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Illán JG, Zhu G, Walgenbach JF, Acebes‐Doria A, Agnello AM, Alston DG, Andrews H, Beers EH, Bergh JC, Bessin RT, Blaauw BR, Buntin GD, Burkness EC, Cullum JP, Daane KM, Fann LE, Fisher J, Girod P, Gut LJ, Hamilton GC, Hepler JR, Hilton R, Hoelmer KA, Hutchison WD, Jentsch PJ, Joseph SV, Kennedy GG, Krawczyk G, Kuhar TP, Lee JC, Leskey TC, Marshal AT, Milnes JM, Nielsen AL, Patel DK, Peterson HD, Reisig DD, Rijal JP, Sial AA, Spears LR, Stahl JM, Tatman KM, Taylor SV, Tillman G, Toews MD, Villanueva RT, Welty C, Wiman NG, Wilson JK, Zalom FG, Crowder DW. Evaluating invasion risk and population dynamics of the brown marmorated stink bug across the contiguous United States. Pest Manag Sci 2022; 78:4929-4938. [PMID: 36054536 PMCID: PMC9804287 DOI: 10.1002/ps.7113] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/28/2021] [Revised: 07/12/2022] [Accepted: 08/03/2022] [Indexed: 06/15/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Invasive species threaten the productivity and stability of natural and managed ecosystems. Predicting the spread of invaders, which can aid in early mitigation efforts, is a major challenge, especially in the face of climate change. While ecological niche models are effective tools to assess habitat suitability for invaders, such models have rarely been created for invasive pest species with rapidly expanding ranges. Here, we leveraged a national monitoring effort from 543 sites over 3 years to assess factors mediating the occurrence and abundance of brown marmorated stink bug (BMSB, Halyomorpha halys), an invasive insect pest that has readily established throughout much of the United States. RESULTS We used maximum entropy models to estimate the suitable habitat of BMSB under several climate scenarios, and generalized boosted models to assess environmental factors that regulated BMSB abundance. Our models captured BMSB distribution and abundance with high accuracy, and predicted a 70% increase in suitable habitat under future climate scenarios. However, environmental factors that mediated the geographical distribution of BMSB were different from those driving abundance. While BMSB occurrence was most affected by winter precipitation and proximity to populated areas, BMSB abundance was influenced most strongly by evapotranspiration and solar photoperiod. CONCLUSION Our results suggest that linking models of establishment (occurrence) and population dynamics (abundance) offers a more effective way to forecast the spread and impact of BMSB and other invasive species than simply occurrence-based models, allowing for targeted mitigation efforts. Implications of distribution shifts under climate change are discussed. © 2022 The Authors. Pest Management Science published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of Society of Chemical Industry.
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Li X, Wang X, Lu J, Li L, Li D, Xing X, Lei F. Eating More and Fighting Less: Social Foraging Is a Potential Advantage for Successful Expansion of Bird Source Populations. Biology (Basel) 2022; 11:1496. [PMID: 36290400 DOI: 10.3390/biology11101496] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/30/2022] [Revised: 09/30/2022] [Accepted: 10/10/2022] [Indexed: 11/06/2022]
Abstract
Animals can expand distributions in response to climatic and environmental changes, but the potential expansive ability of a source population is rarely evaluated using designed experiments. Group foraging can increase survival in new environments, but it also increases intraspecific competition. The trade-off between benefit and conflict needs to be determined. The expanding Light-vented Bulbul Pycnonotus sinensis was used as a model to test mechanisms promoting successful expansion. Social foraging and its advantages were evaluated using lab-designed feeding trials. Consuming novel foods was compared between bulbuls and a sympatric, nonexpansive relative species, the finchbill Spizixos semitorques, from native areas at both solitary and social levels. Bulbuls increased their eating times when transferred from solitary to group, whereas social context did not affect finchbills. Bulbuls were significantly more likely to eat with their companions than finchbills when in a group. Thus, exploring food resources in a bulbul source population was facilitated by social context, indicating that social foraging is an important means by which birds successfully expand and respond to environmental changes. This research increases understanding of successful expansion mechanisms and will consequently help predict invasive potentials of alien species.
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Gaget E, Johnston A, Pavón-Jordán D, Lehikoinen AS, Sandercock BK, Soultan A, Božič L, Clausen P, Devos K, Domsa C, Encarnação V, Faragó S, Fitzgerald N, Frost T, Gaudard C, Gosztonyi L, Haas F, Hornman M, Langendoen T, Ieronymidou C, Luigujõe L, Meissner W, Mikuska T, Molina B, Musilová Z, Paquet JY, Petkov N, Portolou D, Ridzoň J, Sniauksta L, Stīpniece A, Teufelbauer N, Wahl J, Zenatello M, Brommer JE. Protected area characteristics that help waterbirds respond to climate warming. Conserv Biol 2022; 36:e13877. [PMID: 34927284 DOI: 10.1111/cobi.13877] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/30/2021] [Revised: 10/26/2021] [Accepted: 12/07/2021] [Indexed: 06/14/2023]
Abstract
Protected area networks help species respond to climate warming. However, the contribution of a site's environmental and conservation-relevant characteristics to these responses is not well understood. We investigated how composition of nonbreeding waterbird communities (97 species) in the European Union Natura 2000 (N2K) network (3018 sites) changed in response to increases in temperature over 25 years in 26 European countries. We measured community reshuffling based on abundance time series collected under the International Waterbird Census relative to N2K sites' conservation targets, funding, designation period, and management plan status. Waterbird community composition in sites explicitly designated to protect them and with management plans changed more quickly in response to climate warming than in other N2K sites. Temporal community changes were not affected by the designation period despite greater exposure to temperature increase inside late-designated N2K sites. Sites funded under the LIFE program had lower climate-driven community changes than sites that did not received LIFE funding. Our findings imply that efficient conservation policy that helps waterbird communities respond to climate warming is associated with sites specifically managed for waterbirds.
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Affiliation(s)
- Elie Gaget
- Department of Biology, University of Turku, Turku, Finland
- International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria
| | - Alison Johnston
- Cornell Lab of Ornithology, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York, USA
| | - Diego Pavón-Jordán
- Department of Terrestrial Ecology, Norwegian Institute for Nature Research (NINA), Trondheim, Norway
| | - Aleksi S Lehikoinen
- The Finnish Museum of Natural History, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
| | - Brett K Sandercock
- Department of Terrestrial Ecology, Norwegian Institute for Nature Research (NINA), Trondheim, Norway
| | - Alaaeldin Soultan
- Department of Ecology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala, Sweden
| | - Luka Božič
- DOPPS - BirdLife Slovenia, Ljubljana, Slovenia
| | - Preben Clausen
- Department of Bioscience, Aarhus University, Rønde, Denmark
| | - Koen Devos
- Research Institute for Nature and Forest, Brussel, Belgium
| | - Cristi Domsa
- Romanian Ornithological Society, Bucharest, Romania
| | - Vitor Encarnação
- Instituto da Conservação da Natureza e das Florestas, IP (ICNF), Centro de Estudos de Migrações e Proteção de Aves (CEMPA), Lisbon, Portugal
| | - Sándor Faragó
- Institute of Wildlife Management and Vertebrate Zoology, University of Sopron, Sopron, Hungary
| | | | | | | | - Lívia Gosztonyi
- Institute of Wildlife Management and Vertebrate Zoology, University of Sopron, Sopron, Hungary
| | - Fredrik Haas
- Department of Biology, Lund University, Lund, Sweden
| | - Menno Hornman
- Sovon Dutch Centre for Field Ornithology, Nijmegen, The Netherlands
| | | | | | - Leho Luigujõe
- Institute of Agricultural and Environmental Sciences, Estonian University of Life Sciences, Tartu, Estonia
| | - Włodzimierz Meissner
- Department of Vertebrate Ecology and Zoology, Faculty of Biology, University of Gdańsk, Gdańsk, Poland
| | - Tibor Mikuska
- Croatian Society for Bird and Nature Protection, Zagreb, Croatia
| | - Blas Molina
- Sociedad Española de Ornitología (SEO/BirdLife), Madrid, Spain
| | - Zuzana Musilová
- Faculty of Environmental Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Prague, Czech Republic
| | | | - Nicky Petkov
- Conservation Department, Bulgarian Society for the Protection of Birds, Sofia, Bulgaria
| | | | | | | | - Antra Stīpniece
- Institute of Biology, University of Latvia, Salaspils, Latvia
| | | | - Johannes Wahl
- Dachverband Deutscher Avifaunisten e.V. (DDA), Federation of German Avifaunists, Münster, Germany
| | - Marco Zenatello
- Istituto Superiore per la Protezione e la Ricerca Ambientale (ISPRA), Ozzano dell'Emilia, Italy
| | - Jon E Brommer
- Department of Biology, University of Turku, Turku, Finland
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Jeliazkov A, Gavish Y, Marsh CJ, Geschke J, Brummitt N, Rocchini D, Haase P, Kunin WE, Henle K. Sampling and modelling rare species: Conceptual guidelines for the neglected majority. Glob Chang Biol 2022; 28:3754-3777. [PMID: 35098624 DOI: 10.1111/gcb.16114] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/18/2021] [Revised: 11/18/2021] [Accepted: 12/23/2021] [Indexed: 06/14/2023]
Abstract
Biodiversity conservation faces a methodological conundrum: Biodiversity measurement often relies on species, most of which are rare at various scales, especially prone to extinction under global change, but also the most challenging to sample and model. Predicting the distribution change of rare species using conventional species distribution models is challenging because rare species are hardly captured by most survey systems. When enough data are available, predictions are usually spatially biased towards locations where the species is most likely to occur, violating the assumptions of many modelling frameworks. Workflows to predict and eventually map rare species distributions imply important trade-offs between data quantity, quality, representativeness and model complexity that need to be considered prior to survey and analysis. Our opinion is that study designs need to carefully integrate the different steps, from species sampling to modelling, in accordance with the different types of rarity and available data in order to improve our capacity for sound assessment and prediction of rare species distribution. In this article, we summarize and comment on how different categories of species rarity lead to different types of occurrence and distribution data depending on choices made during the survey process, namely the spatial distribution of samples (where to sample) and the sampling protocol in each selected location (how to sample). We then clarify which species distribution models are suitable depending on the different types of distribution data (how to model). Among others, for most rarity forms, we highlight the insights from systematic species-targeted sampling coupled with hierarchical models that allow correcting for overdispersion and spatial and sampling sources of bias. Our article provides scientists and practitioners with a much-needed guide through the ever-increasing diversity of methodological developments to improve the prediction of rare species distribution depending on rarity type and available data.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Yoni Gavish
- School of Biology, Faculty of Biological Sciences, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
| | - Charles J Marsh
- Department of Plant Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Department of Ecology and Evolution & Yale Center for Biodiversity and Global Change, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
| | - Jonas Geschke
- Institute of Plant Sciences, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
| | - Neil Brummitt
- Department of Life Sciences, Natural History Museum, London, UK
| | - Duccio Rocchini
- BIOME Lab, Department of Biological, Geological and Environmental Sciences, Alma Mater Studiorum University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy
- Department of Spatial Sciences, Faculty of Environmental Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Praha - Suchdol, Czech Republic
| | - Peter Haase
- Department of River Ecology and Conservation, Senckenberg Research Institute and Natural History Museum Frankfurt, Gelnhausen, Germany
- Faculty of Biology, University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany
| | | | - Klaus Henle
- Department of Conservation Biology & Social-Ecological Systems, UFZ - Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, Leipzig, Germany
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