Burden of cardiovascular disease attributed to air pollution: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are estimated to be the leading cause of global death. Air pollution is the biggest environmental threat to public health worldwide. It is considered a potentially modifiable environmental risk factor for CVDs because it can be prevented by adopting the right national and international policies. The present study was conducted to synthesize the results of existing studies on the burden of CVDs attributed to air pollution, namely prevalence, hospitalization, disability, mortality, and cost characteristics.

METHODS

A systematic search was performed in the Scopus, PubMed, and Web of Science databases to identify studies, without time limitations, up to June 13, 2023. Exclusion criteria included prenatal exposure, exposure to indoor air pollution, review studies, conferences, books, letters to editors, and animal and laboratory studies. The quality of the articles was evaluated based on the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality Assessment Form, the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale, and Drummond Criteria using a self-established scale. The articles that achieved categories A and B were included in the study.

RESULTS

Of the 566 studies obtained, based on the inclusion/exclusion criteria, 92 studies were defined as eligible in the present systematic review. The results of these investigations supported that chronic exposure to various concentrations of air pollutants, increased the prevalence, hospitalization, disability, mortality, and costs of CVDs attributed to air pollution, even at relatively low levels. According to the results, the main pollutant investigated closely associated with hypertension was PM2.5. Furthermore, the global DALY related to stroke during 2016-2019 has increased by 1.8 times and hospitalization related to CVDs in 2023 has increased by 8.5 times compared to 2014.

CONCLUSION

Ambient air pollution is an underestimated but significant and modifiable contributor to CVDs burden and public health costs. This should not only be considered an environmental problem but also as an important risk factor for a significant increase in CVD cases and mortality. The findings of the systematic review highlighted the opportunity to apply more preventive measures in the public health sector to reduce the footprint of CVDs in human society.

External validation of two clinical prediction models for mortality in COVID-19 patients (4C and NEWS2), in three centers in Medellín, Colombia: Assessing the impact of vaccination over time

OBJECTIVES

External validation of the 4C and NEWS2 scores for the prediction of in-hospital mortality in COVID-19 patients, and evaluation of its operational performance in two time periods: before and after the start of the vaccination program in Colombia.

METHODS

Retrospective cohort in three high complexity hospitals in the city of Medellín, Colombia, between June 2020 and April 2022.

RESULTS

The areas under the ROC curve (AUC) for the 4C mortality risk score and the NEWS2 were 0.75 (95% CI 0.73-0.78) and 0.68 (95% CI 0.66-0.71), respectively. For the 4C score, the AUC for the first and second periods was 0.77 (95% CI 0.74-0.80) and 0.75 (95% CI 0.71-0.78); whilst for the NEWS2 score, it was 0.68 (95% CI 0.65-0.71) and 0.69 (95% CI 0.64-0.73). The calibration for both scores was adequate, albeit with reduced performance during the second period.

CONCLUSIONS

The 4C mortality risk score proved to be the more adequate predictor of in-hospital mortality in COVID-19 patients in this Latin American population. The operational performance during both time periods remained similar, which shows its utility notwithstanding major changes, including vaccination, as the pandemic evolved.

Association between serum sodium trajectory and mortality in patients with acute kidney injury: a retrospective cohort study

INTRODUCTION

Dysnatremia is strongly associated with poor prognosis in acute kidney injury (AKI); however, the impact of sodium trajectories on the prognosis of patients with AKI has not yet been well elucidated. This study aimed to assess the association between sodium trajectories in patients with AKI and mortality at 30-day and 1-year follow-up.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study used data from Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC)-IV database, and patients diagnosed with AKI within 48 h after admission were enrolled. Group-based trajectory models (GBTM) were applied to map the developmental course of the serum sodium fluctuations. Kaplan-Meier survival curve was used to compare differences in mortality in AKI patients with distinct serum sodium trajectories. Hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated to determine the association between trajectories and prognosis using Cox proportional hazard models.

RESULTS

A total of 9,314 AKI patients were enrolled. Three distinct sodium trajectories were identified including: (i) stable group (ST, in which the serum sodium levels remained relatively stable, n = 4,935; 53.0%), (ii) descending group (DS, in which the serum sodium levels declined, n = 2,994; 32.15%) and (iii) ascending group (AS, in which the serum sodium levels were elevated, n = 1,383; 14.85%). There was no significant difference in age and gender distribution among the groups. The 30-day mortality rates were 7.9% in ST, 9.5% in DS and 16.6% in AS (p < 0.001). The results of 1-year mortality rates were similar (p < 0.001). In adjusted analysis, patients in the DS (HR = 1.22, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.04-1.43, p = 0.015) and AS (HR = 1.68, 95% CI, 1.42-2.01, p = 0.013) groups had higher risks of 30-day mortality compared to those in the ST group.

CONCLUSION

In patients with AKI, the serum sodium trajectories were independently associated with 30-day and 1-year mortality. Association between serum sodium level trajectories and prognosis in patients with AKI deserve further study.

Associations of Mortality Outcomes With Employment Status at Discharge From VA Vocational Rehabilitation Service Programs

OBJECTIVE

The authors evaluated associations between employment at discharge from Veterans Health Administration Vocational Rehabilitation Service (VR) programs and suicide and other causes of death.

METHODS

For veterans receiving VR between October 1, 2005, and September 30, 2014 (N=78,293), proportional hazards analyses were used to test associations of employment with suicide, drug overdose, and external and natural cause mortality rates over 1 and 5 years postdischarge and through December 31, 2019. The analyses were adjusted for clinical and sociodemographic characteristics and propensity for employment.

RESULTS

Of the veterans, 94.1% had a psychiatric diagnosis, and 35.5% were employed at VR discharge. In proportional hazards analyses, employment was associated with lower mortality rates through 1 year (suicide, hazard ratio [HR]=0.54; overdose, HR=0.70; external causes, HR=0.62; and natural causes, HR=0.51) and 5 years postdischarge (overdose, HR=0.72; external causes, HR=0.81; and natural causes, HR=0.72). Through December 31, 2019, employment was associated with lower risks for overdose (HR=0.80) and death by external (HR=0.81) and natural (HR=0.80) causes.

CONCLUSIONS

Employment at VR discharge was associated with lower mortality risk among veterans with psychiatric diagnoses.

Incidence, risk factors, and outcomes of acute liver injury in hospitalized adults with acute kidney injury: a large multicenter study

BACKGROUND

Acute kidney injury (AKI) and acute liver injury (ALI) were associated with poor outcomes during hospitalization, respectively. However, the clinical outcome of AKI combined with ALI (AKI-ALI) remains unknown. The current study aimed to describe AKI-ALI's incidences, risk factors, and outcomes.

METHODS

The study population included patients aged 18-99 years with enough serum creatinine and liver testing hospitalized at 19 medical centers throughout China between 2000 and 2021. AKI was defined by Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes and ALI was defined by the change of liver enzymes based on Asia Pacific Association of Study of Liver consensus guidelines. Cox proportional hazard model was used to identify risk factors for AKI-ALI, and a time-dependent Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to estimate the association between AKI-ALI and in-hospital mortality.

RESULTS

Among the 18,461 patients with AKI, 1689 (9.1%) combined with ALI. Male patients or those who have used nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs or vasopressors, and who have heart failure or shock, with higher AST or GGT values, were associated with an increased risk of AKI-ALI. Compared with AKI-nonALI, patients with AKI-ALI were at higher risk of in-hospitalized mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.76, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.54, 2.00). In addition, a stronger association between AKI-ALI and in-hospital mortality was found in those with lower AKI grades (p for interaction = 0.037).

CONCLUSIONS

ALI was not uncommon among patients with AKI, especially in patients who used vasopressors and had shock. This study highlights the association between AKI-ALI and a significantly increased risk of mortality. It suggests that dynamic monitoring of liver function is essential, particularly in patients with AST and GGT exceeding the normal upper limit, to improve the in-hospital prognosis of AKI patients.

coronary artery disease: mortality differences after revascularization

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Patients undergoing revascularization for lower extremity arterial disease (LEAD) may face a higher risk of mortality than those with coronary artery disease (CAD). This study aimed to characterize the difference in mortality risk between patients undergoing revascularization for LEAD and CAD and identify associated factors.

METHODS

The 1-year database of 10 754 patients undergoing revascularization for CAD (n = 6349) and LEAD (n = 4405) was analysed. Poisson regression models were used to characterize interpopulation differences in mortality, adjusting for baseline clinical features, including age, sex, polyvascular disease, comorbidities, medications, and vulnerabilities.

RESULTS

Individuals with LEAD were older, were more likely to have polyvascular disease, had more comorbidities, and received fewer cardioprotective drugs than those with CAD. Vulnerabilities remained more common in the LEAD group even after adjusting for these clinical features. The crude risk ratio of mortality incidence for LEAD vs. CAD was 2.91 (95% confidence interval, 2.54-3.34), attenuated to 2.14 (1.83-2.50) after controlling for age, sex, and polyvascular disease. The percentage attenuation in the excessive mortality associated with LEAD was 29%. The stepwise addition of comorbidities, medications, and vulnerabilities as adjusting factors attenuated the incidence risk ratio to 1.48 (1.26-1.72), 1.33 (1.12-1.58), and 1.17 (0.98-1.39), respectively, and increased the percentage attenuation to 64%, 73%, and 86%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Mortality risk was almost three-fold higher in patients undergoing revascularization for LEAD than in those with CAD. The excessive mortality was considerably attributable to inter-group differences in baseline characteristics, including potentially clinically or socially modifiable factors.

Outpatient glucocorticoid use and COVID-19 outcomes: a population-based study

INTRODUCTION

Owing to controversy information surrounds effect of glucocorticoids on the evolution of COVID-19, we evaluate the effects of outpatient glucocorticoid use on the severity and progression of COVID-19 and risk of infection and analyse the effect of window of exposure and dose.

METHODS

We conducted a population-based case - control study, involving 4 substudies: (i) Hospitalisation; (ii) Mortality, using subjects hospitalised with a PCR + as cases and subjects without a PCR + as controls; (iii) Progression, including subjects with a PCR + (hospitalised versus non-hospitalised); and (iv) Susceptibility, with all subjects with a PCR + and subjects without a PCR + . Adjusted odds ratios (ORa) and their 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were calculated.

RESULTS

The outpatient glucocorticoid use was associated with an increased risk of hospitalisation (aOR 1.79; 95% CI 1.56-2.05), mortality (aOR 2.30; 95% CI 1.68-3.15), progression (aOR 1.69; 95% CI 1.43-2.00) and susceptibility (aOR 1.29, 95% CI 1.19-1.41). Furthermore, the effects was observed to be greater at higher doses and the closer that drug use approached the outcome date, with an almost fourfold increase in mortality among users in the previous month (aOR 3.85; 95% CI 2.63-5.62).

CONCLUSIONS

According to the results of this real-world data study, outpatient glucocorticoid use should be considered in making decisions about intrahospital treatment.

VEGF Inhibition Associates With Decreased Risk of Mortality in Patients With Neovascular Age-related Macular Degeneration

Purpose

Controversy exists regarding the systemic safety of intravitreal VEGF inhibitors in the treatment of neovascular age-related macular degeneration (nAMD). We aimed to investigate the potential impact of VEGF inhibitor treatment on the risk of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular disease (CVD) among patients with nAMD.

Design

A nationwide register-based cohort study with 16 years follow-up.

Participants

Patients with nAMD exposed with VEGF inhibitors (n = 37 733) and unexposed individuals without nAMD (n = 1 897 073) aged ≥ 65 years residing in Denmark between January 1, 2007, and December 31, 2022.

Methods

Cox proportional hazards analysis was conducted to assess the effect of intravitreal VEGF inhibitor treatment on all-cause mortality and incident CVD.

Main Outcome Measures

In a predefined analysis plan we defined primary outcomes as hazard ratios (HRs) of all-cause mortality and a composite CVD endpoint in patients with nAMD treated with VEGF inhibitors compared with individuals without nAMD. The secondary outcomes encompassed analyses that explored the impact of the number of doses and the association between exposure and outcome over a specific time period.

Results

Overall, 63.7% of patients with nAMD were women with an average age of 69.9 years (interquartile range 65.0-76.0 years). Patients exposed to VEGF inhibitors demonstrated a reduced risk of all-cause mortality compared with individuals without nAMD (HR, 0.79; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.78-0.81), and an increased risk of composite CVD (HR, 1.04; 95% CI, 1.01-1.07). The decreased risk of all-cause mortality persisted, but there was no significant association between VEGF inhibitor treatment and CVD when patients with nAMD were grouped by the number of doses or considered exposed within 60 days postinjection.

Conclusions

Our study revealed a decreased risk of all-cause mortality and a 4% increased risk of CVD among patients with nAMD exposed with VEGF inhibitors. The decreased risk of mortality is unlikely to be directly pathophysiologically related to VEGF inhibitor treatment. Instead, we speculate that patients undergoing VEGF inhibitor treatment are, on average, individuals in good health with adequate personal resources. Therefore, they also have a higher likelihood of overall survival. These findings strongly support the safety of VEGF inhibitor treatment in terms of all-cause mortality and CVD among patients with nAMD.

Financial Disclosures

The author(s) have no proprietary or commercial interest in any materials discussed in this article.

Estimating excess mortality and economic burden of Clostridioides difficile infections and recurrences during 2015-2019: The RECUR England study

OBJECTIVES

To generate real-world evidence on all-cause mortality and economic burden of Clostridioides difficile infections (CDIs) and recurrences (rCDIs) in England.

METHODS

We conducted a cohort study using retrospective data from Clinical Practice Research Datalink linked to Hospital Episode Statistics. Patients diagnosed with CDI in hospital and community settings during 2015-2018 were included and followed for ≥1 year. All-cause mortality was described at 6, 12, and 24 months. Healthcare resource usage (HCRU) and associated costs were assessed at 12 months of follow-up. A cohort of non-CDI patients, matched by demographic and clinical characteristics including Charlson Comorbidity Index score, was used to assess excess mortality and incremental costs of HCRU.

RESULTS

All-cause mortality among CDI patients at 6, 12, and 24 months was 15.87%, 20.37%, and 27.03%, respectively. A higher proportion of rCDI patients died at any point during follow-up. Compared with matched non-CDI patients, excess mortality was highest at 6 months with 1.81 and 2.53 deaths per 100 patient-months among CDI and ≥1 rCDI patients. Hospitalizations were the main drivers of costs, with an incremental cost of £1209.21 per CDI patient. HCRU and costs increased with rCDIs.

CONCLUSION

CDI poses a substantial mortality and economic burden, further amplified by rCDIs.

Acute pancreatitis in Turkey: Results of a nationwide multicenter study

BACKGROUND

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is the most common gastrointestinal disease requiring hospitalization, with significant mortality and morbidity. We aimed to evaluate the clinical characteristics of AP and physicians' compliance with international guidelines during its management.

METHODS

All patients with AP who were hospitalized at 17 tertiary centers in Turkey between April and October 2022 were evaluated in a prospective cohort study. Patients with insufficient data, COVID-19 and those aged below 18 years were excluded. The definitions were based on the 2012 revised Atlanta criteria.

RESULTS

The study included 2144 patients (median age:58, 52 % female). The most common etiologies were biliary (n = 1438, 67.1 %), idiopathic (n = 259, 12 %), hypertriglyceridemia (n = 128, 6 %) and alcohol (n = 90, 4.2 %). Disease severity was mild in 1567 (73.1 %), moderate in 521 (24.3 %), and severe in 58 (2.6 %) patients. Morphology was necrotizing in 4.7 % of the patients. The overall mortality rate was 1.6 %. PASS and BISAP had the highest accuracy in predicting severe pancreatitis on admission (AUC:0.85 and 0.81, respectively). CT was performed in 61 % of the patients, with the majority (90 %) being within 72 h after admission. Prophylactic NSAIDs were not administered in 44 % of the patients with post-ERCP pancreatitis (n = 86). Antibiotics were administered to 53.7 % of the patients, and 38 % of those received them prophylactically.

CONCLUSIONS

This prospective study provides an extensive report on clinical characteristics, management and outcomes of AP in real-world practice. Mortality remains high in severe cases and physicians' adherence to guidelines during management of the disease needs improvement in some aspects.

The incidence of subsequent contralateral hip fracture and factors associated with increased risk: the IMPACT Contralateral Fracture Study

Patients who sustain a contralateral hip fracture experience significantly inferior outcomes; however, the incidence and predictors of contralateral hip fracture remain poorly understood. In the present study, 2.5% of patients sustained a contralateral hip fracture within 12 months, and socioeconomic deprivation was associated with reduced risk of contralateral hip fracture.

INTRODUCTION

Hip fractures are associated with high morbidity and mortality, and patients that sustain a subsequent contralateral fracture experience inferior outcomes. The risk of contralateral fracture is highest within the first year; however, the incidence and associated factors remain poorly understood. The aims were to investigate (i) the incidence of a subsequent contralateral hip fracture within the first year, (ii) identify factors associated with an increased risk of contralateral fracture and (iii) compare early mortality risk after index versus contralateral hip fracture.

METHODS

This study included all patients aged over 50 years admitted to NHS hospitals in Scotland between 1st March 2020 and 31st December 2020 (n = 5566) as routine activity of the Scottish Hip Fracture Audit (SHFA). Multivariate logistic regression was used to examine factors associated with 30-day mortality, and cox regression was used to identify factors associated with a contralateral fracture.

RESULTS

During the study period 2.5% (138/5566) of patients sustained a contralateral hip fracture within 12 months of the index hip fracture. Socioeconomic deprivation was inversely associated with increased risk of contralateral fracture (odds ratio 2.64, p < 0.001), whilst advancing age (p = 0.427) and sex (p = 0.265) were not. After adjusting for significant cofounders, there was no significant difference in 30-day mortality following contralateral fracture compared to index fracture (OR 1.22, p = 0.433).

CONCLUSION

One in 40 (2.5%) hip fracture patients sustained a contralateral fracture within 12 months of their index fracture, and deprivation was associated with a reduced risk of contralateral fracture. No difference in 30-day mortality was found.

Mortality of patients presented with acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction according to the status of standard modifiable cardiovascular risk factors

BACKGROUND

Standard modifiable cardiovascular risk factors (SMuRFs) remain well-established elements of assessing cardiovascular risk scores. However, there is growing evidence that patients presented without known SMuRFs at admission demonstrate worse post-myocardial outcomes. The aim of the study was to assess the influence of the SMuRF status on short- and long-term mortality rates in patients with first-time ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI).

METHODS

This observational, cross-sectional study covered 182,726 patients admitted between 2003-2020 to the CathLabs, according to data from the Polish Registry of Acute Coronary Syndrome. Both baseline characteristics and mortality (in-hospital, 30-day, and 12-month) were examined and stratified by SMuRF status. The predictors of mortality were assessed at selected time points by multivariable analysis.

RESULTS

The majority of STEMI patients had at least one SMuRF (88.7%), however, mortality rates of SMuRF-less individuals were greater at selected time points of the follow-up (p < 0.001), and persisted at a higher level during each year of the follow-up period compared to the SMuRF group and general population. Furthermore, the SMuRFs status constituted an independent predictor of mortality at the 30-day (OR: 1.345; 95% CI: 1.142-1.585, p < 0.001) and 12-month (OR: 1.174; 95% CI: 1.054-1.308, p < 0.001) follow-ups.

CONCLUSIONS

SMuRF-less individuals presented with STEMI are at an increased risk of all-cause mortality compared to those with at least one SMuRF. Consequently, further investigations regarding the recognition and treatment of risk factors, irrespective of SMuRF status, are indicated.

Frailty: How to assess, prognostic role

Despite the clear clinical significance of frailty in surgical populations, there is no consensus on how best to define or measure frailty, even within the geriatric literature. A diversity of measures exists to measure some or all these domains, but only research-focused tools have been validated in surgical populations. These tools are too resource-intensive for rapid, cost-effective, preoperative screening of entire populations considering elective surgery. This narrative review deals with the definition of frailty and the different assessment methods of the phenotypic definition and the accumulation of deficits definition. Moreover, as in the area of surgery frailty seems to be an independent risk factor for mortality, morbidity, length of stay, and postoperative complication, different studies reporting the association of preoperative frailty with postoperative outcomes after cancer surgery and the association with postoperative mortality within 30 days are considered. Preoperative care should include a focus on the goals of treatment and care options. Patient-oriented functional and cognitive outcomes as well as the development and implementation of interventions that could potentially improve adverse postoperative effects must be further investigated.

Composite dietary antioxidant index is associated with reduced prevalence of metabolic syndrome but not mortality in metabolic syndrome: Results from NHANES 2001-2018

The relationship between the composite dietary antioxidant index (CDAI), a comprehensive measure of individual dietary antioxidants, and the prevalence and mortality of metabolic syndrome (MetS) remains unknown. We aimed to explore these relationships in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). We explored these relationships using two independent cohorts. First, we addressed CDAI and the prevalence of MetS in the general population; second, we explored the association between CDAI and mortality in patients with MetS by following NHANES 2001-2018 participants through December 31, 2019. In addition, restricted cubic spline (RCS), stratified analysis, and sensitivity analysis were used for further interpretation. We included 24,514 participants aged 20-85 years, in which the prevalence of MetS was 27.61 %. CDAI was negatively and dose-responsively associated with the prevalence of MetS, however it was not associated with mortality in patients with MetS. In addition, CDAI was associated with a reduced prevalence of certain components of MetS, including dyslipidemia and central obesity. RCS showed a linear correlation between CDAI and MetS and the above components. Stratified analyses indicated that alcohol consumption was a significant influence of CDAI-MetS and that socioeconomic status and lifestyle specificity existed. Sensitivity analysis confirmed the stability of the results. CDAI was protective against the development of MetS in the general population, but not against mortality in patients with MetS. Clinicians need to develop individualized prevention strategies to reduce the development of MetS by modifying CDAI.

Risk factors of rupture and mortality for intracranial aneurysms associated with moyamoya disease: a multicenter retrospective study

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to analyze the risk factors for aSAH and subsequent death in patients with MMD.

METHODS

Chinese Multi-Center Cerebral Aneurysm Database (CMAD) is a multicenter study registered in China. From 2016 to 2021, 181 patients with MMD in CMAD. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify risk factors for intracranial aneurysm rupture. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression were used to risk factors associated with ruptured intracranial aneurysm patients with MMD follow-up events (death). Cumulative survival was described using the Kaplan‒Meier technique.

RESULTS

Of 11,686 IA patients, 181 (1.5%) had MMD. In the study, 158 patients with MMD were enrolled. There were 53 ruptured aneurysms and 105 unruptured aneurysms. In multivariate analysis, age (≥ 60 years OR 2.350 [1.008-5.478]), location (middle cerebral artery OR5.431 [1.347-21.889]; posterior circulation arteries OR 3.189 [1.110-9.163]) and aneurysm size (≥ 5 mm OR 2.855 [1.274-6.397], P = 0.011) were associated with intracranial aneurysm rupture in patients with MMD. In the 2-year follow-up time of aSAH patients, 44% (22/50) had favorable outcomes, 14% (7/50) had unfavorable outcomes and 42% (21/50) had death. Hypertension (HR 6.643 [1.620-27.244], P = 0.009) and Hunt-Hess grade (H&H grade IV HR 14.852 [3.151-70.011], P = 0.001; H&H grade V HR 17.697 [3.046-102.842], P = 0.001) were associated with increased mortality. In contrast, both ST (HR 0.168 [0.031-0.921], P = 0.04) and ET (HR 0.289 [0.087-0.957], P = 0.042) achieved good results.

CONCLUSIONS

This study showed that the proportion of MMD in IA patients was approximately 1.5% (181/11686). For patients with cerebral ischemia on admission, revascularization may prevent the rupture of intracranial aneurysms. Age ≥ 60 years, location, and aneurysm size ≥ 5 mm were associated with IA rupture. Further analysis showed that being located in the middle cerebral artery was the most relevant risk factor for rupture. Patients with ruptured IA who underwent ST or ET had better clinical outcomes and survival than those who underwent CT; however, hypertension and poor initial Hunt-Hess grade were independent predictors of death.

Statin treatment in stroke patient with low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels below 70 mg/dL

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The effectiveness of hyperlipidemia treatment in strokes secondary prevention has been established. However, whether pretreatment with statins could confer protective effects when a patient's baseline low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) level is <70 mg/dL remains uncertain. Additionally, the ability of statin treatment to reduce poststroke complications, mortality, and recurrence in this patient group is unclear.

METHODS AND RESULTS

In this retrospective observational study, we enrolled patients who had experienced an ischemic stroke with LDL-C levels <70 mg/dL. We analyzed the association of statin use with baseline characteristics, stroke severity, in-hospital complications, mortality rates, stroke recurrence rate, and mortality rate. Patients who used and patients who did not use statins were similar in terms of age and sex. Patients using statins had higher rates of diabetes mellitus, hypertension, prior stroke, and coronary artery disease but a lower incidence of atrial fibrillation. Stroke severity was less pronounced in those using statins. We also evaluated the relationship between in-hospital statin use and complications. We noted that in-hospital statin use was associated with lower rates of infection, hemorrhagic transformation, gastrointestinal hemorrhage, and mortality, as well as higher rates of positive functional outcomes. The 1-year recurrence rate was similar in both groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Statin use is associated with milder strokes and improved poststroke outcomes, even in patients with well-controlled LDL levels. Neurologists may consider prescribing statins for patients with ischemic stroke who do not overt hyperlipidemia. Further research into potential underlying mechanisms is warranted.

Trends of mortality rate in patients with congenital heart defects in Germany-analysis of nationwide data of the Federal Statistical Office of Germany

BACKGROUND

Congenital heart defects (CHD) are still associated with an increased morbidity and mortality. The aim of this study was to analyze trends of mortality rates in patients with CHD between 1998 and 2018 in Germany.

METHODS

Data of registered deaths with an underlying diagnosis of CHD were used to evaluate annual mortality between 1998 and 2018. Polynomial regressions were performed to assess annual changes in CHD-associated mortality rates by age groups.

RESULTS

During the 21-year study period, a total of 11,314 deaths were attributed to CHD with 50.9% of deaths in infants (age < 1 year) and 28.2% in neonates (age ≤ 28 days). The most frequent underlying CHDs associated with death were hypoplastic left heart syndrome (n = 1498, 13.2%), left ventricular outflow tract obstruction (n = 1009, 8.9%), atrial septal defects (n = 771, 6.8%), ventricular septal defects (n = 697, 6.2%), and tetralogy of Fallot (n = 673, 5.9%), and others (n = 6666, 58.9%). Among all patients, annual CHD-related mortality rates declined significantly between 1998 and 2010 (p < 0.0001), followed by a significant annual increase until 2018 (p < 0.0001). However, mortality rates in 2018 in all ages were significantly lower than in 1998.

CONCLUSION

Mortality in CHD patients decreased significantly between 1998 and 2010, but a substantial number of deaths still occurred and even significantly increased in the last 3 years of the observation period particularly in neonates and infants. This renewed slight increase in mortality rate during the last years was influenced mainly by high-risk neonates and infants. Assessment of factors influencing the mortality rate trends in association with CHD in Germany is urgently needed. Obligatory nationwide registration of death cases in relation to surgical and catheter interventions in CHD patients is necessary to provide additional valuable data on the outcome of CHD.

Lean non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and the risk of all-cause mortality: An updated meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Cohort studies reported controversial results regarding the long-term prognosis of patients with lean non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) compared to non-lean NAFLD patients. This updated meta-analysis aimed to estimate the magnitude of the association between lean body mass index and all-cause mortality risk in NAFLD patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We systematically searched the EMBASE and MEDLINE databases from inception to March 2023 to identify observational studies that reported hazard ratio (HR) for all-cause mortality of patients with lean NAFLD versus those with non-lean, overweight, or obese NAFLD. Multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for all-cause mortality were pooled using a random effects model.

RESULTS

Fourteen studies with 94,181 NAFLD patients (11.3 % with lean NAFLD) and 7,443 fatal events over a median follow-up of 8.4 years (IQR, 6.6-17.4 years) were included. Patients with lean NAFLD had a higher risk of all-cause mortality than those with non-lean NAFLD (random-effects HR 1.61, 95 % CI 1.37-1.89; I2=77 %). The magnitude of this risk remained unchanged even after stratified analysis by measures of NAFLD diagnosis, study country, cohort setting, length of follow-up, adjustment with fibrosis stage/cirrhosis, and the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. The risk was independent of age, sex, and cardiometabolic risk factors. Sensitivity analyses did not alter these findings. The funnel plot and Egger's test revealed no significant publication bias.

CONCLUSIONS

This meta-analysis revealed that lean NAFLD is associated with an approximately 1.6-fold increased mortality risk. Further studies are needed to unravel the existing but complex link between lean NAFLD and an increased risk of death.

Daily temperature fluctuation interacts with the mean temperature to increase the toxicity of a pyrethroid insecticide in a moth

Climate change complicates ecotoxicology studies because species responses to pesticides depend on temperature. Classically illustrated by the effect of constant laboratory temperatures, a recent review revealed that the toxicity of pesticides is also often increased by daily temperature fluctuations. Here, we investigated the combined effects of daily temperature fluctuation and mean temperature on the toxicity of two insecticides in the moth Spodoptera littoralis. Our study tested the toxicity of chlorpyrifos and deltamethrin on larvae of six experimental groups that crossed three treatments of daily temperature fluctuations (0, 5 or 10 °C) and two treatments of mean temperatures (25 or 33 °C). We showed that daily temperature fluctuation increased larval mortality induced by chlorpyrifos and deltamethrin. However, the response differed between the organophosphorus insecticide chlorpyrifos and the pyrethroid insecticide deltamethrin. The increase in chlorpyrifos toxicity by daily temperature fluctuation did not differ between mean temperatures of 25 and 33 °C. Remarkably, the increase in deltamethrin toxicity by daily temperature fluctuation was dependent on the crossed effects of the amplitude of daily fluctuation and mean temperature. This increase in deltamethrin toxicity occurred with a daily fluctuation of only 5 °C for larvae reared at 25 °C and a daily fluctuation of 10 °C in larvae reared at 33 °C. To confidently quantify the responses of insecticide toxicity to temperature, future ecotoxicology studies will have to evaluate the generality of the interaction between the effects of daily temperature fluctuation and mean temperature.

Increase in hospital care at the end of life: Retrospective analysis of the last 20 years of life of a cohort of patients

BACKGROUND

There is an increasing need for end-of-life care due to society's progressive aging. This study aimed to describe how hospitalizations evolve long-term and in the last months life of a cohort of deceased patients.

METHODS

The study population were those who died in one year who lived in a district in southern Spain. The number of hospital stays over the previous 20 years and number of contacts with the emergency department, hospitalization, outpatient clinics, and medical day hospital in the last three months of life were determined. The analyses were stratified by age, sex, and pattern of functional decline.

RESULTS

The study population included 1773 patients (82.5% of all who died in the district). The hospital stays during the last 20 years of life were concentrated in the last five years (66%) and specially in the last six months (32%). Eighty percent had contact with the hospital during their last three months of life. The older group had the minimun of stays over the last 20 years and contacts with the hospital in the last months of life.

CONCLUSIONS

The majority of hospitalizations occur at the end of life and these admissions represent a significant part of an acute-care hospital's activity. The progressive prolongation of life does not have to go necessarily along with a proportional increase in hospital stays.

Hyperoxemia in invasively ventilated COVID-19 patients-Insights from the PRoVENT-COVID study

OBJECTIVE

We determined the prevalences of hyperoxemia and excessive oxygen use, and the epidemiology, ventilation characteristics and outcomes associated with hyperoxemia in invasively ventilated patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).

METHODS

Post hoc analysis of a national, multicentre, observational study in 22 ICUs. Patients were classified in the first two days of invasive ventilation as 'hyperoxemic' or 'normoxemic'. The co-primary endpoints were prevalence of hyperoxemia (PaO2 > 90 mmHg) and prevalence of excessive oxygen use (FiO2 ≥ 60% while PaO2 > 90 mmHg or SpO2 > 92%). Secondary endpoints included ventilator settings and ventilation parameters, duration of ventilation, length of stay (LOS) in ICU and hospital, and mortality in ICU, hospital, and at day 28 and 90. We used propensity matching to control for observed confounding factors that may influence endpoints.

RESULTS

Of 851 COVID-19 patients, 225 (26.4%) were classified as hyperoxemic. Excessive oxygen use occurred in 385 (45.2%) patients. Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) severity was lowest in hyperoxemic patients. Hyperoxemic patients were ventilated with higher positive end-expiratory pressure (PEEP), while rescue therapies for hypoxemia were applied more often in normoxemic patients. Neither in the unmatched nor in the matched analysis were there differences between hyperoxemic and normoxemic patients with regard to any of the clinical outcomes.

CONCLUSION

In this cohort of invasively ventilated COVID-19 patients, hyperoxemia occurred often and so did excessive oxygen use. The main differences between hyperoxemic and normoxemic patients were ARDS severity and use of PEEP. Clinical outcomes were not different between hyperoxemic and normoxemic patients.

Long-term medical and quality of life outcomes among voluntary liver donors

BACKGROUND

Long-term medical and quality of life (QOL) outcomes in voluntary liver donors remain under investigated. The objective of the current study was to report long-term medical outcomes and re-evaluate QOL in living liver donors.

METHODS

This was a single-center retrospective cohort study of donors who underwent donor hepatectomy between 2012 and 2018. We investigated long-term outcomes in 7 domains. These include medical problems, surgical procedures, work-related issues, pregnancy outcomes, psychiatric interventions, willingness to donate again, and long-term mortality. QOL was evaluated using short-form 36.

RESULTS

The median follow-up time was 61.4 months (53.3-83.7). Among 698 donors, 80 (11.5%) experienced medical problems, 4 (0.6%) had work-related issues, and 20 (2.9%) needed psychiatric assistance. Surgery was performed in 49 donors (7%), and females were more likely to have undergone incisional hernia repair (5.8% vs 1.9%, P = .006). There were 79 postdonation pregnancies including 41 normal vaginal deliveries (51.9%), 35 cesarean sections (44.3%), and 3 miscarriages (3.8%). Willingness to donate again was reported by 658 donors (94.3%). Donors whose recipients were alive were more likely to donate again (95.5% vs 90.5%, P = .01). There were 3 deaths (0.4%) in the long-term. The mean physical composite score at initial and follow-up evaluation was 86.7 ± 13.9 and 76.5 ± 20.9 (P = .001), and the mean mental composite score at initial and follow-up evaluation was 92.1 ± 13.5 and 80.7 ± 16 (P = .001).

CONCLUSION

The overall long-term outlook in living liver donors is promising. QOL parameters might deteriorate over time and frequent re-evaluation might be considered.

Associations of multiple metal intake with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in US adults stratified by age and sex: A prospective cohort from the NHANES database study

AIM AND OBJECTIVES

The relationship between dietary metal intake and mortality risk is controversial, and we investigated the relationship between intake of five metals (iron, copper, selenium, zinc, and magnesium) and all-cause, cardiovascular mortality in the total population, gender subgroups, and age subgroups.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

17,207 participants from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) database from 2009 to 2016 were included in this study. Kaplan-Meier survival curves, multivariate Cox proportional hazards models, and restrictive cubic spline (RCS) curves were used to explore the association between metal intake and all-cause, cardiovascular mortality.

RESULTS

In this study, the average dietary metal intake of men and older people was lower than that of women and younger people. The RCS curves found in the whole population that all-cause mortality was negative linearly associated with copper intakes, L-shaped with zinc and magnesium intakes. Further subgroup analyses of copper, zinc, and magnesium by age and gender revealed that only magnesium showed statistically significant differences in the age subgroups. In the 20-40 population, there was a non-linear increasing trend in magnesium intake and all-cause mortality, whereas there was a non-linear decreasing trend in the > 60 population.

CONCLUSION

The relationship between metal intake and mortality is more than a simple linear correlation, and differences in age can affect this correlation. In metal exposure studies, different populations can be studied to better determine the effect of metal exposure on mortality.

DATA AVAILABILITY

The dataset used for statistical analysis in this study is available on the NHANES website: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nhanes/index.htm.

Pattern of disease expression in SLE patients with antiphospholipid antibodies: data from Indian Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Inception cohort (INSPIRE)

Antiphospholipid antibodies (APLA) are present in one-third of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) patients, and they are associated with both criteria and non-criteria manifestations. We studied the prevalence, clinical associations, and impact on mortality of APLA in SLE patients from India. Among the Indian SLE inception cohort (INSPIRE), patients who had data on all five routinely performed APLAs [lupus anticoagulant (LA), IgG and IgM anticardiolipin antibody (aCL) and anti-β2-glycoprotein I(β2GPI)] at enrolment were selected. Patients were divided into four categories based on the presence/absence of APLA associated manifestations and presence/absence of the APLA viz SLE-APS, SLE-APLA, SLE: events but no APLA, and SLE: no events, no APLA (reference group). 1035 SLE patients at least 1 APLA antibody was detected in 372 (35.9%). LA was present in 206 (19.9%), aCL in 126 (12.2%) and β2-GPI in 178 (17.2%). There were 88 thrombotic events in 83 patients (8.0%); 73 (82.9%) being arterial; APLA positivity was present in 37 (44.6%) [AOR 1.70 (1.054, 2.76)]. SLE-APS patients were younger and had higher mortality [AOR 4.11 (1.51, 11.3)], neuropsychiatric and hematologic disease. SLE-APLA also had a higher mortality rate [AOR 2.94 (1.06, 8.22)] than the reference group. The mortality was highest in the subset of patients with thrombotic events in the presence of APLA [AOR 7.67 (1.25, 46.9)]. The mere presence of APLA also conferred higher mortality even in the absence of thrombotic events [AOR 3.51 (1.43, 8.63)]. Hematologic manifestations (36.1%) were the most common non-criteria-manifestation. One-third of SLE patients have APLA and its presence is associated with non-criteria hematologic manifestations, arterial thrombosis and higher mortality rate.

Persistent poor clinical outcomes of people living with HIV presenting with AIDS and late HIV diagnosis - results from the ICONA cohort in Italy, 2009-2022

OBJECTIVES

Limited data are available on the long-term outcomes in recent years for late HIV diagnosis (LD).

METHODS

All subjects with HIV enrolled in the ICONA cohort in 2009-2022 who started antiretroviral treatment (ART) within 4 months from diagnosis were included and divided into: (i) pre-ART CD4 count ≥350/mm3 without AIDS (non-LD), (ii) pre-ART CD4 count <350/mm3 without AIDS (LD asymptomatic), and (iii) with AIDS events pre-ART (LD-AIDS). The estimated probability and independent risk for mortality (all-cause and cause-specific) and treatment failure were evaluated.

RESULTS

Of 6813 participants (2448 non-LD, 3198 LD asymptomatic, and 1167 LD-AIDS), 161 (2.4%) died after ART initiation. At survival analysis, a higher probability of all-cause mortality has been identified for LD than non-LD (P <0.001) and within the former, for LD-AIDS over LD asymptomatic (P <0.001). After adjusting for confounders, LD showed a higher risk of all-cause mortality (vs non-LD adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 5.51, P <0.001) and, in particular, being an AIDS presenter predicted a greater risk of all-cause (aHR = 4.42, P <0.001), AIDS-related (adjusted subhazard ratio [aSHR] = 16.86, P <0.001), and non-AIDS-related mortality (aSHR = 1.74, P = 0.022) than the rest of the late presenters. Among the short-term survivors in the LD-AIDS group, the long-term mortality was mediated by the lack of immune recovery at 2 years. Finally, LD compared with non-LD and, particularly, among the former, LD-AIDS over LD asymptomatic showed a greater risk of treatment failure.

CONCLUSIONS

In recent years, LD subjects, particularly, AIDS presenters, remained at a higher risk of poorer outcomes. Public health strategies for early HIV diagnosis are urgently needed to constrain the mortality gap.

Characteristics and Clinical Outcomes of Children With Wilms' Tumour: A 15-year Experience in a Single Centre in Nigeria

BACKGROUND

Wilms' tumor (WT) is the most common paediatric renal tumor and is one of the most treatment-responsive solid tumours. Survival from Wilms tumour (WT) in sub-Saharan Africa remains dismal as a result of late presentation, treatment abandonment and infrastructure deficit. The purpose of this study was to analyze the clinical outcome of children with Wilms tumour managed in a Nigerian referral centre over a 15-year period.

METHODS

This is a retrospective study of children with WT (nephroblastoma) who were treated at our institution between January 2006 and December 2020. Clinical characteristics, treatments, and outcomes were analyzed.

RESULTS

Thirty-five patients were identified. The median age at diagnosis was 36 months including 22 (62.9 %) females. Twenty-six (74.3 %) had advanced (stage III & IV) disease. Confirmatory histology was available for 16 patients ((45.7 %) among which 10 (62.5 %) were mixed type. The right kidney was affected in 18 patients (51.4 %), left in 15 (42.9 %) and 2 were not documented. Preoperative chemotherapy was given in 22 (62.9 %) patients and 13 (37.1) patients had primary nephrectomy. Eight (22.9 %) patients died during treatment (from disease or treatment related causes), and one abandoned treatment. A total of 26 patients completed treatment. Out of these, 8 (30.8 %) were lost to follow up, four patients died and 14 (53.8 %) patients survived at a median follow-up period of 18 months. The survival decreased with advancing stages of the disease, p = 0.002.

CONCLUSIONS

Majority of children with Wilms tumour in our practice presented with advanced disease. Death during treatment, treatment abandonment and lost to follow up were common.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level II.

TYPE OF STUDY

Retrospective Study.

Association between respiratory distress time and invasive mechanical ventilation in COVID-19 patients: A multicentre regional cohort study

AIM

To determine whether the duration of respiratory distress symptoms in severe COVID-19 pneumonia affects the need for invasive mechanical ventilation and clinical outcomes.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

An observational multicentre cohort study of patients hospitalised in five COVID-19-designated ICUs of the University Hospitals of Emilia-Romagna Region. Patients included were adults with pneumonia due to SARS-CoV-2 with PaO₂/FiO₂ ratio <300 mmHg, respiratory distress symptoms, and need for mechanical ventilation (invasive or non-invasive). Exclusion criteria were an uncertain time of respiratory distress, end-of-life decision, and mechanical respiratory support before hospital admission.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

We analysed 171 patients stratified into tertiles according to respiratory distress duration (distress time, DT) before application of mechanical ventilation support. The rate of patients requiring invasive mechanical ventilation was significantly different (p < 0.001) among the tertiles: 17/57 patients in the shortest duration, 29/57 in the intermediate duration, and 40/57 in the longest duration. The respiratory distress time significantly increased the risk of invasive ventilation in the univariate analysis (OR 5.5 [CI 2.48-12.35], p = 0.003). Multivariable regression analysis confirmed this association (OR 10.7 [CI 2.89-39.41], p < 0.001). Clinical outcomes (mortality and hospital stay) did not show significant differences between DT tertiles.

DISCUSSION

Albeit preliminary and retrospective, our data raised the hypothesis that the duration of respiratory distress symptoms may play a role in COVID-19 patients' need for invasive mechanical ventilation. Furthermore, our observations suggested that specific strategies may be directed towards identifying and managing early symptoms of respiratory distress, regardless of the levels of hypoxemia and the severity of the dyspnoea itself.

Difference in association of carbohydrate intake with all-cause mortality between middle-aged and older Korean adults with and without diabetes mellitus: A prospective study

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The relationship between diet and health, particularly the role of carbohydrates, has been extensively studied. However, carbohydrate intake based on individual health conditions remains unclear. Here, we aimed to investigate whether the association between carbohydrate intake and all-cause mortality varied between individuals with and without diabetes mellitus (DM).

METHODS

This prospective cohort study used data from the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study (KoGES). Overall, 143,050 participants were included, with 10.1% having DM. Dietary intake was assessed using a semiquantitative food frequency questionnaire. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to assess the association between carbohydrate intake and mortality after adjusting for confounders.

RESULTS

The study showed that 5436 deaths occurred during the median follow-up period of 10.1 years. A significant interaction between carbohydrate intake and DM was observed in the study population (interaction p = 0.061). Higher carbohydrate intake proportion was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality among individuals with DM (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], p-value = 1.10 [1.01-1.20], p = 0.032). Conversely, no association was observed between the proportion of carbohydrate intake and all-cause mortality in participants without DM. Additionally, both total sugar and added sugar intakes were associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality in participants with DM (adjusted HR, p-value = 1.02 [1.01-1.04], p < 0.001 and 1.18 [1.13-1.24], p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

High carbohydrate (%) and added sugar intake were associated with an increased mortality risk in individuals with DM. Reducing carbohydrate intake and opting for healthy carbohydrates to mitigate mortality risk may be beneficial for individuals with DM, particularly when compared with the general population.

Influence of surgical volume on the mortality and morbidity of gastrointestinal perforation in children

PURPOSE

To clarify the influence of surgical volume on the mortality and morbidity of gastrointestinal perforation in children in Japan.

METHODS

We collected data on pediatric patients with gastrointestinal perforation between 2017 and 2019, from the National Clinical Database. The surgical volumes of various institutions were classified into three groups: low (average number of surgeries for gastrointestinal perforation/year < 1), medium (≥ 1, < 6), and high (≥ 6). The observed-to-expected (o/e) ratios of 30-day mortality and morbidity were calculated for each group using an existing risk model.

RESULTS

Among 1641 patients (median age, 0.0 years), the 30-day mortality and morbidity rates were 5.2% and 37.7%, respectively. The 30-day mortality rates in the low-, medium-, and high-volume institutions were 4.9%, 5.3%, and 5.1% (p = 0.94), and the 30-day morbidity rates in the three groups were 26.8%, 39.7%, and 37.7% (p < 0.01), respectively. The o/e ratios of 30-day mortality were 1.05 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.83-1.26), 1.08 (95% CI 1.01-1.15), and 1.02 (95% CI 0.91-1.13), and those of 30-day morbidity were 1.72 (95% CI 0.93-2.51), 1.03 (95% CI 0.79-1.28), and 0.95 (95% CI 0.56-1.33), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Surgical volume does not have significant impact on the outcomes of pediatric gastrointestinal perforation in Japan.

Assessment of ICD eligibility in non-ischaemic cardiomyopathy patients: a position statement by the Task Force of the Dutch Society of Cardiology

International guidelines recommend implantation of an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) in non-ischaemic cardiomyopathy (NICM) patients with a left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) below 35% despite optimal medical therapy and a life expectancy of more than 1 year with good functional status. We propose refinement of these recommendations in patients with NICM, with careful consideration of additional risk parameters for both arrhythmic and non-arrhythmic death. These additional parameters include late gadolinium enhancement on cardiac magnetic resonance imaging and genetic testing for high-risk genetic variants to further assess arrhythmic risk, and age, comorbidities and sex for assessment of non-arrhythmic mortality risk. Moreover, several risk modifiers should be taken into account, such as concomitant arrhythmias that may affect LVEF (atrial fibrillation, premature ventricular beats) and resynchronisation therapy. Even though currently no valid cut-off values have been established, the proposed approach provides a more careful consideration of risks that may result in withholding ICD implantation in patients with low arrhythmic risk and substantial non-arrhythmic mortality risk.

The COVIDTW2 study: Role of COVID-19 vaccination in intubated patients with COVID-19-related acute respiratory distress syndrome in Taiwan

BACKGROUND

COVID-19 vaccines have reduced the risk of disease progression to respiratory failure or death. However, in patients with breakthrough infections requiring invasive mechanical ventilation, the effect of prior COVID-19 vaccination on mortality remains inconclusive.

METHOD

We retrospectively analyzed data on patients intubated due to COVID-19 pneumonia between May 1, 2022 and October 31, 2022. Receipt of two or more doses of vaccine were considered as fully vaccinated. The primary outcome was the time from intubation to all-cause intensive care unit (ICU) mortality.

RESULT

A total of 84 patients were included (40 fully vaccinated versus 44 controls). The baseline characteristics, including age, comorbidities, and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score on the day of intubation were similar between the two groups. The difference in ICU mortality rate between the fully vaccinated and control groups was not significant (35 % vs. 25 %, P = 0.317; hazard ratio with 95 % confidence interval = 1.246 (0.575-2.666), P = 0.571). The SOFA score (hazard ratio: 1.319, P = 0.001) and body mass index (BMI) (hazard ratio: 0.883, P = 0.022) were significantly associated with ICU mortality.

CONCLUSION

Being fully vaccinated was not associated with a mortality benefit in intubated patients with COVID-19. A higher SOFA score on the day of intubation and lower BMI were poor prognostic factors.

The associations of weekend warrior and other physical activity patterns with the risk of all-cause and cardiovascular disease mortality in people with diabetes mellitus and chronic kidney disease: from NHANES 2007-2020

AIM

To investigate the associations of the weekend warrior and other physical activity (PA) patterns with all-cause, cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality risk in people with diabetes mellitus (DM) and chronic kidney disease (CKD).

METHODS

This study pooled the data from NHANES 2007-2020. Participants with DM and CKD were included. PA was assessed using a self-reported questionnaire. According to the characteristics of recreational activities, individuals were categorized as inactive (no activities), insufficiently active (total PA duration <  150 min/week), weekend warrior (total PA duration ≥  150 min/week for 1-2 sessions), and regularly active (total PA duration ≥  150 min/week for ≥  3 sessions). Weighted Cox regression models with adjusting sociodemographic, behavioral, and metabolic factors were performed to investigate the relationship of PA patterns with all-cause and CVD mortality risk. Stratification and interaction analyses were further performed.

RESULTS

Among 1702 participants (46.53% female; 64 ± 0.46 years old), 536 died (163 cardiovascular) during the follow-up of 68 (39-104) months. The hazard ratio (HR) of all-cause death was 0.618 (95% CI 0.406-0.942) for insufficiently active PA pattern, 0.338 (95% CI 0.116-0.988) for weekend warrior PA pattern, and 0.536 (95% CI 0.395-0.726) for regularly active PA pattern compared with inactive PA pattern. HR of CVD death was 0.545 (95% CI 0.250-1.189) for the PA pattern of insufficiently active, 0.165 (95% CI 0.020-1.343) for weekend warrior, and 0.393 (95% CI 0.218-0.710) for regularly active compared with the inactive PA pattern. The associations present no difference in subgroups. Moreover, there was no discernible difference between weekend warrior and regularly active PA patterns for all-cause and CVD deaths. The risk of death declined relatively quickly When exercise was initiated and to a total of 450 min or 4 times per week.

CONCLUSION

In a population of DM and CKD, the weekend warrior pattern was similar to regular activity to lower the risk of all-cause mortality, compared with inactivity. The weekend warrior pattern was recommended for people who only have time to exercise on the weekend. However, longer and larger sample cohort studies are needed to validate our findings.

Comparing the efficacy of corticosteroids among patients with community-acquired pneumonia in the ICU versus non-ICU settings: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Despite the potential of corticosteroids in treating community-acquired pneumonia (CAP), conflicting evidence exists regarding their effect on mortality. To address this gap and provide new insights, we conducted a pre-specified subgroup meta-analysis of corticosteroid use in CAP patients, focusing on the ICU versus non-ICU subsets.

METHODS

We searched PubMed, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials and SCOPUS from inception to May 2023 for randomized controlled trials (RCTs). The primary outcomes of interest were mortality, need for mechanical ventilation, need for ICU admission, and treatment failure. Secondary outcomes analysed were the need for hospital readmission, length of hospital stay, length of ICU stay, gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding, secondary infections, and hyperglycaemic events. The results were analysed through the random-effects model. A p-value < 0.05 was considered significant.

RESULTS

Eighteen randomized controlled trials (n = 4472) analyzing patients withCAP were included. Our results suggest that corticosteroids significantly reduced the incidence of mortality (RR: 0.66; 95 % CI: 0.54, 0.81; P = <0.0001) and need for mechanical ventilation (RR: 0.57; 95 % CI: 0.44, 0.73; P = <0.00001). It was also observed that corticosteroids significantly decrease the lengths of ICU (MD: -1.67; 95 % CI: -2.97, -0.37; P = 0.01) and hospital stay (MD: -1.94; 95 % CI: -2.89, -0.98; P = 0.0001), while increasing the number of hyperglycemic events (RR: 1.68; 95 % CI: 1.32, 2.12; P = <0.0001) and hospital readmissions (RR: 1.19; 95 % CI: 1.04, 1.37; P = 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this meta-analysis demonstrate that corticosteroids yield improved outcomes in CAP patients with regard to reduced mortality and the need for mechanical ventilation. It highlights the need for further large-scale RCTs with the proposed, specific stratifications.

Conditional survival to assess prognosis in patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia

Biomarkers in chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) allow assessment of prognosis. However, the validity of current prognostic biomarkers based on a single assessment point remains unclear for patients who have survived one or more years. Conditional survival (CS) studies that address how prognosis may change over time, especially in prognostic subgroups, are still rare. We performed CS analyses to estimate 5-year survival in 1-year increments, stratified by baseline disease characteristics and known risk factors in two community-based cohorts of CLL patients (Freiburg University Hospital (n = 316) and Augsburg University Hospital (n = 564)) diagnosed between 1984 and 2021. We demonstrate that 5-year CS probability is stable (app. 75%) for the entire CLL patient cohort over 10 years. While age, sex, and stage have no significant impact on CS, patients with high-risk disease features such as non-mutated IGHV, deletion 17p, and high-risk CLL-IPI have a significantly worse prognosis at diagnosis, and 5-year CS steadily decreases with each additional year survived. Our results confirm that CLL patients have a stable survival probability with excess mortality and that the prognosis of high-risk CLL patients declines over time. We infer that CS-based prognostic information is relevant for disease management and counseling of CLL patients.

Risk of falls is associated with 30-day mortality among older adults in the emergency department

OBJECTIVE

Falls in older adults correlate with heightened morbidity and mortality. Assessing fall risk in the emergency department (ED) not only aids in identifying candidates for prevention interventions but may also offer insights into overall mortality risk. We sought to examine the link between fall risk and 30-day mortality in older ED adults.

METHODS

Observational cohort study of adults aged ≥ 75years who presented to an academic ED and who were assessed for fall risk using the Memorial Emergency Department Fall Risk Assessment Tool (MEDFRAT), a validated, ED-specific screening tool. The fall risk was classified as low (0-2 points), moderate (3-4 points), or high (≥5) risk. The primary outcome was 30-day mortality. Hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated.

RESULTS

A total of 941 patients whose fall risk was assessed in the ED were included in the study. Median age was 83.7 years; 45.6% were male, 75.6% lived in private residences, and 62.7% were admitted. Mortality at 30 days among the high fall risk group was four times that of the low fall risk group (11.8% vs 3.1%; HR 4.00, 95% CI 2.18 to 7.34, p < 0.001). Moderate fall risk individuals had nearly double the mortality rate of the low-risk group (6.0% vs 3.1%), but the difference was not statistically significant (HR 1.98, 95% CI 0.91 to 4.32, p = 0.087).

CONCLUSION

ED fall risk assessments are linked to 30-day mortality. Screening may facilitate the stratification of older adults at risk for health deterioration.

Development of prognostic models for predicting 90-day neurological function and mortality after cardiac arrest

BACKGROUND

The survivors of cardiac arrest experienced vary extent of hypoxic ischemic brain injury causing mortality and long-term neurologic disability. However, there is still a need to develop robust and reliable prognostic models that can accurately predict these outcomes.

OBJECTIVES

To establish reliable models for predicting 90-day neurological function and mortality in adult ICU patients recovering from cardiac arrest.

METHODS

We enrolled patients who had recovered from cardiac arrest at Binhaiwan Central Hospital of Dongguan, from January 2018 to July 2021. The study's primary outcome was 90-day neurological function, assessed and divided into two categories using the Cerebral Performance Category (CPC) scale: either good (CPC 1-2) or poor (CPC 3-5). The secondary outcome was 90-day mortality. We analyzed the relationships between risk factors and outcomes individually. A total of four models were developed: two multivariable logistic regression models (models 1 and 2) for predicting neurological function, and two Cox regression models (models 3 and 4) for predicting mortality. Models 2 and 4 included new neurological biomarkers as predictor variables, while models 1 and 3 excluded. We evaluated calibration, discrimination, clinical utility, and relative performance to establish superiority between the models.

RESULTS

Model 1 incorporates variables such as gender, site of cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR), total CPR time, and acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) score, while model 2 includes gender, site of CPR, APACHE II score, and serum level of ubiquitin carboxy-terminal hydrolase L1 (UCH-L1). Model 2 outperforms model 1, showcasing a superior area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.97 compared to 0.83. Additionally, model 2 exhibits improved accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity. The decision curve analysis confirms the net benefit of model 2. Similarly, models 3 and 4 are designed to predict 90-day mortality. Model 3 incorporates the variables such as site of CPR, total CPR time, and APACHE II score, while model 4 includes APACHE II score, total CPR time, and serum level of UCH-L1. Model 4 outperforms model 3, showcasing an AUC of 0.926 and a C-index of 0.830. The clinical decision curve analysis also confirms the net benefit of model 4.

CONCLUSIONS

By integrating new neurological biomarkers, we have successfully developed enhanced models that can predict 90-day neurological function and mortality outcomes more accurately.

Suicide mortality in Spain during the COVID-19 pandemic: Longitudinal analysis of sociodemographic factors

The COVID-19 pandemic has compromised public health response across the globe. Several countries reported increasing number of suicides during the pandemic. This study aimed to analyze the suicide mortality series in Spain (2000-2021), with a particular interest in depicting longitudinal trends during the COVID-19 pandemic. Moreover, it intended to identify sociodemographic groups with a higher increase in suicide victims during the pandemic. To do so, suicide cases from the National death index data were used. Weighted annual mortality rate was compared between pre-pandemic and pandemic years. Poisson time series models were used to analyze the trend in suicide mortality, considering sociodemographic variables (sex, age, migration status, marital status, and urbanicity). As a result, weighted mortality rate for 2020 was 8.92 (CI95 = [8.29, 9.57]) and 9.21 for 2021 (CI95 = [8.56, 9.88]). Annual mortality from the pandemic years was significantly higher than mortality from the prepandemic ones (p < .01). Poisson regression revealed a significant increase of cases during the pandemic months, RR = 1.05 (CI95 = [1.02, 1.08]); being significant for both sexes, and migration groups (RR > 1.02, across series). A significantly increased number of suicides was also observed for mid-age adults, large urban areas, and single people (RR > 1.05, across series). To sum up, our study supports an increasing number of suicide victims in Spain during the pandemic. We show that the COVID-19 influence on suicide risk factors (e.g., lack of social support networks) plays a critical role in the increasing trend of specific sociodemographic groups.

Fire deaths in Cape Town, South Africa: A retrospective review of medico-legal and toxicological findings (2006 - 2018)

BACKGROUND

In South Africa, fire-related deaths are common, particularly within dense informal housing settlements. Published data on deaths from fire incidents in Cape Town is sparse. Additionally, little emphasis has been placed on the role of toxicological investigations in these deaths, despite the known risk of alcohol and drug impairment to burn injury.

METHODS

A retrospective, descriptive analysis of post-mortem case reports from Salt River Mortuary was conducted to investigate all deaths in which fires were involved in the west metropole of Cape Town, between 2006 to 2018. Demographic, circumstantial, and toxicological data were analyzed using R software.

RESULTS

In total 1370 fire deaths occurred over 13 years, with a mean of 106 (SD ± 18) cases per annum (≈3% of the annual caseload and a mortality rate of 5.5 per 100,000). Males (70.4%), adults (mean=30.7 years), and toddlers (1-4 years old) were notably at risk. Deaths typically occurred in the early morning (00h00 - 06h00) (45.7%), during winter (32.1%), and in lower socioeconomic areas with highly dense informal settlements (65.6%), with 29% of deaths occurring in multi-fatality incidents. Ethanol was detected (≥0.01 g/100 mL) in 55.1% of cases submitted for analysis (71.5%), with a mean of 0.18 g/100 mL, and with 93.8% of positive cases > 0.05 g/100 mL. Carboxyhaemoglobin (COHb) analysis was requested in 76.4% of cases, with 57% of cases having a %COHb of ≥ 20%. Toxicology results (for drugs other than ethanol) from the national laboratory were outstanding in 34.4% of the cases at the conclusion of the study. BAC and %COHb were significantly higher in deaths from burns and smoke inhalation (usually accidents) than deaths from combined trauma and burns (typically homicides). Fire deaths with high COHb levels were more likely to display cherry-red discoloration (OR=3.1) and soot in the airways (OR=2.7) at autopsy.

CONCLUSION

This article provides an updated description of fire deaths in the west metropole of Cape Town. The importance of BAC and COHb testing in these cases was noted, and the authors call for an investigation of the role of drug impairment (specifically frequently misused drugs methamphetamine and methaqualone) as a risk factor in these deaths. Areas of high-density informal settlements, where open flames are used to heat, light, and cook, were noted as high risk.

Lack of Immune Resilience Negatively Affects Physical Resilience: Results From the InCHIANTI Follow-Up Study

There is consistent evidence that immune response declines with aging, with wide interindividual variability and a still unclear relationship with the development of frailty. To address this question, we assessed the role of immune resilience (capacity to restore immune functions), operationalized as the neutrophil-to-lymphocytes ratio (NL-ratio) and monocytes-to-lymphocytes ratio (ML-ratio), in the pathway that from robust status shifts to pre-frailty and frailty, and finally to death. The InCHIANTI study enrolled representative samples from the registry lists of 2 towns in Tuscany, Italy. Baseline data were collected in 1998, with follow-up visits every 3 years. The 1 453 participants enrolled were assessed and followed for lifestyle, clinical condition, physical performance, clinical, and physiological measures. For the purpose of this analysis, we used only 1 022 subjects aged 65 or older at baseline. Participants in the 3 highest deciles of distribution for NL-ratio (>2.44) were more likely to experience a transition from robust to pre-frail, and to overt frailty status. Moreover, NL-ratio (tenth decile > 3.53) and ML-ratio (tenth decile > 2.02) were both predictors of mortality. These results were independent of chronological age, sex, comorbidities, and chronic low-grade inflammation assessed by high sensitivity C-reactive protein measurement. The 2 leucocytes-derived ratios, NL-ratio and ML-ratio, represent markers of immune resilience and predict changes in physical resilience and mortality. These biomarkers are inexpensive because they are based on data routinely collected in clinical practice and can be used to assess the risk of frailty progression and mortality. Clinical Trials Registration Number: NCT01331512.

The impact of COVID-19 on deaths from dementia and Alzheimer's disease in Chile: an analysis of panel data for 16 regions, 2017-2022

Background

Although several studies have documented the detrimental impacts of global COVID-19 containment measures on individuals with Alzheimer's disease and dementia, a comprehensive analysis of mortality rates for these conditions within the Chilean population is notably lacking. This study aimed to analyze the impact of COVID-19 on mortality rates among individuals with dementia and Alzheimer's disease in Chile.

Methods

A retrospective longitudinal cross-sectional study was conducted, considering mortality data for specific mental health conditions during the pre-pandemic and pandemic contexts of COVID-19 in Chile. Quantile regression techniques were employed to analyze the existence of differences between the two periods, while non-observable heterogeneity models for panel data methods were used to evaluate the effect of COVID-19 mortality on crude mortality rates.

Findings

Statistically significant differences were observed in the number of deaths from dementia and Alzheimer's disease between the pre-pandemic and COVID-19 pandemic periods. Specifically, crude mortality rates decreased by 10% (-0.10 [95% CI: -0.16, -0.05]) during the pandemic period. Furthermore, the number of deaths from COVID-19 during the pandemic period has a very weak incidence of deaths from mental health conditions such as dementia and Alzheimer's. Specifically, a unit percentage increase in confirmed cases from COVID-19 would result in a 7% (-0.07 [95% CI: -0.13, -0.001]) decrease in the number of deaths from dementia and Alzheimer's. These findings are supported by the application of panel regression with one-way random effects models.

Interpretation

The study findings indicate a reduction in mortality rates attributed to dementia and Alzheimer's disease during the COVID-19 pandemic in Chile. This decline could be attributed to the potential underreporting of mental illness as the cause of death during the pandemic period. Several studies have highlighted that approximately 30% of death certificates fail to document the presence of a dementia syndrome. Moreover, the cause of death recorded for individuals with mental health conditions may be influenced by the physician's familiarity with the patient or reflect the prevailing approach to managing end-stage dementia patients.

Funding

This work received no funding.

Evaluation of the effectiveness of colorectal cancer screening intervention

PURPOSE

The effectiveness of the Colorectal Cancer (CRC) screening program is assessed based on the reduction in CRC mortality and incidence rates over time. To accurately estimate the long-term impact, it is advisable to monitor additional indicators such as age and stage-specific incidence rates. Our objective is to evaluate the effectiveness of the National CRC Screening Program in Turkey and analyze its influence on disease stage at diagnosis and survival rates.

METHODS

The National CRC Screening Program was considered an intervention and the distribution of local, regional, and distant diseases, and survival estimates were assessed before and after the intervention to evaluate the effectiveness of the intervention.

RESULTS

518 patients were included in the study. At the time of diagnosis, localized, regional, and distant disease in pre-intervention were 31.3%, 42.9%, 25.8%, while post-intervention were 42.8%, 33.3%, 23.9%, respectively (p = 0.020). The relative effectiveness of the intervention in males, females, and 50-70 ages were calculated as 1.2[95% CI 0.95-1.73], 1.5[95% CI 1.04-2.18], and 1.6[95% CI 1.21-2.28] in localized disease, 0.8[95% CI 0.67-1.18], 0.6[95% CI 0.43-0.90], and 0.6[95% CI 0.46-0.81] in regional diseases, 0.8[95% CI 0.57-1.20], 1.1[95% CI 0.66-1.84], and 1.0[95% CI 0.70-1.57] in distant disease, respectively.

CONCLUSION

A noticeable shift in the disease stage at the time of diagnosis was observed; however, this shift varied among gender and age groups. To effectively evaluate the impact of a cancer screening program on reducing the incidence and mortality rates of the disease, it is essential to monitor and analyze these indicators alongside 5-10-year survival estimates and stage changes at the time of diagnosis.

Monotherapy vs combination therapy in patients with Klebsiella pneumoniae bloodstream infection: A systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether mortality is lower in patients with Klebsiella pneumoniae bloodstream infection (BSI) who receive combination antimicrobial therapy than in those who receive monotherapy.

METHODS

Two authors independently searched for relevant articles in the PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library databases through to August 10, 2023. Risk of bias was evaluated using the ROBINS-I tool. Possible sources of heterogeneity were evaluated by meta-regression using a mixed-effects model.

RESULTS

Among 8044 articles screened, there were 23 studies (3443 patients) that were eligible for meta-analysis. Meta-regression analysis identified the proportion of patients with carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae (CRKP) BSI to be a potential source of heterogeneity. Subgroup analysis showed that mortality on monotherapy was significantly higher when the proportion of patients with CRKP BSI was ≥50% (OR 1.75, 95% CI 1.33-2.30) and significantly lower when this proportion was <50% (OR 0.55, 95% CI 0.24-1.24). Overall mortality was significantly higher on tigecycline monotherapy (OR 2.86, 95% CI 1.46-5.59) than on combination therapy containing both these agents. There was a trend in favor of colistin/polymyxin B-containing combination therapy (OR 1.37, 95% CI 0.83-2.28).

CONCLUSIONS

Combination antimicrobial therapy can lower mortality in patients with CRKP but may not show a survival advantage over monotherapy when the proportion of patients with CRKP BSI is <50%. High-quality prospective observational studies are needed because of the high risk of bias and limited data in the studies performed to date.

Effect of level of sedation on outcomes in critically ill adult patients: a systematic review of clinical trials with meta-analysis and trial sequential analysis

Background

Sedation is routinely administered to critically ill patients to alleviate anxiety, discomfort, and patient-ventilator asynchrony. However, it must be balanced against risks such as delirium and prolonged intensive care stays. This study aimed to investigate the effects of different levels of sedation in critically ill adults.

Methods

Systematic review with meta-analysis and trial sequential analysis (TSA) of randomised clinical trials including critically ill adults admitted to the intensive care unit. CENTRAL, MEDLINE, Embase, LILACS, and Web of Science were searched from their inception to 13 June 2023. Risks of bias were assessed using the Cochrane risk of bias tool. Primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Aggregate data were synthesised with meta-analyses and TSA, and the certainty of the evidence was assessed using the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) approach. This study is registered with PROSPERO: CRD42023386960.

Findings

Fifteen trials randomising 4352 patients were included, of which 13 were assessed high risk of bias. Meta-analyses comparing lighter to deeper sedation showed no evidence of a difference in all-cause mortality (risk ratio (RR) 0.94, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.83-1.06; p = 0.28; 15 trials; moderate certainty evidence), serious adverse events (RR 0.99, CI 0.92-1.06; p = 0.80; 15 trials; moderate certainty evidence), or delirium (RR 1.01, 95% CI 0.94-1.09; p = 0.78; 11 trials; moderate certainty evidence). TSA showed that when assessing mortality, a relative risk reduction of 16% or more between the compared interventions could be rejected.

Interpretation

The level of sedation has not been shown to affect the risks of death, delirium, and other serious adverse events in critically ill adult patients. While TSA suggests that additional trials are unlikely to significantly change the conclusion of the meta-analyses, the certainty of evidence was moderate. This suggests a need for future high-quality studies with higher methodological rigor.

Funding

None.

Comparative analysis of prognosis and gene expression in prostate cancer patients with site-specific visceral metastases

INTRODUCTION

Prostate cancer patients with visceral metastases often exhibited poor prognoses. Few researches had compared the prognostic impact and gene expression profiles among distinct visceral metastatic sites. Therefore, we conducted a comprehensive study utilizing data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database and the Gene Expression Omnibus database.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We analyzed the prostate cancer-specific mortality (PCSM) risk for 8,170 patients diagnosed with metastatic prostate cancer (mPCa) between 2000 and 2019, utilizing data from the SEER 17 registry database. Patients with metastatic disease in nonregional lymph nodes, bones, brains, livers, and lungs were identified. Competing risks regression was employed to evaluate the effect of visceral metastatic disease sites on PCSM. Differentially expressed genes (DEGs) between visceral metastases were assessed using data from the GSE6752 dataset. A relative protein-protein interaction (PPI) network was constructed based on STRING analysis. Furthermore, we explored the distribution of DEGs in various normal tissues and tumor tissues using the Human Protein Atlas and GEPIA.

RESULTS

Competing risks regression analysis revealed that liver and lung metastases had a substantial impact on PCSM (hazard ratio 2.24, 95% confidence interval 1.70-2.95, P < 0.001; hazard ratio 1.30, 95% confidence interval 1.06-1.59, P = 0.012, respectively). Seven significant DEGs were identified from samples of liver and lung metastases (HERV-FRD, NUDT12, FAM63A, SCGB3A1, CEACAM6, LOC440416, SFTPB) and were associated with respiratory gaseous exchange, pulmonary surfactant metabolism, and fibronectin matrix formation in PPI network analysis. Notably, the expression levels of the three DEGs significantly upregulated in lung metastases were also found to be higher in normal lung tissues compared to normal liver tissues.

CONCLUSION

Patients diagnosed with mPCa and presenting with liver and/or lung metastases exhibit poorer prognoses. SCGB3A1, identified as a tumor suppressor gene, may contribute to the better survival prognosis observed in patients with prostate cancer lung metastases compared to those with liver metastases. The gene expression profiles in these two specific metastatic sites reveal a combination of both heterogeneity and homogeneity.

Remeasuring the influence of ageing on heat-related mortality in Spain, 1980 to 2018

Climate change and population ageing are converging challenges that are expected to significantly worsen the health impacts of high temperatures. We aimed to remeasure the implications of ageing for heat-related mortality by comparing time trends based on chronological age (number of years already lived) with those derived from the application of state-of-the-art demographic methodology which better captures the dynamics of evolving longevity: prospective age (number of years still to be lived). We conducted a nationwide time-series analysis of 13 regions in Spain over 1980-2018 using all-cause mortality microdata for people aged 65+ and annual life tables from the Spanish National Institute of Statistics, and daily mean temperatures from E-OBS. Based on confounder-adjusted quasi-Poisson regression with distributed lag non-linear models and multivariate meta-analysis in moving 15-year timeslices, we assessed sex-specific changes in absolute risk and impacts for heat-related mortality at extreme and moderate temperatures, for chronological and prospective age groups. In the conventional chronological age analysis, absolute risk fell over the study period (e.g. females, extreme heat: -54%; moderate heat: -23%); after accounting for rising longevity, the prospective age analysis, however, found a smaller decline in risk for extreme heat (-15%) and a rise for moderate heat (+46%). Additionally, while the chronological age analysis suggested a shift in mortality towards higher ages, the prospective age analysis showed that over the study period, people of largely the same (prospective) age were impacted. Further, the prospective age analysis revealed excess risk in females (compared to males) rose from 20% to 27% for extreme heat, and from 40% to 70% for moderate heat. Assessing the implications of ageing using a prospective age perspective showed the urgency of re-doubling risk reduction efforts, including accelerating healthy ageing programs that incorporate climate considerations. The age patterns of impacts suggested that such actions have the potential to mitigate ageing-related heat-health threats to generate climate change-ready, healthy societies.

Association of carotid atherosclerosis markers with all-cause and cardiovascular disease-specific mortality in persons with type 2 diabetes: a causal mediation analysis with glucose variation

AIMS

Glucose variation (GV) is independently associated with mortality in patients with diabetes. However, no study has examined the effects of carotid atherosclerosis markers on mortality after considering GV. Our purpose is to investigate the independent effects of carotid atherosclerosis markers in persons with type 2 diabetes (T2DM) after considering GV and the mediation effects of carotid atherosclerosis markers on associations between GV with cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study is a retrospective cohort study including 3628 persons with T2DM who were admitted to a medical center between January 01, 2001 and October 31, 2021. GV was defined as a coefficient of variation (CV) of repeated measurements within a year before the index date (date of first IMT assessment). Carotid atherosclerosis markers included intima-media thickness (IMT), plaque, and stenosis. The outcomes consisted of all-cause and expanded cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality. Cox proportional hazards models were applied.

RESULTS

Among the participants, 286 (7.9%) had IMT ≥ 2 mm, 2834 (78.1%) had carotid plaque, and 464 (12.8%) had carotid stenosis ≥ 50%. When GV was considered, IMT, carotid plaque, and carotid stenosis were significant factors for all-cause mortality (except IMT considering HbA1c-CV) and expanded CVD mortality. IMT was a significant mediator in the associations of fasting plasma glucose (FPG)-CV with all-cause and expanded CVD mortality (2 and 3.19%, respectively), and carotid stenosis was a significant mediator in the association between FPG-CV and expanded CVD mortality (3.83%).

CONCLUSIONS

Our statistical evaluations show suggests that carotid atherosclerosis markers are important predictors of CVD mortality in persons with T2DM if GV is considered. In addition, IMT and carotid stenosis were significant mediators in the association between GV and mortality.

A single dose for me, A wealth of protection for us: The public health cost of individualism in the rollout of COVID-19 vaccine

OBJECTIVE

This study examines whether individualism weakens the effectiveness of the COVID-19 vaccine eligibility expansions in the United States in 2021, and assesses the associated social benefits or costs associated with individualism.

METHODS

We construct a county-level composite individualism index as a proxy of culture and the fraction of vaccine eligible population as a proxy of vaccination campaign (mean: 41.34%). We estimate whether the COVID-19 vaccine eligibility policy is less effective in promoting vaccine coverage, reducing in COVID-19 related hospitalization and death using a linear two-way fixed effect model in a sample of 2866 counties for the period between early December 2020 and July 1, 2021. We also test whether individualism shapes people's attitudes towards vaccine using a linear probability model in a sample of 625,308 individuals aged 18-65 (mean age: 43.3; 49% male; 59.1% non-Hispanic white, 19.1% Hispanic, 12% African American; 5.9% Asian) from the Household Pulse Survey.

RESULTS

The effects of expanded vaccine eligibility are diminished in counties with greater individualism, as evidenced by lower effectiveness in increasing vaccination rates and reducing outpatient doctor visits primarily for COVID-related symptoms and COVID deaths. Moreover, our results show that this cultural influence on attitudes towards vaccine is more pronounced among the less educated, but unrelated to race.

CONCLUSION

Assuming an average level of vaccine eligibility policies and an average intensity of individualism across the nation, we calculate that the average social cost associated with an individualistic culture amid the pandemic is approximately $50.044 billion, equivalent to 1.32% of the total U.S. health care spending in 2019. Our paper suggests that strategies to promote public policy compliance should be tailored to accommodate cultural and social contexts.

A Greater Variety of Social Activities Is Associated With Lower Mortality Risk

OBJECTIVES

More frequent engagement in social activity is often associated with better physical health outcomes. Yet, less is known about whether engagement in a greater variety of social activities such as a mix of volunteering and attending club meetings (social activity variety) is important for health. The current study assessed whether social activity variety relates to mortality risk after adjusting for social activity frequency, nonsocial activity frequency and variety, and sociodemographic covariates, and how this relationship varies depending on age.

METHODS

Using data from the Health and Retirement Study, we included 5,017 adults aged 51 and older who completed questions about social activity participation in 2008 and whose mortality status was recorded up to 2019. We also examined whether age moderated the relationship between social activity variety and mortality risk.

RESULTS

Cox proportional hazard model analyses revealed that those with higher activity variety in social activities were more likely to survive over the following 11 years than those with low social activity variety. Moreover, age moderation indicated that the association between social activity variety with mortality risk was stronger among the oldest adults.

DISCUSSION

Findings suggest that a greater variety of social activities is linked to mortality risk even after adjusting for social activity frequency, nonsocial activities, and health status across adulthood.

Iron deficiency and all-cause mortality after myocardial infarction

BACKGROUND

Data on the clinical significance of iron deficiency (ID) in patients with myocardial infarction (MI) are conflicting. This may be related to the use of various ID criteria. We aimed to compare the association of different ID criteria with all-cause mortality after MI.

METHODS

Consecutive patients hospitalized for their first MI at a large tertiary heart center were included. We evaluated the association of different iron metabolism parameters measured on the first day after hospital admission with all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

From the 1,156 patients included (aged 64±12 years, 25 % women), 194 (16.8 %) patients died during the median follow-up of 3.4 years. After multivariate adjustment, iron level ≤13 µmol/L (HR 1.67, 95 % CI 1.19-2.34) and the combination of iron level ≤12.8 µmol/L and soluble transferrin receptor (sTfR) ≥3 mg/L (HR 2.56, 95 % CI 1.64-3.99) termed as PragueID criteria were associated with increased mortality risk and had additional predictive value to the GRACE score. Compared to the model including iron level, the addition of sTfR improved risk stratification (net reclassification improvement 0.61, 95 % CI 0.52-0.69) by reclassifying patients into a higher-risk group. No association between ferritin level and mortality was found. 51 % of patients had low iron levels, and 58 % fulfilled the PragueID criteria.

CONCLUSION

Iron deficiency is common among patients with the first MI. The PragueID criteria based on iron and soluble transferrin receptor levels provide the best prediction of mortality and should be evaluated in future interventional studies for the identification of patients potentially benefiting from intravenous iron therapy.