Antiretroviral therapy and HIV-associated cardiovascular disease: a prospective cardiac biomarker and CMR tissue characterization study

AIMS

Biochemical markers are fundamental in cardiac evaluation, and various novel assays have recently been discovered. We prospectively evaluated the hearts of newly diagnosed people living with human immunodeficiency virus (PLWH) using cardiac biomarkers, compared them with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-uninfected controls, and correlated our prospective findings with cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging (CMR).

METHODS AND RESULTS

Newly diagnosed, antiretroviral therapy (ART)-naïve PLWH were recruited along with HIV-uninfected, age-matched, and sex-matched controls. All participants underwent measurement of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT), N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), soluble ST2 (sST2), and galectin-3, as well as a CMR study with multiparametric mapping. The HIV group started ART and was re-evaluated 9 months later. The cardiac biomarkers and their correlation with CMR parameters were evaluated in and between groups. Compared with controls (n = 22), hs-cTnT (4.0 vs. 5.1 ng/L; P = 0.004), NT-proBNP (23.2 vs. 40.8 ng/L; P = 0.02), and galectin-3 (6.8 vs. 9.0 ng/mL; P = 0.002) were all significantly higher in the ART-naïve group (n = 73). After 9 months of ART, hs-cTnT (5.1 vs. 4.3 ng/L; P = 0.02) and NT-proBNP (40.8 vs. 28.5 ng/L; P = 0.03) both decreased significantly and a trend of decrease was seen in sST2 (16.5 vs. 14.8 ng/L; P = 0.08). Galectin-3 did not demonstrate decrease over time (9.0 vs. 8.8 ng/mL; P = 0.6). The cardiac biomarkers that showed the best correlation with CMR measurements native T1, T2, and extracellular volume were NT-proBNP (rs ≥ 0.4, P < 0.001) and galectin-3 (rs ≥ 0.3, P < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Our cardiac biomarker data support the presence of subclinical myocardial injury, remodelling, and fibrosis at HIV diagnosis, and ART had a positive influence on these blood markers. It remains unclear if the underlying pathological processes were fully addressed by ART. The ability of cardiac biomarkers to detect and track tissue abnormalities diagnosed with CMR showed promise. With additional research, this could lead to improvements in screening and monitoring myocardial abnormalities, even in CMR-limited settings.

Prediction of hematocrit decline and the impact of peri-operative fluid use in lumbar spinal fusion surgery

PURPOSE

Peri-operative blood loss unaccounted for and post-operative hematocrit decline could have a significant impact on the outcome of elective spinal surgery patients. The study assesses the accuracy of predictive models of hematocrit decline and blood loss in spinal surgery and determines the impact of peri-operative fluid administration on hematocrit levels of patients undergoing first-time single level lumbar fusion surgery for degenerative spine disease and the trend thereof in the first 24 h post-operatively.

METHODS

Clinical and biochemical parameters were prospectively collected in patients undergoing single level lumbar spinal surgery. Predictive models were applied to assess their accuracy in intra-operative blood loss and post-operative hematocrit decline.

RESULTS

High correlation (0.98 Pearson correlation coefficient) occurred between calculated (predicted) and recorded hematocrit from hours 2 to 6 post-operatively. Predictive accuracy declined thereafter yet remained moderate. Patients received an average intra-operative fluid volume of 545.45 ml per hour (47% of estimated total blood volume). A significant hematocrit decline occurred post-induction (43.47-39.78%, p < 0.001) with total fluid volume received being the significant contributing variable (p < 0.001). Hypertensive patients were the only subgroup to drop below the safe hematocrit threshold of 30%.

CONCLUSION

Iatrogenic hemodilution can accurately be predicted for the first six hours post-operatively, with high risk patients identifiable. Fluid therapy should be goal directed rather than generic, and good communication between the surgeon and anesthesiologist remains the cornerstone to manage physiological changes secondary to blood loss. Although helpful, predictive formulas are not universally applicable to all phenotypes.

Reliability and validity of the Shona version of the Exercise Benefits and Barriers Scale in Zimbabwean adult people living with HIV/AIDS

Introduction

Despite the widely known benefits of physical activity (PA), only 25% of people living with HIV (PLHIV) meet the WHO-recommended minimum PA levels. Consequently, it is essential to understand PA barriers and facilitators using objective measures. Although the Exercise Benefits and Barriers Scale (EBBS) is extensively used, its psychometric evidence is fragmented and has not been previously validated in PLHIV. This study aimed to translate and validate the EBBS Shona version in Zimbabwean PLHIV.

Methods

A cross-sectional study was used to recruit 567 PLHIV from four (4/9) randomly selected polyclinics (primary healthcare facilities) in urban Harare, Zimbabwe. We recruited adult patients (aged ≥18 years) with a confirmed diagnosis of HIV. Participants had to be willing to provide informed consent, not acutely unwell, and proficient in the Shona language. We used a forward-backwards translation method to translate the EBBS from English to Shona, a native Zimbabwean language. After cross-cultural adaptation, we pretested the draft version in 10 PLHIV to assess the face validity, understandability and cultural appropriateness using semi-structured interviews. Thereafter, the EBBS was administered to 567 consecutively-selected PLHIV. Factor analyses were performed for construct validity evaluation.

Results

Most participants were female (72.5%) and reached secondary/high school (78.8%), with a mean age of 39.9 (SD 12.1) years. The EBBS-Shona version yielded a four-factor solution consisting of three benefits factors and one barrier factor against the originally postulated six-factor structure. The EBBS-Shona yielded α = 0.85 and intraclass correlation coefficient = 0.86, demonstrating excellent reliability. Increased perception of exercise benefits was positively correlated with increased reports of physical activity, higher health-related quality of life and lower psychiatric morbidity; evidence for construct validity.

Discussion

This study demonstrates the validity and reliability of the EBBS-Shona version in Zimbabwean PLHIV. The EBBS-Shona version can be used for research and clinical purposes to glean data to inform the development, implementation, and evaluation of bespoke PA interventions for PLHIV.

Risk factors of poor developmental outcome in children with tuberculous meningitis

BACKGROUND

Neurodevelopmental delay is a significant long-term complication of childhood tuberculous meningitis (TBM). The objective of this study was to assess risk factors for neurodevelopmental delay in children with TBM.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of children diagnosed with TBM at Tygerberg Hospital, Cape Town, South Africa, over a 30-year period between 1985 and 2015. We assessed the relationship between demographic, clinical, laboratory and neuro-imaging characteristics, and cognitive impairment at the conclusion of anti-tuberculous treatment. Poor outcome was defined as moderate-to severe cognitive impairment.

RESULTS

A total of 327 TBM patients were included, 71 (21.7%) suffered a poor outcome. Multivariate analysis revealed that decreased level of consciousness (adjusted OR (aOR): 4.68; 95%CI: 2.43-13.88; p = 0.005), brainstem dysfunction (aOR: 3.20; 95%CI: 1.70-6.00; p < 0.001), and radiological infarction (aOR: 3.47; 95%CI: 1.87-6.45; p < 0.001) were associated with a poor developmental outcome. Left hemispherical (single and multiple) stroke and bilateral stroke were associated with poor developmental outcomes.

CONCLUSION

Certain neurological signs as well as radiological infarct characteristics are important predictors of poor developmental outcome. Anticipation of the likely level of cognitive impairment at diagnosis allows more accurate prognostication and prompt institution of supportive and rehabilitative measures, after the acute illness.

Prevalence and Characteristics of HIV-Associated Stroke in a Tertiary Hospital Setting in South Africa

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Antiretroviral treatment (ART) era HIV-associated stroke data from sub-Saharan Africa are limited. We determined the prevalence of HIV in patients presenting with acute symptomatic stroke and compared risk factors, clinical characteristics, and brain imaging with age-matched stroke patients without HIV.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study of adults presenting with any type of stroke to Tygerberg Hospital in a 12-month period. Patients living with HIV (PLWH) and HIV-uninfected (HIV-) patients were matched based on age group (1:2 ratio). Patients were identified by keyword search, while HIV status was ascertained from laboratory data. Clinical and imaging data were extracted from medical records.

RESULTS

Among 884 patients presenting with acute strokes, the minimum prevalence of HIV infection was 9.3% (95% CI: 7.4%-11.2%), with 496 patients (56.1%) with negative HIV status and 306 patients with unknown HIV status (34.6%). The mean age at presentation in PLWH was 46 (±11) years compared with 55 (±14) years in HIV- patients (p < 0.001). Smoking was less prevalent in PLWH with an adjusted relative risk ratio of RR = 0.58 (95% CI: 0.39-0.86). Concurrent infection was more prevalent in PLWH (25.6% vs 4.9%, p ≤ 0.001) with an adjusted relative risk ratio of RR = 2.07 (95% CI: 1.49-2.84), largely in patients with a CD4 count <200 cells/μL. PLWH with higher CD4 counts (≥200 cells/μL, 51.3%) had more traditional risk factors and less concurrent infection. Among PLWH, 68.3% were on ART, and 39.3% of them had been started or restarted on ART within the past 6 months. Basal ganglia infarcts (35.6% vs 18.3%, p = 0.014) and multiple vascular territory involvement (25.4% vs 7.7%, p = 0.002) were more common in PLWH. Clinical presentation, ischemic stroke type, and in-hospital outcomes did not differ between the groups.

DISCUSSION

Stroke patients with HIV were younger, had less traditional cardiovascular risk factors, and more concurrent infections than patients without HIV, especially those with a lower CD4 count. Recent ART initiation or reinitiation rates were high. Significant differences in CT brain imaging findings were seen. Understanding the multifactorial mechanisms underlying increased stroke risk, including associated infections and potential ART-associated immune reconstitution, is crucial and needs further study.

Pharmacogenetics of the Late-Onset Efavirenz Neurotoxicity Syndrome (LENS)

BACKGROUND

The late-onset efavirenz neurotoxicity syndrome (LENS) presents as ataxia and/or encephalopathy with supratherapeutic efavirenz plasma concentrations (>4 µg/mL). Efavirenz is primarily metabolized by cytochrome P450 2B6 (CYP2B6), with CYP2A6 as an accessory pathway. We hypothesized that participants with LENS would predominantly be CYP2B6 slow metabolizers. The aim of our study was to determine the frequency of CYP2B6 slow metabolizers in participants with LENS.

METHODS

Adult HIV-positive participants on efavirenz-based antiretroviral therapy presenting with LENS were prospectively enrolled. Genetic polymorphisms known to be associated with increased efavirenz plasma concentrations in CYP2B6 (rs3745274, rs28399499, rs4803419) and CYP2A6 (rs28399433) were selected and used to determine proportions of slow metabolizers. Pharmacokinetic analyses were performed using liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry. Median (IQR) plasma efavirenz and 8-hydroxyefavirenz were described.

RESULTS

Fifteen participants were enrolled. Thirteen (13/15) were Black-African and 13 were female. Median weight was 49.9kg with a median duration on efavirenz of 2.2 years. All 15 participants were successfully genotyped as slow CYP2B6 metabolizers, with 6 participants additionally having CYP2A6 heterozygous genotype. Thirteen were receiving the CYP2A6 enzyme inhibitor isoniazid, and all 15 were genotypic NAT2 slow or intermediate acetylators. Efavirenz plasma concentration was markedly increased at 50.5 (47.0-65.4) µg/mL; 8-hydroxyefavirenz concentration was markedly decreased at 0.10 (0.07-0.15) µg/mL.

CONCLUSIONS

Our cohort provides definitive evidence that LENS is associated with the CYP2B6 slow metabolizer genotype, with a median efavirenz plasma concentration >12-fold higher than the defined upper limit of the therapeutic range. Isoniazid and low body weight are important contributors to LENS development.

The Association of Clinical Characteristics and Tumour Markers With Image-Defined Risk Factors in the Management of Neuroblastoma in South Africa

AIMS

Image-defined risk factors (IDRFs) in neuroblastoma predict surgical complications and management outcomes. As there is a lack of data regarding the association of IDRFs with clinical and pathological factors, this study evaluated the prognostic value of IDRFs to predict neuroblastoma survival outcomes.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This was a retrospective study including 345 patients and reviewed diagnostic imaging for 20 IDRFs, pleural effusions and ascites. The IDRFs were grouped into five 'primary IDRFs' cohorts with vascular encasement, involvement of multiple body compartments, organ infiltration, airway obstruction and intraspinal extension. The association between clinical, histopathological and biological characteristics of neuroblastoma and management was evaluated.

RESULTS

More patients without IDRFs had operations compared with patients with IDRFs, with a trend towards significance (64.4% versus 35.6%, P = 0.082). Patients with multiple compartment tumour involvement (P = 0.003) and organ infiltration (P < 0.001) had a higher risk of surgical complications. The 5-year overall survival of the group with more than one IDRF was 0.0% and those with pleural effusions or ascites 6.7%, associated with the worst outcome (P = 0.005). The total number of IDRFs was not predictive of the metastatic remission rate (P = 0.585) or overall survival (P = 0.142), with no conclusive association found between IDRF groups and clinical or biological markers.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with more than one IDRF had the shortest survival time, whereas those with pleural effusions and ascites at diagnosis had a poor outcome. Standardised reporting of IDRFs is crucial for predicting prognosis.

HIV infection and anaemia do not affect HbA1c for the detection of diabetes in black South Africans: Evidence from the Durban Diabetes Study

OBJECTIVE

South Africa has a high burden of HIV infection and anaemia. These conditions may cause HbA_1c to over- or underestimate glycaemia; however, this has not been comprehensively investigated in African populations. We assessed the association of anaemia, HIV infection and antiretroviral therapy (ART) with HbA_1c , and implications for the detection and diagnosis of diabetes, in a black South African population.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

In this population-based cross-sectional study in eThekwini municipality (Durban), South Africa, we assessed HbA_1c and conducted oral glucose tolerance tests (OGTTs), HIV diagnostic tests and full blood count measurements among 1067 participants without a history of diabetes diagnosis. Linear regression was used to examine differences in HbA_1c by anaemia (comparator: no anaemia), or HIV and ART (comparator: no HIV) status. HbA_1c -based diabetes prevalence was compared with OGTT-based prevalence among individuals with anaemia and with untreated and ART-treated HIV.

RESULTS

In adjusted analyses, normocytic and microcytic anaemia were associated with higher HbA_1c compared with no anaemia, whereas macrocytic anaemia and ART-treated HIV were associated with lower HbA_1c compared with no anaemia and no HIV, respectively. However, magnitudes of association were small (range: β  = -3.4 mmol/mol or -0.31%, p < 0.001 [macrocytic anaemia] to β = 2.1 mmol/mol or 0.19%, p < 0.001 [microcytic anaemia]). There was no significant difference in diabetes prevalence based on HbA_1c or OGTT among individuals with anaemia (2.9% vs. 3.3%, p = 0.69), untreated HIV (1.6% vs. 1.6% p = 1.00) or ART-treated HIV (2.9% vs. 1.2%, p = 0.08).

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that anaemia and HIV status appear unlikely to materially affect the utility of HbA_1c for diabetes detection and diagnosis in this population. Further studies are needed to examine these associations in sub-Saharan African populations.

Estimating Vaccine Confidence Levels among Healthcare Staff and Students of a Tertiary Institution in South Africa

Healthcare workers were the first group scheduled to receive COVID-19 vaccines when they became available in South Africa. Therefore, estimating vaccine confidence levels and intention to receive COVID-19 vaccines among healthcare workers ahead of the national vaccination roll-out was imperative. We conducted an online survey from 4 February to 7 March 2021, to assess vaccine sentiments and COVID-19 vaccine intentions among healthcare staff and students at a tertiary institution in South Africa. We enrolled 1015 participants (74.7% female). Among the participants, 89.5% (confidence interval (CI) 87.2-91.4) were willing to accept a COVID-19 vaccine, 95.4% (CI 93.9-96.6) agreed that vaccines are important for them, 95.4% (CI 93.8-96.6) that vaccines are safe, 97.4% (CI 96.2-98.3) that vaccines are effective, and 96.1% (CI 94.6-97.2) that vaccines are compatible with religion. Log binomial regression revealed statistically significant positive associations between COVID-19 vaccine acceptance and the belief that vaccines are safe (relative risk (RR) 32.2, CI 4.67-221.89), effective (RR 21.4, CI 3.16-145.82), important for children (RR 3.5, CI 1.78-6.99), important for self (RR 18.5, CI 4.78-71.12), or compatible with religion (RR 2.2, CI 1.46-3.78). The vaccine confidence levels of the study respondents were highly positive. Nevertheless, this could be further enhanced by targeted interventions.

A comparison of the prevalence of sexually transmitted infections among circumcised and uncircumcised adult males in Rustenburg, South Africa: a cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

South Africa has a persistent burden of sexually transmitted infections (STIs). Male circumcision has been shown to be effective in preventing HIV and STIs, but data are scarce on the protective effect of circumcision in high-risk populations such as migrant miners. The objective of this study was to assess the effect of medical and traditional circumcision on the prevalence of STIs after adjusting for other risk factors in Rustenburg, a mining town in North West Province, South Africa.

METHODS

This cross-sectional study used baseline data collected from a cohort study. Adult males in a mining town were assessed for STIs (gonorrhea, chlamydia, and trichomoniasis) using syndromic assessment. Data on circumcision status and other risk factors for STI syndromes were collected using an interviewer-administered questionnaire. The following symptoms were assessed; penile discharge, painful urination, dyspareunia or penile sores. These symptoms indicate sexually transmitted infection in general since laboratory tests were not performed. Multivariable log binomial regression was used to assess the independent effect of circumcision on STI presence after adjusting for confounders.

RESULTS

A total of 339 participants with a median age of 25 years (IQR 22-29) were included in the study, of whom 116 (34.2%) were circumcised. The overall STIs prevalence was 27.4% (95% CI 22.8 to 32.6%) and was lower in the circumcised participants compared with those who were uncircumcised (15.5% vs 33.6%, respectively, p < 0.001). Both medical (OR 0.57, 95% CI 0.34-0.95, p = 0.030) and traditional circumcision (OR 0.34, 95% CI 0.13-0.86, p = 0.022) were strongly associated with a lower risk of STIs after adjustment for employment and condom use.

CONCLUSION

In this high-risk population in a mining town in South Africa, with a relatively high prevalence of STIs, and where one third of males are circumcised, both medical and traditional circumcision appear to be protective against STIs.

Age at diagnosis as a prognostic factor in South African children with neuroblastoma

PURPOSE

Low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) reported a higher median age at diagnosis of neuroblastoma (NB) compared to high-income countries. The aim was to determine if the optimal age at diagnosis, which maximizes the difference in overall survival between younger versus older patients in the South African population was similar to the internationally validated 18 months age cut-point.

METHODS

Four hundred sixty NB patients diagnosed between 2000 and 2016 were included. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to predict potential age cut-point values for overall survival in all risk group classifications. Risk ratios, sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values at the specific cut-points were estimated with 95% confidence intervals, and time to mortality by age at the specific cut-points was shown with Kaplan-Meier curves and compared using log-rank tests.

RESULTS

The median age at diagnosis for the total cohort was 31.9 months (range 0.2-204.7). For high-risk (HR), intermediate-risk, low-risk, and very low-risk patients, the median age at diagnosis was, respectively, 36 months (range 0.4-204.7), 16.8 months (range 0.7-145.1), 14.2 months (range 2.0-143.5), and 8.7 months (range 0.2-75.6). The ROC curves for the total NB cohort (area under the curve [AUC] 0.696; P < .001) and HR (AUC 0.682; P < .001) were analyzed further. The optimal cut-point value for the total cohort was at 19.1 months (sensitivity 59%; specificity 78%). The HR cohort had potential cut-point values identified at 18.4 months age at diagnosis (sensitivity 45%; specificity 87%) and 31.1 months (sensitivity 67%; specificity 62%). The 19.1 months cut-point value in the total cohort and the 18.4 months cut-point value in HR were as useful in predicting overall survival as 18 months age at diagnosis.

CONCLUSION

The 18 months cut-point value appears to be the appropriate age for prognostic determination, despite the higher median age at diagnosis in South Africa.

The Association between Tumour Markers and Meta-iodobenzylguanidine Scans in South African Children with High-risk Neuroblastoma

AIMS

Diagnostic and post-induction ¹²³I-meta-iodobenzylguanidine (¹²³I-mIBG) scans have prognostic significance in the treatment of neuroblastoma, but data from low- and middle-income countries are limited due to resource constraints. The aim of this study was to determine the association between neuroblastoma-associated tumour markers (lactate dehydrogenase [LDH], ferritin and MYCN amplification) and ¹²³I-mIBG scans (modified Curie scores and metastatic disease patterns) in predicting complete metastatic response rates (mCR) and overall survival.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Two hundred and ninety patients diagnosed with high-risk neuroblastoma in South Africa between January 2000 and May 2018 and a subanalysis of 78 patients with diagnostic ¹²³I-mIBG scans were included. Data collection included LDH, ferritin and MYCN amplification at diagnosis. Two nuclear physicians independently determined the modified Curie scores and pattern of distribution for each diagnostic and post-induction ¹²³I-mIBG scans with high inter-rater agreement (r = 0.952) and reliability (K = 0.805). The cut-off values for the diagnostic and post-induction modified Curie scores of ≥7.0 (P = 0.026) and 3 (P = 0.009), respectively, were generated. The association between the tumour markers and the modified Curie score of the ¹²³I-mIBG scans was determined using post-induction mCR and 2-year overall survival.

RESULTS

Diagnostic LDH (P < 0.001), ferritin (P < 0.001) and the diagnostic modified Curie scores (P = 0.019) significantly predicted mCR. Only ferritin correlated with diagnostic modified Curie scores (P = 0.003) but had a low correlation coefficient of 0.353. On multivariable analysis, the only significant covariate for 2-year overall survival at diagnosis was LDH <750 U/l (P = 0.024). A post-induction chemotherapy modified Curie score ≤3.0 had a 2-year overall survival of 46.2% compared with 30.8% for a score >3.0 (P = 0.484).

CONCLUSION

LDH, ferritin and the diagnostic ¹²³I-mIBG scans significantly predicted mCR, but only LDH predicted 2-year overall survival. Ferritin and the modified Curie scores correlated with each other. MYCN amplification neither correlated with any aspect of the ¹²³I-mIBG scans nor significantly predicted mCR or 2-year overall survival. LDH and ferritin are therefore appropriate neuroblastoma tumour markers to be used in low- and middle-income countries with limited or no access to mIBG scans and/or MYCN amplification studies.

A retrospective analysis of pathogen profile, antimicrobial resistance and mortality in neonatal hospital-acquired bloodstream infections from 2009-2018 at Tygerberg Hospital, South Africa

Background

Analysis of hospital-acquired bloodstream infection (HA-BSI) trends is important to monitor emerging antimicrobial resistance (AMR) threats and guide empiric antibiotic choices.

Methods

A retrospective 10-year review of neonatal HA-BSI was performed at Tygerberg Hospital’s neonatal unit in Cape Town, South Africa. Neonatal clinical and laboratory data from 2014 to 2018 (Period 2) was compared with published data from 2009 to 2013 (Period 1).

Results

The neonatal unit’s HA-BSI rate declined between periods from 3.9/1000 inpatient-days in Period 1 to 3.3/1000 inpatient-days in Period 2 (p = 0.002). Pathogen yield and blood culture contamination rate were unchanged (11.0% to 10.4%, p = 0.233; 5.1% to 5.3%, p = 0.636 respectively). Gram-negative pathogens predominated (1047/1636; 64.0%); Klebsiella species, Staphylococcus aureus, Serratia marcescens, Enterococcus species and Acinetobacter baumannii were the most frequent pathogens. Extended spectrum beta-lactamase production was observed in 319/432 (73.8%) of Klebsiella species, methicillin resistance in 171/246 (69.5%) of Staphylococcus aureus and extensive drug resistance in 115/137 (83.9%) of Acinetobacter species (2009–2018). The crude mortality rate of neonatal HA-BSI episodes increased from Period 1 to Period 2 from 139/717 (19.4%) to 179/718 (24.9%) (p = 0.014), but HA-BSI attributable mortality remained unchanged (97/139 [69.8%] vs 118/179 [65.9%], p = 0.542). The in-vitro activity of piperacillin-tazobactam and amikacin declined during Period 2 (74.6% to 61.4%; p<0.001).

Conclusion

Although HA-BSI rates declined in the neonatal unit, antimicrobial resistance rates in BSI pathogens remained high. Continuous BSI surveillance is a valuable tool to detect changes in pathogen and AMR profiles and inform empiric antibiotic recommendations for neonatal units in resource-limited settings.

Incident tuberculosis disease in patients receiving biologic therapies in the Western Cape, South Africa from 2007 to 2018

BACKGROUND

South Africa has one of the highest tuberculosis incidence rates. Biologic disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs are associated with an increased risk of tuberculosis. The objective of this study was to describe the tuberculosis disease incidence rate among public sector patients receiving biologic therapies in the Western Cape Province.

METHODS

A retrospective, descriptive analysis was undertaken using routine health data collated by the Provincial Health Data Centre from January 2007 (first use of biologic therapy in the Western Cape) to September 2018.

RESULTS

We identified 609 patients treated with tumour necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-α) or non-TNF-α biologic therapies. Thirty-seven (37) patients developed tuberculosis after biologic therapy exposure, of whom the majority (78%) had an immune mediated inflammatory disease and the remainder (22%) a haematologic malignancy. The incidence rate of tuberculosis per 100,000 person-years was 2227 overall [95% confidence interval (CI): 1591, 3037]. Patients treated with TNF-α inhibitors and non-TNF-α inhibitors had estimated incidence rates of 2819 [95% CI: 1669, 4480] and 1825 [95% CI: 1131, 2797], respectively (p = 0.10).

CONCLUSION

Patients exposed to both TNF-α and non-TNF-α biologic therapies may have a higher incidence of tuberculosis disease compared to the background risk of 681 cases per 100,000 per year in the Western Cape.

Calcium channel blockers for people with chronic kidney disease requiring dialysis

BACKGROUND

Calcium channel blockers (CCBs) are used to manage hypertension which is highly prevalent among people with chronic kidney disease (CKD). The treatment for hypertension is particularly challenging in people undergoing dialysis.

OBJECTIVES

To assess the benefits and harms of calcium channel blockers in patients with chronic kidney disease requiring dialysis.

SEARCH METHODS

We searched the Cochrane Kidney and Transplant Register of Studies to 27 April 2020 through contact with the Information Specialist using search terms relevant to this review. Studies in the Specialised Register are identified through searches of CENTRAL, MEDLINE, and EMBASE, conference proceedings, the International Clinical Trials Register (ICTRP) Search Portal and ClinicalTrials.gov.

SELECTION CRITERIA

All randomised controlled trials (RCTs) and quasi-RCTs that compared any type of CCB with other CCB, different doses of the same CCB, other antihypertensives, control or placebo were included. The minimum study duration was 12 weeks.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Two authors independently assessed study quality and extracted data. Statistical analyses were performed using a random-effects model and results expressed as risk ratio (RR), risk difference (RD) or mean difference (MD) with 95% confidence intervals (CI).

MAIN RESULTS

This review included 13 studies (24 reports) randomising 1459 participants treated with long-term haemodialysis. Nine studies were included in the meta-analysis (622 participants). No studies were performed in children or in those undergoing peritoneal dialysis. Overall, risk of bias was assessed as unclear to high across most domains. Random sequence generation and allocation concealment were at low risk of bias in eight and one studies, respectively. Two studies reported low risk methods for blinding of participants and investigators, and outcome assessment was blinded in 10 studies. Three studies were at low risk of attrition bias, eight studies were at low risk of selective reporting bias, and five studies were at low risk of other potential sources of bias. Overall, the certainty of the evidence was low to very low for all outcomes. No events were reported for cardiovascular death in any of the comparisons. Other side effects were rarely reported and studies were not designed to measure costs. Five studies (451 randomised adults) compared dihydropyridine CCBs to placebo or no treatment. Dihydropyridine CCBs may decrease predialysis systolic (1 study, 39 participants: MD -27.00 mmHg, 95% CI -43.33 to -10.67; low certainty evidence) and diastolic blood pressure level (2 studies, 76 participants; MD -13.56 mmHg, 95% CI -19.65 to -7.48; I² = 0%, low certainty evidence) compared to placebo or no treatment. Dihydropyridine CCBs may make little or no difference to occurrence of intradialytic hypotension (2 studies, 287 participants; RR 0.54, 95% CI 0.25 to 1.15; I² = 0%, low certainty evidence) compared to placebo or no treatment. Other side effects were not reported. Eight studies (1037 randomised adults) compared dihydropyridine CCBs to other antihypertensives. Dihydropyridine CCBs may make little or no difference to predialysis systolic (4 studies, 180 participants: MD 2.44 mmHg, 95% CI -3.74 to 8.62; I² = 0%, low certainty evidence) and diastolic blood pressure (4 studies, 180 participants: MD 1.49 mmHg, 95% CI -2.23 to 5.21; I² = 0%, low certainty evidence) compared to other antihypertensives. There was no evidence of a difference in the occurrence of intradialytic hypotension (1 study, 92 participants: RR 2.88, 95% CI 0.12 to 68.79; very low certainty evidence) between dihydropyridine CCBs to other antihypertensives. Other side effects were not reported. Dihydropyridine CCB may make little or no difference to predialysis systolic (1 study, 40 participants: MD -4 mmHg, 95% CI -11.99 to 3.99; low certainty evidence) and diastolic blood pressure (1 study, 40 participants: MD -3.00 mmHg, 95% CI -7.06 to 1.06; low certainty evidence) compared to non-dihydropyridine CCB. There was no evidence of a difference in other side effects (1 study, 40 participants: RR 0.13, 95% CI 0.01 to 2.36; very low certainty evidence) between dihydropyridine CCB and non-dihydropyridine CCB. Intradialytic hypotension was not reported.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

The benefits of CCBs over other antihypertensives on predialysis blood pressure levels and intradialytic hypotension among people with CKD who required haemodialysis were uncertain. Effects of CCBs on other side effects and cardiovascular death also remain uncertain. Dihydropyridine CCBs may decrease predialysis systolic and diastolic blood pressure level compared to placebo or no treatment. No studies were identified in children or peritoneal dialysis. Available studies have not been designed to measure the effects on costs. The shortcomings of the studies were that they recruited very few participants, had few events, had very short follow-up periods, some outcomes were not reported, and the reporting of outcomes such as changes in blood pressure was not done uniformly across studies. Well-designed RCTs, conducted in both adults and children with CKD requiring both haemodialysis and peritoneal dialysis, evaluating both dihydropyridine and non-dihydropyridine CCBs against other antihypertensives are required. Future research should be focused on outcomes relevant to patients (including death and cardiovascular disease), blood pressure changes, risk of side effects and healthcare costs to assist decision-making in clinical practice.

An empirical comparison of time-to-event models to analyse a composite outcome in the presence of death as a competing risk

INTRODUCTION

Competing risks arise when subjects are exposed to multiple mutually exclusive failure events, and the occurrence of one failure hinders the occurrence of other failure events. In the presence of competing risks, it is important to use methods accounting for competing events because failure to account for these events might result in misleading inferences.

METHODS AND OBJECTIVE

Using data from a multisite retrospective observational longitudinal study done in Ethiopia, we performed sensitivity analyses using Fine-Gray model, Cause-specific Cox (Cox-CSH) model, Cause-specific Accelerated Failure Time (CS-AFT) model, accounting for death as a competing risk to determine baseline covariates that are associated with a composite of unfavourable retention in care outcomes in people living with Human Immune Virus who were on both Isoniazid preventive therapy (IPT) and antiretroviral therapy (ART). Non-cause specific (non-CSH) model that does not account for competing risk was also performed. The composite outcome comprises of loss to follow-up, stopped treatment and death. Age, World Health Organisation (WHO) stage, gender, and CD4 count were the considered baseline covariates.

RESULTS

We included 3578 patients in our analysis. WHO stage III-or-IV was significantly associated with the composite of unfavourable outcomes, Sub-hazard ratio (SHR) = 1.31, 95% confidence interval (CI):1.04-1.65 for the sub-distribution hazard model, hazard ratio [HR] = 1.31, 95% CI:1.05-1.65, for the Cox-CSH model, and HR = 0.81, 95% CI:0.69-0.96, for the CS-AFT model. Gender and WHO stage were found to be significantly associated with the composite of unfavourable outcomes, HR = 1.56, 95% CI:1.27-1.90, HR = 1.28, 95% CI: 1.06-1.55 for males and WHO stage III-or-IV, respectively for the non-CSH model.

CONCLUSIONS

Results show that WHO stage III-or-IV is significantly associated with unfavourable outcomes. The results from competing risk models were consistent. However, results obtained from the non-CSH model were inconsistent with those obtained from competing risk analysis models.

Functional outcome of stroke inpatients according to human immunodeficiency virus status: A feasibility study

Background

Stroke in human immunodeficiency virus positive (HIV+) individuals is becoming an increasing concern. Being significantly younger than typical stroke patients, the impact of functional challenges on quality of life and burden on society becomes more eminent.

Objectives

This feasibility study aims to determine the requirements for a large descriptive cohort, to adequately describe the functional outcome of stroke patients with varying HIV status.

Method

All stroke patients meeting the inclusion criteria were recruited over a 6-month period at a South African inpatient rehabilitation centre. Data were collected on admission and discharge using outcome measures including the Barthel Index (BI), Berg Balance Scale (BBS) and the use of assistive devices used to describe independence with activities of daily living (ADL), mobility and safety post-stroke. Statistical analysis was performed using Stata version 14.2.

Results

The feasibility study identified appropriate procedures and barriers to a successful study in addition to describing preliminary data on participant demographics, relevant medical history and functional outcomes post-stroke. Limitations that affected feasibility included minimal recruitment sites, length of data collection period, timely communication of participant discharge plans and dates, and confirmation of participant HIV status. An appropriate comparison between sub-groups could not be made because of disproportionate group sizes, median age differences and no assessor blinding.

Conclusion

To increase generalisability and the understanding of the unique HIV+ stroke profile, multiple recruitment sites, longer data collection periods, assessor blinding and age-matched groups with HIV status confirmation are recommended.

Statin prescription among patients with type 2 diabetes in Botswana: findings and implications

BACKGROUND

There is evidence of statin benefit among patients with diabetes regardless of cholesterol levels or prior cardiovascular disease history. Despite the evidence, there is under-prescription of statins in clinical practice. This study aimed to assess statin prescriptions and associated factors among patients with type 2 diabetes in Botswana.

METHODS

The study was a secondary data analysis of 500 randomly selected type 2 diabetes patients at a specialised diabetes clinic at Gaborone, Botswana. We assessed the proportion of statin-eligible patients who are prescribed statins and evaluated the adjusted associations between various factors and statin prescriptions.

RESULTS

Overall, 477 (95.4%) participants were eligible for a statin prescription. Clinicians prescribed statins in 217 (45.5%) of eligible participants, and only one (4.4%) ineligible participant. The probability of a statin prescription was higher in participants with high baseline low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (risk ratio [RR]: 1.49; 95%CI: 1.17-1.89), increasing duration of diabetes (RR: 1.01; 95%CI 1.00-1.03) and the presence of chronic kidney disease (RR: 1.35; 95%CI: 1.06-1.74).

CONCLUSION

A large proportion with type 2 diabetes in Gaborone is not receiving statins. Clinicians did not consider most guideline-recommended indications for statin prescriptions. The findings call for improvement in diabetes quality of care by implementing evidence-based guideline recommendations.

Factors influencing the confidence and knowledge of nurses prescribing antiretroviral treatment in a rural and urban district in the Western Cape province

Background

Since the introduction of nurse-initiated and managed antiretroviral treatment (NIMART) in South Africa in 2010, initiation of antiretroviral therapy (ART) in primary care has become the responsibility of nurses. The continued success of this approach is dependent on factors such as adequate training and effective support systems.

Objectives

This study aimed to investigate factors influencing the knowledge and confidence of professional nurses in managing patients living with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) in primary healthcare settings in a rural and urban district in the Western Cape.

Methods

A cross-sectional survey was conducted amongst 77 NIMART-trained nurses from 29 healthcare facilities to measure demographic details, influencing factors, HIV management confidence and HIV management knowledge.

Results

The majority of participants had adequate HIV management knowledge and reported being very confident or expert in the HIV management skills or competencies. Participants trained recently on local guidelines (Practical Approach to Care Kit) (3 years ago or less) had significantly higher knowledge scores. Regular feedback about clinic and personal performance was associated with higher HIV management knowledge. Participants who received NIMART mentoring over a period of 2 weeks had a higher mean confidence score compared to other periods of mentoring. A higher caseload of patients living with HIV was also associated with higher knowledge and confidence.

Conclusion

Training, mentorship and clinical practice experience are associated with knowledge and confidence. Recommendations include the strengthening of current training and mentoring and ensuring that NIMART-trained nurses are provided with regular updates and sufficient opportunities for clinical practice.

The ASOS Surgical Risk Calculator: development and validation of a tool for identifying African surgical patients at risk of severe postoperative complications

BACKGROUND

The African Surgical Outcomes Study (ASOS) showed that surgical patients in Africa have a mortality twice the global average. Existing risk assessment tools are not valid for use in this population because the pattern of risk for poor outcomes differs from high-income countries. The objective of this study was to derive and validate a simple, preoperative risk stratification tool to identify African surgical patients at risk for in-hospital postoperative mortality and severe complications.

METHODS

ASOS was a 7-day prospective cohort study of adult patients undergoing surgery in Africa. The ASOS Surgical Risk Calculator was constructed with a multivariable logistic regression model for the outcome of in-hospital mortality and severe postoperative complications. The following preoperative risk factors were entered into the model; age, sex, smoking status, ASA physical status, preoperative chronic comorbid conditions, indication for surgery, urgency, severity, and type of surgery.

RESULTS

The model was derived from 8799 patients from 168 African hospitals. The composite outcome of severe postoperative complications and death occurred in 423/8799 (4.8%) patients. The ASOS Surgical Risk Calculator includes the following risk factors: age, ASA physical status, indication for surgery, urgency, severity, and type of surgery. The model showed good discrimination with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.805 and good calibration with c-statistic corrected for optimism of 0.784.

CONCLUSIONS

This simple preoperative risk calculator could be used to identify high-risk surgical patients in African hospitals and facilitate increased postoperative surveillance.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

NCT03044899.

Patient satisfaction and treatment adherence of stable human immunodeficiency virus-positive patients in antiretroviral adherence clubs and clinics

BACKGROUND

South Africa has experienced a substantial increase in access to antiretroviral treatment (ART) in recent years. Effective strategies to manage access to treatment need to be incorporated into and implemented in ART programmes. Antiretroviral treatment adherence clubs are a new strategy that is being implemented in various parts of South Africa.

AIM

The aim of the study was to investigate treatment adherence and patient satisfaction of stable human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) patients on ART in ART adherence clubs and clinics.

SETTING

The study was conducted in the Eden district of the Western Cape, South Africa.

METHODS

A cross-sectional analytical study was conducted to examine the relationships between patient satisfaction and treatment adherence in ART adherence clubs and clinics in the Eden district, Western Cape province, South Africa. Validated questionnaires were used to measure patient satisfaction and self-reported treatment adherence.

RESULTS

The study included 320 participants (98 club and 222 clinic) from 13 primary health care clinics. The analyses showed that higher levels of satisfaction could be predicted with club participants compared to clinic participants (p = 0.05). There was no significant difference between clinic and club participants with regards to treatment adherence. However, being adherent was more likely in participants who were satisfied (odds ratio = 3.18, 95% confidence interval [1.14-7.11], p < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

Antiretroviral treatment adherence clubs provide a service that patients are more satisfied with although they are not more adherent to treatment. This strategy may be effective for the delivery of long-term care for patients on ART.

Prevalence and risk factors of metabolic syndrome in HIV-infected adults at three urban clinics in a post-conflict setting, eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo

OBJECTIVE

To determine the prevalence of and risk factors for metabolic syndrome (MS) in HIV-infected adults at three urban clinics in Bukavu, Democratic Republic of the Congo.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional study.

METHODS

From July to September 2016, baseline socio-demographics, risk factors and clinical characteristics were collected using a structured questionnaire or extracted from medical records. Fasting blood sugar and lipids were measured. MS was defined per the National Cholesterol Education Program (NCEP) Adult Treatment Panel III (ATP III) and the International Diabetes Federation (IDF) criteria. Adjusted odds ratio (OR) was generated through multivariate logistic regression models.

RESULTS

Of 495 participants, 356 (72%) were women and 474 (95.8%) were receiving antiretroviral therapy (ART). The median age (years) [interquartile range (IQR)] was 43 [36-51]. The overall prevalence of MS per NECP/ATP III and IDF criteria was 27% [95% CI: 20-35%] or 30% [95% CI: 23-38%], respectively. In a multivariate logistic regression, low physical activity (OR 2.47, 95% CI: 1.40-4.36); daily exposure to biomass fuel smoke (BMF) for more than 2 h (OR 2.18, 95% CI: 1.01-4.68); protease inhibitor containing ART (OR: 2.96, 95% CI: 1.07-8.18); and stavudine-containing ART regimen (OR: 2.57, 95% CI: 1.11-5.93) were independently associated with MS.

CONCLUSIONS

MS was highly prevalent in this hospital-based study population. Beside known traditional risk factors and contribution of specific ART regimens to MS, daily exposure to BMF is new and of specific concern, necessitating targeted urgent prevention and management interventions.

The Etiology of Intraocular Inflammation in HIV Positive and HIV Negative Adults at a Tertiary Hospital in Cape Town, South Africa

PURPOSE

To describe the patterns of uveitis in South Africa.

METHODS

Prospective cross-sectional study.

RESULTS

One hundred and six patients were enrolled and 37.7% had human immune-deficiency virus (HIV) infection. Anterior and panuveitis occurred most frequently. Infectious, non-infectious and idiopathic uveitis were diagnosed in 66.0%, 17.0% and 17.0% of all cases, respectively. Eighty percent of HIV+ cases had infectious uveitis. Overall, intraocular tuberculosis (IOTB), herpetic and syphilitic uveitis were the commonest infectious causes. Sarcoidosis and HLA-B27-associated uveitis were the commonest non-infectious causes. In anterior uveitis, HIV+ cases most frequently had probable IOTB, syphilitic or idiopathic uveitis while HIV- cases had possible IOTB, idiopathic or HLA-B27-associated uveitis. In panuveitis, HIV+ cases mostly had syphilis, probable IOTB, toxoplasma and varicella-zoster virus whereas HIV- cases mostly had possible IOTB, sarcoidosis and idiopathic uveitis.

CONCLUSION

Infectious uveitis is common in South Africa, especially amongst HIV+ patients. Causes of anterior and panuveitis differ between HIV+ and HIV- patients.

Perioperative patient outcomes in the African Surgical Outcomes Study: a 7-day prospective observational cohort study

BACKGROUND

There is a need to increase access to surgical treatments in African countries, but perioperative complications represent a major global health-care burden. There are few studies describing surgical outcomes in Africa.

METHODS

We did a 7-day, international, prospective, observational cohort study of patients aged 18 years and older undergoing any inpatient surgery in 25 countries in Africa (the African Surgical Outcomes Study). We aimed to recruit as many hospitals as possible using a convenience sampling survey, and required data from at least ten hospitals per country (or half the surgical centres if there were fewer than ten hospitals) and data for at least 90% of eligible patients from each site. Each country selected one recruitment week between February and May, 2016. The primary outcome was in-hospital postoperative complications, assessed according to predefined criteria and graded as mild, moderate, or severe. Data were presented as median (IQR), mean (SD), or n (%), and compared using t tests. This study is registered on the South African National Health Research Database (KZ_2015RP7_22) and ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT03044899).

FINDINGS

We recruited 11 422 patients (median 29 [IQR 10-70]) from 247 hospitals during the national cohort weeks. Hospitals served a median population of 810 000 people (IQR 200 000-2 000 000), with a combined number of specialist surgeons, obstetricians, and anaesthetists totalling 0·7 (0·2-1·9) per 100 000 population. Hospitals did a median of 212 (IQR 65-578) surgical procedures per 100 000 population each year. Patients were younger (mean age 38·5 years [SD 16·1]), with a lower risk profile (American Society of Anesthesiologists median score 1 [IQR 1-2]) than reported in high-income countries. 1253 (11%) patients were infected with HIV, 6504 procedures (57%) were urgent or emergent, and the most common procedure was caesarean delivery (3792 patients, 33%). Postoperative complications occurred in 1977 (18·2%, 95% CI 17·4-18·9]) of 10 885 patients. 239 (2·1%) of 11 193 patients died, 225 (94·1%) after the day of surgery. Infection was the most common complication (1156 [10·2%] of 10 970 patients), of whom 112 (9·7%) died.

INTERPRETATION

Despite a low-risk profile and few postoperative complications, patients in Africa were twice as likely to die after surgery when compared with the global average for postoperative deaths. Initiatives to increase access to surgical treatments in Africa therefore should be coupled with improved surveillance for deteriorating physiology in patients who develop postoperative complications, and the resources necessary to achieve this objective.

FUNDING

Medical Research Council of South Africa.

Nurse led home-based care for people with HIV/AIDS

BACKGROUND

Home-based care is used in many countries to increase quality of life and limit hospital stay, particularly where public health services are overburdened. Home-based care objectives for HIV/AIDS can include medical care, delivery of antiretroviral treatment and psychosocial support. This review assesses the effects of home-based nursing on morbidity in people infected with HIV/AIDS.

METHODS

The trials studied are in HIV positive adults and children, regardless of sex or setting and all randomised controlled. Home-based care provided by qualified nurses was compared with hospital or health-facility based treatment. The following electronic databases were searched from January 1980 to March 2015: AIDSearch, CINAHL, Cochrane Register of Controlled Trials, EMBASE, MEDLINE and PsycINFO/LIT, with an updated search in November 2016. Two authors independently screened titles and abstracts from the electronic search based on the study design, interventions and types of participant. For all selected abstracts, full text articles were obtained. The final study selection was determined with use of an eligibility form. Data extraction was performed independently from assessment of risk of bias. The results were analysed by narrative synthesis, in order to be able to obtain relevant effect measures plus 95% confidence intervals.

RESULTS

Seven studies met the inclusion criteria. The trial size varied from 37 to 238 participants. Only one trial was conducted in children. Five studies were conducted in the USA and two in China. Four studies looked at home-based adherence support and the rest at providing home-based psychosocial support. Reported adherence to antiretroviral drugs improved with nurse-led home-based care but did not affect viral load. Psychiatric nurse support in those with existing mental health conditions improved mental health and depressive symptoms. Home-based psychological support impacted on HIV stigma, worry and physical functioning and in certain cases depressive symptoms.

CONCLUSIONS

Nurse-led home-based interventions could help adherence to antiretroviral therapy and improve mental health. Further larger scale studies are needed, looking in more detail at improving medical care for HIV, especially related to screening and management of opportunistic infections and co-morbidities.

The perceived impact of family physicians on the district health system in South Africa: a cross-sectional survey

BACKGROUND

Evidence from first world contexts support the notion that strong primary health care teams contain family physicians (FPs). African leaders are looking for evidence from their own context. The roles and scope of practice of FPs are also contextually defined. The South African family medicine discipline has agreed on six roles. These roles were incorporated into a family physician impact assessment tool, previously validated in the Western Cape Province.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study design was used to assess the perceived impact of family physicians across seven South African provinces. All FPs working in the district health system (DHS) of these seven provinces were invited to participate. Sixteen respondents (including the FP) per enrolled FP were asked to complete the validated 360-degree assessment tool.

RESULTS

A total number of 52 FPs enrolled for the survey (a response rate of 56.5%) with a total number of 542 respondents. The mean number of respondents per FP was 10.4 (SD = 3.9). The perceived impact made by FPs was high for five of the six roles. Co-workers rated their FP's impact across all six roles as higher, compared to the other doctors at the same facility. The perceived beneficial impact was experienced equally across the whole study setting, with no significant differences when comparing location (rural vs. metropolitan), facility type or training model (graduation before and ≥ 2011).

CONCLUSIONS

The findings support the need to increase the deployment of family physicians in the DHS and to increase the number being trained as per the national position paper.

The Influence of Family Physicians Within the South African District Health System: A Cross-Sectional Study

PURPOSE

Evidence of the influence of family physicians on health care is required to assist managers and policy makers with human resource planning in Africa. The international argument for family physicians derives mainly from research in high-income countries, so this study aimed to evaluate the influence of family physicians on the South African district health system.

METHODS

We conducted a cross-sectional observational study in 7 South African provinces, comparing 15 district hospitals and 15 community health centers (primary care facilities) with family physicians and the same numbers without family physicians. Facilities with and without family physicians were matched on factors such as province, setting, and size.

RESULTS

Among district hospitals, those with family physicians generally scored better on indicators of health system performance and clinical processes, and they had significantly fewer modifiable factors associated with pediatric mortality (mean, 2.2 vs 4.7, P =.049). In contrast, among community health centers, those with family physicians generally scored more poorly on indicators of health system performance and clinical processes, with significantly poorer mean scores for continuity of care (2.79 vs 3.03; P =.03) and coordination of care (3.05 vs 3.51; P =.02).

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, having family physicians on staff was associated with better indicators of performance and processes in district hospitals but not in community health centers. The latter was surprising and is inconsistent with the global literature, suggesting that further research is needed on the influence of family physicians at the primary care level.

Polymerase Chain Reaction and Goldmann-Witmer Coefficient Testing in the Diagnosis of Infectious Uveitis in HIV-Positive and HIV-Negative Patients in South Africa

PURPOSE

To use polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and Goldmann-Witmer coefficient (GWC) calculation to diagnose infectious uveitis.

METHODS

Prospective cross-sectional study.

RESULTS

Twenty-seven of 106 patients had positive PCR and/or GWC results on aqueous humor (AH) sampling and 15 of 27 (55.6%) were HIV-positive. Patients with non-anterior uveitis (NAU) were more likely to be HIV+ (p = 0.005). More than 1 possible pathogen was identified in 9 of 27 patients of whom 7 were HIV+. The final clinical diagnosis was discordant with AH findings in 9 of 27 cases. A positive EBV PCR result was associated with a discordant diagnosis (p = 0.001). All cases of herpetic anterior uveitis (42.9% HIV+) tested PCR-/GWC+ while all cases of herpetic NAU tested PCR+/GWC- (83.3% HIV+). All rubella virus cases were PCR+/GWC+.

CONCLUSION

PCR is useful to diagnose herpetic NAU in HIV+ patients while GWC is useful to diagnose herpetic anterior uveitis.

A cross sectional survey to evaluate knowledge, attitudes and practices regarding seasonal influenza and influenza vaccination among diabetics in Pretoria, South Africa

BACKGROUND

In South Africa, influenza vaccination is recommended to all diabetics. However, vaccination coverage among diabetics remains low. Therefore, this study aimed to explore the knowledge, attitudes, and practices among people with diabetes in Pretoria regarding seasonal influenza and influenza vaccination.

METHOD

A cross-sectional survey was conducted among type 1 and 2 diabetes mellitus patients who attended diabetic clinics in two major tertiary hospitals in Pretoria, South Africa from October to December 2015. The pilot-tested questionnaire consists of 32 quantitative questions that covered seasonal influenza and influenza vaccination in terms of the patient's demographics, medical history and knowledge, attitudes and practices.

RESULTS

A total of 292 completed questionnaires were received with a response rate of 70.0%. Of these, 162 participants (55.5%) believed that influenza is the same as common cold. While 96 (32.9%) participants were aware that they were at higher risk of complications of influenza, only 86 (29.5%) participants considered vaccination as an effective means in preventing serious influenza-related complication. Even though 167 (57.2%) participants had heard of the vaccine to prevent influenza, only 84 (28.8%) participants were previously vaccinated. Multivariate analysis shows that participants with good attitude score for influenza vaccination were 18.4 times more likely to be vaccinated compared with those with poor attitude score (OR =18.4, 95%CI. 5.28-64.10, p = .001). Among those previously vaccinated, advice from their doctors (82/84, 97.6%) was the main factor encouraging vaccination. Top reasons given by participants who had never been vaccinated before (208/292, 71.2%) include use of alternative protection (107/208, 51.4%) and that vaccination is not necessary because flu is just a minor illness (93/208, 44.7%).

CONCLUSION

Uptake of seasonal vaccination among diabetics in Pretoria is low. Level of knowledge and perception are the main barriers to vaccination. Health care provider's advice may be an important key predictor of previous influenza vaccination and they should continue to educate and encourage all diabetics to get vaccinated for influenza at least once yearly.

Con: Meta-analysis: some key limitations and potential solutions

Meta-analysis, a statistical combination of results of several trials to produce a summary effect, has been subject to criticism in the past, mainly for the reasons of poor quality of included studies, heterogeneity between studies meta-analyzed and failing to address publication bias. These limitations can cause the results to be misleading, which is important if policy and practice decisions are based on systematic reviews and meta-analyses. We elaborate on these limitations and illustrate them with examples from the nephrology literature. Finally, we present some potential solutions, notably, education in meta-analysis for evidence producers and consumers as well as the use of individual patient data for meta-analyses.

The Role of QuantiFERON®-TB Gold and Tuberculin Skin Test as Diagnostic Tests for Intraocular Tuberculosis in HIV-Positive and HIV-Negative Patients in South Africa

PURPOSE

To compare QuantiFERON®-TB Gold and tuberculin skin testing as diagnostic tests for intraocular tuberculosis in HIV positive and negative patients.

METHODS

A prospective study evaluating two different tests to help diagnose intraocular tuberculosis.

RESULTS

Thirty-five of 106 patients (33.0%) were diagnosed with intraocular tuberculosis including 11 (31.4%) with HIV infection. Patients were 6.95 times more likely to have intraocular tuberculosis if TST alone was positive (p < 0.001) versus 2.19 times more likely if Quantiferon alone was positive (p = 0.04). Tuberculin skin testing showed superior specificity (60.3% vs 33.3%) (p = 0.001) but similar sensitivity (90.3% vs 85.7%), positive (54.9% vs 40.5%) and negative predictive values (92.1% vs 81.5%) compared to Quantiferon. Specificity did not increase significantly if both skin testing and Quantiferon were positive.

CONCLUSIONS

In South Africa, with its high HIV burden and limited public health resources, Quantiferon testing should not replace tuberculin skin testing as it provides little additional diagnostic information.

Examining the influence of family physician supply on district health system performance in South Africa: An ecological analysis of key health indicators

Background

The supply of appropriate health workers is a key building block in the World Health Organization’s model of effective health systems. Primary care teams are stronger if they contain doctors with postgraduate training in family medicine. The contribution of such family physicians to the performance of primary care systems has not been evaluated in the African context. Family physicians with postgraduate training entered the South African district health system (DHS) from 2011.

Aim

This study aimed to evaluate the impact of family physicians within the DHS of South Africa. The objectives were to evaluate the impact of an increase in family physician supply in each district (number per 10 000 population) on key health indicators.

Setting

All 52 South African health districts were included as units of analysis.

Methods

An ecological study evaluated the correlations between the supply of family physicians and routinely collected data on district performance for two time periods: 2010/2011 and 2014/2015.

Results

Five years after the introduction of the new generation of family physicians, this study showed no demonstrable correlation between family physician supply and improved health indicators from the macro-perspective of the district.

Conclusion

The lack of a measurable impact at the level of the district is most likely because of the very low supply of family physicians in the public sector. Studies which evaluate impact closer to the family physician’s circle of control may be better positioned to demonstrate a measurable impact in the short term.

The Prevalence of Intraocular Tuberculosis in HIV-positive and HIV-negative Patients in South Africa Using a Revised Classification System

PURPOSE

To report the prevalence of intraocular tuberculosis in South Africa using a revised classification system.

METHODS

A prospective study to determine the underlying etiology in patients presenting with uveitis to a tertiary Eye Clinic.

RESULTS

A total of 35 out of 106 patients (33.0%) were diagnosed with intraocular tuberculosis, of which 11 (31.4%) had HIV infection; 23 patients (65.7%) had possible intraocular tuberculosis and 12 (34.3%) had probable intraocular tuberculosis. Patients with probable intraocular tuberculosis were younger than those with possible intraocular tuberculosis (p = 0.003). More males (66.7%) had probable intraocular tuberculosis and more females (73.9%) had possible intraocular tuberculosis (p = 0.031). More HIV-positive patients had probable intraocular tuberculosis and more HIV-negative patients had possible intraocular tuberculosis (p = 0.002).

CONCLUSIONS

South Africa has a high prevalence of intraocular tuberculosis. Younger, male, HIV-positive patients are more likely to have probable intraocular tuberculosis, while older, female, HIV-negative patients are more likely to have possible intraocular tuberculosis.

Burkitt's Lymphoma and B-Cell Lymphoma Unclassifiable With Features Intermediate Between Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma and Burkitt's Lymphoma in Patients With HIV: Outcomes in a South African Public Hospital

Purpose

Burkitt’s lymphoma (BL) is a common HIV-associated lymphoma in South Africa. B-cell lymphoma unclassifiable with features intermediate between diffuse large B-cell lymphoma and Burkitt’s lymphoma (BL/DLBCL) also occurs in HIV infection. Outcomes of HIV-infected patients with BL or BL/DLBCL in a resource-constrained setting are not defined.

Methods

We performed a retrospective study of HIV-positive patients with BL or BL/DLBCL treated from 2004 to 2012 with curative intent at a publically funded academic medical center in South Africa. Differences between BL and BL/DLBCL, survival outcomes, and factors associated with survival were analyzed.

Results

There were 35 patients with either HIV-associated BL (24) or BL/DLBCL (11) who met study criteria. Median CD4⁺ T-lymphocyte count at lymphoma diagnosis was 188 cells/μL (range, 10 to 535 cells/μL). Patients with BL/DLBCL were significantly older and had less bone marrow involvement and lower baseline serum lactase dehydrogenase than patients with BL. Eighty-nine percent of patients presented with advanced disease, and 25% had baseline CNS involvement. Chemotherapy regimens consisted of cytoreduction with low-dose cyclophosphamide, vincristine, and prednisone followed by induction with vincristine, methotrexate, cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin and prednisone (LMB 86; 57%); hyperfractionated cyclophosphamide, vincristine, doxorubicin, dexamethasone, methotrexate, and cytarabine (hyper-CVAD; 20%); cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, and prednisone and high-dose methotrexate with leucovorin rescue on day 10 with accompanying prophylactic IT chemotherapy (Stanford regimen; 14%); and cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, and prednisone (CHOP-like; 9%) regimens. Twenty-three patients received CNS treatment or prophylaxis, and 31 received concurrent combination antiretroviral therapy. Two-year overall survival was 38% (95% CI, 22% to 54%) and 2-year event-free survival was 23% (95% CI, 11% to 38%), with no difference between histologic subtypes. Common causes of death were infection (41%) and CNS disease progression or systemic relapse (41%).

Conclusion

Cure of HIV-associated BL and BL/DLBCL with intensive regimens is possible in resource-limited settings, but lower toxicity regimens, improved CNS prophylaxis, and increased resources for supportive care are required.

Burden of Diabetes and First Evidence for the Utility of HbA1c for Diagnosis and Detection of Diabetes in Urban Black South Africans: The Durban Diabetes Study

OBJECTIVE

Glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) is recommended as an additional tool to glucose-based measures (fasting plasma glucose [FPG] and 2-hour plasma glucose [2PG] during oral glucose tolerance test [OGTT]) for the diagnosis of diabetes; however, its use in sub-Saharan African populations is not established. We assessed prevalence estimates and the diagnosis and detection of diabetes based on OGTT, FPG, and HbA1c in an urban black South African population.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We conducted a population-based cross-sectional survey using multistage cluster sampling of adults aged ≥18 years in Durban (eThekwini municipality), KwaZulu-Natal. All participants had a 75-g OGTT and HbA1c measurements. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to assess the overall diagnostic accuracy of HbA1c, using OGTT as the reference, and to determine optimal HbA1c cut-offs.

RESULTS

Among 1190 participants (851 women, 92.6% response rate), the age-standardised prevalence of diabetes was 12.9% based on OGTT, 11.9% based on FPG, and 13.1% based on HbA1c. In participants without a previous history of diabetes (n = 1077), using OGTT as the reference, an HbA1c ≥48 mmol/mol (6.5%) detected diabetes with 70.3% sensitivity (95%CI 52.7-87.8) and 98.7% specificity (95%CI 97.9-99.4) (AUC 0.94 [95%CI 0.89-1.00]). Additional analyses suggested the optimal HbA1c cut-off for detection of diabetes in this population was 42 mmol/mol (6.0%) (sensitivity 89.2% [95%CI 78.6-99.8], specificity 92.0% [95%CI: 90.3-93.7]).

CONCLUSIONS

In an urban black South African population, we found a high prevalence of diabetes and provide the first evidence for the utility of HbA1c for the diagnosis and detection of diabetes in black Africans in sub-Saharan Africa.

A cross-sectional, facility based study of comorbid non-communicable diseases among adults living with HIV infection in Zimbabwe

BACKGROUND

Increased antiretroviral therapy uptake in sub-Saharan Africa has resulted in improved survival of the infected. Opportunistic infections are declining as leading causes of morbidity and mortality. Though comprehensive data are lacking, concern has been raised about the rapid emergence of non-communicable diseases (NCDs) in the African HIV care setting. We therefore set out to characterise the NCD/HIV burden among adults living and ageing with HIV infection in Zimbabwe.

METHODS

We conducted a cross-sectional study among patients receiving care in a public sector facility. We reviewed patient records and determined the prevalence of comorbid and multi-morbid NCDs. Associations with patient characteristics were evaluated using univariate and multi-variate logistic regression modelling. Significance testing was done using 2-sided p values and 95 % confidence intervals calculated.

RESULTS

We recruited 1033 participants. 31 % were men. Significant gender differences included: older median age, more advanced disease at baseline, and greater use of stavudine and protease inhibitor containing regimens in men compared to women. The prevalence of comorbidity and multi-morbidity were, respectively, 15.3 % (95 % CI 13.3-17.7 %) and 4.5 % (95 % CI 3.4-6.0 %). Women had higher rates than men of both co-morbidity and multi-morbid ity: 21.8 vs. 14.9 %; p = 0.010 and 5.3 vs. 2.9 %; p = 0.025 respectively. The commonly observed individual NCDs were hypertension [10.2 %; (95 % CI 8.4-12.2 %)], asthma [4.3 % (95 % CI 3.1-5.8 %)], type 2 diabetes mellitus [2.1 % (95 % CI 1.3-3.2 %)], cancer [1.8 % (95 % CI 1.1-2.8 %)], and congestive cardiac failure [1.5 % (95 % CI 0.9-2.5 %)]. After adjusting for confounding, only age categories 45-≤55 years (AOR 2.25; 95 % CI 1.37-3.69) and >55 years (AOR 5.42; 95 % CI 3.17-9.26), and female gender (AOR 2.12; 95 % CI 1.45-3.11) remained significantly and strongly associated with comorbidity risk.

CONCLUSIONS

We found a substantial burden of comorbid non-communicable diseases among HIV infected patients in a high HIV and low-income setting. Integrating non-communicable diseases care, including active screening, with HIV care is recommended.

Impact of a short biostatistics course on knowledge and performance of postgraduate scholars: Implications for training of African doctors and biomedical researchers

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

This study was designed to evaluate the impact of a short biostatistics course on knowledge and performance of statistical analysis by biomedical researchers in Africa. It is recognized that knowledge of biostatistics is essential for understanding and interpretation of modern scientific literature and active participation in the global research enterprise. Unfortunately, it has been observed that basic education of African scholars may be deficient in applied mathematics including biostatistics.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Forty university affiliated biomedical researchers from South Africa volunteered for a 4-day short-course where participants were exposed to lectures on descriptive and inferential biostatistics and practical training on using a statistical software package for data analysis. A quantitative questionnaire was used to evaluate participants' statistical knowledge and performance pre- and post-course. Changes in knowledge and performance were measured using objective and subjective criteria. Data from completed questionnaires were captured and analyzed using Statistical Package for Social Sciences. Participants' pre- and post-course data were compared using nonparametric Wilcoxon signed ranks tests for nonnormally distributed variables. A P < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

Baseline testing of statistical knowledge showed a median score of 0, with 75th percentile at 28.6%, and a maximum score of 71.4%. Postcourse evaluation revealed improvement in participants' core knowledge with the median score increasing to 28.5%; and the 75th percentile score to 85.7%; signifying improved understanding of statistical concepts and ability to carry out data analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

This study just showed poor baseline knowledge of biostatistics among postgraduate scholars and health science researchers in this cohort and highlights the potential benefits of short-courses in biostatistics to improve the knowledge and skills of biomedical researchers and scholars in Africa.

High risk of malnutrition associated with depressive symptoms in older South Africans living in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: a cross-sectional survey

BACKGROUND

Malnutrition contributes to functional and cognitive decline in older adults, which results in decreased quality of life and loss of independence. This study aimed to identify determinants of nutritional risk among community-dwelling adults in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.

METHODS

A cross-sectional survey was undertaken in 1008 subjects aged 60 years and over who were randomly selected by systematic sampling. Demographics, socioeconomic data and self-reported history of medical conditions were recorded. The Mini Nutritional Assessment-Short Form (MNA-SF) was used to screen for nutritional risk, and the Centre for Epidemiologic Studies Depression scale was administered to all subjects. Descriptive statistics and the Pearson chi-square and Kruskal-Wallis tests were used for statistical analysis. Logistic regression modelling determined predictors of nutritional risk.

RESULTS

Of the 984 participants (mean age = 68.8 ± 7.4 years; range 60-103 years) who completed the MNA-SF, 51% were classified as having a normal nutritional status, 43.4% at risk for malnutrition and 5.5% classified as malnourished. Men were more likely to be either at risk for malnutrition or be malnourished than women (p = 0.008), as were subjects with a monthly household income of ≤R1600 per month (~133 USD) (p = 0.003). In logistic regression models, depressed people were 2.803 (p < 0.001) times more likely to be at risk or be malnourished than those not depressed.

CONCLUSION

A high prevalence of risk of malnutrition was identified in older South Africans living in an urban area with poor infrastructure. Further investigations are warranted to determine whether the higher prevalence of depressive symptomatology in nutritionally at risk individuals is a determinant or a consequence of malnutrition, in order to develop targeted nutritional interventions in this age group.

The Influence of Second-Hand Cigarette Smoke Exposure during Childhood and Active Cigarette Smoking on Crohn's Disease Phenotype Defined by the Montreal Classification Scheme in a Western Cape Population, South Africa

Background

Smoking may worsen the disease outcomes in patients with Crohn’s disease (CD), however the effect of exposure to second-hand cigarette smoke during childhood is unclear. In South Africa, no such literature exists. The aim of this study was to investigate whether disease phenotype, at time of diagnosis of CD, was associated with exposure to second-hand cigarette during childhood and active cigarette smoking habits.

Methods

A cross sectional examination of all consecutive CD patients seen during the period September 2011-January 2013 at 2 large inflammatory bowel disease centers in the Western Cape, South Africa was performed. Data were collected via review of patient case notes, interviewer-administered questionnaire and clinical examination by the attending gastroenterologist. Disease phenotype (behavior and location) was evaluated at time of diagnosis, according to the Montreal Classification scheme. In addition, disease behavior was stratified as ‘complicated’ or ‘uncomplicated’, using predefined definitions. Passive cigarette smoke exposure was evaluated during 3 age intervals: 0–5, 6–10, and 11–18 years.

Results

One hundred and ninety four CD patients were identified. Cigarette smoking during the 6 months prior to, or at time of diagnosis was significantly associated with ileo-colonic (L3) disease (RRR = 3.63; 95%CI, 1.32–9.98, p = 0.012) and ileal (L1) disease (RRR = 3.54; 95%CI, 1.06–11.83, p = 0.040) compared with colonic disease. In smokers, childhood passive cigarette smoke exposure during the 0–5 years age interval was significantly associated with ileo-colonic CD location (RRR = 21.3; 95%CI, 1.16–391.55, p = 0.040). No significant association between smoking habits and disease behavior at diagnosis, whether defined by the Montreal scheme, or stratified as ‘complicated’ vs ‘uncomplicated’, was observed.

Conclusion

Smoking habits were associated with ileo-colonic (L3) and ileal (L1) disease at time of diagnosis in a South African cohort.

Vector and reservoir control for preventing leishmaniasis

BACKGROUND

Leishmaniasis is caused by the Leishmania parasite, and transmitted by infected phlebotomine sandflies. Of the two distinct clinical syndromes, cutaneous leishmaniasis (CL) affects the skin and mucous membranes, and visceral leishmaniasis (VL) affects internal organs. Approaches to prevent transmission include vector control by reducing human contact with infected sandflies, and reservoir control, by reducing the number of infected animals.

OBJECTIVES

To assess the effects of vector and reservoir control interventions for cutaneous and for visceral leishmaniasis.

SEARCH METHODS

We searched the following databases to 13 January 2015: Cochrane Infectious Diseases Group Specialized Register, CENTRAL, MEDLINE, EMBASE, LILACS and WHOLIS, Web of Science, and RePORTER. We also searched trials registers for ongoing trials.

SELECTION CRITERIA

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) evaluating the effects of vector and reservoir control interventions in leishmaniasis-endemic regions.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Two review authors independently searched for trials and extracted data from included RCTs. We resolved any disagreements by discussion with a third review author. We assessed the quality of the evidence using the GRADE approach.

MAIN RESULTS

We included 14 RCTs that evaluated a range of interventions across different settings. The study methods were generally poorly described, and consequently all included trials were judged to be at high or unclear risk of selection and reporting bias. Only seven trials reported clinical outcome data which limits our ability to make broad generalizations to different epidemiological settings and cultures. Cutaneous leishmaniasisOne four-arm RCT from Afghanistan compared indoor residual spraying (IRS), insecticide-treated bednets (ITNs), and insecticide-treated bedsheets, with no intervention. Over 15 months follow-up, all three insecticide-based interventions had a lower incidence of CL than the control area (IRS: risk ratio (RR) 0.61, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.38 to 0.97, 2892 participants, moderate quality evidence; ITNs: RR 0.32, 95% CI 0.18 to 0.56, 2954 participants, low quality evidence; ITS: RR 0.34, 95% CI 0.20 to 0.57, 2784 participants, low quality evidence). No difference was detected between the three interventions (low quality evidence). One additional trial of ITNs from Iran was underpowered to show a difference.Insecticide treated curtains were compared with no intervention in one RCT from Venezuela, where there were no CL episodes in the intervention areas over 12 months follow-up compared to 142 in control areas (RR 0.00, 95% CI 0.00 to 0.49, one trial, 2938 participants, low quality evidence).Personal protection using insecticide treated clothing was evaluated by two RCTs in soldiers, but the trials were underpowered to reliably detect effects on the incidence of CL (RR 0.40, 95% CI 0.13 to 1.20, two trials, 558 participants, low quality evidence). Visceral leishmaniasisIn a single RCT of ITNs versus no intervention from India and Nepal, the incidence of VL was low in both groups and no difference was detected (RR 0.99, 95% CI 0.46 to 2.15, one trial, 19,810 participants, moderate quality evidence).Two trials from Brazil evaluated the effects of culling infected dogs compared to no intervention or IRS. Although they report a reduction in seroconversion over 18 months follow-up, they did not measure or report effects on clinical disease.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

Using insecticides to reduce phlebotomine sandfly numbers may be effective at reducing the incidence of CL, but there is insufficient evidence from trials to know whether it is better to spray the internal walls of houses or to treat bednets, curtains, bedsheets or clothing.

Efficacy of varenicline combined with nicotine replacement therapy vs varenicline alone for smoking cessation: a randomized clinical trial

IMPORTANCE

Behavioral approaches and pharmacotherapy are of proven benefit in assisting smokers to quit, but it is unclear whether combining nicotine replacement therapy (NRT) with varenicline to improve abstinence is effective and safe.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the efficacy and safety of combining varenicline and a nicotine patch vs varenicline alone in smoking cessation.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

Randomized, blinded, placebo-controlled clinical trial with a 12-week treatment period and a further 12-week follow-up conducted in 7 centers in South Africa from April 2011 to October 2012. Four hundred forty-six generally healthy smokers were randomized (1:1); 435 were included in the efficacy and safety analyses.

INTERVENTIONS

Nicotine or placebo patch treatment began 2 weeks before a target quit date (TQD) and continued for a further 12 weeks. Varenicline was begun 1 week prior to TQD, continued for a further 12 weeks, and tapered off during week 13.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Tobacco abstinence was established and confirmed by exhaled carbon monoxide measurements at TQD and at intervals thereafter up to 24 weeks. The primary end point was the 4-week exhaled carbon monoxide-confirmed continuous abstinence rate for weeks 9 through 12 of treatment, ie, the proportion of participants able to maintain complete abstinence from smoking for the last 4 weeks of treatment, as assessed using multiple imputation analysis. Secondary end points included point prevalence abstinence at 6 months, continuous abstinence rate from weeks 9 through 24, and adverse events. Multiple imputation also was used to address loss to follow-up.

RESULTS

The combination treatment was associated with a higher continuous abstinence rate at 12 weeks (55.4% vs 40.9%; odds ratio [OR], 1.85; 95% CI, 1.19-2.89; P = .007) and 24 weeks (49.0% vs 32.6%; OR, 1.98; 95% CI, 1.25-3.14; P = .004) and point prevalence abstinence rate at 6 months (65.1% vs 46.7%; OR, 2.13; 95% CI, 1.32-3.43; P = .002). In the combination treatment group, there was a numerically greater incidence of nausea, sleep disturbance, skin reactions, constipation, and depression, with only skin reactions reaching statistical significance (14.4% vs 7.8%; P = .03); the varenicline-alone group experienced more abnormal dreams and headaches.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Varenicline in combination with NRT was more effective than varenicline alone at achieving tobacco abstinence at 12 weeks (end of treatment) and at 6 months. Further studies are needed to assess long-term efficacy and safety.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

clinicaltrials.gov Identifier: NCT01444131.