An objective way to predict remission and relapse in Cushing disease using Bayes' theorem of probability

OBJECTIVE

In this study on patients with Cushing disease, post-transsphenoidal surgery (TSS), we attempt to predict the probability of remaining in remission, at least for a year and relapse after that, using Bayes' theorem and the equation of conditional probability. The number of parameters, as well as the weightage of each, is incorporated in this equation.

DESIGN AND METHODS

The study design was a single-centre ambispective study. Ten clinical, biochemical, radiological and histopathological parameters capable of predicting Cushing disease remission were identified. The presence or absence of each parameter was entered as binary numbers. Bayes' theorem was applied, and each patient's probability of remission and relapse was calculated.

RESULTS

A total of 145 patients were included in the study. ROC plot showed a cut-off value of the probability of 0.68, with a sensitivity of 82% (range 73-89%) and a specificity of 94% (range 83-99%) to predict the probability of remission. Eighty-one patients who were in remission at 1 year were followed up for relapse and 23 patients developed relapse of the disease. The Bayes' equation was able to predict relapse in only 3 out of 23 patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Using various parameters, remission of Cushing disease can be predicted by applying Bayes' theorem of conditional probability with a sensitivity and a specificity of 82% and 94%, respectively. This study provided an objective way of predicting remission after TSS and relapse in patients with Cushing disease giving a weightage advantage to every parameter.

First Constraints on the Epoch of Reionization Using the Non-Gaussianity of the Kinematic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich Effect from the South Pole Telescope and Herschel-SPIRE Observations

We report results from an analysis aimed at detecting the trispectrum of the kinematic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich (kSZ) effect by combining data from the South Pole Telescope (SPT) and Herschel-SPIRE experiments over a 100  deg^{2} field. The SPT observations combine data from the previous and current surveys, namely SPTpol and SPT-3G, to achieve depths of 4.5, 3, and 16  μK-arcmin in bands centered at 95, 150, and 220 GHz. For SPIRE, we include data from the 600 and 857 GHz bands. We reconstruct the velocity-induced large-scale correlation of the small-scale kSZ signal with a quadratic estimator that uses two cosmic microwave background (CMB) temperature maps, constructed by optimally combining data from all the frequency bands. We reject the null hypothesis of a zero trispectrum at 10.3σ level. However, the measured trispectrum contains contributions from both the kSZ and other undesired components, such as CMB lensing and astrophysical foregrounds, with kSZ being sub-dominant. We use the agora simulations to estimate the expected signal from CMB lensing and astrophysical foregrounds. After accounting for the contributions from CMB lensing and foreground signals, we do not detect an excess kSZ-only trispectrum and use this nondetection to set constraints on reionization. By applying a prior based on observations of the Gunn-Peterson trough, we obtain an upper limit on the duration of reionization of Δz_{re,50}<4.5 (95% confidence level). We find these constraints are fairly robust to foregrounds assumptions. This trispectrum measurement is independent of, but consistent with, Planck's optical depth measurement. This result is the first constraint on the epoch of reionization using the non-Gaussian nature of the kSZ signal.

A novel application of the Hyperflex™ tracheostomy tube for lung isolation in a patient with airway stoma after laryngectomy

In patients who have undergone laryngectomy followed by permanent tracheostomy, managing the airway for one-lung ventilation during lung surgery may present a challenge for anaesthetists. This case report discusses a 45-year-old man with a permanent tracheostomy after a laryngectomy performed for laryngeal carcinoma 5 years ago. He was scheduled to undergo excision of a right bronchial mass for which one-lung ventilation was required. An adjustable Flange Hyperflex™ Tracheostomy tube (Bivona® Silicone Tracheostomy tube, Smiths Medical ASD, Inc., Gary, Indiana, USA) was used for this purpose and the tube was guided into the left main bronchus with a bronchoscope. Appropriate lung isolation was achieved using this technique, and there were no airway-related complications during or after the surgery. This case report shows that a Hyperflex™ tracheostomy tube can be successfully utilised in challenging airway scenarios in patients with a tracheostomy, where other options may not be feasible.

Revisiting failures in mucogingival surgery

Failures of soft tissue grafting are relatively common and can be stressful when encountered for both the clinicians and patients. Soft tissue grafting has predictable success most of the time when proper selection and implementation of surgical procedure is done. This case report describes management of soft-tissue surgery failure after multiple mucogingival grafting for enhancing the soft-tissue quality, quantity, and aesthetic outcomes. Augmentation by free gingival graft using periodontal microsurgical principle resulted complete coverage of the defect suggesting that careful treatment planning, immaculate execution by skillful technique definitely helped to achieve a successful result. Simultaneous use of photobiomodulation (PBM) helped in faster and better healing of the grafted area.

Not Dandy Walker variant: a review of prominent retrocerebellar CSF space in children

The prominent retrocerebellar cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) space can be frequently encountered on paediatric neuroimaging studies. In cases involving abnormal vermian development where imaging does not align with the established criteria of Dandy-Walker malformation (DWM), the term "Dandy-Walker variant or continuum" has been historically employed to describe the aberrant posterior fossa development. Instead, the emphasis is on a more elaborate description of the findings in the posterior fossa. Moreover, combining the findings in the supratentorial brain can occasionally predict certain neurogenetic disorders that mimic Dandy-Walker phenotype. The present review demonstrates and differentiates the imaging features of various entities that result in an enlarged retrocerebellar CSF space, such as inferior vermian hypoplasia (IVH) and several neurogenetic conditions.

Systematic Review of Per Person Violence Costs

INTRODUCTION

Data on the long-term and comprehensive cost of violence are essential for informed decision making regarding the future benefits of resources directed toward violence prevention. This review aimed to summarize original per-person estimates of the attributable cost of interpersonal violence to support public health economic research and decision making.

METHODS

In 2023, English-language peer-reviewed journal articles published in 2000-2022 with a focus on high-income countries reporting original per-person average cost of violence estimates were identified using index terms in multiple databases. Study contents, including violence type (e.g., adverse childhood experiences), timeline and payer cost perspective (e.g., hospitalization event-only healthcare payer cost), and associated per-person cost estimates, were summarized. Costs were in 2022 U.S. dollars.

RESULTS

Per-person cost estimates related to adverse childhood experiences, community violence, sexual violence, intimate partner violence, homicide, firearm violence, youth violence, workplace violence, and bullying from 73 studies (majority focusing on the U.S.) were summarized. For example, among 23 studies with a focus on adverse childhood experiences, monetary estimates ranged from $390 for adverse childhood experience-related annual healthcare out-of-pocket costs per U.S. adult with ≥3 adverse childhood experiences to $20.2 million for the lifetime societal economic burden of a U.S. child maltreatment fatality.

CONCLUSIONS

This review provides a descriptive summary of available per-person cost of violence estimates. Results can help public health professionals to describe the economic burden of violence, identify the best available estimate for a particular public health question, and address data gaps. Ultimately, understanding the long-term and comprehensive cost of violence is necessary to anticipate the economic benefits of prevention.

Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients on Home Hemodialysis and Peritoneal Dialysis

Key Points

Background

Cardiovascular disease is the leading cause of morbidity and mortality in patients with ESKD. Little is known about differences in cardiovascular outcomes between home hemodialysis (HHD) and peritoneal dialysis (PD).

Methods

We evaluated 68,645 patients who initiated home dialysis between January 1, 2005, and December 31, 2018, using the United States Renal Data System with linked Medicare claims. Rates for incident cardiovascular events of acute coronary syndrome, heart failure, and stroke hospitalizations were determined. Using adjusted time-to-event models, the associations of type of home dialysis modality with the outcomes of incident cardiovascular events, cardiovascular death, and all-cause death were examined.

Results

Mean age of patients in the study cohort was 64±15 years, and 42.3% were women. The mean time of follow-up was 1.8±1.6 years. The unadjusted cardiovascular event rate was 95.1 per thousand person-years (PTPY) (95% confidence interval [CI], 93.6 to 96.8), with a higher rate in patients on HHD than on PD (127.8 PTPY; 95% CI, 118.9 to 137.2 versus 93.3 PTPY; 95% CI, 91.5 to 95.1). However, HHD was associated with a slightly lower adjusted risk of cardiovascular events than PD (hazard ratio [HR], 0.92; 95% CI, 0.85 to 0.997). Compared with patients on PD, patients on HHD had 42% lower adjusted risk of stroke (HR, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.48 to 0.71), 17% lower adjusted risk of acute coronary syndrome (HR, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.72 to 0.95), and no difference in risk of heart failure (HR, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.94 to 1.16). HHD was associated with 22% lower adjusted risk of cardiovascular death (HR, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.71 to 0.86) and 8% lower adjusted risk of all-cause death (HR, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.87 to 0.97) as compared with PD.

Conclusions

Relative to PD, HHD is associated with decreased risk of stroke, acute coronary syndrome, cardiovascular death, and all-cause death. Further studies are needed to better understand the factors associated with differences in cardiovascular outcomes by type of home dialysis modality in patients with kidney failure.

Identifying immune signatures of sepsis to increase diagnostic accuracy in very preterm babies

Bacterial infections are a major cause of mortality in preterm babies, yet our understanding of early-life disease-associated immune dysregulation remains limited. Here, we combine multi-parameter flow cytometry, single-cell RNA sequencing and plasma analysis to longitudinally profile blood from very preterm babies (<32 weeks gestation) across episodes of invasive bacterial infection (sepsis). We identify a dynamically changing blood immune signature of sepsis, including lymphopenia, reduced dendritic cell frequencies and myeloid cell HLA-DR expression, which characterizes sepsis even when the common clinical marker of inflammation, C-reactive protein, is not elevated. Furthermore, single-cell RNA sequencing identifies upregulation of amphiregulin in leukocyte populations during sepsis, which we validate as a plasma analyte that correlates with clinical signs of disease, even when C-reactive protein is normal. This study provides insights into immune pathways associated with early-life sepsis and identifies immune analytes as potential diagnostic adjuncts to standard tests to guide targeted antibiotic prescribing.

Position paper on olfactory dysfunction: 2023

BACKGROUND

Since publication of the original Position Paper on Olfactory Dysfunction in 2017 (PPOD-17), the personal and societal burden of olfactory disorders has come sharply into focus through the lens of the COVID-19 pandemic. Clinicians, scientists and the public are now more aware of the importance of olfaction, and the impact of its dysfunction on quality of life, nutrition, social relationships and mental health. Accordingly, new basic, translational and clinical research has resulted in significant progress since the PPOD-17. In this updated document, we present and discuss currently available evidence for the diagnosis and management of olfactory dysfunction. Major updates to the current version include, amongst others: new recommendations on olfactory related terminology; new imaging recommendations; new sections on qualitative OD and COVID-19 OD; updated management section. Recommendations were agreed by all co-authors using a modified Delphi process.

CONCLUSIONS

We have provided an overview of current evidence and expert-agreed recommendations for the definition, investigation, and management of OD. As for our original Position Paper, we hope that this updated document will encourage clinicians and researchers to adopt a common language, and in so doing, increase the methodological quality, consistency, and generalisability of work in this field.

Pulse parameter optimizer: an efficient tool for achieving prescribed dose and dose rate with electron FLASH platforms

Purpose. Commercial electron FLASH platforms deliver ultra-high dose rate doses at discrete combinations of pulse parameters including pulse width (PW), pulse repetition frequency (PRF) and number of pulses (N), which dictate unique combinations of dose and dose rates. Additionally, collimation, source to surface distance, and airgaps also vary the dose per pulse (DPP). Currently, obtaining pulse parameters for the desired dose and dose rate is a cumbersome manual process involving creating, updating, and looking up values in large spreadsheets for every treatment configuration. This work presents a pulse parameter optimizer application to match intended dose and dose rate precisely and efficiently.Methods. Dose and dose rate calculation methods have been described for a commercial electron FLASH platform. A constrained optimization for the dose and dose rate cost function was modelled as a mixed integer problem in MATLAB (The MathWorks Inc., Version9.13.0 R2022b, Natick, Massachusetts). The beam and machine data required for the application were acquired using GafChromic film and alternating current current transformers (ACCTs). Variables for optimization included DPP for every collimator, PW and PRF measured using ACCT and airgap factors.Results. Using PW, PRF,Nand airgap factors as parameters, a software was created to optimize dose and dose rate, reaching the closest match if exact dose and dose rates are not achievable. Optimization took 20 s or less to converge to results. This software was validated for accuracy of dose calculation and precision in matching prescribed dose and dose rate.Conclusion. A pulse parameter optimization application was built for a commercial electron FLASH platform to increase efficiency in dose, dose rate, and pulse parameter prescription process. Automating this process reduces safety concerns associated with manual look up and calculation of these parameters, especially when many subjects at different doses and dose rates are to be safely managed.

Zika virus in India: past, present and future

Zika virus (ZIKV) is an arthropod-borne flavivirus that presents with acute febrile illness associated with rash, arthralgia and conjunctivitis. After years of sporadic reports in Africa, the three major outbreaks of this disease occurred in Yap Islands (2007), French Polynesia (2013-14) and South Americas (2015-16). Although, serological surveys suggested the presence of ZIKV in India in 1950s, cross-reactivity could not be ruled out. The first four proven cases of ZIKV from India were reported in 2017. This was followed by major outbreaks in the states of Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh in 2018. Fortunately, the outbreaks in India were not associated with neurological complications. These outbreaks in India highlighted the spread of this disease beyond geographical barriers owing to the growing globalization, increased travel and ubiquitous presence of its vector, the Aedes mosquito. In this review, we discuss the epidemiology, clinical features and management of ZIKV in India.

Bone Density, Geometry, Structure and Strength Estimates in Adolescent and Young Adult Women with Atypical Anorexia Nervosa versus Typical Anorexia Nervosa and Normal-Weight Healthy Controls

Our objective was to characterize bone outcomes in adolescent and young adult women with atypical anorexia nervosa (AAN) compared to typical AN and normal-weight healthy controls (HC) based on DSM-5 criteria. Four hundred thirty-two participants (141 AN, 131 AAN and 160 HC), ages 12-21 years, underwent dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry for areal BMD, and a subset had high-resolution peripheral quantitative CT assessment of the distal radius and tibia for volumetric BMD (vBMD), bone geometry and microarchitecture, and microfinite element analysis for estimated strength. The groups did not differ for age, pubertal stage, menarcheal age or physical activity. BMI and bone outcomes overall were intermediate in AAN compared with AN and HC. This applied to spine, total hip and femoral neck BMD measures and many distal tibial measures. However, the mean whole-body less head BMD Z-score did not differ between AAN and AN, and it was lower in both vs. HC. Similarly, many distal radius measures did not differ between AAN vs. AN or HC but were lower in AN than HC. Lower BMI, lean mass and bone age, older menarcheal age and longer illness duration correlated with greater impairment of bone outcomes. These data indicate that individuals with AAN overall have bone outcomes that are intermediate between AN and HC.

Optimal Care for Kidney Health: Development of a Merit-based Incentive Payment System (MIPS) Value Pathway

The Merit-based Incentive Payment System (MIPS) is a mandatory pay-for-performance program through the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) that aims to incentivize high-quality care, promote continuous improvement, facilitate electronic exchange of information, and lower health care costs. Previous research has highlighted several limitations of the MIPS program in assessing nephrology care delivery, including administrative complexity, limited relevance to nephrology care, and inability to compare performance across nephrology practices, emphasizing the need for a more valid and meaningful quality assessment program. This article details the iterative consensus-building process used by the American Society of Nephrology Quality Committee from May 2020 to July 2022 to develop the Optimal Care for Kidney Health MIPS Value Pathway (MVP). Two rounds of ranked-choice voting among Quality Committee members were used to select among nine quality metrics, 43 improvement activities, and three cost measures considered for inclusion in the MVP. Measure selection was iteratively refined in collaboration with the CMS MVP Development Team, and new MIPS measures were submitted through CMS's Measures Under Consideration process. The Optimal Care for Kidney Health MVP was published in the 2023 Medicare Physician Fee Schedule Final Rule and includes measures related to angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor and angiotensin receptor blocker use, hypertension control, readmissions, acute kidney injury requiring dialysis, and advance care planning. The nephrology MVP aims to streamline measure selection in MIPS and serves as a case study of collaborative policymaking between a subspecialty professional organization and national regulatory agencies.

A facile alternative strategy of upcycling mixed plastic waste into vitrimers

Chemical depolymerization has been identified as a promising approach towards recycling of plastic waste. However, complete depolymerization may be energy intensive with complications in purification. In this work, we have demonstrated upcycling of mixed plastic waste comprising a mixture of polyester, polyamide, and polyurethane through a reprocessable vitrimer of the depolymerized oligomers. Using poly(ethylene terephthalate) (PET) as a model polymer, we first demonstrated partial controlled depolymerization, using glycerol as a cleaving agent, to obtain branched PET oligomers. Recovered PET (RPET) oligomer was then used as a feedstock to produce a crosslinked yet reprocessable vitrimer (vRPET) despite having a wide molecular weight distribution using a solventless melt processing approach. Crosslinking and dynamic interactions were observed through rheology and dynamic mechanical analysis (DMA). Tensile mechanical studies showed no noticeable decrease in mechanical strength over multiple repeated melt processing cycles. Consequently, we have clearly demonstrated the applicability of the above method to upcycle mixed plastic wastes into vitrimers and reprocessable composites. This work also afforded insights into a potentially viable alternative route for utilization of depolymerized plastic/mixed plastic waste into crosslinked vitrimer resins manifesting excellent mechanical strength, while remaining reprocessable/ recyclable for cyclical lifetime use.

Recommendations on scuba diving in Birt-Hogg-Dubé syndrome

INTRODUCTION

Although very uncommon, severe injury and death can occur during scuba diving. One of the main causes of scuba diving fatalities is pulmonary barotrauma due to significant changes in ambient pressure. Pathology of the lung parenchyma, such as cystic lesions, might increase the risk of pulmonary barotrauma.

AREAS COVERED

Birt-Hogg-Dubé syndrome (BHD), caused by pathogenic variants in the FLCN gene, is characterized by skin fibrofolliculomas, an increased risk of renal cell carcinoma, multiple lung cysts and spontaneous pneumothorax. Given the pulmonary involvement, in some countries patients with BHD are generally recommended to avoid scuba diving, although evidence-based guidelines are lacking. We aim to provide recommendations on scuba diving for patients with BHD, based on a survey of literature on pulmonary cysts and pulmonary barotrauma in scuba diving.

EXPERT OPINION

In our opinion, although the absolute risks are likely to be low, caution is warranted. Given the relative paucity of literature and the potential fatal outcome, patients with BHD with a strong desire for scuba diving should be informed of the potential risks in a personal assessment. If available a diving physician should be consulted, and a low radiation dose chest computed tomography (CT)-scan to assess pulmonary lesions could be considered.

Long-Term Imaging Follow-up from the Management of Myelomeningocele Study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Short-term results demonstrate that prenatal repair of a myelomeningocele is associated with a reduction in hydrocephalus and an increased likelihood of the reversal of Chiari II malformations compared with postnatal repair. The purpose of this study was to identify the long-term imaging findings at school age among subjects who underwent pre- versus postnatal repair of a myelomeningocele.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A subset of subjects enrolled in the Management of Myelomeningocele Study who underwent either prenatal (n = 66) or postnatal (n = 63) repair of a lumbosacral myelomeningocele and had follow-up brain MR imaging at school age were included. The prevalence of posterior fossa features of Chiari II malformation and supratentorial abnormalities and the change in these findings from fetal to school-age MR imaging were compared between the 2 groups.

RESULTS

Prenatal repair of a myelomeningocele was associated with higher rates of normal location of fourth ventricle and lower rates of hindbrain herniation, cerebellar herniation, tectal beaking, brainstem distortion, and kinking at school age compared with postnatal repair (all P < .01). Supratentorial abnormalities, including corpus callosal abnormalities, gyral abnormalities, heterotopia, and hemorrhage, were not significantly different between the 2 groups (all P > .05). The rates of resolution of brainstem kinking, tectal beaking, cerebellar and hindbrain herniation, and normalization of fourth ventricle size from fetal to school age MR imaging were higher among the prenatal compared with postnatal surgery group (all, P < .02).

CONCLUSIONS

Prenatal repair of a myelomeningocele is associated with persistent improvement in posterior fossa imaging findings of Chiari II malformation at school age compared with postnatal repair.

Toward highly effective loading of DNA in hydrogels for high-density and long-term information storage

Digital information, when converted into a DNA sequence, provides dense, stable, energy-efficient, and sustainable data storage. The most stable method for encapsulating DNA has been in an inorganic matrix of silica, iron oxide, or both, but are limited by low DNA uptake and complex recovery techniques. This study investigated a rationally designed thermally responsive functionally graded (TRFG) hydrogel as a simple and cost-effective method for storing DNA. The TRFG hydrogel shows high DNA uptake, long-term protection, and reusability due to nondestructive DNA extraction. The high loading capacity was achieved by directly absorbing DNA from the solution, which is then retained because of its interaction with a hyperbranched cationic polymer loaded into a negatively charged hydrogel matrix used as a support and because of its thermoresponsive nature, which allows DNA concentration within the hydrogel through multiple swelling/deswelling cycles. We were able to achieve a high DNA data density of 7.0 × 10⁹ gigabytes per gram using a hydrogel-based system.

The Comparative Accuracy of BISAP and PANC3 Scoring System for the Disease Severity and Outcome in Acute Pancreatitis in Tertiary Care Hospital from North India

Background Acute pancreatitis has local and systemic manifestations, so it's important to assess the severity by various scoring system. Among them bed side index for severity of acute pancreatitis and pancreatitis three score have been considered to be more predictive and easier. Objective To determine the comparative prognostic value of bed side index for severity of acute pancreatitis and pancreatitis 3 score and its correlation with the outcome. Method A prospective observational study was conducted on 50 cases of acute pancreatitis. The patients were assessed clinically, radiologically and biochemically and were categorised into mild, moderate and severe category as per Atlanta Classification. Bed side index for severity of acute pancreatitis and pancreatitis 3 score was calculated at the time of admission and followed till the time of discharge or they had mortality. Result Receiver operating characteristic curve, showed bed side Index for severity of acute pancreatitis score had sensitivity (66.67%), specificity (84.09%), diagnostic accuracy (84%) while pancreatitis 3 score had sensitivity (50%), specificity (81.82%), diagnostic accuracy (80%) for the severity of acute pancreatitis. Bed side index for severity of acute pancreatitis had sensitivity (100%), specificity (66.67%) and Pancreatitis 3 score had sensitivity (66.67%), specificity (80.85%) for predicting the mortality in acute pancreatitis. Conclusion Bed side index for severity of acute pancreatitis and pancreatitis 3 score are both simple, bedside tool for assessing the severity and mortality but bed side index for severity of acute pancreatitis score had better sensitivity, specificity for assessing the severity and mortality as compared to pancreatitis three score.