Neoadjuvant therapies in resectable hepatocellular carcinoma: Exploring strategies to improve prognosis

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), a challenging malignancy, often necessitates surgical intervention, notably liver resection. However, the high recurrence rate, reaching 70% within 5 years post-resection, significantly impacts patient outcomes. Neoadjuvant therapies aim to preoperatively address this challenge, reducing lesion size, improving surgical resection rates, deactivating potential micro-metastases, and ultimately lowering postoperative recurrence rates. This review concentrates on advances in research on and clinical use of neoadjuvant therapies for HCC, with particular attention to the use of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) targeting programmed cell death-1 (PD-1), programmed cell death ligand-1 (PD-L1), and cytotoxic T-lymphocyte-associated protein-4 (CTLA-4). Ongoing clinical studies exploring immunotherapy combined with a tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI), interventional therapy, radiotherapy, and other modalities offer promising insights into overcoming resistance to monotherapies. In summary, neoadjuvant therapies hold significant promise in terms of improving the prognosis for patients with HCC and enhancing long-term survival, particularly through innovative combination strategies.

Development of a functional outcome measure for riboflavin transporter deficiency

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Riboflavin transporter deficiency (RTD) is a progressive inherited neuropathy of childhood onset, characterised clinically by pontobulbar palsy, sensory ataxia, sensorineural deafness, muscle weakness, optic atrophy and respiratory failure. A robust and responsive functional outcome measure is essential for future clinical trials of disease-modifying therapies including genetic therapies. The Charcot-Marie-Tooth disease Pediatric Scale (CMTPedS) is a well-validated outcome measure for CMT and related neuropathies, and might have utility for measuring disease progression in individuals with RTD. However, the CMTPedS requires modifications to account for phenotypic differences between children with CMT and RTD. The aim of this study was to develop a functional outcome measure based on the CMTPedS for specific use in individuals with RTD.

METHODS

The CMTPedS data collected over the last 10 years in individuals with RTD attending the Peripheral Neuropathy Management Clinic at the Children's Hospital at Westmead (Sydney, Australia) were reviewed to evaluate each item within the CMTPedS. A literature review of articles published until September 2021 for functional outcome measures generated an item pool for pilot testing. The results of this pilot testing, alongside analysis of existing CMTPedS item scores in the RTD cohort, informed the modification of the CMTPedS.

RESULTS

CMTPedS data were reviewed for eight individuals over the past 10 years. Two items were identified as requiring modification or removal and additional items of proximal strength and function needed to be considered. Six studies were identified in the literature review, and five items were selected for pilot testing. 'Shoulder internal rotation' and the '30-s sit to stand test' were added as proximal measures of strength and function. The composite balance item comprising nine tasks in the CMTPedS showed a ceiling effect and was replaced with the single 'Feet apart on a line eyes open' balance item. 'Pinprick sensation' was removed due to a floor effect.

INTERPRETATION

This study provides preliminary evidence that the Riboflavin Transporter Deficiency Pediatric Scale (RTDPedS) is a functional outcome measure covering strength, upper and lower limb function, balance and mobility for individuals with RTD to assess disease severity and progression in clinical trials and cohort studies.

[Special issue PRO] Considering endpoints for comparative tolerability of cancer treatments using patient report given the estimand framework

Regulatory agencies are advancing the use of systematic approaches to collect patient experience data, including patient-reported outcomes (PROs), in cancer clinical trials to inform regulatory decision-making. Due in part to clinician under-reporting of symptomatic adverse events, there is a growing recognition that evaluation of cancer treatment tolerability should include the patient experience, both in terms of the overall side effect impact and symptomatic adverse events. Methodologies around implementation, analysis, and interpretation of "patient" reported tolerability are under development, and current approaches are largely descriptive. There is robust guidance for use of PROs as efficacy endpoints to compare cancer treatments, but it is unclear to what extent this can be relied-upon to develop tolerability endpoints. An important consideration when developing endpoints to compare tolerability between treatments is the linkage of trial design, objectives, and statistical analysis. Despite interest in and frequent collection of PRO data in oncology trials, heterogeneity in analyses and unclear PRO objectives mean that design, objectives, and analysis may not be aligned, posing substantial challenges for the interpretation of results. The recent ICH E9 (R1) estimand framework represents an opportunity to help address these challenges. Efforts to apply the estimand framework in the context of PROs have primarily focused on efficacy outcomes. In this paper, we discuss considerations for comparing the patient-reported tolerability of different treatments in an oncology trial context.

Comparisons of Metabolic Measures to Predict T1D vs. Detect a Preventive Treatment Effect in High-Risk Individuals

CONTEXT

Metabolic measures are frequently used to predict T1D and to understand effects of disease-modifying therapies.

OBJECTIVE

Compare metabolic endpoints for their ability to detect preventive treatment effects and predict T1D.

DESIGN

Six-month changes in metabolic endpoints were assessed for: 1) detecting treatment effects by comparing placebo and treatment arms from the randomized controlled teplizumab prevention trial and 2) predicting T1D in the TrialNet Pathway to Prevention natural history study.

SETTING

Multicenter clinical trial network.

INTERVENTION

14-day intravenous teplizumab infusion.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

T-values from t tests for detecting a treatment effect were compared to Chi-square values from proportional hazards regression for predicting T1D for each metabolic measure.

PATIENTS OR OTHER PARTICIPANTS

Participants in the teplizumab prevention trial and participants in the Pathway to Prevention study selected with the same inclusion criteria used for the teplizumab trial were studied.

RESULTS

Six-month changes in glucose-based endpoints predicted diabetes better than C-peptide-based endpoints, yet the latter were better at detecting a teplizumab effect. Combined measures of glucose and C-peptide were more balanced than measures of glucose alone or C-peptide alone for predicting diabetes and detecting a teplizumab effect.

CONCLUSIONS

The capacity of a metabolic endpoint to detect a treatment effect does not necessarily correspond to its accuracy for predicting T1D. However, combined glucose and C-peptide endpoints appear to be effective for both predicting diabetes and detecting a response to immunotherapy. These findings suggest that combined glucose and C-peptide endpoints should be incorporated into the design of future T1D prevention trials.

Biomarkers as Endpoints in Clinical Trials for Alzheimer's Disease

Background

Alzheimer's disease (AD) is a neurodegenerative disease that imposes economic and societal burden. Biomarkers have played a crucial role in the recent approval of aducanumab and lecanemab as disease-modifying therapies which marked a significant milestone for the treatment of AD. The inclusion of biomarkers in AD trials facilitates precise diagnosis, monitors safety, demonstrates target engagement, and supports disease modification.

Objective

This study analyzed the utilization state and trends of biomarkers as endpoints in AD trials.

Methods

In this retrospective study, trials were collected by searching clinicaltrials.gov using the term "Alzheimer". Primary and secondary outcomes were analyzed separately for each phase.

Results

Among the 1,048 analyzed trials, 313 (29.87%) adopted biomarkers as primary endpoints and 364 (34.73%) as secondary endpoints, mainly in phases 1 and 2. The top three biomarkers adopted as primary endpoints in phases 1, 2, and 3 were amyloid-PET, tau-PET, and MRI. The top three biomarkers adopted as secondary endpoints, in phase 1, were cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) amyloid-β (Aβ), blood Aβ and amyloid-PET; in phase 2, they were MRI, CSF Aβ, and CSF phospho-tau; and in phase 3, they were amyloid PET, MRI, and blood Aβ. There was a statistically significant increase in the adoption of biomarkers as primary endpoints in phase 2 trials (p = 0.001) and secondary endpoints in phase 3 trials (p = 0.001).

Conclusions

The growing recognition of the importance of biomarkers in AD trial' design and drug development is evident by the significant steady increase in biomarkers' utilization in phases 2 and 3.

A cross-sectional methodological study: evaluation of the examiner performance on the Dix-Hallpike test

PURPOSE

The Dix-Hallpike test is recommended to diagnose Benign Paroxysmal Positional Vertigo (BPPV). This research aimed to quantify the movement of a healthy subject during the Dix-Hallpike test and determine what factors contribute to performance variation from the recommended head position with 20° cervical extension, 45° cervical rotation, and a brisk movement velocity.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Examiners performed the Dix-Hallpike test 10 times. The examinee's movement was recorded with Qualisys and processed with Visual3D. The proportion of variation in test performance within examiners, between examiners, and due to examiner position was calculated.

RESULTS

Thirteen participants, 54% male and mean age 40, performed 50 cranial and 77 lateral Dix-Hallpike tests. Head position differed significantly from the recommendations with the cranial tests for extension (mean difference [MD] = 11.6°, p < 0.001) and rotation (MD = 4.8°, p < 0.001) and with lateral tests for extension (MD = 13.3°, p < 0.001). The largest proportion of variation was between examiners (60-91%), followed by within-examiners (3-16%). The examiner position contributed to 20% of the variation in the cervical rotation achieved. Tests lasted, on average, 1.80 s.

CONCLUSIONS

Differences within and between examiners visually estimating the Dix-Hallpike test endpoints may impede BPPV diagnosis accuracy.

Evolution and optimization of clinical trial endpoints and design in pulmonary arterial hypertension

Selection of endpoints for clinical trials in pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is challenging because of the small numbers of patients and the changing expectations of patients, clinicians, and regulators in this evolving therapy area. The most commonly used primary endpoint in PAH trials has been 6-min walk distance (6MWD), leading to the approval of several targeted therapies. However, single surrogate endpoints such as 6MWD or hemodynamic parameters may not correlate with clinical outcomes. Composite endpoints of clinical worsening have been developed to reflect patients' overall condition more accurately, although there is no standard definition of worsening. Recently there has been a shift to composite endpoints assessing clinical improvement, and risk scores developed from registry data are increasingly being used. Biomarkers are another area of interest, although brain natriuretic peptide and its N-terminal prohormone are the only markers used for risk assessment or as endpoints in PAH. A range of other genetic, metabolic, and immunologic markers is currently under investigation, along with conventional and novel imaging modalities. Patient-reported outcomes are an increasingly important part of evaluating new therapies, and several PAH-specific tools are now available. In the future, alternative statistical techniques and trial designs, such as patient enrichment strategies, will play a role in evaluating PAH-targeted therapies. In addition, modern sequencing techniques, imaging analyses, and high-dimensional statistical modeling/machine learning may reveal novel markers that can play a role in the diagnosis and monitoring of PAH.

Health care registers can be instrumental for endpoint capture in clinical diabetes trials: example of microvascular complications in Swedish patients with type 2 diabetes

AIMS

SMARTEST is a register-based randomized clinical trial (RRCT) that compares dapagliflozin to metformin in early-stage type 2 diabetes. The primary outcome includes progression of microvascular complications based on data from the Swedish National Diabetes Register (NDR). In this sub-study, the aim was to validate microvascular complication variables in the NDR against electronic health records (EHRs).

METHODS

Data were extracted from EHRs of 276 SMARTEST participants with a median observation period of 3 years in the Uppsala, Örebro and Sörmland counties and compared with NDR data. Agreement was determined for all corresponding data entries as well as for progression of microvascular complications after randomization.

RESULTS

The agreement for all corresponding data entries was 98.9% (Intraclass Correlation Coefficient 0.999) for creatinine and eGFR, 95.1% for albuminuria, 91.6% for foot-at-risk and 98.2% for retinopathy status (Kappa 0.67-0.91). The agreement for progression of microvascular complications was 98.0% for CKD stage, 98.9% for albuminuria grade, 96.3% for foot-at-risk grade and 99.6% for retinopathy grade progression (Gwet's AC₁ 0.96-1.00).

CONCLUSION

Microvascular complication variables in the NDR show good agreement with EHR data. The use of a well-established national health care registry, exemplified by the NDR, for endpoint collection in RRCTs such as SMARTEST is supported by this study.

Patient-reported outcome and quality of life research policy: Japan Clinical Oncology Group (JCOG) policy

Assessments of patient-reported outcomes and health-related quality of life in cancer clinical trials have been increasingly emphasized recently because patient and public involvement in cancer treatment development has been promoted by regulatory authorities and academic societies. To assess patient experiences during and after cancer treatment, there is interest in implementing patient-reported outcome and health-related quality of life assessments into cancer clinical trials. The Japan Clinical Oncology Group quality of life ad hoc committee previously created a version of the Quality of Life Assessment Policy in 2006. Recently, there has been increasing demand from Japan Clinical Oncology Group researchers to assess patient-reported outcome/health-related quality of life in clinical trials. Although guidelines are available regarding planning and reporting clinical trials that include patient-reported outcome/health-related quality of life as an endpoint, there are still issues regarding the lack of consensus on standardized methods for analysing and interpreting the results. Hence, it was considered necessary to reorganize the Japan Clinical Oncology Group patient-reported outcome/quality of life research committee and to revise the former patient-reported outcome/quality of life research policy to promote patient-reported outcome/health-related quality of life research in future Japan Clinical Oncology Group trials. The purpose of this Japan Clinical Oncology Group patient-reported outcome/quality of life research policy is to define patient-reported outcome/health-related quality of life research and provide guidelines for including patient-reported outcome/health-related quality of life as an endpoint in Japan Clinical Oncology Group trials.

Should responder analyses be conducted on continuous outcomes?

Continuous outcomes are often dichotomized to classify trial subjects as responders or nonresponders, with the difference in rates of response between treatment and control defined as the "responder effect." In this article, we caution that dichotomization of continuous interval outcomes may not be best practice. Defining clinical benefit or harm for continuous interval outcomes as the difference between the means of treatment and control, that is, the "continuous treatment effect," we examine the case where treatment and control outcomes are normally distributed and differ only in location. For this case, continuous treatment effects may be considered clinically relevant if they exceed a prespecified minimum clinically important difference. In contrast, using minimum clinically important differences as dichotomization thresholds will not ensure clinically relevant responder effects. For example, in some situations, increasing the threshold may actually relax the criterion for effectiveness by increasing the calculated responder effect. Using responder effects to quantitatively assess benefit or risk of investigational drugs for continuous interval outcomes presents interpretational challenges. In particular, when the dichotomization threshold is halfway between the treatment and control outcome means, the responder effect is at a maximum with a magnitude monotonically related to the number of standard deviations between the mean outcomes of treatment and control. Large responder effect benefits may therefore reflect clinically unimportant continuous treatment effects amplified by small standard deviations, and small responder effect risks may reflect either clinically important continuous treatment effects minimized by large standard deviations, or selection of a dichotomization threshold not providing maximum responder effect.

Correlation of Anticancer Drug Prices with Outcomes of Overall Survival and Progression-Free Survival in Clinical Trials in Japan

Drug pricing methods vary extensively across countries. Japan calculates drug prices using cost accounting and based on the efficacy of similar drugs. This study investigated the relationship between drug prices and their clinical efficacy and usefulness using public information on anticancer drugs reimbursed by the National Health Insurance price listing between January 2009 and March 2020. We investigated drug characteristics, prices, and clinical benefits based on overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). Eighty anticancer drugs were approved in Japan during the study period. The largest number (28 drugs, 35.0%) was approved based on PFS, 18 (22.5%) were approved based on OS, and 13 (16.3%) based on the response rate. The mean (±SD) drug price was JPY 88,416.2 (±148,974.7), while the median drug price (with quartiles) was JPY 21,694 (JPY 4855.0-JPY 93,396.8). Drug prices were significantly higher for PFS than for OS, while cost index-the drug price to extend PFS or OS by one day-did not differ significantly between PFS and OS. The relationship between the 46 drugs approved based on OS or PFS and their prices was examined. A correlation was found between drug prices and their clinical usefulness in terms of OS but not PFS.

Patient reported outcomes and disability are associated with histological disease activity in patients with ulcerative colitis: results from the APOLLO study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Treating beyond endoscopic remission, aiming for histological remission, is an emerging target in ulcerative colitis (UC). Patient reported outcome measurements (PROMs) become increasingly important, but its association with histology is unclear.

METHODS

Multiple PROMs were prospectively collected in UC patients undergoing colonoscopy. Mayo endoscopic sub-score (MES) and UCEIS were determined, as well as Nancy histologic index (NHI) of the most affected area. Endoscopic remission was defined as MES and UCEIS 0; histological remission NHI 0; histo-endoscopic mucosal remission (HEMR) as a combination of both.

RESULTS

One-hundred nine assessments were collected in 80 patients with an endoscopic and HEMR remission rate of 24.8% and 16.5%. Patients with HEMR had a significantly lower overall IBD disability (p<0.001) and disease activity score (p<0.001), as compared to patients without. In line, NHI correlated with the overall IBD disk (r=0.36,p<0.001) and SCCAI score (r=0.44,p<0.001). Many individual components of both differed significantly between patients with and without HEMR. Although the overall accuracy of the IBD disk (0.78) or SCCAI score (0.83) for HEMR is lower (p<0.005) than the MES or UCEIS (0.95), a cumulative IBD disk score >35.5 and an SSCAI score >3.5 have a high negative predictive value (98.6%, 100.0% respectively) to exclude HEMR.

CONCLUSION

Histo-endoscopic inactive disease is associated with reduced IBD disability, but not with complete absence thereof. PROMs for disability and clinical disease activity cannot fully replace histo-endoscopic findings, and should be considered complementary in patient-centered endpoint discussions. Nevertheless, PROMs have a high negative predictive value to rule out HEMR.

Establishing Clinically Meaningful Change on Outcome Assessments Frequently Used in Trials of Mild Cognitive Impairment Due to Alzheimer's Disease

BACKGROUND

Consensus is lacking on what constitutes a meaningful score change for individual patients on clinical outcome assessments (COAs) that are commonly used in clinical trials of Alzheimer's disease. Such thresholds are one important approach to help contextualize trial results and demonstrate meaningful treatment benefit.

OBJECTIVES

To estimate meaningful within-patient change thresholds for the Clinical Dementia Rating Scale - Sum of Boxes (CDR-SB), Alzheimer's Disease Assessment Scale - Cognitive Subscale (ADAS-Cog), and the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) among participants with mild cognitive impairment (MCI).

DESIGN

Retrospective anchor- and distribution-based analyses of data from the ADC-008 (NCT00000173) study were used to estimate thresholds for meaningful within-patient change on the target measures.

SETTING

Analyses were conducted using data from ADC-008 a Phase III, multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, parallel-group study among participants with the amnestic subtype of MCI, which was conducted by the Alzheimer's Disease Cooperative Study (ADCS) between March 1999 and January 2004 in the United States and Canada.

PARTICIPANTS

Analyses were based on 769 eligible participants who completed the baseline assessment from 69 ADCS sites in the United States and Canada.

MEASUREMENTS

The target outcome measures for this analysis included the CDR-SB, the ADAS-Cog, and the MMSE. The anchor measures for this analysis included the Global Deterioration Scale and the MCI-Clinical Global Impression of Change.

RESULTS

Focusing on the 12-month time point, within-patient increases of 1-2.5 points in the CDR-SB and increases of 2-5 points on the 11-item ADAS-Cog and 13-item ADAS-Cog, on average, reflect minimal-to-moderate levels of deterioration, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

These thresholds may be useful to aid the interpretation of Alzheimer's disease clinical trial data by illustrating meaningful within-patient progression over the course of a clinical trial via supplementary progressor analyses, which may in turn be informative for treatment decisions. Estimates generated via these methods are specifically intended to evaluate within-patient change and are not intended to assess the magnitude and meaningfulness of differences between group-level changes over time.

Discordant Clinical and Microbiological Outcomes are Associated with Late Clinical Relapse in Clinical Trials for Complicated Urinary Tract Infections (cUTI)

BACKGROUND

Current FDA guidance recommends that the primary endpoint for complicated urinary tract infection (cUTI) clinical trials be a composite of the clinical and microbiological responses, assessed at a fixed timepoint after therapy. It has been noted that while some participants meet the criteria for clinical success, they do not meet the criteria for microbiological eradication and are classified as failures. These discordant outcomes have raised questions about the utility of the microbiological endpoint.

METHODS

We analyzed participant data from 13 phase 3 clinical trials submitted to the FDA (N = 4842). Outcomes were determined at the Test of Cure (TOC) visit, recommended to occur at least 5 days after therapy and at the Late Follow Up (LFU) visit, recommended to occur 21-28 days after randomization. Clinical and microbiological success were defined as the resolution of cUTI symptoms present at study entry, with no new symptoms (clinical cure), and a reduction in density of the original pathogen to <103 CFU/mL on urine culture (microbiological eradication).

RESULTS

Among included participants, 70.7% were concordant successes at the TOC visit, 18.0% were discordant failures (clinical cure/microbiological persistence), and 6.7% were concordant failures (clinical failure/microbiological persistence). Discordant participants were at an increased risk for clinical failure at the LFU visit, and the risk of late clinical failure increased with time.

CONCLUSIONS

Discordant clinical and microbiological outcomes at the TOC visit were associated with an increased risk of late clinical failure. Microbiological outcomes appear to be an important component of the endpoint.

Tumor infiltrating lymphocytes as an endpoint in cancer vaccine trials

Checkpoint inhibitors have invigorated cancer immunotherapy research, including cancer vaccination. Classic early phase trial design and endpoints used in developing chemotherapy are not suited for evaluating all forms of cancer treatment. Peripheral T cell response dynamics have demonstrated inconsistency in assessing the efficacy of cancer vaccination. Tumor infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs), reflect the local tumor microenvironment and may prove a superior endpoint in cancer vaccination trials. Cancer vaccines may also promote success in combination immunotherapy treatment of weakly immunogenic tumors. This review explores the impact of TILs as an endpoint for cancer vaccination in multiple malignancies, summarizes the current literature regarding TILs analysis, and discusses the challenges of providing validity and a standardized implementation of this approach.

Composite endpoint to evaluate complement inhibition therapy in patients with paroxysmal nocturnal hemoglobinuria

This study developed and explored a novel composite endpoint to assess the overall impact that treatment can have on patients living with paroxysmal nocturnal hemoglobinuria (PNH). Candidate composite endpoint variables were selected by a group of experts and included: lactate dehydrogenase levels as a measure of intravascular hemolysis; complete terminal complement inhibition; absence of major adverse vascular events, including thrombosis; absence of any adverse events leading to death or discontinuation of study treatment; transfusion avoidance; and improvements in fatigue‐related quality of life as determined by the Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy (FACIT)‐Fatigue score. From these variables, a novel composite endpoint was constructed and explored using data collected in the ravulizumab PNH Study 301 (NCT02946463). Thresholds were defined and reported for each candidate variable. Five of the six candidate variables were included in the final composite endpoint; the FACIT‐Fatigue score was excluded. Composite endpoint criterion was defined as patients meeting all five selected individual component thresholds. All patients in the ravulizumab arm achieved complete terminal complement inhibition and a reduction in lactate dehydrogenase levels; 51.2% and 41.3% of patients in the ravulizumab arm and eculizumab arm, respectively, achieved all composite endpoint component thresholds (treatment difference: 9.4%; 95% confidence interval: −3.0, 21.5). The composite endpoint provided a single and simultaneous measurement of overall benefit for patients receiving treatment for PNH. Use of the composite endpoint in future PNH research is recommended to determine clinical benefit, and its use in health technology assessments should be evaluated.

Pediatric and Adult Placebo Response Rates in Placebo-Controlled Clinical Trials Submitted to the US FDA 2012-2020

The use of placebo concurrent control (placebo-controlled) is the most rigorous method of evaluating the safety and efficacy of investigational treatments. However, the use of a placebo group in pediatric product development can be challenging due to ethical considerations and potential differences in placebo response rates between adults and children. This study reports the US Food and Drug Administration's experience with placebo response rates in the pediatric population. Products studied under the Best Pharmaceuticals for Children Act and the Pediatric Research Equity Act between 2012 and 2020 were screened. Study characteristics including study type, primary efficacy endpoint(s), placebo response rates for the primary efficacy endpoint(s) and studied age range were collected. A total of 71 drug products used a placebo-controlled trial. Of these, thirteen products had an identical study design and trial characteristics including the primary efficacy endpoints between pediatric and adult studies. Fifteen products were studied in trials with identical study design but only different primary efficacy endpoints in pediatric and adult populations. Ten products had combined adolescent and adult trials with separate pediatric trials in younger age groups. In each of these cases, the pediatric placebo response was greater, for some trials, and less, for other trials, than the adult placebo response. The pediatric placebo response can vary within an age group for a drug product. Future studies should examine the factors leading to a similarity or dissimilarity in placebo response between pediatric patients and adults. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

Oncology drugs and added benefit: insights from 3 European health technology assessment agencies on the role of efficacy endpoints

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to understand the impact of different efficacy endpoints on reimbursement decisions made by health technology assessment (HTA) bodies.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

European Medicines Agency (EMA) oncology product marketing authorizations were screened to identify products that completed review by 3 HTA bodies during 2016-2019: United Kingdom's National Institute for Health and Care Excellence, Germany's Gemeinsamer Bundesausschuss, and France's Haute Autorité de Santé. Each decision's endpoint information, including overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS), was extracted. Each endpoint's influence on added benefits rating (the degree of added benefit as judged by the HTA agency) and full reimbursement (i.e. reimbursed population to label) decisions was tested using bivariate analyses.

RESULTS

An increasing trend was observed toward HTA submissions with immature OS data (36.8% and 71.4% in 2016 and 2019, respectively), which was a predictor of limited added benefit (p < .001). Regarding data availability, 63% of submissions provided OS, 2% provided PFS without OS; and 35% provided neither. OS availability significantly influenced added benefit (p < .001) but not full reimbursement (p > .05) decisions, whereas PFS without OS had no significant impact compared with either OS or PFS data for either outcome (p = .99).

CONCLUSIONS

The trend toward fewer products filing mature OS data over time suggests sponsors may be increasingly confident achieving reimbursement with surrogate endpoint data, although mature OS data provided the strongest correlation to positive reimbursement decisions. Notably, in some locally advanced settings, OS data maturity will take a long time to obtain. To expedite patient access to new medicines, payers should consider the acceptance of surrogate endpoints predictive of clinical benefit.

Time lost due to an attack - a novel patient-reported outcome measure for acute migraine treatments

OBJECTIVE

We propose a new outcome measure to assess the efficacy of migraine treatments translating the approach of the Global Burden of Disease studies from a societal to an individual level: Instead of calculating "years lived with disability", we suggest estimating "time lost due to an attack".

METHODS

Time lost due to an attack is calculated by multiplying the duration and the degree of impaired functioning during an attack.

RESULTS

Time lost due to an attack, different from other outcome measures, does not just focus on the short-term analgesic effects of treatments, but rather on the improvement of all migraine symptoms and restoration of functioning, also considering therapy-related impairment. Importantly, time lost due to an attack measures the entire time patients are not functioning normally, from onset to complete resolution.

CONCLUSIONS

Time lost due to an attack represents a new paradigm to assess migraine burden in single patients for a patient-centered evaluation of both acute and prophylactic treatments.

Endpoints of active periodontal therapy

Aim

Position paper on endpoints of active periodontal therapy for designing treatment guidelines. The question was as follows: How are, for an individual patient, commonly applied periodontal probing measures—recorded after active periodontal therapy—related to (a) stability of clinical attachment level, (b) tooth survival, (c) need for re‐treatment or (d) oral health‐related quality of life.

Methods

A literature search was conducted in Ovid MEDLINE(R) and Epub Ahead of Print, In‐Process & Other Non‐Indexed Citations and Daily <1946 to 07 June 2019>.

Results

A total of 94 papers were retrieved. From the literature search, it was found that periodontitis patients with a low proportion of deep residual pockets after active periodontal therapy are more likely to have stability of clinical attachment level over a follow‐up time of ≥1 year. Other supporting literature confirms this finding and additionally reports, at the patient level, that probing pocket depths ≥6 mm and bleeding on probing scores ≥30% are risks for tooth loss. There is lack of evidence that periodontal probing measures after completion of active periodontal treatment are tangible to the patient.

Conclusions

Based on literature and biological plausibility, it is reasonable to state that periodontitis patients with a low proportion of residual periodontal pockets and little inflammation are more likely to have stability of clinical attachment levels and less tooth loss over time. Guidelines for periodontal therapy should take into consideration (a) long‐term tangible patient outcomes, (b) that shallow pockets (≤4 mm) without bleeding on probing in patients with <30% bleeding sites are the best guarantee for the patient for stability of his/her periodontal attachment, (c) patient heterogeneity and patient changes in immune response over time, and (d) that treatment strategies include lifestyle changes of the patient. Long‐term large population‐based and practice‐based studies on the efficacy of periodontal therapies including both clinical and patient‐reported outcomes (PROs) need to be initiated, which include the understanding that periodontitis is a complex disease with variation of inflammatory responses due to environment, (epi)genetics, lifestyle and ageing. Involving people living with periodontitis as co‐researchers in the design of these studies would also help to improve their relevance.

Relevance of reviewing endpoint analysis for negative results on the Xpert Xpress Flu/RSV

After the implementation of the Xpert Xpress Flu/respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) assay for rapid respiratory molecular testing, we investigated the significance of reported endpoint values for influenza A, influenza B, and RSV). This study prospectively analyzed nasopharyngeal swabs submitted to our virology laboratory in the 2018/19 influenza season. Initial testing was performed on the Xpress Flu/RSV assay. Samples were further tested on a laboratory-developed multiplex polymerase chain reaction (laboratory-developed multiplex respiratory test [LDT]) if the sample was reported as negative by the Xpress Flu/RSV but had an elevated endpoint value ≥5 for any respiratory virus target. There were 1040 negative results on the Xpress Flu/RSV; thirty-one had at least one endpoint value ≥5 [influenza A (25), influenza B (1), RSV (2), influenza A/RSV (1), and influenza A/B/RSV (2)]. Five samples (5/31, 16.1%) were positive on the LDT for influenza A or RSV. In contrast, the positivity rate on the LDT for negative Xpress Flu/RSV samples with endpoint values less than 5 was 0.35% (P < .0001). A threshold for endpoint values could not reliably be established to differentiate a potential influenza A positive result from a negative result on the LDT. Routine evaluation ofendpoint values should be a consideration for laboratories implementing Xpress Flu/RSV, in addition to supplementary respiratory virus testing for clinically relevant situations.

Ten-year follow-up of a randomized controlled clinical trial in chronic hepatitis delta

Hepatitis delta virus (HDV) infection causes the most severe form of viral hepatitis. PEG-interferon alpha-2a (PEG-IFNα-2a) is the only effective treatment but its long-term clinical impact is unclear. The aim of this study was to investigate the long-term outcome after 48 weeks of pegylated interferon alpha-2a therapy. We performed a retrospective follow-up study of the Hep-Net-International-Delta-Hepatitis-Intervention-Study 1 (HIDIT-I trial). Patients had received 48 weeks of treatment with either PEG-IFNα-2a plus adefovir dipivoxil (ADV) (Group I), PEG-IFNα-2a alone (Group II) or adefovir dipivoxil alone (Group III). Liver-related complications were defined as liver-related death, liver transplantation, liver cancer and hepatic decompensation defined as development of Child-Pugh scores B or C or an increase in Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores of five or more points in relation to baseline values. Patients were considered for further analysis when they were retreated with PEG-IFNα-2a. Follow-up data (at least 1 visit beyond post-treatment week 24) were available for 60 patients [Group I, (n = 19), Group II (n = 20), Group III (n = 21)]. Mean time of follow-up was 8.9 (1.6 - 13.4) years. 19 patients were retreated with IFN-based therapy: 42% (n = 8) in PEG-IFNα-2a arms and 58% (n = 11) in the adefovir only arm. Clinical complications on long-term follow-up occurred in 17 patients and were associated with nonresponse to therapy and baseline cirrhosis. The annual event-free survival rate in patients with cirrhosis vs noncirrhotic patients at year 5 and 10 was 70% vs 91% and 35% vs 76%. Long-term follow-up of a large randomized clinical trial suggests that off-treatment HDV RNA response to PEG-IFNα-2a treatment leads to improved clinical long-term outcome.

Accelerated progression of IDH mutant glioma after first recurrence

BACKGROUND

Isocitrate dehydrogenase (IDH) mutant gliomas are a distinct subtype, reflected in the World Health Organization (WHO) 2016 revised diagnostic criteria. To inform IDH-targeting trial design, we sought to characterize outcomes exclusively within IDH mutant gliomas.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 275 IDH mutant glioma patients treated at our institution. Progression was determined using low-grade glioma criteria from Response Assessment in Neuro-Oncology. We calculated survival statistics with the Kaplan-Meier method, and survival proportions were correlated with molecular, histologic, and clinical factors.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 6.4 years, 44 deaths (7.6%) and 149 first progression (PFS1) events (54.1%) were observed. Median PFS1 was 5.7 years (95% CI: 4.7-6.4) and OS was 18.7 years (95% CI: 12.2 y-not reached). Consistent with prior studies, we observed an association of grade, molecular diagnosis, and treatment with PFS1. Following the first progressive episode, 79 second progression events occurred during a median follow-up period of 4.1 years. Median PFS following an initial progressive event (PFS2) was accelerated at 3.1 years (95% CI: 2.1-4.1). PFS2 was a surrogate prognostic marker, identifying patients with poorer overall survival.

CONCLUSION

We report outcomes in a large cohort of IDH mutant glioma, providing a well-characterized historical control population for future clinical trial design. Notably, the interval between first and second recurrence (PFS2, 3.0 y) is shorter than time from diagnosis to first recurrence (PFS1, 5.7 y), evidence that these tumors clinically degenerate from an indolent course to an accelerated malignant phase. Thus, PFS2 represents a relevant outcome for trials investigating drug efficacy at recurrence.

A validation study of the Ursodeoxycholic Acid Response Score in Japanese patients with primary biliary cholangitis

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE

Although ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) is a first-line treatment for primary biliary cholangitis (PBC), 20%-30% of patients with PBC exhibit an incomplete response to UDCA. Recently, the UDCA Response Score was proposed for predicting response to UDCA using pretreatment parameters in patients with PBC. We aimed to validate the UDCA Response Score in Japanese patients with PBC.

METHODS

Registry data of Japanese patients (n = 873) were collected. Patients with data on all clinical parameters required for calculating the UDCA Response Score were selected. The endpoint was UDCA response, defined as alkaline phosphatase <1.67 times the upper limit of the normal value after 12 months of UDCA treatment.

RESULTS

All parameters were available in 804 patients (male/female = 120/684, age 58.9 [interquartile range 51.1-66.9] years). Bezafibrate was commenced within 12 months of UDCA in 78 patients (9.7%) because of the lack of an early response. We found that the endpoint was not reached in these 78 patients, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of the score was 0.74 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.70-0.79). The AUROC was 0.77 (95% CI 0.70-0.83) in patients undergoing UDCA monotherapy (n = 726). Finally, the AUROC of the modified UDCA Response Score using only data from the treatment start date was 0.80 (95% CI 0.70-0.90) in patients receiving a combination therapy of UDCA and bezafibrate (n = 160).

CONCLUSION

The validity of the UDCA Response Score was acceptable in Japanese patients; this score will be informative in patients treated with a combination therapy of UDCA and bezafibrate.

Impaired Isometric Force Matching in Upper and Lower Limbs Revealed by Quantitative Motor Assessments in Huntington's Disease

BACKGROUND

Assessment of motor symptoms in Huntington's disease (HD) is based on the Unified-HD-Rating-Scale-Total-Motor-Score (UHDRS-TMS). Its categorical and rater-dependent nature reduces the ability to detect subtle changes and often placebo effects have been observed in trials. We have previously shown that impairments in isometric force matching can be detected by quantitative motor (Q-Motor) assessments of tongue protrusion forces (glossomotography) in HD.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to investigate whether similar impairments in isometric force matching can be detected in tasks assessing hand and foot force coordination and whether correlations with clinical measures and the disease burden score can be found.

METHODS

Using a pre-calibrated force transducer, the ability of subjects to generate and maintain isometric forces at different target levels displayed on a monitor was assessed. Target forces applied in the hand were 1.5 and 5 Newton [N] and in feet 1, 5, and 10 N. Subjects with HD (n = 31) and age-matched controls (n = 22) were recruited from the HD out-patient clinic.

RESULTS

All paradigms distinguished controls from HD. The static coefficient of variability (%) was the most robust measure across all matching tasks. Correlations with clinical measures, such as the UHDRS-TMS, TFC, and the DBS were found.

CONCLUSIONS

Assessment of hand and foot force matching tasks was feasible and provided quantitative objective measures for severity of motor phenotype in HD. Since both upper and lower extremity motor function are relevant for everyday activities, these measures should be further assessed as candidates for developing functionally meaningful quantitative motor tasks.

Time from diagnosis to 2nd treatment is a promising surrogate for overall survival in patients with advanced stage follicular lymphoma

It is difficult to demonstrate an overall survival (OS) benefit in trials of immediate therapy vs observation in follicular lymphoma (FL). Time to 2nd treatment (TT2T) may be a preferred endpoint. We identified 584 consecutive patients at our institution with advanced stage FL grade 1-3 A for whom intention was observation (n = 248) or therapy (n = 338). Median time to 1st treatment (TT1T), TT2T, and OS were estimated (subdistribution function). Modified Kendall's tau (mKτ) was used to assess correlation between survival endpoints. Among initially observed patients, median TT1T was 3.3 years, TT2T was 12.1 years, 10-year treatment-free survival was 23%, and 10-year OS was 82%. TT2T was strongly correlated with OS following initial observation (mKτ 0.46, p = .004) or therapy (mKτ 0.53, p < .0001), while duration of observation was not. TT2T is a potential surrogate for OS. Given the outstanding survival in this population, early intervention trials should focus on identifying high risk patients.

A Feasibility Study of Quantitative Motor Assessments in Children Using the Q-Motor Suite

Q-Motor is utilized across various clinical trials in adults with Huntington's disease (HD) to provide quantitative, reliable assessments of motor abilities. With gene-knockdown therapies entering the clinic, development of preventative therapies for pediatric carriers of the HD mutation seems imminent. It is currently unclear if Q-Motor is useful for tracking changes in motor abilities in pediatric HD patients or at-risk youth, as most assessments have never been administered in children. We demonstrate the feasibility of administering Q-Motor tasks in a sample of children recruited from the community, and we show that Q-Motor is sensitive to age-related changes in motor abilities.

Semantic and Geographical Analysis of COVID-19 Trials Reveals a Fragmented Clinical Research Landscape Likely to Impair Informativeness

Background: The unprecedented impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on modern society has ignited a "gold rush" for effective treatment and diagnostic strategies, with a significant diversion of economic, scientific, and human resources toward dedicated clinical research. We aimed to describe trends in this rapidly changing landscape to inform adequate resource allocation. Methods: We developed an online repository (COVID Trial Monitor) to analyze in real time the growth rate, geographical distribution, and characteristics of COVID-19 related trials. We defined structured semantic ontologies with controlled vocabularies to categorize trial interventions, study endpoints, and study designs. Analyses are publicly available at https://bioinfo.ieo.it/shiny/app/CovidCT. Results: We observe a clear prevalence of monocentric trials with highly heterogeneous endpoints and a significant disconnect between geographic distribution and disease prevalence, implying that most countries would need to recruit unrealistic percentages of their total prevalent cases to fulfill enrolment. Conclusions: This geographically and methodologically incoherent growth casts doubts on the actual feasibility of locally reaching target sample sizes and the probability of most of these trials providing reliable and transferable results. We call for the harmonization of clinical trial design criteria for COVID-19 and the increased use of larger master protocols incorporating elements of adaptive designs. COVID Trial Monitor identifies critical issues in current COVID-19-related clinical research and represents a useful resource with which researchers and policymakers can improve the quality and efficiency of related trials.

Concordance of early and late endpoints for community-acquired bacterial pneumonia trials

BACKGROUND

While there are ongoing regulatory convergence efforts, differences remain in primary endpoints recommended for community-acquired bacterial pneumonia (CABP) trials. The US Food and Drug Administration recommends assessing CABP symptom resolution at an early time point (3-5 days after randomization). Other regulatory agencies recommend assessing overall clinical response at a later time point (5-10 days after therapy ends).

METHODS

We analyzed participant-level data from six recent CABP trials submitted to the FDA (n=4,645 participants) to evaluate concordance between early and late endpoint outcomes. We used multivariate logistic regression to identify factors associated with discordance.

RESULTS

Early and late endpoint outcomes were concordant for 85.6% of participants. The proportions of early endpoint responders that ultimately failed and early endpoint non-responders that ultimately succeeded were similar (6.0% vs 8.4%, respectively). Early endpoint response was highly predictive of late endpoint success (positive predictive value 92.9%). Multivariate logistic regression identified early endpoint responders/late endpoint failures as less likely to be obese and more likely to be infected with Chlamydophila pneumoniae or Staphylococcus aureus, have received antibacterial drug therapy prior to randomization, and have severe chest pain at baseline. The most common investigator-provided reasons for failure among early endpoint responders/late endpoint failures were receipt of non-study antibacterial drug therapy and loss to follow-up.

CONCLUSION

Early and late endpoint outcomes were highly concordant. These data may be useful in the continuing efforts to reach international regulatory convergence on CABP clinical trial design recommendations.

Differences in Patient-Reported Outcomes That Are Most Frequently Detected in Randomized Controlled Trials in Patients With Solid Tumors: A Pooled Analysis of 229 Trials

OBJECTIVES

Patient-reported outcome (PRO) measurements used in cancer research can assess a number of health domains. Our primary objective was to investigate which broad types of PRO domains (namely, functional health, symptoms, and global quality of life [QoL]) most frequently yielded significant differences between treatments in randomized controlled trials (RCTs).

METHODS

A total of 229 RCTs published between January 2004 and February 2019, conducted on patients diagnosed with the most common solid malignancies and assessed using the European Organization for the Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) Quality of Life Questionnaire (QLQ)-C30, were considered. Studies were identified systematically using literature searches in key electronic databases. Unlike other PRO measurements typically used in RCTs, the scoring algorithm of the multidimensional EORTC QLQ-C30 allowed us to clearly distinguish the 3 broad types of PRO domains.

RESULTS

In total, 134 RCTs (58.5%) reported statistically significant differences between treatment arms for at least 1 of the QLQ-C30 domains. Most frequently, differences were reported for 2 or all 3 broad types of PRO domains (78 of 134 trials; 58.2%). In particular, 35 trials (26.1%) found significant differences for symptoms, functional health, and global QoL, 24 trials (17.9%) for symptoms and functional health, 11 trials (8.2%) for functional health and global QoL, and 8 trials (6.0%) for symptoms and global QoL. The likelihood of finding a statistically significant difference between treatment arms was not associated with key study characteristics, such as study design (ie, open-label vs blinded trials) and industry support.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings emphasize the importance of a multidimensional PRO assessment to most comprehensively capture the overall burden of therapy from the patients' standpoint.

Clinical efficacy assessment in severe vernal keratoconjunctivitis: preliminary validation of a new penalties-adjusted corneal fluorescein staining score

Introduction and objective: Vernal keratoconjunctivitis (VKC) is a rare allergic eye condition that occurs in children and is characterised by a combination of debilitating symptoms. Repeated use of topical corticosteroid rescue therapy is often necessary in severe forms. This study aims to assess the validity of a new composite endpoint: the penalties-adjusted corneal staining score (PACS-S) proposed as primary endpoint in VEKTIS trial evaluating the efficacy of a new corticosteroid-sparing treatment, VERKAZIA® (ciclosporin 1 mg/ml eye drops), in severe VKC patients. Methodology: This research comprised a systematic literature review to identify efficacy endpoints being proposed in clinical trials for pediatric patients with severe VKC, followed by a remote expert advisory board assessing the validity of the PACS-S. Results: While no agreed or validated endpoint for assessing efficacy in VKC was identified when VEKTIS trial started, the experts' board acknowledged a high face validity of PACS-S as a subjective integrated measure matching the current clinical practice. A fair external validity was considered with regards to VEKTIS trial secondary endpoints. Conclusion: PACS-S appears to be a reliable, valid and clinically meaningful primary endpoint that allows significant improvement over existing endpoints in severe VKC trials. Additional research is needed to validate this endpoint.

Critical Parameters for the Development of Novel Therapies for Severe and Resistant Infections-A Case Study on CAL02, a Non-Traditional Broad-Spectrum Anti-Virulence Drug

Background: Poor outcomes in severe and resistant infections, together with the economic struggles of companies active in the field of anti-infective development, call for new solutions and front runners with novel approaches. Among “non-traditional” approaches, blocking virulence could be a game changer. Objectives: This review offers a perspective on parameters that have determined the development path of CAL02, a novel anti-virulence agent, with a view to steering clear of the obstacles and limitations that impede market sustainability for new anti-infective drugs. Conclusions and implications of key findings: This case study highlights four pillars that may support the development of other non-traditional drugs and, concurrently, provide a new model that could reshape the field. Therapeutic triggers, study designs, and economic parameters are discussed.

Geriatric Research Policy: Japan Clinical Oncology Group (JCOG) policy

Due to the rapid aging of Japan’s population, clinical research focusing on older patients with cancer is urgently needed. The Japan Clinical Oncology Group (JCOG) has conducted several such clinical trials, but there has been no formal policy for geriatric research. We have therefore established a JCOG policy for geriatric cancer research.

We defined the patient selection policy based on treatment tolerance and chronological age. Older patients are categorized into three conceptual groups: ‘fit patients’ who can undergo the same standard treatment given to younger patients, ‘frail patients’ for whom best supportive or palliative care is indicated and ‘vulnerable patients’ who fall between the fit and frail categories. Unmet needs often exist for vulnerable patients.

The policy recommends that study endpoints include not only survival but also other endpoints such as physical and cognitive function because the objective of therapy in older patients is not only extended life expectancy but also maintenance of the patient’s general condition. In this viewpoint, co-primary or composite endpoints that incorporate geriatric assessment in the study design are often applicable.

Study design will differ depending on the study population, clinical question, and treatment. Even for older patients, a randomized clinical trial is still the gold standard when the clinical question asks which treatment is better. An observational study of a broader population is applicable for investigating actual conditions of older patients.

This JCOG Geriatric Research Policy includes several practical solutions for various issues in geriatric research. We plan to revise this policy periodically to guide future geriatric research.

Patient Input to Inform the Development of Central Nervous System Outcome Measures in Myotonic Dystrophy

Myotonic dystrophy type 1 (DM1) and myotonic dystrophy type 2 (DM2) are multisystem, genetic disorders caused by repeat expansions on chromosome 19 (DM1) and chromosome 3 (DM2). Although the effects of DM on the skeletal, cardiac, and smooth muscles, as well as the endocrine and central nervous systems, can be disabling, there are no disease-modifying therapies for the disorder. Following a process established by the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) in 2012 known as the Patient-Focused Drug Development (PFDD) Initiative, Myotonic (formerly the Myotonic Dystrophy Foundation) has been conducting patient- and caregiver-inclusive sessions to explore disease burden as defined by patients and caregivers, and what affected individuals want most from potential new therapies. In September 2017, at Myotonic’s annual conference, a session titled “Bringing the Patient Voice to CNS-Targeting Drug Development in Myotonic Dystrophy” attracted some 350 members of the DM community. During the session, patients and caregivers described CNS disease symptoms, their impact on quality of life, and potential CNS-related targets that they considered important for drug development consideration. These included fatigue and daytime sleepiness; dysregulated sleep; cognitive deficits such as “brain fog,” memory and focus impairment, learning and attention difficulties, and time management challenges; emotional/psychological/behavioral difficulties, including impulsivity, apathy, antisocial behavior, personality changes, and depression; social difficulties, including disconnection, lack of awareness, and feelings of isolation; and general anxieties about the future and potential loss of independence. Improvements in memory and lessening of “brain fog” were considered particularly important.

Role of inducibility and its dynamic change in the outcome of catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation: a single center prospective study

BACKGROUND

The role of atrial arrhythmia inducibility as an endpoint of catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation (AF) has been a controversial subject in many studies. Our goal is to evaluate the significance of inducibility, the impact of multiple sites or protocols of stimulation or the change in inducibility status in a prospective study including patients with AF undergoing first catheter ablation.

METHODS

We studied 170 consecutive patients with AF (62.9% paroxysmal) undergoing catheter ablation. All patients underwent two separate stimulation protocols before and after the ablation from the coronary sinus ostium and the left atrial appendage: burst pacing at 300, 250, 200 milliseconds (or until refractoriness) for 10 seconds and ramp decrementing from 300 to 200 milliseconds in increments of 10 milliseconds every three beats for 10 seconds. Inducibility was defined as any sustained AF or organized atrial tachycardia (AT) lasting >30 seconds.

RESULTS

We had AF/AT inducibility in 55 patients at baseline compared to 36 following ablation. After a mean of 41, 3 months follow-up, 115 patients were free of AF. Inducibility before or after the ablation or change in inducibility status did not influence AF recurrence. There were no significant differences regarding paroxysmal or persistent patients with AF.

CONCLUSIONS

Non-inducibility of atrial arrhythmia or change in inducibility status following pulmonary vein (PV) isolation and substrate modification are not associated with long-term freedom from recurrent arrhythmia. Therefore, the use of induction of an endpoint in AF ablation is limited.

Individualised Approaches for Catheter Ablation of AF: Patient Selection and Procedural Endpoints

Pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) is the cornerstone of AF ablation, but studies have reported improved efficacy with high rates of repeat procedures. Because of the large interindividual variability in the underlying electrical and anatomical substrate, achieving optimal outcomes requires an individualised approach. This includes optimal candidate selection as well as defined ablation strategies with objective procedure endpoints beyond PVI. Candidate selection is traditionally based on coarse and sometimes arbitrary clinical stratification such as AF type, but finer predictors of treatment efficacy including biomarkers, advanced imaging and electrocardiographic parameters have shown promise. Numerous ancillary ablation strategies beyond PVI have been investigated, but the absence of a clear mechanistic and evidence-based endpoint, unlike in other arrhythmias, has remained a universal limitation. Potential endpoints include functional ones such as AF termination or non-inducibility and substrate-based endpoints such as isolation of low-voltage areas. This review summarises the relevant literature and proposes guidance for clinical practice and future research.

Cardiac MRI Endpoints in Myocardial Infarction Experimental and Clinical Trials: JACC Scientific Expert Panel

After a reperfused myocardial infarction (MI), dynamic tissue changes occur (edema, inflammation, microvascular obstruction, hemorrhage, cardiomyocyte necrosis, and ultimately replacement by fibrosis). The extension and magnitude of these changes contribute to long-term prognosis after MI. Cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) is the gold-standard technique for noninvasive myocardial tissue characterization. CMR is also the preferred methodology for the identification of potential benefits associated with new cardioprotective strategies both in experimental and clinical trials. However, there is a wide heterogeneity in CMR methodologies used in experimental and clinical trials, including time of post-MI scan, acquisition protocols, and, more importantly, selection of endpoints. There is a need for standardization of these methodologies to improve the translation into a real clinical benefit. The main objective of this scientific expert panel consensus document is to provide recommendations for CMR endpoint selection in experimental and clinical trials based on pathophysiology and its association with hard outcomes.

The Statistical Evaluation of Treatment and Outcomes in Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma Clinical Trials

The purpose of this article is two-fold: to help statisticians confronted with the design, implementation and analysis of clinical trials and new to the field of head and neck cancer; but also to sensitize research physicians with the role, the tasks and the challenges faced by the medical statisticians. These two purposes altogether will hopefully encourage and enable fluid communication between the research physician and the medical statistician and the understanding of each other's field and concerns. In particular, the methodological challenges resulting from the heterogeneity of the head and neck cancer, the complexity of the treatments and the associated comorbidities are presented with examples borrowed from medical literature and from the practical experience of the authors in this field.

A Multicenter Phase II Trial of Docetaxel, Cisplatin, and Cetuximab (TPEx) Followed by Cetuximab and Concurrent Radiotherapy for Patients With Local Advanced Squamous Cell Carcinoma of the Head and Neck (CSPOR HN01: ECRIPS Study)

Background: Induction chemotherapy (IC) is a treatment option for locally advanced squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck (LA SCCHN). However, treatment with docetaxel, cisplatin, and 5-FU (TPF) followed by cisplatin and radiotherapy is controversial because of toxicity concerns. The aim of this phase II study was to assess the feasibility of docetaxel, cisplatin, and cetuximab (TPEx) followed by cetuximab and concurrent radiotherapy for LA SCCHN.

Patients and Methods: We enrolled patients with histological evidence of squamous cell carcinoma of the oropharynx, hypopharynx, or larynx without distant metastases. IC comprised cisplatin (75 mg/m²) and docetaxel (75 mg/m²) on day 1, repeated every 3 weeks for up to three courses. Cetuximab was initiated at 400 mg/m², followed by 250 mg/m² doses weekly until the end of radiotherapy. Radiotherapy (70 Gy/35 fr/7 w) was initiated after the last docetaxel administration. The primary endpoint was the rate of treatment completion.

Results: We enrolled 54 patients (median age, 58 years) between August 2013 and October 2015. Our patients were 49 males and 5 females with hypopharyngeal (n = 28), oropharyngeal (n = 19), or laryngeal (n = 7) cancers, and 48 of them had stage IV disease. The overall response rate was 72.2% with a median follow-up of 36.1 months and a 3-year overall survival of 90.7%. The treatment completion rate was 76%; 50 patients (93%) received ≥2 courses of IC, and 41 (76%) completed radiotherapy. The frequencies of grade ≥3 febrile neutropenia or allergy/infusion reactions were 39% and 11%, respectively. There was one treatment-related death.

Conclusions: IC with TPEx followed by cetuximab with concurrent radiotherapy showed acceptable compliance for the treatment of LA SCCHN. However, high frequency of febrile neutropenia remains a challenge and further improvement in the management of TPEx is necessary.

Trial Registration: UMIN000009928

Evaluation of the True Endpoint of Clinical Trials for Cancer Cachexia

Cachexia is an old disease but a new research area that has recently been vigorously investigated. The diagnostic and staging criteria for cancer-associated cachexia have been established through an international consensus report (CR) published in 2011, which may greatly influence the designs and interventions of future clinical trials. However, no standard treatment has been established so far. This may be partially due to the lack of a widely accepted common endpoint for clinical trials. This review aimed to summarize designs and endpoints of 65 randomized controlled trials for cancer cachexia in the past 16 years and seek clinically relevant patient-centered outcomes for future clinical trials. Compared with trials before the CR, trials after the report revealed that the study populations tended to be at the earlier stage of cachexia and included patients with precachexia or those at risk for cachexia. Nonpharmacological interventions have been widely tested, and functional endpoints have increasingly been selected in combination with standard endpoints of body mass or lean body mass. Disability-free survival has recently been used as a functional endpoint in clinical trials in several research fields. It might be also a suitable patient-centered outcome responsive to multiple physical changes in cancer cachexia, and patients might find it more acceptable than other classical endpoints. More efforts would be needed to identify an optimal measurable endpoint and establish a better combination of pharmacological and nonpharmacological interventions to improve the functional prognosis for patients with cancer cachexia.

Can contemporary trials of chemotherapy for HER2-negative metastatic breast cancer detect overall survival benefit?

PURPOSE

Although several trials have demonstrated improved progression-free survival (PFS) with first-line regimens for HER2-negative metastatic breast cancer (mBC), overall survival (OS) benefit is elusive. We calculated required sample sizes to power for OS using published data from recent mBC trials.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Randomized superiority trials of first-line chemotherapy/targeted therapy for HER2-negative mBC including >150 patients, meeting the primary efficacy objective, and published in 2000-2018 were identified. The sample sizes required to power for PFS and OS were calculated retrospectively for each trial using observed results and study/recruitment follow-up durations (α=0.05, two-sided log-rank test, 80% power), and summarized as a factor (x) relative to actual sample size.

RESULTS

Nine of 13 identified trials reported all information required for retrospective sample size calculation. Six had sample sizes larger than required to demonstrate a significant PFS benefit but all would have required larger sample sizes to demonstrate significant OS benefit with the observed results. In ten trials, the required sample size was ≥5-fold larger to power for OS than PFS.

CONCLUSION

Designing trials to test potential new treatments for HER2-negative mBC is challenging, requiring a balance of regulatory acceptability, feasibility, and realistic medical assumptions to calculate sample sizes. Powering for OS is particularly difficult in heterogeneous populations with long postprogression survival, potential crossover, heterogeneous poststudy therapy, and evolving treatment standards. Validated surrogate endpoints are critical. Ongoing trials of cancer immunotherapy (new mode of action) in triple-negative mBC (more homogeneous, shorter OS and postprogression survival, fewer treatment options) may show a new pattern.

Undetectable prostate-specific antigen after short-course androgen deprivation therapy for biochemically recurrent patients correlates with metastasis-free survival and prostate cancer-specific survival

BACKGROUND

Optimal utilization of novel therapies for advanced prostate cancer is challenging without a validated surrogate efficacy endpoint. Ongoing trials are using durable undetectable prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels as a marker of efficacy. The clinical relevance of prolonged undetectable PSA after a short course of androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) is uncertain.

METHODS

The University of Washington Caisis database was queried for radical prostatectomy patients who received 6-12 months of ADT after biochemical recurrence (BCR), defined as PSA ≥0.2 ng/mL and no radiographically detectable metastasis. Proportions of men with undetectable PSA 12 and 24 months after ending ADT were compared to a hypothesized 5% rate using exact binomial tests. Associations with patient and tumor characteristics were examined using logistic regression, and associations with risk of subsequent metastasis and death were evaluated by log-rank tests.

RESULTS

After ineligibility exclusions, 23/93 (25%; 95%CI 16-35%; P < 0.001) and 14/93 (15%; 95%CI 9-24%; P < 0.001) had undetectable PSA 12 and 24 months after ending ADT, respectively. Detectable PSA at 12 months was associated with increased risk of metastasis (P = 0.006), prostate cancer-specific death (P = 0.028), and death from any cause (P = 0.065). Being 1 year older at diagnosis was associated with a 14% (95%CI 5-24%; P = 0.006) decrease in the odds of having a detectable PSA after controlling for PSA at diagnosis, PSA doubling time, grade group, and time from initial therapy to BCR.

CONCLUSIONS

This single-institution retrospective analysis shows that it is not uncommon to have undetectable PSA 12 or 24 months after a short course of ADT. No baseline prognostic characteristic other than age was associated with a durable (12 month) undetectable PSA. Because a durable undetectable PSA was associated with lower risks of metastasis and prostate cancer-specific death, it may be a reasonable clinical trial endpoint.

Re-Examination of the BEST Trial Using Composite Outcomes, Including Emergency Department Visits

OBJECTIVES

The influence of choice of endpoint on trial size, duration, and interpretation of results was examined in patients with heart failure who were enrolled in BEST (Beta-blocker Evaluation of Survival Trial).

BACKGROUND

The choice of endpoints in heart failure trials has evolved over the past 3 decades.

METHODS

In the BEST trial, we used Cox regression analysis to examine the effect of bucindolol on the current standard composite of cardiovascular death or heart failure hospitalization (CVD/HFH) compared with the original primary mortality endpoint and the expanded composite that included emergency department (ED) visits. We also undertook an analysis of recurrent events primarily using the Lin, Wei, Ying, and Yang model.

RESULTS

Overall, 448 (33%) patients on placebo and 411 (30%) patients on bucindolol died (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.90; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.78 to 1.02; p = 0.11). A total of 730 (54%) patients experienced CVD/HFH on placebo and 624 (46%) on bucindolol (HR: 0.80; 95% CI: 0.72 to 0.89; p < 0.001). Adding ED visits increased these numbers to 768 (57%) and 668 (49%), respectively (HR: 0.81; 95% CI: 0.73 to 0.90; p < 0.001). A total of 568 (42%) patients on placebo experienced HFH compared with 476 (35%) patients on bucindolol (HR: 0.78; 95% CI: 0.69 to 0.89; p < 0.001), with a total of 1,333 and 1,124 admissions, respectively. With the same statistical assumptions, using the composite endpoint instead of all-cause mortality would have reduced the trial size by 40% and follow-up duration by 69%. The rate ratio for recurrent events (CVD/HFH) was 0.83 (95% CI: 0.73 to 0.94; p = 0.003).

CONCLUSIONS

Choice of endpoint has major implications for trial size and duration, as well as interpretation of results. The value of broader composite endpoints and inclusion of recurrent events needs further investigation. (Beta Blocker Evaluation in Survival Trial [BEST]; NCT00000560).

The art and science of choosing efficacy endpoints for rare disease clinical trials

An important challenge in rare disease clinical trials is to demonstrate a clinically meaningful and statistically significant response to treatment. Selecting the most appropriate and sensitive efficacy endpoints for a treatment trial is part art and part science. The types of endpoints should align with the stage of development (e.g., proof of concept vs. confirmation of clinical efficacy). The patient characteristics and disease stage should reflect the treatment goal of improving disease manifestations or preventing disease progression. For rare diseases, regulatory approval requires demonstration of clinical benefit, defined as how a patient, feels, functions, or survives, in at least one adequate and well-controlled pivotal study conducted according to Good Clinical Practice. In some cases, full regulatory approval can occur using a validated surrogate biomarker, while accelerated, or provisional, approval can occur using a biomarker that is likely to predict clinical benefit. Rare disease studies are small by necessity and require the use of endpoints with large effect sizes to demonstrate statistical significance. Understanding the quantitative factors that determine effect size and its impact on powering the study with an adequate sample size is key to the successful choice of endpoints. Interpreting the clinical meaningfulness of an observed change in an efficacy endpoint can be justified by statistical methods, regulatory precedence, and clinical context. Heterogeneous diseases that affect multiple organ systems may be better accommodated by endpoints that assess mean change across multiple endpoints within the same patient rather than mean change in an individual endpoint across all patients.

Moving Beyond Conventional Clinical Trial End Points in Treatment-refractory Metastatic Colorectal Cancer: A Composite Quality-of-life and Symptom Control End Point

PURPOSE

This review highlights the evidence supporting symptom control and quality-of-life (QOL) measures as predictors of survival in treatment-refractory metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) and describes a composite symptom control and QOL end point recently reported in a Phase III trial that may serve as a more reasonable end point of efficacy in this population.

METHODS

A literature search was conducted using MEDLINE to identify clinical studies (including case series and observational, retrospective, and prospective studies) that reported the predictive value of QOL measures for survival in mCRC. The search was limited by the following key words: quality of life, survival, and colorectal cancer. We then performed a second search limited to studies of randomized and Phase III design in mCRC to identify studies that used QOL assessments as their primary end points. A manual search was also performed to include additional studies of potential relevance.

FINDINGS

There is increasing evidence to support that symptom control and QOL measures are predictors of survival in treatment-refractory mCRC and can serve as an alternative but equally as important end point to survival in this population. A recent large, randomized Phase III trial using a composite primary end point of lean body mass, pain, anorexia, and fatigue reported the feasibility in evaluating benefit in mCRC beyond conventional clinical trial end points.

IMPLICATIONS

Future studies in treatment-refractory mCRC may be better served by evaluating improvement in symptom control and QOL, which may otherwise serve as the best predictor of survival in last-line treatment settings.