A machine-learning-based prediction of non-home discharge among acute heart failure patients

BACKGROUND

Scarce data on factors related to discharge disposition in patients hospitalized for acute heart failure (AHF) were available, and we sought to develop a parsimonious and simple predictive model for non-home discharge via machine learning.

METHODS

This observational cohort study using a Japanese national database included 128,068 patients admitted from home for AHF between April 2014 and March 2018. The candidate predictors for non-home discharge were patient demographics, comorbidities, and treatment performed within 2 days after hospital admission. We used 80% of the population to develop a model using all 26 candidate variables and using the variable selected by 1 standard-error rule of Lasso regression, which enhances interpretability, and 20% to validate the predictive ability.

RESULTS

We analyzed 128,068 patients, and 22,330 patients were not discharged to home; 7,879 underwent in-hospital death and 14,451 were transferred to other facilities. The machine-learning-based model consisted of 11 predictors, showing a discrimination ability comparable to that using all the 26 variables (c-statistic: 0.760 [95% confidence interval, 0.752-0.767] vs. 0.761 [95% confidence interval, 0.753-0.769]). The common 1SE-selected variables identified throughout all analyses were low scores in activities of daily living, advanced age, absence of hypertension, impaired consciousness, failure to initiate enteral alimentation within 2 days and low body weight.

CONCLUSIONS

The developed machine learning model using 11 predictors had a good predictive ability to identify patients at high risk for non-home discharge. Our findings would contribute to the effective care coordination in this era when HF is rapidly increasing in prevalence.

Left atrial strain in acute heart failure: clinical and prognostic insights

AIMS

In acute heart failure (AHF), the consequences of impaired left atrial (LA) mechanics are not well understood. We aimed to define the clinical trajectory of LA mechanics by left atrial strain (LAS) analysis.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Eighty-five consecutive AHF patients with reduced, mildly reduced, and preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) were enrolled in the LAS-AHF trial and underwent LA mechanics analysis by speckle tracking echocardiography. Seventy-seven patients were followed-up (FU) at 6 and 12 months. At hospital admission, discharge, 6 and 12 months post-discharge, LA reservoir function (LAS), LA pump strain, LAVi, LA stiffness, indicators of right ventricular (RV) and left ventricular (LV) function, congestion indexes (B lines, inferior vena cava, X-ray congestion score index), and biomarkers (NT-pro-BNP) were measured. The primary outcome was time to first event of re-hospitalization, worsening HF, or cardiovascular death. From admission to discharge, RV function significantly improved after decongestion, whereas no significant differences were observed in LA dynamics and LV function. In sinus rhythm patients with mild or no mitral regurgitation, decongestion was associated with a significant improvement of LAS and LA pump strain rate during hospitalization. At 12 months, 24 CV events occurred and lack of LAS improvement at 12 months FU emerged as the most powerful predictor followed by NT-pro-BNP. Kaplan-Meier curves showed a better survival for LAS >16%, improvement of LAS > 5%, and an LAS/LAVi ratio >0.25%/mL/m2 compared with lower cut-off values [log-rank: heart rate (HR) 3.5, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.8-7.3, P = 0.004; log-rank: HR 3.6, 95% CI 2-7.9, P < 0.01; log-rank: HR 3.27, 95% CI 1.4-7.7, P = 0.007].

CONCLUSION

In AHF of any LVEF, LA dynamics is highly predictive of re-hospitalization and cardiovascular outcome and allows to ease risk-stratification, potentially becoming an early reference target for improving long-term outcome.

Cardiovascular Hospitalizations and Hospitalization Costs in Japan During the COVID-19 Pandemic

Background: During the COVID-19 pandemic, cardiovascular hospitalizations decreased and in-hospital mortality for ST-elevation myocardial infarction and heart failure increased. However, limited research has been conducted on hospitalization and mortality rates for cardiovascular disease (CVD) other than ischemic heart disease and heart failure. Methods and Results: We analyzed the records of 530 certified hospitals affiliated with the Japanese Circulation Society obtained from the nationwide JROAD-DPC database between April 2014 and March 2021. A quasi-Poisson regression model was used to predict the counterfactual number of hospitalizations for CVD treatment, assuming there was no pandemic. The observed number of inpatients compared with the predicted number in 2020 was 88.1% for acute CVD, 78% for surgeries or procedures, 77.2% for catheter ablation, and 68.5% for left ventricular assist devices. Furthermore, there was no significant change in in-hospital mortality, and the decrease in hospitalizations for catheter ablation and valvular heart disease constituted 47.6% of the total decrease in annual hospitalization costs during the COVID-19 pandemic. Conclusions: Cardiovascular hospitalizations decreased by more than 10% in 2020, and the number of patients scheduled for left ventricular assist device implantation decreased by over 30%. In addition, in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, annual cardiovascular hospitalization costs were reduced, largely attributed to decreased catheter ablation and valvular heart disease.

Impact of Tweet Content on the Number of Retweets - "Tweet the Meeting 2022"

Background: Previous research has investigated the effectiveness of the "Tweet the Meeting" campaign, but the relationship between tweet content and the number of retweets has not been fully evaluated. Methods and Results: We analyzed the number of tweets and retweets during the Japanese Circulation Society's 2022 annual meeting. The ambassador group had significantly more session- and symposium-related tweets than the non-ambassador group (P<0.001), associated with the nubmer of retweets. Symposium-related tweets with figures generated more retweets than those without figures (mean [±SD] 3.47±3.31 vs. 2.48±1.94 retweets per tweet, respectively; P=0.001). Conclusions: The study revealed that official meeting-designated Twitter ambassadors disseminate more educational content than non-ambassadors, and generated more retweets.

Association of early acute-phase rehabilitation initiation on outcomes among patients aged ≥90 years with acute heart failure

BACKGROUND

Data on the potential benefit of acute-phase rehabilitation initiation in very old (aged ≥90) patients with acute heart failure (AHF) have been scarce.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed data from the Diagnosis Procedure Combination database, which is a nationwide inpatient database. This study included patients hospitalized for heart failure (HF) from January 2010 to March 2018, those aged ≥90 years, who had a length of stay of ≥3 days, New York Heart Association (NYHA) class of ≥II, and had not undergone major procedures under general anesthesia. Propensity score matching and generalized linear models were used to compare in-hospital mortality, length of stay, 30-day readmission rate due to HF, all-cause 30-day readmission, and improvement in activities of daily living (ADL) between patients with and without an acute-phase rehabilitation initiation, which is defined as the rehabilitation initiation within 2 days after hospital admission.

RESULTS

Acute-phase rehabilitation was initiated in 8588 of 41,896 eligible patients. Propensity score matching created 8587 pairs. Patients with acute-phase rehabilitation initiation have lower in-hospital mortality (9.0% vs. 11.2%, p < 0.001). Acute-phase rehabilitation initiation was associated with lower in-hospital mortality (odds ratio, 0.778; 95% confidence interval, 0.704-0.860). Patients with acute-phase rehabilitation initiation have a shorter median length of stay (17 days vs. 18 days, p < 0.001), lower 30-day readmission rate due to HF (5.5% vs. 6.4%, p = 0.011) and all-cause 30-day readmission (10.2% vs. 11.2%, p = 0.036), and better ADL improvement (49.7% vs. 46.9%, p < 0.001). Subgroup analysis revealed consistent results (sex, body mass index, NYHA class, and Barthel Index).

CONCLUSIONS

The acute-phase rehabilitation initiation was associated with improved short-term clinical outcomes in patients aged ≥90 years with AHF.

Safety Profile of the Concomitant Use of Atorvastatin and Cyclosporine in Renal Transplant Recipients

Cyclosporine (CyA) and atorvastatin (AT) are often administered concomitantly to treat dyslipidemia in renal transplant recipients. However, CyA greatly increases the plasma concentration of AT; therefore, concomitant use might increase the frequency of statin-induced adverse effects. The aim of this study was to investigate whether concomitant use of CyA and AT increases intolerance of the latter agent in Japanese renal transplantation recipients. We performed a retrospective cohort analysis of renal transplant recipients aged 18 years and older who had concomitantly received AT and CyA, or tacrolimus (Tac) therapy. We defined statin intolerance as a decrease in dose or discontinuation of AT due to adverse effects. We evaluated the incidence of statin intolerance in concomitant therapy with CyA for 100 days after the initial administration of AT in comparison with Tac. A total of 144 renal transplant recipients who received AT and CyA, or Tac between January 2013 and December 2019 were included. There was no statistical difference in the incidence of statin intolerance in both the CyA (1.8%; 1/57 patients) and Tac (3.4%; 3/87 patients) groups. Concomitant use of CyA and AT might not increase the incidence of statin intolerance in Japanese renal transplant recipients.

Association of weight change and in-hospital mortality in patients with repeated hospitalization for heart failure

BACKGROUND

Although weight loss in heart failure (HF) is a detrimental condition known as cachexia, weight gain caused by fluid retention should also be considered harmful. However, studies with sufficient number of patients examining the impact of weight change and its interval on in-hospital mortality in HF have not been conducted thus far. We sought to elucidate the association of weight change with in-hospital mortality in patients with HF.

METHODS

This retrospective observational study used data from the Diagnosis Procedure Combination database, a nationwide inpatient health claims database in Japan. In total, 48 234 patients repeatedly hospitalized for HF (median 82 [74-87] years; 46.4% men) between 2010 and 2018 were included. Weight change was derived from body weight at the first and second admissions.

RESULTS

The median weight change and interval between two hospitalizations were -3.1 [-8.3 to -1.8] % and 172 [67-420] days, with 66.9% of overall cohort experiencing any weight loss. As a result of multivariable-adjusted logistic regression analysis, weight loss <-5.0% and weight gain >+5.0% were associated with increased in-hospital mortality (adjusted odds ratio [OR] [95% confidence interval]: 1.46 [1.31-1.62], P < 0.001 and 1.23 [1.08-1.40], P = 0.002, respectively) whereas mild weight loss and gain of 2.0-5.0% were not (OR [95% confidence interval]: 0.96 [0.84-1.10], P = 0.57 and 1.07 [0.92-1.25], P = 0.37, respectively), in comparison with patients with a stable weight (fluctuating no more than -2.0% to +2.0%) used as a reference. Restrictive cubic spline models adjusted for multiple background factors illustrated that higher mortality in patients with weight loss was observed across all subgroups of the baseline body mass index (<18.5, 18.5-24.9 and ≥25.0 kg/m² ). In patients with short (<90 days) and middle (<180 days) intervals between the two hospitalizations, both weight loss and weight gain were associated with high mortality, whereas the association between weight gain and high mortality was attenuated in those with longer intervals.

CONCLUSIONS

Both weight loss and weight gain in patients with repeated hospitalization for HF were associated with high in-hospital mortality, especially weight loss and short/middle-term weight gain. Such patients should be treated with caution in a setting of repeated hospitalization for HF.

Association between Reduction of Muscle Mass and Faster Declines in Global Cognition among Older People: A 4-Year Prospective Cohort Study

OBJECTIVES

A few studies reported that both decrease and increase in body mass index (BMI) were associated with the development of dementia in later life. However, it is unclear what changes in body composition are associated with cognitive decline. This study investigated the longitudinal influences of changes in body composition on cognitive function among community-dwelling adults.

DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

This longitudinal study included older adults aged ≥60 years without cognitive impairment who participated in National Institute for Longevity Sciences - Longitudinal Study of Aging.

MEASUREMENTS

Cognitive function was assessed using the MMSE. Body composition was measured by a dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry system. Then, BMI, fat mass index (FMI), fat-free mass index (FFMI), and muscle mass index (MMI) were calculated. The changes in body composition over 6 years (second wave to fifth wave) were calculated, and three groups were created: decreased group, decrease of >5%; stable group, change within 5%, and increased group, increase of >5%. In statistical analysis, a linear mixed model was applied by sex to investigate the influences of body composition changes on cognitive function over 4 years (fifth wave to seventh wave).

RESULTS

This study analyzed 515 participants (mean age, 67.05 years; 53.4% men). Men with decreased group in FFMI and MMI exhibited faster declines in MMSE scores than those with stable group (β [95% CI]: FFMI, -0.293 [-0.719 to -0.020]; MMI, -0.472 [-0.884 to -0.059]). In women, there was no significant association between body composition changes and cognitive functions.

CONCLUSIONS

Decrease in fat-free mass and muscle mass is associated with faster cognitive declines in men. These results suggest the importance of continuous monitoring of muscle mass to prevent cognitive decline in later life.

Clinical characteristics and the risk of hospitalization of patients with coronavirus disease 2019 quarantined in a designated hotel in Japan

The aim was to investigate the clinical characteristics of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients who were admitted to a designated hotel, and to clarify the risk factors for hospitalization of such patients with clinical deterioration. The medical records of COVID-19 patients who were admitted to the designated hotel in Mie Prefecture, Japan, between August 2020 and September 2021 were reviewed retrospectively. Of the 1,087 COVID-19 patients who were admitted to the designated hotel, 936 patients (32.1± 12.8 years, 61.3% male) were recruited after excluding patients under the age of 15 years (n = 33), those admitted from the hospital (n = 111, 10.2%), COVID-19 vaccinated patients (n = 4, 0.4%), and those who were discharged to their own home due to social disorders (n = 3). During the study period, 884 patients (94.4%) were discharged to their own home with improving symptoms, whereas 52 patients (5.6%) were hospitalized for a deteriorating clinical condition. The logistic regression analyses showed that older age (≥ 40 years), higher body mass index (≥ 25 kg/m2), hypertension were the risk factors for hospitalization. As the new risk scale score based on the results of the odds ratios increased, the hospitalization rate increased significantly: 2.0% at 0-1 points, 9.7% at 2-3 points, and 28.8% at 4-5 points (p < 0.001). None of the 52 hospitalized patients died, and none developed serious complications from COVID-19 after hospitalization. In conclusion, the designated accommodation program for COVID-19 patients was safe, especially for those with a low risk for hospitalization.

Impact of in-hospital medical management for COVID-19 pandemic on door-to-balloon time in patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction

Background

Delayed door-to-balloon (DTB) time and deterioration of in-hospital mortality during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic have been reported. Little is known about the impact of changes in in-hospital medical management before primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) for COVID-19 such as screening test (antigen or polymerase chain reaction (PCR) tests, chest CT for excluding the pneumoniae) and primary PCI under full personal protective equipment (PPE) on DTB time and in-hospital mortality.

Purpose

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the impact of in-hospital medical management for COVID-19 on DTB time and in-hospital mortality during COVID-19 pandemic period.

Methods

We compared DTB time and in-hospital mortality of 502 ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients during COVID-19 pandemic (February 2020 and January 2021) with 2035 STEMI patients before pandemic (February 2016 and January 2020) using date from Mie ACS registry, a retrospective and multicenter registry.

Results

The COVID-19 screening tests before primary PCI and/or primary PCI under full PPE was performed on 173/502 (34.5%) patients (antigen or PCR tests; 39 (7.8%), chest CT; 156 (31.3%), full PPE; 11 (2.2%)). These patients had lower rate of achievement of DTB time ≤90 min compared with others (Figure 1A). Moreover, In-hospital management of COVID-19 screening tests and/or primary PCI under full PPE was an independent factor of DTB time&gt;90 min with odds ratio of 1.94 (95% confidential interval: 1.37–2.76, p&lt;0.001). In addition, in-hospital mortality of those patients was higher compared with others (Figure 1B).

Conclusion

In-hospital medical management for COVID-19 screening tests before primary PCI and/or primary PCI under full PPE was the independent factor of DTB time&gt;90 min. This study reinforces the need to focus efforts on shortening DTB time, while controlling the epidemic of infection.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Demographic Trends and Changes in the Pre- and In-Hospital Medical Management of Acute Myocardial Infarction During the First 12 Months of the COVID-19 Pandemic in Mie Prefecture ― Report From the Mie ACS Registry ―

Background: Even though hospital admissions for acute myocardial infarction (AMI) decreased globally during the COVID-19 pandemic in early 2020, limited information is available on subsequent demographic trends in the number of cases and management of AMI through the first 12 months of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Methods and Results: We assessed demographic trends, patient characteristics, and AMI outcomes (n=730) during the first 12 months of the COVID-19 pandemic and compared them with corresponding months during the control period (February 2016–January 2020; n=2,742) using data from the Mie ACS Registry. Although a 25.8% reduction in hospitalizations for AMI was observed in the 3 months following the declaration of a state of emergency (47.7 vs. 64.3/month; P=0.002), the total number of AMI patients was similar between the 12-month COVID-19 and control periods (60.8 vs. 57.2/month; P=0.58). The number of patients requiring direct ambulance transport was lower in the first half of the COVID-19 than control period (44.4% vs. 51.5; P=0.028). In-hospital mortality was higher in the second half of the COVID-19 than control period (8.9% vs. 5.8%; P=0.032).

Conclusions: Through the first 12 months of the COVID-19 pandemic, the number of AMI cases was similar to that in previous years. The COVID-19 pandemic changed the behavior of AMI patients and both pre- and in-hospital medical management, which significantly affected the severity and prognosis of AMI.

Hospitalizations for Cardiovascular Diseases During the Early Stage of the COVID-19 Pandemic in Japan

Background: Although reductions in hospitalizations for myocardial infarction and heart failure have been reported during the period of COVID-19 pandemic restrictions, it is unclear how the overall number of hospitalizations for cardiovascular disease (CVD) treatment changed in the early stages of the pandemic.

Methods and Results: We analyzed the records of 574 certified hospitals affiliated with the Japanese Circulation Society and retrieved data from April 2015 to March 2020. Records were obtained from the nationwide Japanese Registry of All Cardiac and Vascular Diseases–Diagnosis Procedure Combination database. A quasi-Poisson regression model was used to estimate the number of hospitalizations for CVD treatment. Between January and March 2020, when the number of COVID-19 cases was relatively low in Japan, the actual/estimated number of hospitalizations for acute CVD was 18,233/21,634 (84.3%), whereas the actual/estimated number of scheduled hospitalizations was 16,921/19,066 (88.7%). The number of hospitalizations for acute heart failure and scheduled hospitalizations for valvular disease and aortic aneurysm were 81.1%, 84.6%, and 83.8% of the estimated values, respectively. A subanalysis that considered only facilities without hospitalization restrictions did not alter the results for these diseases.

Conclusions: The spread of COVID-19 was associated with a decreased number of hospitalizations for CVD in Japan, even in the early stages of the pandemic.

P-545 The age-related required number of zygotes estimated from prior clinical studies of preimplantation genetic testing for aneuploidy (PGT-A)

Study question

How many eggs will be required to optimize the chances of a live birth with or without PGT-A?

Summary answer

The number of zygotes required for live birth is higher in women with an advanced age, and the use of PGT-A does not provide improvement.

What is known already

Women who are undergoing PGT-A often wish to know how many eggs will be required to optimize the chances of a live birth. This important information could be provided as part of prior genetic counseling, but there are no precise data on this at present. If the number of eggs required to give the best chance of a successful live birth was known, treatment plans with or without PGT-A could be better determined.

Study design, size, duration

We estimated the optimal number of eggs required for IVF treatment with PGT-A to produce at least a single live birth, stratified by maternal age, on the basis of information from prior studies and in current databases.

Participants/materials, setting, methods

We derived our calculation parameters from three prior large-scale clinical investigations associated with PGT-A. We estimated a live birth rate using the following factors: rate of zygotes that develop a useful blastocyst, euploid rate in PGT-A, and the live birth rate after euploid embryo transfer. All of these factors were assumed to be statistically independent in this study for the purposes of our calculations and the live birth rate per single zygote was calculated.

Main results and the role of chance

The estimations in our present analyses however indicate a probability of less than 10% that woman over 40 years of age will have a live birth from a single zygote, regardless of whether PGT-A is performed or not. We used a negative binomial distribution approach to calculate how many zygotes are needed to obtain at least one live birth. The plot of these results is provided in Figure 2. To achieve a 50% chance of getting at least one live birth, patients required 8 zygotes at age of 40 and 21 zygotes at the age of 43. Furthermore, to achieve an 80% chance of obtaining a live birth, our calculations estimate that 18 and 47 zygotes would be required at these two ages, respectively, which would be challenging to achieve. On the other hand, by avoiding unnecessary transplants using PGT-A, women may have to wait a shorter period to accomplish a live birth or may be able to avoid wasting their limited remaining reproductive period, particularly if they are older than 42.

Limitations, reasons for caution

The reference data from PGT-A studies that have estimated of the live birth rate include chromosomal quantitative PCR, microarray analysis, and next generation sequencing (NGS). There is a high possibility that the embryos designated as “euploid” in those studies include mosaic embryos, which represents a limitation of our present meta-analysis.

Wider implications of the findings

More details on the clinical outcomes of PGT-A will be revealed as clinical studies progress in the future. It is our hope that the results of this present study will assist with future genetic counseling strategies for PGT-A in the meantime.

Trial registration number

not applicable

Prognostic Value of Non-Invasive Global Myocardial Work in Asymptomatic Aortic Stenosis

This study aimed to evaluate the modification of non-invasive myocardial work (MW) indices related to aortic stenosis (AS) stages of cardiac damage and their prognostic value. The echocardiographic and outcome data of 170 patients, with asymptomatic moderate-to-severe AS and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≥ 50%, and 50 age- and sex-comparable healthy controls were analysed. Primary endpoints were the occurrence of all-cause and cardiovascular death. Increased values of the global work index (GWI), global constructive work (GCW), and global wasted work (GWW) were observed in AS patients compared to controls (GWI: 2528 ± 521 vs. 2005 ± 302 mmHg%, GCW: 2948 ± 598 vs. 2360 ± 353 mmHg%, p < 0.001; GWW: 139 ± 90 vs. 90 ± 49 mmHg%, p = 0.005), with no changes in the global work efficiency. When patients were stratified according to the stages of cardiac damage, the GWI showed lower values in Stage 3−4 as compared to Stage 0 and Stage 2 (p = 0.024). During a mean follow-up of 30 months, 27 patients died. In multivariable Cox-regression analysis, adjusted for confounders, GWI (HR: 0.998, CI: 0.997−1.000; p = 0.034) and GCW (HR:0.998, CI: 0.997−0.999; p = 0.003) were significantly associated with excess mortality. When used as categorical variables, a GWI ≤ 1951 mmHg% and a GCW ≤ 2475 mmHg% accurately predicted all-cause and cardiovascular death at 4-year follow-up. In conclusion, in asymptomatic patients with moderate-to-severe AS, reduced values of GWI and GCW are associated with increased mortality. Therefore, the evaluation of MW indices may allow for a better identification of asymptomatic patients with moderate to severe AS and preserved LVEF whom are at increased risk of worse prognosis during follow-up.

Characteristics of gut microbiome, organic acid profiles and viral antibody indexes of healthy Japanese with live Lacticaseibacillus detected in stool

To estimate the health-promoting effects of Lacticaseibacillus paracasei (previously Lactobacillus casei) strain Shirota (LcS) that reached the lower gastrointestinal tract alive, we investigated the characteristics of gut microbiome, organic acid profiles, defecatory symptoms and serum viral antibody indexes of healthy Japanese adults between the group in whom live LcS was detected or not from stool. The β-diversity index of the gut microbiome constituted a significant difference between the live-LcS-detected-group (LLD) and the live-LcS-not-detected-group (LLnD). In the LLD, the Bifidobacteriaceae, Lactobacillaceae, and Coriobacteriaceae counts were significantly higher, and the succinate concentration was significantly lower than that in the LLnD. The serum herpes simplex virus (HSV) immunoglobulin (Ig)M antibody index in the LLD tended to be lower than that of the LLnD in HSV IgG-positive subjects. Of the LLD, those in the fermented milk products containing LcS (FML)-high-frequency-group (FML-HF) and those in the FML-low-frequency-group (FML-LF) had different gut microbiome and organic acid profiles. However, the pattern of differences between FML-HF and FML-LF was dissimilar those between LLD and LLnD. In contrast, among subjects with FML-LF, those in the group with LLD in stool (LF-LLD) and those in the LLnD in stool (LF-LLnD) showed a similar pattern of differences in their gut microbiome and organic acid profiles as those in the LLnD and LLD. The LLD and LF-LLD commonly had lower caloric and carbohydrate intakes from the diet than their respective control groups. In this study, we found that the presence of live LcS in stool is associated with a healthy gut environment and inhibition of the reactivation of latently infected viruses in the host. However, these health-promoting effects on the host were not related to the frequency of FML intake. Furthermore, dysbiosis of the gut microbiome and diet including caloric intake was related to the viability of ingested LcS in the gut.

A randomized, controlled trial of once-weekly teriparatide injection versus alendronate in patients at high risk of osteoporotic fracture: primary results of the Japanese Osteoporosis Intervention Trial-05

In this randomized, controlled trial, treatment with once-weekly subcutaneous injection of teriparatide for 72 weeks was found to be associated with a significant reduction in the incidence of morphometric vertebral fractures compared with alendronate in women with primary osteoporosis who were at high risk of fracture.

INTRODUCTION

To determine whether the anti-fracture efficacy of teriparatide is superior to that of alendronate, a prospective, randomized, open-label, blinded-endpoint trial was performed.

METHODS

Japanese women aged at least 75 years were eligible for the study if they had primary osteoporosis and were at high risk of fracture. Patients were randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to receive sequential therapy (once-weekly subcutaneous injection of teriparatide 56.5 μg for 72 weeks followed by alendronate for 48 weeks) or monotherapy with alendronate for 120 weeks. The primary endpoint was the incidence of morphometric vertebral fractures at 72 weeks (at the end of teriparatide treatment).

RESULTS

Between October 2014 and December 2017, 1011 patients (505 in the teriparatide group and 506 in the alendronate group) were enrolled. Of these, 778 patients (351 and 427, respectively) were included in the primary analysis. The incidence of morphometric vertebral fractures was significantly lower in the teriparatide group (56 per 419.9 person-years, annual incidence rate 0.1334) than in the alendronate group (96 per 553.6 person-years, annual incidence rate 0.1734), with a rate ratio of 0.78 (95% confidence interval 0.61 to 0.99, P = 0.04). In both groups, adverse events were most frequently reported in the following system organ classes: infections and infestations, gastrointestinal disorders, and musculoskeletal and connective tissue disorders.

CONCLUSION

Once-weekly subcutaneous injection of teriparatide significantly reduced the incidence of morphometric vertebral fractures compared with alendronate in women with primary osteoporosis who were at high risk of fracture.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

jRCTs031180235 and UMIN000015573, March 12, 2019.

The role of left ventricular remodeling in functional mitral regurgitation: functional and prognostic implications in patients with heart failure

Background

Left ventricular (LV) dilatation plays a key role on functional mitral regurgitation (MR) in patients with heart failure (HF) and exercise MR causes an additional LV remodeling. This study sought to investigate the different phenotypes and prognostic impact of LV end-diastolic volume (EDV) and MR during exercise in HF patients of any left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) categorization.

Methods

201 HF patients with reduced (n=119), mildly-reduced (n=46), and preserved (n=36) EF underwent exercise with gas exchange analysis combined with echocardiography for assessment of MR and were divided by 3 groups according to EDV index tertiles (T1 &lt;70.1, T2 70.1–95.6, T3 &gt;95.6 ml/m2).

Results

There was no significant difference in age (67±12 years) and peak oxygen consumption (VO2: 13.1±3.7 ml/kg/min) among the 3 groups but VE/VCO2 slope was higher in T3 group (T1 31±7, T2 31±5, T3 37±11, P&lt;0.05). EDV index was positively correlated with VE/VCO2 slope (R=0.33, P&lt;0.001) and effective regurgitant orifice area (EROA) of MR at rest (R=0.27, P=0.01) and exercise (R=0.45, P&lt;0.001). During follow up, 48 patients had the composite end point of all cause death or HF hospitalization. The age and gender adjusted hazard ratio for the events in patients with MR &gt;2+ was 1.8 (P=0.049) at rest and 1.9 (P=0.026) at exercise. The age, gender, peak VO2, VE/VCO2 slope, and exercise MR &gt;2+ adjusted hazard ratio of EDV index 10 ml/m2 increase was 1.1 (P=0.041) and the ratio in patients with EDV index &gt;95.6 ml/m2, derived by ROC curve (AUC=0.69, P&lt;0.05), was 2.0 (P&lt;0.033, figure).

Conclusions

Functional MR with LV dilation combines with the worse exercise gas exchange phenotype. Given also the predictive role of a EDV index cutoff of 95.6 ml/m2 attention for chamber geometry during exercise might become an indicator of mitral valve reparation.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Left atrial dynamics in the hemodynamic response during exercise in patients with asymptomatic severe aortic stenosis

Background

The hemodynamic impact of left atrial (LA) dynamics in aortic stenosis (AS) in relation to cardiopulmonary response to exercise has never been studied. We aimed at investigating the link between LA function vs hemodynamics and prognosis in asymptomatic severe AS patients.

Methods

A total of 106 patients: 76 asymptomatic severe AS patients (aortic valve area (AVA) &lt;1.0 cm2 or AVA index &lt;0.6 cm2/m2) and 30 gender-matched control subjects underwent cardiopulmonary exercise testing combined with Echo-Doppler with assessment of LA strain. AS patients were divided into 4 groups according to peak aortic jet velocity (PV), mean pressure gradient (MPG), stroke volume index (SVI), and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF).

Results

Normal-flow low-gradient AS (NFLG: PV &lt;4 m/s and MPG &lt;40 mmHg, SVI &gt;35ml/m2, LVEF ≥50%, N=23), High-gradient AS (HG: PV ≥4 m/s or MPG ≥40 mmHg, LVEF ≥50%, N=23), Paradoxical low-flow low-gradient AS (PLFLG: PV &lt;4 m/s and MPG &lt;40 mmHg, SVI ≤35ml/m2, LVEF ≥50%, N=18), and Classical low-flow AS (CLF: LVEF &lt;50%, N=12) had a higher LA volume index than Control (Control 22±6, NFLG 38±12*, HG 33±9*, PLFLG 33±11*, and CLF 49±15* ml/m2, *P&lt;0.05 vs Control). In PLFLG and NFLG AS, LA strain at rest (21±9 and 26±13%) and during exercise (26±12 and 31±14%) were decreased compared to Control (37±8% at rest, 43±11% during exercise) but LA strain was increased from rest to exercise (P&lt;0.001). HG and CLF AS had no increase in LA strain (31±15 and 19±10% at rest, 28±15 and 18±9% during exercise) (figure). In Cox proportional hazards analysis, age and gender adjusted hazard ratio for the composite end point (aortic valve replacement, hospitalization for heart failure, and all-cause mortality) of changes in LA-strain from rest to exercise (1% increase) was 1.05 (95% CI 1.00 to 1.09, P=0.044) among AS patients.

Conclusions

In asymptomatic severe AS, the study of LA functional adaptation to exercise plays a key role in the hemodynamic unfavorable cascade signaling major adaptive differences in dynamics during physical challenge. Overall, LA dynamics provides prognostic information also in AS patients.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

The Japan-Multimodal Intervention Trial for Prevention of Dementia (J-MINT): The Study Protocol for an 18-Month, Multicenter, Randomized, Controlled Trial

Background/Objectives

The Japan-multimodal intervention trial for prevention of dementia (J-MINT) is intended to verify the effectiveness of multi-domain interventions and to clarify the mechanism of cognitive improvement and deterioration by carrying out assessment of dementia-related biomarkers, omics analysis and brain imaging analysis among older adults at high risk of dementia. Moreover, the J-MINT trial collaborates with partnering private enterprises in the implementation of relevant interventional measures. This manuscript describes the study protocol.

Design/Setting

Eighteen-month, multi-centered, randomized controlled trial.

Participants

We plan to recruit 500 older adults aged 65–85 years with mild cognitive impairment. Subjects will be centrally randomized into intervention and control groups at a 1:1 allocation ratio using the dynamic allocation method with all subjects stratified by age, sex, and cognition.

Intervention

The multi-domain intervention program includes: (1) management of vascular risk factors; (2) group-based physical exercise and self-monitoring of physical activity; (3) nutritional counseling; and (4) cognitive training. Health-related information will be provided to the control group every two months.

Measurements

The primary and secondary outcomes will be assessed at baseline, 6-, 12-, and 18-month follow-up. The primary outcome is the change from baseline to 18 months in a global composite score combining several neuropsychological domains. Secondary outcomes include: cognitive change in each neuropsychological test, incident dementia, changes in blood and dementia-related biomarkers, changes in geriatric assessment including activities of daily living, frailty status and neuroimaging, and number of medications taken.

Conclusions

This trial that enlist the support of private enterprises will lead to the creation of new services for dementia prevention as well as to verify the effectiveness of multi-domain interventions for dementia prevention.

Electronic Supplementary Material

Supplementary material is available for this article at 10.14283/jpad.2021.29 and is accessible for authorized users.

Combined evaluation of right ventricular function using echocardiography in non-ischaemic dilated cardiomyopathy

Aims

Although comprehensive assessment of right ventricular (RV) function using multiple echocardiographic parameters is recommended for management of patients with non‐ischaemic dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM), it is unclear which RV parameters to combine. Additionally, normalization of RV parameters by estimated pulmonary artery systolic pressure (PASP), in consideration of RV–pulmonary artery coupling, may be clinically significant. The aim of our study was to elucidate the best combination of echocardiographic RV functional parameters, with or without indexing for PASP, to predict outcome in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction secondary to DCM.

Methods and results

We retrospectively analysed 109 DCM patients with left ventricular ejection fraction <40%. RV size was assessed by RV end‐diastolic area (RVEDA) and RV end‐systolic area (RVESA) from RV‐focused apical four‐chamber view. RV function was assessed by fractional area change (FAC) and tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) and by RV longitudinal strain (RVLS) using two‐dimensional speckle‐tracking echocardiography. All functional parameters were also indexed for estimated PASP. Cox analyses were used to evaluate the association of RV morphology and functional parameters with 1 year outcome (composite of left ventricular assist device implantation and all‐cause death). Area under the curve was used to compare prognostic values. Mean age was 44 ± 14 years, and 76 (69.7%) were men. Mean left ventricular ejection fraction was 21.9%, median RVEDA was 22.1 cm², FAC was 27.0%, TAPSE was 15.0 mm, and RVLS was −12.5%. Forty‐one (37.6%) patients experienced the primary outcome. Multivariate Cox analysis revealed that RVEDA, RVESA, FAC, TAPSE, RVLS, FAC/PASP, and RVLS/PASP were independent predictors for primary outcome (all P < 0.05). However, normalization with PASP did not improve area under the curve for any RV functional parameters. When we evaluate hazard ratios according to the combination of two echocardiographic parameters of RV function, patients with impairment of both FAC (<27%) and RVLS (>−8.6%) had significantly higher hazard ratio than those with either impairment alone (11.3 vs. 3.4, P < 0.001); the other combinations did not improve prognostic value.

Conclusions

Normalizing echocardiographic RV parameters for PASP did not improve the prognostic values for our population. Meanwhile, combined evaluation of FAC and RVLS improved risk stratification in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction secondary to DCM.

Relationship Between Official Twitter Ambassadors and the Number of Retweets in the Annual Congress - "Tweet the Meeting"

Background: The relationship between Twitter ambassadors and retweets has not been fully evaluated for “tweet the meeting” activity.

Methods and Results: We collected data on the number of tweets and retweets during the Japanese Circulation Society’s (JCS) annual meetings in 2019, 2020, and 2021. After adjustment, JCS Twitter Ambassadors, selected by the JCS to increase the meeting’s visibility, increased the total number of retweets by 9%.

Conclusions: This is the first report on the numerical relationship between JCS Twitter Ambassadors and the total number of retweets during an annual congress. Original tweets by JCS Twitter Ambassadors increased the number of retweets, but retweets by influencers were more effective at stimulating social media engagement.