Sex-specific associations between serum uric acid levels and risk of hypertension for different diagnostic reference values of high blood pressure

The association between uric acid (UA) and hyperuricemia with 5-year hypertension incidence using different blood pressure (BP) diagnostic references in men and women without cardiometabolic diseases is unknown. We used the checkup data from Kagoshima Kouseiren Hospital. All participants with hypertension or on BP medication, diabetes, dyslipidemia, obesity, estimated glomerular filtration rate<60 ml/min/1.73m2, metabolic syndrome, history of gout, and UA-lowering medication were excluded. UA was categorized into sex-specific quartiles and hyperuricemia was defined as UA > 7 mg/dl in men and UA > 6 mg/dl in women. We performed multivariate logistic regression to assess the effects of UA on hypertension development. The 5-year hypertension incidence was defined as subsets of BP ≥ 140/90 mmHg in cohort 1 and BP ≥ 130/80 mmHg in cohort 2. The study enrolled 21,443 participants (39.8%, men) in cohort 1 and 15,245 participants (36.5%, men) in cohort 2. The incidence of hypertension in cohorts 1 and 2 over 5 years was 16.3% and 29.7% in men and 10.9% and 21.4% in women, respectively. When comparing the fourth to the first UA quartile, there was an association with hypertension in men in cohort 1, with odds ratio (OR): 1.36 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.13-1.63, p < 0.01) and cohort 2, OR: 1.31 (95%CI, 1.09-1.57, p < 0.01), respectively, but not in women. Additionally, an association between hyperuricemia and hypertension was observed in men only in cohort 1, with OR: 1.23 (95%CI, 1.07-1.42, p = 0.02), and in women in cohort 2, OR: 1.57 (95%CI, 1.14-2.16, p < 0.01). The effect of UA on the development of hypertension is influenced by sex and incidence differs with the BP reference used. Uric acid effect on the development of hypertension is affected by sex and incidence differs with the BP reference used.

Association between anthropometric indices and 5-year hypertension incidence in the general Japanese population

No existing reports demonstrate the association between anthropometric indices (body mass index, waist circumference, body roundness index, a body shape index) and hypertension according to sex and age in the general Japanese population. This retrospective analysis involved individuals aged 30-69 years who underwent annual medical checkups at Kagoshima Koseiren Hospital in 2005-2019, and who did not meet hypertension criteria at baseline. The outcome was hypertension incidence after 5 years, and its association with baseline anthropometric indices was evaluated using multivariable logistic regression analysis by sex and age. In 41,902 participants (age 52.3 ± 10.2 years, 47.7% men), 7622 individuals (18.2%) developed hypertension after 5 years. Body mass index, waist circumference, and body roundness index were significantly associated with the development of hypertension in both men and women across all age categories from 30 s to 60 s. In the population with a body mass index <25 kg/m2, waist circumference and body roundness index were significantly associated with hypertension after 5 years. A body shape index was significantly associated with the development of hypertension in men in their 40 s and 50 s but not in women of any age group. The area under the curve values were lower for a body shape index than for body mass index, waist circumference, and body roundness index in both men and women of all age groups. A body shape index was not a stronger indicator for 5-year hypertension incidence than body mass index, waist circumference, or body roundness index in both men and women across age groups from their 30s-60 s. The results of this study will help to more efficiently identify populations at high risk of developing hypertension and provide preventive interventions. A total of 41,902 participants from health checkup programs were stratified by gender and age to investigate the association between baseline anthropometric indices and hypertension incidence over a 5-year period. BMI, WC, and BRI were almost equally effective and showed a better association with risk of developing hypertension in women and young adults compared to men and old adults. Conversely, ABSI showed no greater association than BMI or WC in any age group in both men and women. ABSI, a body shape index; AUC, area under the curve from receiver operating characteristic curve analysis; BMI, body mass index; BRI, body roundness index; WC, waist circumference.

Machine learning approach using 18F-FDG-PET-radiomic features and the visibility of right ventricle 18F-FDG uptake for predicting clinical events in patients with cardiac sarcoidosis

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the usefulness of machine learning (ML) models using pretreatment 18F-FDG-PET-based radiomic features for predicting adverse clinical events (ACEs) in patients with cardiac sarcoidosis (CS).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective study included 47 patients with CS who underwent 18F-FDG-PET/CT scan before treatment. The lesions were assigned to the training (n = 38) and testing (n = 9) cohorts. In total, 49 18F-FDG-PET-based radiomic features and the visibility of right ventricle 18F-FDG uptake were used to predict ACEs using seven different ML algorithms (namely, decision tree, random forest [RF], neural network, k-nearest neighbors, Naïve Bayes, logistic regression, and support vector machine [SVM]) with tenfold cross-validation and the synthetic minority over-sampling technique. The ML models were constructed using the top four features ranked by the decrease in Gini impurity. The AUCs and accuracies were used to compare predictive performances.

RESULTS

Patients who developed ACEs presented with a significantly higher surface area and gray level run length matrix run length non-uniformity (GLRLM_RLNU), and lower neighborhood gray-tone difference matrix_coarseness and sphericity than those without ACEs (each, p < 0.05). In the training cohort, all seven ML algorithms had a good classification performance with AUC values of > 0.80 (range: 0.841-0.944). In the testing cohort, the RF algorithm had the highest AUC and accuracy (88.9% [8/9]) with a similar classification performance between training and testing cohorts (AUC: 0.945 vs 0.889). GLRLM_RLNU was the most important feature of the modeling process of this RF algorithm.

CONCLUSION

ML analyses using 18F-FDG-PET-based radiomic features may be useful for predicting ACEs in patients with CS.

Relationship between defecation status and blood pressure level or blood pressure variability

Blood pressure variability is an independent predictor of cardiovascular disease. Defecation status has also been associated with the risk of developing cardiovascular disease. This study aimed to investigate the association between blood pressure variability and defecation status. A total of 184 participants who could measure their home blood pressure for at least 8 days monthly, both at baseline and 1 year later, were included in this study. All participants had their home blood pressure measured using HEM-9700T (OMRON Healthcare). Day-to-day variability of systolic blood pressure was assessed using the coefficient of variation of home systolic blood pressure during 1 month. Data on defecation status was obtained using a questionnaire survey. Eighty-nine patients had an elevated coefficient of variation at 1 year. The proportion of participants with elevated coefficient of variation at 1 year was significantly higher in the no daily bowel movement group than in the daily bowel movement group (72% vs. 42%, P = 0.001). In multivariable logistic regression analysis with the elevated coefficient of variation at 1 year as the objective variable and age, sex, no daily bowel movement, taking medications, including antihypertensive drugs, laxatives, and intestinal preparations, and coefficient of variation at baseline as independent variables, no daily bowel movement was independently associated with the elevated coefficient of variation at 1 year (odds ratio: 3.81, 95% confidence interval: 1.64-8.87, P = 0.0019). In conclusion, no daily bowel movement was independently associated with elevated day-to-day blood pressure variability at 1 year. Relationship between defecation status and blood pressure level or blood pressure variability.

J-shaped Association between Serum Uric Acid Levels and the Prevalence of a Reduced Kidney Function: A Cross-Sectional Study Using Japanese Health Examination Data

Objective While an association between a reduced kidney function and hyperuricemia has been reported, its association with hypouricemia is not well understood. The present study therefore investigated this association. Methods Using a large Japanese health examination dataset, we performed a multivariable logistic regression analysis to assess the association between serum uric acid (SUA) levels and a reduced kidney function. The covariates included the age, body mass index, alcohol intake, and the presence of hypertension, dyslipidemia, or diabetes. Patients This study included 227,672 patients (104,854 men; 46.1%), and the analyses were performed separately for men and women. The patients were classified into 5 groups: hypouricemia (SUA ≤2.0 mg/dL) (1st) and four other (2nd-5th) groups with SUA levels of ≤2.0, 2.1-5.1, 5.2-5.9, 6.0-6.8, ≥6.9 mg/dL in men and ≤2.0, 2.1-3.7, 3.8-4.4, 4.5-5.1, ≥5.2 mg/dL in women, respectively. Results The characteristics of the study population were as follows: men, age 55.9±14.9 years old, SUA 5.9±1.3 mg/dL, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) 80.0±17.2 mL/min/1.73 m2, and a reduced kidney function (eGFR<60.0 mL/min/1.73 m2) 9.4%; women, age 57.3±15.0 years old, SUA 4.5±1.1 mg/dL, eGFR 81.2±18.0 mL/min/1.73 m2, and a reduced kidney function 9.4%. Compared with the 2nd group, the other 4 groups groups had a significantly higher prevalence of a reduced kidney function [odds ratio (OR), 2.58; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.64-4.06 in men; OR, 1.66; 95% CI, 1.16-2.39 in women]. Conclusion The prevalence of a reduced kidney function was high in both men and women in the hypouricemia and high-SUA groups. SUA levels and the prevalence of a reduced kidney function showed a J-shaped association.

Development of a risk prediction score and equation for chronic kidney disease: a retrospective cohort study

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a risk factor for end-stage renal disease and contributes to increased risk of cardiovascular disease morbidity and mortality. We aimed to develop a risk prediction score and equation for future CKD using health checkup data. This study included 58,423 Japanese participants aged 30-69 years, who were randomly assigned to derivation and validation cohorts at a ratio of 2:1. The predictors were anthropometric indices, life style, and blood sampling data. In derivation cohort, we performed multivariable logistic regression analysis and obtained the standardized beta coefficient of each factor that was significantly associated with new-onset CKD and assigned scores to each factor. We created a score and an equation to predict CKD after 5 years and applied them to validation cohort to assess their reproducibility. The risk score ranged 0-16, consisting of age, sex, hypertension, dyslipidemia, diabetes, hyperuricemia, and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), with area under the curve (AUC) of 0.78 for the derivation cohort and 0.79 for the validation cohort. The CKD incidence gradually and constantly increased as the score increased from ≤ 6 to ≥ 14. The equation consisted of the seven indices described above, with AUC of 0.88 for the derivation cohort and 0.89 for the validation cohort. We developed a risk score and equation to predict CKD incidence after 5 years in Japanese population under 70 years of age. These models had reasonably high predictivity, and their reproducibility was confirmed through internal validation.

Clinical significance of atherosclerotic risk factors differs in early and advanced stages of plaque formation: A longitudinal study in the general population

BACKGROUND

Carotid plaque is a well-known prognostic factor for cardiovascular diseases. It is unclear which risk factors are associated with the transformation of carotid plaque over time. In this longitudinal study, we examined the risk factors related to carotid plaque progression.

METHODS

We enrolled 738 men without medication (mean age: 55 ± 10 years) who underwent the first and second health examinations. We measured carotid plaque thickness (PT) at three points of the right and left carotid artery. Plaque score (PS) was calculated by summing all the PTs. We divided the PS into three groups: None-group (PS <1.1), Early-group (1.1 ≤ PS <5.1), and Advanced-group (PS ≥5.1). We analyzed the relationship between PS progression and parameters such as age, body mass index, systolic blood pressure (SBP), fasting blood sugar, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), and smoking and exercise habits.

RESULTS

In multivariable logistic regression analysis, age and SBP were independent factors for PS progression from none to early stages (age, OR 1.07, p = 0.002; SBP, 10 mmHg, OR 1.27, p = 0.041). Age, follow-up period and LDL-C were independently associated factors for PS progression from early to advanced stages (age, OR 1.08,p < 0.001; follow-up period OR1.19, p = 0.041; LDL-C, 10 mg/dL, OR 1.10, p = 0.049).

CONCLUSIONS

SBP was independently associated with the progress of early atherosclerosis, while LDL-C was independently associated with the progression of advanced atherosclerosis in the general population. Further studies are needed to assess whether early control of SBP and LDL-C levels can reduce the occurrence of future cardiovascular events.

Development of predictive equation and score for 5-year metabolic syndrome incidence in Japanese adults

BACKGROUND

Predicting metabolic syndrome (MetS) is important for identifying high-risk cardiovascular disease individuals and providing preventive interventions. We aimed to develop and validate an equation and a simple MetS score according to the Japanese MetS criteria.

METHODS

In total, 54,198 participants (age, 54.5±10.1 years; men, 46.0%), with baseline and 5-year follow-up data were randomly assigned to 'Derivation' and 'Validation' cohorts (ratio: 2:1). Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed in derivation cohort and scores were assigned to factors corresponding to β-coefficients. We evaluated predictive ability of the scores using area under the curve (AUC), then applied them to validation cohort to assess reproducibility.

RESULTS

The primary model ranged 0-27 points had an AUC of 0.81 (sensitivity: 0.81, specificity: 0.81, cut-off score: 14), and consisted of age, sex, blood pressure (BP), body mass index (BMI), serum lipids, glucose measurements, tobacco smoking, and alcohol consumption. The simplified model (excluding blood tests) ranged 0-17 points with an AUC of 0.78 (sensitivity: 0.83, specificity: 0.77, cut-off score: 15) and included: age, sex, systolic BP, diastolic BP, BMI, tobacco smoking, and alcohol consumption. We classified individuals with a score <15 and ≥15 points as low- and high-risk MetS, respectively. Furthermore, the equation model generated an AUC of 0.85 (sensitivity: 0.86, specificity: 0.55). Analysis of the validation and derivation cohorts yielded similar results.

CONCLUSION

We developed a primary score, an equation model, and a simple score. The simple score is convenient, well-validated with acceptable discrimination, and could be used for early detection of MetS in high-risk individuals.

Peak oxygen uptake in cardiopulmonary exercise testing was associated with left ventricular diastolic dysfunction in patients with preserved ejection fraction

Background

Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (EF) remains a poor prognosis as same as heart failure with reduced EF. Peak oxygen uptake (VO2) by cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET) is a useful parameter for predicting cardiovascular diseases prognosis. Furthermore, though there are some reports that CPET parameters are associated with indicators of diastolic dysfunction, each of these indicators has some limitations. Recently, recommendations for the evaluation of left ventricular diastolic function by echocardiography were reported from the ASE/EACVI. However, no reports have examined the association between exercise tolerance indices and diastolic dysfunction based on these recommended variables.

Purpose

To examine the relationship between peak VO2 and diastolic dysfunction using the recommendation from ASE/EACVI in cardiovascular diseases patients with preserved EF

Methods

We recruited 214 patients who were performed both CPX and echocardiography. EF ≥50% was 99 patients. All patients underwent 0W warm-up and 10W ramp on an upright electrical bicycle ergometer. Diastolic dysfunction was assessed using the recommendations for the evaluation of diastolic function by ASE/EACVI. We used abnormal cutoff values are annular e' velocity: septal e' &lt;7 cm/s, lateral e' &lt;10 cm/s, average E/e' ratio &gt;14, left atrial volume index &gt;34 ml/m2, and peak tricuspid regurgitation (TR) velocity &gt;2.8 m/s. Diastolic dysfunction is present if more than half of the available parameters meet these cutoff values.

Results

Mean age was 57±14 years old, the portion of women was 69%. The portion of diastolic dysfunction was 16%. In univariable logistic regression analysis, age, log BNP, septal e' &lt;7 cm/s or lateral e' &lt;10 cm/s, peak TR velocity &gt;2.8 m/s, and the presence of diastolic dysfunction were significantly associated with peakVO2 &lt;14 ml/min/kg. In multivariable logistic regression analysis, the presence of diastolic dysfunction was an independent risk factor for peak VO2 &lt;14 ml/min/kg (OR 5.03 CI 1.32–19.2, p=0.018). Furthermore, we investigated the association between each variable of diastolic dysfunction and peak VO2 and found that low septal and lateral e'velocity and high TR peak flow velocity were significantly associated with peak VO2 &lt;14 ml/min/kg.

Conclusions

In preserved EF, low peak VO2 was significantly associated with diastolic dysfunction assessed by the recommendations from the ASE/EACVI.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Oxidative stress was significantly associated with peak oxygen uptake in patients with dilated cardiomyopathy

Background

Systemic oxidative stress is known to be associated with the severity and prognosis in patients with cardiovascular diseases (CVD), including chronic heart failure. On the other hand, exercise tolerance is closely related to the prognosis in heart failure patients. However, no report has examined how oxidative stress is involved in each parameter evaluated by cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET) in patients with dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM).

Purpose

To examine the relationship between oxidative stress and CPET parameters such as peak VO2 and VE/VCO2 slope in patients with DCM

Methods

We recruited 214 patients with CVD who were performed CPET and measured brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) and haemoglobin (Hb). Finally, we enrolled 96 patients with DCM who have dilated dimensions of the left ventricular lumen by echocardiography and are diagnosed by endomyocardial biopsy. All patients underwent CPET using 0W warm-up and 10W ramp protocol on an upright electrical bicycle ergometer. We defined low peak VO2 as peak VO2&lt;14 ml/min/kg and high VE/VCO2 slope as VE/VCO2 slope&gt;34. The oxidative stress level was evaluated by a d-ROMs test, in which the amount of organic hydroperoxide converted into radicals oxidizing N, N-diethyl-p-phenylenediamine hydroperoxide is measured. The high level of d-ROMs was defined as d-ROMs≥401 U.CARR.

Results

Mean age was 56±15 years old. Mean ejection fraction, peak VO2 and VE/VCO2 slope were 37±15%, 16.3±5.0 ml/min/kg, and 31.0±11.8, respectively. The percentage of the high level of d-ROMs was 25%. In univariable logistic regression analysis, Hb, log BNP, and the high level of oxidative stress were significantly associated with low peak VO2, whereas, in multivariable logistic regression analysis, age, Hb, and log BNP were significant factors for high VE/VCO2 slope. In multivariable logistic regression analysis, only the high level of d-ROMs was independently associated with low peak VO2 (OR 3.18, CI 1.12–9.04, p=0.030). While, in multivariable logistic regression analysis, Hb (OR 0.51, CI 0.32–0.81, p=0.004) and log BNP (OR 2.77, CI 1.33–5.76, p=0.006) were significantly related to high VE/VCO2 slope.

Conclusions

In patients with DCM, low peak VO2 was associated with the high level of d-ROMs, and high VE/VCO2 slope was associated with BNP. These results suggested that oxidative stress was only related to peak VO2.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Development of a risk prediction score and equation for chronic kidney disease: a retrospective cohort study

Background

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a risk factor for end-stage renal disease and contributes to increased risk of cardiovascular disease morbidity and mortality. We aimed to develop a risk prediction score and equation for future onset of CKD using large-scale health checkup data.

Methods

This retrospective cohort study included 58,423 participants without baseline CKD who were randomly assigned to Derivation (n=38,948) and Validation cohorts (n=19,475) at a ratio of 2:1. The predictors were anthropometric indices, life style, and blood sampling data. In the Derivation cohort, we performed multivariable logistic regression analysis and obtained the standardized beta coefficient of each factor that was significantly associated with new-onset CKD and assigned scores to each factor. We created a score and an equation to determine the risk of developing CKD after 5 years and applied them to the Validation cohort to assess their reproducibility.

Results

The risk prediction scores ranged from 0 to 16, consisting of the seven indicators, including age, sex, hypertension, dyslipidemia, diabetes, hyperuricemia, and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). From the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve predicting CKD incidence, the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.78. A score of ≥8 showed the highest Youden index in the Derivation cohort, with a sensitivity of 0.90 and specificity of 0.52. The CKD incidence gradually and constantly increased as the score increased from ≤6 to ≥14 (Figure). The risk prediction equation consisted of aforementioned seven indicators: 1/(1 + exp[−(9.4876 + 0.0311×age + 0.2400×sex + 0.3470×hypertension + 0.0893×dyslipidemia + 0.3444×diabetes + 0.0832×hyperuricemia + (−0.1980)×eGFR]). The median probability obtained from the Derivation cohort was 0.018 (interquartile range 0.002–0.084), and the AUC value of the ROC curve for the development of CKD after 5 years was 0.88, with a sensitivity of 0.84 and a specificity of 0.78 at a cutoff value of 0.077. The Validation cohort analysis yielded similar results.

Conclusion

We developed a clinically useful risk score and equation to predict the CKD incidence after 5 years in the general Japanese population. These models have reasonably high predictability and reproducibility.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Short-time-window Patlak imaging using a population-based arterial input function and optimized Bayesian penalized likelihood reconstruction: a feasibility study

BACKGROUND

To explore the feasibility of short-time-window Ki imaging using a population-based arterial input function (IF) and optimized Bayesian penalized likelihood (BPL) reconstruction as a practical alternative to long-time-window Ki imaging with an individual patient-based IF. Myocardial Ki images were generated from 73 dynamic ¹⁸F-FDG-PET/CT scans of 30 patients with cardiac sarcoidosis. For each dynamic scan, the Ki images were obtained using the IF from each individual patient and a long time window (10-60 min). In addition, Ki images were obtained using the normalized averaged population-based IF and BPL algorithms with different beta values (350, 700, and 1000) with a short time window (40-60 min). The visual quality of each image was visually rated using a 4-point scale (0, not visible; 1, poor; 2, moderate; and 3, good), and the Ki parameters (Ki-max, Ki-mean, Ki-volume) of positive myocardial lesions were measured independently by two readers. Wilcoxon's rank sum test, McNemar's test, or linear regression analysis were performed to assess the differences or relationships between two quantitative variables.

RESULTS

Both readers similarly rated 51 scans as positive (scores = 1-3) and 22 scans as negative (score = 0) for all four Ki images. Among the three types of population-based IF Ki images, the proportion of images with scores of 3 was highest with a beta of 1000 (78.4 and 72.5%, respectively) and lowest with a beta of 350 (33.3 and 23.5%) for both readers (all p < 0.001). The coefficients of determination between the Ki parameters obtained with the individual patient-based IF and those obtained with the population-based IF were highest with a beta of 1000 for both readers (Ki-max, 0.91 and 0.92, respectively; Ki-mean, 0.91 and 0.92, respectively; Ki-volume, 0.75 and 0.60, respectively; and all p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Short-time-window Ki images with a population-based IF reconstructed using the BPL algorithm and a high beta value were closely correlated with long-time-window Ki images generated with an individual patient-based IF. Short-time-window Ki images using a population-based IF and BPL reconstruction might represent practical alternatives to long-time-window Ki images generated using an individual patient-based IF.

Cutoff Values of Brachial-Ankle Pulse Wave Velocity for Atherosclerotic Risks by Age and Sex in the Japanese General Population

AIM

In this study, we aim to analyze the correlation between brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) and Suita score or Framingham risk score and obtain the cutoff value of baPWV by sex and age for cardiovascular risk, as assessed by these scores in the large Japanese annual health checkup data.

METHODS

In total, 25,602 participants (14,539 men and 11,063 women), who had their annual health checkups, were included in this study. Cutoff values of baPWV for the moderate- and high-risk groups stratified by sex and age were obtained using a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.

RESULTS

As per our findings, the Suita score demonstrated better correlations with baPWV than the Framingham risk score in both sexes (men, Suita score R²=0.41 and Framingham risk score R²=0.37; women, Suita score R² =0.54 and Framingham risk score R ²=0.33). The ROC curve analysis demonstrated the cutoff values of baPWV for moderate- and high-risk groups estimated using the Suita score, and they are as follows: in men, the baPWV cutoff values were 1,350 cm/s in the 40s, 1,430 cm/s in the 50s, 1,520 cm/s in the 60s, and 1,880 cm/s in the 70s. In women, the baPWV cutoff values were 1,350 cm/s in the 40s, 1,430 cm/s in the 50s, 1,570 cm/s in the 60s, and 1,800 cm/s in the 70s.

CONCLUSIONS

We demonstrated that baPWV significantly correlated with the Suita score or Framingham risk score in both men and women, with the former presenting a stronger correlation than the latter. We propose the cutoff values of baPWV for moderate- and high-risk groups estimated using the Suita score.

Development of a risk prediction score for hypertension incidence using Japanese health checkup data

Hypertension is a risk factor for cardiovascular disease. We developed a simple scoring method for predicting future hypertension using health checkup data. A total of 41,902 participants aged 30-69 years without baseline hypertension who underwent annual health checkups (mean age, 52.3 ± 10.2 years; male, 47.7%) were included. They were randomly assigned to derivation (n = 27,935) and validation cohorts (n = 13,967) at a ratio of 2:1. In the derivation cohort, we performed multivariable logistic regression analysis and assigned scores to each factor significantly associated with 5-year hypertension. We evaluated the predictive ability of the scores using area under the curve (AUC) analysis and then applied them to the validation cohort to assess their validity. The score including items requiring blood sampling ranged from 0 to 14 and included seven indicators (age, body mass index, blood pressure, current smoking, family history of hypertension, diabetes, and hyperuricemia). The score not including items requiring blood sampling ranged from 0 to 12 and included five indicators (the above indicators, except diabetes and hyperuricemia). The score not including items requiring blood sampling was better; blood sampling did not improve diagnostic ability. The AUC of the score not including items requiring blood sampling was 0.76, with a sensitivity and specificity of 0.82 and 0.60, respectively, for scores ≥6 points. The incidence of hypertension gradually and constantly increased (from 0.9 to 49.6%) as the score increased from 0 to ≥10. Analysis in the validation cohort yielded similar results. We developed a simple and useful clinical prediction model to predict the 5-year incidence of hypertension among a general Japanese population. The model had reasonably high predictive ability and reproducibility.

Assessment of Future Hypertension Risk by Sex Using Combined Body Mass Index and Waist-to-Height Ratio

Background: Body mass index (BMI) and the waist-to-height ratio (WHtR) are widely used anthropometric indices of obesity to predict cardiovascular risks. However, the usefulness of combining WHtR and BMI values to predict hypertension risk by sex has not been well elucidated.

Methods and Results: This cohort study enrolled 45,921 participants (mean [±SD] age 53.8±10.5 years; 47.0% men) without hypertension from among those undergoing annual health checkups. Participants were divided into 4 categories based on median BMI and WHtR values, and the 5-year incidence of hypertension was assessed for both sexes using logistic regression analysis. Mean (±SD) BMI and WHtR values were 23.5±3.1 kg/m² and 0.50±0.05, respectively, in men and 22.4±3.3 kg/m² and 0.53±0.06, respectively, in women. Among the women, those with high BMI and low WHtR had an increased risk of hypertension compared with those with low BMI and low WHtR (odds ratio [OR] 1.37, P<0.001); however, the same result was not found in men (OR 1.14, P=0.080). In both sexes, the incidence of hypertension was higher among participants with low BMI and high WHtR than among those with low BMI and low WHtR (men: OR 1.26, P<0.001; women: OR 1.15, P=0.048).

Conclusions: Using WHtR and BMI together provides a better hypertension risk assessment. Among men, those with a high BMI had no increased hypertension risk when WHtR was low.

J-shaped curve for the association between serum uric acid levels and the prevalence of blood pressure abnormalities

Low and high serum uric acid levels are associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular diseases. However, whether there is a similar association between serum uric acid levels and blood pressure abnormalities has not yet been elucidated. Data from 236,221 individuals (age, 56.0 ± 15.0 years; 107,146 men) who underwent routine health checkups were analyzed. Participants with a serum uric acid level ≤2.0 mg/dL were separated, and the remaining participants were divided into quartiles according to their serum uric acid levels. Among each group, the proportions of participants with high blood pressure (≥130/80 mmHg, and/or medication) and hypertension (≥140/90 mmHg, and/or medication), were calculated. The adjusted odds ratio of each group compared to the group with the lowest proportion of blood pressure abnormalities was calculated. The participants were divided into five groups according to their serum uric acid levels, ≤2.0, 2.1-4.0, 4.1-5.0, 5.1-6.0, and ≥6.1 mg/dL, and the prevalence of high blood pressure was 49.0, 44.6, 52.3, 58.6, and 65.3% and that of hypertension was 31.0, 27.4, 33.5, 38.7, and 43.8%, respectively. Compared to the second-lowest serum uric acid group (2.1-4.0 mg/dL), groups with higher serum uric acid levels (4.1-5.0, 5.1-6.0, and ≥6.1 mg/dL), as well as the group with the lowest serum uric acid level (≤2.0 mg/dL), showed significantly higher odds ratios for high blood pressure and hypertension. High and low serum uric acid levels were significantly associated with an increased prevalence of high blood pressure and followed a J-shaped curve.

Gender differences in the effects of weight reduction on future blood pressure elevation in the overweight middle-aged population

Background

The effectiveness of weight loss (WL) to prevent blood pressure (BP) elevation is common knowledge; however, the effect of gender differences on this efficacy is not known. We aimed to investigate whether there were gender differences in the degree of BP increase and the prevalence of hypertension in the future when middle-aged obese participants achieved slight WL.

Methods

We analyzed the annual health checkup data for the general Japanese population collected from January 2001 through December 2015. Middle-aged participants (40–49 years old) with overweight (body mass index [BMI], 25.0–29.9 kg/m2) who had examination data for two follow-up time-points (after 3 and 10 years) were included. The participants with a BMI decrease ≥1.0 kg/m2 in 3 years (WL group) were propensity score (PS)-matched to those with a BMI decrease &lt;1.0 kg/m2 or weight gain (non-WL group) based on the data of the first examination, including age, BMI, smoking and drinking status, eGFR, systolic BP and diastolic BP, and hypertension (defined as SBP ≥140 mmHg and/or DBP ≥90 mmHg). We compared the BMI, systolic BP, and hypertension prevalence after 10 years in both groups.

Results

There were 17,554 individuals, aged 40–49 years, with overweight. After excluding subjects who did not satisfy the inclusion criteria and PS matching, we identified 232 men and 160 women in both WL and non-WL groups. The BMI in the WL group after 3 years was significantly lower than that in the non-WL group (men, 25.2±1.4 kg/m2 vs. 27.1±1.6 kg/m2, P&lt;0.001; women, 24.9±1.4 kg/m2 vs. 27.1±1.5 kg/m2, P&lt;0.001), and the significance persisted even after 10 years among both men and women (men, 25.5±1.8 kg/m2 vs. 26.8±2.1 kg/m2, P&lt;0.001; women, 25.3±2.0 kg/m2 vs. 26.8±2.2 kg/m2, P&lt;0.001). Among women, the systolic BP and hypertension prevalence after 10 years were significantly lower in the WL group than in the non-WL group (systolic BP, 124.8±16.3 mmHg vs. 130.3±19.0 mmHg, P&lt;0.01; hypertension prevalence, 35.0% vs. 48.1%, P&lt;0.05). In contrast, there were no significant differences in the SBP and hypertension prevalence after 10 years among men between the groups (systolic BP, 129.0±17.7 mmHg vs. 129.0±17.5 mmHg, P=0.96; hypertension prevalence, 46.1% vs. 48.7%, P=0.57).

Conclusions

There were gender differences in the effectiveness of WL to prevent future BP elevation in overweight middle-aged participants. WL could prevent future BP elevation and the hypertension onset in women but not in men.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

Fib4 index is a more relevant marker for pulse wave velocity but not for carotid intima-media thickness in a men population

Background

Carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) and pulse wave velocity (PWV) are useful markers for predicting cardiovascular disease not only in patients with cardiovascular disease but also in the general population. On the other hand, liver disease due to obesity has become a problem and has been reported to be associated with the progression of atherosclerosis. Recently, an indicator of liver stiffness, the Fibrosis-4 index (Fib4 index), has been used to detect the pre-stage liver diseases. However, there is no report to investigate the association between atherosclerotic parameters such as IMT and PWV, and Fib4 index. The Fib4 index is a simple index calculated from age and three blood sample data, and it will be useful for screening for an early stage of atherosclerosis if we can show the association between Fib4 index and these parameters.

Purpose

To investigate the association between atherosclerotic parameters such as IMT or PWV and Fib4 index

Methods

We recruited 3, 128 men participants who underwent health checkup. IMT was evaluated by carotid ultrasonography, and branchial-ankle PWV (baPWV) was measured by an automatic device. We analysed the association of IMT or baPWV with Fib4 index and atherosclerotic risk factors such as age, systolic blood pressure (SBP), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) and fasting blood sugar (FBS). baPWV ≥1,600 cm/s was defined high baPWV and we performed the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) analysis to demonstrate the significance of Fib4 index for baPWV.

Results

Mean Fib4 index was 1.39±0.68. In the univariate linear regression analysis, all factors such as age, SBP, LDL-C, FBS, Fib4 index were significantly associated with IMT or baPWV. On the other hand, in the multivariate linear regression analysis, Fib4 index was an independent factor for baPWV but not for IMT (IMT, p=0.498; baPWV, p=0.023). Figure 1 showed the result of ROC analysis to predict the high baPWV by Fib4 index. The area under curve (AUC) was 0.73, with the highest discriminating sensitivity and specificity at 0.71 and 0.65, respectively at Fib4 index = 1.27.

Conclusions

Fib4 index was significantly related to baPWV and could be the useful screening marker for arterial stiffness in a general men population.

Figure 1. ROC curve analysis

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

Sex Differences in the Effects of Weight Reduction on Future Blood Pressure Elevation in a Mildly Obese Middle-Aged Population

Background: The effectiveness of weight loss (WL) in preventing blood pressure (BP) elevation is common knowledge; however, the effect of sex differences is not known.

Methods and Results: Health checkup data from Kagoshima Kouseiren Medical Healthcare Center for middle-aged participants (40–49 years old) with mild obesity (body mass index [BMI] 25.0–29.9 kg/m²) who had examination data for 2 follow-up time-points (after 3 and 10 years) were analyzed. Propensity score (PS) matching using data from the first examination was used to match participants with a decrease in BMI ≥1.0 kg/m² at 3 years (WL group) with those with a BMI decrease <1.0 kg/m² or weight gain (non-WL group). BP values were compared after 3 and 10 years between the 2 groups, as was the prevalence of hypertension after 10 years. PS matching resulted in 232 men and 160 women in each group. Among women, systolic BP (SBP) and hypertension prevalence after 10 years were significantly lower in the WL than non-WL group (P<0.01 and P<0.05, respectively). There were no significant differences in SBP and hypertension prevalence after 10 years in men in the 2 groups.

Conclusions: There were sex differences in the effectiveness of WL in preventing future BP elevation in mildly obese middle-aged participants: WL prevented future BP elevation and hypertension onset in women, but not in men.

Significant Clinical Indexes of Exercise-Induced Pulmonary Hypertension in Patients With Connective Tissue Disease

Background: Pulmonary hypertension (PH) is an important cause of morbidity in patients with connective tissue disease (CTD), and an early stage of PH could present as exercise-induced PH (EIPH). This study investigated the significant clinical indexes of EIPH in patients with CTD.

Methods and Results: We enrolled 63 patients with CTD who did not have PH at rest. All patients underwent the 6-min walk test (6MWT), and systolic pulmonary artery pressure (SPAP) was evaluated on echocardiography before and after 6MWT. EIPH was defined as SPAP ≥40 mmHg after 6 WMT. Thirty-five patients had EIPH. On univariate logistic analysis, SPAP at rest, log brain natriuretic peptide (BNP), vital capacity (VC), and forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1.0) were significantly correlated with EIPH. On multiple logistic analysis, SPAP at rest and VC were independent predictors of EIPH, whereas FEV1.0 and log BNP were not significantly associated with EIPH. The area under the receiver operating characteristics curve between EIPH and BNP, SPAP at rest, VC or FEV1.0 was 0.67, 0.76, 0.74, and 0.75, respectively.

Conclusions: SPAP at rest and respiratory function, especially VC, could be independent predictors of EIPH in patients with CTD.

P6232Exploring the bottom of J-shaped curve association between serum uric acid and cardiovascular risks: description using a large Japanese general population

Background

The J-shaped association between serum uric acid (SUA) and cardiovascular risks is known. However, the bottom of the J-shaped curve has not been elucidated because of the lack of epidemiological knowledge about hypouricemia.

Purpose

To explore the SUA levels related to the most preferable cardiovascular risks using data from a Japanese general population.

Methods

Data from 246,923 individuals (111,117 men and 135,806 women) who underwent routine health checkups between January 2001 and December 2015 were analyzed. The participants were divided into quartiles according to their SUA levels, and patients with hypouricemia (SUA level <2.0 mg/dL) were subdivided into two groups according to their distributions. We compared their characteristics, including their cardiovascular risks.

Results

The prevalence of hypouricemia was 0.46% overall, 0.21% for men, and 0.66% for women (P<0.001). The subjects with hypouricemia were divided into two groups according to SUA level: a lower hypouricemia group (0.4–1.1 mg/dL, which included a peak at 0.7–0.8 mg/dL) and a higher hypouricemia group (1.4–2.0 mg/dL). The two groups exhibited significanly different characteristics in several variables: body mass index and triglyceride in men, and age, body mass index, triglyceride, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and renal function in women. Furthermore, several cardiovascular risk factors showed the most preferable values in subjects with SUA 1.4–2.0 mg/dL (Figure).

Conclusions

There were two independent distributions in subjects with SUA ≤2.0 mg/dL. The individuals with SUA 1.4–2.0 mg/dL exhibited the most preferable values for several cardiovascular risk factors, suggesting an association with the bottom of the J-shaped curve between SUA and cardiovascular risks.

Isolated Distal Deep Vein Thrombus Detected before Orthopedic Surgery: Is Preoperative Anticoagulation Preferable?

Objective: We evaluate the efficacy of anticoagulant administration for isolated distal deep vein thrombus (IDDVT), detected before orthopedic surgery.

Materials and Methods: The study included 32 patients diagnosed with IDDVT before orthopedic surgery in our hospital between October 2011 and October 2017. They were divided into two groups: the ‘pre- and post-operative therapy group,’ who were administered anticoagulants both pre- and post-operatively, and the ‘post-operative therapy group,’ who were administered anticoagulants only after surgery due to risk of bleeding judged by an orthopedic surgeon. We compared the primary efficacy (change in IDDVT size) between the two groups.

Results: The proportion of patients with increased post-operative IDDVT sizes was significantly larger in the post-operatively treated group than in the pre- and post-operatively treated group (44.4% vs. 8.7%, p=0.026). No case demonstrated an IDDVT extension proximal to the popliteal vein or presented with symptomatic pulmonary thromboembolism in this study.

Conclusion: Based on our findings, we recommend that, in patients with IDDVT detected prior to orthopedic surgery and administered anticoagulant therapy only after the procedure because of a bleeding risk, a lower limb ultrasonography to re-evaluate the existing deep vein thrombus should be conducted before beginning rehabilitation.

Uric Acid Level and New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation in the Japanese General Population - Longitudinal Study

BACKGROUND

The independent role of uric acid (UA) as a risk factor for atrial fibrillation (AF) has not been fully elucidated. Methods and Results: We studied 111,566 subjects (53,416 men; 58,150 women) who underwent annual health check-ups. We divided them by sex into tertile of baseline UA. To investigate the predictive power of UA for new-onset AF, we performed Cox proportional hazard analysis including UA tertiles, body mass index, creatinine, smoking and drinking status, and presence of hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidemia. During 4.1 years, 467 men (0.87%) and 180 women (0.31%) had AF (P<0.001). Cut-off points for tertiles of UA were as follows: women, ≤3.9, 4.0-4.8, and ≥4.9 mg/dL; men, ≤5.4, 5.5-6.4, and ≥6.5 mg/dL. Hazard ratio (HR) for third to first tertile was 1.74 (95% CI: 1.15-2.70; P=0.008), whereas there were no differences between tertiles in men. Rate of new-onset AF was significantly higher in the group with initially increased UA (ΔUA ≥0.3 mg/dL) than that with unchanged UA (ΔUA, -0.2 or +0.2 mg/dL) in the third tertile of baseline UA in both sexes.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher baseline UA was significantly associated with higher AF incidence in women. Initial increase in UA was significantly associated with AF incidence when baseline UA was ≥6.5 mg/dL in men, and ≥4.9 mg/dL in women.

Combined Assessment of the Red Cell Distribution Width and B-type Natriuretic Peptide: A More Useful Prognostic Marker of Cardiovascular Mortality in Heart Failure Patients

Objective An increased red cell distribution width (RDW) has been reported to be associated with adverse outcomes in patients with heart failure (HF). This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic power of the combined measurement of RDW and B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) concentrations in patients with HF. Methods and Results We retrospectively studied 116 patients (mean age, 63.7±14.3 years) who were admitted for the treatment of HF. Data including demographic information, vital signs, and laboratory and echocardiographic measurements at admission were collected from medical records. The observational period was defined as the number of days from hospitalization, and the study endpoint was defined as cardiovascular death. The mean RDW and BNP concentration at admission were 14.5±2.0% and 626±593 pg/mL, respectively. During a median observation period of 1,046 days, 22 patients died of cardiovascular disease. A univariate Cox proportional hazard analysis revealed that both RDW [hazard ratio (HR) 1.252, p = 0.0391] and BNP (HR 1.001, p = 0.0445) were significant prognostic indices for cardiovascular death. A receiver operating characteristic curve analysis revealed that the optimal cut-off RDW and BNP values for cardiovascular death were 14.9% and 686 pg/mL, respectively. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve revealed that the survival rate of patients with both RDW ≥ 14.9% and BNP ≥ 686 pg/mL showed the poorest prognosis in comparison to the patients in the other groups. Conclusion The combined assessment of the RDW and BNP concentrations may be useful for predicting mortality in patients with HF.

High Pulse Wave Velocity Has a Strong Impact on Early Carotid Atherosclerosis in a Japanese General Male Population

BACKGROUND

Although there have been several reports on the risk factors associated with intima-media thickness (IMT), many questions remain. The purpose of this study was to investigate the association between IMT and cardiovascular risk factors in a Japanese general population.Methods and Results:The study group consisted of 1,583 male subjects undergoing routine health checkups. IMT of the common carotid artery was measured by high-resolution ultrasonography. Brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) was measured using an automated device. Univariate analysis demonstrated that carotid IMT significantly associated with age, body mass index (BMI), systolic blood pressure (SBP), diastolic blood pressure (DBP), baPWV, fasting glucose, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), triglycerides (TG), and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C). Multiple logistic regression analysis for carotid atherosclerosis (carotid IMT ≥1.0 mm) was performed using obesity (BMI ≥25.0 kg/m²), high BP (SBP ≥130 mmHg or DBP ≥85 mmHg), dyslipidemia (LDL-C ≥140 mg/dL, TG ≥150 mg/dL, or HDL-C <40 mg/dL), impaired fasting glucose (IFG) (fasting glucose ≥110 g/dL), and high baPWV (≥1,400 cm/s). Carotid atherosclerosis was significantly associated with only high baPWV (OR: 2.22, 95% CI: 1.24-4.17, P<0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

High baPWV was a stronger predictor of early carotid atherosclerosis than high BP, dyslipidemia, or IFG in a Japanese general male population.

Stereochemistry of 1,2-dichloroethane adsorbed on Pt(111)

The rotational isomerism of 1,2-dichloroethane (DCE, CH2ClCH2Cl) adsorbed on Pt(111) was studied in the temperature range of 35-100 K using high-resolution electron energy loss spectroscopy and metastable atom electron spectroscopy. In the coverage below monolayer the physisorbed and chemisorbed species coexist at 35 K in the gauche and slightly distorted trans form, respectively. Owing to the direct Pt-Cl interactions, the nonbonding Cl 3p states of the chemisorbed DCE are split off, giving rise to degradation in symmetry from the pure trans form (C2h). The physisorbed gauche conformers are arranged with the C2 axis parallel (or heavily tilted) to the substrate and converted irreversibly to the pseudo-trans form by heating at 70 K. In the multilayer, the trans and gauche conformers exist at 35 K, where the former population is increased with increasing layer thickness. Upon annealing the bilayer at 80 K, the irreversible conversion takes place to yield a higher population of the gauche conformer in the topmost layer. The conformational stabilities and mutual changes of DCE adsorbed on a metal surface are discussed in terms of intramolecular rotational potential.

Evaluation of a high-velocity flame-spraying technique for hydroxyapatite

Titanium alloy sprayed with hydroxyapatite (HA) was developed by a high-velocity flame-spraying technique (HVFST). Biocompatible responses of bony tissues to high-velocity flame-sprayed HA (HVFS-HA) implanted into tibias of adult male rabbits was investigated 4 and 18 months after implantation by light and electron microscopy. Both light and electron microscope features in histological sections showed that inflammatory responses of tissues in situ were completely cleared and the interface between the bone and the implant was filled with newly formed bony substrate. This suggests that the HVFS-HA was sufficiently biocompatible to be adapted to the bone in situ.

Thoracic myelopathy secondary to ossification of the spinal ligament

The authors describe their experience with 26 cases of thoracic myelopathy secondary to hypertrophic ossification of the spinal ligament (posterior longitudinal ligament and/or ligamentum flavum). The clinical manifestations of this condition and results of its surgical treatment are described. The commonest symptoms were numbness or tingling in the legs and feet and gait disturbance. Most of the patients with involvement of the upper thoracic spine showed typical features of thoracic myelopathy: that is, sensory and motor deficits in both the trunk and lower extremities, sphincter disturbance, and exaggerated tendon reflexes. Several patients with involvement of the thoracolumbar junction presented with atypical symptoms of thoracic myelopathy and were sometimes misdiagnosed and treated inappropriately. Surgical treatment, particularly laminectomy, was not always successful. Inconsistencies in the surgical outcome were caused by either operative complications or reversal of the initial improvement during the follow-up period. The results of anterior surgery for the condition were more favorable; however, use of this procedure was rarely indicated.

Transforming DNA sequences in rat cells transformed by DNA fragments of highly oncogenic human adenovirus type 12

Rat cell lines tranformed by viral DNA fragments, EcoRI-C and HindIII-G, of adenovirus type 12 DNA were analyzed for the viral transforming DNA sequences present in cell DNAs. Cell lines transformed by the EcoRI-C fragment of adenovirus type 12 DNA (leftmost 16.5% of the viral genome) contain most of the HindIII-G sequences of the HindIII-G fragment, but at a different frequency depending on the portions of the fragment. The sequence of the AccI-H fragment of adenovirus type 12 DNA (the left part of the HindIII-G; leftmost 4.5% of the viral genome) was detected dominantly in cells transformed by the HindIII-G fragment Southern blot analysis showed that viral DNA sequences are present at multiple integration sites in high-molecular-weight cell DNA from cells transformed by the EcoRI-C or HindIII-G fragment of adenovirus type 12 DNA. These results suggest that most of the HindIII-G sequences in cells transformed by the HindIII-G fragment are present as fragmented forms.

Thioltrypsin. Chemical transformation of the active-site serine residue of Streptomyces griseus trypsin to a cysteine residue

The active-site serine residue of Streptomyces griseus trypsin was converted to a cysteine residue, and the product, thioltrypsin, was purified through two chromatographic steps with organomercurial-Sepharose and soybean trypsin inhibitor-Sepharose as specific adsorbents. The purified preparation of thioltrypsin was found to contain a single residue of cysteine and to react with almost equimolar amounts of normality titrants. It exhibited only traces of catalytic activity toward typical trypsin substrates such as Nalpha-tosyl-L-arginine methyl ester, whereas it retained some activity toward "active ester" substrates such as Nalpha-carbobenzoxy-L-lysine p-nitrophenyl ester. The activity was inhibited by sulfhydryl-blocking reagents, but no inhibition was observed by reagents reactive with the active hydroxyl group of serine proteases. Leupeptin, a natural trypsin inhibitor of peptidyl nature, also inhibited thioltrypsin. Some difference in the mode of leupeptin inhibition, however, was detected between trypsin and thioltrypsin. The bindings of small synthetic ligands and soybean trypsin inhibitor to thioltrypsin were compared with those to trypsin.