The impact of cancer patient pathway on timing of radiotherapy and survival: a cohort study in glioblastoma patients

PURPOSE

Glioblastoma (GBM) is an aggressive brain tumor in which primary therapy is standardized and consists of surgery, radiotherapy (RT), and chemotherapy. However, the optimal time from surgery to start of RT is unknown. A high-grade glioma cancer patient pathway (CPP) was implemented in Norway in 2015 to avoid non-medical delays and regional disparity, and to optimize information flow to patients. This study investigated how CPP affected time to RT after surgery and overall survival.

METHODS

This study included consecutive GBM patients diagnosed in South-Eastern Norway Regional Health Authority from 2006 to 2019 and treated with RT. The pre CPP implementation group constituted patients diagnosed 2006-2014, and the post CPP implementation group constituted patients diagnosed 2016-2019. We evaluated timing of RT and survival in relation to CPP implementation.

RESULTS

A total of 1212 patients with GBM were included. CPP implementation was associated with significantly better outcomes (p < 0.001). Median overall survival was 12.9 months. The odds of receiving RT within four weeks after surgery were significantly higher post CPP implementation (p < 0.001). We found no difference in survival dependent on timing of RT below 4, 4-6 or more than 6 weeks (p = 0.349). Prognostic factors for better outcomes in adjusted analyses were female sex (p = 0.005), younger age (p < 0.001), solitary tumors (p = 0.008), gross total resection (p < 0.001), and higher RT dose (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

CPP implementation significantly reduced time to start of postoperative RT. Survival was significantly longer in the period after the CPP implementation, however, timing of postoperative RT relative to time of surgery did not impact survival.

Survival trends for patients diagnosed with cutaneous malignant melanoma in the Nordic countries 1990-2016: The NORDCAN survival studies

BACKGROUND

The survival in patients diagnosed with cutaneous malignant melanoma (CMM) has improved in the Nordic countries in the last decades. It is of interest to know if these improvements are observed in all ages and for both women and men.

METHODS

Patients diagnosed with CMM in the Nordic countries in 1990-2016 were identified in the NORDCAN database. Flexible parametric relative survival models were fitted, except for Iceland where a non-parametric Pohar-Perme approach was used. A range of survival metrics were estimated by sex, both age-standardised and age-specific.

RESULTS

The 5-year relative survival improved in all countries, in both women and men and across age. While the improvement was more pronounced in men, women still had a higher survival at the end of the study period. The survival was generally high, with age-standardised estimates of 5-year relative survival towards the end of the study period ranging from 85% in Icelandic men to 95% in Danish women. The age-standardised and reference-adjusted 5-year crude probability of death due to CMM ranged from 5% in Danish and Swedish women to 13% in Icelandic men.

CONCLUSION

Although survival following CMM was relatively high in the Nordic countries in 1990, continued improvements in survival were observed throughout the study period in both women and men and across age.

Pretreatment Patient-reported Overall Health: A Prognostic Factor for Early Overall Mortality After Primary Curative Treatment of Prostate Cancer

Background and objective

Registry-based studies for prostate cancer (PCa) document higher overall mortality (OM) after high-dose radiotherapy (RT) than after radical prostatectomy (RP). Our aim was to explore the association between pretreatment patient-reported health ("OverallHealth": OH) and curative treatment type, and the impact on early OM.

Methods

New PCa patients registered between 2017 and 2019 in the Cancer Registry of Norway (n = 1949) completed the European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer Quality-of-Life Core 30 (QLQ-C30) questionnaire before RP (n = 592) or RT (n = 610) or after allocation to active surveillance (AS; n = 747). We dichotomised the QLQ-C30 summary score to classify patients with un-impaired versus impaired OH. Standard univariable and multivariable analyses with treatment type or OM as the outcome were conducted. The mean observation time was 4.7 years (standard deviation 1.0). Statistical significance was set at p < 0.05.

Key findings and limitations

Impaired OH was more frequent in the RT group (38%) than in the RP (25%) or AS (28%) group (p < 0.001). Higher age, higher risk group, and impaired OH increased the probability of undergoinRT rather than RP (p < 0.001). Impaired OH was associated with a twofold higher early OM rate in the RT group (16% vs 8%; p = 0.009) and fourfold higher OM rate in the AS group (13% vs 3%; p < 0.001). These findings remained significant in Cox regression analyses controlled for age and risk group. After RP, only locally advanced high-risk tumours were significantly associated with OM. Unknown psychometrics for the OH variable is the main study limitation.

Conclusions and clinical implications

Pretreatment patient-reported impaired OH, measured as the QLQ-C30 summary score, was positively associated with allocation to RT or AS and is a prognostic factor for early OM. Before allocation to RT or AS, elderly patients with PCa should be screened and treated for health problems that can be remedied. Future studies should determine the psychometrics of the QLQ-C30 summary score in comparison to established frailty screening instruments.

Patient summary

Patient-reported scores reflecting their overall health can help in choosing curative treatment for prostate cancer and are associated with survival during the first 5 years after treatment.

Stable glioma incidence and increased patient survival over the past two decades in Norway: a nationwide registry-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

Surveillance of incidence and survival of central nervous system tumors is essential to monitor disease burden and epidemiological changes, and to allocate health care resources. Here, we describe glioma incidence and survival trends by histopathology group, age, and sex in the Norwegian population.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We included patients with a histologically verified glioma reported to the Cancer Registry of Norway from 2002 to 2021 (N = 7,048). Population size and expected mortality were obtained from Statistics Norway. Cases were followed from diagnosis until death, emigration, or 31 December 2022, whichever came first. We calculated age-standardized incidence rates (ASIR) per 100,000 person-years and age-standardized relative survival (RS).  Results: The ASIR for histologically verified gliomas was 7.4 (95% CI: 7.3-7.6) and was higher for males (8.8; 95% CI: 8.5-9.1) than females (6.1; 95% CI: 5.9-6.4). Overall incidence was stable over time. Glioblastoma was the most frequent tumor entity (ASIR = 4.2; 95% CI: 4.1-4.4). Overall, glioma patients had a 1-year RS of 63.6% (95% CI: 62.5-64.8%), and a 5-year RS of 32.8% (95% CI: 31.6-33.9%). Females had slightly better survival than males. For most entities, 1- and 5-year RS improved over time (5-year RS for all gliomas 29.0% (2006) and 33.1% (2021), p < 0.001). Across all tumor types, the RS declined with increasing age at diagnosis.

INTERPRETATION

The incidence of gliomas has been stable while patient survival has increased over the past 20 years in Norway. As gliomas represent a heterogeneous group of primary CNS tumors, regular reporting from cancer registries at the histopathology group level is important to monitor disease burden and allocate health care resources in a population.

Incidence and outcome of pseudoprogression after radiation therapy in glioblastoma patients: A cohort study

Background

Differentiating post-radiation MRI changes from progressive disease (PD) in glioblastoma (GBM) patients represents a major challenge. The clinical problem is two-sided; avoid termination of effective therapy in case of pseudoprogression (PsP) and continuation of ineffective therapy in case of PD. We retrospectively assessed the incidence, management, and prognostic impact of PsP and analyzed factors associated with PsP in a GBM patient cohort.

Methods

Consecutive GBM patients diagnosed in the South-Eastern Norway Health Region from 2015 to 2018 who had received RT and follow-up MRI were included. Tumor, patient, and treatment characteristics were analyzed in relationship to re-evaluated MRI examinations at 3 and 6 months post-radiation using Response Assessment in Neuro-Oncology criteria.

Results

A total of 284 patients were included in the study. PsP incidence 3 and 6 months post-radiation was 19.4% and 7.0%, respectively. In adjusted analyses, methylated O6-methylguanine-DNA methyltransferase (MGMT) promoter and the absence of neurological deterioration were associated with PsP at both 3 (p < .001 and p = .029, respectively) and 6 months (p = .045 and p = .034, respectively) post-radiation. For patients retrospectively assessed as PD 3 months post-radiation, there was no survival benefit of treatment change (p = .838).

Conclusions

PsP incidence was similar to previous reports. In addition to the previously described correlation of methylated MGMT promoter with PsP, we also found that absence of neurological deterioration significantly correlated with PsP. Continuation of temozolomide courses did not seem to compromise survival for patients with PD at 3 months post-radiation; therefore, we recommend continuing adjuvant temozolomide courses in case of inconclusive MRI findings.

Do all prostate cancer patients want, and experience shared decision making prior to curative treatment?

OBJECTIVE

In comparable men with non-metastatic prostate cancer, radical prostatectomy (RP), radiotherapy (RAD) and active surveillance (AS) are treatment options with similar survival rates, but different side-effects. Healthcare professionals consider pretreatment shared decision making (SDM) to be an essential part of medical care, though the patients' view about SDM is less known. In this article, we explore prostate cancer (PCa) patients' SDM wish (SDMwish), and experiences (SDMexp).  Material and methods: This is a registry-based survey performed by the Cancer Registry of Norway (2017-2019). One year after diagnosis, 5,063 curatively treated PCa patients responded to questions about their pre-treatment wish and experience regarding SDM. Multivariable analyses identified factors associated with SDM. Statistical significance level: p < 0.05.  Results: Overall, 78% of the patients wished to be involved in SDM and 83% of these had experienced SDM. SDMwish and SDMexp was significantly associated with decreasing age, increasing education, and living with a partner. Compared with the RP group, the probability of SDMwish and SDMexp was reduced by about 40% in the RAD and the AS groups.  Conclusion: Three of four curatively treated PCa wanted to participate in SDM, and this wish was met in four of five men. Younger PCa patients with higher education in a relationship, and opting for RP, wanted an active role in SDM, and experienced being involved. Effective SDM requires the responsible physicians' attention to the individual patients' characteristics and needs.

Nordcan.R: a new tool for federated analysis and quality assurance of cancer registry data

Aim of the article

We present our new GDPR-compliant federated analysis programme (nordcan.R), how it is used to compute statistics for the Nordic cancer statistics web platform NORDCAN, and demonstrate that it works also with non-Nordic data.

Materials and methods

We chose R and Stata programming languages for writing nordcan.R. Additionally, the internationally used CRG Tools programme by International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC/WHO) was employed. A formal assessment of (GDPR-compliant) anonymity of all nordcan.R outputs was performed. In order to demonstrate that nordcan.R also works with non-Nordic data, we used data from the Netherlands Cancer Registry.

Results

nordcan.R, publicly available on Github, takes as input cancer and general population data and produces tables of statistics. Each NORDCAN participant runs nordcan.R locally and delivers its results to IARC for publication. According to our anonymity assessment the data can be shared with international organizations, including IARC. nordcan.R incidence results on Norwegian and Dutch data are highly similar to those produced by two other independent methods.

Conclusion

nordcan.R produces accurate cancer statistics where all personal and sensitive data are kept within each cancer registry. In the age of strict data protection policies, we have shown that international collaboration in cancer registry research and statistics reporting is achievable with the federated analysis approach. Undertakings similar to NORDCAN should consider using nordcan.R.

Were cancer patients worse off than the general population during the COVID-19 pandemic? A population-based study from Norway, Denmark and Iceland during the pre-vaccination era

Background

In a population-based setting, we investigated the risks of testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 and developing severe COVID-19 outcomes among cancer patients compared with the general population.

Methods

In nationwide cohorts, we identified all individuals in Norway, Denmark and Iceland who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 or had a severe COVID-19 outcome (hospitalisation, intensive care, and death) from March until December 2020, using data from national health registries. We estimated standardised incidence ratios (SIRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) comparing cancer patients with the general population.

Findings

During the first wave of the pandemic, cancer patients in Norway and Denmark had higher risks of testing SARS-CoV-2 positive compared to the general population. Throughout 2020, recently treated cancer patients were more likely to test SARS-CoV-2 positive. In Iceland, cancer patients experienced no increased risk of testing positive. The risk of COVID-19-related hospitalisation was higher among cancer patients diagnosed within one year of hospitalisation (Norway: SIR = 2.43, 95% CI 1.89-3.09; Denmark: 2.23, 1.96-2.54) and within five years (Norway: 1.58, 1.35-1.83; Denmark: 1.54, 1.42-1.66). Risks were higher in recently treated cancer patients and in those diagnosed with haematologic malignancies, colorectal or lung cancer. Risks of COVID-19-related intensive care and death were higher among cancer patients.

Interpretation

Cancer patients were at increased risk of testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 during the first pandemic wave when testing availability was limited, while relative risks of severe COVID-19 outcomes remained increased in cancer patients throughout 2020. Recent cancer treatment and haematologic malignancy were the strongest risk factors.

Funding

Nordic Cancer Union.

Global survival trends for brain tumors, by histology: analysis of individual records for 556,237 adults diagnosed in 59 countries during 2000-2014 (CONCORD-3)

BACKGROUND

Survival is a key metric of the effectiveness of a health system in managing cancer. We set out to provide a comprehensive examination of worldwide variation and trends in survival from brain tumors in adults, by histology.

METHODS

We analyzed individual data for adults (15-99 years) diagnosed with a brain tumor (ICD-O-3 topography code C71) during 2000-2014, regardless of tumor behavior. Data underwent a 3-phase quality control as part of CONCORD-3. We estimated net survival for 11 histology groups, using the unbiased nonparametric Pohar Perme estimator.

RESULTS

The study included 556,237 adults. In 2010-2014, the global range in age-standardized 5-year net survival for the most common sub-types was broad: in the range 20%-38% for diffuse and anaplastic astrocytoma, from 4% to 17% for glioblastoma, and between 32% and 69% for oligodendroglioma. For patients with glioblastoma, the largest gains in survival occurred between 2000-2004 and 2005-2009. These improvements were more noticeable among adults diagnosed aged 40-70 years than among younger adults.

CONCLUSIONS

To the best of our knowledge, this study provides the largest account to date of global trends in population-based survival for brain tumors by histology in adults. We have highlighted remarkable gains in 5-year survival from glioblastoma since 2005, providing large-scale empirical evidence on the uptake of chemoradiation at population level. Worldwide, survival improvements have been extensive, but some countries still lag behind. Our findings may help clinicians involved in national and international tumor pathway boards to promote initiatives aimed at more extensive implementation of clinical guidelines.

Impact of prebiopsy MRI on prostate cancer staging: Results from the Norwegian Prostate Cancer Registry

Objectives

The aim of this study is to evaluate the 2015 introduction of prebiopsy magnetic resonance imaging of the prostate (MRI-P) as the standard of care for diagnosing prostate cancer (PCa) by the Norwegian public health care authorities. There were three specific objectives of this study: first, to evaluate the consequences of using different TNM manuals for clinical T-staging (cT-staging) in a national setting; second, to determine if the data reveals that MRI-P based cT-staging is superior to digital rectal examination (DRE)-based cT-staging compared with pathological T-stage (pT-stage) post radical prostatectomy; and third, to assess whether treatment allocations have changed over time.

Materials and Methods

All patients registered in the Norwegian Prostate Cancer Registry between 2004 and 2021 were retrieved and 5538 were eligible for inclusion. Concordance between clinical T-stage (cT-stage) and pT-stage was assessed by percentage agreement, Cohen's kappa and Gwet's agreement.

Results

MR visualisation of lesions influences reporting of tumour extension beyond DRE findings. Agreement between cT-stage and pT-stage declined from 2004 to 2009, which coincided with an increase in the percentage being pT3. From 2010, agreement increased, which aligned with changes in cT-staging and the introduction of MRI-P. From 2017, regarding the reporting of cT-DRE and cT-Total (overall cT-stage), agreement diminished for cT-DRE but remained relatively stable (>60%) for cT-Total. Regarding treatment allocation, the study suggests that staging with MRI-P has shifted treatment towards radiotherapy in locally advanced high-risk disease.

Conclusion

Introduction of MRI-P has affected cT-stage reporting. Agreement between cT-stage and pT-stage appears to have improved. This study suggests that use of MRI-P influences treatment decisions in certain patient subgroups.

Age-specific survival trends and life-years lost in women with breast cancer 1990-2016: the NORDCAN survival studies

BACKGROUND

A recent overview of cancer survival trends 1990-2016 in the Nordic countries reported continued improvements in age-standardized breast cancer survival among women. The aim was to estimate age-specific survival trends over calendar time, including life-years lost, to evaluate if improvements have benefited patients across all ages in the Nordic countries.

METHODS

Data on breast cancers diagnosed 1990-2016 in Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, and Sweden were obtained from the NORDCAN database. Age-standardized and age-specific relative survival (RS) was estimated using flexible parametric models, as was reference-adjusted crude probabilities of death and life-years lost.

RESULTS

Age-standardized period estimates of 5-year RS in women diagnosed with breast cancer ranged from 87% to 90% and 10-year RS from 74% to 85%. Ten-year RS increased with 15-18 percentage points from 1990 to 2016, except in Sweden (+9 percentage points) which had the highest survival in 1990. The largest improvements were observed in Denmark, where a previous survival disadvantage diminished. Most recent 5-year crude probabilities of cancer death ranged from 9% (Finland, Sweden) to 12% (Denmark, Iceland), and life-years lost from 3.3 years (Finland) to 4.6 years (Denmark). Although survival improvements were consistent across different ages, women aged ≥70 years had the lowest RS in all countries. Period estimates of 5-year RS were 94-95% in age 55 years and 84-89% in age 75 years, while 10-year RS were 88-91% in age 55 years and 69-84% in age 75 years. Women aged 40 years lost on average 11.0-13.8 years, while women lost 3.8-6.0 years if aged 55 and 1.9-3.5 years if aged 75 years.

CONCLUSIONS

Survival for Nordic women with breast cancer improved from 1990 to 2016 in all age groups, albeit with larger country variation among older women where survival was also lower. Women over 70 years of age have not had the same survival improvement as women of younger age.

A nationwide, prospective collection of patient reported outcomes in the Cancer Registry of Norway

Background: The Cancer Registry of Norway (CRN) has collected data on all Norwegian cancer patients from health providers since 1952. To assess cancer patients’ self-reported late effects and health related quality of life(HRQoL) after treatment, the CRN started collecting data on Patient Reported Outcomes (PROs) in 2020. Objectives: To present the infrastructure for the CRN’s national health survey collection of PROs and describe some experiences of the first two years of data collection. Methods: In 2021, the CRN invited patients newly diagnosed with prostate cancer, breast cancer, colorectal cancer, or malignant melanoma to participate in the three-year digital health survey “Population survey on health and quality of life”. Patients were invited at least 21 days after diagnosis and within 150 days of the diagnosis. A control group consisting of individuals with no history of the cancer in question was randomly drawn from the National Population Register. Descriptive statistics regarding invitations and participation are presented. Results: A total of 15 641 patients and 15 187 individuals in the control group were identified as eligible for participation in 2021. A total of 12 297 (82%) of the patients and 11 534 (76%) of the controls used one or more of the digital solutions the CRN used to distribute the surveys and received an invitation to the survey. Overall, 6 091 (47%) of the patients and 3 718 (32%) of the controls participated, with variation across the cancer types. Discussion: Self-reported late effects and HRQoL after contemporary cancer treatments can be studied among participants in these nationwide longitudinal surveys which continuously include newly diagnosed patients. The response rates at baseline are still somewhat low and vary between 41% and 51% among the cancer patients. Selection bias may be a challenge, as half of (or less) than the individuals invited in 2021, chose to participate. Conclusions: The infrastructure for a national, prospective survey collection of PROs is in place and in use. The CRN plans to analyse the representativeness and validity of the PROs data. The goals are to include PROs in surveys covering all the clinical registries at the CRN, and that the PROs collected by the CRN can be used in research and quality improvement of the health services offered to cancer patients.    

Time trends in mobile phone use and glioma incidence among males in the Nordic Countries, 1979-2016

INTRODUCTION

In the Nordic countries, the use of mobile phones increased sharply in the mid-1990s especially among middle-aged men. We investigated time trends in glioma incidence rates (IR) with the perspective to inform about the plausibility of brain tumour risks from mobile phone use reported in some case-control studies.

METHODS

We analysed IR of glioma in Denmark, Finland, Norway, and Sweden among men aged 40-69 years, using data from national cancer registries and population statistics during 1979-2016, using log-linear joinpoint analysis. Information on regular mobile phone use and amount of call-time was obtained from major studies of mobile phones in these countries. We compared annual observed incidence with that expected under various risk scenarios to assess which of the reported effect sizes are compatible with the observed IR. The expected numbers of cases were computed accounting for an impact of other factors besides mobile phone use, such as improved cancer registration.

RESULTS

Based on 18,232 glioma cases, IR increased slightly but steadily with a change of 0.1% (95 %CI 0.0%; 0.3%) per year during 1979-2016 among 40-59-year-old men and for ages 60-69, by 0.6 % (95 %CI 0.4; 0.9) annually. The observed IR trends among men aged 40-59 years were incompatible with risk ratios (RR) 1.08 or higher with a 10-year lag, RR ≥ 1.2 with 15-year lag and RR ≥ 1.5 with 20-year lag. For the age group 60-69 years, corresponding effect sizes RR ≥ 1.4, ≥2 and ≥ 2.5 could be rejected for lag times 10, 15 and 20 years.

DISCUSSION

This study confirms and reinforces the conclusions that no changes in glioma incidence in the Nordic countries have occurred that are consistent with a substantial risk attributable to mobile phone use. This particularly applies to virtually all reported risk increases reported by previous case-control studies with positive findings.

EGFR-mutation testing and TKI treatment patterns in locally advanced and metastatic NSCLC in Norway - A nationwide retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Testing for epidermal growth factor receptor mutation (EGFRm) status is a prerequisite to identify eligible patients for tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKI) treatment. However, EGFR testing of patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is suboptimal in many parts of the world. The aim of this study was to describe real-world EGFR testing practice, EGFRm prevalence, and subsequent TKI treatment patterns in Norway.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This retrospective, observational, cohort study included all incident locally advanced and metastatic non-squamous NSCLC patients registered in the Norwegian Cancer Registry during 2010-2017. A cohort with follow-up through 2018 was formed with linkage to nationwide registries on comorbidities, prescribed drugs and causes-of-death.

RESULTS

A total of 10,717 patients were included, of which 35% (3782) with locally advanced NSCLC and 65% (6935) with metastatic disease. Mean age at diagnosis was 71 years and 47% were female. EGFR testing among patients with metastatic NSCLC increased from 41% to >64% between 2010 and 2017, with a relative stable incidence of EGFRm+ (∼9%). More than 85% of EGFRm+ patients received TKI treatment. Patients with the most dismal prognosis (>80 age, comorbidities) and with diagnosis based on cytology/imaging were less likely to be tested. Differences in testing were observed between regions.

CONCLUSION

Despite increased test rates over the study period, in Norway, a significant proportion of patients with non-squamous metastatic NSCLC are still not tested for EGFR. To maximize the identification of eligible patients for targeted therapies, increased testing is recommended, regardless of age, comorbidity rate and place of residence.

Late Adverse Health Outcomes and Quality of Life after Curative Radiotherapy+ long-term ADT in Prostate Cancer Survivors:Comparison with men from the General Population

•

More than 5 years after radiotherapy for prostate cancer ) 54 % elderly patients report at least one moderate or big problem within the urinary, bowel or sexual domain. (Controls : 30%)

•

Such problems reduce Quality of Life., which, however ,is similar in the two cohorts , the least difference observed within the sexual domain.

Background

Few studies have described the impact of urinary, bowel and sexual Adverse Health Outcomes (AHOs) on Quality of Life (QoL) in Prostate Cancer Survivors living for more than 5 years after curative radiotherapy (“long-term PCaSs”), and compared the findings with those in men from general population. Here we assess self-reported AHOs in such PCaSs focusing on the association between problem experience and QoL. The findings are compared to corresponding symptoms in age-similar men from the general population without a PCa diagnosis (Norms).

Methods

Nine years (mean) after curative radiotherapy 1231 PCaSs and 3156 Norms completed the EPIC-26 questionnaire and the EORTC QLQ-C30 instrument. Domain Summary Scores (DSSs) for the urinary, bowel and sexual domains, the percentages of moderate/big dysfunctions and the proportions of overall problems were determined. Inter-cohort differences were interpreted based on cut-off values for published Minimal Clinically Important Differences (MCIDs). Multivariable linear regression models analyzed the associations between QoL and domain-related overall problems.

Results

Only the inter-cohort differences regarding bowel and sexual DSSs exceeded the respective MCIDs. Among PCaSs 54% had at least one moderate/big problem (Norms: 30%). In PCaSs and Norms, QoL increased with decreasing urinary and bowel problems, For sexuality this association was weaker in Norms and was almost lacking in PCaSs. Multivariable-adjusted QoL was similar in PCaSs and Norms, with general health being the strongest covariate.

Conclusions

During follow-up of long-term PCaSs health professionals should be aware of the survivors’ persisting moderate/big urinary, bowel or sexual problems associated with reduced QoL. In particular , alleviation of urinary and bowel problems can increase the men’s QoL.

The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on cancer diagnosis based on pathology notifications: A comparison across the Nordic countries during 2020

The severity of the COVID-19 pandemic and subsequent mitigation strategies have varied across the Nordic countries. In a joint Nordic population-based effort, we compared patterns of new cancer cases and notifications between the Nordic countries during 2020. We used pathology notifications to cancer registries in Denmark, the Faroe Islands, Finland, Iceland, Norway and Sweden to determine monthly numbers of pathology notifications of malignant and in-situ tumors from January to December 2020 compared to 2019 (2017-2019 for Iceland and the Faroe Islands). We compared new cancer cases per month based on unique individuals with pathology notifications. In April and May 2020, the numbers of new malignant cases declined in all Nordic countries, except the Faroe Islands, compared to previous year(s). The largest reduction was observed in Sweden (May: -31.2%, 95% CI -33.9, -28.3), followed by significant declines in Finland, Denmark and Norway, and a non-significant decline in Iceland. In Denmark, Norway, Sweden and Finland the reporting rates during the second half of 2020 rose to almost the same level as in 2019. However, in Sweden and Finland, the increase did not compensate for the spring decline (annual reduction -6.2% and -3.6%, respectively). Overall, similar patterns were observed for in-situ tumors. The COVID-19 pandemic led to a decline in rates of new cancer cases in Sweden, Finland, Denmark and Norway, with the most pronounced reduction in Sweden. Possible explanations include the severity of the pandemic, temporary halting of screening activities and changes in healthcare seeking behaviour.

The validity of cancer information on death certificates in Norway and the impact of death certificate initiated cases on cancer incidence and survival

BACKGROUND

Death certificates are an important source of information for cancer registries. The aim of this study was to validate the cancer information on death certificates, and to investigate the effect of including death certificate initiated (DCI) cases in the Cancer Registry of Norway when estimating cancer incidence and survival.

METHODS

All deaths in Norway in the period 2011-2015 with cancer mentioned on the death certificates were linked to the cancer registry. Notifications not registered from other sources were labelled death certificate notifications (DCNs), and considered as either cancer or not, based on available information in the registry or from trace-back to another source.

RESULTS

From the total of 65 091 cancers mentioned on death certificates in the period 2011-2015, 58,425 (89.8%) were already in the registry. Of the remaining 6 666 notifications, 2 636 (2 129 with cancer as underlying cause) were not regarded to be new cancers, which constitutes 4.0% of all cancers mentioned on death certificates and 39.5% of the DCNs. Inclusion of the DCI cases increased the incidence of all cancers combined by 2.6%, with largest differences for cancers with poorer prognosis and for older age groups. Without validation, including the 2 129 disregarded death certificates would over-estimate the incidence by 1.3%. Including DCI cases decreased the five-year relative survival estimate for all cancer sites combined with 0.5% points.

CONCLUSION

In this study, almost 40% of the DCNs were regarded not to be a new cancer case, indicating unreliability of death certificate information for cancers that are not already registered from other sources. The majority of the DCNs where, however, registered as new cases that would have been missed without death certificates. Both including and excluding the DCI cases will potentially bias the survival estimates, but in different directions. This biases were shown to be small in the Cancer Registry of Norway.

Colorectal cancer incidence, mortality, and stage distribution in European countries in the colorectal cancer screening era: an international population-based study

BACKGROUND

Colorectal cancer screening programmes and uptake vary substantially across Europe. We aimed to compare changes over time in colorectal cancer incidence, mortality, and stage distribution in relation to colorectal cancer screening implementation in European countries.

METHODS

Data from nearly 3·1 million patients with colorectal cancer diagnosed from 2000 onwards (up to 2016 for most countries) were obtained from 21 European countries, and were used to analyse changes over time in age-standardised colorectal cancer incidence and stage distribution. The WHO mortality database was used to analyse changes over time in age-standardised colorectal cancer mortality over the same period for the 16 countries with nationwide data. Incidence rates were calculated for all sites of the colon and rectum combined, as well as the subsites proximal colon, distal colon, and rectum. Average annual percentage changes (AAPCs) in incidence and mortality were estimated and relevant patterns were descriptively analysed.

FINDINGS

In countries with long-standing programmes of screening colonoscopy and faecal tests (ie, Austria, the Czech Republic, and Germany), colorectal cancer incidence decreased substantially over time, with AAPCs ranging from -2·5% (95% CI -2·8 to -2·2) to -1·6% (-2·0 to -1·2) in men and from -2·4% (-2·7 to -2·1) to -1·3% (-1·7 to -0·9) in women. In countries where screening programmes were implemented during the study period, age-standardised colorectal cancer incidence either remained stable or increased up to the year screening was implemented. AAPCs for these countries ranged from -0·2% (95% CI -1·4 to 1·0) to 1·5% (1·1 to 1·8) in men and from -0·5% (-1·7 to 0·6) to 1·2% (0·8 to 1·5) in women. Where high screening coverage and uptake were rapidly achieved (ie, Denmark, the Netherlands, and Slovenia), age-standardised incidence rates initially increased but then subsequently decreased. Conversely, colorectal cancer incidence increased in most countries where no large-scale screening programmes were available (eg, Bulgaria, Estonia, Norway, and Ukraine), with AAPCs ranging from 0·3% (95% CI 0·1 to 0·5) to 1·9% (1·2 to 2·6) in men and from 0·6% (0·4 to 0·8) to 1·1% (0·8 to 1·4) in women. The largest decreases in colorectal cancer mortality were seen in countries with long-standing screening programmes.

INTERPRETATION

We observed divergent trends in colorectal cancer incidence, mortality, and stage distribution across European countries, which appear to be largely explained by different levels of colorectal cancer screening implementation.

FUNDING

German Cancer Aid (Deutsche Krebshilfe) and the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research.

COVID-19 in Cancer Patients, Risk Factors for Disease and Adverse Outcome, a Population-Based Study From Norway

Background

Cancer has been suggested as a risk factor for severe outcome of SARS-CoV-2 infection. In this population-based study we aimed to identify factors associated with higher risk of COVID-19 and adverse outcome.

Methods

Data on all confirmed SARS-CoV-2 positive patients in the period January 1 to May 31, 2020 were extracted from the Norwegian Surveillance System for Communicable Diseases. Data on cancer and treatment was available from the Cancer Registry of Norway, the Norwegian Patient Registry and the Norwegian Prescription Database. Deaths due to COVID-19 were extracted from the Cause of Death Registry. From the Norwegian Intensive Care and Pandemic Registry we retrieved data on admittance to hospital and intensive care. We determined rates of COVID-19 disease in cancer patients and the rest of the population. We also ran multivariate analyses adjusting for age and gender.

Results

A total of 8 410 patients were diagnosed with SARS-CoV-2 infection in Norway during the study period, of which 547 (6.5%) were cancer patients. Overall, we found similar age adjusted rates of COVID-19 in the population with cancer as in the population without cancer. Unadjusted analysis showed that patients having undergone major surgery within the past 3 months had an increased risk of COVID-19 while we did not find increased Odds Ratio (OR) related to other oncological treatment modalities. No patients treated with stem cell or bone marrow transplant were diagnosed with COVID-19. The fatality rate of COVID-19 among cancer patients was 0.10. This was similar to non-cancer patients, when adjusting for age and sex with OR (95% CI) for death= 0.99 (0.68–1.42). Patients with distant metastases had significantly increased OR of death due to COVID-19 disease of 9.31 (95% CI 2.60–33.34). For the combined outcome death and/or admittance to hospital due to COVID-19, we found significant two-fold increased risk estimates for patients diagnosed with cancer less than one 1 year ago (OR 2.08, 95% CI 1.14–3.80), for those treated with anti-cancer drugs during the past 3 months (OR 1.80, 95% CI 1.07–3.01) and for patients undergoing major surgery during the past 3 months (OR 2.19, 95% CI 1.40–3.44).

The histology of brain tumours for 67,331 children and 671,085 adults diagnosed in 60 countries during 2000-2014: a global, population-based study (CONCORD-3)

INTRODUCTION

Global variations in survival for brain tumours are very wide when all histological types are considered together. Appraisal of international differences should be informed by the distribution of histology, but little is known beyond Europe and North America.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The source for the analysis was the CONCORD data base, a programme of global surveillance of cancer survival trends, which includes the tumour records of individual patients from more than 300 population-based cancer registries. We considered all patients aged 0-99 years who were diagnosed with a primary brain tumour during 2000-2014, whether malignant or non-malignant. We presented the histology distribution of these tumours, for patients diagnosed during 2000-2004, 2005-2009, and 2010-2014.

RESULTS

Records were submitted from 60 countries on five continents, 67,331 for children and 671,085 for adults. After exclusion of irrelevant morphology codes, the final study population comprised 60,783 children and 602,112 adults. Only 59 of 60 countries covered in CONCORD-3 were included, because none of the Mexican records were eligible. We defined 12 histology groups for children, and 11 histology groups for adults. In children (0-14 years), the proportion of low-grade astrocytomas ranged between 6% and 50%. Medulloblastoma was the most common sub-type in countries where low-grade astrocytoma was less commonly reported. In adults (15-99 years), the proportion of glioblastomas varied between 9% and 69%. International comparisons were made difficult by wide differences in the proportion of tumours with unspecified histology, which accounted for up to 52% of diagnoses in children and up to 65% in adults.

CONCLUSIONS

To our knowledge, this is the first account of the global histology distribution of brain tumours, in children and adults. Our findings provide insights into the practices and the quality of cancer registration worldwide.

Real-world validity of randomized controlled phase III trials in newly diagnosed glioblastoma: to whom do the results of the trials apply?

Background

The survival rates in population-based series of glioblastoma (GBM) differ substantially from those reported in clinical trials. This discrepancy may be attributed to that patients recruited to trials tend to be younger with better performance status. However, the proportion and characteristics of the patients in a population considered either eligible or ineligible for trials is unknown. The generalizability of trial results is therefore also uncertain.

Methods

Using the Cancer Registry of Norway and the Brain Tumor Database at Oslo University Hospital, we tracked all patients within a well-defined geographical area with newly diagnosed GBM during the years 2012–2017. Based on data from these registries and the medical records, the patients were evaluated for trial eligibility according to criteria employed in recent phase III trials for GBM.

Results

We identified 512 patients. The median survival was 11.7 months. When we selected a potential trial population at the start of concurrent chemoradiotherapy (radiotherapy [RT]/ temozolomide [TMZ]) by the parameters age (18–70 y), passed surgery for a supratentorial GBM, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) ≤2, normal hematologic, hepatic and renal function, and lack of severe comorbidity, 57% of the patients were excluded. Further filtering the patients who progressed during RT/TMZ and never completed RT/TMZ resulted in exclusion of 59% and 63% of the patients, respectively. The survival of patients potentially eligible for trials was significantly higher than of the patients not fulfilling trial eligibility criteria (P < .0001).

Conclusions

Patients considered eligible for phase III clinical trials represent a highly selected minority of patients in a real-world GBM population.

Trends in cancer survival in the Nordic countries 1990-2016: the NORDCAN survival studies

BACKGROUND

Differences in cancer survival between the Nordic countries have previously been reported. The aim of this study was to examine whether these differences in outcome remain, based on updated information from five national cancer registers.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The data used for the analysis was from the NORDCAN database focusing on nine common cancers diagnosed 1990-2016 in Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway and Sweden with maximum follow-up through 2017. Relative survival (RS) was estimated at 1 and 5 years using flexible parametric RS models, and percentage point differences between the earliest and latest years available were calculated.

RESULTS

A consistent improvement in both 1- and 5-year RS was found for most studied sites across all countries. Previously observed differences between the countries have been attenuated. The improvements were particularly pronounced in Denmark that now has cancer survival similar to the other Nordic countries.

CONCLUSION

The reasons for the observed improvements in cancer survival are likely multifactorial, including earlier diagnosis, improved treatment options, implementation of national cancer plans, uniform national cancer care guidelines and standardized patient pathways. The previous survival disadvantage in Denmark is no longer present for most sites. Continuous monitoring of cancer survival is of importance to assess the impact of changes in policies and the effectiveness of health care systems.

Age dependence of modern clinical risk groups for localized prostate cancer-A population-based study

BACKGROUND

Optimal prostate cancer (PCa) screening strategies will focus on men likely to have potentially lethal disease. Age-specific incidence rates (ASIRs) by modern clinical risk groups could inform risk stratification efforts for screening.

METHODS

This cross-sectional population study identified all men diagnosed with PCa in Norway from 2014 to 2017 (n = 20,356). Age, Gleason score (primary plus secondary), and clinical stage were extracted. Patients were assigned to clinical risk groups: low, favorable intermediate, unfavorable intermediate, high, regional, and metastatic. Chi-square tests analyzed the independence of Gleason scores and modern PCa risk groups with age. ASIRs for each risk group were calculated as the product of Norwegian ASIRs for all PCa and the proportions observed for each risk category.

RESULTS

Older age was significantly associated with a higher Gleason score and more advanced disease. The percentages of men with Gleason 8 to 10 disease among men aged 55 to 59, 65 to 69, 75 to 79, and 85 to 89 years were 16.5%, 23.4%, 37.2%, and 59.9%, respectively (P < .001); the percentages of men in the same age groups with at least high-risk disease were 29.3%, 39.1%, 60.4%, and 90.6%, respectively (P < .001). The maximum ASIRs (per 100,000 men) for low-risk, favorable intermediate-risk, unfavorable intermediate-risk, high-risk, regional, and metastatic disease were 157.1 for those aged 65 to 69 years, 183.8 for those aged 65 to 69 years, 194.8 for those aged 70 to 74 years, 408.3 for those aged 75 to 79 years, 159.7 for those aged ≥85 years, and 314.0 for those aged ≥85 years, respectively. At the ages of 75 to 79 years, the ASIR of high-risk disease was approximately 6 times greater than the ASIR at 55 to 59 years.

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of clinically significant localized PCa increases with age. Healthy older men may benefit from screening.

Chronic lymphocytic leukemia and secondary hematological malignancies: A nation-wide cancer registry study

OBJECTIVE

Chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) treatment has changed dramatically, and landscape of second hematologic malignancies (SHM) evolves in the new era of targeted therapy. No data were available about the real-world burden of SHM.

METHODS

All 2631 patients with CLL in the Cancer registry of Norway registered 2003-2012 were included.

RESULTS

After median follow-up of 6.6 years, 103 patients (4%) developed SHM. Diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) was most common (n = 65; 63%). Median survival was 9.3 years (95% CI; 8.9-9.8) in non-SHM patients and 1.7 years in DLBCL, 0.8 years in Hodgkin lymphoma (n = 12), and 2.8 years in myeloid neoplasia (n = 15; 95% CI: 0.3-2.6, 0.6-2.9, and 0.4-5.3, respectively; P < .001). Outcomes were poorest for SHM patients treated for CLL (HR 2.76, 95% CI 1.4-5.5, P = 0.003). A higher proportion of men and younger age were found in SHM patients (median age 66 vs 72 years in non-SHM; P < .001; men 68% vs 57%, P = .03). Myeloid neoplasia was rare (incidence rate 1/1000 person-years; 95% CI: 0.6-1.5) and tended to occur later than DLBCL in patients treated for CLL (median time from CLL to SHM 62 vs 45 months; P = .09).

CONCLUSIONS

SHM and especially myeloid malignancies were rare in chemoimmunotherapy era.

EPID-25. HOW MANY PATIENTS IN A REAL WORLD GLIOBLASTOMA POPULATION MEET ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA IN CLINICAL TRIALS?

In population series of glioblastoma (GBM) the median survival is < 1 year. For patients eligible for combined oncological treatment (surgery, radiotherapy (RT) and temozolomide (TMZ)) the median survival raises to 15 months. These patients are younger, have higher performance status and less comorbidity compared to the total GBM population. The extent of selection bias of GBM patients enrolled in clinical trials is, however, unclear. Using the Cancer Registry of Norway and the Brain Tumor Database of Oslo University Hospital, all patients diagnosed with GBM between 2012 and 2016 within a defined geographical area that received all oncological treatment at Oslo University Hospital were identified. Their hospital charts were retrospectively investigated and all patients were evaluated for the possibility to be included in clinical trials according to standard criteria from recent published phase 3 studies. We defined three time points for possible enrollment in trials: before-, halfway through-, and after concomitant RT/TMZ. We identified 424 patients of whom 26 (6.1%) did not undergo surgery. The median survival in the population was 11.7 months. Of the patients that underwent surgery (biopsy or resection), the median survival progressively increased with additional oncological treatment; no RT/TMZ 1.1 months, only RT 7.9 months, RT/TMZ 13.9 months. A potential study patient group≥18 years undergoing surgery for a supratentorial GBM with ECOG ≤2, with normal bone marrow, hepatic and renal function and no severe comorbidity or oncological disease constituted 54% of the population before start of RT/TMZ. Patients adhering to RT/TMZ-treatment and without tumor progression represented 46% and 43% of the population halfway through- and after concomitant RT/TMZ, respectively. The survival of patients that could be included in clinical trials was significantly higher (p< 0.001) than patients not fulfilling standard criteria. Our data suggest a significant patient selection in clinical trials from a real-world GBM population.

Children treated for medulloblastoma and supratentorial primitive neuroectodermal tumor in Norway from 1974 through 2013: Unexplainable regional differences in survival

BACKGROUND

A previous study based on Norwegian Cancer Registry data suggested regional differences in overall survival (OS) after treatment for medulloblastoma (MB) and supratentorial primitive neuroectodermal tumor (CNS-PNET) in Norway. The purpose of the present study was to confirm in an extended cohort whether there were regional differences in outcome or not, and if so try to identify possible explanations.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Data from patients aged 0-20 years diagnosed with and treated for MB/CNS-PNET at all four university hospitals in Norway from 1974 to 2013 were collected and compared.

RESULTS

Of 266 identified patients, 251 fulfilled inclusion criteria. MB was diagnosed in 200 and CNS-PNET in 51 patients. Five-year OS and event-free survival (EFS) were 59% and 52%, respectively. There was a significant difference in five-year OS and EFS between MB and CNS-PNET patients; 62% versus 47% (P =  0.007) and 57% versus 35% (P < 0.001). In multivariable analysis, two factors were found to significantly contribute to improved five-year OS and EFS, whereas one factor contributed to improved five-year OS only. Gross total resection (GTR) versus non-GTR (hazard ratio [HR] 0.53, P =  0.003; HR 0.46, P < 0.001) and cerebrospinal irradiation (CSI) versus non-CSI (HR 0.24, P < 0.001; HR 0.28, P < 0.001) for both, and treatment outside Oslo University Hospital for OS only (HR 0.64, P =  0.048).

CONCLUSION

Survival was comparable with data from other population-based studies, and the importance of GTR and CSI was confirmed. The cause for regional survival differences could not be identified.

How to estimate mortality trends from grouped vital statistics

Background

Mortality data at the population level are often aggregated in age classes, for example 5-year age groups with an open-ended interval for the elderly aged 85+. Capturing detailed age-specific mortality patterns and mortality time trends from such coarsely grouped data can be problematic at older ages, especially where open-ended intervals are used.

Methods

We illustrate the penalized composite link model (PCLM) for ungrouping to model cancer mortality surfaces. Smooth age-specific distributions from data grouped in age classes of adjacent calendar years were estimated by constructing a two-dimensional regression, based on B-splines, and maximizing a penalized likelihood. We show the applicability of the proposed model, analysing age-at-death distributions from cancers of all sites in Denmark from 1980 to 2014. Data were retrieved from the Danish Cancer Society and the Human Mortality Database.

Results

The main trends captured by PCLM are: (i) a decrease in cancer mortality rates after the 1990s for ages 50–75; (ii) a decrease in cancer mortality in later cohorts for young ages, especially, and very advanced ages. Comparing the raw data by single year of age, with the PCLM-ungrouped distributions, we clearly illustrate that the model fits the data with a high level of accuracy.

Conclusions

The PCLM produces detailed smooth mortality surfaces from death counts observed in coarse age groups with modest assumptions, that is Poisson distributed counts and smoothness of the estimated distribution. Hence, the method has great potential for use within epidemiological research when information is to be gained from aggregated data, because it avoids strict assumptions about the actual distributional shape.

Chondrosarcoma in Norway 1990-2013; an epidemiological and prognostic observational study of a complete national cohort

BACKGROUND

Knowledge of chondrosarcoma (CS) of bone to date is based on institutional reports and registry publications with limits in reporting, detail and quality of data.

METHOD

We have performed a retrospective search of CS of bone in the National Cancer Registry in Norway from 1990-2013, cross checked against local tumor databases with further quality control and supplementation of all data from clinical files. The time period is defined by the routine use of axial imaging in clinical practice. A total of 311 cases are included. We performed 108 pathological reviews and 223 radiological reviews. The manuscript was prepared according to the STROBE checklist for strengthening of observational studies. We performed uni-/multivariate cox analyses to define independent prognostic variables from the main cohort of central CS of bone.

RESULTS

The incidence of CS of bone in Norway is 2.85/million/yr. for both sexes overall, rising to 3.45/million/yr. in the last 5-year period. There is an increase in the most common central CS subtype, stronger for women than for men. Central CS had, in general 10-15% local recurrence rates, all evident by 5 years while metastasis rate increases with location and grade. Exceptions are extremity grade 1 CS which displayed no metastatic events and axial grade-3 disease with high rates (50%) of both local and metastatic relapse. Peripheral CS had limited metastatic potential (2%), but rates of local relapse (13%) continue to appear towards 10 years of follow up. Malignancy grade 3 independently predicts rate of metastasis and presence of soft tissue component predicts local recurrence, metastasis and survival.

CONCLUSION

Rates of local recurrence, metastasis and disease specific survival follow clear patterns depending on subtype, location and grade allowing better tailoring of follow-up regimes. Malignancy grade 3 and the presence of a soft tissue component independently predict behavior for central CS of bone.

Low proportion of unreported cervical treatments in the cancer registry of Norway between 1998 and 2013

BACKGROUND

Accurate information about treatment is needed to evaluate cervical cancer prevention efforts. We studied completeness and validity of reporting cervical treatments in the Cancer Registry of Norway (CRN).

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We identified 47,423 (92%) high-grade cervical dysplasia patients with and 3983 (8%) without recorded treatment in the CRN in 1998-2013. We linked the latter group to the nationwide registry of hospital discharges in 1998-2015. Of patients still without treatment records, we randomly selected 375 for review of their medical history. Factors predicting incomplete treatment records were assessed by multiple imputation and logistic regression.

RESULTS

Registry linkage revealed that 10% (401/3983) of patients received treatment, usually conization, within one year of their initial high-grade dysplasia diagnosis. Of those, 11% (n = 44) were missing due to unreporting and 89% (n = 357) due to misclassification at the CRN. Of all cases in medical review, patients under active surveillance contributed almost 60% (223/375). Other reasons of being without recorded treatment were uncertain dysplasia diagnosis, invasive cancer or death. Coding error occurred in 19% (73/375) of randomly selected cases. CRN undercounted receipt of treatment by 38% (n = 1526) among patients without recorded treatment which translates into 97% overall completeness of treatment data. Incomplete treatment records were particularly associated with public laboratories, patients aged 40-54 years, and the latest study years.

CONCLUSIONS

CRN holds accurate information on cervical treatments. Completeness and particularly validity can be further improved through the establishment of new internal routines and regular linkage to hospital discharges.

Antiepileptic and psychiatric medication in a nationwide cohort of patients with glioma WHO grade II-IV

INTRODUCTION

Glioma is the most common intracranial primary brain tumor. Patients with glioma often suffer from epilepsy, anxiety and depression. Aims of this study were to identify risk factors for drug-treated anxiety and depression, and to determine the use of psychiatric medication in a national glioma cohort.

METHODS

Data from the Cancer Registry of Norway on all persons diagnosed with glioma WHO grade II-IV 2004-2010 were linked with data from the Norwegian Prescription Database. Cox regression analysis was used to assess risk factors for drug-treated anxiety and depression. Standardized incidence ratios were calculated for psychiatric medication dispensed to glioma patients and compared to the general population.

RESULTS

The glioma cohort consisted of 1056 males and 772 females. Of the 1828 patients, 565 had glioma grade II-III, and 1263 had grade IV. The patients with glioma grade II-III who were treated with levetiracetam had an increased risk for drug-treated anxiety compared to patients without levetiracetam; hazard ratio 2.8 (95% confidence interval 1.7-4.9). Female gender increased the risk for drug-treated anxiety compared to males in patients with glioma grade IV; hazard ratio 1.5 (95% confidence interval 1.2-2.0). Antidepressants were less frequently dispensed to patients with glioma grade II-III and epilepsy than to the general population.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with glioma grade II-III on levetiracetam had an increased risk for drug-treated anxiety. The subgroup of patients with glioma grade II-III and epilepsy received less antidepressants than the general population.

Nordic Cancer Registries - an overview of their procedures and data comparability

BACKGROUND

The Nordic Cancer Registries are among the oldest population-based registries in the world, with more than 60 years of complete coverage of what is now a combined population of 26 million. However, despite being the source of a substantial number of studies, there is no published paper comparing the different registries. Therefore, we did a systematic review to identify similarities and dissimilarities of the Nordic Cancer Registries, which could possibly explain some of the differences in cancer incidence rates across these countries.

METHODS

We describe and compare here the core characteristics of each of the Nordic Cancer Registries: (i) data sources; (ii) registered disease entities and deviations from IARC multiple cancer coding rules; (iii) variables and related coding systems. Major changes over time are described and discussed.

RESULTS

All Nordic Cancer Registries represent a high quality standard in terms of completeness and accuracy of the registered data.

CONCLUSIONS

Even though the information in the Nordic Cancer Registries in general can be considered more similar than any other collection of data from five different countries, there are numerous differences in registration routines, classification systems and inclusion of some tumors. These differences are important to be aware of when comparing time trends in the Nordic countries.

Metabolomic screening of pre-diagnostic serum samples identifies association between α- and γ-tocopherols and glioblastoma risk

Glioblastoma is associated with poor prognosis with a median survival of one year. High doses of ionizing radiation is the only established exogenous risk factor. To explore new potential biological risk factors for glioblastoma, we investigated alterations in metabolite concentrations in pre-diagnosed serum samples from glioblastoma patients diagnosed up to 22 years after sample collection, and undiseased controls. The study points out a latent biomarker for future glioblastoma consisting of nine metabolites (γ-tocopherol, α-tocopherol, erythritol, erythronic acid, myo-inositol, cystine, 2-keto-L-gluconic acid, hypoxanthine and xanthine) involved in antioxidant metabolism. We detected significantly higher serum concentrations of α-tocopherol (p=0.0018) and γ-tocopherol (p=0.0009) in future glioblastoma cases. Compared to their matched controls, the cases showed a significant average fold increase of α- and γ-tocopherol levels: 1.2 for α-T (p=0.018) and 1.6 for γ-T (p=0.003). These tocopherol levels were associated with a glioblastoma odds ratio of 1.7 (α-T, 95% CI:1.0-3.0) and 2.1 (γ-T, 95% CI:1.2-3.8). Our exploratory metabolomics study detected elevated serum levels of a panel of molecules with antioxidant properties as well as oxidative stress generated compounds. Additional studies are necessary to confirm the association between the observed serum metabolite pattern and future glioblastoma development.

Stage-specific incidence and survival of breast cancer in Norway: The implications of changes in coding and classification practice

To describe the association between coding and classification practices and observed stage-specific incidence and survival trends in Norway over time. We identified all women diagnosed with invasive breast cancer in the period between 1980 and 2015. Changes in the coding and classification of breast cancer in the study period were described, and stage-specific incidence rates and relative survival were calculated. A total of 90 362 women were diagnosed with primary breast cancer, stage I-IV, or unknown stage, in the study period. Stage-specific incidence was significantly influenced by changes in coding practice, classification systems and the implementation of the screening program. These changes have mostly affected the proportion of stage I and "unknown", but also stages II, III and IV. The proportion of stage I showed a clear increase during the implementation period of the national screening program, and was most pronounced within the age group 50-69. Stage-specific trends for relative survival were less influenced by changes in coding and classification of stage. Our study showed that the stage-specific incidence trends in Norway were influenced by changes in the coding and classification practice. These findings should be taken into consideration in future research and evaluation related to stage-specific trends and stage migration of breast cancer in Norway.

Outcome for children treated for medulloblastoma and supratentorial primitive neuroectodermal tumor (CNS-PNET) - a retrospective analysis spanning 40 years of treatment

BACKGROUND

Medulloblastoma (MB) and supratentorial primitive neuroectodermal tumor of the central nervous system (CNS-PNET) are among the most common pediatric brain tumors. The diagnosis, treatment, and outcome of MB/CNS-PNET patients treated during the last four decades at Oslo University Hospital (OUH) are described.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

All patients younger than 20 years of age diagnosed and treated for MB/CNS-PNET at OUH between 1 January 1974 and 31 December 2013 were identified.

RESULTS

We found 175 patients. In 13 of them, the diagnosis was changed upon histopathological review and in 4 patients part of the treatment was administered at other hospitals. Thus, 158 patients were included for further analysis. Eight patients did not receive adjuvant therapy because of a dismal clinical condition. The overall 5-year survival rate for MB and CNS-PNET was 54%, for MB 57%, and for CNS-PNET 41%. Gross total resection (GTR) was achieved in 118 patients and 5-year overall survival for patients with GTR versus those with non-GTR differed significantly with 64% versus 22%. Cytological examination of the cerebrospinal fluid was performed in 52 patients. A total of 126 patients received radiotherapy as part of the primary treatment and 24 did not due to young age. Median time from surgery to start of radiotherapy was 33 days. Duration of radiotherapy was more than 48 days in 22% of patients. At the time of analysis, 63 patients were alive and disease-free, one alive with disease, and 94 patients were deceased; 84 of these due to MB/CNS-PNET and 10 due to supposed late effects from the treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

Survival was comparable to data from other population-based studies. The importance of GTR for survival was corroborated. Reporting real-world data remains crucial to know the true outcome of patients treated outside clinical trials.

National trends in incidence and survival of chronic lymphocytic leukemia in Norway for 1953-2012: a systematic analysis of population-based data

Chronic lymphocytic leukemia is a disease of the elderly, and despite major advances in treatment, remains incurable. The Cancer Registry of Norway has registered data on patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia since 1953. We aimed to analyze trends in incidence and survival of chronic lymphocytic leukemia in Norway. We identified 7664 patients reported with chronic lymphocytic leukemia to the registry between 1953 and 2012. We gathered information on sex, age at diagnosis, date of death and basis for diagnosis. The age‐standardized incidence increased from 0.6/100.000 person‐years in 1953 to 3.1/100,000 person‐years in 2012. We found a significant decrease in median age between 1993–2002 and 2003–2012 (75 vs. 72 years, 95%CI: 2.52–3.98, P < 0.001). Men were diagnosed at a significantly younger age than women. Immunophenotyping has become the most important diagnostic method after 2002. Median observed survival increased from 3 years in 1952–1963 to 8.5 years in 2003–2012. Five‐ and 10‐year age‐standardized net survival increased throughout the whole period across age groups and reached 79% and 57%, respectively. Median observed survival was significantly shorter in men than in women in 1993–2002 (4.9 vs. 6.1 years, P < 0.001). The gap between survival rates for men and women was diminishing in 2003–2012 in patients younger than 60 years while it remained considerable in older patients. Despite an aging Norwegian population, chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) patients become younger at diagnosis. A fourfold increase in incidence, a prolonged survival, and major changes in diagnostic methods in Norway were observed.

Increased pancreatic cancer risk following radiotherapy for testicular cancer

Background:

Pancreatic cancer risk is elevated among testicular cancer (TC) survivors. However, the roles of specific treatments are unclear.

Methods:

Among 23 982 5-year TC survivors diagnosed during 1947–1991, doses from radiotherapy to the pancreas were estimated for 80 pancreatic cancer patients and 145 matched controls. Chemotherapy details were recorded. Logistic regression was used to estimate odds ratios (ORs).

Results:

Cumulative incidence of second primary pancreatic cancer was 1.1% at 30 years after TC diagnosis. Radiotherapy (72 (90%) cases and 115 (80%) controls) was associated with a 2.9-fold (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.0–7.8) increased risk. The OR increased linearly by 0.12 per Gy to the pancreas (P-trend<0.001), with an OR of 4.6 (95% CI 1.9–11.0) for ⩾25 Gy vs <25 Gy. Radiation-related risks remained elevated ⩾20 years after TC diagnosis (P=0.020). The risk increased with the number of cycles of chemotherapy with alkylating or platinum agents (P=0.057), although only one case was exposed to platinum.

Conclusions:

A dose–response relationship exists between radiation to the pancreas and subsequent cancer risk, and persists for over 20 years. These excesses, although small, should be considered when radiotherapy with exposure to the pancreas is considered for newly diagnosed patients. Additional data are needed on the role of chemotherapy.

Comparison of non-parametric methods for ungrouping coarsely aggregated data

BACKGROUND

Histograms are a common tool to estimate densities non-parametrically. They are extensively encountered in health sciences to summarize data in a compact format. Examples are age-specific distributions of death or onset of diseases grouped in 5-years age classes with an open-ended age group at the highest ages. When histogram intervals are too coarse, information is lost and comparison between histograms with different boundaries is arduous. In these cases it is useful to estimate detailed distributions from grouped data.

METHODS

From an extensive literature search we identify five methods for ungrouping count data. We compare the performance of two spline interpolation methods, two kernel density estimators and a penalized composite link model first via a simulation study and then with empirical data obtained from the NORDCAN Database. All methods analyzed can be used to estimate differently shaped distributions; can handle unequal interval length; and allow stretches of 0 counts.

RESULTS

The methods show similar performance when the grouping scheme is relatively narrow, i.e. 5-years age classes. With coarser age intervals, i.e. in the presence of open-ended age groups, the penalized composite link model performs the best.

CONCLUSION

We give an overview and test different methods to estimate detailed distributions from grouped count data. Health researchers can benefit from these versatile methods, which are ready for use in the statistical software R. We recommend using the penalized composite link model when data are grouped in wide age classes.

Persistent bone marrow depression following short-term treatment with temozolomide

Temozolomide (TMZ) is, in combination with radiotherapy (RT), the treatment of choice for glioblastoma multiforme. Although generally well tolerated, haematological side effects are observed in approximately 1-10% of patients receiving TMZ. We report a case of a patient who developed severe bone marrow failure (BMF) after only 3 weeks of concomitant TMZ. The BMF was grave with no signs of improvement for 12 months, resulting in more than 100 transfusions of blood cells.

Pre-diagnostic serum levels of EGFR and ErbB2 and genetic glioma risk variants: a nested case-control study

Genetic variants have been associated with the risk of developing glioma, but functional mechanisms on disease phenotypic traits remain to be investigated. One phenotypic trait of glioblastoma is the mutation and amplification of the epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) gene. We investigated associations between pre-diagnostic serum protein concentrations of EGFR and ErbB2, both members of the EGFR family, and future risk of glioma. Further, we studied if EGFR glioma risk variants were associated with EGFR and ErbB2 serum levels. We assessed the associations between genetic glioma risk variants and serum concentrations of EGFR and ErbB2, as measured in pre-diagnostic cohort serum samples of 593 glioma patients and 590 matched cancer-free controls. High serum EGFR and ErbB2 levels were associated with risk of developing glioblastoma (P = 0.008; OR = 1.58, 95 % CI = 1.13–2.22 and P = 0.017, OR = 1.63, 95 % CI = 1.09–2.44, respectively). High serum ErbB2 concentration was also associated with glioma risk overall (P = 0.049; OR = 1.39, 95 % CI = 1.00–1.93). Glioma risk variants were not associated with high serum protein abundance. In contrast, the EGFR risk variant rs4947986 (T) was correlated with decreased EGFR serum levels (study cohort P = 0.024 and controls P = 0.009). To our knowledge, this is the first study showing an association of EGFR and ErbB2 serum levels with glioma more than a decade before diagnosis, indicating that EGFR and ErbB2 serum proteins are important in early gliomagenesis. However, we did not find evidence that glioma risk variants were associated with high pre-diagnostic serum concentrations of EGFR and ErbB2.

The Long-term Outcome After Resection of Intraspinal Nerve Sheath Tumors

BACKGROUND:

The existing literature on recurrence rates and long-term clinical outcome after resection of intraspinal nerve sheath tumors is limited.

OBJECTIVE:

To evaluate progression-free survival, overall survival, and long-term clinical outcome in a consecutive series of 131 patients with symptomatic intraspinal nerve sheath tumors.

METHODS:

Medical charts were retrospectively reviewed. Surviving patients voluntarily participated in a clinical history and physical examination that focused on neurological function and current tumor status.

RESULTS:

Follow-up data are 100% complete; median follow-up time was 6.1 years. All patients (100%) had surgery as the first line of treatment; gross total resection was performed in 112 patients (85.5%) and subtotal resection in 19 patients (14.5%). Five-year progression-free survival was 89%. The following risk factors for recurrence were identified: neurofibroma, malignant peripheral nerve sheath tumor, subtotal resection, neurofibromatoses/schwannomatosis, and advancing age at diagnosis. More than 95% of patients had neurological function compatible with an independent life at follow-up. The rate of tumor recurrence in nonneurofibromatosis patients undergoing total resection of a single schwannoma was 3% (3/93), in comparison with a recurrence rate of 32% (12/38) in the remaining patients.

CONCLUSION:

Gross total resection is the gold standard treatment for patients with intraspinal nerve sheath tumors. In a time of limited health care resources, we recommend that follow-up be focused on the subgroup of patients with a high risk of recurrence. The benefit of long-term, yearly magnetic resonance imaging follow-up with respect to recurrence in nonneurofibromatosis patients undergoing gross total resection of a single schwannoma is, in our opinion, questionable.