Correlation of Country Characteristics and Government Response Measures With COVID-19 Mortality During the First Phase of the Global COVID-19 Pandemic: A Worldwide Ecological Study

Introduction

It is valuable to know if country demographic, educational, healthcare and other socioeconomic factors were correlated with the COVID-19 mortality rate during the initial phase of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) worldwide pandemic (January 1^st - August 31^st, 2020). Similarly, it is worthwhile understanding whether a country’s geographic location or the measures instituted by governments, such as lockdowns and mask-wearing, were associated with an increased or decreased mortality rate.

Materials and methods

To assess these correlations, we conducted an ecologic study of 178 countries using time-matched data from the Social Progress Index (www.socialprogress.org, produced by the Social Progress Imperative), population data from the World Bank (data.worldbank.org), government response indices from Our World In Data (ourworldindata.org/policy-responses-covid), and COVID-19 mortality data from the Johns Hopkins University CSSE COVID-19 Data repository (github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19), accessed on November 22^nd, 2020. Pearson correlation coefficients were derived between potential predictors and countries’ COVID-19 population-adjusted crude mortality rates. Select variables were entered in a multivariable regression model. Countries with no data in the social progress index database or those with no COVID-19 cases were excluded (20 in total). 

Results

The highest positive correlations were found between the proportion of the population older than 75 (Pearson correlation coefficient 0.321), country distance from the equator (0.267), gross domestic product per capita (0.218), health and wellness score (0.388), water and sanitation score (0.384), environmental quality (0.237), and the days between the first reported COVID-19 case and the initial government response (0.238). A previously unreported and unexpected negative correlation was found between gender parity in secondary education attainment and COVID-19 mortality (-0.290). Peak mask-wearing ranging from ‘recommended’ to ‘required outside the home at all times was extremely weakly correlated with lower COVID-19 mortality (-0.046).

Conclusions

Crude COVID-19 mortality rates during the first phase of the pandemic in 2020, during which no vaccine or specific treatment was available, were higher in wealthier countries that were further away from the equator and had a higher health and wellness score according to the Social Progress Imperative. They were also higher the longer governments delayed their initial response. Gender parity in secondary education and stringency of mask-wearing guidelines were correlated with lower mortality, though the latter correlation was extremely weak. Our findings are consistent with previously published correlations. The correlation between crude COVID-19 mortality rates and gender parity in secondary education has not been previously reported.

Near-Infrared Spectroscopy Monitoring in Pediatric Anesthesiology: A Pro-Con Discussion

Near-infrared spectroscopy (NIRS) has been increasingly used as a non-invasive measurement of cerebral tissue oxygen saturation. The aim of this short review is to discuss the benefits and drawbacks of its use in the pediatric anesthesia population. In the context of cardiac surgery, lower intraoperative NIRS values have shown a modest association with neurodevelopmental outcomes while lower neonatal intensive care unit NIRS values have been correlated with reduced neurodevelopment in children. However, it is still unclear if management aimed at increasing cerebral tissue oxygenation would have any benefit on these outcomes. Without prospective research looking into the effects of intervention given proper thresholds, the true benefit of NIRS use is still up for debate. Even with current research gaps, its use in the clinical setting continues.

The Effect of Convalescent Plasma Therapy on COVID-19 Patient Mortality: Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

To determine the effect of COVID-19 convalescent plasma on mortality, we aggregated patient outcome data from 10 randomized clinical trials (RCT), 20 matched-control studies, two dose-response studies, and 96 case-reports or case series. Studies published between January 1, 2020 to January 16, 2021 were identified through a systematic search of online PubMed and MEDLINE databases. Random effects analyses of RCT and matched-control data demonstrated that COVID-19 patients transfused with convalescent plasma exhibited a lower mortality rate compared to patients receiving standard treatments. Additional analyses showed that early transfusion (within 3 days of hospital admission) of higher titer plasma is associated with lower patient mortality. These data provide evidence favoring the efficacy of human convalescent plasma as a therapeutic agent in hospitalized COVID-19 patients.

Unilateral Dorsal Root Ganglion Stimulation Lead Placement With Resolution of Bilateral Lower Extremity Symptoms in Diabetic Peripheral Neuropathy

Dorsal root ganglion stimulation (DRG-S) is a form of neuromodulation that can target specific dermatomes to obtain better coverage of the distal extremity. Previously proposed mechanisms of action for DRG-S focused on the dorsal root ganglion (DRG) itself, without consideration of orthodromic effects in the dorsal horn and antidromic effects on the nerve root and sympathetic chain. Diabetic peripheral neuropathy (DPN) is an axonal neuropathy that affects around half of all patients with diabetes mellitus, causing severe pain and sensory impairment in the distal extremities. We present a case of a patient with DPN in both feet, in addition to low back pain, who underwent a DRG-S trial with right T12 and S1 leads. The trial was performed unilaterally for seven days, allowing the patient to compare the treated versus the untreated (left) side. Pain, disability, general health status, and quality of life measures improved significantly. In addition to the significant pain relief in the low back and feet, the patient had near resolution of other DPN-related symptoms, including numbness, bluish discoloration, and allodynia of both feet. He also demonstrated functional and psychological benefits with only a single-sided lead. Overall, the placement of unilateral T12 and S1 DRG-S leads resulted in symmetric improvement of DPN symptoms. A possible mechanism of action is antidromic propagation of action potential signaling into the sympathetic chain to a central ganglion and then to the contralateral sympathetic chain. Given the DRG's ability to directly affect afferent sympathetic fibers with low-frequency stimulation, DRG-S may be an effective neuromodulatory treatment for DPN.