Status of COVID-19 Patients Treated With Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation in Japan: Nationwide Database Analysis

Background The report of epidemiological data on coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients treated using extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) in Japan has been limited. Our study seeks to fill the existing gap in knowledge by providing an in-depth analysis of the clinical epidemiological characteristics and diverse medical outcomes of COVID-19 patients treated with ECMO in Japan. Methods This study used the COVID-19 Registry Japan nationwide database. We included patients aged 18 years or older enrolled between March 17, 2020, and February 1, 2022, with traceable ECMO data. The items on clinical epidemiological characteristics and various medical outcomes were collected. Statistical analysis included a median and interquartile range (IQR) for continuous variables and frequencies for categorical variables. Results The number of participating hospitals was 731, and the number of patients enrolled for analysis was 49,590. Of these, 196 (0.4%) patients received ECMO. Hospital mortality was 33.2%, and discharge to home was 23.0% in the ECMO group. The complications during hospitalization included pneumothorax (9.7%), seizures (4.1%), stroke (4.6%), and pulmonary thromboembolism (2.0%). At discharge, 38.3% had worsened self-care ability, and 38.8% had worsened ambulatory function. Conclusions The results of ECMO treatment in Japan showed that the mortality and complication rates were well-controlled compared with those worldwide.

Ustekinumab effectiveness in Crohn's disease with lesions in the intestines

Ustekinumab is prescribed for the treatment of patients with steroid-resistant moderate to severe Crohn's disease. We investigated its clinical outcome in patients with small and large intestinal lesions. Patients who were newly administered ustekinumab between March 2014 and December 2020 at Hamamatsu University Hospital were included in the study. The primary endpoint was Crohn's disease activity index score at baseline and weeks 8, 24, and 48 after the initiation of treatment, and secondary endpoints were albumin, hemoglobin, and C-reactive protein at these time points. Ustekinumab treatment retention was examined in both groups; the 2 groups were compared using the Friedman test, Mann-Whitney U test, or Fisher exact test. Overall, Crohn's disease activity index scores improved between baseline and 48 weeks, but the difference was not significant. However, there was a significant improvement between baseline and 48 weeks in patients with lesions in the small intestine only. Overall, patients showed significant improvement in albumin levels between baseline and 48 weeks but not in C-reactive protein or hemoglobin levels. When limited to patients with lesions in the small intestine, albumin and hemoglobin levels showed significant improvement. Both types showed high rates of treatment retention, although there was no significant difference. Ustekinumab appears to be a safe and effective treatment option that may be particularly effective in patients with lesions in the small intestine only.

Urine oxygenation predicts COVID-19 risk

Since February, 2023, the omicron variant has accounted for essentially all new coronavirus infections in Japan. If future infections involve mutant strains with the same level of infectivity and virulence as omicron, the government's basic policy will be to prevent the spread of infection, without compromising socioeconomic activities. Objectives include protecting pregnant women and elderly persons, and focusing on citizens requiring hospitalization and those at risk of serious illness, without imposing new social restrictions. Although the government tries to raise public awareness through education, most people affected by COVID-19 stay at home, and by the time patients become aware of the seriousness of their disease, it has often reached moderate or higher severity. In this review, we discuss why this situation persists even though the disease seems to have become milder with the shift from the delta variant to omicron. We also propose a pathophysiological method to determine the risk of severe illness. This assessment can be made at home in the early stages of COVID-19 infection, using urine analysis. Applicability of this method to drug discovery and development is also discussed.

Real-world effectiveness of full and booster mRNA vaccination for coronavirus disease 2019 against disease severity during the delta- and omicron-dominant phases: A propensity score-matched cohort study using the nationwide registry data in Japan

BACKGROUND

To date, few studies from the Asian region have reported the effectiveness of messenger ribonucleic acid coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccines against disease progression and death after hospitalization.

METHODS

We evaluated the data from the COVID-19 registry in Japan during the delta- and omicron-dominant phases. A propensity score-matched cohort study was conducted between the incompletely (0-1 dose) and fully (2 doses) vaccinated groups during the delta-dominant phase and among the incompletely, fully, and booster (3 doses) vaccinated groups during the omicron-dominant phase.

RESULTS

In the delta-dominant phase, 411 pairs were matched. The fully vaccinated group showed a significantly lower oxygen supplementation rate (24.1 % vs. 41.1 %, p < 0.001) but little difference in the mortality rate (2.2 % vs. 2.9 %, p = 0.66). In the omicron-dominant phase, 1494 pairs from the incompletely and fully vaccinated groups, and 425 pairs from the fully and booster vaccinated groups were matched. Full vaccination reduced both the oxygen supplementation rate (18.6 % vs 25.7 %, p < 0.001) and mortality rate (0.7 % vs 2.3 %, p < 0.001). Booster vaccination showed little difference in either the rate of oxygen supplementation (21.2 % vs. 24.7 %, p = 0.25) or mortality (1.2 % vs. 2.6 %, p = 0.21) compared with full vaccination.

CONCLUSIONS

Full vaccination reduced disease severity during the delta- and omicron-dominant phases; booster vaccination did not further enhance the protective effects against disease progression during the omicron-dominant phase compared to full vaccination. Future vaccine strategies and policy decisions should consider preventing infection or disease progression in the target population, as well as the characteristics of the dominant variant in that phase.

High diagnostic accuracy of quantitative SARS-CoV-2 spike-binding-IgG assay and correlation with in vitro viral neutralizing activity

Background

Antibody testing can easily evaluate the clinical status of patients, aid in the diagnosis of multisystem inflammatory syndrome, and monitor the immunity level in the population. However, the applicability of serological tests in detecting antibodies against the severe acute respiratory syndrome 2 (SARS-CoV-2) spike-binding protein remains limited. This study aimed to quantify both serum-derived neutralizing immunoglobulin-G (IgG) antibody activity and the amount of anti-SARS-CoV-2 Spike-IgG (S-IgG) in convalescent sera/plasmas and evaluate the direct correlation between the in vitro IgG-EC50 values and S-IgG values.

Methods

We evaluated the neutralizing activity of purified IgG (IgG-EC50), quantified S-IgG in the serum/plasma of consecutive COVID-19 convalescent individuals using a cell-based virus-neutralizing assay, and determined the correlation between IgG-EC50 and S-IgG. In addition, we evaluated rational cut-off values using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calculated the sensitivity and specificity of the quantitative S-IgG assay for moderate and high IgG-EC50.

Results

A high correlation was observed between S-IgG and IgG-EC50 with a Spearman's ρ value of -0.748 (95 % confidence interval [CI]: -0.804-0.678). Using an IgG-EC50 of 50 μg/mL and 20 μg/mL as the cut-off values for moderate and high in vitro neutralizing activity, respectively, the Youden's index values of 287.5 binding antibody units (BAU)/mL and 454.1 BAU/mL determined from the ROC curve showed the highest diagnostic accuracy, with Kappa values of 0.884 (95 % CI: 0.823-0.946) and 0.920 (95 % CI: 0.681-0.979), respectively.

Conclusions

Quantitative S-IgG tests are a useful and convenient tool for estimating in vitro virus-neutralizing activity, with a high correlation with IgG-EC50 when the rational cut-off value is carefully determined.

Albumin change predicts failure in ulcerative colitis treated with adalimumab

Anti-tumor necrosis factor (TNF) -α antibodies, including infliximab (IFX), adalimumab (ADA), and golimumab, which were the first biologic therapeutic agents, have a crucial position in advanced therapy for ulcerative colitis (UC). We aimed to investigate serum albumin (Alb) change as a prognostic factor for the therapeutic effect of ADA in UC. Thirty-four patients with UC treated with ADA were enrolled in this study and were divided into failure and non-failure groups. Biological data, such as Alb were compared between the two groups. Thirteen patients showed failure within six months. Examination of the biological data showed a significant difference between the two groups only in the week 2/week 0 Alb ratio. In receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis to predict failure, the cut-off value of week 2/week 0 Alb ratio was 1.00, and the area under the curve was 0.868 (95% confidence interval: 0.738-0.999). In addition, in the sub-group analysis of only clinically active patients, the week 2/week 0 Alb ratio of the non-failure group was significantly higher than that of the failure group, and the cut-off-value in ROC analysis was 1.00. Week 2/week 0 Alb ratio ≤ 1 predicts failure within six months of ADA for UC.

Differences in COVID-19 treatment across Japan: Analysis of the COVID-19 Registry Japan (COVIREGI-JP)

BACKGROUND

This study investigated the differences between metropolitan and non-metropolitan areas in the treatment of hospitalized patients with COVID-19 using data from the nationwide COVID-19 Registry Japan (COVIREGI-JP).

METHODS

Data of patients hospitalized for COVID-19 during waves 2-4 (June 1, 2020-June 30, 2021) treated in one of the 800 medical institutions participating in the Registry were extracted. Treatment and treatment outcomes were evaluated in inpatients with moderate 2 and severe disease using propensity score matching performed between metropolitan and non-metropolitan areas.

RESULTS

A total of 32797 patients were identified during epidemic waves 2-4. After matching (wave 2, n = 307; wave 3, n = 913; wave 4, n = 479), the population comprised mostly elderly patients with a median age of ≥65 years (IQR: 52-81 years) and median SpO2 of 93/94 (IQR: 91%-96%), and the proportion of patients with moderate 2 (SpO2≤93%/require oxygenation) vs severe disease (ICU admission) ranged from 82.7% to 89.8% vs 10.2% to 17.3% in metropolitan areas vs non-metropolitan areas, respectively, across all epidemic waves. Noninvasive mechanical ventilation was used significantly more in waves 2 and 3 and invasive mechanical ventilation in wave 4 in metropolitan vs non-metropolitan areas, compared with other waves. In wave 2, death as an outcome was significantly higher in metropolitan vs non-metropolitan areas compared with patient discharge to home/transfer.

CONCLUSION

During the COVID-19 epidemic, starting from wave 2 up until and through wave 4, no clear differences in mortality rates and no regional differences in treatment provision patterns were observed between metropolitan and non-metropolitan areas in Japan.

Comparison of fecal calprotectin levels and endoscopic scores for predicting relapse in patients with ulcerative colitis in remission

BACKGROUND

Although the usefulness of endoscopic scores, such as the Mayo Endoscopic Subscore (MES), Ulcerative Colitis Endoscopic Index of Severity (UCEIS), and Ulcerative Colitis Colonoscopic Index of Severity (UCCIS), and biomarkers such as fecal calprotectin (FC) for predicting relapse in ulcerative colitis (UC) has been reported, few studies have included endoscopic scores for evaluating the entire colon.

AIM

To compare the usefulness of FC value and MES, UCEIS, and UCCIS for predicting relapse in patients with UC in clinical remission.

METHODS

In total, 75 patients with UC in clinical and endoscopic remission who visited our institution between February 2019 and March 2022 were enrolled. The diagnosis of UC was confirmed based on the clinical presentation, endoscopic findings, and histology, according to the current established criteria for UC. Fecal samples were collected the day before or after the colonoscopy for measurement of FC. Endoscopic evaluations were performed using MES, UCEIS, and UCCIS. The primary outcome measure of this study was the assessment of the association between relapse within 12 mo and MES, UCEIS, UCCIS, and FC. The secondary outcome was the comparison between endoscopic scores and biomarkers in enrolled patients with UC with mucosal healing.

RESULTS

FC and UCCIS showed a significant correlation with UCEIS (r = 0.537, P < 0.001 and r = 0.957, P < 0.001, respectively). Receiver-operating characteristic analysis for predicting MES 0 showed that the area under the curve of UCCIS was significantly higher than that of FC (P < 0.01). During the 1-year observation period, 18 (24%) patients experienced a relapse, and both the FC and UCCIS of the relapse group were significantly higher than that of the remission group. The cut-off values for predicting relapse were set at FC = 323 mg/kg and UCCIS = 10.2. The area under the curve of the receiver-operating characteristic analysis for predicting relapse did not show a significant difference between FC and UCCIS. The accuracy of the endoscopic scores and biomarkers in predicting relapse was 86.7% for UCCIS, 85.3% for UCEIS, 76.0% for FC, and 73.3% for MES.

CONCLUSION

The three endoscopic scores and FC may predict UC relapse during clinical remission. Among these scores, UCEIS may be the most useful in terms of ease of evaluation and accuracy.

Characteristics of preventive intervention acceptance for international travel among clients aged 60 years and older from a Japanese multicenter pretravel consultation registry

OBJECTIVES

Pretravel consultation (PTC) is important for older adults owing to health problems associated with overseas travel. Although older adults in Japan, their PTC characteristics are less known. This study aimed to investigate the epidemiology of clients aged ≥ 60 years based on data from the Japan Pre-travel Consultation Registry (J-PRECOR).

METHODS

Clients aged ≥ 60 years who visited J-PRECOR cooperative hospitals from February 1, 2018, to May 31, 2022, were included. The primary endpoint was a comparison of prescriptions for vaccines for hepatitis A, tetanus toxoid, and malaria prophylaxis in travelers to high-risk malaria countries in yellow fever vaccination (YFV)-available facilities with and without YFV.

RESULTS

In total, 1000 clients (median age: 67 years) were included. Although 523 clients were immunized with YFV, only 38.6% of the 961 unimmunized clients were vaccinated with the tetanus toxoid-containing vaccine. Malaria chemoprophylaxis was prescribed to 25.7% of clients traveling for ≤55 days. At YFV-capable institutes, 557 clients traveling to yellow fever risk countries took PTC, 474 of whom received YFV and 83 were unvaccinated. Lower age (odds rate 0.85 per 1 year; 95% CI 0.80-0.90) and lower hepatitis A vaccination rate (0.29; 95% CI 0.14-0.63) were significantly associated with YFV.

CONCLUSIONS

Preventive interventions other than YFV should be offered to older adults.

Factors Associated with Geographical Variability of Antimicrobial Use in Japan

INTRODUCTION

Evidence regarding the factors affecting the geographical variation of antimicrobial use (AMU) is relatively scarce. This study aimed to evaluate factors potentially associated with geographical variability of AMU per day per 1000 habitants in the 47 prefectures of Japan.

METHODS

This is an observational ecological study using the Japanese national database in 2019. The outcome was the defined daily doses per 1000 inhabitants per day by prefecture. Multivariable negative binomial regression analysis was conducted using patient- and physician-level variables.

RESULTS

The study included 605,391,054 defined daily doses of AMU in 2019 from the 47 prefectures. In the multivariable negative binomial regression analyses for the outcome of total AMU, the proportion of female individuals (adjusted rate ratio [aRR] 1.04 [1.01-1.08] per 1% increase, p = 0.021), the proportion of upper secondary graduates going to further education (aRR 1.01 [1.00-1.01] per 1% increase, p = 0.005), and the annual number of diagnoses related to upper respiratory infections (URIs) per 1000 inhabitants per day (aRR 1.21 [1.10-1.34], p < 0.001) were significantly correlated with total AMU.

CONCLUSIONS

In this ecological study, the variability of total AMU by Japanese prefecture was associated with the proportion of female individuals, education level, and the number of URI diagnoses per population. The results suggest the potential need for additional stewardship efforts to reduce unnecessary antimicrobial prescriptions for URI.

Association between seasonal influenza vaccination and antimicrobial use in Japan from the 2015-16 to 2020-21 seasons: from the VENUS study

BACKGROUND

Seasonal influenza vaccination might be considered an antimicrobial resistance (AMR) countermeasure because it can reduce unnecessary antimicrobial use for acute respiratory infection by mitigating the burden of such diseases.

OBJECTIVES

To examine the association between seasonal influenza vaccination and antimicrobial use (AMU) in Japan at the community level and to examine the impact of influenza vaccination on the frequency of unnecessary antimicrobial prescription for upper respiratory infection.

METHODS

For patients who visited any healthcare facility in one of the 23 wards of Tokyo, Japan, due to upper respiratory infection and who were aged 65 years or older, we extracted data from the Vaccine Effectiveness, Networking, and Universal Safety (VENUS) study database, which includes all claims data and vaccination records from the 2015-16 to 2020-21 seasons. We used the average treatment effect (ATE) with 1:1 propensity score matching to examine the association of vaccination status with frequency of antibiotic prescription, frequency of healthcare facility consultation, risk of admission and risk of death in the follow-up period of the same season (from 1 January to 31 March).

RESULTS

In total, 244 642 people were enrolled. Matched data included 101 734 people in each of the unvaccinated and vaccinated groups. The ATE of vaccination was -0.004 (95% CI -0.006 to -0.002) for the frequency of antibiotic prescription, -0.005 (-0.007 to -0.004) for the frequency of healthcare facility consultation, -0.001 (-0.002 to -0.001) for the risk of admission and 0.00 (0.00 to 0.00) for the risk of death.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that seasonal influenza vaccination is associated with lower frequencies of unnecessary antibiotic prescription and of healthcare facility consultation.

Patient education in atopic dermatitis: a scoping review

BACKGROUND

Atopic dermatitis (AD) is a chronic inflammatory skin disease that affects children and adults. Poor treatment adherence in AD requires interventions to promote self-management; patient education in chronic diseases is key to self-management. Many international AD management guidelines published to date include a recommendation for educating patients as part of their treatment but there are no formal recommendations on how to deliver this knowledge. MAIN: We performed a scoping review to map the existing literature on patient education practices in AD and to highlight the clinical need for improved patient education in AD. The literature search was performed with the online databases MEDLINE, Embase, Grey Matters, ClinicalTrails.gov and the International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (ICTRP). The search strategy yielded 388 articles. Of the 388 articles screened, 16 studies met the eligibility criteria, and the quantitative data was summarized by narrative synthesis. The majority of studies were randomized controlled trials conducted in Europe, Asia and North America. Since 2002, there have been limited studies evaluating patient education in the treatment of AD. Frequent education methods used included group-based educational programs, educational pamphlets, individual consultations and online resources. Education was most commonly directed at caregivers and their children. Only one study compared the efficacy of different education methods. In all included studies, the heterogenous nature of outcome measures and study design limited the consistency of results. Despite the heterogeneity of studies, patient education was shown to improve quality of life (QoL), disease severity and psychological outcomes in AD patients.

CONCLUSION

This scoping review highlights that patient education is effective in a variety of domains relevant to AD treatment. Further comparative studies and randomized trials with longer-term follow-up are needed to provide validated and consistent patient education recommendations for AD; these may depend on age and population.

Trends of participants in convalescent plasma donation for COVID-19 in Japan as the pandemic evolved

Background

We aimed to investigate chronological changes in the characteristics of participants in a coronavirus disease 2019 convalescent plasma donation study that may benefit optimal collection methods in the future.

Methods

Data from a convalescent plasma donation study from April 30, 2020 to November 5, 2021 were collected and analyzed. After August 23, 2021, an interim analysis of factors linked to higher antibody titers led us to restrict our participant recruitment criteria to participants who were within 4 months of disease onset and to patients who were otherwise most likely to have sufficiently high antibody titers. Overall, 1299 samples from 1179 patients were analyzed.

Results

Over the duration of the study, 35.9% of the samples were deemed eligible for convalescent plasma collection. The overall eligibility rate initially declined, dipping to <20% after one year. During this period, the proportion of enrolled samples from patients who had severe illness also declined, and the proportion of samples from participants who were >120 days post disease onset increased. After the addition of days from onset and vaccination status to our participant recruitment criteria, the eligibility rate improved significantly.

Conclusions

As outbreaks of emerging infectious disease occur, it is desirable to construct and implement a scheme for convalescent plasma donation promptly and to monitor the eligibility rate over time. If it declines, promptly analyze and resolve the associated factors. Additionally, vaccine development and infection prevalence are likely to influence the effective recruitment of participants with high antibody titers.

Evaluation of potential rabies exposure among Japanese international travelers: A retrospective descriptive study

BACKGROUND

Although Japan has been a rabies-free country for >50 years, a few cases have been reported among people traveling abroad. This study aimed to investigate animal exposure among Japanese travelers using the Japanese Registry for Infectious Diseases from Abroad (J-RIDA).

METHOD

In this retrospective analysis, we examined Japanese overseas travelers with animal exposure, as included the J-RIDA database, reported from October 1, 2017, to October 31, 2019, with a focus on pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) administration and the animals to which the patients were exposed.

RESULTS

Among the 322 cases included in the analysis, 19 (5.9%) patients received PrEP and 303 did not. The most common purpose of travel was a non-package tour (n = 175, 54.3%). Most trips (n = 213, 66.1%) were to a single country for <2 weeks. Most patients (n = 286, 87.9%) traveled to countries with a rabies risk. The majority of patients with and without PrEP were injured in rabies-risk countries [n = 270 (89.1%) for non-PrEP and n = 16 (84.2%) for PrEP]. Animals associated with injuries included dogs (55.0%), cats (25.5%), and monkeys (15.5%). Most patients were classified as World Health Organization Category II/III for contact with suspected rabid animals (39.5% and 44.1% for categories II and III, respectively) and had exposure within 5 days of travel. Southeast Asia (n = 180, 55.9%) was the most common region in which travelers were exposed to animals.

CONCLUSIONS

Japanese overseas travelers had contact with animals that could possibly transmit the rabies virus, even on short trips. Promoting pre-travel consultation and increasing awareness of the potential for rabies exposure are important for prevention of rabies among Japanese international travelers.

Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma in patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis and ulcerative colitis: Two case reports

BACKGROUND

Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is an extraintestinal manifestation of ulcerative colitis (UC). PSC is a well-known risk factor for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC), and ICC is known to have a poor prognosis.

CASE SUMMARY

We present two cases of ICC in patients with PSC associated with UC. In the first case, a tumor was found by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in the liver of a patient with PSC and UC who presented to our hospital with right-sided rib pain. The second patient was asymptomatic, but we unexpectedly detected two liver tumors in an MRI performed to evaluate bile duct stenosis associated with PSC. ICC was strongly suspected by computed tomography and MRI in both cases, and surgery was performed, but unfortunately, the first patient died of ICC recurrence 16 mo postoperatively, and the second patient died of liver failure 14 mo postoperatively.

CONCLUSION

Careful follow-up of patients with UC and PSC with imaging and blood tests is necessary for early detection of ICC.

Investigation of oral macrolide prescriptions in Japan using a retrospective claims database, 2013-2018

Macrolide usage in Japan exceeds that in Europe and the United States. Investigating the actual conditions in which macrolides are used is important for identifying further interventions for appropriate antimicrobial use; however, this situation has not been evaluated in Japan. Therefore, we aimed to clarify the number of macrolide prescriptions and their changes before and after implementation of the Antimicrobial Resistance (AMR) Action Plan. In addition, we also investigated the names of diseases for which macrolides have been prescribed and the number of days of prescription. A retrospective observational study was conducted using JMDC claims data from January 2013 to December 2018. The proportion of all oral antimicrobials and macrolides used during this period and the diseases for which macrolides were used in the 3 years before and after the AMR Action Plan were determined separately for acute (< 14 prescription days) and chronic (> 14 prescription days) diseases. The number of prescriptions for macrolides constituted approximately 30% of those for all oral antimicrobials; of these, clarithromycin accounted for approximately 60%. Most prescriptions for acute diseases were for common cold, whereas allergic and dermatological diseases were included among chronic diseases. The names of these illnesses did not change before and after the AMR Action Plan. Overall, these results indicate that appropriate macrolide use involves a review of their use for common cold along with appropriate evaluation of their long-term use for skin and allergic diseases. They also indicate the need for further fact-finding studies and ongoing AMR measures.

Clinical efficacy of remdesivir for COVID-19 in children: A propensity-score-matched analysis

Clinical efficacy of remdesivir in children with COVID-19 is unclear. This propensity-score-matched retrospective cohort study of children with COVID-19 showed that the rate of patients achieving defervescence on Day 4 was higher in the remdesivir group than in the non-remdesivir group, but was not statistically different (86.7% vs 73.3%, P = 0.333).

Assessing the efficacy of health countermeasures on arrival time of infectious diseases

Public health measures to control the international spread of infectious diseases include strengthening quarantines and sealing borders. Although these measures are effective in delaying the importation of infectious diseases, they also have a significant economic impact by stopping the flow of people and goods. The arrival time of infectious diseases is often used to assess quarantine effectiveness. Although the arrival time is highly dependent on the number of infected cases in the endemic country, direct comparisons have not yet been made. Therefore, this study derives an explicit relationship between the number of infected cases and arrival time. Transmission behavior is stochastic, and deterministic models are not always realistic. In this study, random differential equations, which are differential equations with stochastic processes, were used to describe the dynamics of infection in an endemic country. Furthermore, the flow of travelers from the endemic country was described in terms of survival time, and the arrival time in each country was calculated. A scenario in which PCR kits were distributed between endemic and disease-free countries was also considered, and the impact of different distribution rates on arrival time was evaluated. The simulation results showed that increasing the distribution of PCR kits in the endemic country was more effective in delaying arrival times than using PCR kits in quarantine in disease-free countries. It was also found that increasing the proportion of identified infected persons in the endemic country, leading to isolation, was more important and effective in delaying arrival times than increasing the number of PCR tests.

Tin(II)-Based Metal-Organic Frameworks Enabling Efficient, Selective Reduction of CO2 to Formate under Visible Light

Certain metal complexes are known as high-performance CO2 reduction photocatalysts driven by visible light. However, most of them rely on rare, precious metals as principal components, and integrating the functions of light absorption and catalysis into a single molecular unit based on abundant metals remains a challenge. Metal-organic frameworks (MOFs), which can be regarded as intermediate compounds between molecules and inorganic solids, are potential platforms for the construction of a simple photocatalytic system composed only of Earth-abundant nontoxic elements. In this work, we report that a tin-based MOF enables the conversion of CO2 into formic acid with a record high apparent quantum yield (9.8% at 400 nm) and >99% selectivity without the need for any additional photosensitizer or catalyst. This work highlights a new MOF with strong potential for photocatalytic CO2 reduction driven by solar energy.

Association of acute-to-chronic glycemic ratio and outcomes in patients with COVID-19 and undiagnosed diabetes mellitus: A retrospective nationwide cohort study

AIMS/INTRODUCTION

To assess the association of undiagnosed diabetes mellitus and its acute-to-chronic glycemic ratio with clinical outcome in patients hospitalized with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) using a large-scale nationwide registry in Japan.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Overall, 4,747 patients were included between July 2021 and January 2022. We evaluated blood glucose and glycated hemoglobin levels at admission, and calculated the acute-to-chronic glycemic ratio for each non-diabetes mellitus, undiagnosed diabetes mellitus and pre-existing diabetes mellitus group. The primary composite outcome comprised in-hospital mortality, invasive mechanical ventilation, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation support, intensive care unit admission and transfer to a more advanced medical facility.

RESULTS

Compared with the non-diabetes mellitus group, the undiagnosed diabetes mellitus group was significantly associated with a worse COVID-19 outcome (odds ratio 2.18, 95% confidence interval 1.50-3.18). In patients with undiagnosed diabetes mellitus, the 3rd tertile of the acute-to-chronic glycemic ratio was linked with a worse COVID-19 outcome compared with the 1st tertile (odds ratio 3.33, 95% confidence interval 1.43-7.77), whereas glycated hemoglobin levels were not; among patients with pre-existing diabetes mellitus, glycated hemoglobin levels were linked with a worse outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with undiagnosed diabetes mellitus with COVID-19, the magnitude of elevation of blood glucose from chronic to acute levels is associated with worse outcomes.

Comparison of the clinical characteristics and outcomes of Japanese patients with COVID-19 treated in primary, secondary, and tertiary care facilities

AIM

To compare the characteristics and clinical course of patients with coronavirus disease (COVID-19) according to the healthcare level of the admitted hospital, to provide an insight into determining the appropriate level of care for each patient.

METHODS

This retrospective, observational study utilized data from the COVID-19 Registry Japan (COVIREGI-JP), the largest Japanese registry of hospitalized patients with COVID-19. Datasets were obtained from reports filed as of May 31, 2022.

RESULTS

A total of 59,707 patients (2004 in the primary care group, 41,420 in the secondary care group, and 16,283 in the tertiary care group) from 585 facilities were included in the analysis. Patients with established risk factors for severe disease, such as old age and the presence of comorbidities, were treated at higher care facilities and had poorer initial conditions and in-hospital clinical course, as well as higher mortality. Analysis of the fatality rates for each complication suggested that patients with complications requiring procedures (e.g. pleural effusions, myocardial ischemia, and arrhythmia) may have better survival rates in facilities with specialist availability. The number of deaths and severe COVID-19 cases in this study were notably less than those reported overseas.

CONCLUSION

Our results showed that more difficult COVID-19 cases with poor outcomes were treated at higher care level facilities in Japan. Attending to possible complications may be useful for selecting an appropriate treatment hospital. Healthcare providers need to maintain a broad perspective on the distribution of medical resources.

Characteristics of hospitalized COVID-19 patients with other respiratory pathogens identified by rapid diagnostic test

Rapid diagnostic tests (RDTs) significantly impact disease treatment strategy. In Japan, information on the use of RDTs for patients with COVID-19 is limited. Here, we aimed to investigate the RDT implementation rate, pathogen detection rate, and clinical characteristics of patients positive for other pathogens by using COVIREGI-JP, a national registry of hospitalized patients with COVID-19. A total of 42,309 COVID-19 patients were included. For immunochromatographic testing, influenza was the most common (n = 2881 [6.8%]), followed by Mycoplasma pneumoniae (n = 2129 [5%]) and group A streptococcus (GAS) (n = 372 [0.9%]). Urine antigen testing was performed for 5524 (13.1%) patients for S. pneumoniae and for 5326 patients (12.6%) for L. pneumophila. The completion rate of M. pneumonia loop-mediated isothermal amplification (LAMP) testing was low (n = 97 [0.2%]). FilmArray RP was performed in 372 (0.9%) patients; 1.2% (36/2881) of patients were positive for influenza, 0.9% (2/223) for the respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), 9.6% (205/2129) for M. pneumoniae, and 7.3% (27/372) for GAS. The positivity rate for urine antigen testing was 3.3% (183/5524) for S. pneumoniae and 0.2% (13/5326) for L. pneumophila. The positivity rate for LAMP test was 5.2% (5/97) for M. pneumoniae. Five of 372 patients (1.3%) had positive FilmArray RP, with human enterovirus being the most frequently detected (1.3%, 5/372). The characteristics of patients with and without RDTs submission and positive and negative results differed for each pathogen. RDTs remain an important diagnostic tool in patients with COVID-19 in whom coinfection with other pathogens needs to be tested based on clinical evaluation.

Regional trends in the use of steroids and favipiravir for COVID-19 treatment

BACKGROUND

Infectious diseases are treated based on clinical guidelines, which usually require a large amount of data and time to formulate. Therefore, various treatments are tried and used in the early stages of epidemics of emerging and reemerging infectious diseases. In this study, we focused on two drugs for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) treatment, i.e., steroids and favipiravir, and analyzed the changes in treatment trends by region.

METHODS

This was a retrospective study of cases from the COVID-19 Registry Japan. The proportion of patients who received steroids and favipiravir was calculated on a monthly and pandemic wave basis, and the trend of drug administration by region was estimated using logistic curves.

RESULTS

The effect of wave on steroid administration was as high as 2.75 [2.60, 2.90], indicating a rapid increase in the proportion of steroid administration. The odds ratios for Hokuriku and Hokkaido were 0.49 [0.35, 0.68] and 0.55 [0.43, 0.71], respectively, indicating that steroids were less likely administered in these regions. For favipiravir, the effect of timing was 0.43 [0.41, 0.46], denoting a decreasing trend. On the other hand, the odds ratio was very high in some regions, such as Hokkaido (6.66 [5.24, 8.48]), indicating that the administration trend varied by region.

CONCLUSIONS

The increase in the proportion of steroid use showed the same trend nationwide, although the rate of increase differed, confirming that the use of drugs with proven efficacy was spreading rapidly and that effective treatment was available nationwide. However, the results suggest that drugs such as favipiravir, which were initially expected to be effective, may continue to be administered. Registry studies include larger populations than clinical trials and enable real-time monitoring of medication status and trends. Further use of registry studies for treatment standardization is expected in the future.

Effects of population age structure on parenteral antimicrobial use estimations

Antimicrobial use (AMU) is conventionally reported as unadjusted defined daily doses (DDDs) or population-adjusted DDDs per 1000 inhabitants per day (DID). DID is frequently used to monitor national AMU trends, this metric does not intrinsically take temporal changes in population age structure into account. We examined the effects of population age structure on DID estimates of parenteral AMU in Japan, and predicted future trends in DDDs based on population projections. Parenteral AMU data from 2013 to 2018 were acquired from a national claims database. We assessed temporal trends in parenteral AMU by age group (children aged < 15 years, working-age persons aged 15-64 years, and older persons aged ≥ 65 years) using both DID and DDDs. In addition, we modeled DDD predictions based on age-specific population projections from 2019 to 2030. DID values for older persons were 8.08-10.15 times and 5.43-5.63 times higher than in children and working-age persons, respectively. DID was stable, but DDDs increased in older persons. The prediction models showed that DDDs will continue to increase until 2030 if DID remains steady or decreases. DID estimates were skewed by the older population. More rigorous antimicrobial stewardship efforts targeting geriatric care are needed to counter the aging-associated increase in AMU.