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Buddenhagen CE, Xing Y, Andrade-Piedra JL, Forbes GA, Kromann P, Navarrete I, Thomas-Sharma S, Choudhury RA, Andersen Onofre KF, Schulte-Geldermann E, Etherton BA, Plex Sulá AI, Garrett KA. Where to Invest Project Efforts for Greater Benefit: A Framework for Management Performance Mapping with Examples for Potato Seed Health. Phytopathology 2022; 112:1431-1443. [PMID: 34384240 DOI: 10.1094/phyto-05-20-0202-r] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/13/2023]
Abstract
Policymakers and donors often need to identify the locations where technologies are most likely to have important effects, to increase the benefits from agricultural development or extension efforts. Higher-quality information may help to target the high-benefit locations, but often actions are needed with limited information. The value of information (VOI) in this context is formalized by evaluating the results of decision making guided by a set of specific information compared with the results of acting without considering that information. We present a framework for management performance mapping that includes evaluating the VOI for decision making about geographic priorities in regional intervention strategies, in case studies of Andean and Kenyan potato seed systems. We illustrate the use of recursive partitioning, XGBoost, and Bayesian network models to characterize the relationships among seed health and yield responses and environmental and management predictors used in studies of seed degeneration. These analyses address the expected performance of an intervention based on geographic predictor variables. In the Andean example, positive selection of seed from asymptomatic plants was more effective at high altitudes in Ecuador. In the Kenyan example, there was the potential to target locations with higher technology adoption rates and with higher potato cropland connectivity, i.e., a likely more important role in regional epidemics. Targeting training to high management performance areas would often provide more benefits than would random selection of target areas. We illustrate how assessing the VOI can contribute to targeted development programs and support a culture of continuous improvement for interventions.[Formula: see text] Copyright © 2022 The Author(s). This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY 4.0 International license.
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Affiliation(s)
- C E Buddenhagen
- Plant Pathology Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, U.S.A
- Food Systems Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, U.S.A
- Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, U.S.A
- AgResearch, Ltd., Ruakura, Hamilton, New Zealand
| | - Y Xing
- Plant Pathology Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, U.S.A
- Food Systems Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, U.S.A
- Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, U.S.A
| | | | | | - P Kromann
- International Potato Center, Lima, Peru
- Field Crops, Wageningen University and Research, Lelystad, The Netherlands
| | - I Navarrete
- International Potato Center, Lima, Peru
- Centre for Crop Systems Analysis, Wageningen University and Research, Wageningen, The Netherlands
- Knowledge, Technology and Innovation, Wageningen University and Research, Wageningen, The Netherlands
| | - S Thomas-Sharma
- Department of Plant Pathology and Crop Physiology, Louisiana State University Agricultural Center, Baton Rouge, U.S.A
| | - R A Choudhury
- Plant Pathology Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, U.S.A
- Food Systems Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, U.S.A
- Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, U.S.A
- School of Earth, Environment, Marine Science, University of Texas, Rio Grande Valley, U.S.A
| | - K F Andersen Onofre
- Plant Pathology Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, U.S.A
- Food Systems Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, U.S.A
- Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, U.S.A
- Department of Plant Pathology, Kansas State University, Manhattan, U.S.A
| | - E Schulte-Geldermann
- International Potato Center, Nairobi, Kenya
- Department of Agriculture, University of Applied Sciences Bingen, Bingen, Germany
| | - B A Etherton
- Plant Pathology Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, U.S.A
- Food Systems Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, U.S.A
- Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, U.S.A
| | - A I Plex Sulá
- Plant Pathology Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, U.S.A
- Food Systems Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, U.S.A
- Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, U.S.A
| | - K A Garrett
- Plant Pathology Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, U.S.A
- Food Systems Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, U.S.A
- Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, U.S.A
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Garrett KA, Alcalá-Briseño RI, Andersen KF, Brawner J, Choudhury RA, Delaquis E, Fayette J, Poudel R, Purves D, Rothschild J, Small IM, Thomas-Sharma S, Xing Y. Effective Altruism as an Ethical Lens on Research Priorities. Phytopathology 2020; 110:708-722. [PMID: 31821114 DOI: 10.1094/phyto-05-19-0168-rvw] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/10/2023]
Abstract
Effective altruism is an ethical framework for identifying the greatest potential benefits from investments. Here, we apply effective altruism concepts to maximize research benefits through identification of priority stakeholders, pathosystems, and research questions and technologies. Priority stakeholders for research benefits may include smallholder farmers who have not yet attained the minimal standards set out by the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals; these farmers would often have the most to gain from better crop disease management, if their management problems are tractable. In wildlands, prioritization has been based on the risk of extirpating keystone species, protecting ecosystem services, and preserving wild resources of importance to vulnerable people. Pathosystems may be prioritized based on yield and quality loss, and also factors such as whether other researchers would be unlikely to replace the research efforts if efforts were withdrawn, such as in the case of orphan crops and orphan pathosystems. Research products that help build sustainable and resilient systems can be particularly beneficial. The "value of information" from research can be evaluated in epidemic networks and landscapes, to identify priority locations for both benefits to individuals and to constrain regional epidemics. As decision-making becomes more consolidated and more networked in digital agricultural systems, the range of ethical considerations expands. Low-likelihood but high-damage scenarios such as generalist doomsday pathogens may be research priorities because of the extreme potential cost. Regional microbiomes constitute a commons, and avoiding the "tragedy of the microbiome commons" may depend on shifting research products from "common pool goods" to "public goods" or other categories. We provide suggestions for how individual researchers and funders may make altruism-driven research more effective.[Formula: see text] Copyright © 2020 The Author(s). This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY 4.0 International license.
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Affiliation(s)
- K A Garrett
- Plant Pathology Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, U.S.A
- Institute for Sustainable Food Systems, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, U.S.A
- Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, U.S.A
| | - R I Alcalá-Briseño
- Plant Pathology Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, U.S.A
- Institute for Sustainable Food Systems, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, U.S.A
- Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, U.S.A
| | - K F Andersen
- Plant Pathology Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, U.S.A
- Institute for Sustainable Food Systems, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, U.S.A
- Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, U.S.A
| | - J Brawner
- Plant Pathology Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, U.S.A
| | - R A Choudhury
- Plant Pathology Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, U.S.A
- Institute for Sustainable Food Systems, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, U.S.A
- Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, U.S.A
| | - E Delaquis
- International Center for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT), Vientiane, Lao People's Democratic Republic
| | - J Fayette
- Plant Pathology Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, U.S.A
- Institute for Sustainable Food Systems, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, U.S.A
- Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, U.S.A
| | - R Poudel
- Genomics and Bioinformatics Research Unit, United States Department of Agriculture-Agricultural Research Service, Gainesville, FL, U.S.A
| | - D Purves
- Philosophy Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, U.S.A
| | - J Rothschild
- Philosophy Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, U.S.A
| | - I M Small
- Plant Pathology Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, U.S.A
- North Florida Research & Education Center, University of Florida, Quincy, FL, U.S.A
| | - S Thomas-Sharma
- Department of Plant Pathology and Crop Physiology, Louisiana State University Agricultural Center, Baton Rouge, LA, U.S.A
| | - Y Xing
- Plant Pathology Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, U.S.A
- Institute for Sustainable Food Systems, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, U.S.A
- Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, U.S.A
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Ogero KO, Kreuze JF, McEwan MA, Luambano ND, Bachwenkizi H, Garrett KA, Andersen KF, Thomas-Sharma S, van der Vlugt RAA. Efficiency of insect-proof net tunnels in reducing virus-related seed degeneration in sweet potato. Plant Pathol 2019; 68:1472-1480. [PMID: 32406415 PMCID: PMC7198129 DOI: 10.1111/ppa.13069] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/01/2023]
Abstract
Virus-related degeneration constrains production of quality sweet potato seed, especially under open field conditions. Once in the open, virus-indexed seed is prone to virus infection leading to decline in performance. Insect-proof net tunnels have been proven to reduce virus infection under researcher management. However, their effectiveness under farmer-multiplier management is not known. This study investigated the ability of net tunnels to reduce degeneration in sweet potato under farmer-multiplier management. Infection and degeneration were assessed for two cultivars, Kabode and Polista, grown in net tunnels and open fields at two sites with varying virus pressures. There was zero virus incidence at both sites during the first five generations. Sweet potato feathery mottle virus and sweet potato chlorotic stunt virus were present in the last three generations, occurring singly or in combination to form sweet potato virus disease. Virus infection increased successively, with higher incidences recorded at the high virus pressure site. Seed degeneration modelling illustrated that for both varieties, degeneration was reduced by the maintenance of vines under net tunnel conditions. The time series of likely degeneration based on a generic model of yield loss suggested that, under the conditions experienced during the experimental period, infection and losses within the net tunnels would be limited. By comparison, in the open field most of the yield could be lost after a small number of generations without the input of seed with lower disease incidence. Adopting the technology at the farmer-multiplier level can increase availability of clean seed, particularly in high virus pressure areas.
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Affiliation(s)
- K O Ogero
- International Potato Center (CIP), c/o Tanzania Agricultural Research Institute (TARI) -Ukiriguru, PO Box 1433, Mwanza, Tanzania
- Plant Research International, Wageningen University and Research (WUR), PO Box 16,6700 AAWageningen, Netherlands
| | - J F Kreuze
- International Potato Center (CIP), Avenida La Molina 1895, Apartado 1558, Lima, Peru
| | - M A McEwan
- International Potato Center, Regional Office for Sub-Saharan Africa (CIP - SSA), ILRI Campus, Old Naivasha Road, PO Box 25171-00603, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - N D Luambano
- TARI - Mikocheni, PO Box 6226, Dar Es Salaam, Tanzania
| | - H Bachwenkizi
- TARI - Mikocheni, PO Box 6226, Dar Es Salaam, Tanzania
| | - K A Garrett
- Plant Pathology Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611-0680
- Institute for Sustainable Food Systems, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611-0680
- Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611-0680
| | - K F Andersen
- Plant Pathology Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611-0680
- Institute for Sustainable Food Systems, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611-0680
- Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611-0680
| | - S Thomas-Sharma
- Department of Plant Pathology and Crop Physiology, Louisiana State University Agricultural Center, Baton Rouge, LA 70803-1720, USA
| | - R A A van der Vlugt
- Plant Research International, Wageningen University and Research (WUR), PO Box 16,6700 AAWageningen, Netherlands
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Thomas-Sharma S, Andrade-Piedra J, Carvajal Yepes M, Hernandez Nopsa JF, Jeger MJ, Jones RAC, Kromann P, Legg JP, Yuen J, Forbes GA, Garrett KA. A Risk Assessment Framework for Seed Degeneration: Informing an Integrated Seed Health Strategy for Vegetatively Propagated Crops. Phytopathology 2017; 107:1123-1135. [PMID: 28545348 DOI: 10.1094/phyto-09-16-0340-r] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/07/2023]
Abstract
Pathogen buildup in vegetative planting material, termed seed degeneration, is a major problem in many low-income countries. When smallholder farmers use seed produced on-farm or acquired outside certified programs, it is often infected. We introduce a risk assessment framework for seed degeneration, evaluating the relative performance of individual and combined components of an integrated seed health strategy. The frequency distribution of management performance outcomes was evaluated for models incorporating biological and environmental heterogeneity, with the following results. (1) On-farm seed selection can perform as well as certified seed, if the rate of success in selecting healthy plants for seed production is high; (2) when choosing among within-season management strategies, external inoculum can determine the relative usefulness of 'incidence-altering management' (affecting the proportion of diseased plants/seeds) and 'rate-altering management' (affecting the rate of disease transmission in the field); (3) under severe disease scenarios, where it is difficult to implement management components at high levels of effectiveness, combining management components can be synergistic and keep seed degeneration below a threshold; (4) combining management components can also close the yield gap between average and worst-case scenarios. We also illustrate the potential for expert elicitation to provide parameter estimates when empirical data are unavailable. [Formula: see text] Copyright © 2017 The Author(s). This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license .
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Affiliation(s)
- S Thomas-Sharma
- First, fourth, and eleventh authors: Department of Plant Pathology, Kansas State University, Manhattan; first author: Department of Plant Pathology, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison; second author: International Potato Center, Lima, Peru; third author: International Center for Tropical Agriculture, Cali, Colombia; fourth and eleventh authors: Plant Pathology Department, Institute for Sustainable Food Systems, and Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville; fifth author: Centre for Environmental Policy, Imperial College London; sixth author: Institute of Agriculture, University of Western Australia, Crawley, Australia; seventh author: International Potato Center, Quito, Ecuador; eighth author: International Institute of Tropical Agriculture, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania; ninth author: Department of Forest Mycology and Plant Pathology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala, Sweden; and tenth author: International Potato Center, Kunming, China
| | - J Andrade-Piedra
- First, fourth, and eleventh authors: Department of Plant Pathology, Kansas State University, Manhattan; first author: Department of Plant Pathology, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison; second author: International Potato Center, Lima, Peru; third author: International Center for Tropical Agriculture, Cali, Colombia; fourth and eleventh authors: Plant Pathology Department, Institute for Sustainable Food Systems, and Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville; fifth author: Centre for Environmental Policy, Imperial College London; sixth author: Institute of Agriculture, University of Western Australia, Crawley, Australia; seventh author: International Potato Center, Quito, Ecuador; eighth author: International Institute of Tropical Agriculture, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania; ninth author: Department of Forest Mycology and Plant Pathology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala, Sweden; and tenth author: International Potato Center, Kunming, China
| | - M Carvajal Yepes
- First, fourth, and eleventh authors: Department of Plant Pathology, Kansas State University, Manhattan; first author: Department of Plant Pathology, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison; second author: International Potato Center, Lima, Peru; third author: International Center for Tropical Agriculture, Cali, Colombia; fourth and eleventh authors: Plant Pathology Department, Institute for Sustainable Food Systems, and Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville; fifth author: Centre for Environmental Policy, Imperial College London; sixth author: Institute of Agriculture, University of Western Australia, Crawley, Australia; seventh author: International Potato Center, Quito, Ecuador; eighth author: International Institute of Tropical Agriculture, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania; ninth author: Department of Forest Mycology and Plant Pathology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala, Sweden; and tenth author: International Potato Center, Kunming, China
| | - J F Hernandez Nopsa
- First, fourth, and eleventh authors: Department of Plant Pathology, Kansas State University, Manhattan; first author: Department of Plant Pathology, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison; second author: International Potato Center, Lima, Peru; third author: International Center for Tropical Agriculture, Cali, Colombia; fourth and eleventh authors: Plant Pathology Department, Institute for Sustainable Food Systems, and Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville; fifth author: Centre for Environmental Policy, Imperial College London; sixth author: Institute of Agriculture, University of Western Australia, Crawley, Australia; seventh author: International Potato Center, Quito, Ecuador; eighth author: International Institute of Tropical Agriculture, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania; ninth author: Department of Forest Mycology and Plant Pathology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala, Sweden; and tenth author: International Potato Center, Kunming, China
| | - M J Jeger
- First, fourth, and eleventh authors: Department of Plant Pathology, Kansas State University, Manhattan; first author: Department of Plant Pathology, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison; second author: International Potato Center, Lima, Peru; third author: International Center for Tropical Agriculture, Cali, Colombia; fourth and eleventh authors: Plant Pathology Department, Institute for Sustainable Food Systems, and Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville; fifth author: Centre for Environmental Policy, Imperial College London; sixth author: Institute of Agriculture, University of Western Australia, Crawley, Australia; seventh author: International Potato Center, Quito, Ecuador; eighth author: International Institute of Tropical Agriculture, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania; ninth author: Department of Forest Mycology and Plant Pathology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala, Sweden; and tenth author: International Potato Center, Kunming, China
| | - R A C Jones
- First, fourth, and eleventh authors: Department of Plant Pathology, Kansas State University, Manhattan; first author: Department of Plant Pathology, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison; second author: International Potato Center, Lima, Peru; third author: International Center for Tropical Agriculture, Cali, Colombia; fourth and eleventh authors: Plant Pathology Department, Institute for Sustainable Food Systems, and Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville; fifth author: Centre for Environmental Policy, Imperial College London; sixth author: Institute of Agriculture, University of Western Australia, Crawley, Australia; seventh author: International Potato Center, Quito, Ecuador; eighth author: International Institute of Tropical Agriculture, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania; ninth author: Department of Forest Mycology and Plant Pathology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala, Sweden; and tenth author: International Potato Center, Kunming, China
| | - P Kromann
- First, fourth, and eleventh authors: Department of Plant Pathology, Kansas State University, Manhattan; first author: Department of Plant Pathology, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison; second author: International Potato Center, Lima, Peru; third author: International Center for Tropical Agriculture, Cali, Colombia; fourth and eleventh authors: Plant Pathology Department, Institute for Sustainable Food Systems, and Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville; fifth author: Centre for Environmental Policy, Imperial College London; sixth author: Institute of Agriculture, University of Western Australia, Crawley, Australia; seventh author: International Potato Center, Quito, Ecuador; eighth author: International Institute of Tropical Agriculture, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania; ninth author: Department of Forest Mycology and Plant Pathology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala, Sweden; and tenth author: International Potato Center, Kunming, China
| | - J P Legg
- First, fourth, and eleventh authors: Department of Plant Pathology, Kansas State University, Manhattan; first author: Department of Plant Pathology, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison; second author: International Potato Center, Lima, Peru; third author: International Center for Tropical Agriculture, Cali, Colombia; fourth and eleventh authors: Plant Pathology Department, Institute for Sustainable Food Systems, and Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville; fifth author: Centre for Environmental Policy, Imperial College London; sixth author: Institute of Agriculture, University of Western Australia, Crawley, Australia; seventh author: International Potato Center, Quito, Ecuador; eighth author: International Institute of Tropical Agriculture, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania; ninth author: Department of Forest Mycology and Plant Pathology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala, Sweden; and tenth author: International Potato Center, Kunming, China
| | - J Yuen
- First, fourth, and eleventh authors: Department of Plant Pathology, Kansas State University, Manhattan; first author: Department of Plant Pathology, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison; second author: International Potato Center, Lima, Peru; third author: International Center for Tropical Agriculture, Cali, Colombia; fourth and eleventh authors: Plant Pathology Department, Institute for Sustainable Food Systems, and Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville; fifth author: Centre for Environmental Policy, Imperial College London; sixth author: Institute of Agriculture, University of Western Australia, Crawley, Australia; seventh author: International Potato Center, Quito, Ecuador; eighth author: International Institute of Tropical Agriculture, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania; ninth author: Department of Forest Mycology and Plant Pathology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala, Sweden; and tenth author: International Potato Center, Kunming, China
| | - G A Forbes
- First, fourth, and eleventh authors: Department of Plant Pathology, Kansas State University, Manhattan; first author: Department of Plant Pathology, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison; second author: International Potato Center, Lima, Peru; third author: International Center for Tropical Agriculture, Cali, Colombia; fourth and eleventh authors: Plant Pathology Department, Institute for Sustainable Food Systems, and Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville; fifth author: Centre for Environmental Policy, Imperial College London; sixth author: Institute of Agriculture, University of Western Australia, Crawley, Australia; seventh author: International Potato Center, Quito, Ecuador; eighth author: International Institute of Tropical Agriculture, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania; ninth author: Department of Forest Mycology and Plant Pathology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala, Sweden; and tenth author: International Potato Center, Kunming, China
| | - K A Garrett
- First, fourth, and eleventh authors: Department of Plant Pathology, Kansas State University, Manhattan; first author: Department of Plant Pathology, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison; second author: International Potato Center, Lima, Peru; third author: International Center for Tropical Agriculture, Cali, Colombia; fourth and eleventh authors: Plant Pathology Department, Institute for Sustainable Food Systems, and Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville; fifth author: Centre for Environmental Policy, Imperial College London; sixth author: Institute of Agriculture, University of Western Australia, Crawley, Australia; seventh author: International Potato Center, Quito, Ecuador; eighth author: International Institute of Tropical Agriculture, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania; ninth author: Department of Forest Mycology and Plant Pathology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala, Sweden; and tenth author: International Potato Center, Kunming, China
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Buddenhagen CE, Hernandez Nopsa JF, Andersen KF, Andrade-Piedra J, Forbes GA, Kromann P, Thomas-Sharma S, Useche P, Garrett KA. Epidemic Network Analysis for Mitigation of Invasive Pathogens in Seed Systems: Potato in Ecuador. Phytopathology 2017; 107:1209-1218. [PMID: 28742457 DOI: 10.1094/phyto-03-17-0108-fi] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/07/2023]
Abstract
Seed systems have an important role in the distribution of high-quality seed and improved varieties. The structure of seed networks also helps to determine the epidemiological risk for seedborne disease. We present a new approach for evaluating the epidemiological role of nodes in seed networks, and apply it to a regional potato farmer consortium (Consorcio de Productores de Papa [CONPAPA]) in Ecuador. We surveyed farmers to estimate the structure of networks of farmer seed tuber and ware potato transactions, and farmer information sources about pest and disease management. Then, we simulated pathogen spread through seed transaction networks to identify priority nodes for disease detection. The likelihood of pathogen establishment was weighted based on the quality or quantity of information sources about disease management. CONPAPA staff and facilities, a market, and certain farms are priorities for disease management interventions such as training, monitoring, and variety dissemination. Advice from agrochemical store staff was common but assessed as significantly less reliable. Farmer access to information (reported number and quality of sources) was similar for both genders. However, women had a smaller amount of the market share for seed tubers and ware potato. Understanding seed system networks provides input for scenario analyses to evaluate potential system improvements. [Formula: see text] Copyright © 2017 The Author(s). This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY 4.0 International license .
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Affiliation(s)
- C E Buddenhagen
- First, second, third, and ninth authors: Plant Pathology Department, Institute for Sustainable Food Systems, and Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville 32611; fourth and fifth authors: International Potato Center, Lima, Peru; sixth author: International Potato Center, Quito, Ecuador; seventh author: Plant Pathology Department, Kansas State University, Manhattan 66506; and eighth author: Food and Resource Economics Department, University of Florida
| | - J F Hernandez Nopsa
- First, second, third, and ninth authors: Plant Pathology Department, Institute for Sustainable Food Systems, and Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville 32611; fourth and fifth authors: International Potato Center, Lima, Peru; sixth author: International Potato Center, Quito, Ecuador; seventh author: Plant Pathology Department, Kansas State University, Manhattan 66506; and eighth author: Food and Resource Economics Department, University of Florida
| | - K F Andersen
- First, second, third, and ninth authors: Plant Pathology Department, Institute for Sustainable Food Systems, and Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville 32611; fourth and fifth authors: International Potato Center, Lima, Peru; sixth author: International Potato Center, Quito, Ecuador; seventh author: Plant Pathology Department, Kansas State University, Manhattan 66506; and eighth author: Food and Resource Economics Department, University of Florida
| | - J Andrade-Piedra
- First, second, third, and ninth authors: Plant Pathology Department, Institute for Sustainable Food Systems, and Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville 32611; fourth and fifth authors: International Potato Center, Lima, Peru; sixth author: International Potato Center, Quito, Ecuador; seventh author: Plant Pathology Department, Kansas State University, Manhattan 66506; and eighth author: Food and Resource Economics Department, University of Florida
| | - G A Forbes
- First, second, third, and ninth authors: Plant Pathology Department, Institute for Sustainable Food Systems, and Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville 32611; fourth and fifth authors: International Potato Center, Lima, Peru; sixth author: International Potato Center, Quito, Ecuador; seventh author: Plant Pathology Department, Kansas State University, Manhattan 66506; and eighth author: Food and Resource Economics Department, University of Florida
| | - P Kromann
- First, second, third, and ninth authors: Plant Pathology Department, Institute for Sustainable Food Systems, and Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville 32611; fourth and fifth authors: International Potato Center, Lima, Peru; sixth author: International Potato Center, Quito, Ecuador; seventh author: Plant Pathology Department, Kansas State University, Manhattan 66506; and eighth author: Food and Resource Economics Department, University of Florida
| | - S Thomas-Sharma
- First, second, third, and ninth authors: Plant Pathology Department, Institute for Sustainable Food Systems, and Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville 32611; fourth and fifth authors: International Potato Center, Lima, Peru; sixth author: International Potato Center, Quito, Ecuador; seventh author: Plant Pathology Department, Kansas State University, Manhattan 66506; and eighth author: Food and Resource Economics Department, University of Florida
| | - P Useche
- First, second, third, and ninth authors: Plant Pathology Department, Institute for Sustainable Food Systems, and Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville 32611; fourth and fifth authors: International Potato Center, Lima, Peru; sixth author: International Potato Center, Quito, Ecuador; seventh author: Plant Pathology Department, Kansas State University, Manhattan 66506; and eighth author: Food and Resource Economics Department, University of Florida
| | - K A Garrett
- First, second, third, and ninth authors: Plant Pathology Department, Institute for Sustainable Food Systems, and Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville 32611; fourth and fifth authors: International Potato Center, Lima, Peru; sixth author: International Potato Center, Quito, Ecuador; seventh author: Plant Pathology Department, Kansas State University, Manhattan 66506; and eighth author: Food and Resource Economics Department, University of Florida
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