The signal, GW170817, was detected with a combined signal-to-noise ratio of 32.4 and a false-alarm-rate estimate of less than one per 8.0×10^{4}  years. We infer the component masses of the binary to be between 0.86 and 2.26  M_{⊙}, in agreement with masses of known neutron stars. Restricting the component spins to the range inferred in binary neutron stars, we find the component masses to be in the range 1.17-1.60  M_{⊙}, with the total mass of the system 2.74_{-0.01}^{+0.04}M_{⊙}. The source was localized within a sky region of 28  deg^{2} (90% probability) and had a luminosity distance of 40_{-14}^{+8}  Mpc, the closest and most precisely localized gravitational-wave signal yet. The association with the γ-ray burst GRB 170817A, detected by Fermi-GBM 1.7 s after the coalescence, corroborates the hypothesis of a neutron star merger and provides the first direct evidence of a link between these mergers and short γ-ray bursts. Subsequent identification of transient counterparts across the electromagnetic spectrum in the same location further supports the interpretation of this event as a neutron star merger. This unprecedented joint gravitational and electromagnetic observation provides insight into astrophysics, dense matter, gravitation, and cosmology.