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Hoeggerl AD, Nunhofer V, Weidner L, Lauth W, Zimmermann G, Badstuber N, Grabmer C, Kartal O, Jungbauer C, Neureiter H, Held N, Ortner T, Flamm M, Osterbrink J, Rohde E, Laner-Plamberger S. Dissecting the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 reinfections in blood donors with pauci- or asymptomatic COVID-19 disease course at initial infection. Infect Dis (Lond) 2024; 56:954-964. [PMID: 38869944 DOI: 10.1080/23744235.2024.2367112] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/26/2024] [Revised: 05/22/2024] [Accepted: 06/07/2024] [Indexed: 06/14/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Understanding the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 reinfections is crucial for public health policy, vaccine development, and long-term disease management. However, data on reinfections in the general population remains scarce. OBJECTIVES This study aimed to investigate SARS-CoV-2 antibody dynamics among Austrian blood donors, representing healthy adults, over two years following primary infection and to evaluate the reinfection risk. METHODS 117,895 blood donations were analysed for SARS-CoV-2 total anti-N levels from June 2020 to December 2023. We examined anti-N and anti-S antibody dynamics and in vitro functionality in 230 study participants at five defined times during 24 months, assessing associations with demographics, vaccination status, and reinfection awareness. RESULTS The seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 infection-derived anti-N antibodies increased over time, reaching 90% by February 2023 and remaining at that level since then. According to serological screenings, we found an 88% reinfection rate, which is in contrast to participants' reports indicating a reinfection rate of 59%. Our data further reveal that about 26% of reinfections went completely unnoticed. Antibody dynamics were independent of age, sex, and ABO blood group. Interestingly, individuals with multiple reinfections reported symptoms more frequently during their primary infection. Our results further show that vaccination modestly affected reinfection risk and disease course. CONCLUSION SARS-CoV-2 reinfections were uncommon until the end of 2021 but became common with the advent of Omicron. This study highlights the underestimation of reinfection rates in healthy adults and underscores the need for continued surveillance, which is an important support for public health policies and intervention strategies.
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Astner-Rohracher A, Ho A, Archer J, Bartolomei F, Brazdil M, Cacic Hribljan M, Castellano J, Dolezalova I, Fabricius ME, Garcés-Sanchez M, Hammam K, Ikeda A, Ikeda K, Kahane P, Kalamangalam G, Kalss G, Khweileh M, Kobayashi K, Kwan P, Laing JA, Leitinger M, Lhatoo S, Makhalova J, McGonigal A, Mindruta I, Mizera MM, Neal A, Oane I, Parikh P, Perucca P, Pizzo F, Rocamora R, Ryvlin P, San Antonio Arce V, Schuele S, Schulze-Bonhage A, Suller Marti A, Urban A, Villanueva V, Vilella Bertran L, Whatley B, Beniczky S, Trinka E, Zimmermann G, Frauscher B. Prognostic value of the 5-SENSE Score to predict focality of the seizure-onset zone as assessed by stereoelectroencephalography: a prospective international multicentre validation study. BMJ Neurol Open 2024; 6:e000765. [PMID: 39175939 PMCID: PMC11340713 DOI: 10.1136/bmjno-2024-000765] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/23/2024] [Accepted: 07/01/2024] [Indexed: 08/24/2024] Open
Abstract
Introduction Epilepsy surgery is the only curative treatment for patients with drug-resistant focal epilepsy. Stereoelectroencephalography (SEEG) is the gold standard to delineate the seizure-onset zone (SOZ). However, up to 40% of patients are subsequently not operated as no focal non-eloquent SOZ can be identified. The 5-SENSE Score is a 5-point score to predict whether a focal SOZ is likely to be identified by SEEG. This study aims to validate the 5-SENSE Score, improve score performance by incorporating auxiliary diagnostic methods and evaluate its concordance with expert decisions. Methods and analysis Non-interventional, observational, multicentre, prospective study including 200 patients with drug-resistant epilepsy aged ≥15 years undergoing SEEG for identification of a focal SOZ and 200 controls at 22 epilepsy surgery centres worldwide. The primary objective is to assess the diagnostic accuracy and generalisability of the 5-SENSE in predicting focality in SEEG in a prospective cohort. Secondary objectives are to optimise score performance by incorporating auxiliary diagnostic methods and to analyse concordance of the 5-SENSE Score with the expert decisions made in the multidisciplinary team discussion. Ethics and dissemination Prospective multicentre validation of the 5-SENSE score may lead to its implementation into clinical practice to assist clinicians in the difficult decision of whether to proceed with implantation. This study will be conducted in accordance with the Tri-Council Policy Statement: Ethical Conduct for Research Involving Humans (2014). We plan to publish the study results in a peer-reviewed full-length original article and present its findings at scientific conferences. Trial registration number NCT06138808.
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Carrozzo AE, Cornelissen V, Bathke AC, Claes J, Niebauer J, Zimmermann G, Treff G, Kulnik ST. Applying Exercise Capacity and Physical Activity as Single vs Composite Endpoints for Trials of Cardiac Rehabilitation Interventions: Rationale, Use-case, and a Blueprint Method for Sample Size Calculation. Arch Phys Med Rehabil 2024; 105:1498-1505. [PMID: 38621456 DOI: 10.1016/j.apmr.2024.04.004] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/27/2023] [Revised: 03/05/2024] [Accepted: 04/09/2024] [Indexed: 04/17/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To conceptualize a composite primary endpoint for parallel-group RCTs of exercise-based cardiac rehabilitation (CR) interventions and to explore its application and statistical efficiency. DESIGN We conducted a statistical exploration of sample size requirements. We combined exercise capacity and physical activity for the composite endpoint (CE), both being directly related to reduced premature mortality in patients with cardiac diseases. Based on smallest detectable and minimal clinically important changes (change in exercise capacity of 15 W and change in physical activity of 10 min/day), the CE combines 2 dichotomous endpoints (achieved/not achieved). To examine statistical efficiency, we compared sample size requirements based on the CE to single endpoints using data from 2 completed CR trials. SETTING Cardiac rehabilitation phase III. PARTICIPANTS Patients in cardiac rehabilitation. INTERVENTIONS Not applicable. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S) Exercise capacity (Pmax assessed by incremental cycle ergometry) and physical activity (daily minutes of moderate to vigorous physical activity assessed by accelerometry). RESULTS Expecting, for example, a 10% between-group difference and improvement in the clinical outcome, the CE would increase sample size by up to 21% or 61%, depending on the dataset. When expecting a 10% difference and designing an intervention with the aim of non-deterioration, the CE would allow to reduce the sample size by up to 55% or 70%. CONCLUSIONS Trialists may consider the utility of the CE for future studies in exercise-based CR to reduce sample size requirements. However, perhaps surprisingly at first, the CE could also lead to an increased sample size needed, depending on the observed baseline proportions in the trial population and the aim of the intervention.
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Kalss G, Pelliccia V, Zimmermann G, Trinka E, Tassi L. The Fingerprint of Scalp-EEG in Drug-Resistant Frontal Lobe Epilepsies. J Clin Neurophysiol 2024:00004691-990000000-00162. [PMID: 39042052 DOI: 10.1097/wnp.0000000000001106] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 07/24/2024] Open
Abstract
PURPOSE Scalp-EEG incompletely covers the frontal lobe cortex. Underrepresentation of frontobasal or frontomesial structures, fast ictal spreading, and false lateralization impede scalp-EEG interpretation. Hence, we investigated the significance of scalp-EEG in the presurgical workup of frontal lobe epilepsy. METHODS Using descriptive statistical methods and Pearson chi-squared test for group comparisons, we retrospectively investigated postsurgical outcome, interictal epileptiform discharges (iiEDs), and electrographic seizure patterns on scalp-EEG in 81 consecutive patients undergoing resective epilepsy surgery within the margins of the frontal lobe. RESULTS Postoperatively, patients with frontopolar iiEDs (n = 7) or concordant frontopolar iiED focus and seizure-onset (n = 2) were seizure free (n = 7/7, Engel Ia). MRI-positive patients with frontopolar iiEDs or frontopolar seizure-onset (n = 1/8 Engel Id, n = 7/8 Engel Ia) underwent surgery without stereo-EEG. Thirteen of 16 patients with frontolateral (n = 8/10, Engel Ia), or left frontobasal (n = 5/6, Engel Ia) seizure-onset undergoing further stereo-EEG, were seizure-free postoperatively. Seizure-onset prevalent over one electrode (n = 37/44 Engel I, p = 0.02), fast activity (FA)/flattening at seizure-onset (n = 29/33 Engel I, p = 0.02), FA/flattening during the seizure (n = 38/46 Engel I, p = 0.05), or focal rhythmic sharp-/spike-/polyspike-and-slow waves during the seizure (n = 24/31, Engel Ia, p = 0.05) were favorable prognostic markers. Interictal polyspike waves (p = 0.006 for Engel Ia) and interictal paroxysmal FA (p = 0.02 for Engel I) were unfavorable prognostic markers. CONCLUSIONS Frontopolar scalp-EEG findings serve as biomarkers for predicting favorable surgical outcome in lesional frontal lobe epilepsy. Consequently, careful analysis of scalp-EEG assists in bypassing stereo-EEG in these patients.
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Pixner T, Chaikouskaya T, Lauth W, Zimmermann G, Mörwald K, Lischka J, Furthner D, Awender E, Geiersberger S, Maruszczak K, Forslund A, Anderwald CH, Cadamuro J, Weghuber D, Bergsten P. Rise in fasting and dynamic glucagon levels in children and adolescents with obesity is moderate in subjects with impaired fasting glucose but accentuated in subjects with impaired glucose tolerance or type 2 diabetes. Front Endocrinol (Lausanne) 2024; 15:1368570. [PMID: 39027470 PMCID: PMC11254805 DOI: 10.3389/fendo.2024.1368570] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/10/2024] [Accepted: 06/14/2024] [Indexed: 07/20/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Fasting levels of glucagon are known to be elevated in youth and adults with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D). Children and adolescents with obesity were previously reported to show increasing fasting and post-glucose-challenge hyperglucagonemia across the spectrum of glucose tolerance, while no data are available in those with impaired fasting glucose (IFG). Materials and methods Individuals from the Beta-JUDO study population (Uppsala and Salzburg 2010-2016) (n=101, age 13.3 ± 2.8, m/f =50/51) were included (90 with overweight or obesity, 11 with normal weight). Standardized OGTT were performed and plasma glucose, glucagon and insulin concentrations assessed at baseline, 5, 10, 15, 30, 60, 90 and 120 minutes. Patients were grouped according to their glycemic state in six groups with normal glucose metabolism (NGM) and normal weight (NG-NW), NGM with obesity or overweight (NG-O), impaired glucose tolerance (IGT), impaired fasting glucose (IFG), IGT+IFG and T2D, and in two groups with NGM and impaired glucose metabolism (IGM), for statistical analysis. Results and conclusion Glucagon concentrations were elevated in young normoglycemic individuals with overweight or obesity (NG-O) compared to normoglycemic individuals with normal weight. Glucagon levels, fasting and dynamic, increased with progressing glycemic deterioration, except in IFG, where levels were comparable to those in NG-O. All glycemic groups showed an overall suppression of glucagon during OGTT. An initial increase of glucagon could be observed in T2D. In T2D, glucagon showed a strong direct linear correlation with plasma glucose levels during OGTT. Glucagon in adolescents, as in adults, may play a role in the disease progression of T2D.
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Bosque Varela P, Tabaee Damavandi P, Machegger L, Prüwasser T, Zimmermann G, Oellerer A, Steinbacher J, McCoy M, Pfaff J, Trinka E, Kuchukhidze G. Magnetic resonance imaging fingerprints of status epilepticus: A case-control study. Epilepsia 2024; 65:1620-1630. [PMID: 38507291 DOI: 10.1111/epi.17949] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/13/2023] [Revised: 02/29/2024] [Accepted: 03/01/2024] [Indexed: 03/22/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Status epilepticus (SE) is frequently associated with peri-ictal magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) abnormalities (PMA). However, the anatomical distribution of these alterations has not been systematically studied. The aim of this study was to assess the localization patterns of PMA in patients with SE. METHODS In this prospective case-control study, we compared the distribution and combinations of diffusion-restricted PMA to diffusion-restricted lesions caused by other neurological conditions. All patients of the SE group and the control group underwent MRI including a diffusion-weighted imaging sequence. Patients with SE were imaged within 48 h after its onset. RESULTS We enrolled 201 patients (51 with SE and 150 controls). The most frequent locations of PMA in SE were cortex (25/51, 49%), followed by hippocampus (20/51, 39%) and pulvinar of thalamus (10/51, 20%). In the control group, the cortex was involved in 80 of 150 (53%), white matter in 53 of 150 (35%), and basal ganglia in 33 of 150 (22%). In the control group, the pulvinar of thalamus was never affected and hippocampal structures were rarely involved (7/150, 5%). Involvement of the pulvinar of thalamus and the hippocampus had high specificity for SE at 100% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 98-100) and 95% (95% CI = 91-98), respectively. The sensitivity, however, was low for both locations (pulvinar of thalamus: 20%, 95% CI = 10-33; hippocampus: 39%, 95% CI = 26-54). SIGNIFICANCE Diffusion-restricted MRI lesions observed in the pulvinar of thalamus and hippocampus are strongly associated with SE. These changes may help physicians in diagnosing SE-related changes on MRI in an acute setting, especially in cases of equivocal clinical and electroencephalographic manifestations of SE.
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Zeman-Kuhnert K, Gaggl AJ, Bottini GB, Wittig J, Zimmermann G, Steiner C, Lauth W, Brandtner C. Long-Term Outcomes of Dental Rehabilitation and Quality of Life after Microvascular Alveolar Ridge Reconstruction in Patients with Head and Neck Cancer. J Clin Med 2024; 13:3110. [PMID: 38892821 PMCID: PMC11173157 DOI: 10.3390/jcm13113110] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/31/2024] [Revised: 05/21/2024] [Accepted: 05/22/2024] [Indexed: 06/21/2024] Open
Abstract
Background/Objectives: Dental rehabilitation after extended tumour resection and jaw reconstruction is challenging. The present study aimed to report the prosthetic outcome and quality of life (QoL) in patients with head and neck cancer (HNC) after microvascular alveolar ridge reconstruction. Methods: The prosthetic outcomes of all consecutive patients with HNC who underwent microvascular alveolar ridge reconstruction at the University Hospital Salzburg between 2011 and 2018 were investigated. Oral health-related QoL (OHrQoL) and overall QoL were assessed using the validated Oral Health Impact Profile-49 (OHIP-49) and Short Form-36 questionnaires. Results: During the study period, 115 consecutive patients with head and neck cancer underwent microvascular jaw reconstruction. Among them, 23.3% and 27.4% received conventional tissue-borne prostheses and implant-supported prostheses, respectively, while 48.7% did not undergo dental rehabilitation. The prosthetic outcome was not associated with tumour stage (p = 0.32). Oral health-related quality of life (OHrQoL) was best in patients with implant-supported dental rehabilitation (OHIP-49 median score = 7) and worst in those with conventional removable dentures (OHIP-49 median score = 54). The corresponding OHIP-49 median score for patients who could not undergo dental rehabilitation was 30.5. All Short Form-36 subscale scores were equal to or higher than the malignancy norm scores. Conclusions: After microvascular jaw reconstruction, approximately one-third of the HNC patients received adequate implant-supported dental rehabilitation. However, the risk of dental rehabilitation failure was 50%. The different prosthetic outcomes affected OHrQoL, but not overall QoL.
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Frey VN, Langthaler PB, Renz N, Zimmermann G, Höhn C, Schwenker K, Thomschewski A, Kunz AB, Höller Y, Nardone R, Trinka E. Influence of sports on cortical excitability in patients with spinal cord injury: a TMS study. FRONTIERS IN MEDICAL TECHNOLOGY 2024; 6:1297552. [PMID: 38812566 PMCID: PMC11133579 DOI: 10.3389/fmedt.2024.1297552] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/20/2023] [Accepted: 04/19/2024] [Indexed: 05/31/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Patients with spinal cord injury (SCI) show abnormal cortical excitability that might be caused by deafferentation. We hypothesize a reduced short-interval intracortical inhibition preceding movement in patients with SCI compared with healthy participants. In addition, we expect that neuroplasticity induced by different types of sports can modulate intracortical inhibition during movement preparation in patients with SCI. Methods We used a reaction test and paired-pulse transcranial magnetic stimulation to record cortical excitability, assessed by measuring amplitudes of motor-evoked potentials in preparation of movement. The participants were grouped as patients with SCI practicing wheelchair dancing (n = 7), other sports (n = 6), no sports (n = 9), and healthy controls (n = 24). Results There were neither significant differences between healthy participants and the patients nor between the different patient groups. A non-significant trend (p = .238), showed that patients engaged in sports have a stronger increase in cortical excitability compared with patients of the non-sportive group, while the patients in the other sports group expressed the highest increase in cortical excitability. Conclusion The small sample sizes limit the statistical power of the study, but the trending effect warrants further investigation of different sports on the neuroplasticity in patients with SCI. It is not clear how neuroplastic changes impact the sensorimotor output of the affected extremities in a patient. This needs to be followed up in further studies with a greater sample size.
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Windhofer CM, Neureiter J, Schauer J, Zimmermann G, Hirnsperger C. Trapeziectomy versus Maïa Prosthesis in Trapeziometacarpal Osteoarthritis. J Wrist Surg 2024; 13:142-150. [PMID: 38505211 PMCID: PMC10948241 DOI: 10.1055/s-0043-1770793] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/18/2022] [Accepted: 05/29/2023] [Indexed: 03/21/2024]
Abstract
Background Osteoarthritis at the base of the thumb is the most frequent osteoarthritis of the hand. Trapeziectomy in a broad variety of surgical methods have been proposed to achieve pain reduction and improvement of thumb function. A well-known disadvantage is the long recovery time. Arthroplasty of the thumb carpometacarpal joint is a competing new method for this indication with different revision and complication rates reported. Purposes The aim of this study is to assess whether there are significant differences in outcome during the first 12 months and time return to work after either, implant of a Maïa joint prosthesis, or trapeziectomy with tendon interposition after Weilby. Patients and Methods This clinical follow-up study compares the efficacy of total basal joint replacement using the Maïa prosthesis with tendon interposition arthroplasty in 59 thumbs. Clinical, functional, and radiological results at preoperative, 3-, 6-, and 12-month postoperative are presented. Results We found a significant shorter return to work in the prosthesis group with 4.5 compared with 8.6 weeks. In addition to a significant difference in pain reduction with a better Mayo wrist score in the Maïa group after 3 months. The scores are closer after 6 months and nearly match after 12 months. Measurement of the pinch grip showed a parallel course. A radiological loosening of the cup in two patients was detected after 12 months. Conclusion Implantation of Maïa prosthesis enables a significant shorter recovery but is associated with the risk of loosening and higher costs. Level of Evidence Level IV, case-control study.
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Schoenen S, Verbeeck J, Koletzko L, Brambilla I, Kuchenbuch M, Dirani M, Zimmermann G, Dette H, Hilgers RD, Molenberghs G, Nabbout R. Istore: a project on innovative statistical methodologies to improve rare diseases clinical trials in limited populations. Orphanet J Rare Dis 2024; 19:96. [PMID: 38431612 PMCID: PMC10909280 DOI: 10.1186/s13023-024-03103-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/28/2023] [Accepted: 02/23/2024] [Indexed: 03/05/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The conduct of rare disease clinical trials is still hampered by methodological problems. The number of patients suffering from a rare condition is variable, but may be very small and unfortunately statistical problems for small and finite populations have received less consideration. This paper describes the outline of the iSTORE project, its ambitions, and its methodological approaches. METHODS In very small populations, methodological challenges exacerbate. iSTORE's ambition is to develop a comprehensive perspective on natural history course modelling through multiple endpoint methodologies, subgroup similarity identification, and improving level of evidence. RESULTS The methodological approaches cover methods for sound scientific modeling of natural history course data, showing similarity between subgroups, defining, and analyzing multiple endpoints and quantifying the level of evidence in multiple endpoint trials that are often hampered by bias. CONCLUSION Through its expected results, iSTORE will contribute to the rare diseases research field by providing an approach to better inform about and thus being able to plan a clinical trial. The methodological derivations can be synchronized and transferability will be outlined.
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Kartal O, Lindlbauer N, Laner-Plamberger S, Rohde E, Foettinger F, Ombres L, Zimmermann G, Mrazek C, Lauth W, Grabmer C. Collection efficiency of mononuclear cells in offline extracorporeal photopheresis: can processing time be shortened? BLOOD TRANSFUSION = TRASFUSIONE DEL SANGUE 2024; 22:150-156. [PMID: 37458722 PMCID: PMC10920072 DOI: 10.2450/bloodtransfus.442] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/13/2023] [Accepted: 06/08/2023] [Indexed: 03/06/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Extracorporeal photopheresis (ECP) is a well-established but lengthy and burdensome cell-based therapy for various diseases such as cutaneous T-cell lymphoma, graft-versus-host disease and organ rejection after transplantation. The number of mononuclear cells (MNCs) that needs to be collected to obtain a clinical response to ECP is still under debate. The purpose of this retrospective study was to determine the number of lymphocytes, monocytes and neutrophils in mononuclear cell products (MCP) by flow cytometry and the collection efficiency in the offline ECP setting. MATERIALS AND METHODS We collected data from 10 different patients undergoing 162 ECP procedures using the Spectra Optia device for MNC collection. White blood cell (WBC) count of MCP was determined using a hematology analyzer. MNCs were analyzed for CD45 and CD14 expression by flow cytometry to exactly determine the collected lymphocyte and monocyte fractions. RESULTS Collected MCP showed high cell yields with 55.3×106/kg MNCs and 41.1×106/kg lymphocytes. MCP were characterized by high MNC (81.3%) and low neutrophils (18.7%) percentage. Mean collection efficiency for WBCs and for MNCs was 23.9% and 62.0%, respectively. The MNC fraction showed a moderate to high correlation between peripheral blood cell count of patients and MCP count. DISCUSSION This study is one of a few reports showing the monocyte-to-lymphocyte relation in MCP for ECP determined by flow cytometry. In comparison to historical data from inline ECP, the offline ECP processing one total blood volume results in considerably higher cell yields. For this reason, and to reduce the burden on patients, we propose that the offline ECP processing time can be substantially reduced.
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Geroldinger M, Verbeeck J, Thiel KE, Molenberghs G, Bathke AC, Laimer M, Zimmermann G. A neutral comparison of statistical methods for analyzing longitudinally measured ordinal outcomes in rare diseases. Biom J 2024; 66:e2200236. [PMID: 36890631 DOI: 10.1002/bimj.202200236] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/27/2022] [Revised: 12/27/2022] [Accepted: 01/30/2023] [Indexed: 03/10/2023]
Abstract
Ordinal data in a repeated measures design of a crossover study for rare diseases usually do not allow for the use of standard parametric methods, and hence, nonparametric methods should be considered instead. However, only limited simulation studies in settings with small sample sizes exist. Therefore, starting from an Epidermolysis Bullosa simplex trial with the above-mentioned design, a rank-based approach using the R package nparLD and different generalized pairwise comparisons (GPC) methods were compared impartially in a simulation study. The results revealed that there was not one single best method for this particular design, because a trade-off exists between achieving high power, accounting for period effects, and for missing data. Specifically, nparLD as well as the unmatched GPC approaches do not address crossover aspects, and the univariate GPC variants partly ignore the longitudinal information. The matched GPC approaches, on the other hand, take the crossover effect into account in the sense of incorporating the within-subject association. Overall, the prioritized unmatched GPC method achieved the highest power in the simulation scenarios, although this may be due to the specified prioritization. The rank-based approach yielded good power even at a sample size ofN = 6 $N=6$ , whereas the matched GPC method could not control the type I error.
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Moser T, Zimmermann G, Baumgartner A, Berger T, Bsteh G, Di Pauli F, Enzinger C, Fertl E, Heller T, Koppi S, Rommer PS, Safoschnik G, Seifert-Held T, Stepansky R, Sellner J. Long-term outcome of natalizumab-associated progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy in Austria: a nationwide retrospective study. J Neurol 2024; 271:374-385. [PMID: 37728757 PMCID: PMC10770206 DOI: 10.1007/s00415-023-11924-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/26/2023] [Revised: 07/28/2023] [Accepted: 08/06/2023] [Indexed: 09/21/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE The use of natalizumab (NAT) in multiple sclerosis (MS) may be complicated by progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML), a rare and life-threatening opportunistic brain infection. We aimed to analyze the course of MS after PML recovery together with the long-term outcome of NAT-associated PML (NAT-PML) in Austria. METHODS Retrospective study based on identification of cases in the nationwide Austrian MS treatment registry (AMSTR) and MS centers with review of patient records. The expanded disability status scale (EDSS) was used to measure neurological disability and outcome. RESULTS As of December 2022, we identified 15 NAT-PML cases in Austria; only 20% occurred after 2016, when increased vigilance commenced. Two patients did not survive acute PML, and an additional patient died five years later, yielding a mortality rate of 20%. Seizures occurred exclusively in patients with pronounced EDSS increase. Gadolinium (Gd)-enhancement on brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) on PML suspicion was associated with minor changes of post-PML neurological disability. Long-term follow-up of up to 132 months (median 76 months) was available in 11/15. The overall median EDSS increased from 3.5 at pre-PML to 6.5 at the last assessment. Regarding inflammatory MS-related disease activity during the observation period, one single individual experienced an MS relapse and another patient had two Gd-enhancing brain lesions. Three patients converted to progressive MS within three years from PML and the EDSS further increased in 6/11. CONCLUSIONS The number of NAT-PML cases is decreasing over time. While many patients accumulated severe persistent neurological deficits compared to pre-PML, inflammatory MS-related disease activity after PML recovery was rare.
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Geroldinger M, Verbeeck J, Hooker AC, Thiel KE, Molenberghs G, Nyberg J, Bauer J, Laimer M, Wally V, Bathke AC, Zimmermann G. Statistical recommendations for count, binary, and ordinal data in rare disease cross-over trials. Orphanet J Rare Dis 2023; 18:391. [PMID: 38115074 PMCID: PMC10729462 DOI: 10.1186/s13023-023-02990-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/07/2023] [Accepted: 11/19/2023] [Indexed: 12/21/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Recommendations for statistical methods in rare disease trials are scarce, especially for cross-over designs. As a result various state-of-the-art methodologies were compared as neutrally as possible using an illustrative data set from epidermolysis bullosa research to build recommendations for count, binary, and ordinal outcome variables. For this purpose, parametric (model averaging), semiparametric (generalized estimating equations type [GEE-like]) and nonparametric (generalized pairwise comparisons [GPC] and a marginal model implemented in the R package nparLD) methods were chosen by an international consortium of statisticians. RESULTS It was found that there is no uniformly best method for the aforementioned types of outcome variables, but in particular situations, there are methods that perform better than others. Especially if maximizing power is the primary goal, the prioritized unmatched GPC method was able to achieve particularly good results, besides being appropriate for prioritizing clinically relevant time points. Model averaging led to favorable results in some scenarios especially within the binary outcome setting and, like the GEE-like semiparametric method, also allows for considering period and carry-over effects properly. Inference based on the nonparametric marginal model was able to achieve high power, especially in the ordinal outcome scenario, despite small sample sizes due to separate testing of treatment periods, and is suitable when longitudinal and interaction effects have to be considered. CONCLUSION Overall, a balance has to be found between achieving high power, accounting for cross-over, period, or carry-over effects, and prioritizing clinically relevant time points.
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Rainer LJ, Kuchukhidze G, Trinka E, Braun M, Kronbichler M, Langthaler P, Zimmermann G, Kronbichler L, Said-Yürekli S, Kirschner M, Zamarian L, Schmid E, Jokeit H, Höfler J. Recognition and perception of emotions in juvenile myoclonic epilepsy. Epilepsia 2023; 64:3319-3330. [PMID: 37795683 DOI: 10.1111/epi.17783] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/12/2023] [Revised: 09/26/2023] [Accepted: 09/28/2023] [Indexed: 10/06/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Perception and recognition of emotions are fundamental prerequisites of human life. Patients with juvenile myoclonic epilepsy (JME) may have emotional and behavioral impairments that might influence socially desirable interactions. We aimed to investigate perception and recognition of emotions in patients with JME by means of neuropsychological tests and functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI). METHODS Sixty-five patients with JME (median age = 27 years, interquartile range [IQR] = 23-34) were prospectively recruited at the Department of Neurology, Christian Doppler University Hospital, Paracelsus Medical University, Salzburg, Austria. Patients were compared to 68 healthy controls (median age = 24 years, IQR = 21-31), matched for sex, age, and education. All study participants underwent the Networks of Emotion Processing test battery (NEmo), an fMRI paradigm of "dynamic fearful faces," a structured interview for psychiatric and personality disorders, and comprehensive neuropsychological testing. RESULTS JME patients versus healthy controls demonstrated significant deficits in emotion recognition in facial and verbal tasks of all emotions, especially fear. fMRI revealed decreased amygdala activation in JME patients as compared to healthy controls. Patients were at a higher risk of experiencing psychiatric disorders as compared to healthy controls. Cognitive evaluation revealed impaired attentional and executive functioning, namely psychomotor speed, tonic alertness, divided attention, mental flexibility, and inhibition of automated reactions. Duration of epilepsy correlated negatively with parallel prosodic and facial emotion recognition in NEmo. Deficits in emotion recognition were not associated with psychiatric comorbidities, impaired attention and executive functions, types of seizures, and treatment. SIGNIFICANCE This prospective study demonstrated that as compared to healthy subjects, patients with JME had significant deficits in recognition and perception of emotions as shown by neuropsychological tests and fMRI. The results of this study may have importance for psychological/psychotherapeutic interventions in the management of patients with JME.
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Verbeeck J, Geroldinger M, Thiel K, Hooker AC, Ueckert S, Karlsson M, Bathke AC, Bauer JW, Molenberghs G, Zimmermann G. How to analyze continuous and discrete repeated measures in small-sample cross-over trials? Biometrics 2023; 79:3998-4011. [PMID: 37587671 DOI: 10.1111/biom.13920] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/07/2023] [Accepted: 07/26/2023] [Indexed: 08/18/2023]
Abstract
To optimize the use of data from a small number of subjects in rare disease trials, an at first sight advantageous design is the repeated measures cross-over design. However, it is unclear how these within-treatment period and within-subject clustered data are best analyzed in small-sample trials. In a real-data simulation study based upon a recent epidermolysis bullosa simplex trial using this design, we compare non-parametric marginal models, generalized pairwise comparison models, GEE-type models and parametric model averaging for both repeated binary and count data. The recommendation of which methodology to use in rare disease trials with a repeated measures cross-over design depends on the type of outcome and the number of time points the treatment has an effect on. The non-parametric marginal model testing the treatment-time-interaction effect is suitable for detecting between group differences in the shapes of the longitudinal profiles. For binary outcomes with the treatment effect on a single time point, the parametric model averaging method is recommended, while in the other cases the unmatched generalized pairwise comparison methodology is recommended. Both provide an easily interpretable effect size measure, and do not require exclusion of periods or subjects due to incompleteness.
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Hoeggerl AD, Nunhofer V, Lauth W, Badstuber N, Held N, Zimmermann G, Grabmer C, Weidner L, Jungbauer C, Lindlbauer N, Neureiter H, Ortner T, Flamm M, Osterbrink J, Rohde E, Laner-Plamberger S. Epstein-Barr virus reactivation is not causative for post-COVID-19-syndrome in individuals with asymptomatic or mild SARS-CoV-2 disease course. BMC Infect Dis 2023; 23:800. [PMID: 37968601 PMCID: PMC10652630 DOI: 10.1186/s12879-023-08820-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/13/2023] [Accepted: 11/14/2023] [Indexed: 11/17/2023] Open
Abstract
PURPOSE Post-COVID-19-Syndrome (PCS) frequently occurs after an infection with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2). However, the understanding of causative mechanisms is still limited. Aim of this study was to determine the PCS rate among SARS-CoV-2 seropositive blood donors as representatives of supposedly healthy adults, who had experienced an asymptomatic or mild COVID-19 disease course, and to examine whether Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) is reactivated in individuals reporting PCS. METHODS The PCS rate was determined using questionnaires that included questions about infection and persistent symptoms. Pre-pandemic blood samples and samples collected at regular, pre-defined times after a SARS-CoV-2 infection were analysed for neopterin, a marker for antiviral immune responses, by an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). Additionally, we determined the rate of SARS-CoV-2 anti-N total antibodies using an electrochemiluminescence immunoassay (ECLIA). Furthermore, quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction (qPCR) to detect EBV DNA and ECLIA screening for EBV viral capsid-antigen (VCA) IgM, IgG and EBV nuclear antigen 1 (EBNA) IgG were performed. RESULTS Our data reveal that 18% of all infections result in PCS, with symptoms lasting for up to one year. In individuals reporting PCS, no elevated levels of neopterin were detected, indicating no persisting pro-inflammatory, antiviral immune response. SARS-CoV-2 antibody levels were declining in all participants in comparable manner over time, pointing to a successful virus clearance. In individuals with PCS, no EBV DNA could be detected. Furthermore, no differences in EBV specific antibody levels could be shown in PCS groups compared to non-PCS groups. CONCLUSION Our data suggest that PCS in per se healthy, immunocompetent adults cannot be ascribed to a reactivation of EBV.
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Wiesinger AM, Bigger B, Giugliani R, Lampe C, Scarpa M, Moser T, Kampmann C, Zimmermann G, Lagler FB. RETRACTED: Wiesinger et al. An Innovative Tool for Evidence-Based, Personalized Treatment Trials in Mucopolysaccharidosis. Pharmaceutics 2023, 15, 1565. Pharmaceutics 2023; 15:2596. [PMID: 38004626 PMCID: PMC10675733 DOI: 10.3390/pharmaceutics15112596] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/18/2023] [Accepted: 10/19/2023] [Indexed: 11/26/2023] Open
Abstract
The journal retracts the article, An Innovative Tool for Evidence-Based, Personalized Treatment Trials in Mucopolysaccharidosis [...].
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Akamatsu S, Bottin-Rousseau S, Witusiewicz VT, Hecht U, Plapp M, Ludwig A, Mogeritsch J, Şerefoğlu M, Bergeon N, Mota FL, Sturz L, Zimmermann G, McFadden S, Sillekens W. Microgravity studies of solidification patterns in model transparent alloys onboard the International Space Station. NPJ Microgravity 2023; 9:83. [PMID: 37852993 PMCID: PMC10584907 DOI: 10.1038/s41526-023-00326-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/15/2022] [Accepted: 09/17/2023] [Indexed: 10/20/2023] Open
Abstract
We review recent in situ solidification experiments using nonfaceted model transparent alloys in science-in-microgravity facilities onboard the International Space Station (ISS), namely the Transparent Alloys (TA) apparatus and the Directional Solidification Insert of the DEvice for the study of Critical Liquids and Crystallization (DECLIC-DSI). These directional-solidification devices use innovative optical videomicroscopy imaging techniques to observe the spatiotemporal dynamics of solidification patterns in real time in large samples. In contrast to laboratory conditions on ground, microgravity guarantees the absence or a reduction of convective motion in the liquid, thus ensuring a purely diffusion-controlled growth of the crystalline solid(s). This makes it possible to perform a direct theoretical analysis of the formation process of solidification microstructures with comparisons to quantitative numerical simulations. Important questions that concern multiphase growth patterns in eutectic and peritectic alloys on the one hand and single-phased, cellular and dendritic structures on the other hand have been addressed, and unprecedented results have been obtained. Complex self-organizing phenomena during steady-state and transient coupled growth in eutectics and peritectics, interfacial-anisotropy effects in cellular arrays, and promising insights into the columnar-to-equiaxed transition are highlighted.
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Reinhart G, Browne DJ, Kargl F, García-Moreno F, Becker M, Sondermann E, Binder K, Mullen JS, Zimmermann G, Mathiesen RH, Sillekens WH, Nguyen-Thi H. In-situ X-ray monitoring of solidification and related processes of metal alloys. NPJ Microgravity 2023; 9:70. [PMID: 37673938 PMCID: PMC10482908 DOI: 10.1038/s41526-023-00321-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/14/2023] [Accepted: 08/16/2023] [Indexed: 09/08/2023] Open
Abstract
X-ray radioscopy enables the in-situ monitoring of metal alloy processes and then gives access to crucial information on the dynamics of the underlying phenomena. In the last decade, the utilisation of this powerful imaging technique has been adapted to microgravity platforms such as sounding rockets and parabolic flights. The combination of microgravity experimentation with X-ray radioscopy has resulted in a leap in the understanding of fundamental science and has opened new paths in the fields of materials science. The present review focuses on the short history of this research, which includes facility developments, microgravity experiments and results obtained by partners of the XRMON (In-situ X-Ray MONitoring of advanced metallurgical processes under microgravity and terrestrial conditions) research project in the framework of the MAP (Microgravity Application Promotion) programme of the European Space Agency. Three illustrative research topics that were advanced significantly through the use of X-ray radioscopy will be detailed: solidification of metal alloys, metallic foam formation and diffusion in melts.
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Wiesinger AM, Bigger B, Giugliani R, Lampe C, Scarpa M, Moser T, Kampmann C, Zimmermann G, Lagler FB. An Innovative Tool for Evidence-Based, Personalized Treatment Trials in Mucopolysaccharidosis. Pharmaceutics 2023; 15:1565. [PMID: 37242808 PMCID: PMC10221776 DOI: 10.3390/pharmaceutics15051565] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/28/2023] [Revised: 05/16/2023] [Accepted: 05/19/2023] [Indexed: 05/28/2023] Open
Abstract
Mucopolysaccharidosis (MPS) is a group of rare metabolic diseases associated with reduced life expectancy and a substantial unmet medical need. Immunomodulatory drugs could be a relevant treatment approach for MPS patients, although they are not licensed for this population. Therefore, we aim to provide evidence justifying fast access to innovative individual treatment trials (ITTs) with immunomodulators and a high-quality evaluation of drug effects by implementing a risk-benefit model for MPS. The iterative methodology of our developed decision analysis framework (DAF) consists of the following steps: (i) a comprehensive literature analysis on promising treatment targets and immunomodulators for MPS; (ii) a quantitative risk-benefit assessment (RBA) of selected molecules; and (iii) allocation phenotypic profiles and a quantitative assessment. These steps allow for the personalized use of the model and are in accordance with expert and patient representatives. The following four promising immunomodulators were identified: adalimumab, abatacept, anakinra, and cladribine. An improvement in mobility is most likely with adalimumab, while anakinra might be the treatment of choice for patients with neurocognitive involvement. Nevertheless, a RBA should always be completed on an individual basis. Our evidence-based DAF model for ITTs directly addresses the substantial unmet medical need in MPS and characterizes a first approach toward precision medicine with immunomodulatory drugs.
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Zimmermann G, Doyen M, Schoepfer P, Salvi P, Marie P, Joly L, Benetos A, Verger A. Les composantes de l’onde de pouls carotidienne comme biomarqueurs de l’atteinte vasculaire de la maladie d’Alzheimer : une étude transversale et prospective de TEP au 18F-FDG cérébrale. MÉDECINE NUCLÉAIRE 2023. [DOI: 10.1016/j.mednuc.2023.01.031] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 03/06/2023]
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Trinka E, Rainer LJ, Granbichler CA, Zimmermann G, Leitinger M. Mortality, and life expectancy in Epilepsy and Status epilepticus-current trends and future aspects. FRONTIERS IN EPIDEMIOLOGY 2023; 3:1081757. [PMID: 38455899 PMCID: PMC10910932 DOI: 10.3389/fepid.2023.1081757] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/27/2022] [Accepted: 01/31/2023] [Indexed: 03/09/2024]
Abstract
Patients with epilepsy carry a risk of premature death which is on average two to three times higher than in the general population. The risk of death is not homogenously distributed over all ages, etiologies, and epilepsy syndromes. People with drug resistant seizures carry the highest risk of death compared to those who are seizure free, whose risk is similar as in the general population. Most of the increased risk is directly related to the cause of epilepsy itself. Sudden unexplained death in epilepsy patients (SUDEP) is the most important cause of epilepsy-related deaths especially in the young and middle-aged groups. Population based studies with long-term follow up demonstrated that the first years after diagnosis carry the highest risk of death, while in the later years the mortality decreases. Improved seizure control and being exposed to a specialized comprehensive care centre may help to reduce the risk of death in patients with epilepsy. The mortality of status epilepticus is substantially increased with case fatality rates between 4.6% and 39%, depending on its cause and duration, and the age of the population studied. The epidemiological data on overall and cause specific mortality as well as their determinants and risk factors are critically reviewed and methodological issues pertinent to the studies on mortality of epilepsy and Status epilepticus are discussed.
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Roesch S, O'Sullivan A, Zimmermann G, Mair A, Lipuš C, Mayr JA, Wortmann SB, Rasp G. Mitochondrial Disease and Hearing Loss in Children: A Systematic Review. Laryngoscope 2022; 132:2459-2472. [PMID: 35188226 PMCID: PMC9790539 DOI: 10.1002/lary.30067] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/07/2021] [Revised: 02/01/2022] [Accepted: 02/04/2022] [Indexed: 12/30/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Hearing loss is a clinical symptom, frequently mentioned in the context of mitochondrial disease. With no cure available for mitochondrial disease, supportive treatment of clinical symptoms like hearing loss is of the utmost importance. The aim of this study was to summarize current knowledge on hearing loss in genetically proven mitochondrial disease in children and deduce possible and necessary consequences in patient care. METHODS Systematic literature review, including Medline, Embase, and Cochrane library. Review protocol was established and registered prior to conduction (International prospective register of systematic reviews-PROSPERO: CRD42020165356). Conduction of this review was done in accordance with MOOSE criteria. RESULTS A total of 23 articles, meeting predefined criteria and providing sufficient information on 75 individuals with childhood onset hearing loss was included for analysis. Both cochlear and retro-cochlear origin of hearing loss can be identified among different types of mitochondrial disease. Analysis was hindered by inhomogeneous reporting and methodical limitations. CONCLUSION Overall, the findings do not allow for a general statement on hearing loss in children with mitochondrial disease. Retro-cochlear hearing loss seems to be found more often than expected. A common feature appears to be progression of hearing loss over time. However, hearing loss in these patients shows manifold characteristics. Therefore, awareness of mitochondrial disease as a possible causative background is important for otolaryngologists. Future attempts rely on standardized reporting and long-term follow-up. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE NA Laryngoscope, 132:2459-2472, 2022.
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Genitrini M, Fritz J, Zimmermann G, Schwameder H. Downhill Sections Are Crucial for Performance in Trail Running Ultramarathons-A Pacing Strategy Analysis. J Funct Morphol Kinesiol 2022; 7:jfmk7040103. [PMID: 36412765 PMCID: PMC9680470 DOI: 10.3390/jfmk7040103] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/27/2022] [Revised: 11/15/2022] [Accepted: 11/17/2022] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
Abstract
Trail running is an increasingly popular discipline, especially over long-distance races (>42.195 km). Pacing strategy, i.e., how athletes modulate running speed for managing their energies during a race, appears to have a significant impact on overall performance. The aims of this study were to investigate whether performance level, terrain (i.e., uphill or downhill) and race stage affect pacing strategy and whether any interactions between these factors are evident. Race data from four race courses, with multiple editions (total races = 16), were retrieved from their respective events websites. A linear mixed effect model was applied to the full dataset, as well as to two subgroups of the top 10 male and female finishers, to assess potential differences in pacing strategy (i.e., investigated in terms of relative speed). Better finishers (i.e., athletes ranking in the best positions) tend to run downhill sections at higher relative speeds and uphill sections at lower relative speeds than slower counterparts (p < 0.001). In the later race stages, the relative speed decrease is larger in downhill sections than in uphill ones (p < 0.001) and in downhill sections, slower finishers perform systematically worse than faster ones, but the performance difference (i.e., between slower and faster finishers) becomes significantly larger in the later race stages (p < 0.001). Among elite athletes, no difference in pacing strategy between faster and slower finishers was found (p > 0.05). Both men (p < 0.001) and women (p < 0.001), in the later race stages, slow down more in downhill sections than in uphill ones. Moreover, elite women tend to slow down more than men (p < 0.001) in the later race stages, regardless of the terrain, in contrast to previous studies focusing on road ultramarathons. In conclusion, running downhill sections at higher relative speeds, most likely due to less accentuated fatigue effects, as well as minimizing performance decrease in the later race stages in downhill sections, appears to be a hallmark of the better finishers.
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