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Results

Preliminary results suggest a high predictive performance of the 4C score for in-hospital mortality (Table 1). This applies for the overall cohort (AUC 0.813 (95%CI 0.738-0.888)) as well as the VOC-strata (alpha: AUC 0.859 (95%CI 0.748-0.970); delta: AUC 0.769 (95%CI 0.657-0.882); omicron: AUC 0.866 (95%CI 0.724-1.000)). The overall mortality rates across the defined 4C score risk groups are 0.3% (low), 3.2% (intermediate), 11.6% (high), and 49.5% (very high). The 4C score performs significantly better than the qSOFA (Chi2-test: p=0.001) and the qSOFA does not seem to be a suitable tool in this context.

Conclusion

Despite its development in the early phase of the pandemic and improved treatment, external validation of the 4C score in NAPKON-SUEP indicates a high predictive performance for in-hospital mortality across all VOCs. However, since the qSOFA was not specifically designed for this predictive issue, it shows low discriminatory performance, as in other validation studies. Any interpretations regarding the omicron stratum are limited due to the sample size.

Disclosures

Daniel Pape, Dr., Advanz Pharma Germany: Support for attending meetings and/or travel for ECCMID 2021 Martin Hower, n/a, MSD: Advisor/Consultant|Trogarzo: Advisor/Consultant|ViiV Healthcare: Advisor/Consultant Björn-Erik O. Jensen, Dr. med., GILEAD: Advisor/Consultant|GILEAD: Lectures, Travel|GSK: Lectures, Travel Jörg J. Vehreschild, Univ.-Prof. Dr. med., Ärztekammer Nordrhein: Honoraria|Academy for Infectious Medicine, University Manchester: Honoraria|Astellas Pharma: Grant/Research Support|Astellas Pharma: Honoraria|Back Bay Strategies: Honoraria|Basilea: Grant/Research Support|Basilea: Honoraria|Deutsches Zetrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt (DLR): Grant/Research Support|German Centre for Infection Research (DZIF): Grant/Research Support|German Centre for Infection Research (DZIF): Honoraria|German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF): Grant/Research Support|German Society for Infectious Diseases (DGI): Honoraria|German Society for Internal Medicine (DGIM): Honoraria|GILEAD: Advisor/Consultant|GILEAD: Grant/Research Support|GILEAD: Honoraria|Janssen: Honoraria|Merck / MSD: Grant/Research Support|Merck / MSD: Honoraria|Molecular Health: Honoraria|Netzwerk Universitätsmedizin: Honoraria|NordForsk: Honoraria|Pfizer: Advisor/Consultant|Pfizer: Grant/Research Support|Pfizer: Honoraria|Rigshospitalet Copenhagen: Grant/Research Support|Shionogi: Advisor/Consultant|Shionogi: Honoraria|University Hospital Aachen: Honoraria|University Hospital Freiburg/ Congress and Communication: Honoraria|University of Bristol: Grant/Research Support.

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Number Citation Analysis
1
Definition of the Post-COVID syndrome using a symptom-based Post-COVID score in a prospective, multi-center, cross-sectoral cohort of the German National Pandemic Cohort Network (NAPKON). Infection 2024:10.1007/s15010-024-02226-9. [PMID: 38587752 DOI: 10.1007/s15010-024-02226-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/08/2023] [Accepted: 02/25/2024] [Indexed: 04/09/2024]
2
Long-COVID is Associated with Impaired Red Blood Cell Function. Horm Metab Res 2024;56:318-323. [PMID: 37890507 DOI: 10.1055/a-2186-8108] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/29/2023]
3
Post-COVID-19 condition in the German working population: A cross-sectional study of 200,000 registered stem cell donors. J Intern Med 2023;293:354-370. [PMID: 36373223 PMCID: PMC10107314 DOI: 10.1111/joim.13587] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
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1886. External Validation of the 4C Mortality Score and the qSOFA for Different Variants of Concerns of SARS-CoV-2 Using Data of the NAPKON Cross-Sectoral Cohort Platform (SUEP). Open Forum Infect Dis 2022. [PMCID: PMC9752978 DOI: 10.1093/ofid/ofac492.1513] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/23/2022]  Open

Study flow chart with inclusion criteria and methodological workflow.

Discriminatory performance of the 4C Mortality Score and the qSOFA score within the validation cohort NAPKON-SUEP stratified by the Variant of Concerns of SARS-CoV-2.

5
Circulating Dickkopf1 Parallels Metabolic Adaptations and Predicts Disease Trajectories in Patients With COVID-19. J Clin Endocrinol Metab 2022;107:3370-3377. [PMID: 36071553 PMCID: PMC9494396 DOI: 10.1210/clinem/dgac514] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/25/2022] [Indexed: 11/19/2022]
6
Prognostic Relevance of Cardiopulmonary Exercise Testing for Patients with Chronic Thromboembolic Pulmonary Hypertension. J Cardiovasc Dev Dis 2022;9:jcdd9100333. [PMID: 36286285 PMCID: PMC9604581 DOI: 10.3390/jcdd9100333] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/26/2022] [Revised: 09/25/2022] [Accepted: 09/28/2022] [Indexed: 11/06/2022]  Open
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Early Pulmonary Rehabilitation in COVID-19 Disease. DEUTSCHES ARZTEBLATT INTERNATIONAL 2022;119:261-262. [PMID: 35794803 PMCID: PMC9358351 DOI: 10.3238/arztebl.m2022.0130] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/13/2021] [Revised: 12/13/2021] [Accepted: 01/31/2021] [Indexed: 11/27/2022]
8
[Complications after Indwelling Pleural Catheter Implant for Symptomatic Recurrent Benign and Malignant Pleural Effusions]. Pneumologie 2020;74:864-870. [PMID: 32663890 DOI: 10.1055/a-1201-3682] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/23/2022]
9
[Large Pneumothorax in a Sleep Apnea Patient with CPAP without Previously Known Lung and Thoracic Diseases - a Case Report]. Pneumologie 2020;74:217-221. [PMID: 32274780 DOI: 10.1055/a-1108-3004] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/24/2022]
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Mutually reinforcing effects of genetic variants and interferon-β 1a therapy for pulmonary arterial hypertension development in multiple sclerosis patients. Pulm Circ 2019;9:2045894019872192. [PMID: 31798832 PMCID: PMC6862775 DOI: 10.1177/2045894019872192] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/28/2019] [Accepted: 07/26/2019] [Indexed: 12/24/2022]  Open
11
Practical management of riociguat in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension. Ther Adv Respir Dis 2019;13:1753466619868938. [PMID: 31438774 PMCID: PMC6710674 DOI: 10.1177/1753466619868938] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/19/2018] [Accepted: 06/21/2019] [Indexed: 12/15/2022]  Open
12
Case number 31: Nodular panniculitis as expression of Munchausen's syndrome (panniculitis artefacta). Ann Rheum Dis 2004;63:1195-6. [PMID: 15361370 PMCID: PMC1754771 DOI: 10.1136/ard.2004.024539] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/04/2022]
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