Incidence and predictors of breakthrough and severe breakthrough infections of SARS-CoV-2 after primary series vaccination in adults: A population-based survey of 22,575 participants.
J Infect Dis 2023;
227:1164-1172. [PMID:
36729177 DOI:
10.1093/infdis/jiad020]
[Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/20/2022] [Revised: 01/18/2023] [Accepted: 01/27/2023] [Indexed: 02/03/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND
Breakthrough infections of SARS-CoV-2 are well-documented. The current study estimates breakthrough incidence across pandemic waves, and evaluates predictors of breakthrough and severe breakthrough infections (defined as those requiring hospitalization).
METHODS
89,762 participants underwent longitudinal antibody surveillance. Incidence rates were calculated using total person-days contributed. Bias-corrected and age-adjusted logistic regression determined multivariable predictors of breakthrough and severe breakthrough infection, respectively.
RESULTS
The incidence was 0.45 (0.38, 0.50) during pre-Delta, 2.80 (2.25, 3.14) during Delta, and 11.2 (8.80, 12.95) during Omicron, per 10,000 person-days. Factors associated with elevated odds of breakthrough included Hispanic ethnicity (vs non-Hispanic White, OR=1.243[1.073, 1.441]), larger household size (OR=1.251 [1.048, 1.494] for 3-5 vs. 1 and OR=1.726 [1.317, 2.262] for more than 5 vs. 1 person), rural vs urban living (OR=1.383 [1.122, 1.704]), receiving Pfizer or Johnson&Johnson vs. Moderna, and multiple comorbidities. Of the 1,700 breakthrough infections, 1,665 reported on severity; 112 (6.73%) were severe. Higher BMI, Hispanic ethnicity, vaccine type, asthma, and hypertension predicted severe breakthroughs.
CONCLUSION
Breakthrough infection was 4-25 times more common during the Omicron-dominant wave versus earlier waves. Higher burden of severe breakthrough infections was identified in subgroups.
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