Migration of trace elements and radioisotopes to various fractions of solid wastes generated as a result of the sewage sludge incineration process

The research was aimed at providing new knowledge in the field of chemical characteristics of solid waste generated in the process of combustion of sewage sludge in fluidized bed furnaces. The research material consisted of disposed fluidized beds (DFB), sewage sludge ash (SSA) and air pollution control residues (APC) from three Polish installations for the thermal treatment of sewage sludge. Natural radionuclides as well as anthropogenic isotope 137Cs were determined in the tested materials and the migration of a wide spectrum of trace elements to various waste fractions generated in the process of sewage sludge combustion was examined. It was observed that both radioisotopes and most of the trace elements determined accumulate in SSA and DFB, while the APC fraction contains a much smaller amount of them. The exceptions are mercury and selenium, whose volatile compounds migrate to the exhaust gas dedusting system and accumulate in the APC fraction (up to 40 mg/kg and 13 mg/kg, respectively). A potential threat from the 226Ra isotope in SSA is identified in the context of the management of this waste in the production of building materials because the typical activity of 226Ra in SSA collected from areas with very low Ra content in natural environment exceeds 1.5-6 times the activity of this isotope in conventional cement mixtures. When managing SSA and DFB, special attention should be paid to the content of metalloids such as As, B and Se, due to the high content of mobile forms of these elements in the mentioned materials.

Impact of physician-staffed ground emergency medical services-administered pre-hospital trauma care on in-hospital survival outcomes in Japan

PURPOSE

In Japan, the vehicle used in pre-hospital trauma care systems with physician-staffed ground emergency medical services (GEMS) is referred to as a "doctor car". Doctor cars are highly mobile physician-staffed GEMS that can provide complex pre-hospital trauma management using various treatment strategies. The number of doctor car operations for patients with severe trauma has increased. Considering facility factors, the association between doctor cars and patient outcomes remains unclear. Therefore, this study aimed to examine the relationship between doctor cars for patients with severe trauma and survival outcomes in Japan.

METHODS

A nationwide retrospective cohort study was conducted to compare the impact of the doctor car group with the non-physician-staffed GEMS group on in-hospital survival in adult patients with severe trauma. The data were analyzed using multivariable logistic regression models with generalized estimating equations.

RESULTS

This study included 372,365 patients registered in the Japan Trauma Data Bank between April 2009 and March 2019. Of the 49,144 eligible patients, 2361 and 46,783 were classified into the doctor car and non-physician staffed GEMS groups, respectively. The adjusted odds ratio (OR) for survival was significantly higher in the doctor car group than in the non-physician staffed GEMS group (adjusted OR = 1.228 [95% confidence interval 1.065-1.415]).

CONCLUSION

Using nationwide data, this novel study suggests that doctor cars improve the in-hospital survival rate of patients with severe trauma in Japan. Therefore, doctor cars could be an option for trauma strategies.

Combination of isotope dilution with liquid chromatography-inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry for the simultaneous monitoring and evaluation of cadmium and inorganic arsenic in polished rice

A new monitoring and evaluation technique for cadmium (Cd) and inorganic arsenic (i-As) in rice was developed, where the isotope dilution (ID) method was applied in combination with high performance liquid chromatography-inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry (LC-ICP-MS), following heat-assisted extraction. Cadmium and i-As in a rice sample were extracted using the HNO3-H2O2 extractant, and an appropriate amount of enriched 111Cd was spiked into it. Cadmium and As species were measured simultaneously by LC-ICP-MS. The cadmium concentration was calculated from the isotope dilution analysis, and i-As was determined by the comparison (1 point calibration) method using additional 111Cd as an internal standard. The proposed method provides accurate and precise determination of Cd based on the isotope dilution analysis. Moreover, it can be applied to a rapid screening test to find contaminated rice samples, by means of monitoring the intensity ratios of natural 111Cd and i-As to the additional 111Cd. The developed technique was applied to analyzing multiple rice reference materials, and the measurement results of Cd and i-As agreed with the certified values within the uncertainty range. It is noted that the grain size of rice samples does not affect the extraction data, when the rice sample is crushed into powder less than 850 μm. The proposed method was very useful for the monitoring and evaluation of Cd and i-As in rice as a precise analytical method as well as a screening method.

Attenuated Total Reflection Infrared and Far-Infrared, and Raman Spectroscopy Studies of Minerals, Rocks, and Biogenic Minerals

Attenuated total reflection infrared (ATR-IR, 4000-400 cm-1), ATR-far-IR (ATR-FIR, 400-50 cm-1), and Raman spectra (4000-10 cm-1) were measured for calcium carbonate, three kinds of minerals (calcite, aragonite, and quartz), two kinds of rocks (obsidian and pumice), and four kinds of biogenic minerals, i.e., coral (aragonite), Ruditapes philippinarum (aragonite), Meretrix lusoria (aragonite), and Corbicula japonica (aragonite), to investigate the polymorphism of minerals and biogenic minerals, differences in the crystal structure among aragonite and aragonite biogenic minerals, water in the minerals and biogenic minerals, Boson peaks of obsidian and pumice, very small amounts of carotenoids in the three kinds of shells, and so on. In this study, we put some emphasis on the low-frequency region of IR (FIR) and Raman spectra. ATR-FIR spectra were measured down to 50 cm-1 and Raman spectra were obtained down to 10 cm-1. Second derivative spectra were calculated for the FIR spectra. It has been found from the present study that the FIR spectra are the most powerful for exploring polymorphism and differences in the crystal structure among aragonite and aragonite biogenic minerals. A Boson peak, which is a characteristic low-frequency Raman band for amorphous materials, was observed at around 40 cm-1 in the Raman spectra of obsidian and pumice. The Boson peak of pumice is located at a lower frequency by 12 cm-1 than that of obsidian, indicating that the mean atomic volume of pumice is larger than that of obsidian. The present study has revealed that IR spectra are useful to investigate the amounts and structure of fluid and bound water. Moreover, it has also been found that Raman spectra can detect a very tiny amount of carotenoids in the shells due to the resonance Raman effect.

Visualization and identification of components in a gigantic spherical dolomite concretion by Raman imaging in combination with MCR or CLS methods

The combination of Raman imaging and multivariate curve resolution (MCR) or classical least squares (CLS) has allowed us to explore the distribution and identification of components in a gigantic spherical dolomite concretion. It has been found by the MCR and CLS analyses of imaging data that the concretion contains dolomite, kerogen, anatase, quartz, plagioclase, and carbon materials with considerably large distribution of dolomite. The existence of these components has also been confirmed by the point-by-point analysis of imaging data. The distributions of these components were clearly observed by Raman images. Of note is that the amount of carbon materials is considerably large, and they are buried among the matrix sedimentary grains in the concretion, suggesting that there exist soft tissues with biological origin. Moreover, one of the loading spectra of CLS shows intense bands in the region of 3000-2800 cm-1, and bands at ca. 1658, ca. 1585, 1455, 1323, and 1261 cm-1. These bands indicate the existence of decomposed organic materials in the concretion. Raman imaging of concretions provides direct evidence that concretions are of biological organic origin.

The 2024 Noto Peninsula Earthquake and the Strategy of Medical Assistance from the Tohoku University Hospital

A moment magnitude (Mw) 7.5 earthquake (the Global IDentifire (GLIDE) number: # Q-2024-000001-JPN) struck the Noto Peninsula of Ishikawa Prefecture on 1 January 2024 at 16:10 (Japan Standard Time). The reversed fault, 150 km in length and subducting beneath the peninsula, resulted in maximum seismic intensity 7 shaking, triggered the tsunami, destroyed over 43 thousand buildings, and disrupted roads and lifelines. The disaster claimed 236 deaths, including 15 indirect disaster deaths as of Jan. 28, 2024. There were Disaster Base Hospitals (DBHs) in the region, which survived structurally but suffered from impaired functions and the surge of medical needs of affected people. The disaster medical system of Japan immediately responded and coordinated the hundreds of emergency medical teams (EMTs), i.e., the Japan Disaster Medical Assistance Team (DMAT), from all over the country. Tohoku University Hospital, which had the experience of the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake (GEJE), joined the coordinated response, dispatching a chain of DMATs, which helped the medical and public health coordination in Wajima City. The medical and public health needs included injuries, non-communicable diseases, infectious diseases, mental health issues, and maternal and child health issues, which were similar in the affected communities in GEJE. Although the actual damage far exceeded expectations, the structural retrofitting and business continuity plans of DBHs and the coordinated response of the national disaster medical system enhanced the effectiveness of medical and public health response.

Biogenic apatite in carbonate concretions with and without fossils investigated in situ by micro-Raman spectroscopy

Micro-Raman spectra of concretions with and without fossils were measured in a nondestructive manner. The band position and full width at half maximum height (FWHM) of ν1-PO43- of apatite in the concretions were analyzed to investigate the origin of apatite. The analyzed concretions were derived from the Kita-ama Formation of the Izumi Group, Japan. The micro-Raman analysis showed that the apatites in the concretions were divided into two groups: Group W (wide FWHM group) and Group N (narrow FWHM group). The apatite belonging to Group W is suggested to be biogenic apatite originating from the soft body tissues of organisms because the Sr content is high and the FWHM is similar to that of apatite in bones and teeth of present-day animals. The other apatite belonging to Group N is considered affected by the diagenetic process because of its narrow FWHM and F substitution. These features of both groups were observed regardless of the presence of fossils or absence of fossils in the concretions. This Raman spectroscopic study suggests that the apatite at the time of concretion formation belonged to Group W but was changed to Group N by the substitution of F during the diagenesis process.

Evacuation at Home Delayed the First Medical Intervention in Minamisanriku Town after the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake

INTRODUCTION

In Japan, evacuation at home is expected to increase in the future as a post-disaster evacuation type due to the pandemic, aging, and diverse disabilities of the population. However, more disaster-related indirect deaths occurred in homes than in evacuation centers after the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake (GEJE). The health risks faced by evacuees at home have not been adequately discussed.

STUDY OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to clarify the gap in disaster health management for evacuees at home compared to the evacuees at the evacuation centers in Minamisanriku Town, which lost all health care facilities after the 2011 GEJE.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cross-sectional and quasi-experimental study based on the anonymized disaster medical records (DMRs) of patients from March 11 through April 10, 2011, that compared the evacuation-at-home and evacuation-center groups focusing on the day of the first medical intervention after the onset. Multivariable Cox regression analysis and propensity score (PS)-matching analysis were performed to identify the risk factors and causal relationship between the evacuation type and the delay of medical intervention.

RESULTS

Of the 2,838 eligible patients, 460 and 2,378 were in the evacuation-at-home and evacuation-center groups, respectively. In the month after the onset, the evacuation-at-home group had significantly lower rates of respiratory and mental health diseases than the evacuation-center group. However, the mean time to the first medical intervention was significantly delayed in the evacuation-at-home group (19.3 [SD = 6.1] days) compared to that in the evacuation-center group (14.1 [SD = 6.3] days); P <.001). In the multivariable Cox regression analysis, the hazard ratio (HR) of delayed medical intervention for evacuation-at-home was 2.31 with a 95% confident interval of 2.07-2.59. The PS-matching analysis of the adjusted 459 patients in each group confirmed that evacuation at home was significantly associated with delays in the first medical intervention (P <.001).

CONCLUSION

This study suggested, for the first time, the causal relationship between evacuation at home and delay in the first medical intervention by PS-matching analysis. Although evacuation at home had several advantages in reducing the frequencies of some diseases, the delay in medical intervention could exacerbate the symptoms and be a cause of indirect death. As more evacuees are likely to remain in their homes in the future, this study recommends earlier surveillance and health care provision to the home evacuees.

Importance of continuing health care before emergency hospital evacuation: a fatal case of a hospitalized patient in a hospital within 5 km radius of Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant: a case report

BACKGROUND

After a disaster, it is essential to maintain the health care supply levels to minimize the health impact on vulnerable populations. During the 2011 Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant accident, hospitals within a 20 km radius were forced to make an immediate evacuation, causing a wide range of short- and long-term health problems. However, there is limited information on how the disaster disrupted the continuity of health care for hospitalized patients in the acute phase of the disaster.

CASE PRESENTATION

An 86-year-old Japanese man who needed central venous nutrition, oxygen administration, care to prevent pressure ulcers, skin and suctioning care of the trachea, and full assistance in the basic activities of daily living had been admitted to a hospital within 5 km radius of Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant and experienced Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant accident. After the accident, the hospital faced a manpower shortage associated with hospital evacuation, environmental changes caused by infrastructure and medical supply disruptions, and the difficulty of evacuating seriously ill patients. As a result, antibiotics and suction care for aspiration pneumonia could not be appropriately provided to the patient due to lack of caregivers and infrastructure shortages. The patient died before his evacuation was initiated, in the process of hospital evacuation.

CONCLUSIONS

This case illustrates that decline in health care supply levels to hospitalized patients before evacuation during the acute phase of a radiation-released disaster may lead to patient fatalities. It is important to maintain the health care supply level even in such situations as the radiation-released disaster; otherwise, patients may experience negative health effects.

The value of disease-free survival (DFS) and osimertinib in adjuvant non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC): an international Delphi consensus report

Background

Rates of disease recurrence and death following surgery remain high in early-stage non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC), despite adjuvant treatment and curative intent. Recently, osimertinib showed overwhelming evidence for disease-free survival (DFS), as demonstrated by an overall reduction in the risk of disease recurrence or death in the adjuvant setting of 80% versus control in the ADAURA study (stage IB-IIIA; hazard ratio 0.20; 99.12% confidence interval 0.14-0.30; P < 0.001). However, due to the early unblinding of ADAURA and lack of mature overall survival data, there is a need to qualitatively confirm consensus on the clinical and patient relevance of DFS.

Materials and methods

We conducted a modified Delphi panel study consisting of two rounds of surveys, followed by a consensus meeting. An international panel of experts in the field of NSCLC and epidermal growth factor receptor tyrosine kinase inhibitors (EGFR-TKIs) (n = 13) was asked to rate agreement and comment on a list of pre-defined statements covering key consensus gaps. Statements were eliminated or updated between surveys, depending on the level of agreement. A final list of agreed-upon statements was drafted in the consensus meeting.

Results

Consensus was reached on 32 qualitative statements, with topics including unmet needs in early-stage NSCLC, the value of DFS, and the value of osimertinib. Crucially, DFS was agreed to be a clinically and patient-relevant endpoint in adjuvant NSCLC. The relevance of DFS was found to relate to the ability of an adjuvant therapy, such as osimertinib, to keep patients in the clinically valuable curative intent setting, while preventing the burden associated with distant and locoregional recurrence, and progressive disease.

Conclusions

Addressing the need for measures that reflect clinical benefit is essential to continue improving outcomes for NSCLC patients. To that end, this work provides a qualitative framework for clinicians to consider the clinical and patient relevance of DFS in adjuvant NSCLC and the benefit demonstrated in ADAURA thus far.

•

There is a need for qualitative consensus assessment of the clinical and patient relevance of DFS in the adjuvant setting.

•

An international panel of experts viewed DFS as a clinically and patient-relevant endpoint in adjuvant NSCLC.

•

DFS relevance in adjuvant therapy, e.g. osimertinib, relates to keeping early-stage patients in a curative intent setting.

•

Curative intent prevents or significantly delays locoregional and distant (CNS) recurrence burden and progressive disease.

Symposium on disaster-related deaths after the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant accident

Disaster deaths can be classified into direct and indirect deaths. Direct deaths are those caused by the direct physical effects of disasters, such as earthquakes, tsunamis, and radiation exposure. Indirect deaths are those caused by secondary health effects such as emergency evacuation, relocation, evacuation environment, disruption of health care delivery services, and psychosocial effects. In addition, in Japan, the term disaster-related deaths refers to indirect deaths in accordance with the disaster condolence payments system, which provides relief for bereaved families. On 11 March 2011, the Great East Japan Earthquake exposed several issues related to disaster-related deaths in Japan. Therefore, on 1 February 2022, a symposium on disaster-related deaths hosted by this study was held on the website. The symposium discussed the issues and challenges associated with disaster-related deaths for future disaster preparedness. The authors introduced the concept of 'shaking' at the symposium by defining 'shaking' as 'the repeated changes in the social and living environment that worsen health conditions, regardless of the disaster'. It was also pointed out that vulnerable populations are more likely to experience more pronounced health effects. This generalised concept of 'shaking' associated with disaster-related deaths suggests that it is important to anticipate disasters before they occur to take specific preventive measures, targeted at vulnerable populations. This study found that disaster-related deaths in Japan create several problems in terms of future radiation disaster preparedness and medical countermeasures. In the future, there will be a need to examine the relevance of the issues of disaster-related deaths identified as a result of this symposium for future radiation disaster preparedness.

Comparison of mortality patterns after the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant radiation disaster and during the COVID-19 pandemic

The initial health impact caused by radiation disasters can be broadly classified into direct and indirect effects. Though no direct health hazards caused by radiation, such as acute radiation injury, were observed following the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant accident, indirect deaths have been reported, including those caused by initial emergency evacuation and relocation, medical disruption, and psychological and social health effects. However, these indirect health effects have not been prioritised for addressal. We evaluated the radiation disaster experience with that of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic that emerged while facing the challenges from the radiation disaster. Most of the health effects of COVID-19 are directly associated with infection, but indirect health effects of various scales and entities have been reported. The two disasters have similarities in terms of the strain on community healthcare and the large number of deaths. Adapting the measures implemented in the acute to subacute phases of the COVID-19 disaster to radiation disasters may help improve management following future radiation disasters. Based on the experience and findings during the COVID-19 pandemic, the pattern of deaths in radiation disasters can be divided into five major groups: direct deaths, and four indirect patterns of deaths due to a deteriorating supply-demand balance (a hospital-level problem), collapse of the healthcare system (a community-level problem), death due to neglect alongside underlying disease, and diseases other than direct invasion. From the similarities between the two disasters, three main issues should be prioritised as initial emergency evacuation measures in a radiation disaster: emergency exposure medicine, the establishment of a medical system, and protection of death with dignity. The validity of these priority issues needs to be verified in future research.

Speciation analysis of Gadolinium-based contrast agents using aqueous eluent-hydrophilic interaction liquid chromatography hyphenated with inductively coupled plasma-mass spectrometry

Gadolinium chelates are widely used as contrast agents for magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). In recent decades, the amount of Gd in river water has been increasing owing to the input of Gd-based contrast agents. To identify and quantify the Gd-based contrast agents in river water, the novel technique of hydrophilic interaction liquid chromatography (HILIC) hyphenated with inductively coupled plasma-mass spectrometry (ICP-MS) was developed. To avoid deposition of carbon on the ICP-MS interface, a mobile phase consisting of an ammonium acetate buffer diluted with pure water was applied to separate Gd-based contrast agents. Despite the absence of an organic solvent in the mobile phase, six Gd-based contrast agents, Gd-DTPA, Gd-EOB-DTPA, Gd-DOTA, Gd-DTPA-BMA, Gd-BT-DO3A, and Gd-HP-DO3A, were successfully separated. This technique was applied for river water samples. As a result, Gd-DOTA, Gd-BT-DO3A, and Gd-HP-DO3A were observed from the sample near the outfall of a wastewater treatment plant (WWTP), indicating that at least some of the Gd-based contrast agents are passed through treatment in a WWTP. In addition to Gd-based contrast agents, unidentified Gd compounds were found to be present in river water. These results infer that transformation and/or dissociation of Gd chelates may be caused during the treatment procedure in a WWTP.

Evaluation of epithelial and mesenchymal cell markers in canine urinary bladder transitional cell carcinoma

Canine transitional cell carcinoma (cTCC) is the most common malignant tumour in the urinary bladder: it is highly invasive and exhibits metastatic characteristics. Inflammation is also strongly related to cTCC. Epithelial tumours often exhibit a mesenchymal cell phenotype during tumour invasion and metastasis owing to epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT), which is often induced in chronic inflammation. The aim of this retrospective study was to investigate the expression of epithelial and mesenchymal cell markers in tumour cells and to evaluate its relationship with prognosis of cTCC. In this study, 29 dogs with cTCC who underwent surgical treatment were enrolled. Clinical parameters were reviewed using medical records. Tissue expression of epithelial and mesenchymal markers was evaluated by immunohistochemical analysis. The association between the expression of mesenchymal cell markers and clinical parameters, including prognosis, was statistically examined. In five normal bladder tissues used as controls, no expression of mesenchymal markers was observed, except for one tissue that expressed fibronectin. Conversely, epithelial tumour cells expressed vimentin and fibronectin in 23/29 and 19/28 cTCC tissues, respectively. Regarding clinical parameters, vimentin score in Miniature Dachshunds was significantly higher than those in other dog breeds (P < 0.001). Multivariate survival analyses revealed that age>12 years was related to shorter progression-free survival (P = 0.02). Higher vimentin score, lower fibronectin score, and advanced clinical T stage were significantly correlated with shorter median survival time (P < 0.05). The results of this study indicate that vimentin expression was associated with cTCC progression. Further studies are needed to examine the incidence and relevance of EMT in cTCC.

Development of canine X-chromosome inactivation pattern analysis for the detection of cell clonality by incorporating the examination of the SLIT and NTRK-like family member 4 (SLITRK4) gene

X-chromosome inactivation pattern (XCIP) analysis can be used to assess the clonality of cell populations of various origin by distinguishing the methylated X chromosome from the unmethylated X chromosome. In this study, the utility of XCIP analysis was improved by incorporating the examination of AC dinucleotide repeats in SLIT and NTRK-like family member 4 (SLITRK4) gene into the previously reported CAG repeat examination of androgen receptor (AR) gene in dogs. The rate of heterozygosity when both genes were analysed (125/150, 83.3%) was higher than AR gene examination alone (86/150, 57.3%). Blood samples from heterozygous dogs in either AC-1 or AC-2 of SLITRK4 gene were examined for the corrected inactivation allele ratio (CIAR), resulting in the determination of a reference range of CIAR <3.8 in non-neoplastic cell/tissue samples. Using this analytical method, 49% (21/43) of neoplastic tissue samples from dogs showed a CIAR >3.8, indicating the presence of a clonal population. Through the present study, the availability of canine XCIP analysis was improved by incorporating the examination of the SLITRK4 gene, providing a highly useful laboratory examination system for the detection of the clonality of various cell/tissue samples in dogs.

Abstract P5-12-17: Prognostic and predictive value of serum level of vascular endothelial growth factor-A in metastatic breast cancer patients treated with bevacizumab plus paclitaxel

Background

Several studies showed that first-line bevacizumab plus chemotherapy for HER2-negative metastatic breast cancer improves progression-free survival and tumor response rate but not overall survival. MERiDiAN trial evaluated plasma vascular endothelial growth factor-A (VEGF-A) prospectively as a predictive biomarker for bevacizumab efficacy in metastatic breast cancer. However, results of this trial do not support using baseline plasma VEGF-A to identify patients benefitting most from bevacizumab. We measured baseline serum VEGF-A level from stored blood samples of metastatic breast cancer patient with treated bevacizumab plus paclitaxel as fist-line and later line therapy, and evaluated a correlation between serum VEGF-A level and efficacy of bevacizumab and prognosis of breast cancer patients tread with bevacizumab, retrospectively.

Patients and methods

We examined blood samples from 57 metastatic breast cancer patients treated with bevacizumab and paclitaxel, after obtaining written informed consent. And, we evaluated a correlation between baseline serum VEGF-A level and time to treatment failure (TTF) and overall survival (OS). We also compared the serum VEGF-A level of response group (CR and PR) and that of non-response group (SD and PD).

Results

Baseline serum level of VEGF-A ranged from 80 to 2079 pg/ml. Cases of treatment line were as follows: first-line, 22 cases (38.6%); second line, 11 cases (19.3%) and third-line and the later line, 24 cases (42.1%). The cutoff identified by ROC curve analysis that was able to differentiate response group and non-response group in first-line setting was 360pg/ml for serum VEGF-A. And, we separated high serum VGEF-A group and low serum VEGF-A group of patients treated with bevacizumab plus paclitaxel.

In patients treated as first line therapy, median TTF was 4.0 months with high serum VGEF-A group versus 5.0 months with low serum VEGF-A group, and median OS was 12 months with high serum VGEF-A group versus 11months with low serum VEGF-A group. There were no significant differences in both TTF and OS in first line setting. In patients treated as second line and later line therapy, median TTF was 2.8 months with high serum VGEF-A group versus 7.1 months with low serum VEGF-A group, and median OS was 6.4 months with high serum VGEF-A group versus 12.7 months with low serum VEGF-A group. The prognosis of high serum VEGF-A group was significantly worse than that of low serum group in both TTF and OS.

The serum VEGF-A level of response group was tend to be higher than that of non-response group in first line setting, and was lower in second and later line setting. However, there were no significant differences.

Conclusion

In this study, serum VEGF-A cannot be a predictor for efficacy of bevacizumab plus paclitaxel as first line therapy for metastatic breast cancer patients. On the other hand, there was a possibility that high serum level of VEGF-A can be a poor prognostic factor in late line therapy setting of bevacizumab.

Citation Format: Tozuka K, Nagai SE, Matsumoto H, Hayashi Y, Kubo K, Tsuboi M, Sato A, Takai K, Wang X, Yamada Y, Inoue K. Prognostic and predictive value of serum level of vascular endothelial growth factor-A in metastatic breast cancer patients treated with bevacizumab plus paclitaxel [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2018 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2018 Dec 4-8; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2019;79(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P5-12-17.

Factors predictive of long-term mortality in lupus nephritis: a multicenter retrospective study of a Japanese cohort

Background

Lupus nephritis (LN) is a major determinant of mortality in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). Here we evaluated the association between complete renal response (CR) and mortality in LN.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed the cases of 172 of 201 patients with LN for whom data on the therapeutic response at 6 and 12 months after induction therapy were available. The patients underwent a renal biopsy at Nagasaki University Hospital and community hospitals in Nagasaki between the years 1990 and 2016. We determined the CR rates at 6 and 12 months after induction therapy initiation and evaluated the predictive factors for CR and their relationship with mortality. We performed univariate and multivariable competing risks regression analyses to determine the factors predictive of CR. The patients' survival data were analyzed by the Kaplan–Meier method with a log-rank test.

Results

The median follow-up duration after renal biopsy was 120 months (interquartile range: 60.3–191.8 months). The 5-, 10-, 15- and 20-year survival rates of our cohort were 99.3, 94.6, 92.0 and 85.4%, respectively. During follow-up, nine patients (5.2%) died from cardiovascular events, infection, malignancy and other causes. The multivariate analysis revealed that the following factors were predictive of CR. At 6 months: male gender (odds ratio (OR) 0.23, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.08–0.65, p = 0.0028), proteinuria (g/gCr) (OR 0.83, 95% CI 0.71–0.97, p = 0.0098) and index of activity (0–24) (OR 0.84, 95% CI 0.71–0.99, p = 0.0382). At 12 months: male gender (OR 0.25, 95% CI 0.09–0.67, p = 0.0043) and index of activity (0–24) (OR 0.82, 95% CI 0.69–0.98, p = 0.0236). The Kaplan–Meier analysis showed that compared to not achieving CR at 12 months, achieving CR at 12 months was significantly correlated with the survival rate (OR 0.18, 95% CI 0.04–0.92, p = 0.0339).

Conclusions

Our results suggest that the survival rate of patients with LN is associated with the achievement of CR at 12 months after induction therapy, and that male gender and a higher index of activity (0–24) are the common predictive factors for failure to achieve CR at 6 and 12 months.

Effects of Nutrition Therapy in Older Stroke Patients Undergoing Rehabilitation: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

OBJECTIVE

To systematically review evidence on the effects of nutrition therapy in older stroke patients undergoing rehabilitation and identify its effectiveness using meta-analysis.

METHODS

PubMed (MEDLINE), EMBASE (via Dialog), Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trial, World Health Organization International Clinical Trials Registry Platform and Ichu-shi Web were searched for relevant articles. Randomized controlled trials investigating the effects of nutrition therapy compared to control interventions in older stroke patients undergoing rehabilitation were considered eligible. The primary outcome was activities of daily living (ADL), and secondary outcomes were all-cause mortality, infections, pneumonia incidence, disability level, walking ability, fall, stroke recurrence, and quality of life. The risk of bias of each trial was assessed using the Cochrane Collaboration Tool, and the quality of the body of evidence was assessed using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation approach.

RESULTS

Eight randomized controlled trials with a total of 5484 participants were included in the meta-analysis. The meta-analysis for ADL showed no significant effects (mean difference, 4.16; 95% confidence interval [CI], -0.88 to 9.20; I2=53%, low-quality evidence). The meta-analyses for secondary outcomes revealed a significant effect of reduced infections (risk ratio, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.51 to 0.84; I2=0%; low-quality evidence), with no significant effects on the other outcomes.

CONCLUSION

Nutrition therapy had no statistically significant effect on ADL. However, it reduced the incidence of infections. More high-quality trials are warranted to clarify the effects of nutrition therapy in older stroke patients undergoing rehabilitation.