Not enough known about fenofibrate's kidney effects in people with Type 2 diabetes

Globally ≈10% of adults have diabetes, with 80% in disadvantaged regions, hence low-cost renoprotective agents are desirable. Fenofibrate demonstrated microvascular benefits in several cardiovascular end-point diabetes trials, but knowledge of effects in late-stage kidney disease is limited. We report new FIELD substudy data and call for further kidney outcomes data.

Serum vitamin B12, distal symmetrical polyneuropathy and anaemia in type 2 diabetes: the Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase 2

BACKGROUND

There are limited data relating to the effects of metformin-associated vitamin B12 deficiency on the risk of distal symmetrical polyneuropathy (DSPN) and megaloblastic anaemia in well-characterised community-based cohorts.

AIMS

To assess inter-relationships between metformin therapy, vitamin B12 deficiency assessed using serum active B12 concentrations, and DSPN and anaemia in 1492 Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase 2 (FDS2) participants with type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

Prevalence rates of vitamin B12 deficiency (total <80 pmol/L, active <23 pmol/L) and borderline deficiency (total ≥80 and ≤200 pmol/L, active ≥23 and ≤35 pmol/L) were determined using baseline sera. The relationship between vitamin B12 status and both DSPN and anaemia was assessed using multivariable analyses.

RESULTS

Most FDS2 participants (94.4%) were vitamin B12 replete (total serum concentration >200 pmol/L, active >35 pmol/L), 2.0% were deficient (total <80 pmol/L, active <23 pmol/L) and the remainder (3.6%) borderline. Although metformin treatment increased the odds of deficiency (4.2%, 3.1% borderline) in a dose-dependent fashion (odds ratio (95% confidence interval) 39.4 (4.90-316) for >2000 mg daily compared with no treatment; P < 0.001), there was no significant association between vitamin B12 status and DSPN, anaemia (haemoglobin ≤130 g/L males, ≤120 g/L females), haemoglobin concentration or mean corpuscular volume (P ≥ 0.147). Metformin increased the likelihood of anaemia, especially at high doses, independent of vitamin B12 deficiency.

CONCLUSIONS

Since nutritional sources likely attenuate metformin-associated vitamin B12 malabsorption and its clinical sequelae in developed countries such as Australia, there is no need for routine/opportunistic serum vitamin B12 screening in metformin-treated patients.

Prevalence and prognostic significance of cardiac autonomic neuropathy in community-based people with type 2 diabetes: the Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase II

BACKGROUND

There is a paucity of contemporary data on the prevalence and prognostic significance of cardiac autonomic neuropathy (CAN) from community-based cohorts with type 2 diabetes assessed using gold standard methods. The aim of this study was to assess these aspects of CAN in the longitudinal observational Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase II (FDS2).

METHODS

FDS2 participants were screened at baseline using standardised cardiovascular reflex tests (CARTs) of heart rate variation during deep breathing, Valsalva manoeuvre and standing. CAN (no/possible/definite) was assessed from the number of abnormal CARTs. Multinomial regression identified independent associates of CAN status. Cox proportional hazards modelling determined independent baseline predictors of incident heart failure (HF) and ischaemic heart disease (IHD), and all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

Of 1254 participants assessed for CAN, 86 (6.9%) were outside CART age reference ranges and valid CART data were unavailable for 338 (27.0%). Of the remaining 830 (mean age 62.3 years, 55.3% males, median diabetes duration 7.3 years), 51.0%, 33.7% and 15.3% had no, possible or definite CAN, respectively. Independent associates of definite CAN (longer diabetes duration, higher body mass index and resting pulse rate, antidepressant and antihypertensive therapies, albuminuria, distal sensory polyneuropathy, prior HF) were consistent with those reported previously. In Kaplan-Meier analysis, definite CAN was associated with a lower likelihood of incident IHD and HF versus no/possible CAN (P < 0.001) and there was a graded increase in all-cause mortality risk from no CAN to possible and definite CAN (P < 0.001). When CAN category was added to the most parsimonious models, it was not a significant independent predictor of IHD (P ≥ 0.851) or HF (P ≥ 0.342). Possible CAN (hazard ratio (95% CI) 1.47 (1.01, 2.14), P = 0.046) and definite CAN (2.42 (1.60, 3.67), P < 0.001) increased the risk of all-cause mortality versus no CAN.

CONCLUSIONS

Routine screening for CAN in type 2 diabetes has limited clinical but some prognostic value.

Use of a type 1 genetic risk score for classification of diabetes type in young Australian adults: the Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase II

The applicability of a UK-validated genetic risk score (GRS) was assessed in 158 participants in the Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase II diagnosed between 20 and <40 years of age with type 1 or type 2 diabetes or latent autoimmune diabetes of adults (LADA). For type 1 versus type 2/LADA, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was highest for serum C-peptide (0.93) and lowest for the GRS (0.66). Adding age at diagnosis and body mass index to C-peptide increased the AUC minimally (0.96). The GRS appears of modest diabetes diagnostic value in young Australians.

Pulmonary Function Trajectories Over 6 Years and Their Determinants in Type 2 Diabetes: The Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase II

OBJECTIVE

To assess whether there are clusters of people with type 2 diabetes with distinct temporal profiles of lung function changes and characteristics.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Group-based trajectory modeling (GBTM) identified groups of participants with type 2 diabetes from the community-based observational Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase II (FDS2) who had at least two biennial measurements of forced expiratory volume in 1 s as a percentage of predicted (FEV1%pred) over 6 years. Independent associates of group membership were assessed using multinomial regression.

RESULTS

Of 1,482 potential FDS2 participants, 1,074 (72.5%; mean age, 65.2 years; 45.5% female; median diabetes duration, 8.0 years) were included in the modeling. The best fitting GBTM model identified four groups categorized by FEV1%pred trajectory: high (19.5%; baseline FEV1%pred, 106.5 ± 9.5%; slope 0%/year), medium (47.7%; FEV1%pred, 87.3 ± 8.7%; slope, -0.32%/year), low (25.0%; baseline FEV1%pred, 68.9 ± 9.8%; slope, -0.72%/year), and very low (7.9%; baseline FEV1%pred, 48.8 ± 9.6%; slope, -0.68%/year). Compared with the high group, the other groups were characterized by nonmodifiable and modifiable risk factors associated with lung function decline in the general population (including ethnicity, marital status, smoking, obesity, coronary heart disease, and chronic respiratory disease). The main, diabetes-specific, significant predictor of group membership was a higher HbA1c in the very low group. There was a graded increase in mortality from 6.7% in the high group to 22.4% in the very low group.

CONCLUSIONS

Measurement of lung function in type 2 diabetes could help optimize clinical management and improve prognosis, including addressing glycemic control in those with a very low FEV1%pred.

Temporal Trends in Distal Symmetric Polyneuropathy in Type 2 Diabetes: The Fremantle Diabetes Study

CONTEXT

Macrovascular outcomes in type 2 diabetes have improved over recent decades. There are scant equivalent distal symmetric polyneuropathy (DSPN) data.

OBJECTIVE

This work aimed to characterize temporal changes in DSPN prevalence and incidence rates (IRs) in community-based Australians.

METHODS

An observational study was conducted among an urban population. Participants included individuals with type 2 diabetes from the Fremantle Diabetes Study phases I (FDS1; n = 1296 recruited 1993-1996) and II (FDS2; n = 1509 recruited 2008-2011). Main outcome measures included Michigan Neuropathy Screening Instrument (MNSI) clinical grading.

RESULTS

DSPN prevalence by 8-point MNSI was 30.8% (FDS1) and 58.9% (FDS2; P < .001), and by 6-point (excluding foot appearance) and 2-point (biothesiometry alone) MNSI was 37.5% and 35.7% (P = .336), and 33.8% and 38.7% (P = .011), respectively. Given between-phase changes in appearance assessment, 8-point MNSI data were not analyzed further. In multivariable analysis, FDS2 vs FDS1 participation was associated with 6-point (odds ratio (95% CI) 0.68 (0.56-0.83); P < .001) but not 2-point (0.90 (0.74-1.11); P = .326) MNSI DSPN prevalence. Four-year DSPN IRs (95% CI) for 6-point MNSI were 13.6 (12.0-15.4) and 17.6 (15.9-19.4)/100 person-years in FDS1 and FDS2, respectively (IR ratio [IRR] 1.31 [1.12-1.55]; P < .001), and for 2-point MNSI were 13.9 (12.3-15.8) and 7.4 (16.3-8.6/100 person-years; IRR 0.53 [0.43-0.64]; P < .001). FDS2 vs FDS1 independently predicted incident DSPN for 6-point (hazard ratio [95% CI] 1.25 [1.06-1.48]; P = .009) and 2-point (0.42 [0.33-0.55]; P < .001) MNSI.

CONCLUSION

DSPN prevalence was lower or equivalent in FDS2 vs FDS1, and its incidence was greater or lower, in multivariable models depending on the MNSI features used.

The relationship between glycated haemoglobin and blood glucose-lowering treatment trajectories in type 2 diabetes: The Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase II

AIMS

To examine the relationships between glycaemia and treatment complexity over 6 years in well-characterized community-based people with type 2 diabetes.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase II participants who had type 2 diabetes with glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) and blood glucose-lowering therapy (BGLT) data over 6 years were included. Group-based multi-trajectory modelling identified combined HbA1c/BGLT trajectory subgroups for diabetes durations of ≤1.0 year (Group 1; n = 160), >1.0 to 10.0 years (Group 2; n = 382;) and >10.0 years (Group 3; n = 357). Multinomial regression was used to identify baseline associates of subgroup membership.

RESULTS

The optimum numbers of trajectory subgroups were three in Group 1 (low, medium, high) and four in Groups 2 and 3 (low, low/high medium, high). Each low trajectory subgroup maintained a mean HbA1c concentration of <53 mmol/mol (<7.0%) on lifestyle measures, or monotherapy (Group 3). All five medium subgroups had stable HbA1c trajectories at <58 mmol/mol (<7.5%) but required increasing oral BGLT, or insulin (Group 3, high medium). The Group 1 high subgroup showed a falling then increasing HbA1c with steady progression to insulin. The high subgroups in Groups 2 and 3 showed stable HbA1c profiles at means of approximately 64 mmol/mol (8.0%) and 86 mmol/L (10.0%), respectively, on insulin. Non-Anglo Celt ethnicity, central obesity and hypertriglyceridaemia were strongly associated with Group 1 high subgroup membership. Younger age at diagnosis and central obesity were independent associates of the most adverse HbA1c trajectories in Groups 2 and 3.

CONCLUSIONS

These data demonstrate diabetes duration-dependent heterogeneity in glycaemic and treatment profiles and related clinical and laboratory variables, which have implications for management.

The Clinical Relevance of Diabetes Distress versus Major Depression in Type 2 Diabetes: A Latent Class Analysis from the Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase II

BACKGROUND

The nosological position and clinical relevance of the concept of diabetes distress (DD) are uncertain. The aim of this study was to use latent class analysis (LCA) to categorise classes of people with type 2 diabetes and to compare their characteristics.

METHODS

Data from 662 participants in the longitudinal observational Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase II were analysed. LCA identified latent subgroups based on individual responses to the Patient Health Questionnaire-9, the Generalised Anxiety Disorder Scale, and the 5-item Problem Areas in Diabetes Scale.

RESULTS

Four classes were identified: Class 1 (65.7%, no symptoms), Class 2 (14.0%, DD), Class 3 (12.6%, subsyndromal depression (SSD)), and Class 4 (7.6%, major depression (MD)). Multinomial regression analysis with Class 1 as reference showed significant associations between the DD class and Southern European and Asian ethnic background, HbA1c, and BMI. The SSD class was significantly associated with HbA1c, cerebrovascular disease, and coronary heart disease (CHD). The MD class had significant associations with age (inversely), Southern European ethnic background, HbA1c, BMI, and CHD. In conclusion, LCA identified a pure DD group comprising 14.0% of participants. The only variable uniquely associated with the DD class was Asian ethnic background.

CONCLUSION

Although identification of DD may have some utility in assessing the psychological wellbeing of individuals with type 2 diabetes, it adds little to the assessment of depressive disorder and its significant clinical sequalae.

The Relationship between Pulmonary Artery Pressure and Mortality in Type 2 Diabetes: A Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase II and National Echocardiographic Database of Australia Data Linkage Study

An elevated estimated right ventricular systolic pressure (eRVSP) identified on echocardiography is present in one-third of individuals with type 2 diabetes, but its prognostic significance is unknown. To assess the relationship between eRVSP and mortality, prospective data from 1732 participants in the Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase II were linked with the National Echocardiographic Database of Australia. Of this cohort, 416 (mean age 70.6 years, 47.4% males) had an eRVSP measured and 381 (91.4%) had previously confirmed type 2 diabetes. Receiver- operating characteristic analysis of the relationship between eRVSP and all-cause mortality was conducted. Survival analyses were performed for participants with type 2 diabetes diagnosed before first measured eRVSP (n = 349). Cox regression identified clinical and echocardiographic associates of all-cause mortality. There were 141 deaths (40.4%) during 2348 person-years (mean ± SD 6.7 ± 4.0 years) of follow-up. In unadjusted Kaplan-Meier analysis, mortality rose with higher eRVSP (log-rank test, p < 0.001). In unadjusted pairwise comparisons, eRVSP >30 to 35, >35 to 40, and >40 mmHg had significantly increased mortality compared with eRVSP ≤ 30 mmHg (p = 0.025, p = 0.001, p < 0.001, respectively). There were 50 deaths in 173 individuals (29.1%) with eRVSP ≤ 30 mmHg, and 91 in 177 (51.4%) with eRVSP > 30 mmHg (log-rank test, p < 0.001). In adjusted models including age, Aboriginal descent, Charlson Comorbidity Index ≥ 3 and left heart disease, eRVSP > 30 mmHg predicted a two-fold higher all-cause mortality versus ≤ 30 mmHg. An eRVSP > 30 mmHg predicts increased all-cause mortality in type 2 diabetes. Where available, eRVSP could inform type 2 diabetes outcome models.

Antibody to Plasmodium falciparum Variant Surface Antigens, var Gene Transcription, and ABO Blood Group in Children With Severe or Uncomplicated Malaria

BACKGROUND

Antibodies to variant surface antigens (VSAs) such as Plasmodium falciparum erythrocyte membrane protein 1 (PfEMP1) may vary with malaria severity. The influence of ABO blood group on antibody development is not understood.

METHODS

Immunoglobulin G antibodies to VSAs in Papua New Guinean children with severe (n = 41) or uncomplicated (n = 30) malaria were measured by flow cytometry using homologous P falciparum isolates. Isolates were incubated with ABO-matched homologous and heterologous acute and convalescent plasma. RNA was used to assess var gene transcription.

RESULTS

Antibodies to homologous, but not heterologous, isolates were boosted in convalescence. The relationship between antibody and severity varied by blood group. Antibodies to VSAs were similar in severe and uncomplicated malaria at presentation, higher in severe than uncomplicated malaria in convalescence, and higher in children with blood group O than other children. Six var gene transcripts best distinguished severe from uncomplicated malaria, including UpsA and 2 CIDRα1 domains.

CONCLUSIONS

ABO blood group may influence antibody acquisition to VSAs and susceptibility to severe malaria. Children in Papua New Guinea showed little evidence of acquisition of cross-reactive antibodies following malaria. Var gene transcripts in Papua New Guinean children with severe malaria were similar to those reported from Africa.

Cardiovascular disease management in Australian adults with type 2 diabetes: insights from the CAPTURE study

BACKGROUND

Type 2 diabetes (T2D) is a well-recognised cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factor, and recent guidelines for the management of T2D include consideration of CVD risk.

AIM

To assess whether contemporary clinical management of Australians with T2D is in accord with recent national and international guidelines.

METHODS

This Australia-specific analysis of the CAPTURE study, a non-interventional, cross-sectional study included adults diagnosed with T2D ≥180 days prior to providing informed consent and visiting primary or specialist care. Main outcome measures were the use of blood glucose-lowering medications (BGLMs), BGLMs with proven cardiovascular benefits and other CVD medications, stratified by CVD status and care setting.

RESULTS

Of 824 Australian participants in the CAPTURE sample, 332 (40.3%) had CVD. Oral BGLMs were used by 83.9% of all participants, most commonly metformin (76.0%), dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (28.8%), sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2is; 21.8%) and sulfonylureas (21.7%). Insulin was used by 29.2% of participants. BGLMs with proven CV benefit were used by 22.6%; glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs) were less commonly used than SGLT2is in all CVD groups, but these drug classes were more often prescribed in specialist than primary care (SGLT2is 25.4 vs 20.7%, GLP-1 RAs 3.2 vs 0.8% respectively). Use of non-BGLMs for CVD risk reduction appeared consistent with guidelines.

CONCLUSIONS

Use of BGLMs with CVD benefits appears low in Australia, irrespective of CVD status. This likely reflects the delay in translation of clinical evidence into contemporary care and prescribing restrictions.

Serum bicarbonate concentration and the risk of death in type 2 diabetes: the Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase II

AIMS

To examine whether all-cause mortality is independently associated with serum bicarbonate concentration below the laboratory reference interval in a representative, well-characterised community-based cohort of people with type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

1478 FDS2 participants with type 2 diabetes (mean age 65.8 years, 51.6% males, median diabetes duration 9.0 years) from the longitudinal, observational Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase II (FDS2) were followed from study entry to death or end-2016. Independent associates of a low baseline serum bicarbonate (< 22 mmol/L) were determined using multiple logistic regression. The role of important covariates in influencing the association between bicarbonate and mortality was assessed by a stepwise Cox regression approach.

RESULTS

A low serum bicarbonate was associated with increased all-cause mortality in unadjusted analysis (hazard ratio (HR) 1.90 (95% confidence limits (CL) 1.39, 2.60 per mmol/L). Mortality remained significantly associated with low serum bicarbonate (HR 1.40 (95% CL 1.01, 1.94) per mmol/L) in a Cox regression model with adjustment for factors associated with mortality but not low serum bicarbonate, but inclusion of estimated glomerular filtration rate categories rendered the association non-significant (HR 1.16 (95% CL 0.83, 1.63) per mmol/L).

CONCLUSIONS

A low serum bicarbonate is not an independent prognostic marker in people with type 2 diabetes but it may be a manifestation of the pathway between the development of impaired renal function and death.

Temporal trends in chronic complications of diabetes by sex in community-based people with type 2 diabetes: the Fremantle Diabetes Study

BACKGROUND

Whether recent reductions in cardiovascular disease (CVD) events and mortality in type 2 diabetes apply equally to both sexes is largely unknown. The aim of this study was to characterize temporal changes in CVD events and related outcomes in community-based male and female Australian adults with type 2 diabetes or without known diabetes.

METHODS

Participants from the longitudinal observational Fremantle Diabetes Study Phases I (FDS1; n = 1291 recruited 1993-1996) and II (FDS2; n = 1509 recruited 2008-2011) and four age-, sex- and postcode-matched individuals without diabetes (FDS1 n = 5159; FDS2 n = 6036) were followed for first myocardial infarction, stroke, heart failure hospitalization, lower extremity amputation, CVD death and all-cause mortality. Five-year incidence rates (IRs) for males versus females in FDS1 and FDS2 were calculated, and IR ratios (IRRs) derived.

RESULTS

The FD1 and FDS2 participants were of mean age 64.0 and 65.4 years, respectively, and 48.7% and 51.8% were males. For type 2 diabetes, IRRs for all endpoints were 11-62% lower in FDS2 than FDS1 for both sexes. For participants without diabetes, IRRs were 8-56% lower in FDS2 versus FDS1 apart from stroke in females (non-significantly 41% higher). IRRs for males versus females across FDS phases were not significantly different for participants with type 2 diabetes or those without diabetes (P-values for male * FDS2 interaction ≥ 0.0.083 adjusted for age). For risk factors in participants with type 2 diabetes, greater improvements between FDS1 and FDS2 in smoking rates in males were offset by a greater reduction in systolic blood pressure in females.

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of chronic complications in Australians with type 2 diabetes and without diabetes has fallen similarly in both sexes over recent decades, consistent with comparably improved overall CVD risk factor management.

Short-course, high-dose primaquine regimens for the treatment of liver-stage vivax malaria in children

OBJECTIVES

To assess the pharmacokinetics, safety, and tolerability of two high-dose, short-course primaquine (PQ) regimens compared with standard care in children with Plasmodium vivax infections.

METHODS

We performed an open-label pediatric dose-escalation study in Madang, Papua New Guinea (Clinicaltrials.gov NCT02364583). Children aged 5-10 years with confirmed blood-stage vivax malaria and normal glucose-6-phosphate dehydrogenase activity were allocated to one of three PQ treatment regimens in a stepwise design (group A: 0.5 mg/kg once daily for 14 days, group B: 1 mg/kg once daily for 7 days, and group C: 1 mg/kg twice daily for 3.5-days). The study assessments were completed at each treatment time point and fortnightly for 2 months after PQ administration.

RESULTS

Between August 2013 and May 2018, 707 children were screened and 73 met the eligibility criteria (15, 40, and 16 allocated to groups A, B, and C, respectively). All children completed the study procedures. The three regimens were safe and generally well tolerated. The pharmacokinetic analysis indicated that an additional weight adjustment of the conventionally recommended milligram per kilogram PQ doses is not necessary to ensure the therapeutic plasma concentrations in pediatric patients.

CONCLUSIONS

A novel, ultra-short 3.5-day PQ regimen has potential benefits for improving the treatment outcomes in children with vivax malaria that warrants further investigation in a large-scale clinical trial.

Group-Based Trajectory Modelling of Changes in Mobility over Six Years in Type 2 Diabetes: The Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase II

To investigate temporal changes in mobility in community-based people with type 2 diabetes, Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase II (FDS2) data were analysed. The baseline assessment included the Timed Up and Go (TUG) test, which was repeated biennially for up to six years. Group-based trajectory modelling (GBTM) identified TUG trajectory groups in participants with ≥2 tests. Independent associates of group membership were assessed using multinomial regression. Of 1551 potential FDS2 participants, 1116 (72.0%; age 64.9 ± 11.0 years, 45.6% female) were included in the modelling. The best-fitting GBTM model identified two groups with linear, minimally changing trajectories (76.2% and 19.4% of participants; baseline TUG times 8 ± 2 and 12 ± 3 s, respectively), and a third (4.5%; baseline TUG 17 ± 5 s) with a TUG that increased over time then fell at Year 6, reflecting participant attrition. Both slower groups were older, more likely to be female, obese, and had greater diabetes-associated complications and comorbidities. Almost one-quarter of the FDS2 cohort had clinically relevant mobility impairment that persisted or worsened over six years, was multifactorial in origin, and was associated with excess late withdrawals and deaths. The TUG may have important clinical utility in assessing mobility and its consequences in adults with type 2 diabetes.

Comparative mortality and its determinants in community-based people with type 1 diabetes: the Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase I

INTRODUCTION

The aim of this study was to compare mortality in community-based Australians with type 1 diabetes (T1D), without diabetes, or with type 2 diabetes (T2D).

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

The longitudinal observational Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase I (FDS1) T1D cohort, matched people without diabetes from the FDS1 catchment area, and matched FDS1 participants with T2D were followed up from entry (1993-1996) to death/end-2017. Mortality rates (MRs) and mortality rate ratios (MRRs) were calculated. Cox regression models identified independent determinants of death.

RESULTS

Of 121 participants with T1D and 484 age/sex/postcode-matched people without diabetes (pooled mean±SD age 43.1±15.3 years, 59.2% men), 55 (45.5%, MR 25.7 (95% CI 19.4 to 33.5)/1000 person-years) and 88 (18.2%, MR 8.5 (95% CI 6.8 to 10.4)/1000 person-years), respectively, died during 12 541 person-years of follow-up (MRR 3.04 (95% CI 2.13 to 4.31), p<0.001). Among participants with T1D, diagnosis at age 18-27 years and baseline HbA_1c, urinary albumin:creatinine ratio, and retinopathy were independent predictors of death (p≤0.011). Twenty-five FDS1 participants died from cardiovascular disease (MR 11.7 (95% CI 7.6 to 17.3)/1000 person-years) vs 28 residents without diabetes (MR 2.7 (95% CI 1.8 to 3.9)/1000 person-years; MRR (95% CI) 4.34 (2.43, 7.73) (p<0.001). There were 93 FDS1 participants with T1D who were age/sex matched with an FDS1 participant with T2D and 53 (57.0%) and 37 (39.8%), respectively, died (p=0.027). In pooled Cox regression analysis, T1D was not a determinant of mortality (HR 1.18 (95% CI 0.71 to 1.97), p=0.523).

CONCLUSIONS

T1D substantially increases the risk of death, especially when diagnosed in late adolescence/young adulthood. Diabetes type does not influence mortality after adjustment for key confounding variables.

Variability in white blood cell count during uncomplicated malaria and implications for parasite density estimation: a WorldWide Antimalarial Resistance Network individual patient data meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The World Health Organization (WHO) recommends that when peripheral malarial parasitaemia is quantified by thick film microscopy, an actual white blood cell (WBC) count from a concurrently collected blood sample is used in calculations. However, in resource-limited settings an assumed WBC count is often used instead. The aim of this study was to describe the variability in WBC count during acute uncomplicated malaria, and estimate the impact of using an assumed value of WBC on estimates of parasite density and clearance.

METHODS

Uncomplicated malaria drug efficacy studies that measured WBC count were selected from the WorldWide Antimalarial Resistance Network data repository for an individual patient data meta-analysis of WBC counts. Regression models with random intercepts for study-site were used to assess WBC count variability at presentation and during follow-up. Inflation factors for parasitaemia density, and clearance estimates were calculated for methods using assumed WBC counts (8000 cells/µL and age-stratified values) using estimates derived from the measured WBC value as reference.

RESULTS

Eighty-four studies enrolling 27,656 patients with clinically uncomplicated malaria were included. Geometric mean WBC counts (× 1000 cells/µL) in age groups < 1, 1-4, 5-14 and ≥ 15 years were 10.5, 8.3, 7.1, 5.7 and 7.5, 7.0, 6.5, 6.0 for individuals with falciparum (n = 24,978) and vivax (n = 2678) malaria, respectively. At presentation, higher WBC counts were seen among patients with higher parasitaemia, severe anaemia and, for individuals with vivax malaria, in regions with shorter regional relapse periodicity. Among falciparum malaria patients, using an assumed WBC count of 8000 cells/µL resulted in parasite density underestimation by a median (IQR) of 26% (4-41%) in infants < 1 year old but an overestimation by 50% (16-91%) in adults aged ≥ 15 years. Use of age-stratified assumed WBC values removed systematic bias but did not improve precision of parasitaemia estimation. Imprecision of parasite clearance estimates was only affected by the within-patient WBC variability over time, and remained < 10% for 79% of patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Using an assumed WBC value for parasite density estimation from a thick smear may lead to underdiagnosis of hyperparasitaemia and could adversely affect clinical management; but does not result in clinically consequential inaccuracies in the estimation of the prevalence of prolonged parasite clearance and artemisinin resistance.

Canagliflozin Attenuates PromarkerD Diabetic Kidney Disease Risk Prediction Scores

PromarkerD is a biomarker-based blood test that predicts kidney function decline in people with type 2 diabetes (T2D) who may otherwise be missed by current standard of care tests. This study examined the association between canagliflozin and change in PromarkerD score (Δ score) over a three-year period in T2D participants in the CANagliflozin cardioVascular Assessment Study (CANVAS). PromarkerD scores were measured at baseline and Year 3 in 2008 participants with preserved kidney function (baseline eGFR ≥60 mL/min/1.73 m²). Generalized estimating equations were used to assess the effect of canagliflozin versus placebo on PromarkerD scores. At baseline, the participants (mean age 62 years, 32% females) had a median PromarkerD score of 3.9%, with 67% of participants categorized as low risk, 14% as moderate risk, and 19% as high risk for kidney function decline. After accounting for the known acute drop in eGFR following canagliflozin initiation, there was a significant treatment-by-time interaction (p < 0.001), whereby participants on canagliflozin had decreased mean PromarkerD scores from baseline to Year 3 (Δ score: -1.0% [95% CI: -1.9%, -0.1%]; p = 0.039), while the scores of those on placebo increased over the three-year period (Δ score: 6.4% [4.9%, 7.8%]; p < 0.001). When stratified into PromarkerD risk categories, participants with high risk scores at baseline who were randomized to canagliflozin had significantly lower scores at Year 3 (Δ score: -5.6% [-8.6%, -2.5%]; p < 0.001), while those on placebo retained high scores (Δ score: 4.5% [0.3%, 8.8%]; p = 0.035). This post hoc analysis of data from CANVAS showed that canagliflozin significantly lowered PromarkerD risk scores, with the effect greatest in those T2D participants who were classified at study entry as at high risk of a subsequent decline in kidney function.

Retinopathy prevalence, incidence and trajectories in type 2 diabetes: The Fremantle diabetes study phase II

AIMS

To determine diabetic retinopathy (DR) prevalence, incidence, and whether distinct trajectories are associated with DR-complicating Type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

Retinal photographs from Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase II (FDS2) participants with Type 2 diabetes recruited in 2008-2011 and who attended biennial assessments for up to 6 years were graded as no DR, mild non-proliferative DR (NPDR), moderate NPDR or severe NPDR/proliferative DR. Baseline DR prevalence, and the cumulative incidence of moderate NPDR or worse in those without DR at baseline, were calculated. Group-based DR trajectory modelling was performed. Logistic regression determined independent associates of incident moderate NPDR or worse and trajectory group membership.

RESULTS

Of 1521 participants (mean age 65.6 years, 52.1% males, median diabetes duration 9.0 years; 98% of all FDS2 participants with Type 2 diabetes) with gradable baseline photographs, 563 (37.0%) had DR. During a median 6.1 years of follow-up, 23 (3.2%) without baseline DR developed at least moderate NPDR (crude incidence 6.1/1000 person-years) with HbA1c the sole independent predictor (odds ratio [95% CI]: 1.62 [1.30-2.02] per 1% [11 mmol/mol] increase). Trajectory analysis showed two distinct groups, those with baseline/persistent DR (20%) and those remaining DR free (80%). Longer diabetes duration, insulin use, higher mean HbA1c , higher mean systolic blood pressure and higher mean urinary albumin: creatinine ratio all increased the odds (p ≤ 0.014) of being in the persistent DR trajectory group.

CONCLUSIONS

The low incidence of at least moderate NPDR reflects the trajectory analysis. The currently recommended biennial retinal screening frequency for individuals without DR could potentially be extended.

Ultra-short course, high-dose primaquine to prevent Plasmodium vivax infection following uncomplicated paediatric malaria: a randomised, open-label, non-inferiority trial of early versus delayed treatment

BACKGROUND

We aimed to assess safety, tolerability, and P. vivax relapse rates of ultra-short-course (3·5 days), high-dose (1 mg/kg twice daily) primaquine for uncomplicated malaria due to any Plasmodium species in children randomised to early- or delayed treatment.

METHODS

Children aged 0.5 to 12 years with normal glucose-6-phosphate-dehydrogenase activity were enrolled. After artemether-lumefantrine treatment, children were randomized to receive primaquine immediately after (early) or 21 days later (delayed). Primary and secondary endpoints were appearance of any P. vivax parasitaemia within 42 or 84 days, respectively. A non-inferiority margin of 15% was applied. (ACTRN12620000855921).

FINDINGS

219 children were recruited, 70% with P. falciparum and 24% with P. vivax. Abdominal pain (3·7% vs 20·9%, P<0·0001) and vomiting (0·9% vs 9·1%, P=0·01) were more common in the early group. At day 42, P. vivax parasitaemia was observed in 14 (13·2%) and 8 (7·8%) in the early and delayed groups, respectively (difference, -5·4%; 95% CI -13·7 to 2·8). At day 84, P. vivax parasitaemia was observed in 36 (34·3%) and 17 (17·5%; difference -16·8%, -28·6 to -6·1).

INTERPRETATION

Ultra-short, high-dose primaquine was safe and tolerated without severe adverse events. Early treatment was non-inferior to delayed treatment in preventing P. vivax infection at day 42.

Temporal Trends in Mortality Associated with Comorbid Type 2 Diabetes and Schizophrenia: The Fremantle Diabetes Study

BACKGROUND

In Phase I of the community-based Fremantle Diabetes Study (FDS1), there was evidence of a deleterious interactive effect of schizophrenia and type 2 diabetes on mortality. Our aim was to investigate whether the mortality gap had improved in FDS Phase II (FDS2) conducted 15 years later.

METHODS

Participants with type 2 diabetes from FDS1 (n = 1291 recruited 1993-1996) and FDS2 (n = 1509 recruited 2008-2011) were age-, sex- and postcode-matched 1:4 to people without diabetes. Schizophrenia at entry and incident deaths were ascertained from validated administrative data.

RESULTS

Schizophrenia affected 50/11,195 (0.45%) of participants without diabetes and 17/2800 (0.61%) of those with type 2 diabetes (p = 0.284). During 142,304 person-years of follow-up, the mortality rate (95% CI) was lowest for the FDS2 subgroup without diabetes/schizophrenia (18.2 (16.9, 19.6)/1000 person-years) and highest in FDS2 and FDS1 subgroups with type 2 diabetes/schizophrenia (53.3 (14.5, 136.6) and 98.0 (31.8, 228.8)/1000 person-years, respectively). Compared to the respective FDS subgroup without diabetes/schizophrenia, the mortality rate ratio was approximately 50% higher in the type 2 diabetes subgroup, and three times higher in those with type 2 diabetes/schizophrenia. In Cox regression, unadjusted hazard ratios were highest in those with type 2 diabetes/schizophrenia in FDS1 (HR (95% CI): 3.71 (1.54, 8.93) and FDS2 (2.96 (1.11, 7.91)), increasing to 5.61 (2.33, 13.5) and 26.9 (9.94, 72.6), respectively, after adjustment for age.

CONCLUSIONS

Although limited by small numbers of schizophrenia cases, these data suggest that comorbid type 2 diabetes and schizophrenia remains associated with a substantial and possibly increasing mortality gap.

The relationship between thyroid dysfunction, cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in type 2 diabetes: The Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase II

AIMS

It is uncertain whether subclinical thyroid dysfunction is associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD) events and mortality in people with type 2 diabetes. The aim of this study was to determine whether undetected thyroid disease increases the risk of incident CVD and death in type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

One thousand two hundred fifty participants with type 2 diabetes (mean age 65.3 years, 56.5% males, median diabetes duration 8.0 years) without known thyroid disease and not taking medications known to affect thyroid function were categorised, based on baseline serum free thyroxine (FT4) and thyrotropin (TSH) concentrations, as euthyroid, overt hypothyroid (increased TSH, low FT4), subclinical hypothyroid (increased TSH, normal FT4), overt thyrotoxic (decreased TSH, raised FT4) or subclinical thyrotoxic (decreased TSH, normal FT4). Incident myocardial infarction, incident stroke, all-cause and cardiovascular mortality were ascertained during a mean 6.2-6.7 years of follow-up.

RESULTS

Most participants with newly-detected thyroid dysfunction had subclinical hypothyroidism (77.2%) while overt/subclinical thyrotoxicosis was infrequent. Compared to participants with TSH 0.34-2.9 mU/L, those with TSH > 5.1 mU/L were not at increased risk of incident myocardial infarction (adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence limits) 1.77 (0.71, 2.87)), incident stroke (1.66 (0.58, 4.78)), all-cause mortality (0.78 (0.44, 1.37)) or cardiovascular mortality (1.16 (0.38, 3.58)). Independent baseline associates of subclinical hypothyroidism included estimated glomerular filtration rate and systolic blood pressure.

CONCLUSIONS

Subclinical hypothyroidism was not independently associated with CVD events or mortality in community-dwelling people with type 2 diabetes despite its associations with CVD risk factors, questioning strategies to identify and/or treat mild thyroid dysfunction outside usual care.

The history and current epidemiology of malaria in Kalimantan, Indonesia

Kalimantan is a part of Indonesia, which occupies the southern three-quarters of the island of Borneo, sharing a border with the Malaysian states of Sabah and Sarawak. Although most areas of Kalimantan have low and stable transmission of Plasmodium falciparum and Plasmodium vivax, there are relatively high case numbers in the province of East Kalimantan. Two aspects of malaria endemicity in Kalimantan differentiate it from the rest of Indonesia, namely recent deforestation and potential exposure to the zoonotic malaria caused by Plasmodium knowlesi that occurs in relatively large numbers in adjacent Malaysian Borneo. In the present review, the history of malaria and its current epidemiology in Kalimantan are examined, including control and eradication efforts over the past two centuries, mosquito vector prevalence, anti-malarial use and parasite resistance, and the available data from case reports of knowlesi malaria and the presence of conditions which would support transmission of this zoonotic infection.