Non-Traumatic Intracranial Hemorrhage and Risk of Incident Dementia in U.S. Medicare Beneficiaries

Background: To study the risk of incident dementia after a non-traumatic intracranial hemorrhage in a diverse US population, and evaluate if this risk is different for the subtypes of intracranial hemorrhage. Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort study using both inpatient and outpatient claims data on Medicare beneficiaries between January 1, 2008 and December 31, 2018. The exposure was a new diagnosis of non-traumatic intracranial hemorrhage, defined as a composite of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH), and subdural hemorrhage (SDH). The outcome was a first-ever diagnosis of dementia. The exposure and outcomes were identified using validated ICD-9 and ICD-10-CM diagnosis codes. We excluded patients who had prevalent intracranial hemorrhage or dementia, to ensure that only incident cases were counted in our analyses. In the primary analysis, we used Cox regression to study the risk of dementia after intracranial hemorrhage, after adjusting for demographics and comorbidities. In secondary analyses, the risks of dementia in different subtypes of intracranial hemorrhage were studied. Results: Among 2.1 million patients, 14,775 had a diagnosis of intracranial hemorrhage. During a median follow up of 5.6 years (IQR, 3.0-9.1), incident dementia was diagnosed in 2527 (17.1%) patients with an intracranial hemorrhage and 260,691 (12.8%) in those without intracranial hemorrhage. The cumulative incidence rate of dementia was 8.6% (IQR, 8.1-8.9) among patients with an intracranial hemorrhage, and 2.2% (2.0-2.4) in patients without intracranial hemorrhage. In adjusted Cox regression analysis, intracranial hemorrhage was associated with an increased risk of incident dementia (HR, 2.0; CI, 1.9-2.2). In secondary analyses, a higher risk of incident dementia was observed with ICH (HR, 2.4; CI, 2.2-2.5), SAH (HR, 1.99; CI, 1.7-2.2), and SDH (HR, 1.6; CI, 1.4-1.7). Conclusion: In a large heterogeneous cohort of elderly US participants, intracranial hemorrhage was independently associated with a 2-fold increased risk of incident dementia. This elevated risk was consistently observed across subtypes of intracranial hemorrhage.

Apixaban to Prevent Covert Infarcts After Cryptogenic Stroke in Patients With Atrial Cardiopathy: A Secondary Analysis of the ARCADIA Randomized Clinical Trial

Importance

In the Atrial Cardiopathy and Antithrombotic Drugs in Prevention After Cryptogenic Stroke (ARCADIA) randomized clinical trial, anticoagulation did not prevent recurrent stroke among patients with a recent cryptogenic stroke and atrial cardiopathy. It is unknown whether anticoagulation prevents covert infarcts in this population.

Objective

To test the use of apixaban vs aspirin for prevention of nonlacunar covert infarcts after cryptogenic stroke in patients with atrial cardiopathy.

Design, Setting, and Participants

ARCADIA-MRI, an ancillary study to the ARCADIA trial with a median follow-up period of 27 months, enrolled participants from 75 sites in the US from November 14, 2019, until December 2, 2022. Participants in ARCADIA were invited to coenroll in ARCADIA-MRI if they had not permanently discontinued the study drug and had no contraindications on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). A total of 310 (31%) of the 1015 ARCADIA participants enrolled in ARCADIA-MRI and of those 174 (56%) with adequate quality baseline and follow-up MRI were included in the present analyses.

Interventions

MRI performed at the time of the index stroke served as the baseline image unless it was unavailable or of insufficient quality, in which case a new research MRI was obtained. A follow-up research MRI was performed upon each participant's completion of participation in the ARCADIA parent study.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary outcome was incident nonlacunar covert infarct on the follow-up MRI assessed by 2 independent raters who were masked to treatment assignment.

Results

Baseline characteristics were balanced between the apixaban (n = 79) and aspirin (n = 95) arms. The mean (SD) age was 66 (10.6) years, and the median (IQR) modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score 1 (0-2). Ninety-one participants (52.3%) were male. During the median (IQR) follow-up of 811 (487-1288) days, the risk of incident nonlacunar covert infarcts was lower in the apixaban group (5.1%) than the aspirin group (17.9%) (weighted relative risk, 0.29; 95% CI, 0.10-0.83).

Conclusions and Relevance

Apixaban compared to aspirin was associated with fewer incident nonlacunar covert infarcts among a subset of patients with a recent cryptogenic ischemic stroke and atrial cardiopathy who were enrolled in ARCADIA.

Trial Registration

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03192215.

Heterogeneity in measurement of NIHSS: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) is a pivotal clinical tool used to assess patients with acute stroke. However, substantial heterogeneity in the application and interpretation of stroke scale items can occur. This systematic review aimed to elucidate heterogeneity in measuring the NIHSS.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A literature search was performed on PubMed/OVID/Cochran's CENTRAL from inception to 2023. The references of the included papers were reviewed for further eligible articles. Clinical characteristic, NIHSS values, and sources of heterogeneity were recorded. Non-human and non-English language articles were excluded. The study quality was assessed using MINORS and GRADE. Meta-analysis and meta-regression were performed using a random-effects model to explore the sources of heterogeneity.

RESULTS

Twenty-one papers for a total of 818 patients (mean per study: 39 ± 37) and 9696 NIHSS examinations (median per study: 8 [CI95% 2 to 42]) were included. Motor function had a higher ICC agreement (ranging from 0.85 ["Right Leg"] to 0.90 ["Right Arm"]) compared to the remaining items (ranging from 0.58 ["Facial Palsy"] to 0.85 ["Level of consciousness commands"]. The meta-regression showed a low effect size of covariates such as language version, remote evaluation, and retrospective analysis on NIHSS items (e.g., for "Level of consciousness commands," language effect was 0.30 [CI95% 0.20 to 0.48] and for "Visual", the retrospective assessment effect was -0.27 [CI95% -0.51 to -0.03]).

CONCLUSION

The NIHSS scores showed moderate to excellent inter-rater agreement, with the highest heterogeneity in non-motor function evaluation. Using a non-English version, remote evaluation and retrospective analysis had small effects in terms of heterogeneity in the NIHSS scores.

Mechanical Thrombectomy Access Score: A Systematic Review and Modified Delphi of Global Barriers to Endovascular Therapy

BACKGROUND

The availability of mechanical thrombectomy (MT) for acute ischemic stroke is limited, and vast disparities exist between countries. We aim to create a MT access score to measure the drivers of access to help quantify and accelerate treatment worldwide.

METHODS

We used a systematic review complemented by a modified Delphi method. In the first of 3 rounds, 4 independent investigators performed a systematic literature review using key search terms that drive MT access, following Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. In the second round, a panel of 6 anonymous international experts selected key attributes needed for scoring. In the final round, a total of 12 attributes were selected on consensus, each given a score on a 0 to 3 scale. An ultimate MT access score (range, 0-36) was proposed as a new tool to use in identifying barriers to MT access and assist in providing an initial framework for public health interventions.

RESULTS

Of 2864 abstracts screened, 121 studies were included in the final systematic review. A total of 34 attributes that potentially drive MT access were initially identified. In the final round, 12 attributes were selected by the expert panel: public awareness, emergency medical services transportation, prehospital large vessel occlusion screening, interhospital transfer policy, emergency department protocols, stroke imaging protocols, emergency department stroke expertise or telestroke availability, interventionalists, MT-capable centers, device availability, and insurance coverage. These attributes were weighted as part of the final score of 0 to 36.

CONCLUSIONS

The MT access score represents the first tool to quantify barriers to global MT access. Its implementation stands not just as an academic achievement but as a beacon of hope for improving stroke care and outcomes worldwide, bringing us a step closer to bridging the gap in stroke treatment disparities.

Possible misdiagnosis of pregnancy-associated stroke in the emergency department

OBJECTIVES

Pregnancy and the postpartum period are associated with an increased risk of ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke. The incidence of missed or delayed diagnosis of pregnancy-associated stroke (PAS) in the emergency setting is unknown.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of women hospitalized for labor and delivery identified through administrative claims data from all nonfederal EDs and hospitals in 11 states (New York 2006-2017, Florida 2005-2019, 3 states from 2016-2020, 6 states from 2016-2019). We then identified women hospitalized for stroke (ischemic or hemorrhagic) using validated ICD-9-CM or ICD-10-CM codes during a 270-day period extending from 6 months before through 3 months after delivery. The primary study outcome was possible ED misdiagnosis of PAS, defined as an ED treat-and-release visit for a neurological complaint within the 30 days preceding PAS hospitalization. Standard tests of comparison were used to compare differences in characteristics between PAS patients with a possible ED stroke misdiagnosis versus those without.

RESULTS

Among 5,308,962 women hospitalized for labor and delivery, 1,656 (0.03%) were hospitalized for a stroke during the study period. Of the pregnant or postpartum women hospitalized for stroke, 79 (4.8%; median age, 30 years) had at least one preceding ED visit for a neurological symptom (possible misdiagnosis). Demographics and vascular comorbidities were similar between those with versus without possible misdiagnosis. There were also no differences in the average length of stay (7.5 versus 9.6 days, p=0.43) or discharge to home (63.3% versus 56.6%, p=0.24) after stroke.

CONCLUSIONS

Possible ED misdiagnosis occurred in nearly 1 of 20 cases of pregnancy-associated strokes in this multistate cohort though there were few of these strokes overall.

Cancer and left atrial enlargement in patients with ischemic stroke

BACKGROUND

Cancer is associated with an increased risk of atrial fibrillation. Whether cancer is also associated with atrial cardiopathy, another atrial pathology associated with heightened ischemic stroke risk, is uncertain.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cross-sectional study among consecutive patients hospitalized with acute ischemic stroke at a quaternary care center in New York, United States from 2011 through 2016. The study exposure was active cancer. The study outcome was atrial cardiopathy, defined as a left atrial volume index ≥35 mL/m2 on echocardiography. We used multivariable logistic regression, adjusting for baseline characteristics, to evaluate the relationship between cancer (active or historical) and atrial cardiopathy. We performed a subgroup analysis among patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS).

RESULTS

The final cohort included 1104 patients with acute ischemic stroke, of whom 10 % had active cancer and 47 % had atrial cardiopathy. Patients with atrial cardiopathy, compared to those without, were older (median age, 77 versus 68 years), and more frequently had hypertension, coronary disease, and atrial fibrillation. Active cancer was present in 9.6 % of patients with atrial cardiopathy (n = 50/520) and 10.4 % of patients without (n = 61/584). There was no association between active cancer and atrial cardiopathy among the overall ischemic stroke cohort (adjusted odds ratio [OR], 0.91; 95 % confidence interval [CI], 0.60-1.37) nor in patients with ESUS (aOR, 0.64; 95 % CI, 0.30-1.36). When the cancer exposure was broadened to include any history of cancer (n = 236, 21.4 %), there still was no significant association with atrial cardiopathy (aOR, 0.93; 95 % CI, 0.68-1.25).

CONCLUSIONS

When defining atrial cardiopathy by left atrial volume, we did not find an association between cancer and atrial cardiopathy in patients with ischemic stroke, including among those with ESUS. Future studies, evaluating other atrial cardiopathy biomarkers and settings, are needed to further investigate any potential link between cancer and atrial cardiopathy.

Association between atherosclerotic disease and cervical artery dissection in a population-based cohort of older people

OBJECTIVES

Many cases of cervical artery dissection are considered "spontaneous." Recent data suggest that while cervical artery dissection may proportionally explain more strokes in young patients, hospitalization for dissection increases with age, suggesting a potential role of acquired vascular disease. In this study, we hypothesized that traditional vascular risk factors and comorbidities are associated with cervical artery dissection.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study using administrative claims data from a 5% sample of Medicare beneficiaries. Exposures of interest included traditional vascular risk factors and comorbidities: coronary artery disease, hyperlipidemia, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, heart failure, chronic kidney disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, valvular heart disease, atrial fibrillation, tobacco use, and alcohol abuse. The primary outcome was a new diagnosis of cervical artery dissection. Marginal structural Cox models were used to characterize the association between the exposures and outcomes, adjusted for time-dependent confounding.

RESULTS

Among 2,256,710 eligible Medicare beneficiaries, 730 (0.03%) developed cervical artery dissection. The following exposures were found to be significantly associated with the development of cervical artery dissection: hypertension (HR 1.84 [95% CI: 1.40-2.41]), alcohol use (HR 1.83 [1.52-2.21]), atrial fibrillation (HR 1.80 [1.53-2.11]), tobacco use (HR 1.80 [1.52-2.13]), coronary artery disease (HR 1.56 [1.33-1.82]), and valvular heart disease (HR 1.23 [1.05-1.45]).

INTERPRETATION

In a large cohort of older people, several traditional vascular risk factors and comorbidities were associated with subsequent cervical artery dissection. Further studies exploring the role of such factors in the development of cervical artery dissection are warranted.

Diagnosis of Incident Cancer After Cryptogenic Stroke: An Exploratory Analysis of the ARCADIA Randomized Trial

OBJECTIVES

The objective of this study was to estimate the incidence, timing, and type of new cancer diagnosis among patients with cryptogenic stroke.

METHODS

We used data from the ARCADIA trial, which enrolled patients with cryptogenic stroke and atrial cardiopathy. Participants were prospectively followed, and serious adverse events were assessed every 3 months or sooner if investigators were alerted between visits to an event. Kaplan-Meier statistics were used to estimate the cumulative incidence of a cancer diagnosis within the first year after randomization.

RESULTS

Among 878 participants without baseline history of cancer, 13 (1.5%) were diagnosed with incident cancer in the year after randomization, comprising 12 solid cancers (3 prostate, 2 breast, 2 gastrointestinal, and 5 other primary sites) and 1 hematologic cancer (non-Hodgkin lymphoma). The cumulative incidences of a cancer diagnosis were 0% at 3 months, 0.6% (95% CI 0.2%-1.5%) at 6 months, and 2.0% (95 CI 1.1%-3.4%) at 1 year. The median time from index stroke to cancer diagnosis was 261 days (interquartile range 183-358).

DISCUSSION

In a multicenter cryptogenic stroke cohort with prospective follow-up, the 1-year cumulative incidence of a cancer diagnosis was 2%. This rate may be an underestimation because of the clinical trial population and exclusion of cancers diagnosed immediately after stroke.

TRIAL REGISTRATION INFORMATION

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03192215. Registered June 20, 2017. First patient enrolled February 1, 2018.

Heart failure and stroke: The underrepresentation of the heart failure with preserved ejection fraction subtype in randomized clinical trials of therapeutic anticoagulation

Heart failure (HF) is an important comorbidity for patients with ischemic stroke, present in 11 %-18 % of patients, and may also independently increase the risk of first-ever and recurrent ischemic stroke. HF is categorized based on ejection fraction (EF) into HF with reduced (HFrEF), mildly-reduced (HFmrEG) and preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), with the efficacy of HF therapies differing between the three subcategories. Despite this classification, the incidence, recurrence rates and outcomes of ischemic stroke do not appear to differ significantly between the three subtypes, even when considering the concurrent presence of atrial fibrillation. However, several randomized-controlled clinical trials of anticoagulation defined HF based on reduced EF, inevitably excluding a large proportion of patients with HFpEF. This exclusion is significant considering marked differences between heart failure phenotypes. Such discrepancies raise concerns about the broad applicability of the results of these studies, including those of primary or secondary stroke prevention in HF. Future trials should include both patients with HFrEF and HFpEF to evaluate the safety and efficacy of antiocoagulation therapies in primary and secondary stroke prevention across the spectrum of the EF.

Anticoagulation vs Antiplatelets Across Subgroups of Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source: A Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

The term "embolic stroke of undetermined source" (ESUS) encompasses a substantial but heterogeneous population of patients with ischemic stroke, underscoring the importance of identifying personalized treatment strategies. In subgroups of patients randomized in ESUS trials, we evaluated the effectiveness of anticoagulation compared with antiplatelet therapy in secondary ischemic stroke prevention.

METHODS

A study-level meta-analysis was conducted on randomized controlled trials of patients with ESUS, comparing anticoagulation with antiplatelet therapy. The primary efficacy outcome was recurrent ischemic stroke, and safety outcomes were major bleeding and death. Subgroups assessed were age, sex, presence of patent foramen ovale (PFO), left atrial enlargement (LAE), and atrial cardiopathy. Pooled risk ratios (RRs) were meta-analyzed. Cochrane Risk of Bias Tool 2.0 was used for risk-of-bias assessment.

RESULTS

A total of 7 randomized controlled trials involving 14,804 patients were analyzed, with 7,406 patients treated with anticoagulation and 7,398 treated with antiplatelet therapy. Compared with antiplatelet therapy, anticoagulation was associated with a similar rate of recurrent ischemic stroke (RR 0.91, 95% CI 0.80-1.05; I2 = 0%). In ESUS with PFO, anticoagulation was associated with significantly lower risk of ischemic stroke (RR 0.59, 95% CI 0.35-0.98; I2 = 0%). Heterogeneity was present in those with LAE: antiplatelet therapy was superior in trials allowing cardiac monitoring after randomization (RR 6.65, 95% CI 1.26-35.08; I2 = 0%), but anticoagulation was superior in trials prohibiting cardiac monitoring after randomization (RR 0.25 95% CI 0.07-0.89). Subgroups based on age, sex, or presence of atrial cardiopathy did not benefit from anticoagulation over antiplatelet therapy.

DISCUSSION

In this meta-analysis, an empiric anticoagulation approach is not beneficial for patients with ESUS. This finding highlights the importance of an individualized treatment strategy. Such a strategy should include prolonged cardiac monitoring for atrial fibrillation, particularly in patients with moderate-to-severe LAE. Anticoagulation treatment showed promise in patients with medically treated PFO. Other subgroups did not benefit from anticoagulation therapy. Large prospective studies within ESUS subgroups are needed to validate our findings.

Milvexian vs apixaban for stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation: The LIBREXIA atrial fibrillation trial rationale and design

BACKGROUND

Direct oral anticoagulants are the standard of care for stroke prevention in eligible patients with atrial fibrillation and atrial flutter; however, bleeding remains a significant concern, limiting their use. Milvexian is an oral Factor XIa inhibitor that may offer similar anticoagulant efficacy with less bleeding risk.

METHODS

LIBREXIA AF (NCT05757869) is a global phase III, randomized, double-blind, parallel-group, event-driven trial to compare milvexian with apixaban in participants with atrial fibrillation or atrial flutter. Participants are randomly assigned to milvexian 100 mg or apixaban (5 mg or 2.5 mg per label indication) twice daily. The primary efficacy objective is to evaluate if milvexian is noninferior to apixaban for the prevention of stroke and systemic embolism. The principal safety objective is to evaluate if milvexian is superior to apixaban in reducing the endpoint of International Society of Thrombosis and Hemostasis (ISTH) major bleeding events and the composite endpoint of ISTH major and clinically relevant nonmajor (CRNM) bleeding events. In total, 15,500 participants from approximately 1,000 sites in over 30 countries are planned to be enrolled. They will be followed until both 430 primary efficacy outcome events and 530 principal safety events are observed, which is estimated to take approximately 4 years.

CONCLUSION

The LIBREXIA AF study will determine the efficacy and safety of the oral Factor XIa inhibitor milvexian compared with apixaban in participants with either atrial fibrillation or atrial flutter.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05757869.

Rates of Acute Brain Injury Among Severely Hypertensive Patients Seen in the Emergency Department

Background

Identifying patients with acute brain injury among patients who present to the Emergency Department (ED) with severe hypertension can be challenging. We explored rates of brain injury in a cohort of ED patients with severe hypertension in whom acute target-organ damage was or was not initially suspected.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective chart-review study at two different hospitals within the same urban health system. Consecutive adult patients seen from 10/1/2020 to 5/1/2022 with a systolic blood pressure ≥180 mmHg or diastolic blood pressure ≥120 mmHg were included.

Results

A total of 972 patients met our eligibility criteria. The average age was 59 years (SD: 16.5), 454 (46.7%) were women, and 582 (59.9%) were non-White. A total of 186/972 (19.1%) patients were initially thought to have acute target-organ damage in the ED with 97/186 (52.2%) diagnosed with stroke or TIA. The remaining 786/972 (80.9%) patients were not initially diagnosed with target-organ damage (hypertensive urgency [HU]). Of the 786 patients with HU, a head CT was obtained in 216/786 (27.7%) and brain MRI in 74/786 (9.4%). Of the HU patients with a brain MRI, 23/74 (31.1%) had acute abnormalities; most abnormalities on brain MRI (17/23 [73.9%]) were not seen on preceding head CT.

Conclusions

In a multicenter study of ED patients, nearly 1 in 5 patients though to have HU who eventually underwent brain MRI had unexpected acute neurological findings, though brain MR was obtained in only 9%.

Leveraging the Capabilities of AI: Novice Neurology-Trained Operators Performing Cardiac POCUS in Patients with Acute Brain Injury

BACKGROUND

Cardiac point-of-care ultrasound (cPOCUS) can aid in the diagnosis and treatment of cardiac disorders. Such disorders can arise as complications of acute brain injury, but most neurologic intensive care unit (NICU) providers do not receive formal training in cPOCUS. Caption artificial intelligence (AI) uses a novel deep learning (DL) algorithm to guide novice cPOCUS users in obtaining diagnostic-quality cardiac images. The primary objective of this study was to determine how often NICU providers with minimal cPOCUS experience capture quality images using DL-guided cPOCUS as well as the association between DL-guided cPOCUS and change in management and time to formal echocardiograms in the NICU.

METHODS

From September 2020 to November 2021, neurology-trained physician assistants, residents, and fellows used DL software to perform clinically indicated cPOCUS scans in an academic tertiary NICU. Certified echocardiographers evaluated each scan independently to assess the quality of images and global interpretability of left ventricular function, right ventricular function, inferior vena cava size, and presence of pericardial effusion. Descriptive statistics with exact confidence intervals were used to calculate proportions of obtained images that were of adequate quality and that changed management. Time to first adequate cardiac images (either cPOCUS or formal echocardiography) was compared using a similar population from 2018.

RESULTS

In 153 patients, 184 scans were performed for a total of 943 image views. Three certified echocardiographers deemed 63.4% of scans as interpretable for a qualitative assessment of left ventricular size and function, 52.6% of scans as interpretable for right ventricular size and function, 34.8% of scans as interpretable for inferior vena cava size and variability, and 47.2% of scans as interpretable for the presence of pericardial effusion. Thirty-seven percent of screening scans changed management, most commonly adjusting fluid goals (81.2%). Time to first adequate cardiac images decreased significantly from 3.1 to 1.7 days (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

With DL guidance, neurology providers with minimal to no cPOCUS training were often able to obtain diagnostic-quality cardiac images, which informed management changes and significantly decreased time to cardiac imaging.

Prevalence and Determinants of Prehospital Impression of Stroke in Ischemic Stroke Patients

BACKGROUND

Emergency Medical Services (EMS) clinicians are front-line in evaluating patients with stroke in the community. Their ability to correctly identify stroke influences downstream management decisions. We sought to use a large national database of prehospital clinical data to determine risk factors associated with missed EMS stroke identification.

METHODS

Retrospective study examining EMS evaluation of adults with Emergency Department (ED) stroke diagnosis. We leveraged the ESO Data Collaborative research dataset containing EHR data from 2019-2022 that has a subset of encounters with linked hospital diagnostic codes. Our primary outcome was the presence of an EMS diagnosis of stroke. We evaluated the association between demographic and clinical variables with EMS stroke identification using Pearson χ2 test for demographic variables and multivariable GLM for clinical variables with adjustment for demographic variables.

RESULTS

We identified 34,504 EMS encounters for patients with ED stroke diagnosis. Of these, 11,077 (32.1%) strokes had missed EMS stroke identification and instead had an EMS impression of "Generalized Weakness" (25.9%), "Altered Level of Consciousness" (24.9%), and "Dizziness" (7.2%). Patients more likely to have missed prehospital stroke identification were of Black race (p=0.0001) and Hispanic ethnicity (p=0.0001). Clinical variables associated with higher risk of missed EMS stroke identification were suspected alcohol or drug use (RR 1.48, 95% CI 1.37-1.59), low GCS (RR 1.17, 95% CI 1.10-1.24), tachycardia (RR 1.05, 95% CI 1.01-1.09), and hypotension (RR 1.47, 95% CI 1.34-1.61).

CONCLUSIONS

Approximately 1-in-3 patients transported by EMS did not have their stroke identified in the prehospital setting. Factors associated with lower odds of missed EMS stroke identification provide a starting point for future performance improvement initiatives.

Design considerations for Factorial Adaptive Multi-Arm Multi-Stage (FAST) clinical trials

BACKGROUND

Multi-Arm, Multi-Stage (MAMS) clinical trial designs allow for multiple therapies to be compared across a spectrum of clinical trial phases. MAMS designs fall under several overarching design groups, including adaptive designs (AD) and multi-arm (MA) designs. Factorial clinical trials designs represent a combination of factorial and MAMS trial designs and can provide increased efficiency relative to fixed, traditional designs. We explore design choices associated with Factorial Adaptive Multi-Arm Multi-Stage (FAST) designs, which represent the combination of factorial and MAMS designs.

METHODS

Simulation studies were conducted to assess the impact of the type of analyses, the timing of analyses, and the effect size observed across multiple outcomes on trial operating characteristics for a FAST design. Given multiple outcomes types assessed within the hypothetical trial, the primary analysis approach for each assessment varied depending on data type.

RESULTS

The simulation studies demonstrate that the proposed class of FAST trial designs can offer a framework to potentially provide improvements relative to other trial designs, such as a MAMS or factorial trial. Further, we note that the design implementation decisions, such as the timing and type of analyses conducted throughout trial, can have a great impact on trial operating characteristics.

CONCLUSIONS

Motivated by a trial currently under design, our work shows that the FAST category of trial can potentially offer benefits similar to both MAMS and factorial designs; however, the chosen design aspects which can be included in a FAST trial need to be thoroughly explored during the planning phase.

Stroke Risk After Emergency Department Treat-and-Release Visit for a Fall

BACKGROUND

Previous cohort studies of hospitalized patients with a delayed diagnosis of ischemic stroke found that these patients often had an initial emergency department (ED) diagnosis of a fall. We sought to evaluate whether ED visits for a fall resulting in discharge to home (ie, treat-and-release visits) were associated with increased short-term ischemic stroke risk.

METHODS

A case-crossover design was used to compare ED visits for falls during case periods (0-15, 16-30, 31-90, and 91-180 days before stroke) and control periods (equivalent time periods exactly 1 year before stroke) using administrative data from the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project on all hospital admissions and ED visits across 10 states from 2016 to 2020. To identify ED treat-and-release visits for a fall and patients hospitalized for acute ischemic stroke, we used previously validated International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification codes. Odds ratios and 95% CIs were calculated using conditional logistic regression.

RESULTS

Among 90 592 hospitalized patients with ischemic stroke, 5230 (5.8%) had an ED treat-and-release visit for a fall within 180 days before their stroke. Patients with an ED treat-and-release visit for a fall were older (mean age, 74.7 [SD, 14.6] versus 70.8 [SD, 15.1] years), more often female (61.9% versus 53.4%), and had higher rates of vascular comorbidities than other patients with stroke. ED treat-and-release visits for a fall were significantly more common in the 15 days before stroke compared with the 15-day control period 1 year earlier (odds ratio, 2.7 [95% CI, 2.4-3.1]). The association between stroke and a preceding ED treat-and-release visit for a fall decreased in magnitude with increasing temporal distance from stroke.

CONCLUSIONS

ED treat-and-release visits for a fall are associated with significantly increased short-term ischemic stroke risk. These visits may be opportunities to improve stroke diagnostic accuracy and treatment in the ED.

Apixaban vs Aspirin in Patients With Cancer and Cryptogenic Stroke: A Post Hoc Analysis of the ARCADIA Randomized Clinical Trial

Importance

Approximately 10% to 15% of ischemic strokes are associated with cancer; cancer-associated stroke, particularly when cryptogenic, is associated with high rates of recurrent stroke and major bleeding. Limited data exist on the safety and efficacy of different antithrombotic strategies in patients with cancer and cryptogenic stroke.

Objective

To compare apixaban vs aspirin for the prevention of adverse clinical outcomes in patients with history of cancer and cryptogenic stroke.

Design, Setting, and Participants

Post hoc analysis of data from 1015 patients with a recent cryptogenic stroke and biomarker evidence of atrial cardiopathy in the Atrial Cardiopathy and Antithrombotic Drugs in Prevention After Cryptogenic Stroke (ARCADIA) trial, a multicenter, randomized, double-blind clinical trial conducted from 2018 to 2023 at 185 stroke centers in North America. Data analysis was performed from October 15, 2023, to May 23, 2024.

Exposures

Oral apixaban, 5 mg (or 2.5 mg if criteria met), twice daily vs oral aspirin, 81 mg, once daily. Subgroups of patients with and without cancer at baseline were examined.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary outcome for this post hoc analysis was a composite of major ischemic or major hemorrhagic events. Major ischemic events were recurrent ischemic stroke, myocardial infarction, systemic embolism, and symptomatic deep vein thrombosis or pulmonary embolism. Major hemorrhagic events included symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage and any major extracranial hemorrhage.

Results

Among 1015 participants (median [IQR] age, 68 [60-76] years; 551 [54.3%] female), 137 (13.5%) had a history of cancer. The median (IQR) follow-up was 1.5 (0.6-2.5) years for patients with history of cancer and 1.5 (0.6-3.0) years for those without history of cancer. Participants with history of cancer, compared with those without history of cancer, had a higher risk of major ischemic or major hemorrhagic events (hazard ratio [HR], 1.73; 95% CI, 1.10-2.71). Among those with history of cancer, 8 of 61 participants (13.1%) randomized to apixaban and 16 of 76 participants (21.1%) randomized to aspirin had a major ischemic or major hemorrhagic event; however, the risk was not significantly different between groups (HR, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.26-1.43). Comparing participants randomized to apixaban vs aspirin among those with cancer, events included recurrent stroke (5 [8.2%] vs 9 [11.8%]), major ischemic events (7 [11.5%] vs 14 [18.4%]), and major hemorrhagic events (1 [1.6%] vs 2 [2.6%]).

Conclusions and Relevance

Among participants in the ARCADIA trial with history of cancer, the risk of major ischemic and hemorrhagic events did not differ significantly with apixaban compared with aspirin.

Trial Registration

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03192215.

Addressing the Evidence Gap in Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: The Need for a Pragmatic Randomized Trial Platform

Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) occurs less often than other stroke types but affects younger patients, imposing a disproportionately high burden of long-term disability. Although management advances have improved outcomes over time, relatively few aSAH treatments have been tested in randomized clinical trials (RCTs). One lesson learned from COVID-19 is that trial platforms can facilitate the efficient execution of multicenter RCTs even in complex diseases during challenging conditions. An aSAH trial platform with standardized eligibility criteria, randomization procedures, and end point definitions would enable the study of multiple targeted interventions in a perpetual manner, with treatments entering and leaving the platform based on predefined decision algorithms. An umbrella institutional review board protocol and clinical trial agreement would allow individual arms to be efficiently added as amendments rather than stand-alone protocols. Standardized case report forms using the National Institutes of Health/National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke common data elements and general protocol standardization across arms would create synergies for data management and monitoring. A Bayesian analysis framework would emphasize frequent interim looks to enable early termination of trial arms for futility, common controls, borrowing of information across arms, and adaptive designs. A protocol development committee would assist investigators and encourage pragmatic designs to maximize generalizability, reduce site burden, and execute trials efficiently and cost-effectively. Despite decades of steady clinical progress in the management of aSAH, poor patient outcomes remain common, and despite the increasing availability of RCT data in other fields, it remains difficult to perform RCTs to guide more effective care for aSAH. The development of a platform for pragmatic RCTs in aSAH would help close the evidence gap between aSAH and other stroke types and improve outcomes for this important disease with its disproportionate public health burden.

Atrial cardiopathy biomarkers and atrial fibrillation in the ARCADIA trial

BACKGROUND

ARCADIA compared apixaban to aspirin for secondary stroke prevention in patients with cryptogenic stroke and atrial cardiopathy. One possible explanation for the neutral result is that biomarkers used did not optimally identify atrial cardiopathy. We examined the relationship between biomarker levels and subsequent detection of AF, the hallmark of atrial cardiopathy.

METHODS

Patients were randomized if they met criteria for atrial cardiopathy, defined as P-wave terminal force >5000 μV*ms in ECG lead V1 (PTFV1), NT-proBNP >250 pg/mL, or left atrial diameter index (LADI) ⩾3 cm/m2. For this analysis, the outcome was AF detected per routine care.

RESULTS

Of 3745 patients who consented to screening for atrial cardiopathy, 254 were subsequently diagnosed with AF; 96 before they could be randomized and 158 after randomization. In unadjusted analyses, ln(NT-proBNP) (RR per SD, 1.99; 95% CI, 1.85-2.13), PTFV1 (RR per SD, 1.15; 95% CI, 1.03-1.28) and LADI (RR per SD, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.20-1.50) were associated with AF. In a model containing all 3 biomarkers, demographics, and AF risk factors, age (RR per 10 years, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.09-1.41), ln(NT-proBNP) (RR per SD, 1.88; 95% CI, 1.67-2.11) and LADI (RR per SD, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.14-1.37) were associated with AF. These three variables together had a c-statistic of 0.82 (95% CI, 0.79-0.85) but only modest calibration. Discrimination was attenuated in sensitivity analyses of patients eligible for randomization who may have been more closely followed for AF.

CONCLUSIONS

Biomarkers used to identify atrial cardiopathy in ARCADIA were moderately predictive of subsequent AF.

Prevalence and Factors Associated with Carotid Stenosis in Acute Ischemic Stroke Patients with Atrial Fibrillation

INTRODUCTION

Among stroke patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), it is not uncommon to identify carotid atherosclerosis. This study aimed to estimate the prevalence of, and factors associated with, carotid atherosclerosis among patients with AF and acute ischemic stroke.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Prospectively collected data from consecutive patients with anterior ischemic stroke and AF who underwent carotid imaging from 10 stroke registries were categorized retrospectively according to the degree of stenosis in: no atherosclerosis, stenosis <50%, stenosis ≥50%, and occlusion. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify factors associated with ipsilateral carotid atherosclerosis.

RESULTS

Among 2,955 patients with ischemic stroke and AF, carotid atherosclerosis was evident in 1,022 (34.6%) patients, while carotid stenosis ≥50% and occlusion were identified in 204 (6.9%) and 168 (5.7%) patients, respectively. Ipsilateral carotid stenosis ≥50% or occlusion was associated with higher age (OR: 1.15, 95% CI: 1.01-1.32, per decade), previous ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack (OR: 1.70, 95% CI: 1.29-2.25), peripheral artery disease (OR: 1.85, 95% CI: 1.23-2.78), coronary artery disease (OR: 1.53, 95% CI: 1.16-2.04), and statin treatment on admission (OR: 1.30, 95% CI: 1.01-1.67). Patients with lacunar stroke had a lower likelihood of stenosis ≥50% or occlusion (OR: 0.29, 95% CI: 0.13-0.68). Compared to the absence of atherosclerotic disease, atherosclerosis in one and two arterial beds was associated with the identification of ipsilateral carotid stenosis (OR: 1.49, 95% CI: 1.22-2.98 and OR: 3.18, 95% CI: 1.85-5.49, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Among acute ischemic stroke patients with AF, 1 out of 3 had ipsilateral carotid atherosclerosis, and 1 out of 8 had ipsilateral carotid stenosis ≥50% or occlusion. Atherosclerosis in two arterial beds was the most important predictor for the identification of ipsilateral carotid stenosis. Among ischemic stroke patients with AF, carotid atherosclerosis is common, while carotid imaging should not be overlooked, especially in those with coronary or/and peripheral artery disease.

Risk of Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events After Emergency Department Visits for Hypertensive Urgency

BACKGROUND

Chronic hypertension is an established long-term risk factor for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs). However, little is known about short-term MACE risk after hypertensive urgency, defined as an episode of acute severe hypertension without evidence of target-organ damage. We sought to evaluate the short-term risk of MACE after an emergency department (ED) visit for hypertensive urgency resulting in discharge to home.

METHODS

We performed a case-crossover study using deidentified administrative claims data. Our case periods were 1-week intervals from 0 to 12 weeks before hospitalization for MACE. We compared ED visits for hypertensive urgency during these case periods versus equivalent control periods 1 year earlier. Hypertensive urgency and MACE components were all ascertained using previously validated International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision Clinical Modification codes. We used McNemar test for matched data to calculate risk ratios.

RESULTS

Among 2 225 722 patients with MACE, 1 893 401 (85.1%) had a prior diagnosis of hypertension. There were 4644 (0.2%) patients who had at least 1 ED visit for hypertensive urgency during the 12 weeks preceding their MACE hospitalization. An ED visit for hypertensive urgency was significantly more common in the first week before MACE compared with the same chronological week 1 year earlier (risk ratio, 3.5 [95% CI, 2.9-4.2]). The association between hypertensive urgency and MACE decreased in magnitude with increasing temporal distance from MACE and was no longer significant by 11 weeks before MACE (risk ratio, 1.2 [95% CI, 0.99-1.6]).

CONCLUSIONS

ED visits for hypertensive urgency were associated with a substantially increased short-term risk of subsequent MACE.

Atrial fibrillation and short-term outcomes after cancer-related ischemic stroke

INTRODUCTION

Atrial fibrillation (AF) and cancer are each associated with worse outcomes in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS). Few studies have evaluated the impact of AF on outcomes of cancer-related stroke.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cross-sectional study using the 2016-2019 National Inpatient Sample, identifying all hospitalizations with diagnosis codes for cancer and AIS. The primary exposure was a diagnosis of AF. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. The secondary outcomes were length-of-stay and discharge to non-home locations. We used multiple logistic and linear regression models, adjusted for age, gender, race-ethnicity, and the Charlson Comorbidity Index, to examine the association between AF and study outcomes.

RESULTS

Among 150,200 hospitalizations with diagnoses of cancer and AIS (mean age 72 years, 53% male), 40,084 (26.7%) included comorbid AF. Compared to hospitalizations without AF, hospitalizations with AF had higher rates of in-hospital mortality (14.8% [95% CI, 14.0%-15.6%] vs 12.1% [95% CI, 11.6%-12.5%]) and non-home discharge disposition (83.5% [95% CI, 82.7%-84.3%] vs 75.1% [95% CI, 74.5%-75.7%]) as well as longer mean length-of-stay (8.4 days [95% CI, 8.2-8.6 days] vs 8.2 days [95% CI, 8.0-8.3 days]). In multivariable analyses, AF remained independently associated with higher odds of in-hospital mortality (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.34; 95% CI, 1.24-1.46), non-home discharge disposition (aOR, 1.32; 95% CI, 1.23-1.42), and longer length-of-stay (adjusted mean difference, 13.7%; 95% CI, 10.9%-16.7%).

DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION

In cancer-related AIS, comorbid AF is associated with worse short-term outcomes, including higher odds for in-hospital mortality, poor discharge disposition, and longer hospital stays.

Cancer and the risk of perioperative arterial ischaemic events

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Most cancer patients require surgery for diagnosis and treatment. This study evaluated whether cancer is a risk factor for perioperative arterial ischaemic events.

METHODS

The primary cohort included patients registered in the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) between 2006 and 2016. The secondary cohort included Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project (HCUP) claims data from 11 US states between 2016 and 2018. Study populations comprised patients who underwent inpatient (NSQIP, HCUP) or outpatient (NSQIP) surgery. Study exposures were disseminated cancer (NSQIP) and all cancers (HCUP). The primary outcome was a perioperative arterial ischaemic event, defined as myocardial infarction or stroke diagnosed within 30 days after surgery.

RESULTS

Among 5 609 675 NSQIP surgeries, 2.2% involved patients with disseminated cancer. The perioperative arterial ischaemic event rate was 0.96% among patients with disseminated cancer vs. 0.48% among patients without (hazard ratio [HR], 2.01; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.90-2.13). In Cox analyses adjusting for demographics, functional status, comorbidities, surgical specialty, anesthesia type, and clinical factors, disseminated cancer remained associated with higher risk of perioperative arterial ischaemic events (HR, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.28-1.46). Among 1 341 658 surgical patients in the HCUP cohort, 11.8% had a diagnosis of cancer. A perioperative arterial ischaemic event was diagnosed in 0.74% of patients with cancer vs. 0.54% of patients without cancer (HR, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.27-1.43). In Cox analyses adjusted for demographics, insurance, comorbidities, and surgery type, cancer remained associated with higher risk of perioperative arterial ischaemic events (HR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.21-1.42).

CONCLUSION

Cancer is an independent risk factor for perioperative arterial ischaemic events.

Association between elevated fibrosis-4 index of liver fibrosis and risk of hemorrhagic stroke

BACKGROUND

Cirrhosis is associated with an increased risk of hemorrhagic stroke. Liver fibrosis, typically a silent condition, is antecedent to cirrhosis. The objective of this study was to test the hypothesis that elevated Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index, indicating a high probability of liver fibrosis, is associated with an increased risk of hemorrhagic stroke.

METHODS

We performed a cohort analysis of the prospective United Kingdom Biobank cohort study. Participants 40-69 years old were enrolled between 2007 and 2010 and had available follow-up data until March 1, 2018. We excluded participants with prevalent hemorrhagic stroke or thrombocytopenia. High probability of liver fibrosis was defined as having a value >2.67 of the validated FIB-4 index. The primary outcome was hemorrhagic stroke (intracerebral or subarachnoid hemorrhage), defined based on hospitalization and death registry data. Secondary outcomes were intracerebral and subarachnoid hemorrhage, separately. We used Cox proportional hazards models to evaluate the association of FIB-4 index >2.67 with hemorrhagic stroke while adjusting for potential confounders including hypertension, alcohol use, and antithrombotic use.

RESULTS

Among 452,994 participants (mean age, 57 years; 54% women), approximately 2% had FIB-4 index >2.67, and 1241 developed hemorrhagic stroke. In adjusted models, FIB-4 index >2.67 was associated with an increased risk of hemorrhagic stroke (HR, 2.0; 95% CI, 1.6-2.6). Results were similar for intracerebral hemorrhage (HR, 2.0; 95% CI, 1.5-2.7) and subarachnoid hemorrhage (HR, 2.2; 95% CI, 1.5-3.5) individually.

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated FIB-4 index was associated with an increased risk of hemorrhagic stroke.