Association of perioperative transfusion of fresh frozen plasma and outcomes after cardiac surgery

BACKGROUND

Fresh frozen plasma (FFP) transfusion is used to manage coagulopathy and bleeding in cardiac surgery patients despite uncertainty about its safety and effectiveness.

METHODS

We performed a propensity score matched analysis of the Australian and New Zealand Society of Cardiac and Thoracic Surgeons National Cardiac Surgery Database including patients from 39 centres from 2005 to 2018. We investigated the association of perioperative FFP transfusion with mortality and other clinical outcomes.

RESULTS

Of 119,138 eligible patients, we successfully matched 13,131 FFP recipients with 13,131 controls. FFP transfusion was associated with 30-day mortality (odds ratio (OR), 1.41; 99% CI, 1.17-1.71; p < .0001), but not with long-term mortality (hazard ratio (HR), 0.92; 99% CI, 0.85-1.00; p = .007, Holm-Bonferroni α = 0.0004). FFP was also associated with return to theatre for bleeding (OR, 1.97; 99% CI, 1.66-2.34; p < .0001), prolonged intubation (OR, 1.15; 99% CI, 1.05-1.26; p < .0001) and increased chest tube drainage (Mean difference (MD) in mL, 131; 99% CI, 120-141; p < .0001). It was also associated with reduced postoperative creatinine levels (MD in g/L, -6.33; 99% CI, -10.28 to -2.38; p < .0001).

CONCLUSION

In a multicentre, propensity score matched analysis, perioperative FFP transfusion was associated with increased 30-day mortality and had variable associations with secondary clinical outcomes.

Platelet Transfusion in Cardiac Surgery: An Entropy-Balanced, Weighted, Multicenter Analysis

BACKGROUND

Platelet transfusion is common in cardiac surgery, but some studies have suggested an association with harm. Accordingly, we investigated the association of perioperative platelet transfusion with morbidity and mortality.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data from the Australian Society of Cardiac and Thoracic Surgeons National Cardiac Surgery Database. We included consecutive adults from 2005 to 2018 across 40 centers. We used inverse probability of treatment weighting via entropy balancing to investigate the association of perioperative platelet transfusion with our 2 primary outcomes, operative mortality (composite of both 30-day and in-hospital mortality) and 90-day mortality, as well as multiple other clinically relevant secondary outcomes.

RESULTS

Among 119,132 eligible patients, 25,373 received perioperative platelets and 93,759 were considered controls. After entropy balancing, platelet transfusion was associated with reduced operative mortality (odds ratio [OR], 0.63; 99% confidence interval [CI], 0.47-0.84; P < .0001) and 90-day mortality (OR, 0.66; 99% CI, 0.51-0.85; P < .0001). Moreover, it was associated with reduced odds of deep sternal wound infection (OR, 0.57; 99% CI, 0.36-0.89; P = .0012), acute kidney injury (OR, 0.84; 99% CI, 0.71-0.99; P = .0055), and postoperative renal replacement therapy (OR, 0.71; 99% CI, 0.54-0.93; P = .0013). These positive associations were observed despite an association with increased odds of return to theatre for bleeding (OR, 1.55; 99% CI, 1.16-2.09; P < .0001), pneumonia (OR, 1.26; 99% CI, 1.11-1.44; P < .0001), intubation for longer than 24 hours postoperatively (OR, 1.13; 99% CI, 1.03-1.24; P = .0012), inotrope use for >4 hours postoperatively (OR, 1.14; 99% CI, 1.11-1.17; P < .0001), readmission to hospital within 30 days of surgery (OR, 1.22; 99% CI, 1.11-1.34; P < .0001), as well as increased drain tube output (adjusted mean difference, 89.2 mL; 99% CI, 77.0 mL-101.4 mL; P < .0001).

CONCLUSIONS

In cardiac surgery patients, perioperative platelet transfusion was associated with reduced operative and 90-day mortality. Until randomized controlled trials either confirm or refute these findings, platelet transfusion should not be deliberately avoided when considering odds of death.

Sex Differences in Opioid Administration After Cardiac Surgery

OBJECTIVES

To assess whether there are sex-based differences in the administration of opioid analgesic drugs among inpatients after cardiac surgery.

DESIGN

A retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

At a tertiary academic referral center.

PARTICIPANTS

Adult patients who underwent cardiac surgery from 2014 to 2019.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

The primary outcome was the cumulative oral morphine equivalent dose (OMED) for the postoperative admission. Secondary outcomes were the daily difference in OMED and the administration of nonopioid analgesics. The authors developed multivariate regression models controlling for known confounders, including weight and length of stay. A total of 3,822 patients (1,032 women and 2,790 men) were included. The mean cumulative OMED was 139 mg for women and 180 mg for men, and this difference remained significant after adjustment for confounders (adjusted mean difference [aMD], -33.21 mg; 95% CI, -47.05 to -19.36 mg; p < 0.001). The cumulative OMED was significantly lower in female patients on postoperative days 1 to 5, with the greatest disparity observed on day 5 (aMD, -89.83 mg; 95% CI, -155.9 to -23.80 mg; p = 0.009). By contrast, women were more likely to receive a gabapentinoid (odds ratio, 1.91; 95% CI, 1.42-2.58; p < 0.001). The authors found no association between patient sex and the administration of other nonopioid analgesics or specific types of opioid analgesics. The authors found no association between patient sex and pain scores recorded within the first 48 hours after extubation, or the number of opioids administered in close proximity to pain assessments.

CONCLUSIONS

Female sex was associated with significantly lower amounts of opioids administered after cardiac surgery.

Platelet versus fresh frozen plasma transfusion for coagulopathy in cardiac surgery patients

BACKGROUND

Platelets (PLTS) and fresh frozen plasma (FFP) are often transfused in cardiac surgery patients for perioperative bleeding. Their relative effectiveness is unknown.

METHODS

We conducted an entropy-weighted retrospective cohort study using the Australian and New Zealand Society of Cardiac and Thoracic Surgeons National Cardiac Surgery Database. All adults undergoing cardiac surgery between 2005-2021 across 58 sites were included. The primary outcome was operative mortality.

RESULTS

Of 174,796 eligible patients, 15,360 (8.79%) received PLTS in the absence of FFP and 6,189 (3.54%) patients received FFP in the absence of PLTS. The median cumulative dose was 1 unit of pooled platelets (IQR 1 to 3) and 2 units of FFP (IQR 0 to 4) respectively. After entropy weighting to achieve balanced cohorts, FFP was associated with increased perioperative (Risk Ratio [RR], 1.63; 95% Confidence Interval [CI], 1.40 to 1.91; P<0.001) and 1-year (RR, 1.50; 95% CI, 1.32 to 1.71; P<0.001) mortality. FFP was associated with increased rates of 4-hour chest drain tube output (Adjusted mean difference in ml, 28.37; 95% CI, 19.35 to 37.38; P<0.001), AKI (RR, 1.13; 95% CI, 1.01 to 1.27; P = 0.033) and readmission to ICU (RR, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.09 to 1.42; P = 0.001).

CONCLUSION

In perioperative bleeding in cardiac surgery patient, platelets are associated with a relative mortality benefit over FFP. This information can be used by clinicians in their choice of procoagulant therapy in this setting.

Fresh frozen plasma transfusion after cardiac surgery

INTRODUCTION

Fresh frozen plasma (FFP) transfusion in the intensive care unit (ICU) is commonly used to treat coagulopathy and bleeding in cardiac surgery, despite suggestion that it may increase the risk of morbidity and mortality through mechanisms such as fluid overload and infection.

METHODS

We retrospectively studied consecutive adults undergoing cardiac surgery from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III and IV databases. We applied propensity score matching to investigate the independent association of within-ICU FFP transfusion with mortality and other key clinical outcomes.

RESULTS

Of our 12,043 adults who met inclusion criteria, 1585 (13.2%) received perioperative FFP with a median of 2.48 units per recipient (interquartile range [IQR]: 2.04, 4.33) at a median time of 1.83 h (IQR: 0.75, 3.75) after ICU admission. After propensity matching of 952 FFP recipients to 952 controls, we found no significant association between FFP use and hospital mortality (odds ratio (OR): 1.58; 99% confidence interval (CI): 0.57, 3.71), suspected infection (OR: 0.72; 99% CI: 0.49, 1.08), or acute kidney injury (OR: 1.23; 99% CI: 0.91, 1.67). However, FFP was associated with increased days in hospital (adjusted mean difference (AMD): 1.28; 99% CI: 0.27, 2.41; p = .0050), days in intensive care (AMD: 1.28; 99% CI: 0.27, 2.28; p = .0011), and chest tube output in millilitres up to 8 h after transfusion (AMD: 92.98; 99% CI: 52.22, 133.74; p < .0001).

CONCLUSIONS

After propensity matching, FFP transfusion was not associated with increased hospital mortality, but was associated with increased length of stay and no decrease in bleeding in the early post-transfusion period.

Tree-based survival analysis improves mortality prediction in cardiac surgery

Objectives

Machine learning (ML) classification tools are known to accurately predict many cardiac surgical outcomes. A novel approach, ML-based survival analysis, remains unstudied for predicting mortality after cardiac surgery. We aimed to benchmark performance, as measured by the concordance index (C-index), of tree-based survival models against Cox proportional hazards (CPH) modeling and explore risk factors using the best-performing model.

Methods

144,536 patients with 147,301 surgery events from the Australian and New Zealand Society of Cardiac and Thoracic Surgeons (ANZSCTS) national database were used to train and validate models. Univariate analysis was performed using Student's T-test for continuous variables, Chi-squared test for categorical variables, and stratified Kaplan-Meier estimation of the survival function. Three ML models were tested, a decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), and gradient boosting machine (GBM). Hyperparameter tuning was performed using a Bayesian search strategy. Performance was assessed using 2-fold cross-validation repeated 5 times.

Results

The highest performing model was the GBM with a C-index of 0.803 (0.002), followed by RF with 0.791 (0.003), DT with 0.729 (0.014), and finally CPH with 0.596 (0.042). The 5 most predictive features were age, type of procedure, length of hospital stay, drain output in the first 4 h (ml), and inotrope use greater than 4 h postoperatively.

Conclusion

Tree-based learning for survival analysis is a non-parametric and performant alternative to CPH modeling. GBMs offer interpretable modeling of non-linear relationships, promising to expose the most relevant risk factors and uncover new questions to guide future research.

Diagnostic accuracy of brain natriuretic peptide and N-terminal-pro brain natriuretic peptide to detect complications of cardiac transplantation in adults: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

We aimed to evaluate the utility of BNP and NT-proBNP in identifying adverse recipient outcomes following cardiac transplantation.

METHODS

We searched MEDLINE (Ovid), Embase (Ovid), and the Cochrane Library from inception to February 2023. We included studies reporting associations between BNP or NT-proBNP and adverse outcomes following cardiac transplantation in adults. We calculated standardised mean differences (SMD) with 95% confidence intervals (CI); or confusion matrices with sensitivities and specificities. Where meta-analysis was inappropriate, studies were analysed descriptively.

RESULTS

Thirty-two studies involving 2,297 cardiac transplantation recipients were included. We report no significant association between BNP or NT-proBNP and significant acute cellular rejection of grade 3A or higher (SMD 0.40, 95% CI -0.06-0.86) as defined by the latest 2004 International Society for Heart and Lung Transplantation Guidelines. We also report no strong associations between BNP or NT-proBNP and cardiac allograft vasculopathy or antibody mediated rejection.

CONCLUSION

In isolation, serum BNP and NT-proBNP lack sufficient sensitivity and specificity to reliably predict adverse outcomes following cardiac transplantation.

Weekend effect in emergency laparotomy: a propensity score-matched analysis

BACKGROUND

The 'weekend effect' is the term given to the observed discrepancy regarding patient care and outcomes on weekends compared to weekdays. This study aimed to determine whether the weekend effect exists within Aotearoa New Zealand (AoNZ) for patients undergoing emergency laparotomy (EL), given recent advances in management of EL patients.

METHODS

A cohort study was conducted across five hospitals, comparing the outcomes of weekend and weekday acute EL. A propensity-score matched analysis was used to remove potential confounding patient characteristics.

RESULTS

Of the 487 patients included, 132 received EL over the weekend. There was no statistically significant difference between patients undergoing EL over the weekend compared to weekdays. Mortality rates were comparable between the weekday and weekend cohorts (P = 0.464).

CONCLUSIONS

These results suggest that modern perioperative care practice in New Zealand obviates the 'weekend' effect.

Platelet Transfusion After Cardiac Surgery

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the independent association of platelet transfusion with hospital mortality and key relevant clinical outcomes in cardiac surgery.

DESIGN

A single-center, propensity score-matched, retrospective, cohort study.

SETTING

At an American tertiary teaching hospital data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III and IV databases from 2001 to 2019.

PARTICIPANTS

Consecutive adults undergoing coronary artery bypass graft and/or cardiac valvular surgery.

INTERVENTIONS

Platelet transfusion during perioperative intensive care unit (ICU) admission.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Overall, 12,043 adults met the study inclusion criteria. Of these, 1,621 (13.5%) received apheresis-leukoreduced platelets, with a median of 1.19 units per recipient (IQR: 0.93-1.19) at a median of 1.78 hours (IQR: 0.75-4.25) after ICU admission. The platelet count was measured in 1,176 patients (72.5%) before transfusion, with a median count of 120 × 10⁹/L (IQR: 89.0-157.0), and only 53 (3.3%) had platelet counts below 50 × 10⁹/L. After propensity matching of 1,046 platelet recipients with 1,046 controls, perioperative platelet transfusion carried no association with in-hospital mortality (odds ratio [OR]: 1.28; 99% CI: 0.49-3.35; p = 0.4980). However, it was associated with a pattern of decreased odds of suspected infection (eg, respiratory infection, urinary tract infection, septicaemia, or other; OR: 0.70; 99% CI: 0.50-0.97; p = 0.0050), days in the hospital (adjusted mean difference [AMD]: 0.86; 99% CI: -0.27 to 1.98; p = 0.048), or days in intensive care (AMD 0.83; 99% CI: -0.15 to 1.82; p = 0.0290).

CONCLUSIONS

Platelet transfusion was not associated with hospital mortality, but it was associated with decreased odds of suspected infection and with shorter ICU and hospital stays.

Association of perioperative cryoprecipitate transfusion and mortality after cardiac surgery

BACKGROUND

Cryoprecipitate is often transfused in patients undergoing cardiac surgery. However, its safety and effectiveness remains uncertain.

METHODS

We conducted a propensity-score matched analysis of data from the Australian and New Zealand Society of Cardiac and Thoracic Surgeons National Cardiac Surgery Database. We included adults undergoing cardiac surgery between 2005-2018 across 38 sites. We estimated the association between perioperative cryoprecipitate transfusion and clinical outcomes, with a primary outcome of operative mortality.

RESULTS

Of 119,132 eligible patients, 11,239 (9.43%) patients received cryoprecipitate. The median cumulative dose was 8 units (interquartile range, 5 to 10). After propensity-score matching, we matched 9,055 cryoprecipitate recipients to 9,055 controls. Postoperative cryoprecipitate transfusion was associated with reduced operative (Odds Ratio [OR], 0.82; 99% confidence interval [CI], 0.69 to 0.97; P=0.002) and long term (Hazard Ratio, 0.92; 99% CI, 0.87 to 0.97; P=0.0042) mortality. It was also associated with a reduction in acute kidney injury (OR, 0.85; 99% CI, 0.73 to 0.98; P=0.0037] and all-cause infection (OR, 0.77; 99% CI, 0.67 to 0.88; P<0.0001). These findings were observed despite increased rates of return to operating theatre (OR, 1.36; 99% CI, 1.22 to 1.51; P<0.0001) and cumulative 4-hour postoperative chest tube output (Adjusted Mean Difference in mL, 97.69; 99% CI, 81.65 to 113.74; P<0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

In a large, multicentre cohort study and after propensity-score matching, perioperative transfusion of cryoprecipitate was associated with reduced operative and long-term mortality.

The Prognostic Significance of Red Cell Distribution Width in Cardiac Surgery: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

RED CELL DISTRIBUTION WIDTH (RDW) is a routinely available biomarker of likely erythropoietic dysfunction, which may be associated with adverse outcomes after cardiac surgery. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to clarify the prognostic value of RDW in patients undergoing cardiac surgery. The authors searched MEDLINE, Embase, and the Cochrane Library from inception to May 10, 2022 for studies investigating the association between elevated RDW (as defined by the authors of included studies) and adverse outcomes after cardiac surgery. Herein, the authors extracted maximally adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and odds ratios (ORs) with associated CIs, and pooled them using random-effects inverse- variance modeling. The authors explored interstudy heterogeneity using metaregression. The authors included 26 studies involving 48,092 patients who had undergone cardiac surgery. Elevated preoperative RDW was associated with long-term mortality (pooled HR 1.63, 95% CI 1.05-2.52), short-term mortality (pooled OR 2.16, 95% CI 1.21-3.87), acute kidney injury (AKI; pooled OR 1.30, 95% CI 1.19-1.41) and postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF; pooled OR 1.44, 95% CI 1.05-1.96). Some studies suggested a significant association between preoperative RDW elevation and neurologic complications; however, their number was insufficient for meta-analysis. The postoperative RDW levels were less consistently reported and could not be meta-analyzed. In conclusion, the authors found that elevated preoperative RDW was associated with increased short- and long-term mortality, POAF, and AKI after cardiac surgery. Further research is needed to investigate its role in the risk stratification of patients undergoing cardiac surgery.

Cryoprecipitate Transfusion After Cardiac Surgery

OBJECTIVES

The association of cryoprecipitate transfusion with patient outcomes after cardiac surgery is unclear. We aimed to investigate the predictors of, and outcomes associated with, postoperative cryoprecipitate transfusion in cardiac surgery patients.

METHODS

We used the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III and IV databases. We included adults undergoing cardiac surgery, and propensity score matched cryoprecipitate-treated patients to controls. Using the matched cohort, we investigated the association of cryoprecipitate use with clinical outcomes. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. Secondary outcomes were infection, acute kidney injury, intensive care unit length of stay, hospital length of stay, and chest tube output at 2-hour intervals.

RESULTS

Of 12,043 eligible patients, 283 (2.35%) patients received cryoprecipitate. The median dose was 5.83 units (IQR 4.17-7.24) given at a median first transfusion time of 1.75 hours (IQR 0.73-4.46) after intensive care unit admission. After propensity scoring, we matched 195 cryoprecipitate recipients to 743 controls. Postoperative cryoprecipitate transfusion was not significantly associated with in-hospital mortality (odds ratio [OR] 1.10; 99% confidence interval [CI] 0.43-2.84; p=0.791), infection (OR 0.77; 99% CI 0.45-1.34; p=0.220), acute kidney injury (OR 1.03; 99% CI 0.65-1.62; p=0.876) or cumulative chest tube output (adjusted mean difference 8 hrs post transfusion, 11 mL; 99% CI -104 to 125; p=0.804).

CONCLUSIONS

Although cryoprecipitate was typically given to sicker patients with more bleeding, its administration was not associated with worse outcomes. Large, multicentred studies are warranted to further elucidate cryoprecipitate's safety profile and patterns of use in cardiac surgery.

The prognostic value of elevated neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio for cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Patients undergoing cardiac surgery are at significant risk of developing postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI). Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a widely available inflammatory biomarker which may be of prognostic value in this setting.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies reporting associations between perioperative NLR with postoperative AKI. We searched Medline, Embase and the Cochrane Library, without language restriction, from inception to May 2022 for relevant studies. We meta-analysed the reported odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for both elevated preoperative and postoperative NLR with risk of postoperative AKI and need for renal replacement therapy (RRT). We conducted a meta-regression to explore inter-study statistical heterogeneity.

RESULTS

Twelve studies involving 10,724 participants undergoing cardiac surgery were included, with eight studies being deemed at high risk of bias using PROBAST modelling. We found statistically significant associations between elevated preoperative NLR and postoperative AKI (OR 1.45, 95% CI 1.18-1.77), as well as postoperative need for RRT (OR 2.37, 95% CI 1.50-3.72). Postoperative NLR measurements were not of prognostic significance.

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated preoperative NLR is a reliable inflammatory biomarker for predicting AKI following cardiac surgery.

Elevated Cardiac Troponin to Detect Acute Cellular Rejection After Cardiac Transplantation: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Cardiac troponin is well known as a highly specific marker of cardiomyocyte damage, and has significant diagnostic accuracy in many cardiac conditions. However, the value of elevated recipient troponin in diagnosing adverse outcomes in heart transplant recipients is uncertain. We searched MEDLINE (Ovid), Embase (Ovid), and the Cochrane Library from inception until December 2020. We generated summary sensitivity, specificity, and Bayesian areas under the curve (BAUC) using bivariate Bayesian modelling, and standardised mean differences (SMDs) to quantify the diagnostic relationship of recipient troponin and adverse outcomes following cardiac transplant. We included 27 studies with 1,684 cardiac transplant recipients. Patients with acute rejection had a statistically significant late elevation in standardised troponin measurements taken at least 1 month postoperatively (SMD 0.98, 95% CI 0.33–1.64). However, pooled diagnostic accuracy was poor (sensitivity 0.414, 95% CrI 0.174–0.696; specificity 0.785, 95% CrI 0.567–0.912; BAUC 0.607, 95% CrI 0.469–0.723). In summary, late troponin elevation in heart transplant recipients is associated with acute cellular rejection in adults, but its stand-alone diagnostic accuracy is poor. Further research is needed to assess its performance in predictive modelling of adverse outcomes following cardiac transplant.

Systematic Review Registration: identifier CRD42021227861

Epidemiology of persistent postoperative opioid use after cardiac surgery: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The epidemiology of persistent postoperative opioid use at least 3 months after cardiac surgery is poorly characterised despite its potential public health importance.

METHODS

We searched MEDLINE, Embase, and Google Scholar from inception to December 2021 and included studies reporting the rate and risk factors of persistent postoperative opioid use after cardiac surgery in opioid-naive and opioid-exposed patients. We recorded incidence rates and odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for risk factors from individual studies and used random-effects inverse variance modelling to generate pooled estimates.

RESULTS

From 10 studies involving 112 298 patients, the pooled rate of persistent postoperative opioid use in opioid-naive patients was 5.7% (95% CI: 4.2-7.2%). Risk factors included female sex (OR 1.18; 95% CI: 1.09-1.29), smoking (OR 1.34; 95% CI: 1.06-1.69), alcohol use (OR 1.43; 95% CI: 1.17-1.76), congestive cardiac failure (OR 1.17; 95% CI: 1.08-1.27), diabetes mellitus (OR 1.21; 95% CI: 1.07-1.37), chronic lung disease (OR 1.42; 95% CI: 1.16-1.75), chronic kidney disease (OR 1.35; 95% CI: 1.08-1.68), and length of hospital stay (per day) (OR 1.03; 95% CI: 1.02-1.04).

CONCLUSIONS

Persistent postoperative opioid use after cardiac surgery affects at least one in 20 patients. The identification of risk factors, such as female sex, smoking, alcohol use, congestive cardiac failure, diabetes mellitus, chronic lung disease, chronic kidney disease, and length of hospital stay, should help target interventions aimed at decreasing its prevalence.

The prognostic significance of postoperative hyperbilirubinemia in cardiac surgery: systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Hyperbilirubinemia following cardiac surgery is a common phenomenon and is of emerging interest in prognostic factor research. This systematic review and meta-analysis evaluated the association between post-operative hyperbilirubinemia (PH) and mortality and morbidity in cardiac surgery patients.

Methods

Ovid Medline and Ovid Embase were searched from inception to July 2020 for studies evaluating the prognostic significance of PH following cardiac surgery. Maximally adjusted odds ratios (OR) with associated confidence intervals were obtained from each study and pooled using random effects inverse variance modelling to assess in-hospital mortality. Standardised mean differences were pooled to assess Intensive Care Unit (ICU) and hospital length of stay (LOS). Qualitative analysis was performed to assess ventilation requirements and long-term mortality. Meta-regression was used to assess inter- and intra-study heterogeneity.

Results

3251 studies satisfied the selection criteria, from which 12 studies incorporating 3876 participants were included. PH significantly predicted in-hospital mortality with a pooled OR of 7.29 (95% CI 3.53, 15.09). Multiple pre-defined covariates contributed to the prognostic significance of PH, however only aortic cross-clamp time (p < 0.0001) and number of transfusions (p = 0.0001) were significant effect modifiers. PH significantly predicted both ICU LOS (Mean difference 1.32 [95% CI 0.04–2.6]) and hospital LOS (Mean difference 1.79 [95% CI 0.36–3.21]). Qualitative analysis suggested PH is associated with increased post-operative ventilation requirements and reduced long-term survival rates.

Conclusions

Hyperbilirubinemia is a cost-effective, widely available prognostic marker of adverse outcomes following cardiac surgery, albeit with residual sources of heterogeneity.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13019-022-01870-2.

The association of neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio and platelet-lymphocyte ratio with retinal vein occlusion: a systematic review and meta-analysis

The neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) are emerging haematological inflammatory biomarkers. However, their significance in retinal vein occlusion (RVO) and its subtypes, branch and central RVO (BRVO and CRVO, respectively), is uncertain. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to clarify the association of NLR and PLR with RVO. We searched MEDLINE (Ovid), EMBASE (Ovid) and the Cochrane Library for studies investigating the association of NLR and PLR with RVO from inception to 2 December 2020. We used random-effects inverse-variance modelling to generate pooled effect measures. We used bivariate Bayesian modelling to meta-analyse the ability of NLR and PLR to differ between individuals with and without RVO and performed meta-regression and sensitivity analyses to explore inter-study heterogeneity. Eight studies published encompassing 1059 patients were included for analysis. Both NLR and PLR were significantly elevated in RVO, with pooled mean differences of 0.63 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.31-0.95) and 21.49 (95% CI 10.03-32.95), respectively. The pooled sensitivity, specificity and area under the Bayesian summary receiver operating characteristic curve were, respectively, 0.629 (95% credible interval (CrI) 0.284-0.872), 0.731 (95% CrI 0.373-0.934) and 0.688 (95% CrI 0.358-0.872) for NLR; and 0.645 (95% CrI 0.456-0.779), 0.616 (95% CrI 0.428-0.761) and 0.621 (95% CrI 0.452-0.741) for PLR. Mean and variability of age and diabetes mellitus prevalence partially explained between-study heterogeneity. NLR and PLR are significantly elevated in RVO. Future research is needed to investigate the potential prognostic value and independence of these findings.

Prognostic Significance of Elevated Troponin in Adult Heart Transplant Recipients: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

OBJECTIVES

Cardiac troponin is a highly specific biomarker of myocardial injury that is of prognostic significance in a range of cardiovascular diseases. However, the prognostic value of elevated troponin in cardiac transplant recipients is uncertain. We aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of elevated cardiac troponin in predicting adverse recipient outcomes following heart transplant.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We searched MEDLINE (Ovid), Embase (Ovid), and the Cochrane Library from inception until December 2020 and included studies reporting associations between elevated recipient troponin and outcomes after cardiac transplant. We generated summary odds ratios for associations with short- and long-term adverse events and used descriptive analyses where meta-analyses were inappropriate.

RESULTS

We included 15 studies involving 1830 patients undergoing cardiac transplant. The risk of primary graft failure was greater in recipients with elevated troponin than in those without (odds ratio = 3.09; 95% CI, 1.08-8.87). Considerable interstudy heterogeneity (I2 statistic 98%) was partially explained by variations in study design, troponin subtype, and overall risk of bias. Descriptive analyses suggested associations between elevated recipient troponin and long-term adverse cardiac events, coronary artery disease, and mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated cardiac troponin in cardiac transplant recipients may be prognostic for primary graft failure, adverse cardiac events, coronary artery disease, and mortality. Further high-quality, prospective, and multicenter research is needed to demonstrate the clinical applicability of these findings.

Donor Cardiac Troponin for Prognosis of Adverse Outcomes in Cardiac Transplantation Recipients: a Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Cardiac troponin is a highly specific and widely available marker of myocardial injury, and elevations in cardiac transplant donors may influence donor selection. We aimed to investigate whether elevated donor troponin has a role as a prognostic biomarker in cardiac transplantation.

METHODS

In a systematic review and meta-analysis, we searched MEDLINE, Embase, and the Cochrane Library, without language restriction, from inception to December 2020. We included studies reporting the association of elevated donor troponin with recipient outcome after cardiac transplant. We generated summary odds ratios and hazard ratios for the association of elevated donor troponin with short- and long-term adverse outcomes. Methodological quality was monitored using the Quality In Prognosis Studies tool, and interstudy heterogeneity was assessed using a series of sensitivity and subgroup analyses.

RESULTS

We included 17 studies involving 15 443 patients undergoing cardiac transplantation. Elevated donor troponin was associated with increased odds of graft rejection at 1 y (odds ratio, 2.54; 95% confidence interval, 1.22-5.28). No significant prognostic relationship was found between donor troponin and primary graft failure, short- to long-term mortality, cardiac allograft vasculopathy, and pediatric graft loss.

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated donor troponin is not associated with an increased short- or long-term mortality postcardiac transplant despite increasing the risk of graft rejection at 1 y. Accordingly, an elevated donor troponin in isolation should not exclude donation.

Perioperative gabapentinoid use lowers short-term opioid consumption following lower limb arthroplasty: Systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The management of post-operative pain and high levels of acute and chronic opioid use following total knee arthroplasty (TKA) and total hip arthroplasty (THA) remain challenges to the perioperative team. We performed a system-atic review and meta-analysis to determine the opioid sparing effects, analgesic effects, and safety profile of perioperative gabapentinoid usage in lower limb arthroplasty.

METHODS

We searched multiple databases from inception until May 2019 and included randomized controlled trials (RCT) on perioperative gabapentinoids in lower limb arthroplasty. The primary outcome was cumulative opioid con-sumption (oral morphine equivalents) at 24 and 48 hours, and the secondary outcomes were pain scores, time to hospi-tal discharge, and adverse events including nausea, vomiting, pruritus, and sedation. Methodological quality was as-sessed using the Cochrane tool. The grading of recommendations assessment, development, and evaluation method-ology for the certainty of evidence was also used.

RESULTS

We included 19 RCT involving 2,455 patients undergoing lower limb arthroplasty. The overall methodological quality of included studies was good. Gabapentinoid use was associated with a significant reduction in opioid consump-tion at 24 hour (mean difference (MD) 22.81 mg [95 percent Confidence Interval (CI) 13.64-31.98]) and 48 hour (MD 44.03 mg [95 percent CI 16.92-71.14]). We found no meaningful difference in pain scores at rest between gabapenti-noid and placebo groups at 24 or 48 hours. Gabapentinoid use reduced the risk of post-operative nausea (risk ratio (RR) 0.69 [95 percent CI 0.57-0.82]), vomiting (RR 0.65 [95 percent CI 0.47-0.91]), and pruritus (RR 0.60 [0.37-0.98]), but not sedation (RR 1.25 [0.76-2.06]). There was no effect on time to discharge from hospital (MD-0.05 days [95 per-cent CI -0.31 to 0.20].

CONCLUSIONS

The addition of gabapentinoids to perioperative multimodal analgesia decreases opioid consumption fol-lowing lower limb arthroplasty, while also lowering rates of nausea, vomiting, and pruritus. Further study is required to evaluate the effect of gabapentinoid use on long-term opioid use and dependence.

Perioperative Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio Predicts Mortality After Cardiac Surgery: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

OBJECTIVES

Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is an inflammatory biomarker that has been evaluated across a variety of surgical disciplines and is widely predictive of poor postoperative outcome, but its value in cardiac surgery is unclear. The authors did this systematic review and meta-analysis to determine the impact of elevated perioperative NLR on survival after cardiac surgery.

DESIGN

Systematic review and meta-analysis of study-level data.

SETTING

Multiple hospitals involved in an international pool of studies.

PARTICIPANTS

Adults undergoing cardiac surgery.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

The authors searched multiple databases from inception until November 2020. They generated summary hazard ratios (HR) and odds ratios (OR) for the association of elevated preoperative NLR with long-term and short-term mortality following cardiac surgery. They separately reported on elevated postoperative NLR. Between-study heterogeneity was explored using metaregression. The authors included 12 studies involving 13,262 patients undergoing cardiac surgery. Elevated preoperative NLR was associated with worse long-term (>30 days) (hazard ratio [HR] 1.56; 95% CI [confidence interval], 1.18-2.06; 8 studies) and short-term (<30 days) mortality (OR 3.18; 95% CI, 1.90-5.30; 7 studies). One study reported the association of elevated postoperative NLR with long-term mortality (HR 8.58; 95% CI, 2.55-28.85). There was considerable between-study heterogeneity for the analysis of long-term mortality (I² statistic 94.39%), which mostly was explained by study-level variables, such as the number of variables adjusted for by included studies and how many of these significantly increased the risk of long-term mortality, high risk of bias, and number of study centers, as well as participant level factors, such as average participant age and hypertension prevalence.

CONCLUSIONS

Perioperative NLR is an independent predictor of short-term and long-term postoperative mortality following cardiac surgery. Further research is required to determine which patient-level factors modify the prognostic value of NLR and to evaluate its role in routine clinical practice.

Machine Learning Outperforms Existing Clinical Scoring Tools in the Prediction of Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation During Intensive Care Unit Admission After Cardiac Surgery

OBJECTIVE(S)

Using the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III (MIMIC-III) database, we compared the performance of machine learning (ML) to the to the established gold standard scoring tool (POAF Score) in predicting postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) during intensive care unit (ICU) admission after cardiac surgery.

METHODS

Random forest classifier (RF), decision tree classifier (DT), logistic regression (LR), K neighbours classifier (KNN), support vector machine (SVM), and gradient boosted machine (GBM) were compared to the POAF Score. Cross-validation was used to assess the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), sensitivity, and specificity of ML models. POAF Score performance confidence intervals were generated using 1,000 bootstraps. Risk profiles for GBM were generated using Shapley additive values.

RESULTS

A total of 6,349 ICU admissions encompassing 6,040 patients were included. POAF occurred in 1,364 of the 6,349 admissions (21.5%). For predicting POAF during ICU admission after cardiac surgery, GBM, LR, RF, KNN, SVM and DT achieved an AUC of 0.74 (0.71-0.77), 0.73 (0.71-0.75), 0.72 (0.69-0.75), 0.68 (0.67-0.69), 0.67 (0.66-0.68) and 0.59 (0.55-0.63) respectively. The POAF Score AUC was 0.63 (0.62-0.64). Shapley additive values analysis of GBM generated patient level explanations for each prediction.

CONCLUSION

Machine learning models based on readily available preoperative data can outperform clinical scoring tools for predicting POAF during ICU admission after cardiac surgery. Explanatory models are shown to have potential in personalising POAF risk profiles for patients by illustrating probabilistic input variable contributions. Future research is required to evaluate the clinical utility and safety of implementing ML-driven tools for POAF prediction.

Risks of recurrent stroke and all serious vascular events after spontaneous intracerebral haemorrhage: pooled analyses of two population-based studies

BACKGROUND

Patients with stroke due to spontaneous (non-traumatic) intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH) are at risk of recurrent ICH, ischaemic stroke, and other serious vascular events. We aimed to analyse these risks in population-based studies and compare them with the risks in RESTART, which assessed antiplatelet therapy after ICH.

METHODS

We pooled individual patient data from two prospective, population-based inception cohort studies of all patients with an incident firs-in-a-lifetime ICH in Oxfordshire, England (Oxford Vascular Study; April 1, 2002, to Sept 28, 2018) and Lothian, Scotland, UK (Lothian Audit of the Treatment of Cerebral Haemorrhage; June 1, 2010, to May 31, 2013). We quantified the absolute and relative risks of recurrent ICH, ischaemic stroke, or any serious vascular event (non-fatal stroke, non-fatal myocardial infarction, or vascular death), stratified by ICH location (lobar vs non-lobar) and comorbid atrial fibrillation (AF). We compared pooled event rates with those after allocation to avoid antiplatelet therapy in RESTART.

FINDINGS

Among 674 patients (mean age 74·7 years [SD 12·6], 320 [47%] men) with 1553 person-years of follow-up, 46 recurrent ICHs (event rate 3·2 per 100 patient-years, 95% CI 2·0-5·1) and 25 ischaemic strokes (1·7 per 100 patient-years, 0·8-3·3) were reported. Patients with lobar ICH (n=317) had higher risk of recurrent ICH (5·1 per 100 patient-years, 95% CI 3·6-7·2) than patients with non-lobar ICH (n=355; 1·8 per 100 patient-years, 1·0-3·3; hazard ratio [HR] 3·2, 95% CI 1·6-6·3; p=0·0010), but there was no evidence of a difference in the risk of ischaemic stroke (1·8 per 100 patient-years, 1·0-3·2, vs 1·6 per 100 patient-years, 0·6-4·4; HR 1·1, 95% CI 0·5-2·8). Conversely, there was no evidence of a difference in recurrent ICH rate in patients with AF (n=147; 3·3 per 100 patient-years, 95% CI 1·0-10·7) compared with those without (n=526; 3·2 per 100 patient-years, 2·2-4·7; HR 0·9, 95% CI 0·4-2·1), but the risk of ischaemic stroke was higher with AF (6·3 per 100 patient-years, 3·7-10·9, vs 0·7 per 100 patient-years, 0·1-5·6; HR 8·2, 3·3-20·3; p<0·0001), resulting in patients with AF having a higher risk of all serious vascular events than patients without AF (15·5 per 100 patient-years, 10·0-24·1, vs 6·8 per 100 patient-years, 3·6-12·5; HR 1·78, 95% CI 1·16-2·74; p=0·0090). Only for patients with lobar ICH without comorbid AF was the risk of recurrent ICH greater than the risk of ischaemic stroke (5·2 per 100 patient-years, 95% CI 3·6-7·5, vs 0·9 per 100 patient-years, 0·2-4·8; p=0·00034). Comparing data from the pooled population-based studies with that from patients allocated to not receive antiplatelet therapy in RESTART, there was no evidence of a difference in the rate of recurrent ICH (3·5 per 100 patient-years, 95% CI 1·9-6·0, vs 4·4 per 100 patient-years, 2·6-6·1) or ischaemic stroke (3·4 per 100 patient-years, 1·9-5·9, vs 5·3 per 100 patient-years, 3·3-7·2).

INTERPRETATION

The risks of recurrent ICH, ischaemic stroke, and all serious vascular events after ICH differ by ICH location and comorbid AF. These data enable risk stratification of patients in clinical practice and ongoing randomised trials.

FUNDING

UK Medical Research Council, Stroke Association, British Heart Foundation, Wellcome Trust, and the National Institute for Health Research Oxford Biomedical Research Centre.

Prognostic utility of inflammation-based biomarkers, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio and change in neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, in surgically resected lung cancers

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE:

Given the poor overall survival (OR) and progression-free survival (PFS) rates for lung cancers managed with surgical resection, there is a need to identify the prognostic markers that would improve the risk stratification of patients with operable lung cancer to inform treatment decisions. We investigate the prognostic utility of two established inflammation-based scores, the neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and the change in neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio (ΔNLR), throughout the operative period in a prospective cohort of patients with lung cancer who underwent surgical resection.

METHODS:

Demographic, clinical, and treatment details for 345 patients with lung cancer who underwent surgical resection between 2000 and 2019 at multiple centers across Melbourne, Victoria (Australia), were prospectively collected. Preoperative NLR and ΔNLR were calculated after which Cox univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted for OS and PFS against the known prognostic factors.

RESULTS:

Both univariate and multivariate analyses showed that preoperative NLR >4.54, as well as day 1 and day 2 postoperative NLR (P < 0.01), was associated with increased risk for postoperative mortality (hazard ratio 1.8; P < 0.01) and PFS (P < 0.05), whereas ΔNLR was not a significant predictor of OS or PFS.

CONCLUSION:

Elevated NLR among patients with lung cancer who underwent surgical resection was prognostic for poor OS and PFS, whereas ΔNLR was not found to be prognostic for either OS or PFS. Further research may yet reveal a prognostic value for ΔNLR when compared across a greater time period.

Duration of post-operative antibiotic treatment in acute complicated appendicitis: systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Appendicitis is the most frequent aetiology of acute abdominal pain requiring surgical treatment, with an estimated lifetime risk between 7% and 8%. Antibiotics play a substantial role in treatment, and there is considerable debate regarding the duration of antibiotics in treating appendicitis.

METHODS

We searched multiple databases from inception until June 2019 for peer-reviewed studies that compared different durations of antibiotic treatment after appendicectomy for acute complicated appendicitis in adults. We dichotomized reported data into short- and extended-term antibiotic use and controlled for different definitional thresholds in the meta-analysis. We generated risk ratios using restricted maximum likelihood methods and mixed effects modelling for each outcome of interest.

RESULTS

Four observational studies involving 847 participants were included in the meta-analysis. For the primary outcomes of intra-abdominal infection, we did not find a statistically significant difference between extended- and short-term antibiotic strategies for intra-abdominal infection (Risk ratio 0.92, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.49-1.74). Three randomized controlled trials involving 291 participants were included in a separate meta-analysis. We found that extended antibiotic usage was not associated with a statistically significant reduced risk for intra-abdominal infection (RR 0.52, 95% CI 0.21-1.29) or surgical site skin infection (RR 1.44, 95% CI 0.43-4.81).

CONCLUSION

This systematic review and meta-analysis found that extended post-operative antibiotic treatment may not be associated with a reduced risk of intra-abdominal infection; however, meta-analysis was significantly limited by heterogeneity between studies and underpowered trials. Further large randomized controlled trials are needed to confirm these findings.

ASSOCIATION BETWEEN PLATELET INDICES AND RETINAL VEIN OCCLUSION: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

PURPOSE

Platelet count, mean platelet volume, platelet distribution width, and plateletcrit are standard indices of platelet activation that have been studied in retinal vein occlusion (RVO) and its subtypes: branch retinal vein occlusion and central retinal vein occlusion. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to assess the association between these platelet parameters and RVO.

METHODS

We searched for studies investigating the association between these platelet indices and RVO in multiple online databases from inception to August 2020. Mean differences and the associated confidence intervals were obtained and calculated for each included study and pooled using random-effects inverse variance modeling. Meta-regression was used to explore interstudy and intrastudy heterogeneity.

RESULTS

Thousand three hundred and twenty-five unique studies were screened, from which 24 studies encompassing 2,718 patients were included. Mean platelet volume and platelet distribution width were significantly elevated in RVO, with pooled mean differences of 0.45 fL (95% CI 0.24-0.66, P < 0.0001) and 1.43% (95% CI 0.57-2.29, P = 0.0011), respectively. Platelet count and plateletcrit were not significantly associated with RVO. Mean platelet volume was also independently elevated in branch retinal vein occlusion and central retinal vein occlusion.

CONCLUSION

Mean platelet volume and platelet distribution width are significantly elevated in RVO. Further research is required to explore the independence and potential prognostic significance of these associations.

Efficacy and Harms of Pharmacological Interventions for Anxiety after Traumatic Brain Injury: Systematic Review

After a traumatic brain injury (TBI), many persons experience significant and debilitating problems with anxiety. The aim of this systematic review was to critically evaluate the evidence regarding efficacy of pharmacological interventions for anxiety after TBI. We reviewed studies published in English before July 2020 and included original research on pharmacological interventions for anxiety after TBI in adults ≥16 years of age. MEDLINE, PubMed, CINAHL, EMBASE, PsycINFO, and CENTRAL databases were searched, with additional searching of key journals, clinical trials registries, and international drug regulators. The primary outcomes of interest were reduction in symptoms of anxiety and occurrence of harms. The secondary outcomes of interest were changes in depression, cognition, quality of life, and participation. Data were summarized in a narrative synthesis, and evidence quality was assessed using the Cochrane Risk of Bias tool. Only a single non-peer-reviewed, randomized controlled trial of 19 male military service members with mild TBI met inclusion criteria. This study found no significant effect of citalopram on anxiety symptoms over a 12-week intervention. The trial was stopped early because of poor recruitment, and much of the study detail was not included in the report. The methodological quality of the study was difficult to assess because of the lack of detail. No recommendations could be drawn from this review. There is a critical need for adequately powered and controlled studies of pharmacological interventions for anxiety after TBI across all severities that examine side-effect profiles and consider issues of comorbidity and effects of long-term pharmacotherapy.

Association between Computed Tomographic Biomarkers of Cerebral Small Vessel Diseases and Long-Term Outcome after Spontaneous Intracerebral Hemorrhage

Objective

A study was undertaken to assess whether cerebral small vessel disease (SVD) computed tomographic (CT) biomarkers are associated with long‐term outcome after intracerebral hemorrhage.

Methods

We performed a prospective, community‐based cohort study of adults diagnosed with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage between June 1, 2010 and May 31, 2013. A neuroradiologist rated the diagnostic brain CT for acute intracerebral hemorrhage features and SVD biomarkers. We used severity of white matter lucencies and cerebral atrophy, and the number of lacunes to calculate the CT SVD score. We assessed the association between CT SVD biomarkers and either death, or death or dependence (modified Rankin Scale scores = 4–6) 1 year after first‐ever intracerebral hemorrhage using logistic regression, adjusting for known predictors of outcome.

Results

Within 1 year of intracerebral hemorrhage, 224 (56%) of 402 patients died. In separate models, 1‐year death was associated with severe atrophy (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 2.54, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.44–4.49, p = 0.001) but not lacunes or severe white matter lucencies, and CT SVD sum score ≥ 1 (aOR = 2.50, 95% CI = 1.40–4.45, p = 0.002). Two hundred seventy‐seven (73%) of 378 patients with modified Rankin Scale data were dead or dependent at 1 year. In separate models, 1‐year death or dependence was associated with severe atrophy (aOR = 3.67, 95% CI = 1.71–7.89, p = 0.001) and severe white matter lucencies (aOR = 2.18, 95% CI = 1.06–4.51, p = 0.035) but not lacunes, and CT SVD sum score ≥ 1 (aOR = 2.81, 95% CI = 1.45–5.46, p = 0.002).

Interpretation

SVD biomarkers on the diagnostic brain CT are associated with 1‐year death and dependence after intracerebral hemorrhage, independent of known predictors of outcome. ANN NEUROL 2021;89:266–279

Prognostic Significance of Preoperative Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio in Vascular Surgery: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

OBJECTIVE

The global burden of surgical vascular disease is increasing and with it, the need for cost-effective, accessible prognostic biomarkers to aid optimization of peri-operative outcomes. The neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is emerging as a potential candidate biomarker for perioperative risk stratification. We therefore performed this systematic review and meta-analysis on the prognostic value of elevated preoperative NLR in vascular surgery.

METHODS

We searched Embase (Ovid), Medline (Ovid), and the Cochrane Library database from inception to June 2019. Screening was performed, and included all peer-reviewed original research studies reporting preoperative NLR in adult emergent and elective vascular surgical patients. Studies were assessed for bias and quality of evidence using a standardized tool. Meta-analysis was performed by general linear (mixed-effects) modelling where possible, and otherwise a narrative review was conducted. Between-study heterogeneity was estimated using the Chi-squared statistic and explored qualitatively.

RESULTS

Fourteen studies involving 5,652 patients were included. The overall methodological quality was good. Elevated preoperative NLR was associated with increased risk of long-term mortality (HR 1.40 [95%CI: 1.13-1.74], Chi-squared 60.3%, 7 studies, 3,637 people) and short-term mortality (OR: 3.08; 95%CI: 1.91-4.95), Chi-squared 66.59%, 4 studies, 945 people). Outcome measures used by fewer studies such as graft patency and amputation free survival were assessed via narrative review.

CONCLUSIONS

NLR is a promising, readily obtainable, prognostic biomarker for mortality outcomes following vascular surgery. Heterogeneity in patient factors, severity of vascular disease, and type of vascular surgery performed renders direct comparison of outcomes from the current literature challenging. This systematic review supports further investigation for NLR measurement in pre-vascular surgical risk stratification. In particular, the establishment of a universally accepted NLR cut-off value is of importance in real-world implementation of this biomarker.

Pharmacotherapy for the Pseudobulbar Affect in Individuals Who Have Sustained a Traumatic Brain Injury: a Systematic Review

Pseudobulbar affect is a debilitating condition that significantly reduces quality of life for many individuals following traumatic brain injury (TBI). It is characterized by embarrassing and often uncontrollable episodes of crying or laughter. The aim of this systematic review was to evaluate the effectiveness of pharmacotherapy as compared to all other comparators for the management of pseudobulbar affect in adults who have sustained TBI. Six databases were searched, with additional hand searching of journals, clinical trials registries and international drug regulators to identify published and unpublished studies in English up to June 2018. Studies were eligible for this review if they included adults who had sustained a medically confirmed TBI and presented with pseudobulbar affect. All pharmacotherapy and comparator interventions were considered for inclusion, and study design was not limited to randomised controlled trials. Evidence quality was assessed using Joanna Briggs Institute Critical Appraisal Instruments. Two quasi-experimental studies examining the effectiveness of dextrometamorphan/quinidine (DM/Q) were identified. These studies reported that DM/Q was effective in reducing symptoms of pseudobulbar affect and had a positive safety profile, over follow-up periods of 3 months (n = 87) and 12 months (n = 23). However, both studies were limited by lack of a control group and a high dropout rate. The findings of twelve case reports examining the effectiveness of DM/Q (n = 6) and anti-depressants (n = 6) are also discussed. Further research is required to determine which pharmacological interventions provide the best outcomes for individuals with pseudobulbar affect following TBI, with consideration given to side effect profiles and financial costs.

The Efficacy and Harms of Pharmacological Interventions for Aggression After Traumatic Brain Injury-Systematic Review

Background: Aggression is a commonly reported problem following traumatic brain injury (TBI). It may present as verbal insults or outbursts, physical assaults, and/or property destruction. Aggressive behavior can fracture relationships and impede participation in treatment as well as a broad range of vocational and social activities, thereby reducing the individual's quality of life. Pharmacological intervention is frequently used to control aggression following TBI. The aim of this systematic review was to critically evaluate the evidence regarding efficacy of pharmacological interventions for aggression following TBI in adults.

Methods: We reviewed studies in English, available before December 2018. MEDLINE, PubMed, CINAHL, EMBASE, PsycINFO, and CENTRAL databases were searched, with additional searching of key journals, clinical trials registries, and international drug regulators. The primary outcomes of interest were reduction in the severity of aggression and occurrence of harms. The secondary outcomes of interest were changes in quality of life, participation, psychological health (e.g., depression, anxiety), and cognitive function. Evidence quality was assessed using the Cochrane Risk of Bias tool and the Joanna Briggs Institute Critical Appraisal Instruments.

Results: Ten studies were identified, including five randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and five case series. There were positive, albeit mixed, findings for the RCTs examining the use of amantadine in reducing irritability (n = 2) and aggression (n = 2). There were some positive findings favoring methylphenidate in reducing anger (n = 1). The evidence for propranolol was weak (n = 1). Individual analysis revealed differential drug response across individuals for both methylphenidate and propranolol. The less rigorous studies administered carbamazepine (n = 2), valproic acid (n = 1), quetiapine (n = 1), and sertraline (n = 1), and all reported reductions in aggression. However, given the lack of a control group, it is difficult to discern treatment effects from natural change over time.

Conclusions: This review concludes that a recommendation for use of amantadine to treat aggression and irritability in adults following TBI is appropriate. However, there is a need for further well-designed, adequately powered and controlled studies of pharmacological interventions for aggression following TBI.

Incident Cerebral Microbleeds After Intracerebral Hemorrhage

Background and Purpose—

The frequency and prognostic implications of incident cerebral microbleeds (CMB), defined as development of one or more new CMB, after intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is unclear. Therefore, we performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to investigate the frequency and prognostic implications of incident CMB after ICH.

Methods—

We searched Ovid Medline and Embase in May 2018 for longitudinal studies of adults who underwent brain magnetic resonance imaging at 2 or more times after ICH. We calculated the pooled proportion of adults with incident CMB and sought associations between incident CMB and clinical outcomes (death, recurrent ICH, or new ischemic stroke). We planned subgroup analyses to investigate clinical variables associated with incident CMB.

Results—

We identified 2354 publications, of which we included 4 cohort studies involving 349 patients. The pooled proportion of adults with at least one new CMB during a mean 27 months follow-up (SD 20 months) was ≈40% (95% CI, 30%–50%). In one study, as the number of incident CMB increased (0 versus 1–3 new CMB versus ≥4 new CMB) the risk of recurrent symptomatic lobar ICH increased (hazard ratio 3.0; 95% CI, 1.2–7.3). No study reported on outcomes of incident ischemic stroke or death.

Conclusions—

Incident CMB occurs in ≈40% of adults after ICH. The association of incident CMB with recurrent lobar ICH needs confirmation and their association with death and ischemic stroke investigation.

Neuroimaging and clinical outcomes of oral anticoagulant-associated intracerebral hemorrhage

OBJECTIVE

Whether intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) associated with non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOAC-ICH) has a better outcome compared to ICH associated with vitamin K antagonists (VKA-ICH) is uncertain.

METHODS

We performed a systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis of cohort studies comparing clinical and radiological outcomes between NOAC-ICH and VKA-ICH patients. The primary outcome measure was 30-day all-cause mortality. All outcomes were assessed in multivariate regression analyses adjusted for age, sex, ICH location, and intraventricular hemorrhage extension.

RESULTS

We included 7 eligible studies comprising 219 NOAC-ICH and 831 VKA-ICH patients (mean age = 77 years, 52.5% females). The 30-day mortality was similar between NOAC-ICH and VKA-ICH (24.3% vs 26.5%; hazard ratio = 0.94, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.67-1.31). However, in multivariate analyses adjusting for potential confounders, NOAC-ICH was associated with lower admission National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score (linear regression coefficient = -2.83, 95% CI = -5.28 to -0.38), lower likelihood of severe stroke (NIHSS > 10 points) on admission (odds ratio [OR] = 0.50, 95% CI = 0.30-0.84), and smaller baseline hematoma volume (linear regression coefficient = -0.24, 95% CI = -0.47 to -0.16). The two groups did not differ in the likelihood of baseline hematoma volume < 30cm³ (OR = 1.14, 95% CI = 0.81-1.62), hematoma expansion (OR = 0.97, 95% CI = 0.63-1.48), in-hospital mortality (OR = 0.73, 95% CI = 0.49-1.11), functional status at discharge (common OR = 0.78, 95% CI = 0.57-1.07), or functional status at 3 months (common OR = 1.03, 95% CI = 0.75-1.43).

INTERPRETATION

Although functional outcome at discharge, 1 month, or 3 months was comparable after NOAC-ICH and VKA-ICH, patients with NOAC-ICH had smaller baseline hematoma volumes and less severe acute stroke syndromes. Ann Neurol 2018;84:702-712.

Glial fibrillary acidic protein for the early diagnosis of intracerebral hemorrhage: Systematic review and meta-analysis of diagnostic test accuracy

Background and aims

Glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) has shown promise in several studies for its ability to diagnose intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). We evaluated the diagnostic accuracy of blood GFAP level to differentiate (ICH) from acute ischemic stroke (AIS) and stroke mimics, both overall, and in the first three hours after symptom onset.

Methods

We searched multiple databases, without language restriction, from inception until December 2017. Hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic (HSROC) modeling was used to meta-analyze results. We conducted subgroup analyses restricted to blood samples collected within 0–60, 60–120, and 120–180 min time groups after symptom onset, to evaluate diagnostic accuracy in the early pre-hospital phase. Between and within study heterogeneity was explored using meta-regression.

Results

The search identified 199 potentially relevant citations from which 11 studies involving 1297 participants (350 ICH, 947 AIS, or mimic) were included. The pooled sensitivity, specificity, and area under the HSROC curve were 0.756 (95% CI 0.630–0.849), 0.945 (95% CI 0.858–0.980), and 0.904 (95% CI 0.878–0.931), respectively. Differences in assays used, but not the other covariates, partially explained between-study heterogeneity ( p = 0.034). The summary estimates for the 0–60, 60–120, and 120–180 min subgroups were comparable to the primary analysis and there was no statistically significant difference in diagnostic accuracy between subgroups.

Conclusions

GFAP is a promising diagnostic biomarker for ICH diagnosis in the early pre-hospital phase. Test accuracy is affected by assay subtype, but there are still unexplained sources of heterogeneity. High quality, international multi-center trials are warranted to develop and validate a point-of-care GFAP assay for the rapid triage and evaluation of acute stroke in the pre-hospital setting.

Pharmacotherapy for the pseudobulbar affect in individuals who have sustained a traumatic brain injury: a systematic review protocol

REVIEW OBJECTIVE/QUESTION

The objective of this systematic review is to synthesize current evidence on the effectiveness of pharmacotherapy as compared to all comparators for the management of pseudobulbar affect in adults 16 years and over who have sustained a traumatic brain injury. The specific review question is: What is the effectiveness of pharmacotherapy for the management of pseudobulbar affect in adults 16 years and over who have sustained a traumatic brain injury?

Efficacy and Harms of Pharmacological Interventions for Neurobehavioral Symptoms in Post-Traumatic Amnesia after Traumatic Brain Injury: A Systematic Review

Many individuals in post-traumatic amnesia (PTA) following traumatic brain injury (TBI) experience neurobehavioral symptoms (NBS) in addition to disorientation and amnesia. These symptoms are associated with low rehabilitation engagement, self-inflicted harm, and risk of violence. The aim of this systematic review was to evaluate the efficacy and harms of pharmacological interventions for NBS in PTA following TBI in adults. Studies in English published before December 2017 were reviewed. Six databases were searched, with additional hand searching of key journals, clinical trials registries, and international drug regulators. Evidence quality was assessed using Joanna Briggs Institute Critical Appraisal Instruments. Thirteen studies were identified: three randomized controlled trials (RCTs), three cohort studies, and seven case series. In the RCTs, neither amantadine nor sertraline reduced NBS. Less rigorous studies reported reduced NBS in patients administered haloperidol, ziprasidone, carbamazepine, amitriptyline, desipramine, and varied neuroleptics. There is a paucity of well-designed, adequately powered and controlled studies of pharmacological interventions for NBS in PTA. More research is needed to provide evidence-based treatment recommendations and improve care.

Mirtazapine adjunct for people with schizophrenia

BACKGROUND

Many individuals who have a diagnosis of schizophrenia experience a range of distressing and debilitating symptoms. These can include positive symptoms (such as delusions, hallucinations, disorganised speech), cognitive symptoms (such as trouble focusing or paying attention or using information to make decisions), and negative symptoms (such as diminished emotional expression, avolition, alogia, and anhedonia). Antipsychotic drugs are often only partially effective, particularly in treating negative symptoms, indicating the need for additional treatment. Mirtazapine is an antidepressant drug that when taken in addition to an antipsychotic may offer some benefit for negative symptoms.

OBJECTIVES

To systematically assess the effects of mirtazapine as adjunct treatment for people with schizophrenia.

SEARCH METHODS

The Information Specialist of Cochrane Schizophrenia searched the Cochrane Schizophrenia Group's Study-Based Register of Trials (including registries of clinical trials) up to May 2018.

SELECTION CRITERIA

All randomised-controlled trials (RCTs) with useable data focusing on mirtazapine adjunct for people with schizophrenia.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

We extracted data independently. For binary outcomes, we calculated risk ratio (RR) and its 95% confidence interval (CI), on an intention-to-treat (ITT) basis. For continuous data, we estimated the mean difference (MD) between groups and its 95% CI. We employed a fixed-effect model for analyses. For included studies we assessed risk of bias and created 'Summary of findings' table using GRADE.

MAIN RESULTS

We included nine RCTs with a total of 310 participants. All studies compared mirtazapine adjunct with placebo adjunct and were of short-term duration. We considered five studies to have a high risk of bias for either incomplete outcome data, selective reporting, or other bias.Our main outcomes of interest were clinically important change in mental state (negative and positive symptoms), leaving the study early for any reason, clinically important change in global state, clinically important change in quality of life, number of days in hospital and incidence of serious adverse events.One trial defined a reduction in the Scale for the Assessment of Negative Symptoms (SANS) overall score from baseline of at least 20% as no important response for negative symptoms. There was no evidence of a clear difference between the two treatments with similar numbers of participants from each group showing no important response to treatment (RR 0.81, 95% CI 0.57 to 1.14, 1 RCT, n = 20, very low-quality evidence).Clinically important change in positive symptoms was not reported, however, clinically important change in overall mental state was reported by two trials and data for this outcome showed a favourable effect for mirtazapine (RR 0.69, 95% CI 0.51 to 0.92; I² = 75%, 2 RCTs, n = 77, very low-quality evidence). There was no evidence of a clear difference for numbers of participants leaving the study early (RR 1.03, 95% CI 0.64 to 1.66, 9 RCTs, n = 310, moderate-quality evidence), and no evidence of a clear difference in global state Clinical Global Impressions Scale (CGI) severity scores (MD -0.10, 95% CI -0.68 to 0.48, 1 RCT, n = 39, very low-quality evidence). A favourable effect for mirtazapine adjunct was found for the outcome clinically important change in akathisia (RR 0.33, 95% CI 0.20 to 0.52, 2 RCTs, n = 86, low-quality evidence; I² = 61%I). No data were reported for quality life or number of days in hospital.In addition to the main outcomes of interest, there was evidence relating to adverse events that the mirtazapine adjunct groups were associated with an increased risk of weight gain (RR 3.19, 95% CI 1.17 to 8.65, 4 RCTs, n = 127) and sedation/drowsiness (RR 1.64, 95% CI 1.01 to 2.68, 7 RCTs, n = 223).

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

The available evidence is primarily of very low quality and indicates that mirtazapine adjunct is not clearly associated with an effect for negative symptoms, but there is some indication of a positive effect on overall mental state and akathisia. No effect was found for global state or leaving the study early and data were not available for quality of life or service use. Due to limitations of the quality and applicability of the evidence it is not possible to make any firm conclusions, the role of mirtazapine adjunct in routine clinical practice remains unclear. This underscores the need for new high-quality evidence to further evaluate mirtazapine adjunct for schizophrenia.

The effect of PD-L1 testing on the cost-effectiveness and economic impact of immune checkpoint inhibitors for the second-line treatment of NSCLC

Background

Immune checkpoint inhibitors improve outcomes compared with chemotherapy in lung cancer. Tumor PD-L1 receptor expression is being studied as a predictive biomarker. The objective of this study was to assess the cost-effectiveness and economic impact of second-line treatment with nivolumab, pembrolizumab, and atezolizumab with and without the use of PD-L1 testing for patient selection.

Design

We developed a decision-analytic model to determine the cost-effectiveness of PD-L1 assessment and second-line immunotherapy versus docetaxel. The model used outcomes data from randomized clinical trials (RCTs) and drug acquisition costs from the United States. Thereafter, we used epidemiologic data to estimate the economic impact of the treatment.

Results

We included four RCTs (2 with nivolumab, 1 with pembrolizumab, and 1 with atezolizumab). The incremental quality-adjusted life year (QALY) for nivolumab was 0.417 among squamous tumors and 0.287 among non-squamous tumors and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) were $155 605 and $187 685, respectively. The QALY gain in the base case for atezolizumab was 0.354 and the ICER was $215 802. Compared with treating all patients, the selection of patients by PD-L1 expression improved incremental QALY by up to 183% and decreased the ICER by up to 65%. Pembrolizumab was studied only in patients whose tumors expressed PD-L1. The QALY gain was 0.346 and the ICER was $98 421. Patient selection also reduced the budget impact of immunotherapy.

Conclusion

The use of PD-L1 expression as a biomarker increases cost-effectiveness of immunotherapy but also diminishes the number of potential life-years saved.

Cerebral amyloid angiopathy, cerebral microbleeds and implications for anticoagulation decisions: The need for a balanced approach

Cerebral amyloid angiopathy is a common hemorrhagic small vessel disease of the brain, often associated with high risk of spontaneous lobar intracerebral hemorrhage. When the suspicion of cerebral amyloid angiopathy is raised, clinicians are hesitant in prescribing oral anticoagulation in patients in whom it is otherwise indicated, including the case of non-valvular atrial fibrillation. This is one of the thorniest clinical dilemmas in the field currently. In this short Leading Opinion piece by an international panel of clinicians-researchers active in the field, we present our consistent approach and future outlook on oral anticoagulation post intracerebral hemorrhage and in the setting of clinical-radiologic evidence of cerebral amyloid angiopathy. We discuss recent advances and support a more balanced approach with implications for the wider neurological clinical community in regards to successful recruiting this patient population in ongoing and future randomized trials.

Increased signal intensity within glioblastoma resection cavities on fluid-attenuated inversion recovery imaging to detect early progressive disease in patients receiving radiotherapy with concomitant temozolomide therapy

PURPOSE

Our study tested the diagnostic accuracy of increased signal intensity (SI) within FLAIR MR images of resection cavities in differentiating early progressive disease (ePD) from pseudoprogression (PsP) in patients with glioblastoma treated with radiotherapy with concomitant temozolomide therapy.

METHODS

In this retrospective study approved by our Institutional Review Board, we evaluated the records of 122 consecutive patients with partially or totally resected glioblastoma. Region of interest (ROI) analysis assessed 33 MR examinations from 11 subjects with histologically confirmed ePD and 37 MR examinations from 14 subjects with PsP (5 histologically confirmed, 9 clinically diagnosed). After applying an N4 bias correction algorithm to remove B0 field distortion and to standardize image intensities and then normalizing the intensities based on an ROI of uninvolved white matter from the contralateral hemisphere, the mean intensities of the ROI from within the resection cavities were calculated. Measures of diagnostic performance were calculated from the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve using the threshold intensity that maximized differentiation. Subgroup analysis explored differences between the patients with biopsy-confirmed disease.

RESULTS

At an optimal threshold intensity of 2.9, the area under the ROC curve (AUROC) for FLAIR to differentiate ePD from PsP was 0.79 (95% confidence interval 0.686-0.873) with a sensitivity of 0.818 and specificity of 0.694. The AUROC increased to 0.86 when only the patients with biopsy-confirmed PsP were considered.

CONCLUSIONS

Increased SI within the resection cavity of FLAIR images is not a highly specific sign of ePD in glioblastoma patients treated with the Stupp protocol.

Safety and effectiveness of pharmacotherapy for depression in adults who have sustained a traumatic brain injury: a systematic review protocol

REVIEW OBJECTIVE/QUESTION

The objective of this systematic review is to synthesize the current evidence on the effectiveness and harms of pharmacotherapy in the management of depression in adults who have sustained a traumatic brain injury.

Antithrombotic treatment after stroke due to intracerebral haemorrhage

BACKGROUND

Survivors of stroke due to intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH) are at risk of thromboembolism. Antithrombotic (antiplatelet or anticoagulant) treatments may lower the risk of thromboembolism after ICH, but they may increase the risks of bleeding.

OBJECTIVES

To determine the overall effectiveness and safety of antithrombotic drugs for people with ICH.

SEARCH METHODS

We searched the Cochrane Stroke Group Trials Register (24 March 2017). We also searched the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL: the Cochrane Library 2017, Issue 3), MEDLINE Ovid (from 1948 to March 2017), Embase Ovid (from 1980 to March 2017), and online registries of clinical trials (8 March 2017). We also screened the reference lists of included trials for additional, potentially relevant studies.

SELECTION CRITERIA

We selected all randomised controlled trials (RCTs) of any antithrombotic treatment after ICH.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Three review authors independently extracted data. We converted categorical estimates of effect to the risk ratio (RR) or odds ratio (OR), as appropriate. We divided our analyses into short- and long-term treatment, and used fixed-effect modelling for meta-analyses. Three review authors independently assessed the included RCTs for risks of bias and we created a 'Summary of findings' table using GRADE.

MAIN RESULTS

We included two RCTs with a total of 121 participants. Both RCTs were of short-term parenteral anticoagulation early after ICH: one tested heparin and the other enoxaparin. The risk of bias in the included RCTs was generally unclear or low, with the exception of blinding of participants and personnel, which was not done. The included RCTs did not report our chosen primary outcome (a composite outcome of all serious vascular events including ischaemic stroke, myocardial infarction, other major ischaemic event, ICH, major extracerebral haemorrhage, and vascular death). Parenteral anticoagulation did not cause a statistically significant difference in case fatality (RR 1.25, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.38 to 4.07 in one RCT involving 46 participants, low-quality evidence), ICH, or major extracerebral haemorrhage (no detected events in one RCT involving 75 participants, low-quality evidence), growth of ICH (RR 1.64, 95% CI 0.51 to 5.29 in two RCTs involving 121 participants, low-quality evidence), deep vein thrombosis (RR 0.99, 95% CI 0.49 to 1.96 in two RCTs involving 121 participants, low quality evidence), or major ischaemic events (RR 0.54, 95% CI 0.23 to 1.28 in two RCTs involving 121 participants, low quality evidence).

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

There is insufficient evidence from RCTs to support or discourage the use of antithrombotic treatment after ICH. RCTs comparing starting versus avoiding antiplatelet or anticoagulant drugs after ICH appear justified and are needed in clinical practice.